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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNothing China can do if the U.S. slaps 50% tariffs on Chinese imports, research firm saysBrian McCarthy, managing principal at MacroLens, discusses President-elect Donald Trump's choice of Howard Lutnick as commerce secretary and how U.S. trade policy might affect China.
Persons: Brian McCarthy, Donald Trump's, Howard Lutnick Locations: China, U.S
For investment options, she referred to the firm's survey of China stocks the investment bank's analysts already cover. Morgan Stanley's basket of bear case stocks only includes overweight-rated names with a dividend yield above 4% this year. The companies must not be on Morgan Stanley's lists of stocks at a disadvantage from Republican policy and supply chain diversification. Morgan Stanley expects Tingyi's earnings per share to grow 12% this year and 11% in 2025. Sinotruk earnings can grow 18% this year and 17% next year, according to Morgan Stanley estimates.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanley's Wang, Morningstar, Claire Liang, Liang, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Kong, PepsiCo, Services, Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation, China, CNBC, Republican Party, U.S . Congress Locations: China, Hong Kong, Asia, Europe, Mexico
Markets sink: Stocks are taking it on the chin Friday, capping off a week in which the S & P 500 fell about 2%. Bright spots : The two best-performing S & P 500 sectors this week are financials and energy. Health care was far and away the worst-performing group in the S & P 500. Next week: There's 11 companies in the S & P 500 reporting next week. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, There's, Donald Trump's, Jerome Powell, Trump, , Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Eli Lilly, we'll, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Traders, – BlackRock, Energy, Coterra Energy, Disney, Department of Health, Human Services, pharma, Nvidia, Walmart, Viking Holdings, TJX Companies, Palo Alto Networks, Target, Williams, Club, BJ's, Ross Stores, Baidu, PDD Holdings, GE Healthcare, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells Fargo, Sonoma, Snowflake, Palo Alto
“This is a critical time of year, the time when most retailers make a lot of their money,” Schade said. Only four companies in the top 50 retailers earned an A or A- — Apple, Sephora, Target and Walmart. Three companies — Ulta Beauty, IKEA and Whole Foods Market — received a B grade, while 26 companies were equally split between C and D grades. “We also grade companies on whether the changes requested from their suppliers are actually implemented, if they have truly ‘banned the bad,’ so to speak,” Peele said. Correction: A previous version of this story incorrectly stated the number of retailers who earned an A or A-.
Persons: , “ It’s, , Mike Schade, ” Schade, , Dunkin ’, Jimmy John’s, Joe’s, Ahold, Hannaford, Tard, Sherwin, Williams, Sally Beauty, Jodi Caro, Alimentation, Cheri Peele, ” Peele, Peele, Homer Swei, Swei, Schade, Perfluoroalkyl, Julianna Bragg Organizations: CNN, Toxic, Black, Brands, KFC, Taco Bell, Inspire Brands, Baskin, Robbins, Buffalo Wild Wings, Canadian, Lion, Nordstrom, Walmart, National Retail Foundation, Companies, “ Retailers, Environmental, National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, US, Locations: United States, Canada, Chipotle, Target, Nordstrom
President-elect Donald Trump's return to the White House has sent ripples through global financial markets, with many investors looking to recalibrate their portfolios for a dramatically different policy landscape ahead. Higher Treasury yields mean higher interest rates for corporate borrowers. Trump's tariffs Perhaps the biggest concern for investors globally is Trump's campaign promise of aggressive new tariffs , including the potential for a universal 10% tariff on all imports and a 60% tariff on Chinese goods. However, some Asian nations might benefit if higher tariffs on China prompt manufacturers to relocate. Europe Most analysts agree that U.S. trade tariffs are likely to hurt Europe, with some companies able to navigate the challenges better than others.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Russell, Mislav Matejka, David Seif, Goldman Sachs, Gareth Leather, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Mark Diethelm, Diethelm, Emmanuel Cau, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: White, Republican, Trump, U.S, Nasdaq, Treasury, Nomura, Federal Reserve, Asia Capital Economics, Capital Economics, U.S ., Union, Morningstar, Logitech, Barclays Locations: Congress, Treasurys, Trump's, U.S, United States, Korea, Taiwan, China, Vietnam, Asia, India, Europe
ET, the 10-year Treasury yield rose by more than four basis points to 4.3550%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury — which is the most sensitive to interest rate expectations — rose by more than six basis points to 4.3149%. U.S. Treasury yields jumped on Tuesday as investors continued to digest what President-elect Donald Trump's election win could mean for interest rates, and awaited key economic data — including inflation — later this week. It comes after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for a second consecutive time last week, by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.50%-4.75%. Federal Reserve officials including Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin and Federal Reserve board governor Christopher Waller will also speak on Tuesday.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Thomas Barkin, Christopher Waller Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Traders, Federal, Richmond Federal, FactSet
Canadian Labor Minister Steven MacKinnon has invoked federal powers to end work stoppages at the ports of Vancouver, Prince Rupert and Montreal, ordering binding and final arbitration between labor unions and ports ownership. Strike actions by unions and ports ownership lockouts had hit both coasts of the key U.S. northern trade partner. "The lockouts of the Canadian ports were causing ships to divert and contributing to congestion and delays throughout North America. Under section 107 of the Canada Labor Code, the Labor Minister can order binding arbitration to end labor disputes. Existing collective agreements will remain in place pending a new deal being reached between dockworker unions and the ports.
Persons: Steven MacKinnon, Vancouver , Prince Rupert, Prince Rupert, Vancouver and Prince Rupert, Stephen Lamar, Lamar, MacKinnon, Mackinnon Organizations: Canadian Labor, Canadian, Retail Council, Canada, CNBC, Local, U.S . Department of Transportation, American Apparel & Footwear Association, U.S . West Coast, Canada Labor, Labor, Canadian Pacific Kansas City, Canadian National Railway Co, Canada Industrial Relations Locations: Vancouver, Montreal, U.S, United States, Canada, North America
SEOUL, South Korea — As foreign governments prepare to deal with a second Trump administration, at least one key U.S. ally is hoping to make headway on the fairway. Last month, the U.S. and South Korea agreed on a new five-year cost-sharing plan for the U.S. troops. Maintaining a strong security alliance with the U.S. is especially important for South Korea given the growing hostility from nuclear-armed North Korea. That in turn could lead South Korea and even Japan to consider whether they need nuclear weapons of their own. Stella Kim reported from Seoul, South Korea, and Jennifer Jett reported from Hong Kong.
Persons: Trump, Yoon Suk, , Donald Trump, Yoon, , Shinzo Abe, David Boling, Chung Sung, Abe, Abe “, Boling, ” Yoon —, ” Jeremy Chan, “ I’ve, Yoon doesn’t, he’s, ” Chan, Lydia Ko, Ko, Shigeru Ishiba, ” Boling, Chan, Choi Sang, mok, Joe Biden, Brendan Smialowski, Kim Jong, Stella Kim, Jennifer Jett Organizations: NBC, South, Eurasia Group, Trump, House, Paris Olympics, Japanese, U.S, South Korean Finance, Seoul, Getty Locations: SEOUL, South Korea, U.S, Florida , New Jersey, Virginia, North Korea, Japan, New York, Seoul, United States, East Asia, China, Northeast Asia, New Zealand, Scotland, Korea, Chiba, AFP, Hong Kong
President Donald Trump meets business leaders at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, in November, 2017. Donald Trump's victory in U.S. elections has raised the specter of higher tariffs on China — but it may not be the only Asian country that faces this predicament, according to Goldman Sachs. Meanwhile, Vietnam's trade surplus with the U.S between January and September stands at $90 billion. U.S. data shows that the U.S. trade deficit with China narrowed to $279.11 billion in 2023, from $346.83 billion in 2016. Regardless of tariffs, Goldman still expects continued pressure for the relocation of certain supply chains from China to Southeast Asia, India or Mexico in particular.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Goldman Sachs, Trump, Andrew Tilton, Tilton, Mr Trump, Trump's, Brian Tan, Mari Pangestu, Pangestu, Goldman Organizations: of, People, Pacific, Trump, U.S, United, Emerging Asia, Barclays Bank, FT Commodities Locations: Beijing, China, U.S, Asia, Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, South, United States, India, Japan, Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia, Mexico, Indonesia, Trump, Southeast Asia
Chatter that President-elect Donald Trump could appoint former U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer to oversee trade policy is moving markets, from the dollar on currency exchanges to stocks that would be sensitive to tariffs. During Trump's first term as the president, Lighthizer was central to his protectionist policy and was U.S. trade representative role when Trump launched the trade war with China. "Any clues on Trump's appointments may be market moving," Jim Reid, research strategist at Deutsche Bank, said in a note. Trump's policy proposals to cut taxes and slap tariffs on imports are believed to undermine the currencies of some of America's biggest trading partners. Bank of America tracks a basket of consumer stocks with high exposure to China tariffs, and these companies plunged on Friday.
Persons: Donald Trump, Robert Lighthizer, Lighthizer, Trump, Jim Reid, Kamala Harris, hasn't Organizations: . Trade, Financial Times, Deutsche Bank, US Trade Representative, Trump, CNN, Reuters, Bank of America Locations: U.S, China
CNN —President-elect Donald Trump’s social media stock had been sinking fast after a short-lived, post-election-victory surge this week. Then, with a single post on Truth Social, he helped boost the stock again – and added a half billion dollars to his net worth as a result. Trump is the company’s single largest shareholder, and his 114.75 million shares are now worth about $3.7 billion. Trump media rose just 4.4% over the past five days. That could be difficult to do, anyway, because the company’s valuation depends almost entirely on Trump’s ownership and participation on Truth Social, its core product.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump Organizations: CNN, Trump Media, Technology Group, Traders, Trump, Truth Locations: United States
On the campaign trial, Trump threatened to impose additional tariffs of 60% or more on Chinese goods sold to the U.S. She expects a stimulus package of more than 10 trillion yuan ($1.39 billion), with about 6 trillion yuan going towards local government debt swaps and bank recapitalization. More than 4 trillion yuan will likely go towards local government special bonds for supporting real estate, Su said. That divergence in stock performance indicates China's stimulus "will be slightly bigger than the baseline scenario," said Liqian Ren, who leads WisdomTree's quantitative investment capabilities. She estimates Beijing will add about 2 trillion yuan to 3 trillion yuan a year in support.
Persons: Zhu Baoliang, Trump, Su, Yue Su, , Liqian Ren, Ren doesn't, Biden, Chris Miller, That's, China's, Zhiwei Zhang Organizations: Bund, Trump, Citigroup, U.S, Economist Intelligence Unit, National People's Congress, Huawei, Republicans, Senate, NBC, Republican Party, Emergency Economic, Trade Locations: Shanghai, China, Hong Kong, Beijing, U.S
Trump's first 100 days are likely to be a rollercoaster, especially given his affinity for headline-grabbing moves. These structured channels helped ensure open dialogue on issues like tariffs, technology restrictions, and financial stability. A potential role for Elon Musk as a geopolitical go-between China might look to alternative channels to manage relations with Trump's administration. National security and AI, autonomous vehicles National security considerations will also be front and center in Trump's early China policy, especially regarding technology restrictions. Expect tariffs, technology restrictions, and Trump's unique brand of diplomacy to push the relationship to its limits.
Persons: Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, Kevin Lemarque, Donald Trump's, Trump, Mao Ning, Trump's, Biden, Elon Musk, Tesla, he's, Robin Ren, Ying Yong, Wu Qing, hasn't, Steve Wynn, Musk, Organizations: Reuters, White, U.S ., Foreign, Treasury, Commerce, Tesla Inc, Bloomberg, Getty, European Union, Trump Locations: Osaka, Japan, U.S, China, Beijing, Shanghai, Washington, Taiwan, European, South Korea, Trump's
Upcoming Fed rate cut and holiday season may sustain market momentum, Tuchman predicts. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. Markets reacted strongly to former President Donald Trump's victory over Vice President Kamala Harris in Tuesday's election. He then realized that the strong trend could be held up by more than just election results.
Persons: Tuchman, , Peter Tuchman, who's, Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Dow Jones, you've, Tuchman didn't, that's, there's Organizations: Dow, Service, New York Stock Exchange, Markets, AMD, Nvidia Locations: Tuesday's, Santa Claus
President-elect Donald Trump claims he can split the alliance between Russia and China. "The one thing you never want to happen is you never want Russia and China uniting," Trump said. These are potentially all things that Trump could use to drive a wedge between Russia and China." The Trump effectAnother factor likely to draw Russia and China closer together is Trump himself. In East Asia, Trump has accused allies of freeloading off the US, a source of tension Beijing will likely seek to exploit.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Tucker Carlson, Trump, Biden, Vladimir Putin of, Xi, China's, Putin, Stefan Wolff, Carlson, Wolff, Paul Cormarie, Jonathan Ward, Vladimir Putin, they'd, Robert Dover, Zhiqun Zhu, Cormarie Organizations: Service, Trump, University of Birmingham, Pentagon, Trade, Anadolu, Getty, Central, RAND Corporation, BI, Hudson Institute, Kremlin Press, Anadolu Agency, International Security, Hull University, NATO, Bucknell University Locations: Russia, China, Ukraine, Glendale , Arizona, Vladimir Putin of Russia, Moscow, Beijing, Taiwan, Russian, Bering, European, East Asia
Using its patented digital fingerprint technology, ProfilePrint can rapidly analyze the identity and quality of ingredients, helping agribusinesses save money and time. The problem, he explained, is a system of multiple rounds of physical food samples exchanged between buyer and sellers, replicated across "every part of the supply chain." Machine learning means the technology analyzes food samples at a molecular level and recognizes food quality within seconds. As well predicting the quality and flavor profiles, the company's ingredient quality platform can offer their client various options when it comes to balancing quality with price. Profile Print is not alone within the still embryonic pool of food quality and AI startups.
Persons: Alan Lai, Lai Organizations: CNBC Tech, Traders Locations: Singapore, California
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina trade restrictions likely to persist no matter who wins the White House, says Hinrich FoundationDeborah Elms, head of trade policy at Hinrich Foundation, discusses her outlook on U.S. trade policy after the presidential election, noting that more restrictions against China are likely regardless of the election outcome.
Persons: Hinrich, Deborah Elms Organizations: China, Foundation Locations: China
The global tariff threat is fueling calls for frontloading from all around the globe," he said. But they added it is based on the belief is tariffs increase the costs of trade, in turn lowering demand and volumes. "Shipping is a global industry feeding on international trade, so another Trump presidency is a step in the wrong direction," said Sand. "The knee-jerk reaction from U.S. shippers will be to frontload imports before Trump is able to impose his new tariffs." Logistics companies serving the Mexico to U.S. cross-border trade tell CNBC new Trump tariffs can have a negative impact on historic cross-border truck trade.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Paul Brashier, Brashier, Swift, Ben Slupecki, Morningstar, Lars Jensen, Jensen, Peter Sand, Slupecki, Jefferies, Omar Nokta, Robert Lighthizer, Piper Sandler, Matthew Rubel, USTR, Obama, Peter Boockvar, Stephen Lamar, Lamar, Matthew Shay, Elect Trump Organizations: ITS Logistics, Trump, frontloading, Trucking, Hunt Transport Services, Schneider National, Norfolk Southern, CSX, Republican, U.S ., Maersk, . Shipping, Vespucci, CNBC, Shipping, U.S . Trade, Committee, Trade, White, Bleakley Financial, American Apparel and Footwear Association, National Retail Federation, Congress, Biden, Logistics Locations: United States, U.S, Maersk, East Coast, Mexico
Gold holds steady as market awaits U.S. election outcome
  + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold held steady on Wednesday as investors keenly awaited the outcome of a tightly contested U.S. presidential race. Spot gold held its ground at $2,745.42 per ounce, as of 0218 GMT. Gold is considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties and tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment. Elsewhere, Perth Mint reported a decline in October gold sales, while silver sales slipped to their lowest in four months. Spot silver fell 0.53% to $32.49 per ounce, platinum shed 0.6% to $993.45 and palladium was down 2.17% to $1,052.25.
Persons: Gold, Republican Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Kyle Rodda, Jerome Powell's, Matt Simpson Organizations: Republican, D.C, Edison Research, Federal Reserve, Trump, Traders, Perth Mint Locations: Istanbul, Tuesday's U.S, Washington
S&P 500 futures ticked up 0.1% and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat. Goldman Sachs predicts that a Trump win and Republican sweep of Congress would spark a 3% pop in the S&P 500. Even a Trump win and a divided Congress would cause about a 1.5% gain, the bank predicts. On the other hand, a Harris win with a divided Congress would cause a 1.5% drop in the S&P 500, the bank told its clients. The stock market staged a broad rally Tuesday before the election results were in with the S&P 500 gaining 1.2%, bringing the benchmark's 2024 gains to more than 21%.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Goldman Sachs, Harris, Trump, Jason Trennert, Dow Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, America, Investors, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Traders Locations: Kentucky, Indiana
Key ports on Canada's West Coast, including its largest container port in Vancouver and the Port of Prince Rupert, were shut down by a labor strike on Monday. According to the Greater Vancouver Board of Trade, $800 million in trade flows through West Coast ports every day. Montreal processes 40% of all East Coast container traffic. Approximately $572 million in container trade arrives daily in the U.S. from Canada, according to U.S. Census data. A temporary loss of the Canadian West Coast trade gateway could push carriers to discharge import cargo along the already strained U.S. West Coast, said Alan Baer, CEO of OL USA, further increasing the dwell time of containers and elongating overall transits.
Persons: of Prince Rupert, Vancouver and Prince Rupert, Prince Rupert, Eric Byer, Paul Brashier, Alan Baer, Steve Lamar, Frank Morena, Steven MacKinnon Organizations: Greater, Greater Vancouver Board of Trade, Local, Port, Canadian Union of Public Employees, U.S . Department of Transportation, Alliance for Chemical, Canadian Pacific Kansas City, Canadian National Railway, Logistics, International, Warehouse Union of Canada, ITS Logistics, East, Canadian West, USA, U.S ., American Apparel and Footwear Association, British Columbia Maritime Employers Association, Federal Mediation, Conciliation Services, Canada, ILWU, U.S, Canadian Labor Locations: West Coast, Vancouver, of, Foreman, Greater Vancouver, U.S, Port of Montreal, Montreal, United States, of Vancouver, Canada, Canadian West Coast, Port, Midwest, Asia, U.S . West Coast, Los Angeles, Long Beach , California, British Columbia, American, British, East Coast
But the true implications for investors monitoring the election may lie in which party controls Congress, rather than who will sit in the White House. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 The importance of whichever party controls Congress was highlighted by Trump's recent trips outside battleground states such as New Mexico , a state that hasn't voted for a GOP presidential nominee in roughly 20 years. On the other hand, Evercore ISI's Emanuel expects a Harris victory, with a Democratic sweep of Congress, could result in the S & P 500 falling to roughly 5,700. The S & P 500 slid 1%, while the Nasdaq dipped 0.5%. Earnings season continues with about 100 S & P 500 companies confirmed to report.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson, I'm, Abuhoff Jacobson, hasn't, Brian Burrell, Jay Hatfield, Harris, Hatfield, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI's Emanuel, Jerome Powell's, Ralph Lauren, Warner, Alex Harring Organizations: NBC, Congress, House, Democratic, Republican, Hartford Investments, GOP, Thornburg Investment Management, Infrastructure Capital Advisors, Senate, Wednesday, Regional Banking, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, National, Marriott International, Diamondback Energy, Wynn Resorts, Palantir Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Petroleum, Brands, Technology, Computer, CVS, Howmet Aerospace, Gilead Sciences, Labor, Consumer, Moderna, Molson Coors Beverage, Halliburton, Hershey Co, Warner Bros, Expedia, Akamai Technologies, Paramount Locations: New Mexico, Albuquerque, Santa Fe , New Mexico, Hartford, Albemarle, Qualcomm, Michigan
As a former acting U.S. trade representative who also served on the National Security Council, I’ve engaged in international economic policymaking firsthand. Trump’s main economic idea is to indiscriminately impose tariffs on U.S. trading partners, but it is American importers, exporters and consumers who will pay the price. When Trump last levied tariffs, the EU, Canada, China and other trading partners imposed their own tariffs in retaliation. While President Joe Biden left most of Trump’s tariffs against China in place, he managed to negotiate agreements that led to the easing of many retaliatory measures. As president, Harris would lead an economy that helps everyone, not just those at the very top.
Persons: you’re, it’s, you’ve, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, I’ve, Harris, Shawn Fain, , ” Harris, Harris ’, Trump, Smoot, Hawley, Mitch McConnell, “ I’m, Trump’s, Davidson, Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: National Security Council, United Auto Workers, Democratic Party, Republican, Foundation, European Union, Pennsylvania Farm Bureau, , Harley, EU Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, America, China, U.S, EU, Canada
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over 2 basis points at 4.304%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last up by less than 1 basis point at 4.146%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Tuesday, with the 10-year Treasury yield continuing to trade at multi-month highs as investors looked to upcoming economic data. On Tuesday investors will be watching out for fresh consumer confidence insights and home price data as well as the latest JOLTS job openings figures. Those are the first of a series of labor market related data releases slated for the week.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Traders, Fed
Beauty and Estée Lauder are well-known companies in the beauty and cosmetics industry. Their customers generally have higher disposable incomes, as Estée Lauder is a luxury brand emphasizing premium, high-quality ingredients. Estée Lauder combines a traditional retail model with a growing e-commerce presence. Estee Lauder has fallen roughly 45% over the past seven months. ELF EL YTD mountain Estee Lauder vs. elf Beauty, YTD e.l.f.
Persons: Estée Lauder, Gen X, Nordstrom, Estee Lauder, Trump Organizations: Target, Walmart, Presidential, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, North America, United States, Asia, Europe, Americas, China, Estee
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