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Treasury yields little changed ahead of key jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.6934% after rising by less than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields held steady on Friday as markets reopened after the July 4 holiday and investors awaited the latest nonfarm payroll data. Key economic data is expected in form of the June jobs report on Friday. The report is expected to show that nonfarm payrolls added 200,000 jobs in June, according to economists polled by Dow Jones. Many investors are hoping that Friday's jobs data will indicate that the labor market and economy are cooling, as this could support the case for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.
Persons: payrolls, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, ADP, Federal Reserve
Yen drops to 38-year low, U.S. dollar slumps after weak data
  + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
A report indicating that the U.S. services sector contracted last month and factory orders fell also weighed on the dollar. The dollar was last up 0.1% at 161.64, after earlier falling to a session low below 161 following weak U.S. data. The yen also hit an all-time low of 174.48 against the euro . The euro rose to a three-week high against the dollar, and was last up 0.3% at $1.0781. Further pressuring the dollar was a weak U.S. services report from the Institute for Supply Management.
Persons: Sterling, Helen, , Shunichi Suzuki, Jonas Goltermann, nonfarm Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, Monex USA, U.S, Finance, ADP, Reuters, Capital Economics, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Fed Locations: United States, Washington ., U.S
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock ExchangeS&P 500 futures are near flat Thursday night as investors readied for Friday's closely watched jobs report. Futures connected to the broad index sat near their flatline, while Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.1%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 19 points, or 0.1%. Economists polled by Dow Jones are forecasting nonfarm payroll adds of 200,000 jobs in June and the unemployment rate to hold steady at 4%. "Friday's payroll report should help clarify the underlying strength of the labor market," said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial.
Persons: Dow Jones, Quincy Krosby Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Federal, Institute for Supply Management, LPL, Dow
Payroll gains so far in 2024 have totaled 1.24 million, down about 50,000 a month below the same period a year ago. "Specifically, I'm thinking more about the unemployment rate, which has been slowly trending up." Under normal circumstances, a 4% unemployment rate would be cause for celebration, not concern. The May rate was 0.5 percentage point above its 12-month low of 3.5% in July 2023, potentially triggering a recession indicator called the Sahm Rule. The rule has shown consistently that whenever the unemployment rate on a three-month average eclipses its 12-month low by half a percentage point, the economy is in recession.
Persons: nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Nick Bunker, it's
Gold inches up after weak data fuels U.S. rate cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices drifted higher on Thursday after softer-than-expected U.S. economic data fueled hopes that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates as soon as September. Spot gold was up 0.3% at $2,362.10 per ounce, as of 0200 GMT after hitting a near two-week high in the previous session. U.S. economic data on Wednesday, including a weak services and ADP employment reports, showed a slowing economy. "A softer-than-expected ISM services report was the gift that Fed doves have been waiting for ahead of a NFP. Markets are now pricing in a 74% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates at its September meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Matt Simpson Organizations: Federal, Traders, NFP, U.S Locations: U.S
CNBC Daily Open: Tesla powers S&P 500, Nasdaq to record highs
  + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Record highsThe S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite closed at record highs in a shortened session ahead of the July 4 Independence Day holiday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell as the latest economic data indicated the jobs market was cooling. Despite some officials advocating for potential rate hikes, the Federal Open Market Committee ultimately decided to hold rates steady. [PRO] Tesla bull caseWedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his Tesla price target to $300 from $275, with a bull case of $400 by 2025.
Persons: Nela Richardson, Elliott Management's, Elliott, Bob Jordan, Gary Kelly, JPMorgan's Kolanovic, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Dubravko, Dan Ives Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Federal, Market Committee, ADP, Southwest Airlines Locations: U.S
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by less than one basis point to 4.4375%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.7538% after rising by over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields held steady on Wednesday as investors looked ahead to key data and digested remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Recent inflation readings indicated that "we are getting back on the disinflationary path," he said. The figures could be a further hint about whether the economy is cooling, and therefore what the path ahead for interest rates could look like.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Fed
Private payroll growth edged lower in June, according to a report Wednesday from ADP that indicates a potential slowdown in the U.S. labor market. Companies added 150,000 jobs for the month, below the upwardly revised 157,000 in May and the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 160,000. The sector added 63,000 jobs, easily the biggest gain among the categories that payrolls processing firm ADP measures. ADP's report serves as a precursor to the more closely watched nonfarm payrolls count that the Labor Department will release Friday. For May, the BLS reported that private payrolls rose by 229,000, or 72,000 more than ADP's estimate.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson, Job switchers Organizations: Companies, Labor Department, ADP, of Labor, BLS Locations: U.S
US stocks were slightly higher on Wednesday after the latest private payroll report. Private payrolls rose 150,000 jobs last month, fewer than expected. Markets are looking ahead to the June nonfarm payroll report as the next key data point. AdvertisementUS stocks ticked higher on Wednesday as traders took in softer-than-expected jobs data. ADP data showed private payrolls grew just 150,000 last month, less than the 160,000 jobs economists expected.
Persons: payrolls, , Nela Richardson Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, ADP, Federal Reserve, Independence
New York CNN —Inflation rates in Canada, the EU and Australia have popped higher in recent months. But that disconnect appears to be fading as inflation rates in the US continue to ease. The US also had a recent scare as inflation rates ticked higher. But after a year of the Fed holding interest rates steady at a 23-year high, inflation rates in the United States are once again declining. High inflation readings around the globe are concerning investors, José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers, told CNN.
Persons: , Brent Schutte, Schutte, José Torres, Torres, payrolls, Chewy, Keith Gill, Krystal Hur, Gill, Ryan Cohen, Jordan Valinsky, CSSE Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, EU, Federal, Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Interactive Brokers, CNN, Investors, Bank for International, BIS, Securities, Exchange, GameStop, Soul Entertainment, BBC, Sony Pictures, Walmart, Walgreens, Apollo Global Management, Sony, Netflix Locations: New York, Canada, Australia, United States, Europe, Redbox
The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than two basis points higher to 4.7453%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Monday as investors awaited key economic data due this week and digested the latest inflation insights. Investors considered the latest economic data and looked ahead to insights from the labor market expected this week. Further insights about the state of the economy are expected this week, when a series of labor market data is due. Should the numbers indicate an easing of the labor market, hopes for interest rate cuts could be boosted.
Persons: Dow Jones, ADP's Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, Federal Reserve
The U.S. stock market will be closed Thursday for the Fourth of July holiday. Economic data The main event is Friday's June nonfarm payrolls report, which is among the most important monthly data releases for investors. The ADP report isn't as market moving as the nonfarm payrolls report, but expect investors to use to game the nonfarm payrolls report out later in the week. The June ISM Services report on Wednesday also will shed light on services in the U.S. economy. ET: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust is long STZ.
Persons: Dow, we're, Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Democrats —, Thursday's, , we'll, nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Payrolls, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael Nagle Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Walgreens, Nike, Republicans, Democrats, Energy, Utilities, Constellation Brands, Labor, Corona, Cinco, Industrial, Markets, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S
US indexes ended the day lower, despite market excitement over the latest PCE data. The stock market closed 2024's first half strongly, with the S&P 500 up nearly 15%. "The soft inflation data will build the case that the Fed can start cutting rates in the coming months," LPL Financial chief economist Jeffrey Roach said. Currently, futures markets are pricing in the odds of twoThe soft inflation reading was not enough to keep the indexes in the green through Friday, but the stock market still strongly closed out the first half of 2024. Could these be harbingers of weakness to come, or will they take over as market leaders in the second half?"
Persons: , Jeffrey Roach, that's, David Morrison, Dow, Russell Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Financial, Here's
A weakening jobs market could trigger a 10% stock correction, says Morgan Stanley CIO Mike Wilson. He told Bloomberg that if non-farm payrolls fall under 100,000, it could break the soft-landing narrative. AdvertisementThe job market could make or break stocks, with any sudden weakness possibly triggering a meaningful correction, Morgan Stanley CIO Mike Wilson told Bloomberg TV. Mike Wilson said. For this reason, current market highs make sense, he told Bloomberg, as investors load in on quality on growth trades.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Organizations: Bloomberg, Treasury, Service, Federal Reserve
Jerome Powell, Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, speaks during the conference celebrating the Centennial of the Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington D.C., United States on November 08, 2023. None of those numbers are dramatically different from the April readings, and still show inflation running well above the Fed's 2% target. Central bankers prefer the Commerce Department's measure of personal consumption expenditures prices, a broader measure that also accounts for changes in consumer behavior. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is scheduled to release the CPI report at 8:30 a.m. The Fed meeting
Persons: Jerome Powell, Celal Gunes, Jonathan Pingle, Pingle, tinker, Jack Janasiewicz, , Janasiewicz Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, of Research, Statistics, Governors, Federal, System, Washington D.C, Getty, Anadolu, Federal Reserve, UBS, CPI, Investment, Labor Statistics Locations: Washington, United States, Anadolu
The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than two basis points higher to 4.8909%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Monday as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and key inflation data due this week. Due this week are the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision and policy guidance, as well as fresh key economic data, including inflation data. The Fed is due to meet Tuesday and Wednesday, and is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at the conclusion of its meeting. Policymakers have repeatedly said that they are looking for more data evidence to be sure that inflation is easing sustainably toward the 2% target before making interest rate cuts.
Persons: downwardly Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal
Euro slips to one-month low as Macron calls French election
  + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
It was last down 0.24% at $1.0776 as investors weighed the implications of renewed political uncertainty in the euro zone's second-biggest economy in a key election year. "But the exchange rate is still more likely to be influenced by this week's U.S. inflation data and FOMC meeting." The jobs data led traders to once again shift their expectations of when the Fed will cut rates and by how much. Markets are now pricing in 36 basis points of cuts this year compared to nearly 50 bps — or at least two cuts — before the jobs data. U.S. inflation data is also due on Wednesday.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Macron, Mansoor Mohi, Uddin, Ryan Brandham, Jerome Powell, Marc Chandler, Sterling Organizations: European Union, Federal Reserve, Bank Of Singapore, European Central Bank, Reuters, North America, Validus Risk, Bannockburn Global, The Bank of Japan Locations: European, Asia, France's, U.S, ., Bannockburn, New York
All three major averages closed higher for the week, shrugging off Friday's hotter than expected jobs report. No portfolio names reported this week, but we will hear from one last stock next week. Last quarterly Club stock report : Broadcom reports on Wednesday after the closing bell. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, FactSet, We'll, we've, Jerome Powell, Siri, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Tim Cook, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Technology, Utilities, PPI, Broadcom, VMWare, Apple's, Sports, GameStop, Oracle, Casey's, Buster's Entertainment, Oxford Industries, Signet Jewelers, SIG, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Apple, Apple Worldwide Locations: FactSet, Cupertino , California
Market wrap : Stocks were mixed and drifting in Friday afternoon trading. Wall Street's earlier gains Friday came despite a surge in bond yields and another pushout of Federal Reserve interest rate cut odds. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, Friday's, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Abbott Laboratories, Nvidia, Apple, Developers, FDA, Broadcom, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on June 03, 2024 in New York City. Beyond signaling a still-vibrant labor market, the data at the very least adds to the narrative that the Fed doesn't have to rush to lower interest rates. Even with the unemployment rate rising to 4% in May, the labor market appears vibrant. However, on the other side of the mandate, inflation is still running well above the Fed's target. Most gauges have prices rising annually at about a 3% rate, down significantly from the peaks of mid-2022 but still running hot.
Persons: I've, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal Reserve, Labor Statistics Locations: New York City
Stock price information reflected on a window at the Euronext NV stock exchange in Paris, France, on Monday, March 13, 2023. LONDON — European stocks closed lower on Friday, as investors digested fresh U.S. jobs data and the European Central Bank's latest interest rate commentary. All major bourses and almost all sectors traded in the red, with utilities down 1% as health-care stocks added 0.5%. U.S. stocks were mixed following the release, with the S&P 500 hitting a fresh record high as the Nasdaq Composite dipped. Closely behind was Geert Wilders' anti-immigration party, which looks set to have won seven seats.
Persons: Dow Jones, Geert Wilders Organizations: LONDON, Central, Nasdaq, Labour Locations: Paris, France, U.S, Europe, Netherlands
At the same time, the unemployment rate rose to 4%, the first time it has breached that level since January 2022. The increase came even though the labor force participation rate decreased to 62.5%, down 0.2 percentage point. The survey of households used to compute the unemployment rate showed that the level of people who reported holding jobs fell by 408,000. A more encompassing unemployment figure that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons held steady at 7.4%. The household survey also showed that full-time workers declined by 625,000, while those holding part-time positions increased by 286,000.
Persons: Dow Jones, you've, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Joe Raedle Organizations: Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Getty Locations: U.S, Miami , Florida
The next rate decision from the Federal Reserve coupled with May inflation data, both on Wednesday, will play key roles in how stocks perform next week — quite probably lending added volatility to an already jittery market. The Fed's rate decision All eyes are on the Fed next week and its rate decision that's set to come down at 2 p.m. Wednesday. But investors have tempered expectations since then amid a spate of stubborn inflation data. That makes May's consumer price index report due out before the bell Wednesday another key focal point for investors. Economists polled by Dow Jones are bracing for the consumer price index to rise 3.4% year over year and 0.1% on a monthly basis.
Persons: nonfarm, Kathryn Kaminski, Scott Wren, they've, it's, Tony Roth, Envestnet's Dana D'Auria, D'Auria, Dow Jones, Wells, Wren, John Belton, Apple, Jerome Powell, John Wiley Friday Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, GameStop, Dow, AlphaSimplex Group, Fed, Federal Open Market, European Central Bank, European Union, Wells Fargo Investment, Wilmington Trust's, CPI, Apple's Worldwide, Broadcom, Dave, Treasury, Signet Jewelers, University of Michigan Locations: Wells Fargo, Cupertino , California
U.S. President Joe Biden speaks about the economy at the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 26 union, in Lanham, Maryland, on Feb. 15, 2023. President Joe Biden touted the far better-than-expected May jobs report, boasting about "the great American comeback" and calling out Congressional Republicans' economic plan in a statement on Friday. The unemployment rate rose from 3.9% to 4% at the same time, and the labor force participation rate decreased slightly to 62.5%. "The great American comeback continues, but we still have to make more progress," Biden said. "On my watch, 15.6 million more Americans have the dignity and respect that comes with a job.
Persons: Joe Biden, Dow Jones, Biden Organizations: International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, Republicans, payrolls, U.S . Department of Labor, Federal Reserve Locations: Lanham , Maryland, U.S
Jim Cramer's week ahead: Fed meeting and CPI report
  + stars: | 2024-06-07 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday guided investors through next week's most market-moving events, highlighting the Federal Reserve's meeting and the latest consumer price index report. Nvidia will implement its 10-for-1 stock split, and Cramer said shares might drop on Monday as buyers take profits. Oracle reports on Tuesday, and Cramer said he's not sure how this enterprise software company will fare. Casey's General Stores will also report that day, and Cramer said business is strong and the stock has been "a total winner." In that vein, the Fed will likely leave rates higher for longer at its Wednesday meeting, Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Jay Powell, Eli Lilly, Cramer, Eli Lilly's, he's, hasn't, nonfarm, He'll Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Apple's, Conference, Vision Pro, FDA, Oracle, Casey's, Broadcom, Signet, Adobe Locations: Figma
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