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Search resuls for: "UK intel"


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☆ Russia plans to send its strongest tanks to drive around Ukraine but is too scared to put them in combat, UK intel says
  + stars: | 2023-01-19 | by ( Sophia Ankel | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Russia may deploy its new T-14 Armata tanks in Ukraine, British intelligence said Thursday. But it is "unlikely to trust" the tank in combat given problems in its development, it said. "If Russia deploys T-14, it will likely primarily be for propaganda purposes," it concluded. "Production is probably only in the low tens, while commanders are unlikely to trust the vehicle in combat." The T-14 isn't the only advanced combat vehicle Russia appears to be using mostly for show in Ukraine.
☆ Russia's defense manufacturing sector is using convict labor to meet war-time demands: UK intel
  + stars: | 2023-01-13 | by ( Mia Jankowicz | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Russia announced it's using the forced labor of convicts to manufacture weaponry. The UK MOD said that manufacturers are likely under intense pressure to keep the army supplied. Russia, which reintroduced forced prison labor in 2017, has a prison population of around 400,000, as well as a system accused of perpetuating "extreme brutality and corruption," the UK MOD said. It is likely under "intense pressure" to produce more, the UK MOD said. The UK MOD report follows several signals that Russia, like Ukraine, is grappling with difficulties in keeping its front line supplied with a wide range of munitions.
☆ Ukraine's smart air defense threatens one of Russia's most advanced jets, leaving it too scared to use them, experts say
  + stars: | 2023-01-13 | by ( Sophia Ankel | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Since the start of the war, Russia's air force has struggled in combat over Ukraine. Moscow has been afraid to use them because of Ukraine's smart air defense, two experts told Insider. But, per an intelligence update earlier this week from the British ministry of defense, Russia has only used the jets from within its own airspace. Dr. Matthew Ford, a professor at the Swedish Defence University, also credited Ukraine's air defense to deterring Russian incursions. "[Ukraine's] air defense is sufficiently credible to make it open to question for the Russians as to whether they want to commit their air power," he added.
☆ Russia is scared to fly its best jets over Ukraine in case they're shot down and NATO gets hold of the wreckage, expert says
  + stars: | 2023-01-12 | by ( Sophia Ankel | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
An expert explained why to Insider: Russia fears the consequences of losing one. Per the British update, Russia sends the jets up and has them fire long-range missiles at targets in Ukraine. Bronk is an airpower & technology expert with the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) think tank in London. Bronk told Insider that Russia is scared of the consequences if a Su-57 was shot down and Ukraine's allies in NATO could study the wreckage. "They're being very cautious with their entire combat aircraft fleet, and despite that, they continue to take a steady trickle of losses," Bronk told Insider.
☆ Russia is holding back on using its most advanced fighter jets over Ukraine because it's scared they will get shot down, UK intel says
  + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( Sophia Ankel | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
Russia is using its most advanced combat jets against Ukraine, British intelligence said Monday. But the jets are only firing missiles into Ukraine from Russian territory, the brief added. Russia is keeping them back over worries about "reputational damage" if they're shot down, it said. In its latest intelligence update, the UK's Ministry of Defence said Moscow has "almost certainly" used Su-57 Felon fighter jets to conduct missions against Ukraine since at least June 2022. "These missions have likely been limited to flying over Russian territory, launching long-range air-to-surface or air-to-air missiles into Ukraine," the brief said.
☆ Russia's Wagner militia is openly and angrily feuding with its main military over the faltering invasion of Ukraine
  + stars: | 2022-12-28 | by ( Mia Jankowicz | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Wagner Group founder Yevgeny Prigozhin backed up criticisms of Russia's top general, the Daily Beast reported. It's more evidence of a rift at the top of Russia's military elite as the Ukraine war drags on. In the video, a Wagner fighter addresses comments to the Chief of the General Staff of Russia's army, Valery Gerasimov: "You are a fucking motherfucker," he said, per the Beast's translation. Asked to comment on the video, Prigozhin confirmed that it was his soldiers speaking, and defended them, the Beast reported. It's only the latest evidence of simmering tensions among Russia's military elite as they struggle to make headway in Ukraine — where once a total conquest was considered achievable within two days.
☆ Russia's Wagner Group officers hide in cover and watch with drones as 'expendable' troops are sent to die in Ukraine, UK intel says
  + stars: | 2022-12-19 | by ( Sophia Ankel | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
The Wagner Group paramilitary, known for brutality, is fighting on behalf of Russia in Ukraine. Wagner is one of the many feuding factions carrying out Russia's invasion of Ukraine alongside its main armed forces. The UK update said his Wagner militia was taking a "major role in attritional combat" in Ukraine's eastern Donetsk region. Prigozhin, was seen traveling to prisons and penal colonies in September to recruit soldiers after Russian troops suffered major losses in Ukraine. Since fighting in Ukraine, the group has been forced to lower its standards in order to replenish its ranks.
☆ Russian defector says training consisted of being given a weapon, a target and 5,000 bullets. Going to the front line left many broken.
  + stars: | 2022-12-14 | by ( Sinéad Baker | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
A Russian defector said his unit was given "no actual training" before being sent to Ukraine. Nikita Chibrin told CNN that training was just being given a weapon, a target, and 5,000 bullets. Nikita Chibrin told CNN that the training his unit received was just a commander giving soldiers a weapon, a target, and 5,000 bullets. They saw the war, they saw defeat, saw their [fellow] combatants being murdered, saw corpses." Chibrin told CNN that he was part of the 64th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade, which has been linked to alleged war crimes in Bucha.
☆ Russia’s army is so ineffective it will probably not be able to take much territory in Ukraine for ‘the next several months’, UK intel says
  + stars: | 2022-12-12 | by ( Sinéad Baker | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
The UK MOD said Russia looked unlikely to make any big gains in Ukraine for months. It's highly unlikely that Russia can generate an effective striking force in the coming months, it said. Ukraine, meanwhile, predicted an increase in its offensive moves once the ground freezes. The British defense ministry said in an intelligence update on Monday that "Russian ground forces are unlikely to make operationally significant advances within the next several months." On December 3, Avril Haines, the US National Intelligence Director, said that winter conditions are expected to slow the war, and that there was already a "reduced tempo."
☆ Russia is drafting soldiers with 'serious, chronic health conditions' to fight in Ukraine: UK intel
  + stars: | 2022-11-25 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Russia is drafting fighters with chronic health problems to fight in Ukraine, UK intelligence said. "Mobilized reservists have highly likely experienced particularly heavy casualties," it concluded. In an intelligence update Thursday, the ministry addressed the mobilization of reservists by the Russian military in its invasion of Ukraine. Russia ordered the mobilization of around 300,000 reservists in September, after its military suffered heavy casualties in its invasion of Ukraine. Both sides though have sustained heavy casualties.
☆ Russian troops are building new defensive positions nearly 40 miles behind current front lines, a sign they're planning for more retreats, UK intel says
  + stars: | 2022-11-18 | by ( Jake Epstein | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Russian troops are making new defensive positions miles behind the front lines, the UK said Friday. British intelligence said that these new positions suggest the Russian military is planning for more retreats. Ukrainian troops last week entered the southern city of Kherson after Russian President Vladimir Putin's defense chief ordered a retreat across the Dnipro (also called Dnieper) River. A Ukrainian tank is seen as Ukrainian Armed Forces' military mobility continue toward Kherson front in Ukraine on November 9, 2022. According to a recent assessment by the Washington-based think tank, the Institute for the Study of War, Russian forces have continued to attack Bakhmut, though Ukrainian forces have so far managed to repel the assaults.
☆ Drafted Russians were deployed to Ukraine without weapons and expected to dig trenches with their bare hands, relative says
  + stars: | 2022-11-07 | by ( Kit Gillet | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Hundreds of drafted Russians are already dead in Ukraine, Russian media reported. Earlier reports have highlighted the lack of training and equipment given to Russian soldiers. Hundreds of recently mobilized Russian soldiers have died on the front line in Ukraine's Luhansk region, according to Russian news outlets, following three days of shelling by the Ukrainian army. They were given four grenades, they dug the ground with their hands," Ekaterina Brazhnikova, the sister of a different mobilized soldier, told the news outlet. Earlier reports have highlighted the seemingly lack of training and equipment for Russian soldiers.
☆ Russia has likely deployed units meant to shoot its own retreating soldiers, UK intel says
  + stars: | 2022-11-04 | by ( Sinéad Baker | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Russia is likely using "blocking units" to threaten to shoot retreating soldiers, UK intel said. A UK intelligence briefing ascribed the move to "low morale and reluctance to fight." "These units threaten to shoot their own retreating soldiers in order to compel offensives and have been use in previous conflicts by Russian forces," it added. The defense ministry said that the tactic of shooting deserters "likely attests to the low quality, low morale, and indiscipline of Russian forces". Russian President Vladimir Putin has actively intervened to stop his troops retreating.
☆ UK intel says Russia is rushing reserve troops into battle with 'barely usable' rifles, creating a new kind of headache for Putin's generals
  + stars: | 2022-10-31 | by ( Jake Epstein | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Russia sent newly mobilized reservist troops to Ukraine with "barely usable" rifles, UK intel says. Britain's defense ministry said some of these soldiers are using guns designed in 1959. Citing open source imagery, however, Britain's defense ministry said that mobilized reservists who did show up with rifles were often issued with AKM assault rifles. Britain's defense ministry said many of the AKM rifles given to Russian reservists are "likely in barely usable condition following poor storage." Beyond the newly mobilized reservists, Russian forces — like conscripts — have had to use decades-old rifles that exited production long ago.
☆ A month after Putin started drafting Russians to fight in Ukraine, some are already coming home in body bags
  + stars: | 2022-10-21 | by ( Sinéad Baker | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
Some, Putin said, are trained for as little as 10 days, leading commentators to conclude they were effectively cannon fodder. In Western armies, it would likely be impossible to die within a month of enlistment, because training lasts much longer than that. Radio Free Europe, the US-funded outlet, also reported deaths among newly-mobilized men, swiftly returned to Russia in body bags. Alberque said the mobilized troops probably could not fight effectively — and may never have been meant to. David Betz, a professor in the War Studies department, also at King's said that so few mobilized troops had arrived that their effective casualty rate was "zero."
☆ Russia's military leadership has only become 'increasingly dysfunctional,' UK intel says
  + stars: | 2022-10-19 | by ( Natalie Musumeci | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
"There is almost certainly a worsening shortage of capable Russian junior officers to organize" drafted reservists, UK intel said. The UK's Ministry of Defense added, "Poor lower-level leadership is likely worsening the low morale." "Their replacements have so far done little to improve Russia's battlefield performance," the UK's Ministry of Defense said. The UK intelligence group explained that the "lack of command continuity" will be even more disruptive to Russia compared to a Western military because Russia's commanders personally plan troop movements instead of coordinating across the staff. "Poor lower-level leadership is likely worsening the low morale and poor unit cohesion in many parts of the Russian force," said the UK's Ministry of Defense.
☆ Russia denied using Iranian suicide drones to attack Ukraine, even though there are pictures of it
  + stars: | 2022-10-18 | by ( Kieran Corcoran | Sinéad Baker | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Russian on Tuesday denied deploying Iran-made suicide drones to attack Ukraine. A Russian drone is seen during a Russian drone strike, in Kyiv, Ukraine October 17, 2022. YASUYOSHI CHIBA/AFP via Getty Images; InsiderThe White House yesterday said that the drones used were Shahed-136 models. Britain's Ministry of Defence also said that Shahed-136 drones had been used in Ukraine, identifying them in an assessment published Tuesday. Denmark also said that Iranian drones were used, with its foreign minister saying on Monday: "Iranian drones are used apparently to attack in the middle of Kyiv, this is an atrocity."
☆ Putin is making strategic mistakes because nobody in the Kremlin can tell him he's wrong, UK intelligence chief says
  + stars: | 2022-10-11 | by ( Mia Jankowicz | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Putin's strategy is failing because he has "little effective internal challenge," per a UK intel chief. The remarks come after Putin launched a major bombardment of Ukrainian cities and facilities. The Russian leader has surrounded himself primarily with people who share his mindset, making internal challenges to his thinking exceedingly rare. Putin framed this as retaliation for an attack on the Kerch Strait Bridge over the weekend, state media reported. On Saturday, Putin named a notoriously brutal commander, Sergei Surovikin, to lead Russia's assault on Ukraine.
☆ The number of Russians fleeing the country to evade Putin's draft is bigger than the original invasion force, UK intel says
  + stars: | 2022-09-29 | by ( Mia Jankowicz | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
The UK's MOD said the number of fleeing Russians likely exceeds Putin's original invasion force. "Whilst exact numbers are unclear, it likely exceeds the size of the total invasion force Russia fielded in February 2022." According to the Associated Press, as of Wednesday at least 194,000 Russians have fled to Georgia, Kazakhstan and Finland alone. Those conservative estimates already exceed what the US had estimated to be the 190,000-strong invasion force that massed at Ukraine's border just prior to the invasion. The UK's MOD noted on Thursday that "the better off and well educated are over-represented amongst those attempting to leave Russia."
☆ Putin's new troops will suffer heavily in Ukraine as they will have basically no training, UK intel says
  + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( Sophia Ankel | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
The first Russian conscripts have arrived at military bases, a UK intelligence briefing said. Putin's new troops will be provided with "low-level initial training," the intel briefing said. As a result, they will suffer a "high attrition rate" in Ukraine, it added. His announcement was largely seen as a sign of the failure of Russia's military in Ukraine so far. "Even if they [Russian conscripts] don't have motivation, they'll have a gun."
☆ Putin's nuclear threats indicate the president is increasingly aware of how limited his military options are in Ukraine, Russia expert speculates
  + stars: | 2022-09-22 | by ( Erin Snodgrass | Kelsey Vlamis | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Vladimir Putin on Wednesday escalated his war in Ukraine with a direct threat of nuclear warfare. Putin is increasingly "aware of how limited his actual military options are," one expert said. During his televised speech, the president also baselessly accused the West of threatening to use nuclear weapons and responded with an acknowledgment of Russia's own nuclear arsenal. "It is clear that he is growing more and more aware of how limited his actual military options are in this war." A Russian nuclear missile rolls along Red Square during the military parade marking the 75th anniversary of Nazi defeat, on June 24, 2020 in Moscow, Russia.
☆ Putin is suffering 'legitimate humiliation' after misjudging the West's willingness to get involved in Ukraine war, Russia expert says
  + stars: | 2022-09-15 | by ( Erin Snodgrass | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Putin is likely humiliated as Russia's military losses mount in Ukraine, a Russia expert told Insider. Putin's personal vendetta against Ukraine and his misplaced assuredness in Russia's military supremacy likely blinded him to the Western world's willingness to come to Ukraine's aid. "He misjudged the willingness of western governments and firms to take a hit to punish Russia, and certainly the willingness of Europe to imperil their supply of gas." The US, too, has had to make sacrifices as a result of Russia's war in Ukraine. Russia's mounting military losses in conjunction with the Western world's rallying behind Ukraine is a worst-case scenario for Putin.
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