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President-elect Donald Trump's return to the White House has sent ripples through global financial markets, with many investors looking to recalibrate their portfolios for a dramatically different policy landscape ahead. Higher Treasury yields mean higher interest rates for corporate borrowers. Trump's tariffs Perhaps the biggest concern for investors globally is Trump's campaign promise of aggressive new tariffs , including the potential for a universal 10% tariff on all imports and a 60% tariff on Chinese goods. However, some Asian nations might benefit if higher tariffs on China prompt manufacturers to relocate. Europe Most analysts agree that U.S. trade tariffs are likely to hurt Europe, with some companies able to navigate the challenges better than others.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Russell, Mislav Matejka, David Seif, Goldman Sachs, Gareth Leather, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Mark Diethelm, Diethelm, Emmanuel Cau, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: White, Republican, Trump, U.S, Nasdaq, Treasury, Nomura, Federal Reserve, Asia Capital Economics, Capital Economics, U.S ., Union, Morningstar, Logitech, Barclays Locations: Congress, Treasurys, Trump's, U.S, United States, Korea, Taiwan, China, Vietnam, Asia, India, Europe
Global trade changed considerably over the past four years — benefiting India — as President Joe Biden retained much of Trump's tariffs on China. EnergyOn the one hand, analysts expect Indian interests to be aligned with those of the United States regarding oil prices . Trump's previous term in office, whether intentionally or coincidently, saw moderate to low oil prices. As India imports over 90% of its oil needs, New Delhi will likely welcome any move by the U.S. to keep oil prices low. A quick resolution of the war in Ukraine — Trump's campaign promise — would also prove to be negative for oil prices.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Donald Trump, Narendra Modi's, Joe Biden, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Trump, Uncle Sam, Samiran Chakraborty, Baqar Zaidi, Ukraine —, , Sanjeev Prasad Organizations: India's, U.S, Manufacturing, Global, Observer Research Foundation, Treasury, Indian, Citi, Companies, Tata Consultancy Services, HCL Tech, Infosys, Energy, Suzlon Locations: Hyderabad, New Delhi, India, China, U.S, Mumbai, United States, Ukraine
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMacquarie Capital: India market to underperform near term, but quality growth in the long runAditya Suresh of Macquarie Capital breaks down the Indian Market outlook and compares growth with China markets.
Persons: Aditya Suresh Organizations: Macquarie, Macquarie Capital Locations: India, China
New Delhi CNN —Narendra Modi has declared victory in India’s election but he’ll need the support of smaller parties to govern, a shock result that could make it harder for him to pass major economic reforms. Experts have highlighted land reform as an example of policies that might now be tougher for Modi to implement. India will need to address those issues if it is to capitalize on the massive rethink underway among companies on supply chains. Despite the surprise electoral setback for Modi’s right-wing, Hindu-nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), experts say the world’s fastest growing major economy will continue to live up to its billing. The party’s underperformance led to a plunge on India’s stock market, which had its worst day in four years Tuesday.
Persons: New Delhi CNN — Narendra Modi, , Peeyush Mittal, Modi, ” Shilan Shah, underperformance, Aditya Suresh, Shah, Malcolm Dorson, It’s Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, Matthews Asia, Apple, Foxconn, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Capital Economics, Investors, Macquarie Capital, Unified Locations: New Delhi, United Kingdom, India, China, San Francisco, Beijing, Washington, United States, Western
The market value of companies listed on India’s exchanges crossed $4 trillion in late November. But the country is stuck in recession and recently lost its position as the world’s third biggest economy to Germany. While interest in the world’s fifth largest economy is rising, the lofty prices of India’s stocks are scaring some international investors away. According to Macquarie, retail investors alone own 9% of India’s equity market value versus foreign investors at slightly under 20%. China “has a few too many companies which are $100 and $200 billion plus [in value],” Mittal said.
Persons: Peeyush Mittal, there’s, , Mittal, They’ve, Narendra Modi, Indranil Mukherjee, Jefferies, , MSCI, Aditya Suresh, Modi’s, Modi, there’ll, ” Suresh, shoring, Hubert de Barochez, Elon Musk, India “, ” Musk, Suresh, Satish Babu, China “, ” Mittal, Priyanka Agnihotri, Nirmala Sitharaman Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN —, Matthews Asia, Getty, Macquarie Capital, Bharatiya Janata Party, Monetary Fund, Jefferies, Capital Economics, Apple, Foxconn, , Workers, Chennai Metro Rail, Advisory, Indian Locations: New Delhi, Jaipur, San Francisco, India, China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hong Kong, Japan, Germany, Beijing, Washington, “ India, Macquarie, Chennai, Baltimore
Spectators react in the crowd during the ICC Men's Cricket World Cup India 2023 between India and Afghanistan at Arun Jaitley Stadium on October 11, 2023 in Delhi, India. Matt Roberts-icc | Icc | Getty ImagesIndia is once again hosting the Cricket World Cup after more than a decade. "We must remember that the World Cup coincides with the Diwali season. Media and advertisingDuring the last Cricket World Cup in 2019, a global average of 1.6 billion people tuned in. Spectators watch the 2023 ICC Men's Cricket World Cup one-day international (ODI) match between Australia and Sri Lanka at the Ekana Cricket Stadium in Lucknow on Oct. 16, 2023.
Persons: Matt Roberts, Shantanu Bhargava, Lalitya, Avi Mehta, Waterfield, Bhargava, Dhavala, Aditya Suresh, Suresh, Zomato, Prakash Singh, Mehta, , Radico Khaitan, Shibani Kurian, It's, Tauseef Mustafa Organizations: ICC Men's Cricket, Arun, icc, Icc, Getty, Cricket, Waterfield Advisors, Hospitality, CNBC, International Cricket Council, Macquarie Group Demand, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Indian Hotels Company, Macquarie Group, Alcohol, Afp, Spirits, Kotak Mahindra AMC, Media, Disney, ICC, Board, Control, BCCI, Ekana Cricket Locations: India, Afghanistan, Delhi, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Ahmedabad, Australia, New Zealand, Netherlands, Pune, LSEG, New Delhi, Lucknow
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