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☆ 3 reasons to worry about July’s weak jobs report — and 1 reason not to panic
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-03 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The Federal Reserve now has egg on its face after it kept interest rates near a quarter-century high earlier this week. By now, there’s ample evidence that the job market, a key driver of the US economy, has lost steam. Here are three reasons to be worried about July’s shockingly weak jobs report — and one silver lining. Consumer demand itself also hasn’t weakened just yet, despite the highest interest rates in more than two decades. Generally, the Fed makes its decision congruent with what’s going on with inflation or the job market.

Persons: , July’s, ’, ”, Claudia Sahm, Sahm, Elizabeth Crofoot, Alicia Wallace, Jerome Powell, ” Crofoot, ” Michael Gapen, Matt Egan, weren’t, ” Truist’s Keith Lerner, they’ll, hasn’t, ” Chris Rupkey, Alan Blinder, Paul Krugman Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Bloomberg, Bank of America, Dow, Nasdaq, Wall, Investors, Labor, Citigroup, JPMorgan Locations: New York, decelerate, American

☆ Stocks surged during the first half of 2024. What’s next?
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Much of the S&P 500’s gains were concentrated in the Magnificent Seven big tech names, while other stocks lagged behind. Coming into this year, Wall Street projected that the Fed would ease rates as many as six times in 2024. What could be in store for the stock market during the second half of 2024? “I feel very, very good about the values of my three children, and I have 100% trust in how they will carry things out,” Buffett told the Journal. Previously, Buffett had said his will stated that more than 99% of his estate was earmarked for philanthropic usage to the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and the four charities connected to his family: the Susan Thompson Buffett Foundation, Sherwood Foundation, Howard G. Buffett Foundation and NoVo Foundation.

Persons: there’s, Bell, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, you’ve, It’s, we’re, it’s, I’d, That’s, Warren Buffett, Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Melinda Gates, ” Buffett, Susan Thompson Buffett, Howard G, Read, Matt Egan, unstuck, —, Michael Gapen Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Wall, Fed, Berkshire, Wall Street, Melinda Gates Foundation, Gates, Susan Thompson Buffett Foundation, Sherwood Foundation, Buffett Foundation, NoVo Foundation, Gates Foundation, Bank of America, CNN Locations: New York, America

☆ The housing market is ‘stuck’ until at least 2026, Bank of America warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Economists at Bank of America warned this week that the US housing market is “stuck and we are not convinced it will become unstuck” until 2026 — or later. And mortgage rates may not fall much — even if the Federal Reserve finally delivers long-delayed interest rate cuts. There isn’t a magic fix,” Michael Gapen, head of US economics at Bank of America, told CNN in a phone interview. However, Bank of America expects housing starts — which is a measure of newly constructed homes — to remain flat for the coming years. Divide between haves and have-notsThe forecast for a “stuck” housing market cuts both ways.

Persons: unstuck, —, Michael Gapen, “ It’s, ”, ‘, Dave Liniger, ” Liniger, Liniger, “ Don’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, CNN, ”, ” Bank of America, Gallup Locations: New York, America

☆ A bigger pool of American workers could continue to slow inflation even further
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-03 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Now, as the Federal Reserve faces the final stretch of its historic inflation battle, a bigger pool of workers could slow inflation even further. That then begs the question: How much more can better labor supply slow inflation? The US Labor Department releases January figures on job openings, quits, hires and layoffs. The US Labor Department reports the number of new applications for jobless benefits in the week ended March 2. China’s National Bureau of Statistics releases February inflation data.

Persons: Mary Daly, “, ” Sarah House, Michael Gapen, That’s, Jack Bantock, ’, ”, Richard Felton, Thomas, ’ ”, Patrick Harker, Ross, Nordstrom, Michael Barr, Campbell Soup, Foot, Jerome Powell, Loretta Mester Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, National Association for Business Economics, Labor, CNN, Bank of America, White House’s Council, Economic Advisers, English Premier League, Chelsea, Burnley, Philadelphia Fed, Target, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, US Commerce Department, Abercrombie, Fitch, Financial Services, The Bank of Canada, US Labor Department, Broadcom, Costco, Eagle Outfitters, Potbelly, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, European Central Bank, Cleveland Fed, National Bureau of Statistics Locations: Washington, San, Wells, United States, London, JD.com, Kroger, Burlington, DocuSign

☆ US economy will soon start losing 175,000 jobs a month, Bank of America warns
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-10 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN Business —The Federal Reserve’s fight to squash inflation will cause the US economy to start losing tens of thousands of jobs a month beginning early next year, Bank of America warns. ‘Mild’ recessionSome forecasters are more bullish on the state of the jobs market. The Conference Board said Monday its employment trend index, a combination of leading job market indicators, ticked up last month. Bank of America expects the unemployment rate will top out at 5.5% next year, well below the peak of nearly 15% in April 2020. “Although nobody wants to be callous about someone losing their job,” Gapen said, “this could be classified as a mild recession.”

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