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☆ Oil prices extend recovery rally to cap volatile week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Brent crude futures rose by 34 cents, or 0.5%, to $72.31 per barrel by 0016 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose by 38 cents, or 0.6%, to $69.35 a barrel. Official data showed nearly 42% of the region's oil output was shut-in as of Thursday. A shift towards lower-carbon fuels is also weighing on China's oil demand, speakers at the APPEC conference said this week. China's crude oil imports averaged 3.1% lower this year from January through August compared to the same period last year, customs data showed on Tuesday.

Persons: Phillips, Hurricane Francine, Brent, Francine Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, UBS, Organization of Petroleum, International Energy Agency, U.S . Energy, Administration Locations: Linden , New Jersey, United States, U.S . Gulf of Mexico, Louisiana, China, U.S

☆ Investors are 'dramatically overestimating' an oil glut, Carlyle's Jeff Currie says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

SINGAPORE — Global markets are severely overplaying an oil supply glut, said Jeff Currie, chief strategy officer of energy pathways at private equity giant Carlyle. China's crude oil imports in 2023 had notched a record high. China's oil demand has been declining on the back of a slump in industrial inputs, according the International Energy Agency. On the supply side, black oil production in the U.S., one of the world's top crude oil producers, has been "flat" this year, Currie said. Black oils include crude oil, fuel oil, furnace oil, asphalt and tar.

Persons: Currie, Jeff Currie, Carlyle, I've, Energean Organizations: Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference, SINGAPORE —, International Energy Agency, Reuters Locations: Stanton , Texas, Singapore, SINGAPORE, APPEC, U.S, Egypt, Italy, Croatia

☆ Western sanctions on Russia could push the BRICS alliance closer
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Michele Spatari | Afp | Getty ImagesSINGAPORE — Sanctions imposed by the West on Russia are pushing the BRICS nations closer, said oil executives at the recent APPEC conference in Singapore. "Looking at the oil markets today ... the Western sanctions on Russia are working. The BRICS alliance includes Russia, as well as Brazil, India, China and South Africa. The BRICS nations have had different brushes in their relationships with the West. BRICS is the candidate," Fereidun Fesharaki, chairman of energy consultancy Facts Global Energy, said at a panel discussion during the event.

Persons: Michele Spatari, Russell Hardy, Hardy, Argentina —, Fereidun Fesharaki, Moscow leapfrogging, Fesharaki Organizations: Afp, Getty, SINGAPORE —, West, European Union, UAE, U.S ., U.S, Treasury, Global Energy Locations: South Africa, Brazil, Russia, India, China, Sandton, Johannesburg, SINGAPORE, Singapore, Ukraine, European, Western, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Ethiopia, Egypt, Argentina, Moscow

☆ India's 'massive expansion' set to be a key driver of global economic growth
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Frank Bienewald | Lightrocket | Getty ImagesSINGAPORE — India's stellar economic trajectory alongside strong forecasts for some Southeast Asian countries will be important drivers for global growth, said S&P Global Insights. Asia-Pacific is a "key driver" for global economic growth not just in the near term, but over the longer run as well, S&P Global's Asia-Pacific chief economist Rajiv Biswas said at the annual energy APPEC conference. India's very robust actually… the momentum in the economy looks really quite strong at the moment. Rajiv Biswas Global Asia-Pacific Chief Economist at S&P GlobalAs a region, Asia-Pacific's growth is expected to strengthen from 3.3% last year to 4.2% this year, according to S&P's projections. "Over the next decade, we expect that about 55% of the total increase in [the] world's GDP will come from the Asia-Pacific region," he said.

Persons: Frank Bienewald, Rajiv Biswas, Biswas Organizations: Lightrocket, Getty, SINGAPORE, Southeast Asia —, Rajiv Biswas Global, Pacific Locations: India, Asia, Pacific, Indonesia, Philippines, Vietnam, Southeast Asia, Rajiv Biswas Global Asia, China

☆ India importing Russian oil is a ‘win-win’ for the world economy, says India’s No. 1 oil company
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

India's imports of Russian crude is a win-win situation for the world's economy, said Oil and Natural Gas Corporation. SINGAPORE — India's imports of Russian crude is a win-win situation for the world economy, according to India's No. Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February last year, India's refiners have been snapping up discounted Russian oil. Moscow has since leapfrogged to become India's leading source of crude oil, accounting for about 40% of India's crude imports. India's economy has benefited from the discounted prices, Ramesh said.

Persons: K.C, Ramesh, ONGC, India's Organizations: Natural Gas Corporation, SINGAPORE —, European Union Locations: Tuapse, Russia, India, Europe, Singapore, Ukraine, Moscow

SINGAPORE, Sept 5 (Reuters) - The dominating theme in crude oil markets is that there are too many competing narratives and driving factors to allow for anything approaching a clear view of the path ahead. So, what are the main issues clouding the crude oil market, both for the short and longer terms? - What will happen to Chinese oil demand? - Even if a soft landing can be achieved, interest rates may stay elevated for an extended period, which eventually flows through into crude trading. - How does the change in the main global price benchmark of Brent affect trading?

Persons: Brent, APPEC, Jamie Freed Organizations: P, Insights, Brent, Midland, Reuters, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Singapore, OPEC, United States, Brazil, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, Rotterdam, China, UKRAINE, Ukraine

☆ Oil steady amid OPEC+ supply cut expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-04 | by ( Mohi Narayan | Thomson Reuters | Reports On Everything How Asia S Fuel Use Recovers The Fallout Of To Tracking How The Global Energy Transition Impacts Refinery Expansion Plans | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

NEW DELHI, Sept 4 (Reuters) - Oil prices were stable on Monday, amid expectations that major producers would keep supplies tight, as hopes grew for the Federal Reserve to leave interest rates unchanged to avoid dampening the U.S. economy. "Crude oil prices have been primarily driven by the anticipation of additional supply cuts from major oil-producing nations, Russia and Saudi Arabia," said Sugandha Sachdeva, executive vice president and chief strategist at Acme Investment Advisors. Sachdeva added, however, that the steady increase in U.S. oil production could limit further significant gains in price. Russia has already said it will cut exports by 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) in September, following a 500,000-bpd cut in August. "Because of the OPEC+ cuts, there's not sufficient supply (of sour crude) for all these complex refineries in India, Kuwait, Jizan, Oman and China," Hardy said.

Persons: Sugandha Sachdeva, Sachdeva, Alexander Novak, Russell Hardy, there's, Hardy, Mohi Narayan, Andrew Hayley, Simon Cameron, Moore, Clarence Fernandez Organizations: Federal Reserve, Brent, . West Texas, Acme Investment Advisors, Organization of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: DELHI, U.S, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, India, Kuwait, Jizan, Oman, China, New Delhi, Beijing

☆ APPEC-Trafigura exec says $72-$88 is fair price for oil, eyes Russia cuts
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

"The markets are probably a bit too relaxed," Ben Luckock, co-head of oil trading at Trafigura, told the APPEC conference in Singapore. "I suspect there's a little bit more to come," he said, referring to interest rate increases from the U.S. Federal Reserve to fight inflation. Luckock added that Russia has a different set of challenges "evacuating their crude products out of the country", which could prolong tighter supplies. "I guess the issue a little bit with the Russians has always been the credibility of the cuts," he said. Reporting by Florence Tan, Jeslyn Lerh and Trixie Yap; Editing by Jamie Freed and Tom HogueOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Florence Tan, Ben Luckock, Brent, Luckock, it's, Jeslyn Lerh, Trixie Yap, Jamie Freed, Tom Hogue Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S . Federal Reserve, OPEC, Organization of Petroleum, Thomson Locations: Singapore, Rights SINGAPORE, Asia, U.S, Russia

☆ China slowdown, oil output cuts in focus at key energy industry events
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( Florence Tan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Oil, miniatures of oil barrels and U.S. dollar banknote are seen in this illustration taken, June 6, 2023. China's sluggish post-COVID growth, which has curbed fuel and petrochemical demand, will loom large over both events, while concerns about LNG supplies ahead of the northern hemisphere winter are set to dominate talks at Gastech. Russian oil exports have continued despite prices rising above price caps as the West is keen to maintain global supplies and keep prices down. Meanwhile, U.S. sanctions on Venezuela look poised to ease, improving global supply while abundant and cheap Iranian oil heads for China. While the balance in global LNG markets remains delicate, the longer term demand outlook is uncertain as big importers including Japan and Europe aim to reduce the use of fossil fuels.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Alexander Novak, Moscow, Amrita Sen, Sen, Saul Kavonic, Florence Tan, Miral Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference, OPEC, U.S, United, United Arab Emirates dirham, Thomson Locations: Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Asia, Gastech, India, China, Ukraine, United Arab, Venezuela, Japan, Thailand, Bangladesh, Europe

LAUNCESTON, Australia, Sept 29 - If there is one thing the oil and coal industries can agree upon, it's that the solution to the current global energy crisis is more fossil fuels. The Russian invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24 has been the catalyst for players in the global energy industry to re-think priorities. For the oil, gas, and coal sectors what they see as the problem is perennial under-investment in new oil and gas fields and new mines. In other words, the solution to the current fossil fuel crisis is more fossil fuels, but this time just from more reliable countries and not Russia. But the point is the money is likely to flow at a faster rate into alternatives to fossil fuels.

REUTERS/Denis BalibouseSINGAPORE, Sept 27 (Reuters) - Global oil prices may stay under $100 a barrel for the rest of the year as rate hikes from central banks have tightened credit and reduced investments in risk assets such as commodities, commodities trading major Trafigura said on Tuesday. "The balance of risks and what we know today suggests that it would take quite a few changes in the market for oil to trade well above $100," Rahim said. Oil demand could rebound next year if China lifts COVID-19 restrictions and if the U.S. Federal Reserve pauses or cuts interest rates to support growth, he added. These factors, underpinned by underinvestment in the oil sector and low global oil inventories, could eventually push Brent back above $100 a barrel, Rahim said. The oil market is also watching out for possible supply responses from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries amid lower prices.

Shell Aviation President Jan Toschka poses during an interview with Reuters on the sidelines of the Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference (APPEC) 2022 conference, in Singapore, September 27, 2022. REUTERS/Isabel KuaSINGAPORE, Sept 27 (Reuters) - Global aviation fuel demand is expected to fully recover to pre-pandemic levels of 300 million tonnes per year in the next one to two years, the head of aviation at Shell (SHEL.L) said on Tuesday. SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUELShell is considering building two more sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) plants in the United States, as it aims for renewable fuel to account for 10% of its global jet sales by 2030, Toschka said. "We will be having more than 2 million tonnes of SAF annually by 2030," he added. Aviation, accounting for 3% of the world's carbon emissions, is one of the most difficult forms of transportation to decarbonise.

Refiners, insurers, shippers and traders would be able to deal in Russian crude and products if they adhere to the price cap and its associated compliance measures. For argument's sake let's assume a Brent price of $80 by December when the ban comes into effect, and a price cap for Russian crude of $60. However, the United States and Europe may actually not mind cheating on the price cap, depending on how the money is split up. More tankers will be required to ship Russian crude given an increase in voyage times if the crude and products go to Asia rather than Europe. The oil industry would likely prefer that Europe and the United States don't place restrictions on Russian crude, but this currently isn't an option from a political perspective.

☆ APPEC U.S. official rules out secondary sanctions for Russian oil price cap
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( Muyu Xu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Bjoern Kils/File PhotoSINGAPORE, Sept 26 (Reuters) - A U.S. Treasury official has ruled out secondary sanctions to enforce a price cap mechanism on Russian oil exports despite a proposal last week by U.S. senators. Industry executives and analysts have raised questions about the feasibility of the oil price cap and its enforcement. Wolfram said the authorities will release full guidance on how the Russian oil price cap will be implemented before European Union sanctions on Russian crude exports take effect on Dec. 5. read moreThe price cap will apply to Russian crude oil in every trade, but not refined products that have been produced from Russian crude, Wolfram said. "We have talked to some Indian importers who view using Russian insurance as more costly than using UK or Norwegian insurance," she said.

SINGAPORE, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Russian oil is expected to come to Asia and the Middle East, while refined fuel produced in these regions will flow to the West as the global oil trade is disrupted by sanctions, Vitol's Chief Executive Officer Russell Hardy said on Monday. The Russia-Ukraine war has made energy security the top issues for governments as they grapple with inflation, and with bans on Russian oil looming and Moscow slashing gas supplies to Europe, policymakers are setting aside sustainability concerns for now. The EU is set to ban Russian crude oil from December in a move to strip the Kremlin of revenue, following Moscow's invasion of Ukraine. Russian crude oil imports into the EU and UK last fell to 1.7 million barrels per day (bpd) in August from 2.6 million bpd in January, according to data from the IEA, though the EU was still the biggest market for Russian crude. Global gas prices rose to record levels this year, as Russia cut supplies to Europe while oil prices touched multi-year highs in March.

☆ APPEC: Vitol expects Russian fuel to come to Asia and Mideast
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

SINGAPORE, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Russian fuel is expected to come to Asia and the Middle East, while fuels produced there are expected to flow to the West, Vitol's Chief Executive Officer Russell Hardy said on Monday. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com Register"You're beginning to see that with fuel coming East that would otherwise have stayed in Europe, and fuel in the East going to the West to cover the shortfall." The EU is set to ban Russian crude oil from December in a move to strip the Kremlin of revenue, following Moscow's invasion of Ukraine. Russian crude oil imports into the EU and UK last fell to 1.7 million barrels per day (bpd) in August from 2.6 million bpd in January, according to data from the IEA, though the EU was still the biggest market for Russian crude. read moreThe IEA also forecasted that the United States could soon overtake Russia as the main crude supplier to the EU and the UK combined.

☆ APPEC: Vitol CEO says Russian fuel to come to Asia and Mideast
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterVitol CEO Russell Hardy speaks during the 20th Asia Oil & Gas Conference in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia June 24, 2019. REUTERS/Lai Seng SinSept 26 (Reuters) - Russian fuel is expected to come to Asia and the Middle East and fuels produced there are expected to flow to the West, said Russell Hardy, chief executive officer of Vitol, at the 38th Annual Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference (APPEC) 2022. More than a million barrels per day of U.S. crude is expected to go to Europe to fill the gap in Russian supplies, he said. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Chen Aizhu and Jeslyn Lerh; Editing by Jacqueline WongOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Oil prices climbed past $100 a barrel after Russia, the world's largest exporter of crude and fuels, invaded Ukraine in February. But prices have come off their peaks by nearly 40% amid fears that an economic slowdown would weaken demand. That's the elephant in the room," Fereidun Fesharaki, founder and chairman of energy consultancy FGE, told Reuters on the sidelines of the conference, as bans on Russian oil loom. But when we get to Dec. 5, if Russian oil gets shut in, prices will be $120 or more." Such a move would add to global supplies and depress fuel prices but could support China's crude demand.

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