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☆ ‘We’re at a tipping point:’ What to expect from the jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-07 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Minneapolis CNN —The US labor market has kept trucking right along even as other areas of the economy have slowed. ET Friday when the Bureau of Labor Statistics drops the heavily anticipated jobs report for March. On Wednesday, the latest private-sector jobs report from payroll processor ADP came in at 145,000 for March, landing below expectations. There still remains uncertainty about the extent to which those and other layoffs may ripple through the broader labor market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release its March jobs report at 8:30 a.m.

☆ ‘We’re at a tipping point:’ What to expect from the jobs report on Friday
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-06 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Minneapolis CNN —The US labor market has kept trucking right along even as other areas of the economy have slowed. Just how much of a shift there is could become even clearer on Friday when the Bureau of Labor Statistics drops the heavily anticipated jobs report for March. On Wednesday, the latest private-sector jobs report from payroll processor ADP came in at 145,000 for March, landing below expectations. There still remains uncertainty about the extent to which those and other layoffs may ripple through the broader labor market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to release its March jobs report on Friday at 8:30 a.m.

☆ Gen Z, Millennials Are Now As Sick and Tired of Their Jobs As Boomers
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-03 | by ( Aki Ito | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +14 min

Young workers may not possess the experience or wisdom of their older colleagues. When Gartner asked people what was preventing them from going into the office, Gen Zers were more likely than other generations to cite social anxiety. Pollak, the consultant, told me about a client who complained that their Gen Z employees were "abusing" the company's vacation policy. But these are the very people who can help young workers feel more seen and motivated in their jobs. My suggestions are targeted to shore up engagement among young workers, but they'd actually be good for everyone.

☆ Takeaways from the February jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Minneapolis CNN —February’s jobs report had a little something for everyone. In February, the construction industry added 24,000 jobs, marking 12 consecutive months of employment growth. Friday’s report showed that “a modicum of slack crept back into the jobs market,” wrote Wells Fargo economists Sarah House and Michael Pugliese. However, Friday’s jobs report likely won’t spur a more dovish turn from the Fed, said Sean Snaith, an economist and director of the University of Central Florida’s Institute for Economic Forecasting. “We didn’t go from a four-alarm fire to a five-alarm fire with this data report, but the inflation flames aren’t out either,” he wrote in a note Friday.

☆ What to expect from the February jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Minneapolis CNN —January’s jobs report delivered a heck of a surprise when it showed the US economy had added more than half a million jobs and unemployment had dipped to a level not seen in more than five decades. But economists say they are not bracing for another blindside when the February jobs report comes out on Friday morning. “If we get a second strong jobs report [on Friday], it’s no longer an anomaly,” Terrazas added. Seasonality, benchmarking and the interplay of pandemic-era data don’t completely explain away January’s blockbuster jobs report, economists say, noting there are likely influences from the currently tight labor market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ February jobs report is set to be released at 8:30 a.m.

☆ Layoffs are still historically low, so why does it feel like everyone's losing their job?
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

The layoffs and discharges rate in January was 1.1%, which remains historically low. While BLS data may show a low US layoff rate overall, tech layoff announcements are important, given Pollak said that tech and finance are "synonymous with Americans' aspirations generally." "Those markets are very exposed to tech layoffs, and tech plays a disproportionate role in the economy," Terrazas added. Pollak told Insider that the layoffs at tech companies are "relatively small" and that "many companies also are not pursuing layoffs across the board." Despite the layoff rate being very low, job seekers may still be concerned about these headlines.

☆ February jobs preview: What to expect after January’s blowout report
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Minneapolis CNN —January’s jobs report delivered a heck of a surprise when it showed the US economy had added more than half a million jobs and unemployment had dipped to a level not seen in more than five decades. But economists say they are not bracing for another blindside when the February jobs report comes out on Friday. “I think most economists were comfortable dismissing the January jobs data as an anomaly,” Aaron Terrazas, Glassdoor’s chief economist, told CNN. “If we get a second strong jobs report [on Friday], it’s no longer an anomaly,” Terrazas added. Seasonality, benchmarking and the interplay of pandemic-era data don’t completely explain away January’s blockbuster jobs report, economists say, noting there are likely influences from the currently tight labor market.

☆ Full-time office work is 'dead': 3 labor experts weigh in on the future of remote work
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

watch nowInitially, remote work was seen as a necessary measure to contain the spread of the virus. Twitter recently shut its Seattle offices as a cost-cutting measure and told employees to work from home, a reversal from an earlier position that employees work at least 40 hours a week in the office. "It's still an evolving trend, but the movement is very much toward increased remote work," Pollak said. Remote work may endure even in a recessionNot everyone agrees that the benefits of working from home outweigh costs. Evidence suggests employee mentoring, innovation and company culture may suffer if jobs are fully remote, Bloom said.

☆ Hybrid workers earn more than remote and in-person workers, according to new research—here's why
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( Morgan Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Hybrid workers who spend one to four days in the office a week earn more than people with fully remote or in-person jobs, according to recent data from WFH Research. The research, conducted by Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Shelby Buckman, and Steven J. Davis, found that hybrid workers make at least $80,000 per year on average. For remote jobs, companies can source candidates from places that have a lower cost of living, whether it's a different state or a different country altogether, reducing their hiring costs and, in turn, remote workers' earnings, Julia Pollak, chief economist at ZipRecruiter, points out. People in remote jobs are also more willing to take a pay cut in exchange for better work-life balance, Pollak says. Citing workers' willingness to sacrifice higher pay for greater flexibility, Barrero expects the pay gap between remote and in-person workers to shrink in the coming months — but hybrid workers will continue to earn the most.

☆ Laid off tech workers finding higher paying jobs within months, says ZipRecruiter's Julia Pollak
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLaid off tech workers finding higher paying jobs within months, says ZipRecruiter's Julia PollakJulia Pollak, ZipRecruiter chief economist, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the hiring spree in tech despite the massive layoffs affecting the sector.

☆ Meet a woman who regrets quitting her job in July because the job search has gotten 'bleak'
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-08 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

According to Joblist's second quarter of 2022 report, 26% of "job seekers who quit their previous job" regret the move. Kristen is still hoping things will work out and that she will land a job soon, but is feeling some regrets. I wish I would've not quit my first job," Kristen said. "I wish so many different things would've fallen into place. But, at the end of the day, I can't wish things away."

☆ It's the perfect time to find a new job — but don't wait because the window will close this year
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-05 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

It's still a good time to apply and get a job according to labor market data, survey results, and experts. "The best job seeker's market in over 50 years"According to Julia Pollak, chief economist at ZipRecruiter, now is a great time to find a job. "If I was a job seeker I would think this is still a job seekers' labor market," Nick Bunker, economic research director for North America at Indeed Hiring Lab, told Insider. But this is still very much a labor market that's giving lots of advantages to people who are looking for new work." Despite the strong labor market, some workers out of work or impacted by recent layoff announcements may have a hard time finding a job soon.

☆ The US started 2023 with a stunning surprise labor market boom, adding 517,000 jobs in January
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US added 517,000 jobs in January, starting the year with surprisingly strong job creation. January's job growth far surpasses the forecast of 185,000 jobs added. The US added 517,000 jobs in January, according to nonfarm payrolls data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Job growth in December was revised from 223,000 to 260,000. Fed Chair Jerome Powell pointed out how job growth has been at a press conference Wednesday after the Fed increased interest rates by 25 basis points.

☆ The current job market is a ‘juggernaut,’ economist says. Here are 6 things to know as a jobseeker
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Unemployment is at historic lowsThe unemployment rate fell to 3.4% in January — the lowest since May 1969. In fact, you'd have to go back to October 1953 to find a lower unemployment rate (3.1%). "The job market is still strong, and workers have opportunities to go out and find a job that's a better fit for them," Zhao said. "The thing that strikes me the most about the labor market is there aren't layoffs," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. That's not necessarily a bad sign — the job market was also strong in the run-up to the pandemic.

☆ Is the Fed ignoring long Covid in its inflation fight?
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

But it’s premature to say that Covid is no longer an economic issue when long Covid has such a significant effect on America’s workforce, economists and health care officials say. Long Covid, which stems from a Covid-19 infection, is considered a chronic illness that is sometimes debilitating. As many as 30% of Americans, about 23 million people, develop long Covid after a Covid infection, said the US Department of Health and Human Services in November. “Long Covid has harmed the workforce,” said the report, compiled by the New York State Insurance Fund. Caregiving for those suffering from Covid or long Covid is also affecting the labor imbalance, said Giacomo Santangelo, an economics professor at Fordham University.

☆ What to look for in Friday’s jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-02 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Minneapolis CNN —A week that has been chock-full of economic data will be capped off Friday with the first US jobs report of 2023. Beyond the key headline indicators of payroll gains, unemployment and average hourly earnings, here are some other areas of the jobs report that Pollak and other economists will scrutinize when the January jobs report is released Friday morning. Average weekly hoursIn December, the average working week for employees — including part-time workers — was 34.3 hours, according to BLS data. Labor force participationThe imbalance of labor demand and worker supply has been consistently highlighted by the Fed as a potential sticking point in its efforts to lower inflation. The world has changed pretty dramatically over the last two to three years, and it’s going to be difficult to show people that the skills they possess are needed right now.”The government’s monthly jobs report is scheduled to be released at 8:30 a.m.

☆ 2022 was the ‘real year of the Great Resignation,' says economist
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-01 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

More than 50 million workers quit their jobs in 2022, according to federal data, breaking a record set the year prior and demonstrating the resilience of a hot labor market characterized by ample job opportunity. But while quitting a job "was the 2021 story, 2022 was the real year of the Great Resignation," said Julia Pollak, chief economist at ZipRecruiter. The trend of elevated quitting came to be known as the Great Resignation. Americans turned to the social media site TikTok to post "Quit-Toks," and to Reddit forums to share stories about quitting and resignation text messages to bosses. About 50.5 million people quit their jobs in 2022, beating out the 47.8 million in 2021, according to Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey data issued Wednesday.

☆ Job openings unexpectedly jump to 11 million in December
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-01 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The 11 million openings for December is the highest since July. The largest increases in job openings were in accommodation and food services, which were up 409,000; retail trade, up 134,000; and construction, up 82,000, according to the BLS report. “The labor market continues to defy the recession predictions of experts,” said Christopher Rupkey, chief economist with FwdBonds, in a statement. Layoffs increased to 1.47 million from 1.41 million in November, and the number of people quitting their jobs ticked down to 4.09 million from 4.1 million. Still, there may be something more than meets the eye in December’s openings number, she added.

☆ Mass tech layoffs don't signal a recession, but this trend could
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( Jennifer Liu | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

" Loud layoffs " in tech have a disproportionate chilling effect, says ZipRecruiter chief economist Julia Pollak, because they're happening at household name-companies that just experienced rapid growth. But while these job losses are sudden and no doubt disruptive to the people impacted, they're not the wave of job cuts that would signal a recession, economists say. "We're not in a recession yet" and may not realize we're in one until it's over, says ADP chief economist Nela Richardson. Tech companies may be "pruning" their headcount, Richardson adds, but they're still investing in building future technology, and by extension, workforces. "We've entered a new era of the labor market," Richardson says, "where just-in-time supply of goods or workers has been disrupted, and workers may not be there when you need them."

☆ Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft lay off thousands — but tech jobs are still hot in 2023, Indeed finds
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-26 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Google announced plans on Friday to lay off 12,000 people, the biggest reduction in the company's 25-year history. Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg and Amazon CEO Andy Jassy alluded to this overextension when explaining the rationale for their respective layoff plans. Tech skills are in 'high demand'Tech skills are in "high demand across the economy," Julia Pollak, chief economist at ZipRecruiter, wrote in November. "Had tech companies continued growing at the breakneck 2020-2021 pace, they would have monopolized U.S. tech talent and made it impossible for employers in non-tech industries to hire tech talent," she said. Aside from good news for existing tech workers, high demand for technical skills is also a "big sign" of where opportunities exist for those starting or switching careers, Indeed said.

☆ Economists say there is a 61% likelihood for a recession in 2023, and businesses are preparing
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-16 | by ( Alexandra York | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Economists say there is a 61% likelihood for a recession in 2023, according to the Wall Street Journal survey. Some say high interest rates will push the US economy into the recession. For instance, some say higher interest rates will push the U.S. economy into a recession this year. Regardless, businesses and workers alike are preparingSince the middle of 2022, businesses and workers have continued preparing for the economic downturn to come. Despite today's economic fears, now is actually a beneficial time to start these small businesses, financial experts told Insider.

☆ One chart shows how employment has changed throughout the US economy almost 3 years after the start of the pandemic
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-14 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The US labor market has been above its pre-pandemic February 2020 employment level for a while. Some sectors are still below pre-pandemic employment almost three years since the official start of the pandemic. While leisure and hospitality isn't back at its pre-pandemic employment level, it still has been experiencing large monthly job gains as workers are needed to meet demand. Air transportation was 11.7% above its February 2020 employment level in December. It continued to expand throughout the pandemic and was 30.8% above its pre-pandemic employment as of December.

☆ If you want higher pay, your chances are better now than in 6 months, says expert: 'Make your moves as soon as possible'
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Higher pay has been needed to keep up with inflation. Wage growth, based on average hourly earnings, is up 4.6% from a year ago. watch now"People who switch jobs are much more likely to be getting a raise above inflation than people who are staying in their jobs," Zhao said. But with a possible economic downturn looming, workers seeking higher pay face a more complex decision as to whether to stay or go. With pay rates so competitive now, even some laid-off workers are finding higher offers than what they were earning before, according to Pollak.

That's good news, since the Federal Reserve has been trying to tame wage growth. Cooling wage growth could mean the Fed won't need to induce a recession to bring down inflation. Bunker said that wage growth "is still robust but starting to moderate a little bit." And wage growth has slowed even more when looking at data from the most recent months, rather than just the year-over-year change. "We're seeing wage growth at 4.6% year-over-year.

☆ Here's where the jobs are for December 2022 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-06 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The December jobs report beat expectations once again, as key service sectors continued to show strong growth. Health care and social services led the way with a gain of more than 74,000 jobs last month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said in its report, released Friday. Pollak added that both sectors look poised for long-term growth due to changing consumer trends and an aging population. Retail trade and the transportation and warehousing sector also posted slight gains after shedding jobs the previous two months. Professional and business services saw the largest decline of the above sectors, shedding 6,000 jobs.

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