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A man looks at an electric monitor displaying the Japanese yen exchange rate against the U.S. dollar and Nikkei share average outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan October 4, 2023. The debate, though, ignores the bigger issue: Surging U.S. bond yields and Japan’s ultra-low interest rates, though, will keep the yen under pressure. Until it tightens monetary policy, Japan will have to live with an exchange rate driven by Washington. Until Tokyo regains control of its monetary levers, it will have to live with a foreign exchange rate driven by U.S. whims. The greenback then fell back to as low as 147.30, sparking speculation that Japanese monetary officials had intervened to prop up the currency.
Persons: Issei Kato, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Antony Currie, Oliver Taslic Organizations: U.S ., Nikkei, REUTERS, Reuters, Bank of Japan, Reuters Graphics, Federal Reserve, Bank of, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Washington
Morning Bid: Beijing leaves market guessing on yuan
  + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
The People's Bank of China seems to like being enigmatic, throwing the market a curve ball as it fixed the yuan weaker against the dollar than many expected. Dealers had thought the firmer fix on Tuesday meant Beijing was signalling it wanted the yuan's fall to slow, or even stop. The result has been a drop in the offshore yuan back toward Monday's trough, while the market waits for some clarity on Beijing's intentions. Malaysia is set to be the latest to intervene to support its currency, and Japan sounds closer to pulling the trigger every day. Still, the market is clearly betting the yen will keep falling unless, and until, the Bank of Japan backs away from its yield curve policy.
Persons: Wayne Cole, Ueda, Lagarde, it's, That's, Christine Lagarde, Fed's Jerome Powell, Kazuo Ueda, Andrew Bailey, Edmund Klamann Organizations: People's Bank of, Dealers, Wall, Journal, Ministry of Finance, Bank of Japan, Bank's, OECD, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Wayne, People's Bank of China, Beijing, Monday's, Washington, China, Asia, Malaysia, Japan, Bank's Sintra, Sintra , Portugal
Reuters GraphicsNOTHING 'BROKEN' YETInternational economic officials gathering in Washington this week for the IMF and World Bank spring meetings can take some comfort that pandemic-era risks are continuing to diminish. An aggressive year of central bank rate hikes hasn't yet "broken" any of the economies involved, with the U.S. unemployment rate at 3.5%, near its lowest level since the late 1960s. Still, that terminal rate remains unclear, and the end of synchronized tightening by the Fed, BoE and European Central Bank doesn't mean tight monetary policy is going away. Wages, services and food are driving price growth to the point that the ECB's attention has shifted almost entirely to underlying inflation on fears that rapid price growth is at risk of getting stuck above target. The U.S. central bank is expected to increase its benchmark overnight interest rate by another quarter of a percentage point next month, and signal whether more hikes may be warranted.
Warren Buffett has grown even fonder of his favorite Japanese trading houses, hiking his already-large investments and teasing of more to come. Berkshire Hathaway raised its stakes in five Japanese trading houses — Mitsubishi Corp. , Mitsui & Co ., Itochu Corp. , Marubeni and Sumitomo — all to 7.4%. Buffett will appear live from Japan on CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Wednesday from 6 a.m. to 9 a.m. The five trading houses — roughly akin to a conglomerate structure, just like Berkshire— seem to check every box of Buffett's stock-picking criteria. In light of expectations for tighter policy, BlackRock , the world's largest asset manager, last month cut Japanese stocks to "underweight."
The Tokyo Tower, center, stands illuminated in Tokyo, Japan, on Wednesday, Oct. 23, 2019. Under Abenomics, as its known, the price goal was supposed to be achieved in just two years. Photographer: Keith Bedford /Bloomberg via Getty ImagesAsia Pacific markets are set to start the week lower on Monday after major indexes on Wall Street recorded their worst week for 2023. In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 opened 0.95% lower, while Japanese markets are also headed for a lower open. Japan will also release its unemployment numbers later in the week.
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