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☆ Why experts are skeptical of Elon Musk’s lofty pro-Trump predictions based on early vote data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Marshall Cohen | Ethan Cohen | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Partisans from both sides routinely cite early voting data to promote their candidates and express optimism or try to juice turnout based on supposedly weak numbers. Like many political observers, including at CNN, Musk has noticed the better-than-2020 GOP performance in early voting in North Carolina, Nevada and other key states. Registered Republicans make up about 32% of the early vote in Pennsylvania so far, up from 21% at this point in 2020. The improved GOP position in early voting that Musk highlighted is happening in other states as well. Not all registered Republicans will vote for Trump, and not all registered Democrats will back Harris.

Persons: Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, ”, won’t, David Becker, Trump, Musk, ” Becker, would’ve, isn’t, Ben Ginsberg, “, ” Ginsberg, Harris, ” Isaac Saul Organizations: CNN — Tech, –, Election Innovation, Research, Trump, ” Trump, CNN, Musk’s, Pennsylvania, Republican National Committee Locations: Pennsylvania, Virginia, Pennsylvania –, North Carolina , Nevada, New Jersey, Catalist, North Carolina, Arizona

Conservatives also say Johnson, who was a rank-and-file member up until this point, hasn’t broken their trust yet. “Kevin was in a very difficult situation when that happened,” Johnson told CNN. But it wasn’t enough to win them over; the House Freedom Caucus took an official position against the plan. “Speaker Johnson must reassert his authority in this fight,” Freedom Caucus Chairman Scott Perry, a Pennsylvania Republican, said ahead of the vote. “I think if you’re going to oust a speaker of the House from your conference, the red line should remain the same for the next speaker,” Greene said.

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“I personally would like to see the inquiry happen (this) week,” the Georgia Republican told CNN. The two chambers are hundreds of billions dollars apart and divided over controversial social issues that House Republicans have tacked on to their spending bills. “I am against a continuing resolution in any form or fashion,” Gonzales told CNN. “There is a constitutional and legal test that you have to meet with evidence,” Johnson told CNN. If McCarthy again defers an impeachment vote, it could enrage the right.

Persons: Kevin McCarthy, Joe Biden, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Biden, “, capitulating, Donald Trump, McCarthy, Steve Womack, –, hasn’t, Tony Gonzales, Womack, “ McCarthy, Dusty Johnson of, “ He’s, I’ve, Anna Moneymaker, It’s, Ben Cline of, ”, ” Johnson, ” Gonzales, I’m, Gonzales, Bob Good, Al Drago, Greene, ” Greene, Ken Buck, don’t, Johnson, Sen, Marco Rubio, ” Rubio, West Virginia Republican Sen, Shelley Moore Capito, ” Capito, impeaching Biden, Trump, ” Rep, Dusty Johnson, Alex Brandon, Cline, Matt Gaetz, Gaetz, @aoc, eric, Lauren Boebert, defers, ” Womack Organizations: CNN, Federal Aviation Administration, GOP, Georgia Republican, “, Biden, Republicans, Dusty Johnson of South Dakota, ”, Building, Department of Justice, Caucus, Freedom Caucus, Senate, Senate Democrats, Fox Business, Republican, Bloomberg, Getty, House Republicans, –, Street Caucus, Florida Republican, West Virginia Republican, Capitol Locations: Washington, Ukraine, That’s, Arkansas, Tony Gonzales of Texas, Dusty Johnson of South, Washington , DC, Ben Cline of Virginia, Virginia, Ken Buck of Colorado, Florida, South Dakota, ”, Colorado

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