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Welcome to the online version of From the Politics Desk, an evening newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the campaign trail, the White House and Capitol Hill. In today’s edition, senior political editor Mark Murray breaks down how 2024 was the sixth "change" election in a row as voter dissatisfaction with the direction of the country remains high. They culminated in the nation’s sixth straight “change” election, in which either the White House or at least one chamber of Congress switched party control. Trump won those “change” voters by 50 points, 74% to 24%. Read more →Trump’s win has sparked fresh concerns among his critics that he may enter office looking for retribution.
Persons: Mark Murray, MAGA, Donald Trump’s, , Barack Obama, Trump, Joe Biden, Trump’s, Kamala Harris, , Sahil Kapur, Matt Dixon, Julie Tsirkin, Donald Trump’s “ MAGA ”, Mitch McConnell, John Thune of, Sen, John Cornyn of, Rick Scott of Florida, ” Scott, , Scott —, Scott, leapfrog, hasn’t, , Read, Elise Stefanik, Lee Zeldin, Tom Homan, Stephen Miller, 🗞️, : the, lea Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Republican, Senate, GOP, Republicans, White, Trump, Democratic, Voters, McConnell, NBC News, House Republican Conference, United Nations, Environmental Protection Agency, . Immigration, Customs Enforcement, rit, upr Locations: Kentucky, John Thune of South Dakota, John Cornyn of Texas, New York
In today’s edition, chief political analyst Chuck Todd explains why the results of the 2022 midterm elections were a mirage for the Democrats . Democrats did well in the 2022 midterms despite Biden, not because of him or his pro-democracy messaging. But Democrats managed to hold onto Senate seats in two states Trump carried, Michigan and Wisconsin. In the House, Republicans had a 212-201 lead, with 22 races yet to be called as of Friday afternoon. Read more →Trump won Nevada, NBC News projects — the first time a Republican presidential candidate has done so since 2004.
Persons: Chuck Todd, Kristen Welker, Donald Trump, Adam Edelman, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Clinton, Obama, Biden, ’ “, Court’s Dobbs, Dobbs, Trump, Chuck →, , , It’s, ” Trump, , I’m, , We’re, Donald Trump’s, Gavin Newsom, JB Pritzker, Illinoisans, Kathy Hochul, Read, abi Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Democratic, GOP, Democrats, Trump, Black, Asian, Senate, Republicans, NBC News, Nevada Senate, House, Gov, , New York Gov, Initiative Locations: Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona , Nevada , Michigan, Wisconsin, West Virginia , Montana and Ohio, Michigan, Arizona , Pennsylvania, Nevada, South America, In California, California, ” Illinois
The reality is that both parties learn lessons from losing elections that apply only in the short term — say, from one presidential election to the next midterm or from one midterm to the next presidential election. Not anymore — it’s why Democrats usually overperform in special elections, with more devoted “every election” voters right now. Meanwhile, in the non-battlegrounds, which were more affected by the basic “mood music” of the election, Democrats were shellacked. The seeds of discontent with this version of the Democratic Party can be traced back a decade to Obama’s decision to anoint Hillary Clinton as his successor. Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., at the CNN Democratic presidential primary debate in New York City on April 14, 2016.
Persons: inbox, It’s, Donald Trump, Devin Yalkin, doesn’t, Karl Rove, Barack Obama, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Bill Clinton, Obama, Clinton, Harris, Court's Dobbs, Dobbs, Trump, I’m, Kamala Harris, Morry Gash, hadn't, misfired, Deb Fischer, Dan Osborn, Osborn, Josh Shapiro, wasn’t, Harris wouldn’t, They’ve, Franklin D, Roosevelt, John F, Kennedy, Lyndon B, Johnson, Hillary Clinton, he’d, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Justin Sullivan, Democratic Party didn’t, Sanders, Bernie Bros, Joe Rogan, , didn’t, nitpick, , Bob Dole, Al Gore, John Kerry, John McCain, Mitt Romney, What's, Elon, MAGA, Michael Dukakis Organizations: NBC, Trump, Democratic, Democratic Party, Biden, GOP, Democrats, Social Security, Senate, Electoral, Massachusetts Democrat, San, San Francisco Democrat, CNN Democratic, Clinton, Obama, Trump bros Locations: West Palm Beach, Fla, Plenty, , Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona , Nevada , Michigan, Wisconsin, Madison, Wis, America, Texas, Massachusetts, San Francisco, New York City, Trump, Iowa, Clinton
Elon Musk’s posts on his social media platform X get far more attention when they cast doubt on the integrity of the electoral process, an NBC News analysis has found. The difference in reach was vast: 5.2 times more likes, 4.2 times more comments and 9.1 times more reposts, when comparing the median election-doubting post to the median election post that didn’t cast doubt on the process. In addition to owning X, Musk is its biggest account, with more than 202 million followers, according to the app’s tally of his following. X has developed a clear tilt in favor of far-right users and posts since Musk bought it two years ago, according to researchers. Musk told an editor at The Atlantic in July that he would “of course” accept the results of the presidential election, according to the magazine.
Persons: Elon Musk’s, Musk’s, , It’s, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, he’s, Musk, Organizations: NBC, SpaceX, Trump Locations: United States, U.S
In the previous presidential election, more than 3 million Pennsylvanians requested mail-in ballots and 85% – just over 2.6 million – voted by mail. To date, more than 2 million people have requested mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania and so far, 71% – over 1.5 million – have returned them. In one transaction, voters apply for, complete and submit their mail-in ballot at a designated election site before Election Day. “A handful of people were allegedly turned away from early voting lines in Bucks County. The county responded by agreeing in court to additional days, not just hours, of early voting,” the senior official said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump’s, it’s, ” Jon Sherman, Trump, “ There’s, , Dan Mallinson, Vance, ” Vance, Harris Organizations: Pittsburgh CNN, Elections, Republicans, Republican, Penn State, Democratic Locations: Pennsylvania, Bucks County, Philadelphia, Keystone, Pennsylvania’s, Penn State Harrisburg, Allegheny County, Bucks
New York CNN —Conservative radio host Hugh Hewitt resigned from his contributing columnist role at The Washington Post on Friday after storming off the newspaper’s live show over a disagreement with his colleagues. “No election can be fair in Donald Trump’s mind unless Donald Trump wins it,” Marcus said before Hewitt interjected. It’s got to be reported — Bucks County was reversed by the court and instructed to open up extra days because they violated the law and told people to go home,” Hewitt said. “So yes, he’s upset about Bucks County, but he was right, and he won in court. After storming off the show, Hewitt confirmed to Fox News that he had parted ways with The Post.
Persons: Hugh Hewitt, Hewitt’s, Jonathan Capehart, Ruth Marcus, Donald Trump, Capehart, Marcus, Hewitt, , Donald Trump’s, ” Marcus, Hewitt interjected, “ I’ve, It’s, ” Hewitt, Trump, ” Capehart, Hugh, ” “, Jonathan, how’s, Fox, Trump’s MAGA, Jeff Bezos Organizations: New, New York CNN — Conservative, Washington, Republican National Committee, RNC, Tuesday’s, Fox News, Salem Media Locations: New York, Pennsylvania, Bucks, Philadelphia, Bucks County
Michigan:Mail ballots: Larger Michigan jurisdictions can begin processing mail ballots on Oct. 28, giving election officials a much-needed early jump on verifying mail ballots. North CarolinaMail ballots: Mail ballots must be received by Election Day and are partially processed throughout October. PennsylvaniaMail ballots: Election officials must receive mail ballots by the close of polls on Election Day. Provisional ballots: County boards must review and decide whether to count provisional ballots within a week of the election. WisconsinMail ballots: Mail ballots must be received on Election Day at the latest.
Persons: couldn’t, Provisionals, they’ll Organizations: NBC, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin Locations: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin
From 2008 through 2020, the winning candidate either swept or nearly swept the final six to eight battleground states. Are we still under-sampling Trump voters? Then again, is Trump’s improvement in the polls this cycle an indication the polling community finally got it right on the Trump vote? In 2020, the Trump campaign was the only one knocking on doors during Covid, as the Biden campaign feared scaring its supporters at the doors. The Harris campaign appears invested in doing traditional get-out-the-vote programs in all sorts of places.
Persons: There’s, Donald Trump's, George W, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, John Kerry, he’d, Barack Obama, , there’s, I’ll, Nikki Haley, you’re, I’ve, Hillary Clinton, “ We’ve, let’s, she’s, Biden, Elon Musk, Charlie Kirk’s, Roe, Wade, Toss, hasn’t Organizations: Trump, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Sun, Democrats, Republican Party, Democratic, North, NBC, GOP, Republican, White, Republicans, Madison Locations: Northern, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina , Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Omaha , Nebraska, Harris, U.S, New Mexico, Ohio, North, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Florida, Georgia, Las Vegas, Omaha, Trump, New York
A mid-October poll by The Associated Press measured which of the two candidates voters trust on a variety of economic issues. Harris’ campaign declined to say where she wants to set the federal minimum wage, which is currently $7.25 per hour. Former President Donald Trump answers questions as he works the drive-thru line at a McDonald's on Oct. 20 in Feasterville-Trevose, Pa. “Donald Trump is running on a middle-class tax hike, Kamala Harris is running on a middle-class tax cut,” Harris campaign spokesperson James Singer said. “Working families like rank-and-file Teamsters overwhelmingly support President Trump because only he will Make America Wealthy, Strong, and Great Again.”
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump, , Kent Smetters, Sen, Chris Caldwell, Harris ’, Smetters, , hasn’t, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Win McNamee, “ Donald Trump, ” Harris, James Singer, , Anna Kelly Organizations: Biden, Tufts University, Trump, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, Daily, Wharton, Democratic, The Associated Press, Voters, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Economic, Institute, Republican National, Teamsters, America Locations: Pennsylvania, McDonald’s, Las Vegas, U.S, Arizona, Feasterville, Pa, China, Communist
A young-voter advocacy group backing Vice President Kamala Harris is launching a campaign on TikTok meant to target young voters — but not necessarily those backing former President Donald Trump. The Voters for Tomorrow campaign underscores just how tight the race is between Harris and Trump. “It’s not about winning the White House,” Gates said of the long-shot Stein campaign. “A vote for Stein is really a vote for Trump,” says the voice-over, before playing a clip of Trump praising Stein. In response to the TikTok campaign, Stein campaign manager Jason Call called for a debate between Harris and Stein.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, Harris, , Elizabeth Holmes, Anna Delvey, , Katy Gates, she’s, ” Gates, Stein, Hillary Clinton, Trump, Clinton, Gen, Santiago Mayer, “ It’s, Mayer, “ We’re, we’re, doesn’t, Jason Call, ” TikTok, TikToker Organizations: Voters, Green Party, NBC, Young Democrats, , Tomorrow, NBC News, Trump, White, DNC Locations: Wisconsin, Gates, Pennsylvania , Michigan, Pennsylvania
Paul J. Richards/AFP/Getty Images Carter works at a construction site sponsored by the Jimmy Carter Work Project in Asan, South Korea, in 2001. Alex Wong/Getty Images Carter meets with Obama and other former presidents at the White House in January 2009. Richard Lewis/The Elders/Getty Images Carter was interviewed for "The Presidents' Gatekeepers" project at the Carter Center in Atlanta in September 2011. Chris McKay/Getty Images Carter talks about his cancer diagnosis during a news conference at the Carter Center in Atlanta in August 2015. The 1983 tweaks to Social Security included, for instance, the counting of some Social Security benefits as taxable income and a gradual increase of the retirement age from 65 to 67.
Persons: Jimmy Carter, Carter, John Quincy Adams, It’s, CNN’s Stephen Collinson, ” Carter, , George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Rosalynn, Lillian, Gloria, . Bradley, Jimmy, Horace Cort, , John Storey, Stan Wayman, Amy, Walter Mondale, Gerald Ford, Ford, Warren Burger, Rosalynn Carter, Billy, Simons, Barry Thumma, Harvey Georges, Helmut Schmidt, Schmidt, Anwar Sadat, Menachem Begin, Camp David, Carter's, Carter jogs, Karl Schumacher, Dirck Halstead, Leonid Brezhnev, Chuck McManis, Ronald Reagan, Reagan, Robert Burgess, Joe Holloway Jr, AP Carter, Bill Clinton, Al Gore, Paul J, Richards, Clinton, Chung Sung, Fidel Castro, Adalberto Roque, Arne Knudsen, Hugo Chavez's, Juan Barreto, Howard Dean, Erik S, Scott Olson, Marco Longari, Michael Williamson, Barack Obama's, Alex Wong, Obama, George W, Bush, J, Scott Applewhite, Mark Wilson, Ismail Haniya, Mahmud Hams, Jung Yeon, Nelson Mandela, Jeff Moore, Aijalon Mahli Gomes, Gomes, Darren McCollester, Sheikh Jarrah, Mary Robinson, Bernat, George, Kris Connor, Raul Castro, Javier Galeano, Richard Lewis, David Hume Kennerly, Michelle Obama, Martin Luther King Jr, Jewel Samad, Brian Kersey, Chris McKay, Phil Skinner, Donald Trump, Saul Loeb, Jim Chapin, Drew Angerer, Matt McClain, Dan Quinn, Scott Cunningham, Chip Somodevilla, Mark Humphrey, John Amis, Joe Biden, Jill Biden, Adam Schultz, John Bazemore, Michael S, Williamson, Jason Carter, Evelyn Hockstein, Jimmy Carter's, there’s, aren’t, – Carter, Ronald Reagan –, CNN’s Eva Rothenberg, ” Regan, dismissively, gaslighting, “ Governor Reagan, Reagan empaneled, Alan Greenspan, Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris Organizations: CNN, Social Security, Medicare, Carter, , Habitat, Humanity, Bettmann, Jimmy, AP, US Naval Academy, Democratic, Atlanta, Hulton, Democratic National Convention, Walnut, Theater, Ford, Getty Images, Department of Energy, West, Airlift, Camp, AFP, Getty, Democratic National Committee, White House, Ronald Reagan Library, Andrews Air Force Base, United Nations, Trinity Church, Summit, America's, Getty Images Cuban, University of Havana, Venezuelan, Department of Defense, Washington Post, White, Foreign, Korea University, North, South, Boston's Logan International Airport, Irish, Pyongyang University of Foreign Studies, Carter Center, Lincoln Memorial, Sunday School, Maranatha Baptist Church, Hurricane Relief, College, College Station ,, Secret Service, Atlanta Falcons, NFL, Former, The New York Times, Pew Research Center, Congressional Research Service, Security Locations: Cuba, Guinea, Iraq, Winnipeg, Canada, George H.W ., United States, Elk City , Oklahoma, Plains , Georgia, Atlanta, Georgia, New York, Washington, Philadelphia, Georgia's St, Florida, Panama, Vietnam, Berlin, Maryland, Egypt, Israel, Pennsylvania, Vienna, Austria, Los Angeles, Arab, Wiesbaden, West Germany, Iran, Pakistan, Afghanistan, AFP, New, Asan , South Korea, Havana, Oslo, Norway, Caracas, Venezuela, American, Connecticut, Boston, Maputo, Mozambique, DC, Ghana, Gaza, Seoul, South Korea, North Korea, Johannesburg, Jerusalem, Sheikh, Pyongyang, Chicago, College Station, College Station , Texas, Nashville , Tennessee, Plains
Tim Walz, Harris’ running mate, for applying the state’s tobacco tax to Zyn, a nicotine pouch popular with young men. The ad ends with a pro-Trump influencer telling a Trump rally: “Trump 2024, that’s it. And advisers caution that while they are focused on messaging specifically to reach young men, they see a larger universe of target voters. Getty ImagesOn Saturday, the Harris campaign launched “Athletes for Harris,” highlighting endorsements from 15 NFL Hall of Famers. “The neglect of the issues of men, especially young men, has really been going on for quite a while now, and it’s going to take some serious work to persuade young men that we really do have their backs,” he said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Ross Morales Rocketto, Harris, , Gen, Richard Reeves, , It’s, Trump, Dana White, Theo Von, influencer Logan Paul, Ross, “ Barron, Trump’s, Sen, JD Vance, Vance, Tim Walz, Harris ’, “ Trump, ” Trump, Walz, Tim ”, Logan Paul, Brian Hughes, ” Hughes, ” “, ” Harris ’, Roe, Wade, I’m, ” Sen, Bob Casey, ” Mark Cuban, Ohio Sen, Governor Walz, Joe Rogan’s, they’re, ’ Reeves, yardwork, Reeves, Rocketto, Mike Nellis Organizations: Democratic, Trump, White, NBC, American Institute for Boys, Minnesota Gov, Boys, Trump “, Democratic Party, NBC News, IGN, NFL, Major League Baseball, Ohio, of Famers, NBA, UFC, National Locations: America, R, Ohio, Minnesota, Philadelphia
While it was an asset to Biden in polling against Trump, it appears to be a much bigger advantage for Harris. And in this new NBC poll, Harris’ advantage was just under 20 points. It’s obvious at this point that Trump will win men by close to double digits, ditto with Harris among women. But many voters have seen "Vice President Kamala Harris" as a fresher candidate, including those who previously viewed Trump as a better steward of the economy. That would spell doom for Democrats' Senate majority.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, hasn’t, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden, Republican Bill McInturff, Jeff Horwitt, Biden, Clinton, Roe, Wade, Dobbs, George W, Bush, “ Bidenomics, I’d, don’t, it's, It’s, he’s, Trump’s, he’ll, Jim Justice, Joe Manchin, Democratic Sen, Jon Tester, doesn’t, won’t Organizations: Trump, NBC, Republican, Hart Research, NBC News, Biden, Democratic, Republicans, nab, Senate, GOP Gov, Democrat, Democrats, GOP Locations: Trump, Arizona, North Carolina, stoke, Montana, Florida, Texas, Maryland , Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia, Ohio, Maryland, Maine, Kansas, Alaska, , Georgia, Michigan, New Hampshire , Colorado, Ohio , Pennsylvania
Trump is “immensely happy with JD’s performance,” said a person who speaks with Trump and is familiar with his thinking. “I didn’t discuss it with JD, in all fairness,” Trump said when pressed on the issue during his debate last week with Vice President Kamala Harris. “I know from experience, nobody speaks for Donald J. Trump except for Donald J. Trump, right?”“Vice President Pence viewed his role as a translator for President Trump to traditional Republican audiences,” a Trump ally said. 2Short also believes the relationship between Vance and Trump is different than the one Pence and Trump had prior to their falling out. “He loves that he has a smart person with balls who doesn’t only do Fox,” a person close to the campaign said.
Persons: Sen, JD Vance, Donald Trump’s, , Trump, ” Vance, Vance weren’t, Vance, , Vance “, Garrett Ventry, Elise Stefanik, ” Trump, Mike Pence, Pence, Trump’s mildest, Kamala Harris, Marc Short, ‘ JD, ’ ” Vance, Dana Bash, “ He’s, Kari Lake, Marjorie Taylor Greene, podcaster Shawn Ryan, Joe Biden’s, Barack Obama, Brian Hughes, ” Hughes, Harris, Biden, recapping, obsequious Trump, , Donald J, ” “, ” Trump’s, Mike, I’m, he’s, septuagenarian Trump, brags, Vince Lombardi —, JD, “ ‘ Lombardi, Organizations: NBC News, Republican, Trump, U.S, Capitol, Press, CNBC, Arizona GOP, JD, NATO, Yale Law School, Green Bay Packers Locations: , Springfield , Ohio, Raleigh , North Carolina, Springfield, “ State, Kari, Ukraine, Russia, America, Raleigh, Ohio
QB Tiers rangesTier Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4 Movement Moved down Moved up New to Tiers Not in '23 Tiers Same tier Expand all Collapse all Loading Try changing or resetting your filters to see more. Photo: Ryan Kang / Getty Images Tiers over time Annual votes by tier Tier 1 Same tier 2 Joe Burrow Bengals Cincinnati 2024 Tier Voting Avg. Photo: Kathryn Riiley / Getty Images Tiers over time Annual votes by tier Tier 3 Same tier 18 Deshaun Watson Browns Cleveland 2024 Tier Voting Avg. Photo: Cooper Neill / Getty Images Tiers over time Annual votes by tier Tier 3 Same tier T20 Geno Smith Seahawks Seattle 2024 Tier Voting Avg. Photo: Chris Unger / Zuffa LLC / Getty Images Tiers over time Annual votes by tier Tier 4 Same tier T26 Anthony Richardson Colts Indianapolis 2024 Tier Voting Avg.
Persons: Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Jordan Love, San Francisco 49ers ’ Brock Purdy, Houston Texans ’ C.J, Stroud, Mahomes, , Toney, , Tom Brady, , He’s, Brady, Ryan Kang, Joe Burrow, Burrow, Kirk Cousins, he’s, Cooper Neill, Josh Allen, Allen, Joe, Sam Howell —, Trevor Lawrence, Kathryn Riiley, Lamar, Jackson, Todd, Monken, Patrick Smith, Matthew Stafford, Stafford, recommitment, “ He’s, Matt Stafford, Sean, Rey Del, Justin Herbert, Herbert, “ Herbert, Aaron Rodgers, Jim Harbaugh, “ Harbaugh, I’ve, Rodgers, Achilles, it’ll, Tom Brady’s, Bobby Slowik, , Tim Warner, Prescott, Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger’s, Dan Marino, Peyton Manning, “ Dak, Jared Goff, It’s, Goff, “ They’ve, they’ve, Tua Tagovailoa, “ Goff, I’m, Junfu, Shane Steichen, Tua, Kellen Moore, Jason Kelce, Brock Purdy, Purdy, Colin Kaepernick, “ Purdy, it’s, “ I’m, Kurt Warner, ” Warner, Brock, Kyle Shanahan, Shanahan, Cousins, Kirk, ” Cousins, Michael Penix Jr, Michael Penix, Kevin C, Cox, ” Love, Squeaking, Mike McDaniel, Kyle Shanahan’s, ” Purdy, Tagovailoa, “ Tua, Lawrence, ” Lawrence, Lawrence —, I’d, Perry Knotts, Kyler, Murray, ‘ Kyler Murray, ” Murray, Marvin Harrison Jr, Deshaun Watson, Watson, Ken Dorsey, ” Watson, Nick Cammett, “ Baker, Baker, Mayfield, Mike Evans, moxie, Nic Antaya, Derek Carr Saints, Carr, Jon, Gruden, “ Gruden, Derek Carr, Smith, Russell Wilson, “ Trevor Lawrence, Justin Fields, Geno Smith, Wilson, Pete Carroll, Sean Payton, Mike Tomlin, Tomlin, “ Tomlin, Payton, Russ, Let’s, Joe Sargent, Daniel Jones, Jones, “ I’ve, Drew Lock, Daniel Jones ’, Malik Nabers, DK Metcalf, Jacoby Brissett, Peter Joneleit, Justin, you’ve, Justin K, Seattle’s Smith, “ Nobody, “ Gardner Minshew, Minshew, Aidan O’Connell, Chris Unger, Anthony Richardson, Richardson, marveled, Cam Newton, ’ ”, “ Shane Steichen, “ Richardson, Shane, Todd Rosenberg, ” Levis, “ I’ll, Carson Wentz, Mac Jones, Frank Reich, Dave Canales, Bryce Young, David Jensen, Sam Darnold, Darnold, J.J, McCarthy, Kevin, I’ll, ” Darnold, Stephen Maturen, Brissett, Kevin Stefanski, “ Jacoby, Alex Van Pelt, Drake Maye, Jaiden, David DeChant, Marc Mazzoni, Dan Goldfarb, John Bradford, Skye Gould, Ray Orr, Amy Cavenaile Organizations: NFL, Baltimore Ravens, Green Bay Packers, San Francisco 49ers, Houston Texans ’, Patrick Mahomes Chiefs Kansas, 0pts, Voters, Philly, Super, Chiefs, EPA, Joe Burrow Bengals, Burrow, , Josh Allen Bills Buffalo, Lamar Jackson Ravens, Ravens, Kansas City, Matthew Stafford Rams, Stafford, Rams, Rey Del Rio, Justin Herbert Chargers, Chargers, Aaron Rodgers Jets, Rodgers, Jets, . Stroud Texans, Stroud, Baltimore, Texans, Dak Prescott Cowboys, Niners, Packers, Cowboys ’, Prescott, , Jared Goff Lions, Eagles, Alabama, College Football, Brock, Brock Purdy 49ers San Francisco, 1.2pts, 49ers, Detroit, Purdy, Kirk Cousins Falcons, Falcons, Atlanta, Jordan Love Packers, Dallas, Green Bay, Cowboys, Tua Tagovailoa Dolphins, Miami, AFC East, Trevor Lawrence Jaguars Jacksonville, Jaguars, Kyler Murray Cardinals, Cardinals, Murray, Deshaun Watson Browns, Browns, Cleveland, Baker Mayfield Buccaneers Tampa, ” Voters, Derek Carr Saints New, Mayfield, NFC, Saints, Buccaneers, Geno Smith Seahawks Seattle, Seattle, Russell Wilson Steelers Pittsburgh, of Fame, Steelers, Daniel Jones Giants New, Giants, Justin Fields Steelers, Bears, Gardner Minshew Raiders, Indy, Colts, Minshew, Raiders, Anthony Richardson Colts, Health, Levis Titans, Titans, Levis, Bryce Young Panthers Carolina, Panthers, Jacoby Brissett Patriots, Patriots, Getty Images, USA Locations: San Francisco, Baltimore, Mahomes, Burrow, Matthew Stafford Rams Los, Tier, Justin Herbert Chargers Los, Green Bay, Stroud, , what’s, USA, Oklahoma, Cleveland, Atlanta, Jackson, Lawrence, Kyler Murray Cardinals Arizona, Arizona, Houston, Derek Carr Saints New Orleans, Seattle, Pittsburgh, Wilson, Denver, Cam, Levis, Carolina, Sam Darnold Vikings, New York, Minnesota, New England
Donald Trump and Joe Biden come into Thursday’s presidential debate as incredibly well-known quantities defined by shared unpopularity and competing weaknesses. But their most important liabilities — for the incumbent, his decrepitude and his record on inflation; for the challenger, an unfitness distilled and confirmed by the events of Jan. 6 — feel too well known to be worth discussing further until we see what happens on the stage. Maybe Biden’s entire campaign will implode when he answers a question about inflation with a Grandpa Simpson ramble about the price of a frozen custard on Rehoboth Beach in 1968. Maybe Trump will turn into Colonel Jessep under Jake Tapper’s questioning and claim full responsibility for the 2021 riot at the Capitol. But before the two men meet with those or other destinies, it’s worth giving some space to their crucial secondary weaknesses, the places where each candidate’s support might be undermined among those “double-hater” voters who regard each candidate’s primary liabilities as canceling the other’s out.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Grandpa Simpson ramble, Trump, Jessep, Jake Tapper’s Locations: Rehoboth Beach
Who among us are the most willing to jettison democratic elections? Which voters not only detest their political adversaries, but long for their destruction? These questions are now at the heart of political science. Who, then, falls into this subset of partisan sectarians? The authors cite a set of nine polling questions that ask voters to assess their feelings toward members of the opposition on a scale of 1 to 6, with six the most hostile.
Persons: ” Eli Finkel, Jamie Druckman, Alexander Landry of Stanford, Jay Van Bavel, Rick H, Hoyle, Duke, Locations: Northwestern
The Louisiana secretary of state has ordered that the congressional map be finalized by May 15. Even so, they said, it was evident that creating a second district with a majority of Black voters was lawmakers’ overarching objective. But in the map drawn by the Republican-controlled Legislature, only one of the six congressional districts had a majority Black population. The ruling reaffirmed the Voting Rights Act of 1965, which had been diminished over the years by the court’s conservative majority. Critics of Tuesday’s ruling argued that the repercussions in Louisiana could extend beyond a single election, or even partisan divisions.
Persons: , Critics, Eric H, Holder Jr, Liz Murrill, “ I’ve, , David C, Joseph, Robert R, , Carl E, Stewart, , Tuesday’s, Ashley Shelton, Ms, Shelton Organizations: Black, U.S . Constitution, National Democratic, Republican, U.S, Supreme, . Constitution, State Legislature, Lawmakers, U.S ., Appeals, Fifth Circuit, American, Western, Western District of, Louisiana Legislature, voters, Power Coalition for Equity, Justice Locations: Louisiana, U.S ., ., Baton Rouge, Shreveport, Western District, Western District of Louisiana, Black, U.S
Credit Credit... The focus was a sign of how political the president’s address had been — and how central Mr. Trump is to Mr. Biden’s own political future. Video transcript Back bars 0:00 / 0:56 - 0:00 transcript In its decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, the Supreme Court majority wrote the following. Image Mr. Biden spoke at times in what seemed a near-shout during his State of the Union address. The morning of the State of Union began with an ad from Mr. Trump’s super PAC questioning if Mr. Biden would live to 2029.
Persons: Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden’s, ’ —, Troy Nehls, Kenny Holston, , Vladimir V, Putin, , Mr, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Doug Mills, heckles, Greene, , Laken Riley, — Laken Riley, legals —, ’ Mr, Kate Cox, Latorya Beasley, Jill Biden, Roe, Wade, We’ll, we’ll, ” Roe, I’ve, chuckles, I’m, We’ve, we’ve, Nancy, Donald Trump Jr Organizations: Union, Capitol, Mr, New York Times, Republican, Credit, Associated, New York, Republicans, Democratic, Alabama, State of Union, Trump’s Locations: Wilmington, Russia, Europe, Russian, China, Georgia, Venezuelan, Texas, Alabama, America
This unwillingness to contemplate a presidential vote for Trump isn’t confined to voters in the earliest states. I did not vote for Biden the last time; I don’t know that I could do it this time. Many of the voters who said they wouldn’t vote for Trump as the nominee aren’t Republicans at all. Voter turnout in primaries and caucuses, particularly ones that are relatively uncompetitive, is typically lower than it would be in a general election. —-AP VoteCast is a series of surveys conducted among 1,597 Republican caucus voters in Iowa, 1,989 New Hampshire voters who took part in the Republican primary and 2,466 Republican primary voters in South Carolina.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump’s, Lee, Bill Baltzell, Trump's, Nikki Haley, Biden, , Trump, Lee Baltzell, I’ll, Linda Binkley, isn’t, “ I’m, ___ Bedayn Organizations: WASHINGTON, AP VoteCast, Trump, Democratic, New, New Hampshire voters, South, Republican Party, Biden, Trump . ”, Trump ”, Trump voters, New Hampshire, Republican, The Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Centennial , Colorado
Opinion | Who Really Stands With American Workers?
  + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Paul Krugman | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
And how many blue-collar workers will support Trump in the false belief that he’s on their side? Naturally, that’s not the way Trump tells the story. In September, during an autoworkers’ strike, Trump, addressing workers at a nonunion Michigan auto parts factory, declared that he had saved an auto industry that was “on its knees, gasping its last breaths” when he took office. The day before, by contrast, Biden joined union workers on the picket line. When Trump took office, the auto industry had already regained most of the ground it had lost during the Great Recession.
Persons: uncommitted, Biden’s, Donald Trump, Benjamin Netanyahu, Biden, Trump, , that’s, Obama Organizations: Trump Locations: Michigan, Gaza
In New Hampshire, more than 4-in-5 Haley voters said Trump would not be fit to serve again if convicted and that Biden had legitimately won. In that poll, two-thirds of Haley voters in Iowa said they would not vote for Trump in a general election; that number soared past three-fourths of her voters in New Hampshire. One key reason: fully 93% of all GOP-leaning voters said they disapproved of Biden’s performance as president. Madrid believes Biden’s record on immigration is the biggest obstacle to him harvesting support among the Republicans uneasy about Trump. Lake doesn’t agree that any single issue is critical for Biden with the kind of GOP voters who have rallied to Haley.
Persons: Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump, Haley, Biden, Joe Biden, Haley –, Trump, , Smith, Michael Madrid, “ Trump, , SSRS, “ Donald Trump, that’s, Alan Abramowitz, Ron DeSantis, it’s, Democratic pollster, Biden’s, ” Madrid, Haley herself, ” Jennifer Horn, MAGA …, ” Jim McLaughlin, Trump’s, McLaughlin, Bill McInturff –, , Lake, Jean Carroll, , Taylor Swift, Chris Wilson, Republican pollster, Wilson, ” Wilson, Lake doesn’t Organizations: CNN, South Carolina Republican, Trump, White, GOP, Republican, Democratic, Trump Lincoln Project, Washington Post, University of Maryland, Capitol, CBS, Republicans, NBC News, Republican Party, South, Emory University, Florida Gov, Edison Research, Haley Iowa, Monmouth University, , Biden, New Hampshire Republican, NBC, AP Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, California, Madrid, Washington, South Carolina, ” Madrid, McInturff, Lake, Trump
NEW ORLEANS (AP) — The Louisiana Legislature's redrawn congressional map giving the state a second mostly Black district is being challenged by 12 self-described “non-African American” voters in a new lawsuit. At least one person, state Sen. Cleo Fields, a Black Democrat from Baton Rouge, has already said he will be a candidate in the new district. It is not clear how the lawsuit will affect that district or the 2022 litigation, which is still ongoing. Louisiana's Legislature drew a new map in 2022 that was challenged by voting rights advocates because only one of six U.S. House maps was majority Black, even though the state population is roughly one-third Black. As the case was appealed, the U.S. Supreme Court issued an unexpected ruling in June that favored Black voters in a congressional redistricting case in Alabama.
Persons: Sen, Cleo Fields, John Bel Edwards, Shelly Dick, Jeff Landry, Edwards, Garrett Graves, Landry's, Nancy Landry, David Joseph, Donald Trump Organizations: ORLEANS, American, Republican, Democrat, Louisiana's, ., U.S, Supreme, Black, Circuit, Appeals, Gov, GOP, Republicans Locations: Louisiana, Lafayette, Baton Rouge, Alabama, Shreveport, Black, Western
WASHINGTON (AP) — House Speaker Mike Johnson took a strong stand Friday against a bipartisan Senate deal to pair border enforcement measures with Ukraine aid, sending a letter to colleagues that aligns him with hardline conservatives determined to sink the compromise on border and immigration policy. Johnson, a Louisiana Republican, said that the legislation would have been “dead on arrival in the House” if leaked reports about the legislation were true. He later clarified that he was still supportive of pairing border measures with Ukraine aid — an arrangement that Senate Republicans initially demanded to gain their votes for funding Ukraine's war. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, a hard-right Republican of Georgia, has threatened to initiate an effort to oust Johnson if he put the Senate deal on the House floor. “This bill represents Senate Republican leadership waging war on House Republican leadership,” said Sen. Ted Cruz, a Republican of Texas, at a news conference this week.
Persons: Mike Johnson, Johnson, Donald Trump, “ Rather, Biden, Mitch McConnell, Joe Biden, Alejandro Mayorkas “, Greg Abbott, Vladimir Putin's, Marjorie Taylor Greene, , Sen, Ted Cruz, ” Sen, Markwayne Mullin, ” Mullin, you’re Organizations: WASHINGTON, , Louisiana Republican, Republican, Republicans, White, Russia, Democratic, impeaching Homeland, Texas Gov, Border Patrol, Ukraine, Trump, Oklahoma Republican Locations: Ukraine, Louisiana, Trump, Israel, Europe, Georgia, Texas, Oklahoma
“There is no Ken without Barbie, and there is no ‘Barbie’ movie without Greta Gerwig and Margot Robbie, the two people most responsible for this history-making, globally celebrated film,” Ryan Gosling said. Her first three films as a solo director — “Lady Bird,”“Little Women” and “Barbie” — have all been nominated for best picture. One likely factor: the increasingly international composition of the film academy. After Ben Affleck went unnominated for directing 2012's “Argo,” voters rallied around his movie, ultimately handing Affleck the Oscar for best picture. Whether the same effect could follow “Barbie" will be one of the biggest questions leading up the Academy Awards.
Persons: , Barbie ”, Greta Gerwig's, Ken, Barbie, Greta Gerwig, Margot Robbie, ” Ryan Gosling, Hillary Clinton, Greta, “ Barbie, “ Oppenheimer, Jimmy Kimmel, “ Jimmy Kimmel, , Gosling, Robbie, Gerwig, , Lady Bird, Kathryn Bigelow, Zhao, Jane Campion, Bird, Noah Baumbach, “ Barbie ”, Robbie didn't, ” snubs, Mary McNamara, Barbie ’, Robbie’s Barbie, Justine Triet, Palme, Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer, Martin Scorsese, Jonathan Glazer, Yorgos, — Gerwig, Alexander Payne, Lanthimos, Glazer, Celine Song's “, Shannon Watts, “ Oscar, Ben Affleck, Affleck, Oscar, Billie Jean King, Jake Coyle Organizations: Twitter, Academy of Motion Pictures Arts, Sciences, Gerwig, Los Angeles Times, Locations: Europe
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