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Jim Cramer said Friday the Fed should have cut at this week's meeting. Those were in place with AMD because Jim Cramer mentioned the stock on CNBC TV over the past 72 hours. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow Jones, here's, Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Bond, chipmaker Broadcom, AMD, Palo Alto, Nvidia, Wynn Resorts, Disney, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, DuPont, Dover, Wells
Tom Merton | Ojo Images | Getty ImagesJob seekers have been sour on the job market for a while now — and with good reason. "The soft landing in the U.S. labor market is in danger," Nick Bunker, Economic Research Director for North America for Indeed Hiring Lab, wrote in a statement on Friday. "Yellow flags had started to pop up in the labor market data over the past few months, but now the flags are turning red," Bunker said. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate increased to 4.3%, the highest since October 2021. To pivot, assess 'transferrable skills'Because the labor market is weakening, it might be hard for workers to find opportunities in their preferred industries, Bustamante noted.
Persons: Tom Merton, Nick Bunker, Bunker, Nonfarm payrolls, Alí Bustamante, Julia Pollak, Pollak, NEETS, Bustamante Organizations: Economic, North, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Worker Power, Economic Security, Roosevelt Institute, ZipRecruiter, Health, Finance Locations: U.S, North America, New York City
Gold prices set for weekly gain with U.S. payrolls data on tap
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices firmed on Friday and were set for a weekly gain, driven by prospects of a Fed rate cut in September and rising tensions in the Middle East, while market participants awaited U.S. nonfarm payrolls data for further direction. Gold prices firmed on Friday and were set for a weekly gain, driven by prospects of a Fed rate cut in September and rising tensions in the Middle East, while market participants awaited U.S. nonfarm payrolls data for further direction. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $2,451.07 per ounce, as of 0243 GMT, and has gained more than 2% for the week. Trader bets for a super-sized 50-basis-point rate cut in September jumped to 28.5% from 11.8% earlier this week, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool. "Angst surrounding U.S. elections and the conflict in the Middle East will play an assisting role in moving gold higher on a sustained basis," analysts at TD Securities said in a note.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Ajay Kedia, Mohammed Deif Organizations: Federal, Kedia Commodities, TD Securities Locations: U.S, Mumbai, Gaza, Tehran
U.S. Treasury yields slid further on Thursday as investors digested comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who suggested a September rate cut was on the table. Yields had fallen on Wednesday after Fed Chairman Powell hinted at a September rate cut after the central bank's July meeting concluded. Depending on these factors, "a reduction in our policy rate could be on the table as soon as the next meeting in September," he said. As expected, the central bank left interest rates unchanged. Several analysts are expecting the central bank to cut rates, but uncertainty remains as the BOE has not sent clear signals.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, BOE Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Bank of England Locations: U.S
That's why some classic slowdown stocks in the health care and consumer staples sectors are outperforming versus cyclicals. But with Wynn earnings coming up Tuesday, we'd rather be cautious and downgrade our rating. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Wells, Stanley Black, Wynn, we've, — Wynn, we'd, We'll, Coterra, FactSet, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Procter, Gamble, Wynn Resorts, MGM Resorts, MGM, Revenue, Vegas, Coterra Energy, Apple, Intel, Club, Linde, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells Fargo, Las Vegas, Macau, Vegas, China
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on July 31, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures slid on Thursday night as traders considered fresh results from Amazon and Intel. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures lost 143 points, or 0.4%, and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.8%. Even the small-cap Russell 2000 hasn't been spared from the recent tumult, down about 3.3% in the period and on pace for its worst weekly performance since January. On the earnings front, energy giants Chevron and Exxon Mobil will be announcing their quarterly results Friday before the market open.
Persons: July's, Dow, Quincy Krosby, Arnim Holzer, Russell, " Holzer, hasn't, payrolls, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Amazon, Intel, Investors, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Apple, LPL, EAB Investment, Chevron, Exxon Mobil Locations: New York City . U.S, Thursday's
The U.S. labor market may have cooled some in July, as a gradual slowdown in the economy and Hurricane Beryl are expected to have taken some of the steam out of hiring. Still, even if the Labor Department's nonfarm payrolls report for July, to be released Friday at 8:30 a.m. "You're seeing just modest on-the-margin weakness in the labor market that [isn't likely to] spiral out of control into a negative feedback loop." Citigroup projects an even lower number — 150,000 on payrolls and a tick higher in the unemployment rate to 4.2%. Should the unemployment rate keep climbing, it could raise fears that the so-called Sahm Rule is in danger of being triggered.
Persons: Hurricane Beryl, nonfarm, Mike Reynolds, Dow Jones, Goldman Sachs, Beryl Organizations: Amerant, Hurricane, Labor, Federal, department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Citigroup Locations: Florida, Sunrise , Florida, The U.S, department's, Texas, Houston
Private job growth slowed further in July while the pace of wage gains hit a three-year low, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Companies added just 122,000 jobs on the month, the slowest pace since January and below the upwardly revised 155,000 in June. Several sectors reported net losses on the month. The ADP report comes two days before the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services releases its nonfarm payrolls count, which, unlike the ADP tally, includes government jobs. The two reports can differ substantially, with ADP overshooting the BLS estimate of 136,000 for private payrolls in June.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson Organizations: FedEx, Broadway, Companies, ADP, Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services Locations: New York City, Midwest
Gold lacks momentum as Fed meeting looms
  + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold struggled for momentum on Tuesday as investors looked for more cues on when the U.S. central bank will cut interest rates from this week's policy meeting and data releases. Gold struggled for momentum on Tuesday as investors looked for more cues on when the U.S. central bank will cut interest rates from this week's policy meeting and data releases. Spot gold was down 0.1% at $2,380.31 per ounce, as of 0156 GMT. "Any moves lower in the dollar would likely provide a boon to gold, which could again see levels north of $2,400." Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding bullion.
Persons: Gold, Tim Waterer, KCM, Heraeus Organizations: Federal, Fed, Bank of England, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 4.1666%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.3729% after falling by more than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Monday as investors awaited the release of key economic data and looked to the Federal Reserve's meeting scheduled for the week. Investors awaited the Federal Reserve's July meeting and key data from the labor market slated for the week. Investors will be looking at the data for hints about the state of the labor market, as this could also inform monetary policy expectations and decision-making.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Investors, PCE
As for Club earnings, we got positive results from life sciences company Danaher and industrial firm Dover. Ford was a major disappointment and its nearly 20% stock drop for the week was the worst performer in the portfolio. In the week ahead, it's going to be another big week of earnings with the four mega-cap names and 10 other Club names set to report. Linde : We're looking for more of the same — steady earnings growth; 6% is the Street estimate. End market commentary will also help us better formulate our view of the economy — and in turn the stock market.
Persons: Russell, Jerome Powell's, Ford, Stanley Black, Decker, We're, we'll, Elliott, we've, We'll, Kraft Heinz, Vita Coco, COCO, Lam, SIRI, WEN, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Michael M Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Communication, Honeywell, YouTube, Procter & Gamble, Devices, Microsoft, Starbucks, GE Healthcare, DuPont, Meta, Apple, Coterra Energy, Linde, Silo AI, Elliott Management, GE HealthCare, Amazon, Apple Intelligence, U.S, Labor, Fed, Networks, Procter, Gamble, PayPal, Pfizer, BP, JetBlue Airways, Merck, Solar Inc, Caesars Entertainment, Electronic Arts, EA, Nation Entertainment, Boeing, Cruise, Mastercard, Teva Pharmaceutical, Hess Corp, Arm Holdings, Qualcomm, Lam Research, Western, eBay, EBAY, MGM Resorts, MGM, ConocoPhillips, Mobileye, Canada Goose Holdings, Hershey, Toyota, Dominion Energy, Air Products & Chemicals, Southern Company, International, Coterra Energy Intel, Coinbase, Booking Holdings, LIN, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, LyondellBasell Industries, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: Dover, Eaton, Amazon, China, destocking, Corning, New York City
As the frontrunner for the Democratic party's nomination, Kamala Harris will have to run, for better or worse, on President Joe Biden's economic record. It will be just one challenge Harris will have to overcome to defeat her Republican opponent, former President Donald Trump . Despite historically low unemployment and macro growth that has defied long-held expectations for recession, the economy is Biden's soft spot. "I don't see a lot of daylight between her views on economic policy and those of the administration," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics , a Democrat who has advised administrations of both parties. Possible change at the Fed One area of difference between Biden and Harris could be a crucial one — the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden's, Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, She's, Greg Valliere, she's, There's, Mark Zandi, Zandi, nonfarm, Joseph LaVorgna, Biden's, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, reappoint Powell Organizations: Democratic, Biden, Republican, AGF Investments, Reuters, Moody's, Democrat, Economic Council, Nikko Securities, Federal Reserve, Senate, Beacon, Advisors Locations: California
The Fed shouldn't cut interest rates at all this year, strategist Jim Bianco said. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve risks prematurely cutting interest rates right as the US economy is poised to reaccelerate, Jim Bianco told CNBC. Related storiesBacking the notion are promising declines in inflation and a cooling of the labor market. AdvertisementFed fund futures indicate that three 25-basis point interest rate cuts could come this year, starting in September. Interest rates will remain pressured by today's high level of government spending and continued consumer strength.
Persons: Jim Bianco, , there'll, Brian Rose, Bianco, they're, " Bianco, Charles Schwab, Schwab Organizations: Service, Reserve, CNBC, Bianco Research, Fed, UBS, ISM Services
But don't bet on a soft landing outcome for the US economy as the Fed gets set to cut rates, says famed economist David Rosenberg. AdvertisementRosenberg ResearchRosenberg's downbeat views on the labor market come amid his skepticism about the impressive rallies in major stock-market indexes like the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500. Still, as Rosenberg points out, some say the Fed needs to act urgently as the labor market weakens. Waiting too long to lower interest rates to support the economy will only increase the odds of the job market breaking down." Rosenberg has been consistently bearish on the US economy in recent months, while the labor market has continued to prove him wrong.
Persons: , David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch's, Eli Lilly, Russell, Neil Dutta, Dutta Organizations: Service, Fed, Rosenberg Research, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics ', Survey, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Macro
Still, the industry largely saw strong monthly job gains following the losses it faced early on in the pandemic, averaging 205,000 jobs a month in 2021. Data out Friday from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed this industry saw a month-over-month job gain of 7,000; the overall nonfarm payroll job gain in June was 206,000. The industry has historically had higher rates of quits and job openings than the overall labor market, per the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Additionally, the healthcare and social assistance sectors have seen robust job growth and likely will be looking for job seekers long-term. AdvertisementThe overall tougher labor market still has potential for job seekers.
Persons: , switchers, Julia Pollak, " Pollak, Pollak, Nick Bunker Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, BLS, Healthcare, North America Locations: Federal
Read previewMichael Guan wants you to use AI to bluff your way through that job interview. He's the cofounder and CEO of Final Round AI, a startup building artificial intelligence-powered tools for job seekers. There's a debate in Silicon Valley about the appropriateness of candidates using AI in job interviews. An AI-powered proxy interview demoArjun, a professional interview proxy, hopped on a call to explain how it worked and then gave a demo. Guan argued that using AI during a job interview isn't underhanded; it shows the worker's ingenuity.
Persons: , Michael Guan, Otter.ai, There's, Guan shrugged, Otter, it's, Arjun, AiApply, Aidan Cramer, Cramer, Buddy, that's, résumé, Guan, Jay Ma, Copilot, Ma Organizations: Service, Business, AWS, Google, Microsoft, Hub, Intel, Nvidia, Wayback, Bureau of Labor Statistics, YouTube Locations: Silicon Valley, Facebook, WhatsApp, London, San Francisco, Francisco, China, Seattle, TikTok
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over 3 basis points at 4.31%. The 2-year Treasury yield also climbed more than 3 basis points to 4.633%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Monday as investors looked ahead to key economic data due throughout the week, including fresh inflation insights. Data released Friday showed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 206,000 in June, more than the 200,000 Dow Jones forecast. Minutes from the Fed's latest meeting published last week showed that policymakers are looking for more evidence that inflation is easing before deciding to move rates.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Dow
Three of the four big money center banks report this coming Friday, including Club name Wells Fargo . Economic data : The June consumer price index (CPI) is out on Thursday morning, and the June producer price index (PPI) is out on Friday morning. Earnings season : Within the portfolio, net interest income (NII) guidance is going to be a key watch item when Wells Fargo reports its quarter this coming Friday. However, other factors like muted loan demand have prevented Wells Fargo from raising its outlook this year. Wells Fargo – and our other bank name Morgan Stanely – both passed, indicating they have strong capital positions with excess money to return to shareholders.
Persons: May's, You'll, Wells, Michael Santomassimo, Morgan Stanley, We're, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanely –, JPMorgan Chase, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Beata Zawrzel Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Apple, Broadcom, Club, Meta, Energy, Constellation Brands, Corona, Modelo, Federal Reserve, Manufacturing, PMI, Fed, Wells, PPI, CPI, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, DAL, Conagra Brands, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, U.S, New York Stock Exchange, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, FactSet, Wells, Wells Fargo –, New York, United States, America
The US economy added 206,000 jobs in June, more than the forecast of 191,000. The unemployment rate rose from 4.0% in May to 4.1% in June. Data released earlier this week showed job openings rose slightly from 7.9 million in April to 8.1 million in May. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose from 4.0% in May to 4.1% in June. According to the forecast noted on Investing.com, the US economy was expected to add 191,000 nonfarm payrolls in June.
Persons: Organizations: Service, payrolls, Bureau of Labor Statistics
The June employment report on Friday morning came in slightly better than expected with the economy adding 206,000 nonfarm jobs versus 200,000 expected. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. Top things to watch Friday, July 5Stocks were mixed slightly Friday following another record S&P 500 th holiday. The June employment report on Friday morning came in slightly better than expected with the economy adding 206,000 nonfarm jobs versus 200,000 expected.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Jefferies, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Constellation Brands Novo Nordisk Eli Lilly Samsung Organizations: Treasury, Constellation Brands, JPMorgan, Novo Nordisk, Samsung Electronics, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Constellation Brands Novo Nordisk, Constellation Brands Novo Nordisk Eli Lilly Samsung Electronics
Some key inflation readings in the week ahead could bolster the case for a September interest rate cut, as investors deliberate how long stocks can sustain their rally to record highs. After a rocky start to the year, a recently improving inflation picture has investors hopeful the Federal Reserve could soon start to lower rates. Stubborn inflation patches The June consumer price index is expected to show a slight improvement in the headline number. In May, for example, shelter inflation rose 0.4% on the month and 5.4% on the year, while other key items declined. Monday, July 8 3 p.m. Consumer Credit (May) Tuesday, July 9 6 a.m. NFIB Small Business Index (June) Wednesday, July 10 10 a.m. Wholesale Inventories final (May) Thursday, July 11 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (June) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: nonfarm payrolls, Mark Malek, FactSet, there's, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Mayfield, David Kelly, CNBC's, Wells, Price, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CPI, PPI, FactSet, University of Michigan, Asset Management, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, Consumer Credit, Treasury Budget, Air Lines, Conagra, JPMorgan, Bank of New York Mellon Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Michigan, Fastenal
CNBC Daily Open: UK Labour landslide election victory
  + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. UK Labour wins landslide victoryThe center-left Labour Party has won a landslide victory, ending 14 years of Conservative rule. Samsung shares climbed 2.84%, hitting their highest level since January 2021. Here are Evercore ISI's best stock ideas for the second half.
Persons: Keir Starmer's, Tony Blair's, Rishi Sunak, Brexiteer Nigel Farage, jeopardizing, Korea's Kospi, nonfarm payrolls, Saks, Neiman Marcus, Bergdorf Goodman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Labour, Labour Party, Conservative, Keir Starmer's Labour, Party, Nikkei, Samsung, Samsung Electronics, CSI, S3 Partners, Saks Fifth, HBC, Saks, ISI Locations: May's
Job seekers attends the JobNewsUSA.com South Florida Job Fair held at the Amerant Bank Arena on June 26, 2024 in Sunrise, Florida. Joe Raedle | Getty ImagesThe U.S. economy again added slightly more jobs than expected in June though the unemployment rate increased, the Labor Department reported Friday. The unemployment rate unexpectedly climbed to 4.1%, tied for the highest level since October 2021 and providing a conflicting sign for Federal Reserve officials weighing their next move on monetary policy. A broader unemployment rate which counts discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons held steady at 7.4%. Household employment, which is used to calculate the unemployment rate, increased by 116,000.
Persons: Joe Raedle, Nonfarm, Dow Jones Organizations: Amerant, Labor Department, Dow, Federal Reserve Locations: Florida, Sunrise , Florida
Health care and social assistance added 82,400 jobs, while government increased by 70,000 positions. The breakdown of the June jobs report suggests that growth has become increasingly uneven as the labor market shows signs of softening. Health care and social assistance have been a key component of the labor market recovery since the pandemic. Meanwhile, education accounted for 17,200 of the jobs added in the government sector. Both state and local governments added jobs outside of education, as well.
Persons: nonfarm payrolls, Jeffrey Roach, payrolls, Roach Organizations: Labor Department, LPL
Treasury yields little changed ahead of key jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.6934% after rising by less than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields held steady on Friday as markets reopened after the July 4 holiday and investors awaited the latest nonfarm payroll data. Key economic data is expected in form of the June jobs report on Friday. The report is expected to show that nonfarm payrolls added 200,000 jobs in June, according to economists polled by Dow Jones. Many investors are hoping that Friday's jobs data will indicate that the labor market and economy are cooling, as this could support the case for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.
Persons: payrolls, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, ADP, Federal Reserve
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