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☆ Medicare Part B standard premiums to increase by $9.80 per month in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

The standard monthly premium for Medicare Part B will increase by $9.80 per month in 2024, according to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. That means the standard monthly premium will go up to $174.70 in 2024, an increase from $164.90 in 2023. The new rate is in line with previous projections by Medicare trustees, which had estimated a $174.80 standard monthly premium for next year. The annual deductible for Medicare Part B will be $240 in 2024, a $14 increase from the $226 annual deductible in 2023. Medicare Part B covers physician services, outpatient hospital services, some home health care services, durable medical equipment and certain other services not covered by Medicare Part A.

Organizations: Medicare, Centers, Services

The 10-year yield on Thursday afternoon stood at about 4.7%, some 18 basis points from the 16-year highs touched last week. “Every time the Fed pauses, yields come down, but the market is not convinced they’re quite there yet." There's plenty of evidence that financial conditions, which reflect the availability of credit in the economy, have tightened in recent months. Credit market spreads have widened as investors demand a higher yield on riskier assets, such as corporate bonds. Fed funds futures show investors pricing in a roughly 15% chance of the central bank's raising rates next month, from around 27% last week.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, ”, Leslie Falconio, they’re, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, Mark Dowding, Goldman Sachs, Edward Al, Hussainy, Neuberger Berman, Jonathan Cohn, Davide Barbuscia, Ira Iosebashvili, Megan Davies, Leslie Adler Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, . Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics, Dallas Fed, RBC Global Asset Management, Reuters, Treasury, Columbia, Nasdaq, Nomura Securities International, Thomson

☆ Year-end tax strategies may affect how much retirees pay for Medicare. Here's what to know
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The change will result in an estimated Social Security retirement benefit increase of more than $50 per month, on average. The average monthly retirement benefit for workers will be $1,907, up from $1,848 this year, according to the Social Security Administration. "But remember, depending on your income, you may also be paying a lot more for Medicare," Franklin said. Medicare Part B premiums are based on incomeMedicare Part B covers physician services, outpatient hospital services, some home health care services, durable medical equipment and certain other services not covered by Medicare Part A. Medicare Part B premiums for 2024 have not yet been announced. This strategy may help reduce adjusted gross income and future Medicare premiums, Franklin said.

Persons: Mary Beth Franklin, Franklin, Roth Organizations: Social, Social Security Administration, Social Security, CNBC, Medicare Locations: Franklin

☆ Social Security cost-of-living adjustment will be 3.2% in 2024, well below this year's record-setting increase
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Jozef Polc / 500Px | 500Px Plus | Getty ImagesSocial Security beneficiaries will see a 3.2% boost to their benefits in 2024, the Social Security Administration announced on Thursday. The annual cost-of-living adjustment for 2024 will affect more than 71 million Social Security and Supplemental Security Income beneficiaries. Typically, Medicare Part B premium payments are deducted from Social Security checks. How the 2024 COLA comparesThe 2024 benefit increase is much lower than record 8.7% cost-of-living adjustment Social Security beneficiaries saw this year, the biggest boost in four decades in response to record high inflation. Older Americans 'still feeling the sting' of inflationThe 2024 adjustment comes as many retirees are still struggling with higher prices.

Persons: Jozef Polc, Jo Ann Jenkins, Jenkins, Tracey Gronniger, Gronniger Organizations: Social, Social Security Administration, Social Security, Senior Citizens League, Consumer, Urban, Clerical Workers, AARP, Justice, COLA, Security

☆ Morning Bid: Inflation test looms for Fed doves
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Kevin Buckland | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

For now, the consistent and - for equity investors - very welcome refrain from Fed officials that caution is warranted before further rate rises has drowned out any concerns about data. But just how quickly markets turned at the start of the week shows how quickly they could turn again. Despite the dovish trimmings, the core Fed message remains that rates will rise as far as they have to in order to rein in inflation. Fed regional bank heads Lorie Logan, Susan Collins and Raphael Bostic have the chance to air their views in remarks at separate events today. It's a big day for British data as well, with GDP and industrial production due first thing.

Persons: Kevin Buckland, Lorie Logan, Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic, Huw Pill, Andrew Bailey, BoE, Sam Holmes Organizations: Japan's Nikkei, Hong, Reuters, Bank of England, IMF, Bank, U.S . CPI, Thomson Locations: Asia, Washington, Marrakesh

☆ Asian shares rally as markets wager on Fed pivot; US inflation in focus
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) gained 0.7% to the highest level in three weeks. Tokyo's Nikkei (.N225) rallied 1.3% for a third straight day, climbing away from its five-month low hit last week. U.S. Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday said higher market interest rates may help the Fed slow inflation, and let it "watch and see" if its own policy rate needs to rise again or not. With the long-awaited pivot for the Fed in sight, traders are bracing for the all-important U.S. consumer inflation report later in the day. Stakes are higher because a producer price inflation report came in hotter than expected on Wednesday.

Persons: HSI, Christopher Waller, Waller, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, Alan Ruskin, payrolls, Brent, Stella Qiu, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: SYDNEY, Federal Reserve, Tokyo's Nikkei, Central Huijin Investment, Federal, U.S, Fed, Dallas Fed, Markets, FedTool, Deutsche Bank AG, Saudi, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: Asia, Pacific, Japan, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Palestine

Oct 11 (Reuters) - U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday said higher market interest rates may help the Fed slow inflation, and let the central bank "watch and see" if its own policy rate needs to rise again or not. We will see how those higher rates feed into what we do on policy in the coming months." Waller's comments added weight to similar statements this week by Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. Still, Waller offered some of the most optimistic reads yet on the path of inflation. "We're finally getting very good inflation data," he said.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Paul Ryan, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, We're, Howard Schneider, Andrea Ricci Organizations: . Federal, Republican, Wisconsin, Dallas Fed, Treasury, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Utah

☆ The days of rising interest rates could soon be over
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

What’s happening: US Treasury rates are white hot — 10-year Treasury yields are near their highest levels since 2007. It also means more expensive mortgage rates. Mortgage rates tend to track the yield on 10-year US Treasuries. When Treasury yields go up, so do mortgage rates; when they go down, mortgage rates tend to follow. US mortgage rates are at 23 year-highs, and home affordability is at its lowest level since 1984.

Persons: haven’t, Philip Jefferson, ” That’s, Lorie Logan, Raphael Bostic, ”, “, ” Bostic, Mary Daly, Bonds, What’s, Birkenstock, Elisabeth Buchwald, Megan Penick, Robinson, Rachel Ramirez, It’s, they’re Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Financial, CME, Treasury, New York Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Consumer, Dallas, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, American Bankers Association, San Francisco Fed, Index, PPI, CPI, New York Stock Exchange, Renaissance, Nature Communications Locations: New York, Germany, Czech Republic, Slovenia

☆ A recession may still be in the forecast, experts say. Here's how to make sure you're prepared
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Jamie Kelter Davis | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesA recession has been in the forecast for much of 2023. "A recession is obviously going to happen at some point," said Jack Manley, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management. Those factors may prompt the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher for longer, Aleman said. Experts say the key is to automate your savings so you do not even see the money in your paycheck. Another advantage to saving now: Rising interest rates mean the potential returns on that money are the highest they have been in 15 years.

Persons: Jamie Kelter Davis, Jack Manley, —, Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James, Aleman, Manley, Barry Glassman, CNBC.com, Glassman, Mark Hamrick, Matt Schulz, Schulz Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Asset Management, National Association for Business Economics, Finance, Federal Reserve, Wealth Services, CNBC's, Bankrate Locations: Chicago

☆ Morning Bid: A window into the Fed's thinking
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

They scour every line and often every punctuation mark, for any sign of a shift in thinking. They might be disappointed later on Wednesday when the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's September meeting hit the wire. In a statement after the Sept. 20 meeting, Chair Jerome Powell reiterated the central bank's more hawkish monetary policy stance, saying that although "people hate inflation", the jury was out on whether the central bank's work in tackling price pressures was done. MARKETS IN 'UNCHARTED TERRITORY'Deutsche Bank says the market is in uncharted territory in terms of the shrinkage in central banks' balance sheets. In the roughly 15 years since the financial crisis, central banks have never sold assets as quickly as they have in the last half-year.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Amanda Cooper, Jerome Powell, Lorie Logan, Bernadette Baum Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Treasury, Fed, Dallas, ING, Deutsche Bank, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Deutsche Bank, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Sweden, Japan

☆ Insider Today: Israel's next steps
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

AdvertisementAdvertisementIn today's big story, we're looking at the latest developments in Israel's war with Hamas, including Israel's devastating airstrikes and a potentially complicated ground invasion of Gaza. What's on deck:Markets: Market experts detail how to cash in on an ailing bond market. Market experts detail how to cash in on an ailing bond market. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe Israel war is also impacting another conflict: Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The Insider Today team: Dan DeFrancesco, senior editor and anchor, in New York City.

Persons: Jimmy Buffett's, margarita, Caroline Ellison, Sam Bankman, Faiz, NurPhoto, Insider's Kelsey Vlamis, Insider's Chris Panella, Amir Levy, Jake Epstein, Insider's Elias Chavez, David Donabedian, Insider's Bryan Metzger, Brendan McDermid, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Raphael Bostic, Lorie Logan, BRYAN R, SMITH Caroline Ellison, Ellison, Linda Yaccarino, X, Arantza Pena Popo, eBay's, they're, They'll, Steve Scalise, Jim Jordan, Rachael Brennan, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Tech, Getty, CNN, Hamas, CIBC Private Wealth, Ukraine, Washington Post, Republican, Elite, Quantum Fund, Soros Fund Management, Atlanta Fed, Dallas, Fed, Alameda Research, Street, Gaza, Boomers, Republicans, Ohio, The Chicago, Tata Consultancy Services, Sam's Club Locations: Florida, Gaza, Israel, Ukraine, Russia, homebuying, Louisiana, New York City, San Diego, London, New York

In both cases the outcome would push the Fed from that "golden path" onto a far more familiar one: An economy buckling as borrowing costs rise and confidence wanes. "I don't think it is unavoidable" that joblessness will have to rise significantly for inflation to return to target, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said on Monday. But the most important thing is that we stay focused on restoring price stability, and I think that will require some rebalancing in the labor market." Her look at past periods of inflation and disinflation makes her think the labor market may still need a shock for the Fed to succeed. "As nice as it is to see a really strong labor market, when you are trying to get inflation down, that's not your friend."

Persons: Lorie Logan, Philip Jefferson, Austan Goolsbee, Jefferson, Christina Romer, Romer, Goolsbee, that's, Howard Schneider, Ann Saphir, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: DALLAS, Federal, National Association for Business Economics, Dallas, Chicago Fed, Treasury, University of California, White House's Council, Economic Advisers, Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S, Dallas, Israel, Palestinian, Berkeley

☆ Most Fed officials expect one more interest rate hike and that they'll remain elevated for a while, minutes show
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington, DC CNN —Most Federal Reserve officials said last month that they expect one more rate hike, according to minutes from their September policy meeting released Wednesday. Some officials said that how fast inflation cools in the coming months will determine how long rates remain elevated. Inflation’s steady descent over the past year, and the job market’s gradual cooldown, gave officials enough reassurance to pause, the minutes showed. The central bank’s latest set of economic projections also showed that most Fed officials expect fewer rate cuts next year, confirming investors’ fears that rates could remain higher for longer. It’s unclear how much higher yields will weigh on economic activity, but several Fed officials have said in public remarks this week that it could mean less action from the Fed.

Persons: ’, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, ”, Lorie Logan, Mack Trucks Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, Fed, Treasury, ” Dallas, Employers, Labor Department, United Auto Workers, UAW Locations: Washington

☆ Dollar stalls as dovish Fed tone dials down rate expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSINGAPORE, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The dollar remained steady against major peers on Tuesday, after a pause in its rally following a slight dovish shift in Federal Reserve officials' tone. "If long-term interest rates remain elevated because of higher term premiums, there may be less need to raise the Fed funds rate," said Dallas Fed president Lorie Logan -- a notable shift from previously hawkish rhetoric. Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said the central bank would need to "proceed carefully" given the recent rise in yields. "There are another 13 Fed speakers scheduled this week which could see this theme develop further," said analysts at Westpac. "The idea that the increases in bond yields have done part of the tightening job appears to be gaining traction among some Fed officials," said OCBC rates strategist Frances Cheung.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Lorie Logan, Philip Jefferson, Frances Cheung, Ken Cheung, Tom Westbrook, Sam Holmes, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal, New, East, Swiss, Palestinian, Dallas, Fed, Westpac, Columbus, People's Bank of, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, Asia, New Zealand, Israeli, Israel, Tokyo, People's Bank of China

☆ Gold rally loses steam as yields edge up, stocks rebound
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Harshit Verma | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

(Reuters) - Gold prices edged down on Tuesday after clocking a sharp rise in the last session as risk sentiment improved and bond yields rebounded, while investors awaited the U.S. inflation data due later this week. Gold rose about 1.6% on Monday, its biggest one-day jump in five months, as military clashes between Israel and Palestinian Islamist group Hamas boosted demand for safe-haven investments. European stocks rebounded sharply on Tuesday as dovish comments from Fed policymakers and easing oil prices helped calm investor nerves. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields rose to 4.7049%, decreasing the appeal for non-yielding bullion. Spot silver fell 0.8% to $21.72 per ounce, platinum slipped 0.3% to $883.97 and palladium dropped 0.8% to $1,130.52.

Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, ”, Craig Erlam, Erlam, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, Kyle Rodda Organizations: Reuters, REUTERS, OANDA, U.S, Consumer, Dallas Fed Locations: Novosibirsk, Siberian, Russia, Israel, Palestinian, U.S . Federal, EU, U.S

☆ Treasury-bond rout eases as more Fed officials hint further rate hikes may not be necessary
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Bond yields plunged lower Tuesday following comments from Fed officials about a rate hike reprieve. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he sees no need for further rate hikes to cool down the economy. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said rising term premiums on bonds may do the job of rate hikes. AdvertisementAdvertisementUS Treasurys rallied Tuesday, taking a breather after a blistering sell-off, as more Federal Reserve officials suggested further rate hikes may not be needed. More than a year and a half of steady rate hikes has brought the fed funds rate to a 22-year high.

Persons: Raphael Bostic, Lorie Logan, —, Bostic, Philip Jefferson Organizations: Atlanta Fed, Dallas, Service, Federal Reserve, American Bankers Association, National Association for Business Locations: Israel, Dallas

☆ Treasury yields fall as investors seek safe havens amid Israel-Hamas conflict
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the 2-year Treasury yield was down by over nine basis points to 4.9843%. The 10-year Treasury yield was last more than 12 basis points lower at 4.6571%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Tuesday as trading resumed after Columbus Day, with investors weighing the potential geopolitical and economic impact of the Israel-Hamas war . Concerns about the implications of the Israel-Hamas conflict continued, with investors considering whether it may affect markets and the global economy. Investors poured into government bonds, which are traditionally seen as safer investments, driving Treasury yields lower.

Persons: Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Columbus, Investors, Hamas, Israel, Federal, Dallas, Fed, International Monetary Fund Locations: Israel, Gaza

☆ Gold builds on Middle East conflict-fueled gains as U.S. dollar, bonds retreat
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold and silver bars of various sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metals dealer Pro Aurum. Spot gold gained 0.1% to $1,862.80 per ounce by 0314 GMT, after earlier hitting its highest since Sept. 29. Gold rose about 1.6% on Monday, its biggest one-day jump in five months, as military clashes between Israel and Palestinian Islamist group Hamas boosted demand for safe-haven assets and oil. "The events in the Middle East have provided a catalyst for gold to rebound from oversold conditions," said Kyle Rodda, financial market analyst at Capital.com. Spot silver fell 0.2% to $21.85 per ounce, platinum rose 0.3% to $889.11 and palladium climbed 0.5% to $1,144.82.

Persons: Kyle Rodda, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan Organizations: Aurum, U.S, Federal Reserve, Capital.com, Dallas Fed Locations: Israel, Palestinian, U.S

☆ US stocks jump as bond yields tumble after Fed officials hint rate hikes may be over
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Bond yields tumbled after Fed officials hinted that the end of rate hikes may be near. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAdvertisementUS stocks climbed Tuesday, while bond yields dropped following comments from key Fed officials that hinted at the end of rate hikes. Logan, meanwhile, noted that high bond yields may do the trick as far as cooling down the economy.

Persons: —, Raphael Bostic, Lorie Logan, Bostic Organizations: Dow, Treasury, Service, Investors, Atlanta Fed, Dallas Fed, American Bankers Association, National Association for Business, Nasdaq Locations: Israel, Logan, Dallas

☆ Dollar slips as dovish Fed speak dials down rate expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The dollar softened on Tuesday along with U.S. interest rate expectations and a fall in Treasury yields as investors detected a slight dovish shift in Federal Reserve officials' tone. The yen held small gains as violence in the Middle East supported buying of safe-haven assets, and last traded firmly at 148.34 per dollar. However comments from two Fed officials turned around the mood and U.S. rate forecasts overnight after noting the recent selloff in bonds might negate the need for further hikes. Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said the central bank would need to "proceed carefully" given the recent rise in yields. "A handful of other officials, including Fed Governor Christopher Waller, are scheduled to speak today.

Persons: —, Lorie Logan —, Philip Jefferson, Christopher Waller, Carol Kong, Sterling Organizations: Treasury, Federal, East, Swiss, Dallas, Columbus, New Zealand Locations: Asia, Tokyo

☆ Morning Bid: 'Remarkable' US markets surf crosscurrents
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. Stock futures are higher once again ahead of the bell today. As cash Treasury markets returned from Monday's Columbus Day holiday to a week of heavy long-term debt auctions, they were also greeted with rekindled optimism about the Federal Reserve's policy rate trajectory. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields are set to kick off Tuesday's U.S. trading day at some 4.65% - almost a quarter of a percentage point below the peak set just after Friday's blowout September jobs report. Elsewhere, PepsiCo (PEP.O) edged 0.8% higher ahead of the beverage maker's third-quarter results and Unity (U.N) jumped 6.4% after the video-game software maker said its CEO John Riccitiello would retire.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Lorie Logan, Logan, Philip Jefferson chimed, John Riccitiello, Christopher Waller, Neel Kashkari, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic, Ed Osmond Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Columbus, Federal, Dallas Fed, Treasury, Monetary Fund, IMF, World Bank, Fund, HK, Bloomberg, Alibaba, Baidu, PepsiCo, Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Atlanta Fed, PepsiCo NFIB Consumer, Reuters Messaging, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Marrakesh, China, Beijing, Minneapolis, San

Oct 10 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The rebound in risk sentiment was largely due to comments from two Fed officials that the recent rise in long-term bond yields and tightening of financial conditions mean the Fed may be done raising rates. The U.S. bond market was closed on Monday for the Columbus Day holiday but futures traded, and the 10-year Treasury future posted its biggest rise since March. The IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Morocco kick into gear on Tuesday, with U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde and many other leading global policymakers in attendance. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, Lori Logan, Philip Jefferson nodded, Janet Yellen, Christine Lagarde, Raphael Bostic, Christopher Waller, Neel Kashkari, Mary Daly, Lorie Logan, Philip Jefferson, Waller, Daly Organizations: Dallas, Columbus, Treasury, IMF, World Bank, U.S, European Central Bank, Fed, Bank, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Israel, Gaza, U.S, Lower U.S, Asia, Japan, Pacific, Philippines, Morocco, Marrakech, Kashkari

“I will remain cognizant of the tightening in financial conditions through higher bond yields and will keep that in mind as I assess the future path of policy,” Jefferson said in remarks to the National Association for Business Economics. The remarks by Jefferson and earlier by Dallas Fed president Lorie Logan, one of the Fed system's more influential voices on financial markets, caused investors to undercut the likelihood of further Fed rate increases. "If long-term interest rates remain elevated because of higher term premiums, there may be less need to raise the fed funds rate," said Logan, who has been among the more hawkish officials in supporting the need for continued rate increases. Since the Fed last raised its policy interest rate a quarter of a percentage point in July, long-term bond yields have risen a full percentage point, a fast rate of change for a massive market. A rise in the so-called “term premium," if it proves persistent, could put an enduring drag on the economy and perhaps give the Fed less reason to raise its own policy rate.

Persons: Philip Jefferson, ” Jefferson, Jefferson, Lorie Logan, FedWatch, Gregory Daco, Logan, policymaker, Chris Varvares, Howard Schneider, Andrea Ricci, Nick Zieminski Organizations: DALLAS, Federal, Treasury, National Association for Business Economics, Dallas, New York Fed, Fed, P, Thomson Locations: U.S, Jefferson, Israel

☆ Now is the time to 'think long term' when investing, advisor says. This chart helps explain why
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The new war between Israel and Palestinian militant group Hamas has brought more uncertainty to the markets. While stocks shook off the conflict in Monday afternoon trading, financial experts say investors should stay the course amid elevated volatility risks. "Stay calm, think long term and look for some bargains," said David Rea, president of Salem Investment Counselors in Winston-Salem, North Carolina, which is No. If markets do drop, investors focused on retirement and other goals would be wise to hold on, research shows. A $10,000 investment in the S&P 500 would have grown to $64,844 between Jan. 1, 2003, and Dec. 30, 2022 — a 9.8% return, according to research from JPMorgan Asset Management.

Persons: David Rea Organizations: Hamas, Salem Investment, CNBC, Finance, JPMorgan Asset Management, & $ Locations: Israel, Palestinian, Salem, Winston, Salem , North Carolina, Russia, Ukraine

"If long-term interest rates remain elevated because of higher term premiums, there may be less need to raise the fed funds rate," Logan said. The Dallas Fed president said the economy has been stronger than she had expected, as has been the labor market, and that inflation was still too high despite progress in lowering it. But because Logan ran the New York Fed's bond portfolio for years before she took the top job at the Dallas Fed, her views on what's driving long-term rates higher could carry considerable weight as policymakers weigh their next moves. "The expectation of lower Federal Reserve asset holdings over time implies that other investors will need to hold more long-duration securities, which appears to be one factor among the many contributing to higher term premiums," Logan said. Figuring out how much of the higher long-term rates is due to higher term premiums is complex, she added.

Persons: Lorie Logan, Ann Saphir, Logan, Mary Daly, Julia Coronado, Lorie, she's, Krishna Guha, Guha, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, Kansas City, REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Federal Reserve, National Association for Business Economics, Market, San Francisco Fed, Evercore ISI, Dallas Fed, Fed, Thomson Locations: Kansas, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, York

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