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☆ The stock market is approaching 2 catalysts that will spark the next leg of the bull run, market vet says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The record stock market rally will get a boost from key economic data and earnings results, Ed Yardeni said. Yardeni highlighted strong company earnings and profit margins supporting the market in a way it didn't in 2000. AdvertisementThe stock market rally is set to continue this week as investors digest two key pieces of economic data and an onslaught of second-quarter earnings results. "We've acknowledged that the current stock market rally is reminiscent of the valuation-led market meltup of the 1990s. "We're expecting S&P 500 earnings per share of $250, $270, and $300 in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, —, We've, we've, Yardeni, We're Organizations: Service, Yardeni Research, PCE, Federal Reserve

☆ Stock market today: Tech drives market rebound as investors brace for earnings and fresh data
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The tech sector drove US stocks higher on Monday ahead of key economic data releases this week. The Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 both rose over 1%, reversing some of last week's sharp decline. AdvertisementUS stocks surged on Monday, with technology stocks leading the way as investors brace for a slew of earnings results and economic data. Investors will be focused on two big economic data points this week, as well as a steady flow of second-quarter earnings results. AdvertisementThat will be followed by the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the PCE index, at 8:30 a.m. on Friday.

Persons: — Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Federal, Visa, Texas Locations: Fundstrat, Here's

☆ Investors see Broadcom catching up to Nvidia as the next big AI play, Citi says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Broadcom is emerging as a strong AI stock pick, according to Citi. The bank said Broadcom is seeing an uptick in its AI business as it gains new customers like OpenAI and Bytedance. "We also believe there is some investor fatigue with NVDA," Citi said. AdvertisementBroadcom is gaining ground on Nvidia as the next hot AI stock among investors, according to a Monday note from Citi. We also believe there is some investor fatigue with NVDA," Citi said.

Persons: — Organizations: Broadcom, Citi, Service, Nvidia, Nasdaq, VMware, NXP Semiconductors, Micron, MU, Samsung Locations: New York, Connecticut, 3Q24

☆ Investors are about to find out if the mega-cap tech rally is over
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Mega-cap tech stocks have a lot to prove with upcoming second-quarter earnings results. The long-term outperformance of mega-cap tech relative to small-cap stocks is being tested by slowing revenue growth. AdvertisementThe mega-cap tech rally hit a wall in recent weeks as investors turned their attention to small-cap stocks in a historic way. That's in stark contrast to the dominance of mega-cap tech stocks relative to small-cap stocks over the past one-, three-, five-, and ten-years. Investors will get their first taste of mega-cap tech earnings on Tuesday, with Tesla and Alphabet set to release their second-quarter results after the market close.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, Russell, David Kostin, Kostin, That's Organizations: Service, Vanguard, Growth, Tech, Investors, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Nvidia, Big Tech, Trump

☆ Stock market today: US stocks rise as traders try to come back after worst week since April
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Investors are gauging what a potential Kamala Harris presidency could mean for the stock market. Second-quarter GDP and the June PCE index will be released later this week. The gains came one day after President Joe Biden announced he would not seek re-election, and instead endorsed his Vice President, Kamala Harris. That will be followed by the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the PCE index, at 8:30 a.m. on Friday. Economists expect the June Core PCE index to rise 2.5% year over year, which is not far off from the Fed's long-term inflation target of 2%.

Persons: Kamala Harris, —, Joe Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump's, JD Vance, Alex Saunders Organizations: Service, Technology, Nasdaq, Trump, Citi, Federal, Here's Locations: California

☆ 'The S&P 500 is incredibly dangerous': Why Warren Buffett's favorite valuation indicator is flashing a warning for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-20 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Buffett Indicator is indicating US stocks might be overvalued. AdvertisementWarren Buffett's favorite stock market valuation indicator just hit a record high, signaling that stocks might be highly overvalued. The stock market experienced a painful year-long bear market shortly after the Buffett Indicator peaked in November 2021. But despite the Buffett Indicator's flaws, it is flashing a big warning signal for stock market investors at current levels, according to Bloomstran. Advertisement"I think it's screaming the cap-weighted stock market, the Wilshire 5000 [and] the S&P 500, is incredibly dangerous today.

Persons: Warren Buffett, Buffett, —, Warren, Riley, Paul Dietrich, Chris Bloomstran, Semper Augustus, Bloomstran Organizations: Service, Buffett

☆ Stock market today: Stocks tumble as the S&P 500 caps off its worst week in 3 months
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks closed lower Friday, marking the worst week for the S&P 500 since mid-April. AdvertisementUS stocks closed lower on Friday, capping off the worst week for the S&P 500 since mid-April. Investors got their first glimpse of earnings this week, with major banks like Goldman Sachs reporting solid results on Monday. Netflix reported better-than-expected revenue, profits, and subscriber growth in its second-quarter earnings report on Thursday, but the stock fell about 2% due to somewhat weak third-quarter guidance. According to data from Fundstrat, 13% of S&P 500 companies have reported second-quarter earnings results.

Persons: —, Crowdstrike, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Investors, Netflix Locations: Fundstrat

☆ Serve Robotics stock soars 241% after Nvidia takes $4 million stake in the company
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Serve Robotics' shares soared 241% after Nvidia disclosed a stake in the company. Serve Robotics focuses on self-driving delivery vehicles for last-mile deliveries. AdvertisementShares of Serve Robotics soared as much as 241% on Friday after Nvidia disclosed a stake in the company. The bond was converted to stock following Serve Robotics public debut in April. In February, Nvidia disclosed relatively small investments in SoundHound AI and Nano X Imaging, resulting in similarly big stock price moves.

Persons: —, Serve's, Uber Organizations: Robotics, Nvidia, Service, SEC Locations: Los Angeles, San Diego, Dallas, Vancouver

☆ UBS just raised its S&P 500 price target for the 4th time this year. Here's how it says stocks can soar 17% by the end of the year.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

UBS increased its S&P 500 year-end price target to 5,900, marking the fourth increase from the bank this year. It added that the S&P 500 could surge 17% to 6,500 by year-end in a bull-case scenario. AdvertisementUBS is once again raising its year-end price target for the S&P 500. UBS initially had a year-end price target of 4,850. Those earnings and price target estimates would represent a historically high price-to-earnings multiple for the S&P 500, but it's warranted, according to Lefkowitz.

Persons: —, David Lefkowitz, Lefkowitz, Lefkowitz materializes Organizations: UBS, Service

☆ Stock market today: Indexes trade mixed amid massive CrowdStrike IT outage
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks were mixed on Friday amid a global tech outage sparked by Crowdstrike's cybersecurity platform. Investors are paying close attention to second-quarter earnings results, which could make or break the year-to-date rally in stocks. AdvertisementUS stocks saw mixed trades on Friday amid a global tech outage sparked by an update from cyber security firm Crowdstrike. The Crowdstrike update contained a bug that led to widespread disruption for computers running Microsoft's Windows operating system. The deluge of earnings results will help inform investors if rising profits can sustain the strong year-to-date rally in stock prices.

Persons: Crowdstrike's, —, Crowdstrike Organizations: Service, Microsoft, Investors, Nasdaq, Netflix Locations: Fundstrat, Here's

☆ The rout in tech stocks is a 'golden buying opportunity' for investors, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The recent tech sell-off is a "golden buying opportunity," according to Wedbush. The midweek rout in tech stocks was partly triggered by Trump's hawkish comments about Taiwan. But solid earnings results in the second-quarter should spark a rebound in the tech trade, Ives said. AdvertisementThe sell-off in technology stocks represents a "golden buying opportunity" for investors, according to Wedbush analyst Dan Ives. Principal Asset Management's Todd Jablonski said this tech sell-off is simply a small blip in the grand scheme of things.

Persons: Trump's, Ives, —, Dan Ives, Donald Trump's hawkish, Trump, Joe Biden's, it's, Todd Jablonski, Jablonski Organizations: Service, Bloomberg Businessweek, Nasdaq, Trump, Semiconductor Locations: Taiwan, China, Beijing, U.S, 1H2024

☆ Investors can expect a huge reveal on Nvidia's upcoming earnings call that could silence AI critics, Goldman Sachs says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Nvidia plans to reveal examples of how its end-customers are making money on AI chips, according to Goldman Sachs. Goldman Sachs expects Nvidia to once again beat earnings estimates when it reports in late August. That's according to a Monday note from Goldman Sachs, which details key takeaways from a recent meeting with Nvidia CFO Colette Kress. AdvertisementHowever, according to Goldman Sachs, Kress said that Nvidia plans to highlight the profits its end-users are generating from the growing use of its AI-enabled GPU chips. Overall, Goldman Sachs said it is confident Nvidia will deliver a positive earnings surprise that leads to positive EPS revisions when it reports results next month.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, That's, Colette Kress, Kress, Blackwell Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Bank of America, Meta, Blackwell, Goldman, Software Locations: FY4Q

☆ Stock market today: Dow closes at a record as market bets on Trump after assassination attempt
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The stock market surge follows a failed assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump over the weekend. Investors bet that the tragic attempt on Trump's life will help hand him to the Presidency once again in November. The gains came two days after the failed assassination attempt of former President Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. Investors laid bets that the attempt on Trump's life would help put him in the White House in 2025. Bitcoin also jumped 9% since the assassination attempt.

Persons: Dow Jones, Donald Trump, —, Bitcoin, Trump, bitcoin, Paul Hickey Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, House, Trump Media & Technology Group, Conference, CNBC, Trump, Trump Presidency, Treasury, Here's Locations: Butler , Pennsylvania, Nashville , Tennessee

☆ 3 reasons the Fed should cut interest rates this month instead of waiting for September
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed should cut interest rates at its meeting this month, according to Goldman Sachs. Economist Jan Hatzius highlighted three reasons a rate cut makes sense this month rather than in September. The market sees a 100% chance of a rate cut in September, but only a 7%chance for a cut in July. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve should cut interest rates at its upcoming policy meeting on July 31, according to Goldman Sachs. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, investors see just a 7% chance of an interest rate cut at this month's FOMC meeting.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, —, Hatzius Organizations: Service, Fed

☆ The stars have aligned for this corner of the stock market as the US economy enters its 'Goldilocks' era, BofA says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The bank said the Federal Reserve can shift its focus to economic growth after the cool June CPI report. "Slowing GDP + accelerating EPS has been the best backdrop for stocks," Bank of America said. AdvertisementThe cooler-than-expected June CPI report is fueling a "Goldilocks" economy that should benefit one specific corner of the stock market: cyclicals. We think the economy is moderating not rolling over, but we expect our view to evolve with the data," Kwon said. "Slowing GDP + accelerating EPS has been the best backdrop for stocks," Kwon said.

Persons: —, Ohsung Kwon, Kwon Organizations: Bank of America, Federal, Service, Fed, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla

☆ Stock market today: Stocks rise as Trump bets rally after failed assassination attempt
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks surged to record highs as markets mulled the impact of the attempted assassination of Donald Trump over the weekend. Investors anticipate the attempt will boost Trump's chances in the November Presidential election. AdvertisementUS stocks moved higher on Monday to test record highs after former President Donald Trump survived an assassination attempt over the weekend. Investors are betting that the tragic attempt on Trump's life will help hand him to the Presidency once again in November. A higher US dollar could also be in store under a potential Trump Presidency in November, though the dollar was about flat in early Monday trades.

Persons: Donald Trump, —, bitcoin, Tesla, Trump, Kyle Rodda Organizations: Trump Media, Service, Trump Media & Technology Group, GEO Group, Trump Presidency, Treasury, Here's Locations: United States

☆ 4 charts show why Wall Street's most bullish strategist expects the stock market to triple by 2030
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-14 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Here are the four charts that show why Lee is so bullish on the stock market. AdvertisementHere are the four charts Lee shared with Business Insider that show why the already upbeat forecaster is so bullish on the stock market. Stock market peaks and demographicsFundstratThe stock market has a history of peaking right around the same time a population hits its peak prime age of around 50 years old, as they are closer to retirement and often spend less money. Fast-forward to 1974, when the silent generation saw its prime age peak. This occurred around the same time as a painful stock market correction of about 35% that lasted years.

Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, —, Tom Lee, millennials Fundstrat Lee Organizations: Service, Business, CNBC, Urban Institute, Tech Locations: America

☆ Wall Street is bullish on stocks for the 2nd half of the year. Here are each firm's exact forecasts.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The most bullish S&P 500 price target is 6,000 from Evercore ISI, which represents a gain of about 7%. While the average year-end S&P 500 price target is 5,429, according to data from Bloomberg, the median year-end price target is 5,600. Yardeni Research: S&P 500 price target of 5,800Yardeni Research raised its year-end S&P 500 price target to 5,800 from 5,400 this week. Goldman Sachs: S&P 500 price target of 5,600Goldman Sachs strategist David Kostin boosted his S&P 500 price target to 5,600 from 5,200 last month. UBS: S&P 500 price target of 5,600UBS raised its S&P 500 price target to 5,600 from 5,400 in May, and that's after the bank raised its price target in February.

Persons: —, Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, they're, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, Eric Wallerstein, Wallerstein, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Jonathan Golub Organizations: Wall, ISI, Service, Bloomberg, CNBC, Security, Yardeni, Research, Federal Reserve, Ned Davis Research, UBS, Chicago, & $ Locations: bearish

☆ Stocks could face the steepest correction since the 2022 bear market as earnings kick off, analysts say. Here's what investors should watch for.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Second quarter earnings season could trigger the most painful stock correction since 2022, according to NDR. AdvertisementHere's what investors should look out for during the second quarter earnings season, according to NDR. Therefore, it's not a matter of whether analysts will cut their second-half earnings growth estimates but rather by how much they will cut. "Management teams have guided the Q2 year/year growth rate down to 5.7% from 7.0% at the end of May. "Analysts are banking the Mag 7 to continue to drive earnings growth, but the rest of the market to participate more.

Persons: —, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Clissold Organizations: NDR, Service, Ned Davis Research, Management, Nvidia, Amazon

☆ Trump's promise of tariffs and deportations could pop the stock market bubble if he wins a 2nd term, Capital Economics says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

An AI-driven stock market bubble could burst early if Trump wins the 2024 election, according to Capital Economics. Trump's proposed policies on tariffs and immigration could slow economic growth and spark higher inflation, the firm said. Higher inflation would restrict the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates. AdvertisementThe ongoing stock market bubble that has been inflated by a strong rally in AI stocks could pop prematurely if former President Donald Trump wins the 2024 election. A second Trump Presidency "could potentially result in the imposition of universal tariffs and reductions in immigration," Higgins said.

Persons: Trump's, —, Donald Trump, John Higgins, Higgins, Trump Organizations: Trump, Capital Economics, Service, Trump Presidency, Federal Reserve

☆ Stock splits can be rocket fuel for a company's shares. Here's who could be next.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

MicroStrategy is the latest company to announce a 10-for-1 stock split as its shares hit $1,340. AdvertisementIt's been a big year for stock splits. According to Bank of America, stock splits can be rocket fuel for prices. Shares of Chipotle have dropped 12% since its shares split 50-for-1 in late June. It represented one of the largest stock splits in the history of the New York Stock Exchange.

Persons: MicroStrategy, —, It's, managements, Steve Sosnick, Eli Lilly, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Walmart, Broadcom, Chipotle, Sony, Lam Research, Texas Pacific, Interactive Brokers, Business, KLA Corp, Netflix, Intuit, Adobe, Bank of America, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Williams, Sonoma, Cintas

☆ Buy Costco stock as shares are poised to rally 10% after the company raises membership fees for the first time since 2017
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Costco stock has 10% upside after raising its annual membership fees for the first time since 2017, according to Bank of America. Costco stock has been on a tear, rising 35% year-to-date, nearly double the S&P 500's 18% rise. Costco's annual membership fee will jump $5 to $65 for its Gold Star and Business memberships, while its Executive membership fee will increase by $10 to $130. Goldman estimates that Costco's fee increase will add about $400 million to membership fee income over the next two years. On top of the fee increase, Costco also announced June sales data, which saw same-store-sales jump 6.9% on a year-over-year basis to $24.48 billion.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Costco, Bank of America, Service, Star, Costco's, Goldman Locations: Thursday's

☆ Congress takes another stab at banning members from trading stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

A bipartisan group of Senators introduced a new bill that would ban Congress from trading stocks. The ETHICS act would impose hefty fines against members of Congress that violate the law. The ETHICS legislation, if passed, would immediately ban members of Congress from trading stocks, and it would come with an imposed timeline to divest their stocks when the next session of Congress starts in 2027. The proposed law would also impose hefty fines on Congressional members who violated the trading ban. But the passage of this new stock trading ban faces an uphill battle from Congress itself.

Persons: Jeff Hawley, —, Josh Hawley, Jon Ossoff, Jeff Merkley, Gary Peters, Hawley, Alexandria Ocasio, Cortez, Matt Gaetz, don't, Merkley Organizations: Senators, Service, Democratic, Holdings, Senate's Homeland Security, Governmental Affairs Committee, NPR Locations: Congress

☆ Why June CPI is going to be a big moment for stock market bulls, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The June CPI report will show a continued drop in inflation, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. Lee expects a soft June CPI report will push the Fed to cut rates more than two times this year. "It's going to be a week of reckoning, and I mean a reckoning of how people view inflation and the state of the economy." Lee is also bullish on small-cap stocks, which have badly lagged the broader stock market rally so far this year. AdvertisementJPMorgan's trading desk also expects a light June CPI report will boost stock prices.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, —, it's, What's, JPMorgan's Andrew Tyler Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, CPI

☆ Elon Musk's net worth grew by $67 billion during Tesla's 10-day win streak
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Elon Musk's net worth soared to $274 billion after Tesla stock's 10-day stock win streak. AdvertisementElon Musk's net worth soared by $67 billion amid a long winning streak for Tesla stock through Tuesday's trading session, once again making him the world's richest person. The 10-day surge propelled Musk's net worth to $274 billion, according to data from Bloomberg. As Tesla stock hit its 52-week low in April, Musk's net worth declined by $65 billion on a year-to-date basis. But since Tesla stock bottomed, Musk's net worth has zoomed higher by $110 billion.

Persons: Elon, Tesla, Jeff Bezos's, —, Musk, Uber, Neil Roarty, Jeff Bezos Organizations: Service, Elon, Tesla, Bloomberg, Business, SpaceX, Musk, The Boring Company

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