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New York CNN —Microsoft became the second-ever company worth $3 trillion on Wednesday as the artificial intelligence boom sent shares of the company’s stock soaring higher. For comparison, Microsoft’s market value is now larger than the entire GDP of France and just behind that of the United Kingdom. After trailing behind Apple for the majority of the past decade, Microsoft surpassed the company to briefly become the world’s most valuable publicly traded company earlier in January. Together, these seven stocks have a market cap larger than any country’s entire stock market except for the United States. Bank of America analysts also moved their target to $450 per share, predicting more growth for the Washington-based company this quarter.
Persons: Satya Nadella, , Morgan Stanley Organizations: New, New York CNN, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Investment, Bank of America Locations: New York, France, United Kingdom, United States, Washington
The positive economic developments as well as Fed officials’ forecasts for at least three rate cuts this year had investors eying a March pivot. Meanwhile, Barkin — who will also be voting on Fed policy decisions at meetings this year — isn’t ruling March out entirely. For Barkin, “the breadth of inflation settling” and “the consistency of inflation settling” matter in his evaluation of whether the inflation rate is approaching the Fed’s target. Unlike many Fed officials, Barkin does not have a PhD in economics but has an MBA and a law degree. Investors will be paying close attention to any hints of the timing of rate cuts in the central bank’s latest statement and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference.
Persons: Tom Barkin, Barkin, eying, Christopher Waller, , Loretta Mester, Barkin —, isn’t, ” Barkin, , ” ‘ There’s, John Williams, Jerome Powell, Williams, “ There’s, Jerome Powell’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Richmond Federal, CNN, Fed, Cleveland Fed, FactSet, Richmond Fed, McKinsey, ” New York Fed, Raleigh Chamber of Commerce, That’s Locations: New York
Now there’s roughly a 50/50 chance that the Fed could either cut rates or hold them steady in March, according to futures. A few developments this past week tempered investors’ optimism, and now the possibility of a rate cut in March could be completely thrown out the window, according to economists. He echoed other Fed officials who’ve recently said that beginning to cut rates in March is just not realistic. In addition to officials’ comments, recent economic data also doesn’t bode well for a March rate cut. Markets are expecting twice as many rate cuts this year than what Fed officials themselves estimated in their latest economic projections released in December.
Persons: , Christopher Waller, , who’ve, Loretta Mester, , Mary Daly, it’s, Daly, bode, Waller, ” Bill Adams, ” Daniel Altman, Jerome Powell’s, Donald Trump, Christine Lagarde, couldn’t, Jamie Dimon, Trump, Joe Biden, Bank of America’s Brian Moynihan, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Johnson, Lockheed Martin, Levi Strauss, Booz Allen Hamilton, CNN’s Elisabeth Buchwald Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN — Federal Reserve, Fed, Brookings Institution, ” Cleveland Fed, Bloomberg, ” San Francisco Fed, Fox Business, Commerce Department, Labor Department, Employers, Comerica Bank, CNN, Biden, Trump, Economic, European Central Bank, , JPMorgan, Bank of America’s, United Airlines, The Bank of Japan, Netflix, General Electric, Procter, Gamble, Johnson, Verizon, Lockheed, Haliburton, Tesla, IBM, Bank of Canada, Global, American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Alaska Airlines, Co, Visa, Intel, Mobile, Comcast, Capital, US Commerce Department, Chicago Fed, US Labor Department, American Express, Colgate, Palmolive, Booz, National Association of Realtors Locations: Washington, ” San, East, Iran, Davos, Switzerland, Iowa, Swiss, United States
After trailing behind Apple for the majority of the past decade, Microsoft is the world’s most valuable publicly traded company as of market close on Friday. The tech giant’s stock (MSFT) closed at $388.47 a share on Friday, giving it a market capitalization of $2.89 trillion. Market capitalization — or market cap — is the total value of all the shares of a publicly traded company. In other words, it’s the market value of the company. Apple also recently contended with a brief ban from selling the latest Apple Watch models in the United States.
Persons: Satya Nadella, That’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Microsoft, Apple, Beijing, Huawei Locations: New York, United States
Dividend stocks could see a revival in 2024
  + stars: | 2024-01-12 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Dividend stocks fell out of favor in 2023, even as all three major US indexes overcame regional banking turmoil, high interest rates and geopolitical tensions to notch double-digit returns. As interest rates rose to a 22-year high, investors favored bonds at attractive yields over riskier stocks offering smaller payouts. Some traders believe that dividend stocks could make a comeback this year. Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James, favors dividend stocks in sectors like tech and healthcare for their growth qualities, over traditionally defensive categories like utilities. His firm only invests in dividend stocks that have that growth component, he says.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Larry Adam, Raymond James, Adam, Elisabeth Buchwald, John Cochrane, Anna Bahney, Freddie Mac, who’ve, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Mastercard, Companies, Hoover Institute, Locations: New York
New York CNN —Republican presidential candidates Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis sparred on a wide range of economic issues during the CNN GOP presidential debate on Wednesday evening. But as ​​Haley and DeSantis duked it out to crown themselves the most fiscally prudent candidate, some clear economic themes began to emerge that will likely have a big influence on the upcoming Republican primaries and beyond: China, debt levels and the government’s role in business. ChinaBoth Haley and DeSantis sought to prove how tough they could be on China. But as my colleague Elisabeth Buchwald points out, the US and China are the first- and second-largest economies in the world. President Joe Biden has also made reducing economic dependence on China a platform in both his 2020 and 2024 campaigns.
Persons: Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis sparred, Nancy Pelosi’s, , , Ron, you’re, Haley, ​ Haley, DeSantis, Donald Trump, Elisabeth Buchwald, Joe Biden, DeSantis didn’t, Trump, wouldn’t, ” DeSantis, Gary Gensler, “ I’m, ” Sen, Sherrod Brown, Brown, Nick Smart, It’s Taylor, Taylor, Swift, Ramishah Maruf, “ Taylor Swift, Pollstar Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Republican, CNN, Social Security, Walt Disney Company, FBI, SEC, Securities, Exchange, SEC’s, , Banking Committee, Spotify, AMC, Bloomberg Locations: New York, China, Iowa, Beijing, United States, South Carolina, Florida, DeSantis
New York CNN —The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, measured 2.6% annually in November. So, getting that number down to the Fed’s 2% target should happen in no time, right? That’s because much of the run-up in inflation came from pandemic-induced supply chain disruptions and unusual spikes in demand. The reason is that as inflation cools more, the remaining components that work to keep inflation above the Fed’s target are increasingly “sticky,” meaning they’re the least responsive to changes in market conditions. And it’s so far, so good.”That said, though it’s not the Fed’s go-to inflation gauge, Thursday’s CPI report showed that the road to 2% could come with more bumps.
Persons: , John Cochrane, Jerome Powell, Gregory Daco, That’s, Powell, Cochrane, , ” Paul Donovan, ” Powell, I’d, it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Hoover Institute, , University of Chicago, CNN, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: New York, EY
With Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount in talks for a potential merger, that could one day become the reality. Warner Bros. Buying Paramount would not help Warner Bros. Discovery’s effort to unwind its debt burden: Paramount has $15.7 billion in debt, a total that has barely budged all year. Since news of the potential deal broke on Wednesday afternoon, shares of Warner Bros.
Persons: , David Zaslav, Bob Bakish, you’d, Jack Kranefuss, ” Kranefuss, ” Derren Nathan, Hargreaves Lansdown, Spokespeople, Kranefuss Organizations: New, New York CNN, Warner Bros . Discovery, Paramount, Paramount Global, CNN, Fitch, Consumers, Warner Bros, Discovery, Black Entertainment Television, CBS Locations: New York
New York CNN —Americans seemed more willing to spend money on Black Friday and Cyber Monday, but less willing to donate money on Giving Tuesday. Giving Tuesday’s decline in participation is not an isolated incident, but rather, as its organization acknowledges, part of larger trends philanthropic organizations are experiencing. According to a report by Giving USA from this past June, Americans are giving the lowest percentage of their disposable income since 1995. Americans gave just 1.7% of their disposable income in 2022, with charitable giving declining from 2021 by 3.4% to $499.3 billion, which represents an even larger decline of 10.5% when adjusted for inflation. “I think the numbers are very interesting in terms of Black Friday and Cyber Monday but they don’t tell you the whole picture,” said Neil Saunders, managing director of GlobalData Retail.
Persons: , , Asha Curran, Ebenezer Scrooge, Neil Saunders, ” Saunders, CNN’s Nathaniel Meyersohn, Elisabeth Buchwald Organizations: New, New York CNN, Black, CNN, GivingTuesday, United Nations Foundation, National Retail Federation, Adobe, Federal, GlobalData, Adobe Analytics, Charities Aid Locations: New York, New York City
Analysis: The 2023 stock rally is back on track
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —The US stock market has rebounded from its months-long rut. Stocks finished out their best month of the year on Thursday, breaking a three-month streak of declines for all the major indexes. “The only way I see a rally continuing is if the bond market behaves itself,” said Richard Steinberg, chief market strategist at The Colony Group. While those stocks have remained at the top of Wall Street’s scoreboard, the recent rally has encompassed a wider range of stocks. Long-neglected pockets of the stock market, from beaten-down financials to small-caps to cyclical stocks, have climbed higher in recent weeks.
Persons: Stocks, , Richard Steinberg, , Santa Claus, Ned Davis, Anna Cooban, Elisabeth Buchwald, Nelson Peltz, Nelson Peltz’s, Bob Iger, ” Trian, Trian, Trian’s, Morgan Stanley, James Gorman, Sky Jeremy Darroch, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, The Colony, Wall Street, Ned Davis Research, Organization of, Petroleum, Saudi Press Agency, Ministry of Energy, Saudi, United Emirates, Reuters, Disney, Management, Peltz, Sky Locations: New York, Santa, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Vienna, Russia, Iraq, United, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Oman, Brazil, Brazil’s
Compare that to 40 years ago, when extreme weather episodes that cost an inflation-adjusted $1 billion happened once every four months on average. As of November 8, there have been 25 weather and climate disasters with losses exceeding $1 billion, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The National Climate Assessment report’s estimate of the total annual cost of climate change in the United States takes those factors into account. $150 billion at glanceIt may be hard to appreciate the value of $150 billion without anything to compare it to. The $150 billion annual cost of extreme weather in the damage to the US is:
Persons: Tatyana Deryugina Organizations: New, New York CNN, National Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, National Centers for Environmental, NOAA, MIT’s Center, Real, Hurricanes, University of Illinois, CNN Locations: New York, United States, Hawaii, University of Illinois Urbana, Champaign
“It shows the psychological mind frame of consumers,” said Mickey Chadha, vice president of corporate finance at Moody’s Investors Services, referring to holiday spending data. This year, dollar sales growth for the holidays in the United States is forecast to slow to 3.3% from 6% last year. It means the spending growth it reported was “driven by net-new demand, not simply higher prices,” Adobe said. The experts CNN spoke to were all in agreement: Holiday spending data — no matter how good or bad — doesn’t represent the state of the entire US economy. A report she coauthored with Chadha predicts holiday sales will grow “a fairly modest 1% to 3%” this year.
Persons: , Mickey Chadha, Aditya Bhave, David Paul Morris, That’s, Tamara Charm, Charm, ” Adobe, Chedly Louis, Chadha, Michael Zdinak, he’s, Bhave, that’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Moody’s Investors Services, Adobe Analytics, Adobe, P Global Market Intelligence, Bank of America, Bloomberg, Getty, Consumer, Consumers, McKinsey, CNN, Moody’s Investors Locations: New York, United States, That’s
Just this week, the SEC sued Kraken, another crypto exchange, alleging that it is operating as an unregistered securities exchange. Binance is exiting the US as part of the agreement the crypto exchange made with law enforcement agencies. That also includes the Justice Department, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission , and the Treasury Department. There is even a National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team within the Justice Department actively identifying and investigating criminal cases involving digital assets. That is precisely how the feds secured the first ever corporate settlement with a crypto exchange.
Persons: Sam Bankman, Zhao, Binance, Brian Armstrong, Coinbase, ” Armstrong, , General Merrick Garland, ” Changpeng Zhao, Anthony Kwan, cryptocurrencies, ethereum, Bitcoin, , it’s, Ethereum, Treasury Department —, Kraken, Tiffany Hagler, ” Garland, Lisa Monaco, Tuesday’s presser, “ I’ve, Benham Organizations: New, New York CNN, Justice Department, Bloomberg, Getty, Washington DC, US Department of Justice, Department of Justice, Treasury, Securities and Exchange Commission, Treasury Department, SEC, Geard, Futures Trading Commission, Cryptocurrency, feds Locations: New York, United States, Binance, Washington, U.S, , rulemaking
Falling prices of commodities like copper and lumber “negatively impacted” Home Depot’s third-quarter earnings, CEO Ted Decker told investors on the company’s earnings call earlier this week. In particular, they're noticing consumers pushing off bigger-ticket purchases like appliances, which have become cheaper compared to a year ago. But the problem with deflation is that when people begin to expect lower prices in the future, they have little incentive to make purchases right now. In China, however, prices across all goods and services were 0.2% lower in October compared to the same month last year. He also warned that US-based Walmarts could enter “a deflationary environment.”Besides eggs, other cheaper goods include airfares, gasoline, appliances and smartphones.
Persons: Cathie Wood, , Ted Decker, Billy Bastek, ” Bastek, Justin Sullivan, Doug McMillon, Preston Caldwell, “ it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Tech, ARK Investment Management, Wall Street, Home Depot, Walmart, Morningstar, CNN Locations: New York, United States, China
Walmart CEO says food deflation may come soon
  + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( Nathaniel Meyersohn | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
New York CNN —Lower grocery prices may soon be coming for shoppers. Food prices have increased 25% since the pandemic started. The pace of food inflation has slowed in recent months, but food prices are mostly still going up. Food prices rose 3.3% annually in October from a year ago, according to the latest reading from the Labor Department. If you think prices will go down in the future, you may delay making a lot of purchases today.
Persons: Doug McMillon, ” McMillon, CNN’s Elisabeth Buchwald Organizations: New, New York CNN, Walmart, Labor Department, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, United States, Japan
New York CNN —Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Chair Martin Gruenberg testified Tuesday that he was unaware of the allegations of widespread sexual harassment and discrimination at the agency detailed in a Wall Street Journal investigation. “I did not know about the individual cases,” Gruenberg told him. Martin Gruenberg, chair of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, told senators on Tuesday he was troubled by the allegations detailed in a Wall Street Journal investigation. The report also referenced a 2019 survey conducted by the inspector general that found 8% of the 2,376 respondents experienced sexual harassment between January 2015 to April 2019. The 2020 inspector general report made 15 recommendations to prevent and address sexual harassment at the agency, which Gruenberg said in his testimony on Tuesday had been implemented but acknowledged “didn’t change the culture” at the FDIC.
Persons: Martin Gruenberg, Gruenberg, , we’ve, , Mike Rounds, Thom Tillis, ” Gruenberg, Michael Barr, Michael Hsu, Urban Affairs Gruenberg, Jelena McWilliams Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Deposit Insurance, Street, Senate, Street Journal, FDIC, Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Financial Locations: New York, South Dakota, North Carolina, , U.S
The swift rise in long-term US Treasury yields over the past few months caused headaches for investors by dragging many of their portfolios down. Bond yields, namely the yield on the 10-year Treasury note, dictate the interest rates on credit cards, mortgages and auto loans. Fed Chair Jerome Powell addressed that at this month’s post-meeting press conference, saying he couldn’t pinpoint exactly why yields rose so much in recent weeks. Hours before Powell’s post-meeting remarks, bond yields plunged following the Treasury Department’s quarterly refunding announcement. That’s as opposed to letting bond yields do the Fed’s work for it.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Powell, Kathleen O’Neill Paese, Louis Fed, , Powell’s, Wall, John Madziyire, Joe Kalish, Ned Davis, Kalish, ” Powell, Celal, That’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, Vanguard, Ned, Ned Davis Research, CNN, ” Bank of America, International Monetary Fund, Getty, Bank of America Locations: New York, Washington ,, Anadolu
New York CNN —The United States is one step closer to losing its last perfect credit rating after Moody’s Investors Service changed the outlook of the nation’s debt to negative on Friday after markets closed. These effects would likely be even more painful if Moody’s does eventually downgrade the US debt. The nation’s diminished fiscal strength, undone by extreme partisanship in Washington, was a key driver of the action, according to a statement from Moody’s. Standard and Poor’s downgraded the United States for the first time in 2011, following the debt ceiling standoff then. In August, Fitch Ratings knocked America’s credit rating down after the most recent debt ceiling debate.
Persons: America’s, Wally Adeyemo, , Moody’s, Poor’s, Kevin McCarthy, Mike Johnson, Johnson, Karine Jean, Pierre Organizations: New, New York CNN, Moody’s Investors Service, United, AAA, Fitch, House Press, Republican, Treasury Locations: New York, United States, Washington, Moody’s, , American
New York CNN —The US presidential election is less than a year away. Wall Street has a laundry list of uncertainties that it worries could threaten the current stock rally, including the upcoming presidential election. But history shows that stocks typically gain during the fourth year of presidential terms. The S&P 500 has gained 6.2% on average during the fourth year of presidential terms since 1932, according to Yardeni Research. That’s below the 13.5% gain the index has averaged during the third year of presidential terms since 1931.
Persons: , There’s, Darrell Crate, , Goldman Sachs, Joe Abbott, Abbott, Loretta Mester, Bryan Mena, Elisabeth Buchwald, Hawkish, Mester, Heidi Gartland, , ” Gartland, Read, Niron, Peter Valdes, Niron Magnetics, Jonathan Rowntree Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, The New York Fed, Management, Investors, Research, Yardeni Research, , CNN, Cleveland Fed, Reserve Bank, Cleveland, Regional, Bank, General Motors, China General Motors Locations: New York, East, Russia, Ukraine, Wisconsin, China, Minnesota
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on November 2 in New York City. Spencer Platt/Getty ImagesUS stocks closed higher on Thursday as investors bet that the Federal Reserve’s current round of economically painful rate hikes might be over. The S&P 500 was 1.9% higher and the Nasdaq Composite was up 1.8%. Both the S&P 500 and Dow are on track to notch their largest weekly gains this year and the Dow closed its best day since June. Treasury yields, which topped 5% just last month, have also come down precipitously.
Persons: Spencer Platt, Jerome Powell Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury Locations: New York City
Over the span of about a year and a half, the Fed aggressively raised interest rates to their highest level in 22 years. The Fed also manages a multitrillion-dollar balance sheet that includes government securities. Here's how that works: The Fed holds assets like Treasuries, mortgage-backed securities, and loans extended to banks. For over a year now, the Fed has been steadily shrinking its balance sheet to help cool the economy. That reduction is known as “quantitative tightening” or a “balance sheet runoff.”
Persons: that’s, Organizations: Congress, Fed Locations: Treasuries
The median (or mid-point) net worth for households has also increased. And while the median net worth has increased significantly, it’s still under $200,000 — far short of the estimated amount Americans should have in retirement savings. Bud Light sales keep sinkingBud Light continues to drag on Anheuser-Busch InBev’s bottom line in the United States, reports my colleague Jordan Valinsky. In the summer, Bud Light lost its long-held top-selling American beer title to rival Modelo. In an effort to jumpstart sales, Bud Light has been rolling out marketing campaigns and partnerships it thinks will placate fans.
Persons: it’s, , “ Consumers, ” Dana Peterson, Bud, Bud Light, Jordan Valinsky, Dylan Mulvaney, Elisabeth Buchwald, Biden, Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Labor Department, Consumer Finances, Governors, Federal Reserve, Conference, Board, , Conference Board, Wall, Dow, Nasdaq, Bud Light, Anheuser, Busch, InBev, Modelo, Beer Business, NFL, UFC Locations: New York, Black, United States
Then tomorrow comes the big decision on interest rates. That’s because the central bank is widely expected to hold interest rates steady for the second meeting in a row. And in many economists’ view the third-quarter GDP report shows the economy isn’t growing at a sustainable pace. Some FAQsQ: If the economy is growing too fast, why isn’t the Fed doing something about it? Bond yields, namely the yield on the 10-year Treasury note, dictate the interest rates on credit cards, mortgages and auto loans.
Persons: you’re, they’re, Biden Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve
For the third month in a row, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell — dropping to 102.6 in October from an upwardly revised 104.3 in September. The decline in consumer confidence was not evident across all age groups and household income levels. People above the age of 55 exhibited the biggest monthly decline in consumer confidence. Meanwhile, consumers with a household income between $25,000 to $35,000 saw the biggest decline in confidence about the economy over the past month. In contrast, consumers with a household income between $100,000 to $125,000 saw the biggest jump in confidence over the past month.
Persons: ” Dana Peterson, “ Consumers, , Bill Adams, ” Peterson, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: New, New York CNN, Conference, Board, Conference Board, , Big Three, United Auto Workers, Comerica Bank, LPL Financial, Federal Locations: New York, Israel
Ford was the first to announce it reached a tentative agreement with the UAW on Wednesday. A brief refresherThe strike, which began nearly seven weeks ago, has been the longest US auto strike in 25 years. What will this mean for car prices? Now you’d think people in the market for a new car would pay the price, by way of higher car prices, given all the added costs the Big Three will face if the tentative deals go into effect. That’s because the historic strike doesn’t officially end until it is ratified by rank-and-file members.
Persons: , Ford, it’s, Vanessa Yurkevich, Chris Isidore — CNN’s, there’s, CNN’s Yurkevich, Isidore Organizations: New, New York CNN, United Auto Workers, — Ford, General Motors, UAW, Anderson Economic Group, Big Three, Ford, Stellantis, GM Locations: New York
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