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The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) has jumped nearly 5% since the fourth quarter began on Oct. 1, while the S & P 500 is ahead a little more than 1%. In the event of a Trump win but with a divided Congress, the S & P 500 is likely to remain flat in the days following the election, Emanuel wrote. Evercore ISI expects the S & P 500 falling in the 10 days after the election, to roughly 5,700, as markets re-price their expectations. 3Fourteen Research co-founder Pies expects a Harris win would translate into a drop in cyclical and small-cap stocks, and spur investors to turn to high-quality tech names. However, a Harris win, with a split Congress, is an outcome that could spur a drop in the S & P 500 immediately after the election, down to about 5,525, according to Evercore ISI.
Persons: Stocks, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Mike Mullaney, Trump, Harris, Julian Emanuel, Warren, CNBC's, Emanuel, Evercore, Jeff Schulze, Evercore ISI's Emanuel Organizations: U.S, Nasdaq, NBC, Boston Partners, Treasury, Trump, Republican, Regional Banking, Evercore ISI, 3Fourteen Research, Democratic, ClearBridge Investments, ISI
There is uncertainty abound about the future direction of the stock market heading into what many say is the most important presidential election of our lifetimes. In the elevated volatility levels that began in late September heading into the election. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX in black) trades with an inverse relationship to the S & P 500. As the S & P 500 goes lower, people become fearful as they buy put option protection pushing the general level of option prices (both puts and calls) higher. This creates the inverse relationship of VIX and S & P 500.
Persons: NVDA, we'll, we're, Todd Gordon, Gordon, Schwab Organizations: Nvidia, Google, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: NVDA
ByteDance founder Zhang Yiming for the first time has emerged as China's richest person, according to a list compiled by Hurun Research Institute, leaving behind Nongfu Spring Chairperson Zhong Shanshan who has topped the rankings for three years. Midea founder He Xiangjian and CATL's CEO Zeng Yuqun took fifth and sixth places on the list. "The Hurun China Rich List has shrunk for an unprecedented third year running, as China's economy and stock markets had a difficult year," said Rupert Hoogewerf, Hurun report chairman and chief researcher. The current rich list predominantly comprises entrepreneurs from the technology, consumer electronics and new energy space, from what used to be dominated by real estate developers, Hoogewerf noted. "The stories of the individuals on the Hurun China Rich List tell the story of the Chinese economy," he said.
Persons: Zhang Yiming, Zhong Shanshan, Zhang, Zhong, ByteDance, Hurun, Ma Huateng, Colin Huang, Xiangjian, Zeng Yuqun, Rupert Hoogewerf, Hoogewerf, ByteDance's Zhang, Huang Organizations: Hurun Research Institute, Nongfu, Research Locations: Shanghai, China
Citi forecasts an expected total return of 33% for the name. Earlier this month, JPMorgan raised its price target on the name to $195, which corresponds to a potential upside of 41% from Monday's close. Citi also highlighted Ally Financial as a stock to buy, and the firm sees an expected total return of 48% for the name. Shane's $40 price target is nearly 14% higher than where shares of Ally closed on Monday. Wlodarczak's $170 price target implies a potential upside of 46% for the stock.
Persons: Russell, Scott Chronert, Said, Matthew Boss, Hollister, Richard Shane, Shane's, Jeffrey Wlodarczak Organizations: Citi, megacap, Federal Reserve, Citi U.S, Abercrombie, Fitch, JPMorgan, Entertainment, Research Locations: Monday's
This is the first in a five-part series about the impact both Trump and Harris presidencies could have on US consumers. To date, Trump and Harris have outlined specific policy proposals that will impact different parts of the stock market. The guide covers four specific asset classes, and is divided between the Trump and Harris impact on each. Advertisement"Our upbeat projections for the stock market in 2024 and 2025 are predicated on a view that hype over AI will continue to fuel a stock market bubble," the research firm said. And since presidential actions usually impact rates, the bond market will be shaped by what either Trump or Harris end up doing.
Persons: Harris, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Today's, they're, BofA, It's, Financials, Trump's, Trump, Peter Berezin, Joe Biden's, Bonds, Crypto, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, bitcoin, Chhugani, Harris Harris, she's, I'm, Larry Fink, Biden, it's Organizations: Trump, Service, Business, Wall, Bank of America, Allies, Foundation, BCA Research, Harris, Democratic, Economics, Capital, Federal, Harris Capital Economics, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, bitcoin, BlackRock, Capital Economics, Fed Locations: China
Chinese tech company Baidu garnered interest among investors following a 28% year-to-date drop in its share price — but one market watcher is unimpressed. For comparison, the Nasdaq Composite is up around 25.4% year-to-date, while the benchmark S & P 500 index is around 22.5% higher. According to FactSet data, of the 46 analysts covering the stock, 35 give it a "buy" or "overweight" rating, at an average price target is $125.41. BIDU YTD mountain Year-to-date shares in Baidu Among the reasons for Hsu's skepticism, is that Baidu as an internet search engine "is a one trick pony." "Baidu was riding high for a short while but ... the AI story may have sunset on Baidu and it will go back to being a one trick pony."
Persons: that's, Jason Hsu, CNBC's, Ernie Bot, Hong, Hsu —, , Hsu, Baidu Organizations: Baidu, Rayliant Global Advisors, Nasdaq, China Equity ETF Locations: China
The S & P 500 typically advances about 7% from November to April, compared to the index's average 2% rise from May to October, according to CFRA Research chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. This year's market strength follows a standout 20% gain for the S & P 500 in 2023's "best six months" period, he noted. "This double-dose of double-digit returns has caused investors to wonder if the market has used up its energy reserves and may be headed for tough times," Stovall wrote. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has advanced more than 22% in 2024. Stocks were bhigher on both Friday and Monday , with the S & P 500 trading within a hair's breath of this month's all-time high of 5864.67.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Russell, Stocks, Stovall Organizations: Stock Traders, Research, Investors Locations: U.S
Vietnam's long wait for emerging market status could soon be over. The Southeast Asian nation is currently classified as a frontier market and has been on the FTSE emerging market watchlist since 2018. An upgrade to emerging market status could see global funds pouring billions into Vietnam's financial market which currently has a market value just north of $200 billion. Speaking to CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" before the confirmation, Maybank Investment Bank Vietnam's Head of Equity Research Thanh Quan Trong said that the FTSE upgrade for Vietnam to emerging market status could come as early as September 2025. "We are seeing good progress in Vietnam fixing the regulatory bottlenecks to get the market upgraded to emerging market status," Trong told CNBC.
Persons: Equity Research Thanh Quan Trong, Pham Minh, Trong Organizations: FTSE, Russell, Maybank Investment, Vietnam's, Equity Research, FTSE Russell, CNBC, World Bank, Vietnam's Institute for Economic, Research Locations: Vietnam
Instead of going with 529 plans, we went with UTMA custodial accounts instead; here's why. Here's why we decided UTMA accounts were best for our family situation. UTMA accounts are flexibleWhile 529 plans must be used for education-related expenses, the options for UTMAs are much broader. Like 529 plans, UTMA account contributions are post-tax, meaning that income taxes have already been paid on the money being deposited. AdvertisementWe realize 529 plans would give us more direct control over our children's spending, but sooner or later, they're going to have to grow up.
Persons: , Andy Esser, Edward Jones, Esser, that's, haven't, We're Organizations: Service, Business
The Street is looking for Stanley Black & Decker sales of $3.8 billion in the third quarter and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.05. The Street is looking for Linde sales of $8.35 billion in the third quarter and EPS of $3.89. In addition to the headline results and forward guidance, overall organic sales growth and data center energy power demand will be focus items for investors. The Street is looking for sales of $94.47 billion in its fiscal fourth quarter and EPS of $1.55. The Street is looking for Coterra sales of $1.3 billion in the third quarter and EPS of 34 cents.
Persons: That's, It's, Stanley Black, Decker, we're, We're, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Amy Hood's, Brian Niccol, Wednesday's, Linde, it's, we'll, Phillips, Horton, Kraft Heinz, SIRI, Estee Lauder, BUD, Cardinal Health, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Stephanie Keith Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Fed, PCE, YouTube, Justice, AMD, GE Healthcare, Reality Labs, Microsoft, Management, Starbucks, U.S, Presidential, Linde, Apple Intelligence, Amazon, Services, Coterra Energy, WM, Cadence Design Systems, Labor, PayPal, BP, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean Cruises, JetBlue, HSBC, Devices, Grill, Electronic Arts, EA, Gross, Caterpillar, Brinker International, AFortive Corporation, Illinois Tool, Coinbase, eBay, EBAY, Booking Holdings, MGM Resorts, MGM, Bausch Health, LIN, Merck, ConocoPhillips, Mastercard, Altria, Cruise, Myers Squibb, Comcast, Mobileye, Cheniere Energy, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Intel, United States Steel, Juniper Networks, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Dominion Energy, Charter Communications, LyondellBasell Industries, Cardinal, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Eaton, Corning, Illinois, Bristol, New York City
Monday Ford Motor is set to report earnings after the bell, followed by a conference call at 5 p.m. What history shows: Bespoke Investment Group data shows Ford beats earnings expectations 68% of the time. What to watch: Meta is in a good spot heading into this week's report, according to Bernstein's Mark Shmulik. Microsoft is set to report earnings after the close, with a conference call on deck for 5:30 p.m. Amazon is set to report earnings after the market close, with a conference call at 5 p.m.
Persons: Edison Yu, Yu, BioNTech, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Hari, LSEG, Bernstein's Mark Shmulik, Morgan Stanley's Keith Weiss, AAPL, KeyBanc, Justin Post Organizations: Apple, Ford Motor . Pharmaceutical, Pfizer, Corporate America, Monday Ford, LSEG, Ford, AMD, Cloud Service, Google, Microsoft, Windows, CNBC, Management, Amazon Web Services, Bank of America, Amazon Locations: Temu, .
For all we know, the yield curve may simply be going through the birthing of an un-inverted yield curve. GOOGL YTD mountain Alphabet YTD Search used to be so simple. META YTD mountain Meta Platforms YTD Meta Platforms has run big ahead of the quarter. AMZN YTD mountain Amazon YTD Let's get to the two toughest of the week, Amazon and Apple. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: let's, Eli Lilly, nonfarm payrolls, Carl Quintanilla, batty, Jeff Marks, Waymo, Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Department's, Mark Zuckerberg, Jensen Huang, Marc Benioff, Trump, Warren Buffett, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, Apple, Treasury, Federal Reserve, charlatans, Honeywell, Twitter, Club, Gemini, YouTube, Google, Donner Party of cannibalization, AMD, Nvidia, Intel, Merck, Pfizer, Tech Titans, Meta, Amazon Web Services Locations: Wall, cyclicals, California, Philly
The stepped-up push by some of the world’s most influential Big Tech leaders to speak with the former president ahead of Election Day comes amid an exceptionally tight race between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. And it’s the latest sign of the greater business community seeking to rekindle a relationship with the former president in anticipation of a potential second term. I don’t want to have him, his administration, going after us,’” a person close to Trump told CNN. “If you look at Google lately, I think you’re going to see they’ve become much more inclined towards Trump,” the former president told conservative radio host Hugh Hewitt. “Let me tell you: All of those companies will be set free, if you have the right president,” Trump said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Tim Cook chatted, Trump, Sundar Pichai, , ” Trump, Joe Rogan’s, Andy Jassy, Mark Zuckerberg, Kamala Harris, Elon Musk, Musk, , Evan Vucci, Jassy, Jeff Bezos, Michael M, Zuckerberg, he’s, Joe Biden’s, , Hugh Hewitt, “ They’re, Cook, ” CNN’s Clare Duffy, Kate Sullivan Organizations: CNN —, Trump, Apple, Las, Google, Republican, Amazon, CNN, Meta, Big Tech, Mar, Department of Justice, Silicon, Washington Post, Getty, Associated Press, titans, Facebook, Biden’s Department of Justice, Economic, of Chicago, European Union Locations: Europe, Las Vegas, Pennsylvania, Butler , Pennsylvania, New York City, Austin , Texas, Menlo Park , California, Harris
Nvidia dethroned Apple as the world’s most valuable company on Friday following a record-setting rally in the stock, powered by insatiable demand for its specialized artificial intelligence chips. Nvidia’s stock market value briefly touched $3.53 trillion, slightly above Apple’s $3.52 trillion, LSEG data showed. Nvidia ended the day up 0.8%, with a market value of $3.47 trillion, while Apple’s shares rose 0.4%, valuing the iPhone maker at $3.52 trillion. In June, Nvidia briefly became the world’s most valuable company before it was overtaken by Microsoft and Apple. Shares of Nvidia, Apple and Microsoft have an outsized influence on the richly valued technology sector as well as the broader U.S. stock market, with the trio accounting for about a fifth of the S&P 500 index’s weight.
Persons: OpenAI, , Russ Mould, AJ Bell, ” Nvidia’s, TSMC, Rick Meckler, Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Western Digital, , chipmaker, Huawei, Federal Reserve, Cherry Lane Investments Locations: United States, China, New Vernon , New Jersey
For Gen Z, retirement is 40 or 50 years away, but now is the perfect time to start saving. Four financial experts shared their top strategies to kick-start retirement savings. Or, it may seem difficult and anxiety-inducing, especially as Gen Z juggles student loan debt, high costs of living, and a tough job market. AdvertisementBusiness Insider asked four wealth advisors for their best tips and tricks on how Gen Z can maximize their retirement savings, starting now. Basic budgeting strategies, such as keeping housing costs at 30% or lower of your total paycheck, can also create a strong foundation for retirement savings, Crowell said.
Persons: , Zers, Z, Gen Z, there's, Andrew Crowell, Davidson, Crowell, Zer, Gen Zers, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, Roth, haven't, Ashley Weeks, Weeks, Alanna Morey, Morey Organizations: Service, Social Security, Bank of America, D.A, Roth IRA, Equity, Bank
John Hussman warns of poor S&P 500 returns over the next 12 years. Current expectations have the S&P 500 underperforming Treasurys by 9.9% annually over the next 12 years. But valuations are causing skepticism about future market returns among others on Wall Street, even if not to the same degree. Related storiesEarlier this week, Goldman Sachs forecast that the S&P 500 would average 3% annual returns over the next decade. His Strategic Growth Fund is down about 55% since December 2010 and has fallen 16% in the past 12 months.
Persons: John Hussman, , you'll, you'd, Hussman, Hussman's, it's, Goldman Sachs, It's Organizations: Treasurys, Service, Hussman Investment Trust
In what some analysts are calling the “show me the money” quarter, most of the major US tech titans will report earnings during Halloween week. “Tech companies have been spending billions on AI like kids in a candy store,” said David Laut, chief investment officer at Abound Financial. “Now investors want to see what they’re getting for their money.”Earnings season for tech got off to a strong start Wednesday evening when Tesla surprised Wall Street with better-than-expected earnings. The results sent Tesla’s shares surging more than 11% in after-hours trading, potentially setting a positive tone for next week’s parade of tech earnings. But there’s more spooking Wall Street than just tech earnings.
Persons: , David Laut, Tesla, Tesla’s, Jim Reid, Dan Ives Organizations: New, New York CNN, Google, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Nvidia, “ Tech, , ChatGPT, Reserve, Deutsche, Wedbush Securities Locations: New York, Canada, France
The taxable income formula subtracts the greater of the standard or itemized deductions from your adjusted gross income. Here's what investors need to know about planning around the 0% capital gains bracket, according to financial experts. Weigh 'tax gain harvesting'If you're sitting on profitable investments, the 0% capital gains bracket could offer a chance for "tax gain harvesting," said certified financial planner Ashton Lawrence, a director at Mariner Wealth Advisors in Greenville, South Carolina. Here's how it works: Investors in the 0% capital gains bracket can strategically sell profitable brokerage account assets without triggering capital gains taxes. Opt for tax-free rebalancingYou can also leverage the 0% capital gains bracket to rebalance brokerage account assets without triggering a tax bill, experts say.
Persons: dowell, Ashton Lawrence, Lawrence, George Gagliardi Organizations: Mariner Wealth Advisors, Coromandel Wealth Management Locations: Greenville , South Carolina, Lexington , Massachusetts
Here's how the process could work and what Wall Street bankers stand to gain. AdvertisementAs third-quarter earnings demonstrated, Wall Street dealmaking appears to be bouncing back after three years of lackluster activity. Spokespersons for both Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley declined to comment or confirm their reported participation in the project. The two investment bankers – neither of whom are affiliated with Goldman, Morgan Stanley, OpenAI, or Microsoft — requested anonymity to preserve industry relationships. Largely speaking, however, Wall Street is poised to win, Roberts said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, , OpenAI, , Morgan Stanley's, PwC, Michael Roberts, Morgan, Roberts, Wharton, dealmaker, Sam Altman, Altman, Elon Musk, Reed Alexander Organizations: Service, Wall Street Journal, Microsoft, The, BI, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Goldman, Wall Street, Wharton, dealmakers, Apple, Tesla Locations: San Francisco, Silicon Valley
The S & P 500 is down 0.9% week to date, on pace to snap a six-week advance. There may be more turbulence next week as the election draws closer, but history shows all is not lost for the market. The week of the election itself, the broad market index has seen a median gain of 0.56%. In 2020, the S & P 500 dropped 5.6% the week before the election, then rallied 7.3% the week of the vote. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, KeyBanc downgraded Apple to underweight, citing concerns around the company's iPhone sales.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, KeyBanc Organizations: U.S, CNBC, America Economic Survey, CNBC Pro, Apple
Outside of technology giants like Nvidia and Apple, you may not have heard of many of the top 10 publicly traded companies that delivered the highest 25-year total return to their investors. A few years later, on October 22, 1999, its stock price had risen slightly to over $3. If you had invested $10,000 in the company at that time, your investment would be worth nearly $9 million as of October 22, per CNBC's calculations. Nvidia has experienced meteoric growth in the value of its stock over the past quarter century as well. A $10,000 investment in Nvidia made 25 years ago would be worth a little over $32 million now.
Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Corporation, CNBC
Until this week’s pullback, the market’s recent performance told a remarkable story. The S&P 500 rose for 37 of the last 51 weeks, matching a record reached in both 1989 and 2004. Political uncertaintyWith polls showing a tight race for the White House, investors have been increasingly on edge about the prospect of former President Donald Trump winning the election. While polls remain effectively dead even, political betting markets have swung in Trump’s favor since the start of this month. Deutsche Bank analysts warn that the recent rally may be difficult to sustain given these historically high valuations.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, ” Steven Ricchiuto, Henry Allen, it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Dow, Nasdaq, White House, Mizuho Securities, , Deutsche Bank, Apple, Microsoft, Presidential, Federal Locations: New York, Israel
Investors will contend with earnings results from five of the Magnificent Seven companies next week. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 "I sort of refer to this period that we're in right now as like a strange brew," said Mark Malek, investment chief at Siebert. On Friday, the Nasdaq Composite hit an all-time high , but the S & P 500 snapped a six-week win streak. In fact, the high concentration of the mega-cap leaders in the S & P 500 spurred Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this month to release a dim long-term forecast for the overall market. HSBC head of equity strategy Nicole Inui upped her S & P 500 year-end target to 5,900.
Persons: Mark Malek, Siebert, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Siebert's Malek, they've, Nicole Inui, Inui, D.R Horton, Price, Eli Lilly, Lauder Organizations: Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Big Tech, HSBC, FactSet, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Ford, Semiconductor, Caesars Entertainment, Devices, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean Group, PayPal, ADP, Kraft Heinz, Caterpillar, GE Healthcare Technologies, Holdings, ECI Civilian Workers, PCE, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, Cruise Line Holdings, Uber Technologies, Lauder Companies, Mastercard, Generac, Jobs, PMI, Manufacturing, Exxon Mobil Locations: U.S, Chicago
European stock markets are heading for a lower open Friday, rounding off a largely negative week for global stocks as third-quarter earnings season has ramped up. The pan-European Stoxx 600 has shed 1.14% in the week to date, though managed a slight gain Thursday. Corporate results have proven a mixed bag, with many banks beating expectations but investor sentiment remaining wary. On Friday, Mercedes reported a 64% plunge in operating profit in its core cars division, blaming "weaker macroeconomic conditions and fierce competition, mainly in Asia." High-end European drinks firms are being hit by higher duties on their Chinese exports, in a retaliatory move for European Union tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles.
Persons: Mercedes, Remy Cointreau Organizations: European Locations: Asia, U.S
“Taiwan's membership at the IMF would help boost financial resilience,” the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in Washington said during this week's IMF and World Bank annual meetings. Taiwan also is seeking to participate in the U.N. World Health Organization's annual World Health Assembly and join Interpol. But China, which sees Taiwan as a breakaway province and threatens to annex it by force, has blocked such efforts and insists it represent Taiwan in international forums. The island is now designated as “Taiwan Province of China” in IMF literature. The U.S. House has approved a bill that would direct the United States to advocate for Taiwan’s IMF membership.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Bo Li, Patrick McHenry, ” McHenry, Young Kim, Fatima Hussein Organizations: WASHINGTON, , International Monetary Fund, IMF, Cultural, World Bank, U.S, Health Assembly, Interpol, U.S . State Department, People’s Bank of China, Taiwan Academy of Banking, Finance, U.S . House, Democrats, North Carolina Republican, Financial Services, United Nations, Associated Press Locations: — Taiwan, Poland, Taipei, Washington, Taiwan, U.S, China, Taiwan Province, United States, Japan, Taiwan Strait, Beijing, Kosovo, Europe
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