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"Buying because the stock price has gone down without knowing some of the underlying issues or without understanding some of the underlying activities, could be problematic," says Clark Bellin, president and chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth. After all, a stock could take major losses and then soar to new heights à la Apple. But what about that same markdown in the price of that company's stock? You'll just have to figure some things out before you buy, says Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA. Rather than scrambling to do research, he says, keep a watchlist of stocks you'd be interested in buying at the right price.
Persons: Clark Bellin, Sam Stovall, Bellin, Charles Rotblut, Stovall, It's, Raife Giovinazzo, Giovinazzo Organizations: Blockbuster, Nike, American Association of, Fuller, Thaler Asset Management, Nasdaq, Yahoo Finance, CNBC
IWM 5D mountain iShares Russell 2000 ETF Next week's earnings results will help investors glean whether that rotation trade is sustainable. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which is weighted more toward the real economy than is the S & P 500 and Nasdaq, rose to a new record above 40,000. According to FactSet consensus estimates, S & P 500 companies are set to post blended earnings growth of 9.2% in the second quarter. "It's not unthinkable to see us exiting this year at 5,800 on the S & P," he said. This follows a difficult 2Q, when 75% of Large Cap Core managers trailed the S & P 500," Palfrey wrote.
Persons: Patrick Palfrey, Hogan, Keith Buchanan, Buchanan, Palfrey, David Sekera, Quincy Krosby, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Huntington Organizations: Nasdaq, UBS, Investors, Riley, Dow Jones, Globalt Investments, Riley Securities, Big Tech, Core, LPL, BlackRock, Bank of America, Taiwan Semiconductor, Price, Retail, Hunt Transport Services, State, PNC Financial Services, UnitedHealth, United Airlines, Discover Financial Services, U.S . Bancorp, Johnson, Citizens Financial Group, Philadelphia Fed, Netflix, T Bank, KeyCorp, American Express, Halliburton, Fifth Third Bancorp, Regions Locations: Nasdaq, NAHB, Horton, Blackstone, Taiwan
The S & P 500's 14-day relative strength index, or RSI, closed above 81 on Wednesday. This coincided with the S & P 500 closing above 5,600 for the first time. The S & P 500 has closed with an RSI above 81 only 12 other times in the past 40 years, Cantor head of equity derivatives Eric Johnston pointed out. After entering such overbought conditions, the S & P 500 has averaged a decline of 2.21% in the following 15 days, Johnston's data shows. Traders took some profits off the table on Thursday, with the S & P 500 losing 0.9%, pulling back from the all-time highs reached in the previous session.
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor, Eric Johnston Organizations: Traders
U.S. stock futures were little changed Thursday night after the S&P 500 had its worst session since April, dragged lower by investors' rotation out of mega-cap tech stocks. S&P 500 futures were marginally higher. Futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were up by around 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures traded near the flatline. Investors sold their Big Tech winners, pushing Nvidia lower by 5.6% and leading to a 4.1% decline for Meta Platforms . The S&P 500 is up 0.3% through Thursday's close, while the Nasdaq is down nearly 0.4%.
Persons: Dow, Russell, Warren, We've, Wells Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Investors, Big Tech, Meta, Traders, Federal, 3Fourteen, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, University of Michigan Locations: Thursday's, Wells Fargo
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on June 14, 2024. U.S. stock futures were little changed Wednesday night after both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed at new all-time highs. Futures tied to the broad market index slipped less than 0.1%, as did Nasdaq 100 futures . These moves come before a key inflation report due to be released Thursday morning, which could help solidify expectations for a rate cut in September. "Any upside surprises in inflation are going to be downside surprises for markets.
Persons: Dow Jones, Mike Bailey Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Costco Wholesale, Dow, FBB Capital Partners, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines
With the second half of the year underway, Oppenheimer is highlighting what it calls its top small- and midcap seasonal standout investment ideas. On the basis of price charts alone, Oppenheimer tapped midcap growth stocks as its top rotation idea from a technical perspective. Oppenheimer has a $20 price target on Zeta, implying 18% upside from Tuesday's close. In a note last month, RBC Capital Markets also rated Zeta outperform with a price target of $20. In this area, Oppenheimer likes Viking Therapeutics , reiterating the stock as one of its best ideas.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Russell, Brian Schwartz, Zeta, Novo Nordisk's Wegovy, Eli Lilly's Zepbound, Jay Olson, Freshpet Organizations: Oppenheimer, Zeta Global Holdings, Zeta, RBC Capital Markets, Novo Nordisk's, Viking Therapeutics, Therapeutics Locations: Zeta, Novo
Bill Ackman, chief executive officer and portfolio manager at Pershing Square Capital Management, speaks during the SALT conference in Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S. May 18, 2017. REUTERS/Richard Brian/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights New Tab , opens new tabNEW YORK, July 10 (Reuters) - Bill Ackman's firm Pershing Square Capital Management will put $500 million into its new U.S.-listed investment holding company, the hedge fund manager said in a presentation on Wednesday. The $500 million anchor investment will be held for at least 10 years, he said. Since its launch two decades ago, Ackman's hedge fund returned 16.5% a year. Had it existed in its current form, Pershing Square USA would have returned 19.4% during that time, he said.
Persons: Bill Ackman, Richard Brian, Bill Ackman's, Ackman, Svea Herbst, Bayliss, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Pershing Square Capital Management, REUTERS, Pershing, Capital Management, USA, New York Stock Exchange, Svea, Thomson Locations: Las Vegas , Nevada, U.S
We think so," Melius analyst Ben Reitzes said in a research report on Monday. We think infrastructure software may be harder to disrupt," the Melius analyst said. Apple, AMD and Intel should benefit from looming product cycles and an eventual easing of cloud capital expenditures spending, according to Reitzes. For Apple, the analyst believes consumers will favor its iPhone 16 out in September given its "Apple Intelligence" AI capabilities. His price targets on Intel and AMD suggest the stocks can advance some 16% and 22%, respectively, over the next year.
Persons: Ben Reitzes, Melius, Reitzes Organizations: Apple, AMD, Research, VanEck Semiconductor, Intel, IBM, Devices, Apple Intelligence Locations: Monday's, Turin
A veteran analyst says AI is unproven, and stocks such as Nvidia are in a bubble and could wither. Ferguson sees shades of the dot-com bubble, warning Nvidia might lose its edge like Intel and Cisco did. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementArtificial intelligence is still just a pricey experiment, AI stocks are in a dangerous bubble, and Nvidia might wither like dot-com darlings Intel and Cisco, according to a markets guru. Ferguson recommended investors diversify their portfolios away from large-cap US growth stocks to limit their exposure if the tech bubble bursts.
Persons: MacroStrategy's James Ferguson, Ferguson, , James Ferguson, Merryn, I'm, It's Organizations: Nvidia, Intel, Cisco, Service, MacroStrategy, Tech
U.S. stock futures were little changed Monday night after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed at fresh record highs. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.12% and 0.18%, respectively. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed Monday's trading session at all-time highs again, each rising slightly as investors awaited key inflation data and earnings results due out later this week. The broad market index closed up 0.1%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 0.3%. Bank earnings results from Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase are due out Friday.
Persons: Courtney Garcia, CNBC's, Jerome Powell, Powell, JPMorgan Chase, , Jeff Cox Organizations: New York Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow Jones, Reserve, Payne Capital Management, Senate, Financial Services, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, Citigroup, JPMorgan
Stock futures edged lower Sunday night as investors await key inflation data for further clues on the longevity of this year's market rally. S&P futures were down more than 0.1%, while futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 51 points, or 0.1%. Producer price index data will be released Friday. Last week, labor data reflected a slightly cooling labor market, spurring expectations of a rate cut. A slew of major banks, including Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase , will kick off second-quarter earnings season this week.
Persons: Greg Wilensky, Janus Henderson, JPMorgan Chase, Stocks, Dow Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Traders, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Citigroup, JPMorgan, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, Nvidia Locations: U.S
Bill Smead warns of poor long-term performance for stock indexes like the S&P 500. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Smead doesn't like the long-term outlook for big stock-market indexes like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. Despite their recent resilience and rallies to new highs, he said he sees a few red flags that could lead to poor performance for the broader market ahead.
Persons: Bill Smead, , Morningstar Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on June 24, 2024. During Tuesday's main trading session, the broad market index rose 0.62% to close above 5,500 for the first time. U.S. stock futures traded near the flatline Wednesday morning after the S&P 500 closed above 5,500 for the first time. As the S&P 500 continues to climb, concern is growing across Wall Street that the narrow leadership of the rally is not sustainable for much longer. The New York Stock Exchange closes early at 1 p.m.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Scott Chronert, Chronert Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow, Paramount Global, Wall Street, The New York Times, Skydance Media, Federal Reserve, Citi Research, P Global U.S, Services, ISM, The New York Stock Exchange, Independence Locations: U.S
RBC Capital Markets increased its 2024 year-end target for the S & P 500, but the bank is taking a cautious stance on its market outlook. Head of global equity strategy Lori Calvasina now sees the broad market index ending the year at 5,700, up from her previous target of 5,300. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2024 While she does see more upside ahead for the benchmark, Calvasina noted that valuations suggest the market is a bit overbought. There is also the risk that another short-term pullback — similar to what the market experienced in April — will take place, the strategist said. The S & P 500 has climbed nearly 15% year to date, with gains driven largely by chipmaker Nvidia and a small group of other megacap tech stocks.
Persons: Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, , We've, ” Calvasina, , chipmaker Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, chipmaker Nvidia
Global stocks ended the first half of 2024 up by more than 12%, and investors stand to make good money over the next six months if history repeats itself. Since the late 1980s, though, after a first-half rise of over 12%, stocks rose every single time in the second half of the year. The analysis also reveals that since 1970, the global stock market index had an average 21.25% price return for the whole year when the index was up more than 12% halfway through the year. The U.S.-only S & P 500 index has behaved in a very similar way to the MSCI World Index since 1989. The stock market had risen by more than 25% in the first half of that year.
Persons: Organizations: CNBC Locations: U.S
Investors deliberating whether the stock rally can continue in the second half of 2024 should keep an eye on the 200-day moving average, according to Stephen Suttmeier, technical research strategist at Bank of America Securities. The indicator, which is used by chart analysts to determine long-term trends, has been positive during the first six months of the year — as the S & P 500 surged 15% to record levels. The broad market index did not have a single daily close below its 200-day moving average in the first half. However, if the S & P 500 falls below its 200-day moving average in the second half of 2024, that will mean weaker returns, the technician said. "[This] scenario shows average and median returns of 0.60% (SPX 5490) and 2.43% (SPX 5590), respectively," the technician said.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, Stocks, Donald Trump Organizations: Bank of America Securities, U.S, Federal Reserve
These ETFs, often called "buffer funds," use options to give investors downside protection in exchange for giving up potential upside. The funds come with different time horizons, and new funds are launching or resetting every month, so there are several options for investors to buy now and protect themselves through the November election. Many of the ETFs offer something in the range of 10% to 30% downside protection and are often called buffer funds. Other products that offer 100% downside protection — in exchange for smaller upside — are sometimes marketed as "principal protection funds." Jim Saulnier, a CFP and founder of Jim Saulnier & Associates in Fort Collins, Colorado, said his clients use both the buffer funds and the 100% downside protection funds.
Persons: Bruce Bond, Matt Kaufman, Jim Saulnier, Saulnier, Bond, there's, Matt Thompson, Thompson, Kaufman Organizations: U.S, JPMorgan, Capital Management, Calamos Investments, Jim Saulnier & Associates, Little Harbor Advisors Locations: Fort Collins , Colorado, iShares
London CNN —President Joe Biden had a shaky performance in last night’s presidential debate, triggering panic in the Democrat camp. Former President Donald Trump, meanwhile, repeated multiple falsehoods while doubling down on his record of cutting taxes and hiking tariffs during his first presidential term. If repeated in a second Trump term, many economists fear that kind of agenda could stoke inflation at a critical moment and add to America’s rapidly growing debt mountain. That could pull the typical year-end election relief rally forward, said Ed Clissold, chief US strategist at Ned Davis Research. The US dollar has also been reactive — it edged higher as initial CNN polling found that Trump was viewed as the winner of the debate.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, shrugged, , Keith Lerner, Barack Obama, Trump, Lerner, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Antonio Ernesto Di Giacomo, , Goldman Sachs ’ Scott Rubner, Jonas Goltermann, Emmanuel Macron, Katie Nixon, France’s, CDK, Ramishah Maruf, Eva Rothenberg, aren’t, they’ve, Scott Campbell, CNN they’ve, Jordan Valinsky, Tim Wentworth Organizations: London CNN, Democrat, Trump, , Biden, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Investors, Capital Economics, CNN, Renaissance, Northern Trust Wealth Management, CAC, CDK, Auto, Capital City Buick GMC, Bloomberg, Walgreens Locations: France, , North America, United States, Canada, Berlin , Vermont, Eastern Europe, America
France's parliamentary election has already rattled investors as the country's risk premium rises — but two possible scenarios have still not been priced in by markets and could impact stocks in the wider European region, according to Citi. "However, the market is not priced in for far-right or far-left majority," Manthey said. "The outcome is still quite unclear, we only have polling for the first round of the election. "Let's put the announcement of the election in the context of the positioning of the investors. If the French election outcome "is very market unfriendly ... markets in Europe are quite correlated.
Persons: Beata Manthey, CNBC's, Manthey, Emmanuel Macron's, Let's, we've Organizations: Citi, CAC Locations: Sunday's, Europe, U.S
India is set to see billions in inflows into the country's rupee-denominated government debt market, as state bonds make their debut on JPMorgan's emerging market index on Friday. This is reportedly the first time Indian government bonds have been included in a global index. India has seen foreign inflows to the tune of about $10 billion into its bond market over the past nine months since the announcement, Puneet Pal, head of fixed income at PGIM India Mutual Fund, told CNBC "Street Signs Asia." Last September, JPMorgan said the inclusion of Indian bonds in its Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets will be staggered over 10 months, starting from a 1% weightage in June to a maximum 10% in April next year. Pal said that over the medium- to long-term, the inclusion of Indian government bonds will have a positive impact across the bond markets.
Persons: Puneet Pal, Deepak Agrawal, Pal Organizations: PGIM India Mutual Fund, CNBC, JPMorgan, Government, Kotak Mutual Fund Locations: India
The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are hovering around all-time highs, having rallied roughly 15% and 18%, respectively. The 30-stock Dow and S & P 500 each posted losses, down by 0.1%, each. In recent days, a number of Wall Street firms have hiked their year-end S & P 500 targets to catch up with this year's surprisingly strong rally. On a median basis, strategists expect the S & P 500 will end the year at 5,500, a CNBC Pro survey shows . June jobs report Markets will be closed Thursday for the Fourth of July holiday.
Persons: chipmaker, Craig Johnson, Piper Sandler, Goldman Sachs, Scott Chronert, CNBC's, Chronert, Piper Sandler's Johnson, Bill Merz, Merz, He's, Jamie Meyers, Laffer Tengler, he's, Meyers, Bank's Merz Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Microsoft, Deutsche Bank Research, Equity, Dow, Wall Street, Citi, ISI, CNBC, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, PMI, Manufacturing, ADP, PMI Services, Services PMI, Constellation Locations: U.S
"However, the longer these warning lights flash, the more painful the repair bill (market correction) will be," Johnson said. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Stocks have surged this year largely due to the outperformance of artificial intelligence mega-cap technology companies such as Nvidia. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are higher this year by roughly 15% and 18%, respectively. Just last week, the S & P 500 breached 5,500 for the first time. Johnson anticipates the S & P 500 will end the year at 5,050, or 7% lowerthan where it closed Tuesday.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Johnson Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq Locations: Tuesday's
US new home sales plunged unexpectedly last month
  + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Washington CNN —Sales of newly built homes dropped last month as mortgage rates remained elevated. New home sales, which make up only about 10% of the market, fell 11.3% in May from the prior month, to 619,000, according to government data released Wednesday. That was the steepest monthly decline since September 2022 and marks the lowest level since November. Mortgage rates soared to the highest level of the year in early May and have since trended down. “Persistently high mortgage rates are keeping many prospective buyers on the sidelines,” NAHB chairman Carl Harris said in a release.
Persons: That’s, , , Carl Harris Organizations: Washington CNN —, Federal, National Association of Home Builders, Housing, Locations: Wells Fargo
Read previewMajor stock market indexes look virtually unstoppable. 3 alternatives to market cap-weighted indexesTo combat growing concentration risk for the S&P 500, Geraci laid out three alternative investing approaches to consider. In a downside scenario for a stock like Nvidia, this could help minimize the damage it would do to the cap-weighted S&P 500. And third, consider international stocks, which have dramatically lagged US stocks, Geraci said. Core Equity 2 ETF (DFAX), and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) offer exposure to international stocks.
Persons: , Nate Geraci, Geraci, LPL Financial's Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, There's Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business, Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, RSP, First Trust NASDAQ, Schwab, FTSE, Core Equity
The S & P 500 is having a hot 2024, but a few names could be poised to fall from grace in the second half of the year. However, the de facto market leader and other high-flying stocks on Wall Street could face pressure after their huge runs, based on consensus price targets. CNBC Pro used its Stock Screener tool to search for S & P 500 constituents that average analyst price targets suggest could slip 10% or more moving forward. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia stock has climbed 155% in 2024. Still, analysts' price targets suggest that the stock may have gotten ahead of itself, reflecting a nearly 14% decline moving forward.
Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC Pro, Nvidia Investor, Microsoft, Wall, Qualcomm, VanEck Semiconductor, Garmin Locations: China
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