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But the raucous event in Pickens also showed the enduring power of his personality and feral political appeal to GOP base voters. The state of the raceAs early as it is, some of the big questions that will decide the 2024 GOP primary are beginning to be answered. Even with his support among GOP voters appearing to soften in CNN’s post-indictment poll, there’s little sign it’s affecting his position in the race. While this may reinforce perceptions among GOP primary voters that he’s a victim, it could remind other voters of the possibility of a convicted felon serving as president. Still, Kennedy’s appeal shows that a distrust of Washington institutions, experts and a political system many voters fear has failed them, is no longer exclusively reserved for Republican primary voters.
Persons: Donald Trump, Pickens, ” Trump, Trump, ” Steve Cortes, DeSantis, Mike Pence, Obama, Clinton, Biden, it’s, , Sen, Lindsey Graham –, , Chris Christie, Asa Hutchinson, Will Hurd, Lindsey Graham, president’s, — DeSantis, he’s, I’ll, ” Cortes, , Buttigieg, Still, — Biden, Robert Kennedy’s, didn’t Organizations: CNN, America, Republican, GOP, DeSantis, , Trump, NBC, Labor, FBI, Justice Department, New, New Jersey Gov, Arkansas Gov, Texas Rep, PAC, White, Democratic Locations: South Carolina, Florida, Iowa, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Arkansas, Manhattan, Washington
CNN —A spokesman for a super PAC backing Ron DeSantis acknowledged that the Florida governor and GOP presidential candidate is “way behind” in national polling and is “fighting uphill” to defeat former President Donald Trump in the 2024 primary. “Right now, in national polling, we are way behind. It’s an uphill battle.”DeSantis has been trailing Trump in polling for months, but Cortes’ admission was a moment of surprising candor from a top DeSantis operative. Cortes said the indictments against the former president, which DeSantis has condemned as political “weaponization,” have given Trump a comfortable lead. “If we do not prevail, we will make President Trump better for having this kind of primary.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, I’ll, ” Steve Cortes, , ” DeSantis, Cortes ’, Trump, ” Cortes, Cortes, DeSantis Organizations: CNN, GOP, Trump, Republican, DeSantis, , Locations: Florida,
CNN —Critics on Tuesday seized on the latest Trump tape as a perfect example of why the twice-impeached, twice-indicted former president is unfit to return to the Oval Office. On the audio – exclusively obtained by CNN – Trump discusses holding a secret document. In the tape, Trump seems to indicate he was holding up information that may be among the government’s most closely guarded secrets. As he often did in office, Trump appears to have been using US national security as a tool for his own personal or political gain. In response to the tape, Trump – as he often does – sought to redefine an apparent example of aberrant behavior as perfectly acceptable.
Persons: CNN – Trump, Trump, “ We’ve, Liz Cheney, NBC’s Lester Holt, Elie Honig, Donald Trump, ” Honig, , Adam Kinzinger, Cheney, , ” Trump, he’s, Kevin McCarthy –, CNN’s Kristen Holmes, Breitbart, , Fox, Volodymyr Zelensky, Joe Biden, Trump’s, I’m, Rudy Giuliani, Nikki Haley, Jack Smith, Haley didn’t, “ We’re Organizations: CNN, Trump, GOP, Wyoming, Aspen Ideas, CNBC, California Republican, Breitbart News, , Fox News Digital, weaponized Justice Department, New Hampshire Federation, Republican, NBC News, Republicans, New Hampshire Republican, Justice Department, Biden’s, Former South Carolina Gov Locations: Washington, Bedminster , New Jersey, United States, Illinois, California, Florida, Georgia, New Hampshire, Manhattan
Chicago CNN —President Joe Biden’s top economic advisers believe the worst effects of inflation are in the rear-view mirror. “I didn’t come up with a name,” he said, crediting the news media for inventing the term Bidenomics. The debt ceiling impasse also needed to be resolved and Biden’s key economic legislation needed to begin to be implemented. Now, officials see Bidenomics as an opportunity to tie together the president’s economic accomplishments, the vision behind those policies and a growing economy under one term. But it’s working.”But when faced with the question of whether “Bidenomics” can be the answer to changing public perception of the president’s record, White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre offered a frank reply: “We’re going to try.
Persons: Joe Biden’s, There’s, , Bidenomics ”, ” Biden, , Biden, he’d, he’s, Anita Dunn, Mike Donilon, Dunn, Donilon, Lael Brainard, ” Brainard, It’s, “ It’s, ” Dunn, we’re, Richard Nixon, it’s, Ronald Reagan, Bidenomics, ’ ”, Karine Jean, Pierre Organizations: Chicago CNN, Old, Old Chicago Main Post, CNN, SSRS, , MSNBC, British, Wall Street, White Locations: Chicago, Old Chicago, America, Ukraine, Philadelphia
It’s a dark notion, one Kennedy believes that he, as president, can save the country from. As Kennedy speaks, his dogs remain at attention. Kennedy shows his command of his dogs, who obediently sit at attention, waiting for a treat. He disappeared from most networks and news organizations years ago — when his anti-vaccine activism became unpalatable to most Americans. But Kennedy doesn’t want to talk about vaccines — at least not from the campaign trail.
Persons: Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy —, Gordon, Kennedy, ” Kennedy, , Mark Abramson, NBC News Kennedy, he’s, Kennedy shrugs, misciting, it’s, , Cheryl Hines, Jeremy Zogby, Zogby, Joe Biden, It’s, spasmodic dysphonia, haven’t Organizations: ANGELES, Democratic, NBC News, CNN Locations: Mandeville, Kyoto, Japan
Trump, the clear frontrunner in the race for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination, was also endorsed by North Carolina Lt. Gov. As if to drive home that point, the same crowd that cheered Robinson also loudly booed another GOP presidential candidate, former New Jersey Gov. Reschenthaler, the House Republican chief deputy whip, is the second member of the chamber's GOP leadership to endorse Trump after House Republican Conference Chair Rep. Elise Stefanik of New York. Ron DeSantis, Trump's nearest Republican primary competitor, has so far amassed five congressional endorsements. Polls of the GOP primary field showed Trump widening his lead after his first indictment.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Mark Robinson, Robinson, William Barr, Chris Christie, Christie, Mike Kelly, Dan Meuser, Scott Perry, Guy Reschenthaler, John Joyce, Reschenthaler, Elise Stefanik, Ron DeSantis, Fred Keller, Carla Sands, It's, Sen, Cindy Hyde, Smith, Andrew Clyde, Mike Pence, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Asa Hutchinson, Miami Mayor Francis Suarez, Roe, Wade, Scott, Pence, Trump's Organizations: U.S, GOP, Columbus Convention, Trade Center, White, Republicans, North, Gov, Trump, White House, Republican, Republican Party, New, New Jersey Gov, Pennsylvania Federal Leadership Team, Keystone State, House Republican, NBC, Florida Gov, CNN, South, Former United Nations, Arkansas Gov, Miami Mayor, Democratic Locations: Georgia, Columbus , Georgia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, New Jersey, Trump's, Washington ,, New York, Pennsylvania's, Denmark, Manhattan, Florida, South Carolina, Arkansas
Trump maintains a huge lead over the GOP field, but his support is slipping amid his legal struggles. His favorability among GOP voters dropped 10 points, though he remains very popular at 67%. This was also the first CNN poll to be conducted since DeSantis formally announced on May 24. CNN found that 41% of GOP voters are open to changing their minds on their first choice for the nomination. The CNN poll was conducted by SSRS Opinion Panel from June 13-17 online and over the phone.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump's, Ron DeSantis, Trump, CNN's, Mike Pence, DeSantis Organizations: Trump, GOP, Service, Florida Gov, CNN, Republican, Republicans Locations: Florida
CNN —Former President Donald Trump’s support appears to have softened following his indictment and arrest on federal charges, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. Most Americans approve of Trump’s indictment stemming from his alleged mishandling of classified documents after leaving office, even as 71% say politics played a role in that charging decision. Overall, 47% of Republicans and Republican-leaning registered voters say Trump is their first choice for the party’s nomination for president, down from 53% in a May CNN poll. A 54% majority of Republican and Republican-leaning voters say that Trump’s conduct doesn’t matter much to them as they consider his candidacy, because a president’s effectiveness matters more. Most Republican and Republican-leaning voters who support Trump for the nomination say he did nothing wrong in this case (58%) and just 3% that he acted illegally.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Chris Christie, Trump’s, unethically Organizations: CNN, SSRS, GOP, Republican, Florida Gov, United Nations, New, New Jersey Gov, Trump, Republican Party, Trump GOP, Trump Republicans, Democratic, Republicans Locations: South Carolina, New Jersey, Manhattan, York, Florida
Washington CNN —Republican presidential candidate Chris Christie said Sunday it was a “useless idea” to force 2024 GOP contenders to sign a pledge to back the party’s ultimate nominee in order to participate in primary debates. “It’s only in the era of Donald Trump that you need somebody to sign something on a pledge. Trump, as a candidate in 2015, did not rule out an independent run for president at a debate in Cleveland. He ultimately signed a pledge to support the party’s eventual nominee and to not run as a third-party candidate if he did not win the GOP nomination. The RNC announced earlier this month that the first presidential primary debate will take place on August 23 in Milwaukee.
Persons: Chris Christie, , Donald Trump, CNN’s Jake Tapper, Christie, he’s, Ronna McDaniel, ” Christie, Trump, McDaniel, , you’ve, Joe Biden, ” McDaniel, I’m, , Asa Hutchinson, you’re, ” Hutchinson, Ron DeSantis, Hutchinson, Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott Organizations: Washington CNN, Republican, New, Republican National Committee, GOP, CNN, Arkansas Gov, ABC News, RNC, CNN Poll, Florida Gov, United Nations, South Locations: New Jersey, “ State, Cleveland, Arkansas, Milwaukee, South Carolina
The next 30 minutes of DeSantis’ speech then demonstrated how Biden might survive despite all the doubts about his performance and capabilities. In that way, DeSantis’ first swing through Iowa showed why Republicans are still at risk in 2024 from a key dynamic that dashed their hopes of a sweeping “red wave” in 2022. Many strategists in both parties believe that dynamic is most likely to recur in 2024 if the GOP nominates Trump. One reason, Republicans argue, is that the eventual nominee likely will talk about these issues less in a general election. Beset by all the difficult domestic conditions DeSantis highlighted, Biden will likely struggle straight through November 2024 to affirmatively convince a majority that his performance deserves another term.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Joe Biden, Biden, DeSantis, Donald Trump, , Sarah Longwell, MAGA Trump, , Trump, Chris Wilson, Republican pollster, Jesse Ferguson, SRSS, “ Biden, Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, George W . Bush, “ DeSantis, Ferguson, don’t, , David Kochel, Kochel, can’t, Mitt Romney, Hillary Clinton’s, suburbanites, Nick Gourevitch, DeSantis ’, dethroning Trump, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Biden “ Organizations: CNN, Florida Gov, Biden’s, Republicans, GOP, Trump, Republican, Longwell, Biden, White House, White, Edison Research, House, Democrats, Senate, Fox News, Walt Disney Co, Democratic, eventual Locations: Iowa, Des Moines, Biden’s America, America, Florida, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada , New Hampshire , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan
The case for a 2023 US recession is crumbling
  + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —Many CEOs, investors and economists had penciled in 2023 as the year when a recession would hit the American economy. But the case for a 2023 US recession is crumbling for a simple reason: America’s jobs market is way too strong. Zandi is growing more confident that 2023 won’t be the year when a downturn will begin. “We’re running out of time for a 2023 recession,” Justin Wolfers, an economics professor at the University of Michigan, told CNN. Friday’s jobs report did offer some conflicting signals, especially in the household survey, which economists put less weight on because it tends to be noisier.
Persons: Mark Zandi, won’t, ” Zandi, , Justin Wolfers, “ We’ve, payrolls, Wolfers, They’ve, ” Wolfers, ” Macy’s, Zandi, Joe Brusuelas, Morgan Stanley Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Moody’s, CNN, University of Michigan, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bank of America, Challenger, RSM Locations: New York,
On Monday, Musk is set to share an audio chatroom with Robert Kennedy Jr., the anti-vaccine activist and Democratic candidate for president. Instagram’s parent, Meta, has also banned accounts belonging to Kennedy’s anti-vaccine advocacy group. But by putting Kennedy center stage on Twitter, Musk appears poised to promote these views further to his millions of followers. Ron DeSantis, who announced his White House bid with Musk during a Twitter Spaces event last month plagued by technical glitches. That could be the very thing that drives away more moderate candidates from accepting Musk’s “invitation” to appear alongside him.
Persons: Elon Musk, Musk, Robert Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Anthony Fauci, Instagram, , Joe Biden, Williamson, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Musk’s Organizations: CNN, Twitter, Democratic, , Florida Republican Gov Locations: Nazi Germany, Washington, coronavirus
The primary is likely a contest between Trump supporters and those who want an alternative. And GOP primary voters know Trump's "brand." The GOP primary base appears to split into two even camps: Trump supporters and those looking for an alternative. Primary contenders not named Donald Trump will likely be fighting over the same group of moderate GOP supporters. As Michael Tesler of FiveThirtyEight points out, Trump now commands a majority of "very conservative" primary voters, despite losing those voters in 2016.
Persons: Chris Christie, Mike Pence, Doug Burgum, , Donald Trump, Christie, Pence, Mitt Romney, Donna Brazile, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Michael Tesler, Trump Organizations: Trump, Service, Republican, New, New Jersey Gov, North Dakota Gov, GOP, CNN, Republican Party Locations: New Jersey, Manhattan
A recent CNN poll shows that 20 percent of Democrats favor Robert F. Kennedy Jr., for the party’s nomination, 8 percent want Marianne Williamson and another 8 percent want someone else. Do you think this is some kind of polling fluke or an ominous political sign for Joe Biden? Gail: I am absolutely sure that a lot of the people raising their hands for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or Marianne Williamson have no idea who either of them actually is. Obviously, they recognize the Kennedy name, but I’ll bet most don’t know about his new career as an anti-vaxxer. Williamson touched a nerve — or summoned a spirit — as the “dark psychic force” lady from the last Democratic primary.
Persons: Bret Stephens, Gail, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Marianne Williamson, Joe Biden, Gail Collins, Bret, it’s, he’s, Kennedy, ., Williamson Organizations: CNN, vax, Democratic Locations: America
Ron DeSantis — including hosting the candidate's kickoff event on Twitter — demonstrate how Sacks is working to become a GOP kingmaker. A DeSantis campaign spokesman did not return a request for comment before publication. Sacks, according to Puck, serves as one of the group's directors. Kevin McGrann, a lobbyist at government relations juggernaut Forbes Tate Partners, is also linked to Bay Strategies, according to Hall. And Sacks said during a recent episode that he plans to ask the DeSantis campaign for the Florida governor to agree to an interview.
Persons: David Sacks, Paul Chinn, Caroline Wren, Wren, Donald Trump's, Jan, president's, Sacks, George Soros, Puck, Ron DeSantis, Peter Thiel, Ro Khanna, didn't, Joe Biden, Thiel, Elon Musk, , Joe Lonsdale's, Julie Samuels, Samuels, DeSantis, I've, Trump, Stewart Hall, Jill Kendrick, Hall, Sen, Richard Shelby, Kendrick, Kevin McGrann, juggernaut Forbes, McGrann, John Boehner, OpenSecrets, Musk, Bari Weiss, isn't, Peter, Jason Calacanis, David Friedberg, Chamath, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Biden, Nikki Haley, Calacanis Organizations: TechCrunch, Calif, San Francisco Chronicle, Hearst Newspapers, Getty Images Venture, Trump, U.S . Capitol, Republicans, Commission, Florida Gov, Twitter, GOP, PayPal, CNBC, Democratic, Microsoft, DeSantis, Purple Good Government PAC, FEC, Ron DeSantis PAC, PAC, Republican Party, Purple Good Government, Stewart, Public, Crossroads, Altria Group, Boeing, General Electric, Hearst Corp, Washington , D.C, Forbes Tate Partners, juggernaut Forbes Tate Partners, Forbes Tate, Association of Independent Mortgage Experts, United Wholesale Mortgage, SpaceX, Republican, YouTube, Biden, CNN Locations: San Francisco, Florida, Silicon, Trump, DeSantis, Puck, Washington ,, Ohio
Just 43% of nonretired adults think they will have enough money to live comfortably when they retire, according to Gallup. The percentage of adults expecting to live comfortably in retirement is down by five percentage points over the past year and ten percentage points since 2021. A record-low 19% of lower-income adults expect to live comfortably, according to Gallup, which began tracking these measures in 2002. 36% of middle-income adults expect to retire comfortablyYounger Americans are more optimistic about their retirement outlook, with 54% of those aged 18 to 29 saying they expect to have enough money to live comfortably. Those awaiting retirement expect to be forced to rely more on 401(k), IRA and other retirement savings accounts.
Persons: Gallup, Mohamed Younis, , Younis, Joe Biden, George W, Bush Organizations: CNN, Gallup, , Social Security, University of Michigan,
2024 Republican presidential candidates
  + stars: | 2023-05-24 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
CNN —The first Republican primary debate won’t occur until August. But the 2024 presidential primary campaign is well underway. Here are the currently declared Republican presidential candidates, sorted by their place in the most recent CNN poll of the potential GOP primary electorate. But those investigations have been ongoing for years now, and it’s not clear any allegations will hurt his strength among many Republican voters. Like most GOP candidates, he will struggle to find oxygen in a field that so far has been dominated by Trump.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Mike Pence, Pence, insurrectionists, He’ll, Nikki Haley, Haley, Joe Biden, Tim Scott, Scott, Chris Christie, Christie, – Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy Vivek Ramaswamy, Charlie Neibergall, Ramaswamy, Asa Hutchinson, Hutchinson, Doug Burgum, Burgum, Larry Elder Larry Elder, Mario Tama, Gavin Newsom, Chris Sununu, Larry Hogan, David Chalian, ” “, ” Chalian, Chalian Organizations: CNN, Republican, Florida Gov, GOP, Disney, Trump, United Nations, White Republican, South, White, Iowa Faith, North, Getty, California, New Hampshire Gov, Maryland Gov, DeSantis, Hutchinson Locations: There’s, New York, Fulton County , Georgia, Florida, Riding, Southern, South Carolina, New Jersey, Covid, Arkansas, North Dakota, California
London CNN —Britain was waking up Saturday to a once-in-a-generation royal event: the coronation of King Charles III and Queen Camilla in a grand ceremony at Westminster Abbey in London. While Charles became King on the death of his mother, Queen Elizabeth II in September last year, the coronation is the formal crowning of the monarch. In a ceremony that is expected to last at least two hours, Charles will be officially crowned, presented with an array ceremonial objects and be recognized as King by various representatives of the British state. Charles and Camilla will travel along the route to the abbey in a splendid coach drawn by six horses, accompanied by the Household Cavalry. Charles’ consort Camilla will also be crowned in a shorter, simpler part of the ceremony.
Just 21% say their views on the royal family have gotten more positive over the past decade, with another 41% saying their overall opinion has stayed the same. A CNN poll suggests attitudes towards the British royal family have worsened over the past decade, ahead of the coronation of King Charles III. Prince Harry (right) and Meghan (left) are among those members of the royal family rated most favorably by young people. Jamie Lorriman/AFP/Getty ImagesBut not all members of the royal family are viewed in the same light. The poll was conducted on March 24 through 26 among a random sample of 2,093 UK adults aged 18 and older.
Jeremy Selwyn/WPA Pool/Getty Images Camilla stands next to Queen Elizabeth II during a Diamond Jubilee pageant on the River Thames in June 2012. Chris Jackson/Getty Images From left, Camilla, Charles, Queen Elizabeth II and Prince Philip attend the state opening of Parliament in May 2013. From left are Camilla, Charles, Queen Elizabeth II, Prince Louis, Duchess Catherine, Princess Charlotte, Prince George and Prince William. Frank Augstein/WPA Pool/Getty Images In pictures: Britain's Queen Camilla Prev NextShe reportedly met Prince Charles at a polo match in Windsor in 1970 and they became friends. From left are Camilla, Charles, Queen Elizabeth II, Prince Louis, Duchess Catherine, Princess Charlotte, Prince George and Prince William.
Recent polls tell us that many Americans have questions about the age of the 80-year-old Biden heading into the 2024 election. It’s in everybody’s mind and by everyone, I mean The New York Times.” Biden then added, “Headline: ‘Biden’s advanced age is a big issue. Biden’s reelection campaign (he announced his bid last week) is not the first time that age has been front and center in a presidential campaign. It became even more acute after the first presidential debate in October 1984. At the second presidential debate, however, Reagan was ready for the age question.
Republicans facing tough 2024 races are defending Donald Trump against criminal charges. Democrats are betting their defense of Trump will hurt them in competitive 2024 races. Lauren Boebert (@RepBoebert) April 4, 2023Boebert is on House Democrats' list of 31 vulnerable Republicans and two competitive open seats that they are targeting to take back control of the House in 2024. Biden hasn't commented on Trump's charges, and Democrats in Congress are treading carefully. Democrats shouldn't get ahead of the judicial process, said Rodell Mollineau, a cofounder and partner at Rokk Solutions in Washington, DC.
Recent polls show aging leaders are a concern for Americans in general, and Biden's age in particular worries Democratic voters. Biden's public approval rating was just 41% in a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll that closed on Sunday. They're targeting key subsets of voters, such as those who flipped from supporting Trump in 2016 to Biden in 2020. Overall, Biden's approval rating among the group rose from 31% to 52% during the speech, and six in ten liked the speech. Attacking Republicans for threatening Social Security and Medicare is expected to be particularly salient in competitive states like New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Florida with large proportions of elderly voters.
President Joe Biden's second State of the Union address played well with viewers, and may have helped him tee up a bid for reelection in 2024 — but it might not make a lasting impact on his hopes for a second term, experts said. And the latest poll showed that fewer respondents had a "very positive" reaction to this year's address when compared with a survey taken right after Biden's previous State of the Union speech. "He delivered his speech forcefully if not flawlessly, adding no new fuel to questions about his fitness to serve a second term," Galston said. His opponent from the 2020 election, former President Donald Trump, has technically been on the 2024 campaign trail for months, though he has done little in-person campaigning. Former President Barack Obama, under whom Biden served as vice president, had launched his own reelection bid in April 2011, less than three months after his second State of the Union address.
A pro-Biden super PAC is getting ready for Joe Biden to announce his reelection campaign. Unite the Country plans to target Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan once he officially announces he's running. The pro-Biden super PAC Unite the Country plans to target those battleground, Democratic-leaning states with a messaging blitz once Biden officially announces he's running for reelection. They spent about $6 million through November during the 2022 election cycle, with a focus on Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Arizona. Loveday said she hasn't discussed Biden's plans with him, but she has "full confidence" that he will run in 2024.
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