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☆ A 'silver tsunami' of retirement-age baby boomers is creating a big opportunity for real-estate investors, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementThe growing ranks of boomers aged 65-plus could spark a boom in the senior housing market. It says this will drive strong demand for senior housing facilities, including assisted living, independent living, skilled nursing, and memory care. "That makes senior housing a compelling option for investors looking to break away from traditional property investment." Census Bureau/Capital EconomicsMeanwhile, around 11% of those over the age of 65 are currently living in a form of senior housing, according to the American Senior Housing Association. Related storiesRents, meanwhile, are seeing a strong uptrend, thanks to the supply of senior housing growing tighter after the pandemic.

Persons: that's, Imogen Pattison, Pattison Organizations: Capital, Capital Economics, Census, American Senior Housing Association, MAP

☆ Why one veteran economist is doubling down on his 2025 recession call after Trump's victory
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

That's due to a recent contraction in the money supply, which preceded past downturns, he told NYSE TV Live. The US economy is still likely to slow into a recession next year — and Trump's election victory may have just made the economic outlook even more challenging, according to top economist Steve Hanke. AdvertisementM2, one class of the money supply, shrank from mid-2022 to March 2024, according to Federal Reserve data. The M2 money supply started to re-expand this year, rising 2.47% year-per-year at the end of September. Trump's protectionist economic policies also impose a "big negative" for the economy, Hanke said.

Persons: Steve Hanke, downturns, Johns Hopkins, who's, That's, Hanke, Trump Organizations: NYSE TV, NYSE, Federal Reserve, Real Locations: Atlanta

☆ 4 signs of re-inflation investors should watch out for, Charles Schwab says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementInflation's downtrend may not be as straightforward as some investors think, according to Charles Schwab. Immigration reform could mean higher labor costs," the note added. Labor costs risingLabor costs have accelerated in recent months, with unit labor costs among all workers in the business sector rising to 3.4% year-over-year in the third quarter, according to Federal Reserve data. Markets are beginning to dial back expectations for further rate cuts in response to inflation concerns," Schwab strategists said. Charles Schwab, Citi Economic Surprise Index"Stronger growth suggests that the Fed may not lower short-term rates as much as anticipated just a few months ago.

Persons: Charles Schwab, Donald Trump, Trump, Schwab, It's Organizations: Trump, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Federal Reserve, Unit, Bloomberg, Treasury, Business, Citi

☆ 5 charts showing Trump's immense post-election market impact
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Bank stocks in particular got a lift amid speculation of increased deal activity. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, EPFR2. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, EPFR3. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, EPFR4. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, Bloomberg5.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Stocks, Michael Hartnett, Gold, Crypto Organizations: Investors, Bank, Bank of America, BofA Global Research, Bank of America Global Investment, Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, Bloomberg Locations: outflows

☆ Trump's policies could usher in stagflation and send stock prices plummeting, 'Dr. Doom' economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Such a scenario would entail higher inflation, higher rates, and falling stock prices, Roubini predicted. "That's going to crowd economic growth, and bond yields above 5% would imply a correction of stock prices and negative impacts on the economy." AdvertisementOther experts have warned some of Trump's policies could lead to higher inflation and interest rates, with his tariff plan attracting significant criticism from economists. Some of Trump's policies — like his plans to loosen regulation — could prop up business activity and fuel growth, Roubini noted. "I think markets are still in a wait-and-see to figure out whether the policies are going to be hurting the economy," Roubini said.

Persons: Nouriel Roubini, Roubini, —, Donald Trump's, Doom, prognostications, Trump, Trump's, Taylor Rogers, hin, Stocks Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, stoke, Republican National Committee, Trump, Fed, Bank of America, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: China

☆ Americans' cost-of-living anxiety is creating a population of oversavers
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

That's largely due to anxiety about higher costs of living, especially in retirement, experts told BI. Many high-income Americans are hoarding cash and trying to cut costs anywhere they can. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Cost-of-living stressThe pace of inflation has cooled significantly, but many Americans—even wealthy ones—are still dismayed that many costs are still higher overall. AdvertisementExperts, though, say oversaving could hurt Americans trying to build wealth in the long run.

Persons: That's, —, spender, she's, I've, oversavers, Kitty Ritchie, Ted Rossman, Ritchie, he's Organizations: Service, of America, Drucker Wealth Management, Companies, Challenger, Michigan Locations: Michigan, America

☆ Why Russia's brain drain is the biggest problem facing its economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Russia's brain drain has become its economy's biggest problem, an economist told Business Insider. The long-lasting nature of brain drain makes the issue more serious than, say, inflation, which could be remedied by central bank maneuvering. Over the next decade, Russia's economy could devolve into one dependent mainly on its natural resources rather than on the most innovative industries, Portes speculated. That's similar to what other economic forecasters have predicted, with some warning Russia's economy could become de-industrialized as its resources are siphoned off by the war. Advertisement"It will be reduced to a resource economy, a natural resource economy," he said of Russia's future.

Persons: —, Richard Portes, they've, Portes Organizations: Service, London Business School, Russia, French Institute of International Relations, Business, Institute of Economics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Labor, Russian, UC Berkeley Locations: Russia, Ukraine

☆ Trump is about to make the Fed's job a lot harder
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Donald Trump's election victory is set to make the Federal Reserve's job more difficult. His tariff and immigration plans are expected to stoke inflation, complicating the Fed's policy decisions. Trump has also said he'd like a say in setting monetary policy, which would erode Fed independence. Donald Trump's election win brings his vision of hefty trade tariffs and a sweeping immigration crackdown closer to becoming reality. A study from the Peterson Institute of International Economics said interfering with the Fed's independence could cost the economy $300 billion and drive inflation higher.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, —, it's, Glen Smith, Smith, Paul Krugman, Trump's, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: stoke, Service, Treasury, GDS Wealth Management, Fed, Fed Trump, Peterson Institute of International Economics, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Trump Locations: China

☆ The odds of Russia's economy collapsing are 'extremely small' and the war can go on for the long term, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Russia's war economy ins't in imminent danger of collapse, economist Vladislav Inozemstev said. AdvertisementRussia may stand a better chance at sustaining its war economy than previously thought. "The people realize that the 'war economy' has substituted the anemic economic condition of the 2010s." Inozemstev said he expected Russia's economy to continue to grow in 2025 and beyond, forecasting 2%-2.5% GDP growth next year. The International Monetary Fund has said it is expecting Russia's economy to expand by 3.6% in 2024.

Persons: Vladislav Inozemstev, —, Inozemstev Organizations: Service, Middle East Media Research Institute, Kremlin, Monetary Fund Locations: Russia, Russian, Soviet Union

☆ Chip fever has created an $11 billion debt market backed by Nvidia's AI-enabling GPUs
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Top Wall Street lenders have created a big debt market back by red-hot Nvidia GPUs. A report from the FT says firms have made billions in loans to companies that use Nvidia chips as collateral. AdvertisementTop Wall Street firms have loaned billions to a handful of tech companies that have used Nvidia's artificial intelligence-enabling GPUs as collateral, The Finanacial Times reported. According to the FT, big financial institutions including BlackRock, Blackstone, Pimco, and Carlyle, have made over $11 billion in loans to "neocloud" companies, tech companies that provide cloud services to other tech firms building AI products. There are concerns, though, over the value of Nvidia's GPUs, with the price of existing AI chips potentially coming down as more advanced models are released and as companies potentially dial back AI spending.

Persons: —, Carlyle, Willy Wonka's Organizations: Nvidia, FT, Service, Finanacial Times, BlackRock, Blackstone, Lambda Labs, Leasing, Business Locations: Wall

☆ Commercial real estate is flashing signs that the worst of the distress is over, Blackstone president says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The worst is behind the commercial real estate sector, according to Blackstone's Jon Gray. AdvertisementThe worst of the commercial real estate turmoil looks to be over, Blackstone president Jon Gray says. Related stories"We said in January, publicly on earnings, that we thought commercial real estate was bottoming. So they're saying to themselves, 'Real estate, oh, I got all this troubled real estate. "If you were an investor in real estate after the financial crisis, you would have made a lot of money.

Persons: Blackstone's Jon Gray, there's, Blackstone, Gray, —, Jon Gray, Goldman Sachs, we've, didn't Organizations: Service, Blackstone Locations: CRE, Europe, Asia

☆ Russia faces a crisis regardless if Putin ends or continues the war in Ukraine, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Russia faces a crisis whether it continues the war or not, economist Alexander Mertens says. War spending has been a major boost to Moscow's GDP growth and wealth, and ending the war will be tricky. If Russia continues the war, the economy looks on track for a "severe recession" and long-running stagnation, Mertens said. "The current state of the Russian economy is far from critical but it does present Putin with a dilemma. The Russian economy is not yet close to collapse, but it is increasingly dependent on wartime conditions and faces growing risks of overheating."

Persons: Alexander Mertens, —, Vladimir Putin, Mertens, Merten, Putin, That's Organizations: Service, Kyiv's International Institute of Business, Ukraine, Atlantic Council, Russian National Welfare Fund, Kremlin, International Monetary Fund Locations: Russia, Ukrainian, Ukraine

☆ The US economy is in for a double shock if Trump is elected president, Nobel economist Paul Krugman says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Trump's policies could leave the US economy with two major challenges, Paul Krugman said. Krugman pointed to Trump's economic plan, which economists have described as inflationary. Trump's deportation plans could also hit the economy, given that immigration has boosted the job market. AdvertisementThe US could be in for twin shocks if Trump becomes president for a second time, Nobel economist Paul Krugman said. Trump's general economic plan is also widely thought to be more inflationary than Harris's.

Persons: Paul Krugman, Krugman, —, Trump, Harris Organizations: Service, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Financial Times, University of Chicago, American Immigration, New York Times Locations: York

☆ Meta earnings live updates: Wall Street bullish on the firm's long-term prospects; analysts watching for AI guidance
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The company is expected to report revenue of $40.25 billion. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Meta will report its earnings for the third quarterafter the closing bell, and Wall Street is feeling upbeat heading into the results.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Meta, Facebook Locations: Wall

☆ Bringing manufacturing back to the US is a $10 trillion opportunity for the economy, Morgan Stanley says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Morgan Stanley estimated that bringing manufacturing back to the US could add $10 trillion to the economy. The bank pointed to a 20-year stagnation of the industrial economy as production was sent offshore. AdvertisementThe US economy could unlock trillions in value over the next decade if more manufacturing activity comes back to the US, according to Morgan Stanley. The Biden administration, meanwhile, has poured billions into its push to increase chip production in the US and boost the manufacturing and industrial sectors. The cumulative effects could be "pretty profound" across the US economy, Snyder said, with the boost to industry and manufacturing bound to raise GDP.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, —, Chris Snyder, Snyder, Morgan Stanley's, Trump, Biden Organizations: Service, Biden, of Supply Management, Commerce Department, Economic

☆ How national security panics in Russia could stifle innovation and hurt its economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-27 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Spy mania in Russia has created an environment that's stifling innovation, sources told BI. "You do have an inhibition on risk-taking, innovation," Portes told BI on the intensifying pursuit of foreign agents in Russia. Russia's economy is showing some signs that the kind of risk-taking associated with innovation and entrepreneurship is on the decline. Innovation in Russia has fallen behind the nation's level of development, according to a 2024 ranking from the World Intellectual Property Organization. We have plenty of examples in history where a war economy can keep on going, even though everything is crumbling around it.

Persons: —, Ivan Pavlov, Pavlov, Richard Portes, Portes, Sergei Guriev, Guriev, Constant Organizations: Service, Human Rights Watch, London Business School, Intellectual, Organization, Russian, Russia, World Bank Locations: Russia, Russian, Europe, Moscow, Ukraine

☆ Commercial real estate foreclosures jumped almost 50% in September, report says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Commercial real estate foreclosures spiked last month. AdvertisementCommercial real estate foreclosures jumped on a monthly and year-over-year basis in September, according to real estate data and analytics firm ATTOM. Commercial foreclosures saw the biggest year-over-year increase in California, with foreclosures on commercial buildings soaring 238% from the same time last year. In New York, foreclosures rose 48% year-over-year, while in Florida, foreclosures rose 49% year-over-year. Related storiesReal estate experts have been warning of more distress to come for commercial real estate, particularly in the office segment.

Persons: ATTOM, — Organizations: Service, Mortgage, Association, International Monetary Fund Locations: California, ATTOM's, New York, Florida

☆ Tesla stock surges 18% after stellar earnings, one of its biggest gains in years
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Tesla shares rallied as much as 18% on Thursday after the company reported strong earnings. The carmaker reported better-than-expected auto margins and gave strong guidance for 2025. The jump on Thursday marks one of Tesla's biggest intraday percentage gains in years. Others on Wall Street, though, raised questions about other aspects of Tesla's business. "TSLA offered no details on a CY25 model, no details on improved FSD, and no details on its plans for Optimus.

Persons: Tesla, —, Elon Musk's carmaker, Aaron, Morningstar, Musk, we're, TSLA Organizations: Service, Elon, Wedbush Securities, Wall, Optimus Locations: China, CY25

☆ Wall Street keeps raising price targets for sky-high Nvidia stock. Here's why analysts are still so bullish.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Bank of America and Goldman Sachs are among the banks that have raised price targets in recent weeks. AdvertisementNvidia stock is trading at record highs, but that's not deterring top Wall Street analysts from being bullish. Goldman Sachs, $150 price targetGoldman analysts raised their price target to $150 from $135 a share, implying 6% upside from the stock's current levels. AdvertisementStrategists said they changed their price target after a meeting with Huang. Bernstein, $155 price targetBernstein raised its price target to $155 a share shortly after the chipmaker reported its second-quarter earnings in August.

Persons: Blackwell, Goldman Sachs, —, Jensen Huang, Goldman, Huang, CFRA, Angelo Zino, NVDA, Zino, Bernstein, Rasgon Organizations: Nvidia, Bank of America, Service, Wall, Bank, Blackwell, Accenture, Microsoft, ServiceNow, Foundry, CNBC Locations: bullish, CY23, Blackwell

☆ The economic 'no landing' could drive the S&P 500 to a 13% gain in 2025, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The bank is adding to the growing numbers of forecasts for a "no landing" of the US economy. Inflation will remain low enough to leave room for the Fed to cut interest rates, boosting stocks. The job market is proving resilient, despite tighter financial conditions and higher interest rates. AdvertisementCooling price growth sets the stage for the Fed to continue cutting interest rates, UBS said, which is bullish for stocks. The strategists added that while investors may see some volatility ahead of the November election, it's unlikely to interrupt more positive market catalysts.

Persons: — Organizations: UBS, Fed, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New

☆ Here's where investors worried about a stock market bubble should put their money, according to a top economist
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors worried about a market correction should adjust their portfolios, David Rosenberg says. The top economist has warned stocks are in a bubble and at risk of a major decline. Investors need to exercise caution and avoid following the "herd mentality," Rosenberg said, pointing to the fervor for mega-cap tech stocks. Instead, he said, investors should focus on stocks with strong business models, strong growth, and good prices, and add some "insurance" to their portfolios. Most forecasters on Wall Street still expect a strong performance from equities into year-end and 2025.

Persons: David Rosenberg, —, who's, he's, Chuck Prince, Rosenberg, REITs, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Utilities, Aerospace, UBS, BMO, Deutsche Bank Locations: —

☆ Stocks are nearing a major peak and a more 'disturbed' period of weak returns is ahead for investors, CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Grant said stocks could soon enter a period of weak returns, possibly for "many years." AdvertisementThe bull market in stocks looks like it's close to the top, according to an investment chief. AdvertisementSentiment and position indicators are also flashing signs investors are overexcited about the stock market, Grant said. The 3-month moving average of year-ahead stock market expectations has climbed to its highest on record, according to Conference Board data. That suggests there's little "cushion" in the event the stock market declines or experiences a shock, Grant said.

Persons: Michael Grant, Grant, —, subpar, Morgan Organizations: Calamos Investments, Service, Conference, Board, Federal, Federal Reserve, Governors, Morgan Research, Bloomberg, Investors

☆ California's economic growth is slipping behind Texas as the Lone Star state draws corporate HQs and people
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Erin Snodgrass | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Texas' economy is growing faster than California's as it woos big companies and new residents. But some Texas residents are feeling increasingly fed up and priced out of the state. That figure is even stronger for the fourth quarter of 2023, which saw Texas' GDP grow at an annual rate of 5% — a jump that Texas Gov. Its $3.9 trillion GDP accounts for 14% of the national GDP, according to the report. Some Texas residents are less happyAs Texas' economy soars, some residents are feeling increasingly fed up and priced out.

Persons: —, Greg Abbott, California's, Tesla, Charles Schwab, Abbott, Elon Musk, CBRE, Jennifer Sor, Austin Organizations: Service, Lone Star, Public, Institute of California, Public Policy Institute, Texas Gov, Bureau, Oracle, State for, Chevron, Gov, Fortune, Texas, Nvidia, Golden State, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Texas realtors, BI Locations: Texas, While California, California, , Texas, State for Texas, Palo Alto , California, Austin, Dallas, Fort Worth, Arlington

☆ China's retirement crisis is here, and Beijing will be forced to keep raising the retirement age, demographer says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

China has no choice but to keep raising the retirement age for workers, according to Yi Fuxian. AdvertisementChina has a retirement crisis on its hands, and the nation will probably be forced to keep raising the retirement age for workers to stave off demographic imbalances, according to a demographer. Those trends led China to recently raise the mandatory retirement age for workers, the first time the nation has raised its retirement age in decades. "Given the severity of its demographic crisis, China will need to keep raising its retirement age, potentially fueling civil unrest and political instability," Yi said. China's main pension fund could be depleted by 2035, according to a 2019 estimate from the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

Persons: Yi Fuxian, —, Fuxian, Yi Organizations: Service, Syndicate, Bank, nation's Ministry of Civil Affairs, China National, Ageing, United Nations, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Reuters Locations: China

☆ Oil prices could soar 62% by early 2025 if the geopolitical situation deteriorates, Citi strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The price of oil could hit $120 a barrel by early 2025, according to Citi. AdvertisementOil prices could soar more than 60% by early next year if conflict in the Middle East continues to escalate, according to Citi. The bank said oil prices could go as high as $120 per barrel in the first quarter of 2025, implying a 62% increase. The forecast is Citi's bull case for oil, which hinges on conflict in the Middle East escalating and sparking disruptions to supply. Oil prices could fall as much as 33%, Saudi Arabia's oil minister said in a recent conference call, adding that he believed OPEC+ producers were pumping too much oil.

Persons: —, Israel, Eric Lee, Lee, we're Organizations: Citi, Service, Brent, Yahoo Finance, United Arab Locations: Israel, Iran, Russia, Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, OPEC, East, Saudi

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