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Whoever is elected the 47th president of the United States will start with a rare and clear advantage: a remarkably solid economy. Tuesday’s election will show how much that all matters to voters, who will soon decide which candidate they want to entrust the economy to from here. But to regular American households, it’s more of a “Yes, but” economy: Yes, the job market is strong, but my boss wants me in five days a week, and that doesn’t work for me anymore. Yes, inflation has fallen, but I can’t afford day care. Prices across the rest of the service economy were 4.7% higher overall, and medical care was up 3.9%.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Spencer Platt, Yuki Iwamura, they’re, Helene, Milton, Patrick T, Fallon, Harris, , Greg Valliere, Joe Biden wasn’t, Trump, Karoline Leavitt, “ Kamala Organizations: Investment, Stock, Getty, Consumer, Bloomberg, CNBC, First Street Foundation, NBC, AGF Investments, Biden Locations: United States, Ukraine, Israel
Read previewRussia has kept much of its airpower and some of its most advanced aircraft out of the war in Ukraine. But Baum and other air warfare experts have warned Russia's air force should not be underestimated and cautioned that NATO should be ready. AdvertisementRussia's air force is weaker than NATO's airpower, but Russia's war in Ukraine shows it can still cause a lot of damage. Russia's air force has suffered high attrition rates from Ukraine's ground-based air defenses when operating in the country. Related storiesHe said that Russia "has a lot of trouble replacing lost advanced aircraft," only making a few a year.
Persons: , John Baum, Su, Andrew Curtis, Curtis, Michael Clarke, Christopher Cavoli, it's, Clarke, Evelyn Hockstein, Baum, Peter Layton, Layton, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Jens Büttner, Russian Sukhoi Su, Nicola Marfisi, Russia's, There's, Sukhoi Su, Aleksey Nikolskyi, REUTERS George Barros, Jake Epstein, Gustav Gressel, Tim Robinson, Russia's Su, Robinson, Mads Claus Rasmussen, Ritzau Scanpix Organizations: Service, NATO, Mitchell Institute, US Air Force, Business, UK Ministry of Defense, Russian Air Force, Royal Air Force, REUTERS, Ukraine, Griffith Asia Institute, Royal Australian Air Force, Russian, Getty Images Air, Getty Images, it's, Sukhoi, Sputnik, European Council, Foreign Relations, UK's Royal Aeronautical Society, Getty Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Europe, Washington, NATO, Russian Sukhoi, Ukrainian, Moscow, Kremlin, AFP
Some business leaders and wealthy donors are hopeful that Harris will adopt more centrist policies as she outlines her agenda, especially by dialing back Biden-era antitrust crackdowns. “CEOs are wildly excited about Harris,” Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, founder and president of the Yale Chief Executive Leadership Institute, told CNN in a phone interview. Sonnenfeld pointed to confidence that Harris will protect the rule of law and hopes for recalibrated trade, regulatory and tax policies. Meanwhile, Harris, somewhat of an unknown commodity on business policy, hasn’t said much about where she stands. Another key sticking point is energy, where Trump has tried to blame the Biden-Harris administration for periods of high gas prices.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Biden, ” Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Sonnenfeld, Lina Khan, Khan’s, hasn’t, , , Greg Valliere, Democratic megadonor Reid Hoffman, Khan, Hoffman, Barry Diller, Diller, It’s, ” Diller, , haven’t, PCCC, Adam Green, Harris –, ” Green, Lina Khan –, ” Sonnenfeld, “ It’s, Douglas Farrar, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, ” Trump, “ You’re, Lauren Hitt, didn’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Biden, Big Tech, Democratic, Yale, Leadership, CNN, Federal Trade Commission, Progressives, AGF Investments, Business, Big Oil, Microsoft, FTC, , Activision, CNBC, IAC, Progressive, Khan, Public Citizen, AFL, NAACP, Harris Administration Locations: New York, North Carolina
As the frontrunner for the Democratic party's nomination, Kamala Harris will have to run, for better or worse, on President Joe Biden's economic record. It will be just one challenge Harris will have to overcome to defeat her Republican opponent, former President Donald Trump . Despite historically low unemployment and macro growth that has defied long-held expectations for recession, the economy is Biden's soft spot. "I don't see a lot of daylight between her views on economic policy and those of the administration," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics , a Democrat who has advised administrations of both parties. Possible change at the Fed One area of difference between Biden and Harris could be a crucial one — the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden's, Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, She's, Greg Valliere, she's, There's, Mark Zandi, Zandi, nonfarm, Joseph LaVorgna, Biden's, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, reappoint Powell Organizations: Democratic, Biden, Republican, AGF Investments, Reuters, Moody's, Democrat, Economic Council, Nikko Securities, Federal Reserve, Senate, Beacon, Advisors Locations: California
New York CNN —Some progressives have frequently blamed corporate greed for fueling the high cost of living that Americans are fed up with. That’s corporate greed. That’s corporate greed. Although the paper did not directly mention corporate greed, shrinkflation or Biden, the research undercuts the argument that greedflation drove the early inflation. That report found corporate profits were to blame for 34% of inflation since the start of Covid-19.
Persons: Sen, Elizabeth Warren, ” Warren, “ That’s, It’s, , , Joe Biden, ” Biden, CNN’s Erin Burnett, Biden, – we’re, shrinkflation, greedflation, Jeremy Edwards, ” Edwards, , , Greg Valliere, ” Valliere, Jerome Powell, Caroline Ciccone, profiteer Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Fed, SF Fed, , CNN, White, AGF Investments, Federal Reserve, Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Locations: New York, America, Kansas
New York CNN —Former President Donald Trump is once again warning the stock market is doomed unless voters return him to the White House. He went on to say a loss for him would spark “the largest stock market crash we’ve ever had.”But there is no evidence to support that claim. “This is just an encore presentation of what he said last time,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Financial. In fact, the stock market has generated higher annual returns when Democrats are in power. It’s true that Trump’s surprise victory in November 2016 helped spark an impressive rally in the stock market as investors bet on deregulation, tax cuts and infrastructure.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, you’re, ” Trump, , Brian Gardner, “ There’s, ” David Kelly, , Kelly, Joe Biden, Biden, Hogan, ” Sam Stovall, he’s, “ It’s, Dow, ” Kelly, Gardner, James Singer, CNN it’s “, ” Singer, Jerome Powell —, Powell, Jerome Powell, Greg Valliere, Trump’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, White, Trump, Asset Management, Dow, Riley, CFRA Research, GOP, , Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Biden, Republicans, Democrat, Research, , Republican, AGF Investments Locations: New York, Washington, Trump, China
The moon rises over the Toronto city skyline as seen from Milton, Ontario, Canada, January 23, 2016. REUTERS/Mark Blinch/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsTORONTO, Dec 4 (Reuters) - Canadian banks had a mixed fourth quarter but a common theme underlining all the reports was the rise in bad loan provisions, signalling that lenders were strapping in for a shaky economy. Impaired loans related to residential mortgages, real estate and construction were also higher from the prior quarter, indicating that the banks were also being cautious when considering underwriting new loans. He noted that despite the mixed results, the banks reported healthy capital levels, giving investors assurance that the banks remain resilient. Reuters Graphics($1 = 1.3559 Canadian dollars)Reporting by Nivedita Balu in Toronto; Editing by Mark PorterOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Mark Blinch, Verecan, Colin White, Dave McKay, Mike Archibald, Nivedita Balu, Mark Porter Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Reuters, Bank of Canada, BOC, Royal Bank of Canada, CIBC, National Bank, Scotiabank, BMO, RBC, Reuters Graphics Reuters, AGF Investments, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: Toronto, Milton , Ontario, Canada
Against this precarious backdrop, Washington is on the verge of a messy shutdown of the federal government. A shutdown probably won’t wreck the economy, especially if it’s short. And if it a shutdown lasts long enough, it could, along with these other headwinds, do some real damage. The US Travel Association estimates the domestic travel economy would lose as much as $140 million a day from a government shutdown. “Uncertainty regarding federal operations will likely persist for the next few months.”Given all the other obstacles facing the economy, chaos in Washington is the last thing the economy needs.
Persons: New York CNN —, , Greg Valliere, Joe Brusuelas, Goldman Sachs, , Uncle Sam, Mark Zandi, don’t, ” Zandi, AGF’s, , ” Moody’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, UAW, Big Three, Federal, Federal Reserve, AGF Investments, RSM, American Federation of Government Employees, TSA, US Travel Association, Companies, Moody’s, AAA, Goldman Locations: New York, Washington, United States
New York CNN —Goldman Sachs is warning clients that Washington is on a collision course with its first government shutdown in five years. A shutdown later this year would wipe out 0.2 percentage points from growth per week, according to Goldman Sachs projections. Assuming just “modest” economic and market impact, a government shutdown should have “little effect” on central bank policy, according to Goldman Sachs. However, Goldman Sachs said a “prolonged” shutdown that starts in October could add to the arguments in favor of the Fed keeping policy on hold at the November meeting. The 2013 shutdown delayed the release of most federal economic reports, including ones on inflation, jobs and retail sales.
Persons: New York CNN — Goldman Sachs, ” Goldman Sachs, Goldman Sachs, Greg Valliere, Kevin McCarthy, ” Valliere Organizations: New, New York CNN, Justice Department, Fitch, Washington, Social Security, AGF Investments, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, Washington, Ukraine,
Flying over, they had a 90-minute layover in London, which should have been enough – British Airways recommends an hour between flights. Plenty of travelers these days are packing tracking devices into their bags, meaning that they can see where their “lost” bags are when airlines drop the ball. Each day, buying clothes and toiletries when needed, the family logged into British Airways’ lost luggage system to see where their bags were. Searching for her own lost bags in Florence airport, she had seen theirs and, after noting details on the tags, wanted Bunce to know they were there. The British Airways system still told them that the bags had not been traced, but now they had a lead.
Persons: Brett Bunce, Bunce, Gwyn, Carolina, Bel Paese, she’d, Sandra Shuster, , , Anne Johnson, Tim Clayton, Corbis, it’ll, ” Keen, He’d, you’d, he'd, Brett Bunce Bunce, – they’d, “ I’m, Aleandro, you’re Organizations: CNN —, British Airways, London Heathrow, United Airlines, Baltimore, Staff, Getty, American Airlines, Florence Peretola Airport, , CNN, FedEx Locations: Italy, Florence, Miami, London, Rome, Naples, Heathrow, Denver, Chicago, Colorado, Carolina, we’d, cobblestones
The advantage of using ChatGPT is that it can take you down any track you want. It's even possible to uncover hidden gems – if you ask the right questions. To uncover a genuine Tuscan experience, use prompts such as: "Can you recommend authentic restaurants locals love that are known for quality and flavor near Val d'Orcia, with websites and reviews?" ChatGPT understands queries about where locals like to eat, and being specific gets better results. To find "hidden gem" restaurants in Val d'Orcia, the more specific the question, the better, says travel writer Lisa Lucas.
Persons: I've, Lisa Lucas, Lisa Lucas ChatGPT, Val d'Orcia, Lanzellotto Organizations: Agf, Getty Locations: Italian, London, Tuscany, Here's, Florence, Siena, American, Elba, Pienza, d'Orcia, Val
Investors' demand for alternative investments is cooling, but financial advisors anticipate adding these assets over the long term to boost diversification, a Bank of America survey of financial advisors found. Last week, the firm conducted its quarterly survey of financial advisors and received responses from 159 individuals. In the world of income, just under half of advisors are rotating client deposits into higher-yielding money market funds, while about 34% are raising cash and liquidity due to market uncertainty, Bank of America found. Indeed, retail money market fund assets grew to $1.99 trillion during the week ended June 21, according to the Investment Company Institute . Bank of America predicts that when volatility normalizes, advisors will reduce the amount of cash they're squirreling away for clients, but they will continue to sort into higher-yielding liquid products – like these money market funds.
Persons: Craig Siegenthaler, Siegenthaler, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Beta Fund, alts, of America, Investment Company Institute Locations: 5Ys
New York CNN —Dire warnings about the economic chaos and catastrophe that will ensue if the US debt ceiling isn’t lifted soon abound. The debt ceiling crisis of 2011 caused Standard and Poor’s to downgrade US debt for the first time in history. Schwenkler says to expect “a lot more volatility” if debt ceiling issues don’t appear resolved by the last week of the month. By contrast, recovery from a debt-default crisis would likely start the day Congress, belatedly, suspended the debt ceiling,” he added. “A misstep over the debt ceiling would subject businesses and consumers to an economic shockwave,” he added.
Even with the unemployment rate tumbling to historic lows, nearly half (48%) of Americans say they have almost no confidence in Biden on the economy. Only 36% of Americans say they have confidence in Powell on the economy, a new low during Powell’s six-year tenure as Fed chief, while 28% say they have almost no confidence. The poll, taken April 3 to April 25, demonstrates how the anxiety caused by high inflation continues to overshadow the nation’s surprisingly strong job market. The economy added 253,000 jobs in April, dropping the unemployment rate to 3.4% — tied for the lowest since 1969. Gallup notes that confidence in leaders tends to rise and fall along with the fortunes of the economy.
New York CNN —The US economy is going from broken to bizarre. Covid crashed the American economy three years ago with no playbook for the wild recovery that would follow. And yet, the US economy today is growing, the job market is strong, and the consumer is still spending. The economy has added an astonishing 1.2 million jobs this year and the jobless rate matches the lowest since 1969. Goldman Sachs pegs recession odds at 35% and Fed Chair Jerome Powell last week said the economy could still skirt a recession.
Its defenses struggle to counter the bombs, so Ukraine wants tools to take out the Russian strike fighters. "Guided bombs are tricky for air defense because they have short flight times and usually very little infrared signature," he said. "The air defense system with the longest distance available to us is the S-300, but it's Soviet-era weapons." That is absolutely unrealistic," he said, challenging the arguments against sending fighter aircraft. There are significant training, supply chain, and operational hurdles to overcome, making essential ground-based air defense a priority in the meantime.
Russia's air force has had a limited role in Ukraine, despite numerical and technological advantages. Russia has held its air force back largely because of Ukraine's effective air-defense network. Which raises the question: If Ukrainian air defenses fade, will the Russian Air Force — known as the VKS — finally become a decisive factor in the war? Ukraine's small but resourceful air force put up spirited resistance that mitigated Russia's numerical and technological superiority, however. "So the air force, I think, would definitely be committed much more heavily if they had a chance."
As politicians sleepwalk toward a potential debt ceiling crisis, financial markets have begun pricing in a small — but growing — chance of a disastrous default. “The probability of default has gone up noticeably,” Andy Sparks, head of portfolio management research at MSCI, told CNN in an interview. Yellen has used unusually strong language for a former central banker to warn Congress against messing with the debt ceiling. Asked about MSCI’s estimate of a 2% implied probability of a default, Valliere said that number is low. But this is not a typical debt ceiling debate.”Fallback optionsThere are some early indicators of concern popping up in the bond market.
The Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) ended up 180.12 points, or 0.9%, at 19,837.65, its fourth straight day of gains and its highest closing level since March 9. "Discretion is the better part of valor," said Joseph Abramson, co-chief investment officer at Northland Wealth Management, quoting the well-known proverb. Information technology rose 1.5% as bond yields steadied, while both energy and heavily weighted financials advanced 1%. Dollarama Inc (DOL.TO) shares added 2.5% as the company reported a surge in same-store sales. The utilities sector, which includes some renewable energy companies, was up 1.1%.
Energy stocks push TSX higher, Dollarama climbs
  + stars: | 2023-03-29 | by ( Johann M Cherian | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
SummarySummary Companies Enbridge gains on rating upgradeDollarama climbs on quarterly sales beatTSX up 0.8%March 29 (Reuters) - Canada's main stock index extended gains on Wednesday, helped by energy stocks, while discount store chain Dollarama advanced after posting quarterly revenue above estimates. Dollarama Inc (DOL.TO) rose 1.2% and hit a two-month high after the discount store chain also reported a surge in same-store sales. The consumer discretionary sector index (.GSPTTCD), housing the stock, added 0.9%. Archibald added that renewable names like Northland Power (NPI.TO) and Ballard Power Systems (BLDP.TO) would stand to benefit from the credits provided to encourage more investment in green technology. Northland Power (NPI.TO) was down 0.2%, while Ballard Power Systems (BLDP.TO) surged 2.6%.
President Maia Sandu on Monday accused Russia of plotting a coup to overthrow her pro-European Union government using "foreign saboteurs." Until now, Ukraine's defense forces and Western allies have estimated that Russia's renewed offensive would be concentrated in the east of the country. "President Sandu has been warning about these risks for months now," said Orr. Moldova, a landlocked European country on Ukraine's western border, has been battling political and economic instability following Russia's invasion of its neighbor. The attack came days before Moldova temporarily closed its airspace on Tuesday over what authorities say was a suspected Russian drone.
[1/2] The Art Deco facade of the original Toronto Stock Exchange building is seen on Bay Street in Toronto, Ontario, Canada January 23, 2019. ET (1513 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) was down 295.24 points, or 1.48%, at 19,596.41. All sectors declined, led by materials (.GSPTTMT), which sank 2.2% to an about two-week low as gold prices toppled against a stronger dollar. Meanwhile, Canadian housing starts edged lower in November compared with the previous month as a drop in single-detached urban starts offset groundbreaking in multiple unit urban homes, data from the national housing agency showed on Thursday. Reporting by Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D'Silva and Maju SamuelOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
BERLIN/TOKYO, Nov 24 (Reuters) - The Germany-Japan World Cup match on Wednesday prompted record access numbers for Japanese online streaming platform Abema, while viewership in Germany more than halved from the national team's opening match four years ago, data showed. Some 9.2 million people tuned in to German broadcaster ARD's coverage to see the match, according to data from audience measurement firm AGF. In the 2018 World Cup, 25.96 million viewed Germany's first match against Mexico. The match, in which Japan scored a stunning 2-1 upset over four-times champions Germany, took place at 2 p.m. local time in Germany, when many people were at work. Millions more viewed the match on streaming platform Abema, where access reached a record of more than 10 million on Wednesday helped by the match, according to parent company CyberAgent Inc. (4751.T).
TSX notches 5-month high as tech and industrials climb
  + stars: | 2022-11-23 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) ended up 62.25 points, or 0.3%, at 20,282.26, its highest closing level since June 9. Wall Street also gained ground after minutes from the Fed's November meeting showed interest rate hikes may slow soon. The industrials sector, which includes railroad and airline stocks, rose 0.4%, while technology ended 1.9% higher. It was boosted by a 22.6% jump in shares of Converge Technology Solutions (CTS.TO) after the company commenced a strategic review process, including evaluations on a possible sale, merger or divesture. Reporting by Fergal Smith; Additional reporting by Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; Editing by Chris ReeseOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
US President Joe Biden speaks during a DNC rally in Miami Gardens, Florida, US, on Tuesday, Nov. 1, 2022. The survey of 1,201 respondents saw Republicans with a 37%-21% edge on the question of which party is better for the economy. On overall sentiment, the Michigan survey saw a reading of 59.9 for October, 2.2% better than September but 16.5% below the same period a year ago. The University of Michigan survey also found respondents had more trust in Republicans when it came to the fate of their personal finances. The survey showed expectations running high that Republicans will prevail in Tuesday's election and wrest control of Congress back from Democrats.
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