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The stock market has always pulled back when valuations are stretched as they are now, according to Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen in a note to clients this week. "[T]urning points can happen quickly, and … when valuations are stretched to start with, there can be limited scope for further gains," Allen noted. "[E]xamples of high returns through history have often been followed by sizeable reversals." The bank cited lofty current readings in the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) ratio developed by economist Robert Shiller, arguing that "the CAPE ratio for the S&P 500 has only been higher on two other occasions in the last century" than it is today. "Indeed, on both the occasions the CAPE ratio has got as high as it is today, there was then a significant correction."

Persons: Henry Allen, Allen, Robert Shiller, — Scott Schnipper Organizations: Deutsche Bank

☆ For some wealthy travelers, fall is the new summer
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Brittany Chang | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Some luxury travel agencies say more travelers are vacationing in the fall instead of summer. Fall vacations are becoming trendyMore people are booking fall-time Airbnbs for leaf-peeping destinations like Acadia National Park. Paris, France is a popular destination for fall travelers. AdvertisementEuropean countries like France are popular with fall travelers. Positano, Italy Tom Murray / Business InsiderBefore the rise of shoulder-season vacations, travelers wanted to chase the best weather, Grumbach said.

Persons: —, Misty, John Greim, Hopper, Jackie Roth —, Scott Dunn, Scott Dunn —, — Scott Dunn Private's, Alexander Spatari, Roth, Julie Durso, Airbnb, Kelly Grumbach, Melissa Biggs Bradley, Indagare, Melissa Krueger, Convento, Anantara Convento, Estelle Vassallo, Italy Tom Murray, Grumbach, they're Organizations: Service, Misty Belles, Getty, Scott Dunn Private, Belles Locations: Portugal, Rome, Athens, Acadia, New York, Maine, Europe, Paris, France, Italy, United Kingdom, Tuscany, Cagliari, Sardinia, Amalfi Coast, Sicily, Capri, Amalfi, Positano

As boarding, tickets, and pilot communication channels were affected by the outage, passengers were hit with delays and cancellations. AdvertisementScott Sanders, a passenger at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, told Business Insider that people were sleeping on the ground due to the disruption. Sanders' flight to Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport (CVG) had been scheduled to depart on Thursday at 10:55 p.m. 'Tired and hopeless'At Los Angeles International Airport, Sarah Patterson experienced a similar disruption. "We sat on the tarmac for an hour, and they said it was a technical issue with Microsoft," Ebule told BI.

Persons: —, Scott Sanders, Sanders, t4nCH8Y6UD — Scott Sanders, Jordan van den Lamb, Lamb, Sarah Patterson, Patterson, w9trzshNST, Sarah, Ebule, Aditi Bharade Organizations: Service, Microsoft, Business, Tacoma International Airport, Northern, Northern Kentucky International, SEA, Hobart, Jetstar, Los Angeles International Airport, Spirit Airlines, Newark Liberty International Airport, LAX, Spirit, Melbourne Airport, Scoot, Singapore's, Singapore Changi Airport, IndiGo, BI, Amtrak, Speedway Locations: Delta, Seattle, Cincinnati, Northern Kentucky, Ohio, @SeahawkSanders, Tasmania, Washington ,, Australia, Singapore, Trains

☆ PGA Championship: Collin Morikawa, Xander Schauffele top crowded leaderboard
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-18 | by ( Gabherzig | Hugh Kellenberger | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

LOUISVILLE, Ky. — Scottie Scheffler has dropped off, but a crowded leaderboard still exists after Round 3 of the PGA Championship on Saturday. AdvertisementSchauffele, seeking his first major championship, has led after each round of the PGA Championship, but shares it for the first time with Morikawa, who is looking for major No. Shane Lowry (who shot a PGA Championship record-tying 62), Bryson DeChambeau and Viktor Hovland are tied for fourth at 13-under. Theegala ticking off his first major championship and contending on the biggest stage of his career. Justin Rose becoming the first Englishman to win the PGA Championship in 100 years.

Persons: — Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa, Xander Schauffele, Schauffele, Morikawa, Sahith, Shane Lowry, Bryson DeChambeau, Viktor Hovland, Justin Rose, Robert MacIntyre, Dean Burmester, Scheffler, bogeys, Ted Scott, Scott, Lowry, Hovland, Joe Mayo, MacIntyre, Hodges, Andrew Redington Organizations: PGA, Valhalla Golf Club, Ryder, Scheffler, Valhalla Locations: LOUISVILLE, Ky

☆ Asia markets rise after Wall Street soars on soft inflation data; Japan GDP shrinks
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

The best-performing "Magnificent Seven" stock halfway through the second quarter is Google and YouTube owner Alphabet , up about 14.15%. All four are outpacing the S&P 500, which has risen about 2.1%. By contrast, Microsoft (+0.6%), Tesla (-0.7%) and Meta Platforms (-1%) are all trailing the S&P 500 in the second quarter. The best-performing sector this quarter is the S&P 500 Utilities, up 9.9% and more than twice as much as second-ranked S&P 500 Communication Services, higher by 3.9%. S&P 500 Information Technology (+2.8%) is also outperforming the S&P 500.

Persons: — Scott Schnipper Organizations: Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Communication, Real Estate, Health Care

☆ The best Oscars bets: Who is expected to win at this year's Academy Awards
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-08 | by ( Madeline Berg | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThe stars won't be the only people with something on the line at the 96th annual Academy Awards on Sunday. With betting more accessible — and legal — than ever before, movie fans and living-room gamblers will be trying their luck. AdvertisementThat said, this year's Oscars are expected to attract more speculators than recently thanks to box office hits "Barbie" and "Oppenheimer." Still, the Academy Awards can be harder to game than sports, which have a bevy of statistics for people to pore over.

Persons: —, Jimmy Kimmel's, Margot Robbie's, Bill Speros, Oppenheimer, Speros, DraftKings, Austin Butler, Elvis, Brendan Fraser, Lily Gladstone, Gilbert Flores, Annette Bening, Sandra Hüller, Carey Mulligan, Maestro, Emma Stone, Cillian Murphy, Bradley Cooper, Colman Domingo, Rustin, Paul Giamatti, Jeffrey Wright, Christopher Nolan, Justine Triet, Martin Scorsese, Yorgos, Jonathan Glazer, Joy Randolph, Mary Lamb, Seacia, Da'Vine Joy Randolph, Emily Blunt, Danielle Brooks, Barbie, Jodie Foster, Robert Downey Jr, Sterling K, Brown, Robert De Niro, Ryan Gosling, Mark Ruffalo, Conde, Napoleon, Leonard Bernstein, Netflix's, Golda, Henry Sugar, John, Yoko, Barber, Indiana Jones, Billie Eilish, Finneas O'Connell, Diane Warren, Ken, — Mark Ronson, Andrew Wyatt, Jon Batiste, — Scott George Organizations: Service, Business, NBA, Super, American Gambling Association, Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, Netflix, Society, Music Locations: Ontario, —, United Kingdom, Italy, Japan, Spain, Germany

☆ Memes about a disastrous Willy Wonka-themed event are taking over the internet
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Olivia Singh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

AdvertisementUnsuspecting children attended a Willy Wonka-inspired event in Glasglow, Scotland with high hopes, but found themselves in a world of pure horror. Paul Connell, an actor hired to play Willy Wonka at the event, told The Independent that the script supplied was "15 pages of AI-generated gibberish." Since photos and videos surfaced online, X (formerly known as Twitter) has become inundated with memes about the catastrophic event. AdvertisementThe interactive lab area drew comparisons to a meth lab“Is that the-”“The meth lab from the Glasgow Willy Wonka Experience? This photo from the Willy wonka experience is single handedly the photo of the year.

Persons: Willy Wonka, —, it's, Roald Dahl, Paul Connell, Kirsty Paterson, Glasgow Willy Wonka, k9jdz3CWH0 — Adam, @adamgreattweet, Loompa, Hugh Grant, Willy wonka, twitter.com/tmc, kes, Kate Middl, aga, witt, r.com, ady, lanning their H, dre, anne Organizations: Service, Warner Bros, Independent, Glasgow, nk Locations: Glasgow, Glasglow, Scotland, erie, ves

☆ 40 Years Ago, This Ad Changed the Super Bowl Forever
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Saul Austerlitz | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

Four decades ago, the Super Bowl became the Super Bowl. It wasn’t because of anything that happened in the game itself: On Jan. 22, 1984, the Los Angeles Raiders defeated Washington 38-9 in Super Bowl XVIII, a contest that was mostly over before halftime. Conceived by the Chiat/Day ad agency and directed by Ridley Scott, then fresh off making the seminal science-fiction noir “Blade Runner,” the Apple commercial “1984,” which was intended to introduce the new Macintosh computer, would become one of the most acclaimed commercials ever made. It also helped to kick off — pun partially intended — the Super Bowl tradition of the big game serving as an annual showcase for gilt-edged ads from Fortune 500 companies. It all began with the Apple co-founder Steve Jobs’s desire to take the battle with the company’s rivals to a splashy television broadcast he knew nothing about.

Persons: George Orwell, Ridley Scott, Steve Jobs’s, — Scott, John Sculley, Steve Hayden, Fred Goldberg, Anya Rajah, JOHN SCULLEY, we’re, “ Organizations: Super Bowl, Los Angeles Raiders, Washington, XVIII, CBS, Apple, Fortune, Chiat, Businessweek, IBM Locations: Steve

"Not only are we seeing exuberance by investors, but certainly we're seeing exuberance by analysts," Yardeni said. "They dramatically increased their earnings expectations for Nvidia ," and that drove down the stock's forward P/E multiple to the 20s from the 80s. "But look, it's a hot stock, and it's probably going to remain a hot stock as long as AI delivers. I think it's going to take somewhat longer for AI to deliver as much as the market seems to expect." What's more, investors are expecting too many interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2024, Yardeni said.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, it's, we're, — Scott Schnipper Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Cisco

☆ How big should any one stock in your portfolio get? Here's a way to figure it out
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-05 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

We always recommend an investor's first $10,000 should go to an S & P 500 index fund. So one option for putting all your money to work without making any one stock position too big is to keep adding to your index fund. Or maybe you own five names at 8% each, 15% in cash, and the remaining 45% in an index fund. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Scott L, Jim, Josh Edelson Organizations: Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, CNBC, Apple's Worldwide, Afp, Getty Locations: Cupertino , California

☆ Asia stocks start the week mostly lower, ahead of key data from China and India this week
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Bullish sentiment among individual investors regarding the outlook for stocks over the next six months surged to 42% in the latest week, from 33.1% last week, and the first time the measure's been above the historical average (37.5%) since early August, according to the latest American Association of Individual Investors survey. Bearish sentiment sank to 29.6%, a four-week low, vs 34.5% last week. Neutral sentiment fell to a seven-week low of 28.2% from 32.4% last week. Bullishness also climbed in the weekly Investors Intelligence poll of financial newsletter editors and advisors earlier this week, rising to 49.3% from 43.1% last week. Bearishness rose a touch, to 21.9% from 20.8%, while those in the correction camp narrowed to 28.8% from 36.1%.

Persons: Bullishness, contrarians, — Scott Schnipper Organizations: American, of, Intelligence

☆ First investment, cost basis, selling 'dogs' — we answer 3 questions from members
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-16 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

We will only consider more general questions about the investment process or stocks in the portfolio or related industries. However, it's important to also consider a company's underlying fundamentals and not just the stock price. After all, price is what you pay and value is what you get, so it's important to consider whether the stock price reflects the business fundamentals. For us, that might be Apple (AAPL) and Nvidia (NVDA) as we've designated these "own, don't trade" stocks. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Jim Cramer, — Sandi D, — Scott K, you've, —, whittle, Jim, NVDA, — Keith, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer Rob Kim Organizations: investingclubmailbag, Investment Club, New Orleans, Apple, Nvidia, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC

☆ Interview: Amazon Web Services cofounder Charlie Bell dishes on why he moved to Microsoft, how he met Satya Nadella, and if he'll ever work on Azure
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Ashley Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Amazon Web Services cofounder Charlie Bell left in 2021 for a job at Microsoft. Many in the industry, including current and former Microsoft and Amazon executives, wonder whether there's a better job for Bell. In a rare interview with Insider, Bell discussed why he left Amazon, how he met Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, and whether he'll ever work on Azure. Wind the clock back to January of 2021, Jeff (Bezos) came to us and said, "Hey, I'm going to retire." The more I thought about it, the more I thought, "Well, Microsoft might be the place to do it."

☆ European markets head for positive open ahead of Fed rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Maybe Monday's stock market slide shows investors are finally tempering their optimism that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year to counterbalance an economic slowdown. Simply put, investors have bid up stocks since mid-March on a belief that the Fed will pivot policy, and cut rates by half a percentage point in reaction a shallow recession, BofA said. Unfortunately, the bank says such hopes will be dashed. "We see four risks this summer: an ugly debt ceiling battle, a significant tightening of bank credit, a geo-political event and disappointingly hawkish central banks. Hence a mild recession in the US—and flat growth in other major economies—will not trigger an immediate policy response," Harris wrote.

☆ 5 ways to make affordable housing for all in 2023 — from construction laws to mortgage financing
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-01 | by ( Kelsey Neubauer | Alcynna Lloyd | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

Houston has been able to keep its housing affordable in large part because of just this, he said. Jeff Tucker, the chief economist at Zillow, also told Insider that the biggest hurdle to affordable housing was "zoning reform." California has already done this when its citizens voted to pass Proposition 46, which provides funding specifically for affordable housing. It allocated just shy of $1 billion to the multifamily sector, according to CCIM, and is expected to see $13 billion in private funds be pushed into affordable housing. In July, Ginnie Mae, a federally-backed mortgage provider, specifically focused on affordable housing, requested that a manufactured home mortgage program be extended.

☆ Asia-Pacific shares poised to drop as investors continue to digest China's reopening news
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-28 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Emerging market value stocks are likely to return a real 9% per annum over the next seven years, while emerging market stocks as a whole are forecast to return 5.2% a year. International small-cap stocks are projected to return a real 4.5% while international large-cap stocks come in at 2.4% a year, after inflation. The U.S. isn't forecast to keep up, with U.S. small caps projected to shrink 1.4% each year after inflation, and U.S. large caps estimated to fall an average 1.8% annually over seven years. International bonds hedged against currency exposure are forecast to lose 1.8% a year and U.S. bonds to return -0.3%. At the start of 2022, GMO pegged emerging market value stocks to return +5% annually over seven years, emerging market stocks +2.2%, international small caps -1.2%, international large caps -2.5%, U.S. small caps -6.5% and U.S. large caps -7.3%.

WASHINGTON — Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is facing a brewing challenge to his position as the top Republican in the Senate. Going into the midterm elections Tuesday, McConnell appeared to have a firm grasp on the leader's job and Republicans appeared poised to take control of the Senate. Asked in January what his agenda would be if Republicans took control of the Senate, McConnell deflected. Don’t disenfranchise @HerschelWalker.”A Rubio adviser said the senator is concerned McConnell has not laid out a vision for the future. “The Senate Republican Conference must change the way it operates — regardless of the outcome of the still-pending elections," the letter states.

☆ Scott Peterson moved off California’s death row
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-25 | by ( The Associated Press | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +1 min

SACRAMENTO, Calif. — Scott Peterson has been moved off death row more than two years after the California Supreme Court overturned his death sentence for killing his pregnant wife two decades ago, corrections officials said Monday. Peterson was moved last week from San Quentin State Prison north of San Francisco to Mule Creek State Prison east of Sacramento. A new mug shot taken Friday shows Peterson, 50, with salt-and-pepper stubble compared to his previous clean-shaven look. Jurors imposed the death penalty after convicting Peterson of the first-degree murder of Laci Peterson, 27, and second-degree murder of the unborn son they were going to name Conner, dumping them into San Francisco Bay on Christmas Eve 2002. Peterson was mainly kept at San Quentin during that monthslong hearing process in part so he would have better access to his attorneys.

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