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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPollak: Economic activity is pretty much back to pre-pandemic levels, but employment is notZipRecruiter chief economist Julia Pollak discusses the key factors to pull from the June jobs data, and which sectors are still driving the market and economy forward.
Persons: Pollak, Julia Pollak
Fewer workers are taking time off for vacation or personal days, compared to last year. The following chart shows that the post-pandemic recovery in the number of workers taking vacation in June has stalled, with a slight drop from June 2022 to June 2023. To be sure, airline ticket inflation isn't as bad as it was last year. Even so, airline ticket inflation came in at 30.2% for all of 2022. When it comes to why fewer Americans are taking time off for vacation this summer, Acting Secretary of Labor Julie Su told Insider that it's "an important question."
Persons: Julia Pollak, , who's, Bianca Giacobone, Hopper, Labor Julie Su, Su, Dan Latu, Ric Kenworthy, Latu, They're Organizations: Labor Statistics, Service, lastest Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Locations: lastest, Europe, Asia, Phoenix
Women’s labor force participation has rebounded from the pandemic “she-cession” and returned to its pre-pandemic form of making progressively historic labor market gains. By February of 2020, the labor force participation rate for prime working-age women was 77% — just shy of the record 77.3% set during the dot-com era, BLS data shows. The pandemic walloped the leisure and hospitality and education and health services sectors, where women make up the majority of the workforce. The economic evolution and recovery from the pandemic helped accelerate favorable drivers for women to enter the workforce. Separately, new research shows that although women were outnumbered by men in the US workforce, women could be disproportionately affected by businesses’ adoption of generative AI: One recent analysis estimates that 79% of working women (nearly 59 million) are in occupations susceptible to disruption and automation.
Persons: ” Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter, , ” Pollak, Allison Joyce, didn’t, they’re, That’s, University of North Carolina’s, Dana Peterson, we’ve, , ” —, Jeanne Sahadi Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg, Getty, Baby Boomers, Pew Research Center, University of North, University of North Carolina’s Kenan, Flagler Business School, Conference Board, CNN Locations: Minneapolis, America, Bolivia , North Carolina
But fear not, says Richard Wahlquist, chief executive at the American Staffing Association, a trade group that represents staffing companies across industries. "Despite recent headlines involving layoffs at major companies, tech jobs remain among the most in-demand jobs in the labor market," Wahlquist tells CNBC Make It. What has changed about the tech hiring landscape: the jobs are less at Big Tech companies. Instead, tech workers should target their job search at small and medium-sized enterprises, says Wahlquist. Indeed, ZipRecruiter's chief economist Julia Pollak said in February on CNBC's "The Exchange" that even the tech workers who had been laid off found new jobs quickly.
Persons: Richard Wahlquist, Julia Pollak Organizations: American Staffing Association, CNBC, Big Tech Locations: Wahlquist
The U.S. job market is gradually cooling but remains hot despite a year-long government campaign to reign it in, amounting to a favorable environment for many jobseekers, economists said. "You're in a lucky position," she added, referring to employees. Since most workers quit for new employment, the uptick suggests a rebound in workers' confidence they can find a new job, economists said. While job openings — a barometer of business' demand for workers — fell by about 500,000 in May, they remain well above their pre-pandemic level. In all, job openings and monthly quits are respectively 40% and 15% higher than they were before the Covid-19 pandemic, while monthly layoffs are 21% lower, pointing to a "robust and resilient labor market," Pollak said.
Persons: Julia Pollak, , Pollak Organizations: Federal, Finance, Companies, Labor, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics
Career experts say this behavior can hinder the chances of a promotion. Humblebragging refers to making a seemingly self-deprecating comment that actually draws attention to something you're proud of. "I'm so tired today from playing all that golf with the boss at his club's Pro-Am yesterday," Lindsey Pollak, a career expert and author told Fox Business as an example of this behavior. Career experts have often encouraged workers – especially women and minorities – to talk up their achievements to advance their careers and get promotions. Some experts say this is partly because American work culture places value on being loud and visible.
Persons: , Amy Morin, Lindsey Pollak, they're, " Morin, Meredith Fineman, Peggy Klaus Organizations: Service, Fox Business Locations: tooting, Tooting
Summer may have officially started on June 21, but the summer job market has been hot for weeks as restaurants, waterparks and other businesses staff up for their busiest seasons. Pollak has also noticed that summer hiring has been strong across a broader range of industries this year than last, with hotels, movie theaters and sports venues needing just as many seasonal workers as summer camps and swimming pools. If you're still looking for a summer job, there are plenty of in-demand gigs that pay at least $20 an hour and offer overtime opportunities, which can help you maximize your income. Here are five in-demand summer jobs that pay well, according to data from ZipRecruiter and Indeed:Summer jobs are getting more competitive, however: ZipRecruiter is seeing 40% more applications to summer jobs compared to this time last year, partly driven by an increase in jobseeker search traffic. Beyond online job boards like Indeed, ZipRecruiter and LinkedIn, cities will often post seasonal gigs or summer job opportunities in the area on their local government websites.
Persons: Julia Pollak, Pollak, ZipRecruiter Organizations: ZipRecruiter, NPR Locations: Massachusetts, ZipRecruiter, York
Images By Tang Ming Tung | Digitalvision | Getty Images"This is clearly a function of inflation starting to come down," Terrazas said. 'Unprecedented' pay jumps during pandemicWage growth started to spike in 2021 as workers enjoyed the benefits of a hot job market. In some cases, workers' pay growth was strong enough to outrun inflation's impact — especially for those who quit their jobs for higher-paying gigs elsewhere. Meanwhile, wage growth has also declined but at a slower pace — translating to a net boost to Americans' financial well-being in May relative to last year. These data sets are more inclusive than that of wage growth.
Persons: Tang Ming Tung, Terrazas, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Mark Zandi, Aaron Terrazas, Zandi Organizations: ZipRecruiter, CPI, . Bureau, Moody's, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: U.S, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Minneapolis CNN —More prime working age women are employed in the United States now than ever before. The labor force participation rate for women between 25 and 54 years old set a record high in April and then again in May, rebounding from the pandemic “she-cession” and returning to its pre-pandemic form of making progressively historic labor market gains. Estimates that nearly eight out of 10 women workers could be affected “are just staggering,” said Julia Pollak, chief economist with online job marketplace ZipRecruiter. “Some of these things are becoming more prevalent, and that’s supportive of more women in the labor market,” she said. On the other hand, AI could prove harmful and threatening for any role that is highly “automatable,” Peterson said.
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In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConstruction and manufacturing jobs have been remarkably resilient, says ZipRecruiter's Julia PollakJulia Pollak, ZipRecruiter chief economist, joins 'Fast Money' with the results of ZipRecruiter's 'Q2 New Hire' survey.
Persons: ZipRecruiter's Julia Pollak Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter Organizations: ZipRecruiter's, Hire
"I want to take a beat and decide how I'm going to live my life," Pena, 37, told Insider. "People now have more freedom to hop in and out of the labor market," she told Insider. Wren Taylor, 35, enjoyed her summer of funemployment last year after being laid off from her corporate marketing job. "Their comments affirmed that I wasn't wasting my time," she told Insider. During job interviews, she said that all she could think about was the freedom she'd lose by going back to a traditional job.
Persons: Suzy Welch, , Delia Pena, " Pena, Pena, she's, I'm, Gen, funemployment, Randall Peterson, who'd, Wren Taylor Wren Taylor, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Wren Taylor, they'd, I'd, Wren Organizations: NYU, Service, London Business School, ZipRecruiter, Labor Department, Catalina Locations: funemployment
Money is a big reason why many people take on side hustles, but there are non-financial reasons why people try side jobs too. "Side hustlers are much more likely to view this extra income as essential, rather than a passion project or a way to get ahead financially." In the April survey, 39% of US adults said they do something "to earn extra income on the side" outside of their primary income source. For example, people may want to make extra money outside of a main job to put toward paying off debt. One full-time worker who tries side hustles told Insider he does his side hustle work during some nights.
Persons: , Bankrate, Ted Rossman, Jennifer Nahrgang, Palmer, Trisha Diamond, hustles, Diamond, Gen, Nahrgang, Julia Pollak, Uber, Clarke Bowman, Bowman Organizations: Service, Management, Entrepreneurship, University of Iowa's Tippie College of Business Locations: Bankrate
Washington, DC CNN —The US labor market picked up momentum in May, once again defying expectations of a slowdown. Many economists, including those at the Fed, still expect a recession later in the year. The labor market and signs of future disinflationThe May jobs report mostly showed that the labor market held up. Some top economists have argued that the strong labor market has had a minor, albeit growing, impact on inflation. Hawkish Fed officials still think the Fed’s job isn’t done.
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Jobs report: What to expect from the May data
  + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
But despite all that, the labor market has kept humming right along. And that’s largely expected to be the case, again, in Friday’s monthly jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Private sector employment increased by 278,000 jobs in May, according to ADP’s monthly National Employment Report, frequently seen as a proxy for the government’s official number. Labor turnover data released Wednesday showed that the US employment market remained tight in April. The government’s May jobs report is scheduled for Friday at 8:30 a.m.
Persons: ” Daniel Zhao, that’s, ” Julia Pollak, , Pollak, , Michael Feroli, Matthew Martin, ” Pollak, it’s Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, , , Commerce Department, CNN, Labor, JPMorgan, Oxford Economics, Challenger, Conference Locations: Minneapolis, April’s
Quits started to surge in early 2021 as Covid-19 vaccines rolled out to the masses and the U.S. economy started to reopen. Business' demand for workers outstripped the supply of people looking for a job, giving workers an unprecedented amount of power in the labor market. We are much closer to the labor market we had in 2019, which was hot but not overheating. Conditions are still favorable for job seekersIt's unclear if the labor market will cool further from here. While quits and job openings told different labor market stories in April, quits are generally a less volatile and more reliable indicator, economists said.
Persons: Quits, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Daniel Zhao Organizations: Getty Images Workers, Business, Employers, Glassdoor, Federal, BLS Locations: U.S
The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS report, from the Labor Department on Wednesday also showed layoffs declining significantly last month. There were 1.8 job openings for every unemployed person in April, up from 1.7 in March. Data for March was revised higher to show 9.75 million job openings instead of the previously reported 9.59 million. There were 185,000 more job openings in healthcare and social assistance, while vacancies jumped by 154,000 in the transportation, warehousing, and utilities. But Walker also acknowledged that some of the alternative measures of job openings could be downwardly biased, as their sample could be skewed toward companies which are more likely to have an online presence and have cut job openings sharply.
Persons: Priscilla Thiagamoorthy, Goldman Sachs, Ronnie Walker, Walker, JOLTS, Julia Pollak, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor, Survey, Labor Department, Fed, BMO Capital Markets, Reuters, Treasury, ZipRecruiter, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, Toronto
There are many unhappy remote workers who wish they could quit and get another remote job. The golden handcuffs phenomenon is an obvious parallel, Denise Rousseau, a professor of organizational behavior at Carnegie Mellon's Tepper School of Business, told Insider. "If you're remaining in a job for purely extrinsic reasons — your working conditions are hard to replace — you're going to have more stress." In March 2022, roughly 20% of job listings on LinkedIn offered remote work; last month, such listings dwindled to 10%. David Bakke works from home in Georgia and said that while he doesn't "completely hate" his position, he'd quit if he could find another remote job.
It may be accurate to say the quitting situation is evolving into the "Big Stay," per ADP's chief economist. "The Big Quit of 2022 could be easing into the Big Stay of 2023," Richardson wrote in her recent commentary. "A year later, all three of these dynamics are abating, and the great resignation itself is looking like a thing of the past." Pollak said that "to the extent that there is a big stay, it is not taking place across the economy." Even if the Great Resignation might not be prevalent in all areas of the economy right now, it could emerge again.
Several measures from Friday's jobs report show the labor market is stronger than it's been in decades. But Terrazas pointed to potential concerns in the labor market and for interest rates. "If it's the former, it's just a matter of time before gravity catches up with the labor market," Terrazas said. Overall though, the different robust labor market data suggests the US could maybe avoid a recession as has been the case so far in 2023. Despite potential risks in the job market, Pollak believes there's a possibility that the US continues to avoid a recession.
Jobs report: Who’s hiring and who’s firing?
  + stars: | 2023-05-06 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Instead, the latest jobs report showed the unemployment rate fell to 3.4% in April after 253,000 jobs were added last month. But hiring isn’t strong across the board, and is concentrated in a handful of industries. Professional and business services, which include a wide range of jobs such as accountants, lawyers and engineers, added 43,000 jobs, the biggest gain across all industries. Where workers got laid offEven though the jobs report showed a net positive gain, there were some sizable layoffs. Transit and passenger service jobs include people who work within mass transit system as well as taxi and school bus drivers.
Washington, DC CNN —Wages are now finally beating inflation, according to the latest quarterly data on wage growth. That was the biggest monthly increase since March 2022, though wage growth had gradually slowed since then. “The folks who left one company and went to another are the ones who are still benefiting from wage growth,” said Morgan Llewellyn, chief data scientist at Jobvite. Part of the continued strength in wage growth largely has to do with employers’ difficulty in hiring, which varies by industry. “Wage growth has still been higher for job changers than job stayers and that suggests that there’s still a shortage of labor for some companies,” said Dawn Fay, operational president at staffing firm Robert Half.
It's set up a Goldilocks situation heading into summer, where the job market is cooling, but not enough to have an adverse effect on the average American. That could mean a summer of fewer price spikes at the grocery store, and less businesses scrambling to hire, while workers maintain some power in the job market. "We're still in a hot labor market," Nick Bunker, the economic research director for North America at Indeed Hiring Lab, told Insider. Getting to a just-right job marketBunker told Insider the US job market is getting close to something that looks like what we saw prior to the pandemic. If they did, it would represent a job market tipping into the "too cold" zone.
watch nowNonfarm payrolls rose about in line with expectations in March as the labor market showed increased signs of slowing. The Labor Department reported Friday that payrolls grew by 236,000 for the month, compared to the Dow Jones estimate for 238,000 and below the upwardly revised 326,000 in February. "I have never seen a report align with expectations as much today's over the last two years." Leisure and hospitality led sectors with growth of 72,000 jobs, below the 95,000 pace of the past six months. While the February report was revised up from its initially reported 311,000, January's number moved lower to 472,000, a reduction of 32,000 from the last estimate.
Since 1977, the Federal Reserve has focused on creating maximum employment and maintaining stable prices, commonly known as the dual mandate. "[Maximum employment is] this more sort of amorphous thing," Rucha Vankudre, a senior economist at labor market analytics firm Lightcast, told CNBC. However, at the Federal Open Market Committee news conference in January 2022, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced that "labor market conditions are consistent with maximum employment." Maximum employment is also difficult to quantify because existing measures of employment, such as the unemployment rate or the labor force participation rate, often do not account for certain groups of people. Watch the video above to learn more about what maximum employment really means and how inflation impacts employment.
Minneapolis CNN —The US labor market has kept trucking right along even as other areas of the economy have slowed. ET Friday when the Bureau of Labor Statistics drops the heavily anticipated jobs report for March. On Wednesday, the latest private-sector jobs report from payroll processor ADP came in at 145,000 for March, landing below expectations. There still remains uncertainty about the extent to which those and other layoffs may ripple through the broader labor market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release its March jobs report at 8:30 a.m.
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