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Over the long term, stocks are the way to grow wealth, according to Bank of America. Some $5.43 trillion is in money market funds, as of the week ending June 21 , according to the Investment Company Institute. "That's another way of saying that the S & P 500 is one of the world's best wealth-generating machines ever constructed," she added. Further, financial crises tend to be followed by economic and earnings growth cycles, along with sustained price gains for stocks. "All of the above are powerful structural forces for future long-term earnings growth — and key reasons not to rebalance too far in the direction of money market funds," Sanfilippo wrote.
Persons: Lauren Sanfilippo, Sanfilippo, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Investment Company Institute . Retail
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Tom Lee and Mona Mahajan on Thursday's market actionTom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder, and Mona Mahajan, Edward Jones senior investment strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to recap today's market movement, Adobe earnings, and what the Federal Reserve's next move might be.
Persons: Tom Lee, Mona Mahajan, Edward Jones Organizations: Fundstrat Global Advisors, Federal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market doesn't need soft landing to expand, says Edward Jones' Mona MahajanTom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder, and Mona Mahajan, Edward Jones senior investment strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to recap today's market movement, Adobe earnings, and what the Federal Reserve's next move might be.
Persons: Edward Jones, Mona Mahajan Tom Lee, Mona Mahajan Organizations: Email, Fundstrat Global Advisors, Federal
Still-hawkish Fed pauses rate tightening after 10 straight hikes
  + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +13 min
While the market expected a hawkish pause, this is even a little bit more hawkish than market participants anticipated and that’s why you’re having a negative reaction in risk assets. So, it does suggest that the Fed is looking to tighten policy further, but the big question is can the Fed credibly commit to two more rate hikes if they just decided to actually hold rates steady. And what is the threshold for further rate hikes? “GEORGE YOUNG, PORTFOLIO MANAGER, VILLERE & CO, NEW ORLEANS"This a pregnant pause, meaning that they said they're going to pause hikes today but they're going to increase later. ANGELO KOURKAFAS, SENIOR INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, EDWARD JONES, ST LOUIS"We're seeing a more hawkish pause.
Persons: QUINCY KROSBY, Powell, He’s, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, ” ANDRZEJ SKIBA, ” GENNADIY GOLDBERG, they’ve, ” ELLEN HAZEN, Logan, Waller, “ GEORGE, ANGELO KOURKAFAS, EDWARD JONES, They've, MICHAEL BROWN, hawkishly, WHITNEY WATSON, GOLDMAN, , STOVALL, ” PAUL NOLTE, MICHAEL JAMES Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve, Federal, U.S, RBC, CPI, PPI, Powell &, Cleveland Fed, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S, CHARLOTTE, NC, WISCONSIN, WELLESLEY , MASSACHUSETTS, ORLEANS, GOLDMAN SACHS, Manheim, ALLENTOWN, CHICAGO
The group will study this expression of interest and keep the market informed," Casino said in a statement on Wednesday. And the holding company through which Naouri controls Casino is also heavily indebted. Niel, Pigasse and Zouari said they would invest 200 million to 300 million euros themselves, with the rest coming from unspecified partners, including Casino creditors. The trio's proposal comes after Kretinsky, Casino's second-largest shareholder, offered in April to take control of the group through a 1.1 billion euro capital increase. A Casino spokesperson declined to comment beyond its statement on Wednesday or on behalf of Naouri.
Persons: Jean, Charles Naouri, Xavier Niel, Daniel Kretinsky, Casino, Kretinsky, Niel, Matthieu Pigasse, Moez, Alexandre Zouari, Clement Genelot, Garnier, Pigasse, Zouari, Casino's, Mathieu Rosemain, Chiara Elisei, Laura Lenkiewicz, Sudip Kar, Silvia Aloisi, Mark Potter, Alexander Smith Organizations: Casino, Monoprix, BNP, Credit Agricole, Carrefour, Reuters, France's, Naouri, Thomson Locations: PARIS, Czech, Natixis, Casino
Brent crude futures fell $2.95, or 3.9%, to settle at $71.84 a barrel, their lowest since Dec. 2021. Goldman Sachs cut its oil price forecasts early on Sunday, citing higher-than-expected supplies later this year and through 2024. The bank's December crude price forecast now stands at $86 a barrel for Brent, down from $95, and at $81 a barrel for WTI, down from $89. "The Fed meeting and inflation pressures remain key issues for the market this week," said Rob Haworth, senior investment strategist at U.S. Bank Asset Management. Also weighing on investors' minds, oil demand recovery has been muted in China, the top importer of crude oil and refined products.
Persons: Brent, Goldman Sachs, Goldman capitulating, Matt Smith, Robert Yawger, Rob Haworth, Haworth, Yawger, WTI, Shariq Khan, Noah Browning, Florence Tan, Mohi Narayan, Emelia Sithole, Jason Neely, Paul Simao, Sharon Singleton, Deepa Babington, David Gregorio Our Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Brent, West Texas, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank Asset Management, of Petroleum, International Energy Agency, Saudi, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, U.S, China
"The Saudi cut lifted prices slightly, and then the chatter of the potential return of Iranian barrels saw a large drop. Oil prices had risen early in the week, buoyed by Saudi Arabia's pledge over the weekend to cut more output on top of the cuts agreed earlier with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies. However, a rise in U.S. fuel stocks and weak Chinese export data have weighed on the markets. Some analysts expect oil prices to rise if the U.S. Federal Reserve pauses hiking interest rates at its next meeting over June 13-14. The Fed's decision may also influence Saudi Arabia's next move, analysts said.
Persons: Brent, Giovanni Staunovo, Saudi Arabia's, Rob Haworth, Craig Erlam, Shariq Khan, Shadia Nasralla, Yuka Obayashi, Marguerita Choy, Richard Chang Organizations: Saudi, Brent, U.S . West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Northern, U.S, Bank Asset Management, U.S . Federal, Thomson Locations: China, BENGALURU, U.S, Iran, Saudi, US
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCharles Schwab's Kevin Gordon on markets: Neither a bull nor a bear marketVictoria Fernandez, chief market strategist at Crossmark Global Investments, Kevin Gordon, senior investment research manager at Charles Schwab, and Tom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the debate between a bull and bear market, the rising cost of debt, and lagging performance in staples and value names.
Persons: Charles Schwab's Kevin Gordon, Victoria Fernandez, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, Tom Lee Organizations: Crossmark Global Investments, Fundstrat Global Advisors
It’s official. We’re in a bull market
  + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
The S&P 500 rallied Thursday to end the day in a bull market, marking a 20% surge since its most recent low, reached on October 12, 2022. Buoyed by gains in big technology stocks, the broad-based index closed at 4,293.93 and crossed the threshold that separates a bear market from a bull market — that’s investor-speak for a period of time marked by rising stock prices and optimism on Wall Street. “The key difference for us is that you tend to see bull markets coincide with economic expansions, not economic contractions.”Still, since the last bull market, we’ve had a war in Europe, a banking crisis and a debt crisis among other dramas. The duck marketThe current situation is a bit more nuanced than the bull market-bear market binary, said Kevin Gordon, senior investment strategist at Schwab. “Such narrowness is not what new bull markets are built on.”The bottom line: Investors should “avoid getting sucked into this as a new bull market,” said Samana.
Persons: bullish, ChatGPT, “ We’re, ” Sameer Samana, we’ve, , Kevin Gordon, Schwab, Lisa Shalett, they’ve, Sam Stovall, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Investors, Big Tech, Google, Apple, Nvidia, Federal, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, CNN, Tech, US, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Fed Locations: New York, Silicon Valley, Wells Fargo, Europe, Samana
Summary Futures down: Nasdaq 0.16%, Dow 0.13%, S&P 0.08%June 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Wednesday as investors remained cautious ahead of inflation data and the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next week, while worse-than-expected China exports data for May hit sentiment. U.S. shares have also been boosted by a rally in megacap stocks and a stronger-than-expected earnings season. However, some analysts say that profit-taking may be round the corner for big tech and other major growth stocks. ET, Dow e-minis were down 43 points, or 0.13%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 3.5 points, or 0.08%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 23.25 points, or 0.16%. Shares of Yext Inc jumped 18.4% premarket after the New York-based online marketing firm raised its annual earnings forecast.
Persons: Charalampos Pissouros, Wells Fargo, Shubham Batra, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, XM, Dow e, Netflix, Securities and Exchange Commission, Invest, Yext Inc, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, Coinbase, York, Bengaluru
A recipe for a bull market, apparently. “The key difference for us is that you tend to see bull markets coincide with economic expansions, not economic contractions.”Still, since the last bull market, we’ve had a pandemic, a war in Europe, a banking crisis and a debt crisis among other dramas. “Such narrowness is not what new bull markets are built on.”The bottom line: Investors should “avoid getting sucked into this as a new bull market,” said Samana. A nationwide UPS strike would be the largest work stoppage in US history, reports my colleague Vanessa Yurkevich. US Bankruptcies reach highest level in 13 yearsChapter 11 filings in the US have reached their highest levels since the end of the Great Recession, according to new data from S&P Global Market Intelligence..
Persons: “ We’re, ” Sameer Samana, we’ve, , Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, Lisa Shalett, they’ve, Vanessa Yurkevich, We’ve, Fred Zuckerman, pare Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, CNN, Tech, Nvidia, US, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, UPS, Teamsters, , Brotherhood of Teamsters, 1st, , , P Global Market Intelligence, Bed, P, Retail, City Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, Europe, Samana, America
Cash management bills mature in a relatively short time frame, ranging from a few days to a year, according to the Treasury. Unlike Treasury bill auctions that occur on a weekly and monthly basis, cash management bill auctions are irregular, though not uncommon. Over the past 25 years, the Treasury held six one-day cash management bill auctions. Yields on cash management bills, which are determined by the auction process, tend to be higher than regular fixed maturity bills. On Thursday, the Treasury auctioned $25 billion of three-day cash management bills yielding 6.15%.
Persons: Treasury hasn’t, Janet Yellen, Kevin McCarthy, Joe Biden, Biden, Cash, They’re, , Charlie Ripley Organizations: CNN, Treasury Department, Treasury, Senate, Allianz Investment Management
Refinitiv data shows foreigners sold $1.71 billion worth of mainland shares this month via Stock Connect, a key cross-border link between the mainland and Hong Kong exchanges, after selling $659 million in April. Despite outflows in February, April and May, foreigners' net purchases of mainland shares still stood at $25.05 billion for the first five months of this year, compared with net buying of about $6.36 billion worth over the whole of 2022. "Foreigners seem to have been selling because of the underwhelming near-term economic data points and, perhaps, because of the opportunities available to investors with a broader (pan-Asia or global) mandate," Pershad said. "We presume other investors have re-allocated some capital from China to those markets (and others) this year." Reporting By Patturaja Murugaboopathy and Gaurav Dogra in Bengaluru; Editing by Vidya Ranganathan & Simon Cameron-MooreOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Pruksa Iamthongthong, Refinitiv, Alexander Davey, Vikas Pershad, Pershad, Patturaja Murugaboopathy, Gaurav Dogra, Vidya Ranganathan, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: Stock Connect, Reuters, National Bureau of Statistics, P Global, PMI, Morningstar, Allianz All China Equity WT, HK, HSBC Asset Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, G Investments, Thomson Locations: Hong Kong, China, Morningstar ,, Taiwan, Shanghai, Asia, Bengaluru
Stock futures inched higher in overnight trading as traders looked ahead to Friday's May jobs report. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 31 points, or 0.09%, while S&P 500 futures added 0.08%. The Senate passed a bill to raise the debt ceiling late Thursday night, sending the bill to President Joe Biden's desk. With much of the debt ceiling drama in the rear-view mirror, investor attention pivots toward Friday's jobs report. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect that growth eased in May over the previous month, with 190,000 jobs added versus the 253,000 gained in April.
Persons: MongoDB, Stocks, Joe Biden's, Janet Yellen, Mona Mahajan, Edward Jones, Dow Jones Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S, Treasury, Dow Locations: U.S
Opinion | Two Ways of Looking at the Stock Market’s Rise
  + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Peter Coy | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Gains in the U.S. stock market this year have been concentrated among a handful of immensely valuable tech companies. Technology and communications services stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500 are up more than 30 percent this year to date. Consumer discretionary stocks are up this year as well — by around 18 percent — but all of the other eight S&P 500 sectors are down. What is the hyper-narrow stock market advance telling us about prospects for the economy, and should we pay attention? The pessimistic take is that it’s unhealthy for a market — and an economy — when all the good news is concentrated in a handful of sectors.
Persons: , ” JoAnne Feeney, ” Mona Mahajan, Edward Jones Organizations: Technology, Advisors Capital Management Locations: U.S, Ridgewood, N.J
Xiaolu Chu | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesFrom handshakes with Chinese officials to visits to China's top ministries, Elon Musk's visit to Beijing is putting the spotlight on China's place in the global electric vehicle market. The Tesla CEO's visit to China is a "very important one" for him, said Anthony Sassine, senior investment strategist at investment manager Kraneshares. Price warsTesla slashed prices for its EV sales in China last October and January, but subsequently raised prices again in May. "It signals how important the China market is to defend and how important it is to your global system, you need the scale of China working for you," he said on CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia." He noted that China the most competitive market for EVs, with Tesla competing with multiple local companies for supremacy.
Persons: Xiaolu Chu, Elon Musk's, Tesla, Anthony Sassine, Sassine, CNBC's, Musk, Jamie Dimon, Bill Russo, Russo Organizations: Getty, Kraneshares, Communist Party, Musk, JPMorgan, U.S, EVs Locations: Shanghai, China, Beijing, U.S
The easiest trade of the year is fizzling, and the lost momentum is keeping investors' money out. "I will not put any more money into stocks until all my losses are recovered," he said. Interviews with a dozen more small investors showed the sentiment to be reasonably widespread. Brokerage account creation, while volatile, likewise dropped off in April after promising momentum in February and March, China Securities Depository and Clearing data showed. "It is as if stocks are losing faith in the China recovery story," said Grow Investment Group chief economist Hong Hao.
The easiest trade of the year is fizzling, and the lost momentum is keeping investors' money out. Interviews with a dozen more small investors showed the sentiment to be reasonably widespread. Brokerage account creation, while volatile, likewise dropped off in April after promising momentum in February and March, China Securities Depository and Clearing data showed. "It is as if stocks are losing faith in the China recovery story," said Grow Investment Group chief economist Hong Hao. China's April industrial output and retail sales growth undershot forecasts as the recovery turned wobbly.
Persons: Eric Yu, Yi Huiman, Hong Hao, Wang Zaizheng, Chi Lo, Hayden Briscoe, Meng, Jason Xue, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: China Securities Regulatory, JPMorgan, China Securities Depository, Mutual, Grow Investment Group, Management, UBS Asset Management, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, China's, Shanghai, China, United States, Hong Kong, Asia, Pacific, Singapore
But it's also had its detractors , and some analysts have warned of the risks of investing in AI. One example is Meta, which has jumped over 100% this year partly as a result of its pivot from the metaverse to AI, Dietze said. How to invest Dietze and Ware agree on one thing: Avoid investing in pure-play AI companies. For such larger tech companies, AI is only going to be a small part of total revenues and profits — so it's safer, although returns will be more muted, he said. Ware added, "Forget making bets on 'pure play' AI companies with no earnings, no moat, and now [higher] costs of capital.
Oil gains after Saudi warns short-sellers: 'watch out'
  + stars: | 2023-05-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices rose on Tuesday on forecasts for a tighter gasoline market and a warning from the Saudi energy minister to speculators that raised the prospect of further OPEC+ output cuts. Brent crude futures rose 85 cents, or 1.1%, to settle at $76.84 a barrel, while the U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures settled at $72.91 a barrel, up 86 cents, or 1.2%. On Monday, prices rose 1% on optimism fed by a surge in U.S. gasoline futures. Gasoline futures rose 1.2% on Tuesday, with analysts expecting a third straight weekly decline in inventories ahead of peak summer travel season which starts on the U.S. Memorial Day holiday on May 29. Erlam added Brent crude prices need to rise above $77.50 a barrel to signal a sentiment shift.
Persons: U.S ., Craig Erlam, Erlam, Brent, haven't, Rob Haworth Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, U.S, U.S . Memorial, American Petroleum Institute, U.S . Energy, Administration, of Petroleum, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Bank Wealth Management Locations: Saudi, U.S, Russia, OPEC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEdward Jones' Mona Mahajan says tech trade has legs and should persistMona Mahajan, Edward Jones senior investment strategist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the tech trade and if it's a safe place for investors to get back in.
Good news for markets next week: no default, no credit agency downgrade, no apocalypse. Worrying 2011 precedent Recent history tells investors that stocks will move more violently during a debt ceiling standoff. Retail sales update Debt negotiations aside, investors get updates next week on the state of American consumer spending when April retail sales are reported Tuesday alongside earnings from Home Depot. Deutsche Bank estimates that April retail sales expanded month over month by 0.7%, the market consensus. Credit Suisse is less optimistic, forecasting that April retail sales grew by 0.6%, but, excluding vehicles, were unchanged.
[1/2] Model of natural gas pipeline, Russian and Chinese flags and Yuan and Rouble banknotes are seen in this llustration taken, September 7, 2022. "For now, and for the foreseeable next few years, I think the trade using RMB will predominantly be used for commodity and energy trade." Russian President Vladimir Putin has said that two-thirds of trade between Beijing and Moscow is now settled in roubles or yuan. Surging commodity imports pushed China's trade deficit with Russia to $38 billion last year, although the gap has narrowed in the first four months of 2023. Gazprom, which said last September it had agreed with CNPC to settle gas trade in roubles and yuan, did not respond to requests for comment.
"Markets reacted positively because they saw the inflation data as a small positive," said Michael Harris, president at hedge fund Quest Partners LLC. The rate-sensitive S&P 500 technology sector index (.SPLRCT) went up 1.22% and the communication services (.SPLRCL) rose 1.69%. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidIndexes were choppy during the session, as investors digested the positive inflation print with concerns about the looming debt ceiling. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 1.32-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.40-to-1 ratio favored advancers. The S&P 500 posted 18 new 52-week highs and 11 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 152 new lows.
The Labor Department's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 4.9% in April from a year ago and compared with expectations of a 5% increase. The lower-than-expected inflation data drove the Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC) up as much as 1.17% to its highest intraday level in more than eight months. The rate-sensitive S&P 500 technology sector index (.SPLRCT) rose 0.82%, while communication services (.SPLRCL) was up 1.21%. Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.17-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored advancers. The S&P 500 posted 14 new 52-week highs and 11 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 71 new highs and 135 new lows.
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