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When President Emmanuel Macron defended his decision last month to call snap legislative elections, he argued repeatedly that France needed a “clarification” of its political situation. But on Monday, after the French cast their final ballots, the situation was anything but clear. A nationwide vote for the 577 seats in the National Assembly, the country’s more powerful house of Parliament, has not produced a working majority. Three large blocs have emerged from the elections — none big enough to govern alone, all of them possibly too antagonistic to work together. None has reached the threshold for an absolute majority, 289 seats, which would enable them to form a government that could survive no-confidence votes by their rivals.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron Organizations: National Assembly Locations: France
CNBC Daily Open: French far-right advance blocked
  + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Far-right advance thwartedFrance's left-wing New Popular Front coalition unexpectedly blocked a far-right advance in the parliamentary run-off vote, securing the largest number of seats but falling short of an absolute majority. Gox bankruptcy estate confirmed that repayments in bitcoin and bitcoin cash had commenced, likely fueling investor concerns of a massive sell-off. However, recent profit-taking and valuation concerns led to a pullback and a rare downgrade from a Wall Street analyst.
Persons: France's, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, Bitcoin, Emmanuel Papadakis Organizations: CNBC, Popular Front, Rassemblement, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Novo Nordisk, Novo Nordisk's Ozempic, Deutsche Bank, Harvard Medical, Nvidia, Wall Locations: Europe's, U.S, Gox, bitcoin, Novo
“And now, what do we do?” blared the front page headline of Le Parisien, a daily newspaper, as the shock of Sunday’s election results began to sink in. The day after a historic election, France awoke to final results that none of the polls had predicted. The left-wing coalition’s New Popular Front took the most seats in the National Assembly, but nowhere near enough to form a government, followed by President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist coalition, which lost scores of seats. Finally, in third place, was the party that pollsters and pundits alike had expected to lead — the far-right National Rally. Now the question gripping the country was who would govern France, and how.
Persons: Le Parisien, Emmanuel Macron’s Organizations: National Assembly Locations: France
The euro slipped on Monday after projections from France's election pointed to a hung parliament amid an unexpectedly strong showing for a left-wing alliance, spawning fresh uncertainty over the country's fiscal outlook. The euro slipped on Monday after projections from France's election pointed to a hung parliament amid an unexpectedly strong showing for a left-wing alliance, spawning fresh uncertainty over the country's fiscal outlook. The yen headed for a third day of gains after rebounding from last week's nearly 38-year trough to the dollar. The euro was 0.06% lower at $1.0827, and earlier slid as much as 0.4% as investors weighed the consequences of a hung French parliament. The dollar slipped 0.07% to 160.70 yen, down from as high as 161.96 on Wednesday.
Persons: Sterling, Emmanuel Macron's, Chris Weston, Macron, Weston, bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labour, Conservative, New Popular Front, Le, Traders Locations: Gox
While a surge in support for the left-wing New Popular Front (NFP) coalition foiled Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (RN) party, French politics is now more disordered than it was before the vote. The NFP won 182 seats in the National Assembly, making it the largest group in the 577-seat parliament. And the RN and its allies, despite leading the first round, won 143 seats. Does that mean the NFP “won” the election? Now, it is the largest bloc in the French parliament and could provide France with its next prime minister.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Le, , NFP “, Jordan Bardella, Le Pen, , ” Bardella, Kevin Coombs, Macron, Publique, – Jean, Luc Mélenchon, Raphael Glucksmann, Emmanuel Dunand, Éduoard Philippe, France’s, Brigitte Macron, Mohammed Badra, Gabriel Attal’s, France Unbowed, Mario Draghi, Benito Mussolini Organizations: CNN, Front, NFP, National Assembly, Ensemble, , Reuters, Socialists, Getty Locations: Vichy, France, Paris, AFP, Le Touquet, , Italy
Aurelien Morissard/Pool/AFP/Getty ImagesThe result of Sunday’s parliamentary election runoff comes as a huge surprise, with France appearing to be on the verge of a major political shift – but not the one everyone was expecting. No pollster predicted before Sunday that a left-wing alliance would win and that the far right would come in third place. The political maneuvering by French President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist party and the left-wing alliance this week was clearly successful. But the left-wing alliance, which has seemed shaky, is going to have a hard time speaking with one voice. While it appears to have partially worked by keeping the far right from power, it has also plunged France into unprecedented political chaos.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Aurelien, Emmanuel Macron’s, Macron’s Organizations: Getty Locations: Paris, France
One theory about why Macron called an election now is that France might soon have been forced to the polls anyway. When Macron was reelected as president in 2022, his party failed to win an outright majority in parliament. Another theory is that Macron is gambling he can defeat extremist parties by exposing them to government. Some argue Macron hoped that, by giving the RN time in government before, they would have time to prove disappointing to voters. Jordan Bardella has said he will refuse to govern a minority government, meaning France could be left in deadlock in a mess of Macron’s making.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Let’s, Macron, Jordan Bardella Organizations: Elysee Locations: France
CNN —In a surprise second-round result, the left-wing New Popular Front is projected to finish ahead of Marine Le Pen’s far-right party in French parliamentary elections, according to an IPSOS estimate. Despite leading after the first round of votes, the far-right National Rally (RN) was projected to win between 132 and 152 seats. But Sunday’s projection comes as a huge upset and shows French voters’ overwhelming desire to keep the far right from gaining power. After the first round, an unprecedented number of seats – over 300 – went to a three-way runoff between Ensemble, the NFP and the RN. By Tuesday, more than 200 centrist and left-wing candidates withdrew from the second round, in a bid to avoid splitting the vote.
Persons: Le, , Emmanuel Macron’s, Cheers, Luc Mélenchon, France Unbowed, ” Mélenchon, Bois de Vincennes, Jordan Bardella, Macron Organizations: CNN, NFP, Socialists, National Assembly, Ensemble Locations: France, Vichy, Paris, Stalingrad, Bois de
What a hung parliament in France could mean for markets
  + stars: | 2024-07-07 | by ( Matt Clinch | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Emmanuel Dunand | Afp | Getty ImagesInitial indications on Sunday evening for the French parliamentary run-off vote threw up some big surprises, leaving political commentators contemplating a "hung parliament" scenario that could prove challenging for both policymaking and financial markets. With none of the groups expected to hit the 289 seats needed for an absolute majority, gridlock could ensue over the coming weeks. The euro slipped about 0.3% against the U.S. dollar in thin trading on Sunday evening after the exit polls were released. "Regardless, uncertainty about the outlook for French policymaking is likely to be long-lasting," the analysts said. France is facing a challenging fiscal position, and the European Commission announced two weeks ago that it intended to place France under an Excessive Deficit Procedure due to its failure to keep its budget deficit within 3 percent of gross domestic product.
Persons: Emmanuel Dunand, France's, Emmanuel Macron's, policymaking, Jack Allen, Reynolds, Macron, David Roche Organizations: la Republique, Afp, Getty, Popular Front, Rassemblement National, U.S, Citi, Daiwa, European Commission, Capital Economics, Independent, National Rally Locations: France, la, Paris, Italy, Germany
Francois Lo Presti | Afp | Getty ImagesFrench voters are heading to the polls on Sunday for the second and final round of voting in a snap parliamentary election. By offering voters a starker choice and fewer candidates, RN's opponents hope that the electorate will opt for the non-RN candidate. "For instance, former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe has said voters should vote neither for the RN nor candidates from the far-left France Unbowed (LFI) party. At the same time, current Prime Minister Gabriel Attal has called for everyone to vote against the RN." If the choice was between a far-left and far-right candidate, however, the picture was more nuanced, showing a split vote.
Persons: Francois Lo Presti, Emmanuel Macron's, Jordan Bardella, Antonio Barroso, Edouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Ifop, Teneo's Barroso, Harris, Emmanuel Macron, Xi Jinping, Mohammed Badra, Macron, Teneo, Julien De Rosa Organizations: French, Afp, Getty, National Assembly, Front, NFP, Le, Palais des Sports, Nurphoto, Research, Harris Interactive, Reuters, Republicans, Macron's, Chinese Business Council, National Locations: Henin, Beaumont, France, Paris, Franco, Marigny, Garches
The newly-formed left-wing coalition, the New Popular Front (NFP), came second with 28%, while Macron’s Ensemble alliance trailed in a distant third with 21%. In the outgoing parliament, Macron’s alliance had only 250 seats, and so needed support from other parties to pass laws. In an attempt not to split the anti-far right vote, more than 200 candidates from Macron’s alliance and the NFP agreed to stand down in the second round. Whatever the result of Sunday’s vote, France seems set to endure a period of political chaos, with Macron unable to call another parliamentary election for at least a year. Jordan Bardella speaks at the RN headquarters in Paris after the first round of voting, June 30, 2024.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, , Jordan Bardella, Bardella, Gerald Darmanin, Sarah Meyssonnier, Macron, Jean, Luc Melenchon, Raphael Gluckmann, Gabriel Attal, Macron’s Organizations: CNN — Voters, Front, NFP, National Assembly, Macron’s, France Unbowed, Melenchon Locations: France, Vichy, Paris, Europe, Brussels, Ukraine
France faced a hung parliament and deep political uncertainty after the three main political groups of the left, center and right emerged from snap legislative elections on Sunday with large shares of the vote but nothing approaching an absolute majority. The preliminary results upended widespread predictions of a clear victory for the National Rally, Marine Le Pen’s anti-immigrant party that dominated the first round of voting a week ago. Instead, the left-wing New Popular Front won 178 seats. The centrist coalition of President Emmanuel Macron, who cast the country into turmoil a month ago by calling the election, was in second place with 150 seats. Trailing it was the National Rally and its allies, which took 142 seats.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron Organizations: National Rally, Popular Front Locations: France
The bloc brings together five different parties. Far-left France Unbowed and the Communist party has joined with the center-left parties, the socialists and the greens to form a New Popular Front. It’s equally hard to imagine how the current constellation would allow France to play an important role regarding Ukraine. The left has remained relatively quiet on Ukraine - different parties from the coalition have slightly different stances - France Unbowed is against what it calls “escalation” with Russia. Macron’s gamble may have prevented the far right from coming to power, but it could yet plunge the country into chaos.
Persons: CNN — “, Emmanuel Macron, France’s, Jordan Bardella, Macron, Le Pen, it’s Organizations: CNN, la Republique, NFP, France Unbowed, Communist, National Assembly Locations: la, Paris, France, Ukraine, Macron, Russia, Macron’s
A woman steps out of a polling booth prior to cast her vote in the first round of parliamentary elections in Le Touquet, northwestern France, on June 30, 2024. LONDON — France's left-wing New Popular Front coalition is set to unexpectedly win the most seats in the second round of the country's parliamentary election but fail to clinch an absolute majority, early data showed. By offering voters a starker choice and fewer candidates, RN's opponents hoped that the electorate would choose the non-RN candidate. The prime minister must leave," Jean-Luc Melenchon, leader of the France Unbowed party, said in a CNBC-translated social media update after the release of the early poll data. The final round of the election shows that voters, ultimately, have rejected Macron.
Persons: France's, France Unbowed, Ipsos, Emmanuel Macron's, , pollster Ipsos, Jean, Luc Melenchon, Macron, Melenchon, Macron's Organizations: LONDON, Popular Front, Socialists, CNBC, NFP, National Rally Locations: Le Touquet, France, Europe's
Now, it looks set to win the most seats in the French parliament and could provide France with its next prime minister. The NFP is made up of several parties: the far-left France Unbowed party; the more moderate Socialist Party; the green Ecologist party; the French Communist Party; the center-left Place Publique, and other small parties. Going into the second round, it was not clear who the coalition would nominate to be its prime minister. Its most prominent – and divisive – figure is Jean-Luc Mélenchon, a 72-year-old populist firebrand and longtime leader of the France Unbowed party. Announcing his intention to resign Monday as prime minister, Gabriel Attal said, in an apparent swipe to France Unbowed: “No absolute majority can be led by the extremes.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, , Olivier Faure, , Emmanuel Dunand, Jean, Luc Mélenchon, France Unbowed, Gabriel Attal, Faure, Louise Delmotte, , Macron Organizations: CNN, Front, NFP, Socialist Party, Ecologist, French Communist Party, Vichy, Getty, Macron’s, Ifop, Parliament, Hamas Locations: France, Paris, AFP, , Republic, Republique, Palestinian, Israel, Gaza
“Without an absolute majority, the government will be at the mercy of opposition parties banding together” to topple it, said Dominique Rousseau, an emeritus professor of public law at the Panthéon-Sorbonne University in Paris. It was not clear whether the centrists or the right-wing National Rally would be the second-largest bloc. When it wasn’t, Mr. Macron’s government came dangerously close to falling. This time, Mr. Macron’s options appear far more limited. Some analysts believe that Mr. Macron’s position will become so untenable he will have to resign, but he has said he won’t.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Dominique Rousseau, , Samy Benzina, Macron, Macron’s, Jean, Luc Mélenchon Organizations: Sorbonne University, National Assembly, University of Poitiers, French, Greens Locations: France, Paris
France could be headed for sustained political deadlock after no party or alliance of parties appeared to have won an absolute majority of parliamentary seats, according to projections by French polling institutes based on preliminary results. The immediate way forward is unclear, experts said, but the country could be headed for months of political instability, with President Emmanuel Macron facing a deeply divided Parliament, including two blocs firmly opposed to him. “Without an absolute majority, the government will be at the mercy of opposition parties banding together” to topple it, said Dominique Rousseau, an emeritus professor of public law at the Panthéon-Sorbonne University in Paris. The projections suggested that the National Assembly, France’s lower house of Parliament, will be roughly divided into three main blocs with conflicting agendas and, in some cases, deep animosity toward one another.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Dominique Rousseau Organizations: Sorbonne University, National Assembly Locations: France, Paris
PinnedThe left was set to surge in legislative elections in France on Sunday and the far right to come up short of expectations, according to early projections, as no party secured an absolute majority. The New Popular Front and Mr. Macron’s centrist bloc then withdrew candidates from more than 200 races to avoid dividing support. Their strategy appeared to have succeeded in denying the National Rally an absolute majority, according to the projections. “Today the National Rally made the biggest breakthrough in its history,” Mr. Bardella told supporters in Paris. “Unfortunately,” he added, “dangerous electoral deals” made by Mr. Macron’s allies and the left had “deprived” the country of a far-right government.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron’s, Jordan Bardella, ” Mr, Bardella, , Macron’s Organizations: jockeying, National Assembly, National, , Rally Locations: France, Paris
France's Prime Minister Gabriel Attal gives a speech following the first results of the second round of France's legislative election at Matignon in Paris on July 7, 2024. French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal said he would submit his resignation on Monday, after early poll data showed his and French President Emmanuel Macron's centrist Ensemble party and its allies coming in second in the parliamentary runoff. Attal, who stepped in as France's youngest ever prime minister only in January, is unlikely to hold the country's second-highest position as part of the upcoming administration. Tonight, no absolute majority can be led by the extremes." In light of the run-off results, Attal set the scene for a period of transition for France's political landscape:"Ladies and gentlemen, this evening, a new era begins.
Persons: Gabriel Attal, Emmanuel Macron's, Attal, Jordan Bardella, Macron Organizations: France's, Popular, Republican, CNBC, Rassemblement National Locations: Matignon, Paris, France, Republic
By doing so, Macron hoped the voters would establish a stronger mandate in the lower house and strengthen his influence on the world stage. AdvertisementThe New York Times reported that Macron, without a majority in the lower house and relegated to political maneuvering, said his decision was inevitable. On June 30, the National Rally Party again dealt a huge blow to Macron's Renaissance party and its allies by securing 33% of votes in the first round of voting, which saw a high turnout. AdvertisementMacron's centrist coalition, the Ensemble, which includes the Renaissance party, came in second with a projected 148 seats, while the far-right National Rally came in third with 142 seats. Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of the left-wing alliance, called the results an "immense relief for a majority of people in our country," the AP reported.
Persons: , Emmanuel Macron's, Macron, Pen, Jean, Luc Mélenchon Organizations: Service, Rally, National, Marine, Renaissance, Business, National Assembly, New York Times, National Rally Party, Associated Press, Times, New, The Times, AP Locations: France, Nazi
France’s Snap Election Enters Its Final Hours
  + stars: | 2024-07-06 | by ( Aurelien Breeden | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Voters in France will cast ballots on Sunday in the final round of snap legislative elections. The results could force President Emmanuel Macron to govern alongside far-right opponents or usher in chronic political instability weeks before the Paris Summer Olympics. Most polls close at 6 p.m. local time on Sunday, or as late as 8 p.m. in larger cities. The first round of voting was dominated by the nationalist, anti-immigration National Rally party. An alliance of left-wing parties called the New Popular Front came in a strong second, while Mr. Macron’s party and its allies came in third.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Macron, Will Organizations: Paris, National Assembly, Rally Locations: France
Prime Minister Keir Starmer of Britain will barely get his feet under the desk in 10 Downing Street before he flies to Washington this coming week to attend a NATO summit. A week after that, he will play host to 50 European leaders at a security meeting at Blenheim Palace, the birthplace of Winston Churchill. It’s a crash course in global statecraft for Mr. Starmer, Britain’s first Labour prime minister in 14 years. But it will also give him the chance to project an image of Britain that is uncharacteristic in the post-Brexit era: a stable, conventional, center-left country amid a churning tide of politically unsettled allies. In Washington, Mr. Starmer will encounter President Biden, who is resisting calls to abandon his race for re-election because of age-related decline.
Persons: Keir Starmer, Winston Churchill, It’s, Starmer, Britain’s, Biden, Emmanuel Macron, Chancellor Olaf Scholz of Germany Organizations: NATO, Labour Locations: Washington, Blenheim, France
Prime Minister Gabriel Attal has said French voters now have a "moral duty" to halt the party's advance. The officer — a father of three who's in his 40s, and a right-leaning voter — said the polarization in French society was "very worrying, but unfortunately normal with the 'diversity' of our society." The police officer said he expected civil unrest after the vote, whichever party gained the most votes. "There will be civil unrest whoever is elected, this is France and the people speak their mind." Civil unrest possiblePolitical experts agree that the current febrile atmosphere of French politics, and antagonism between the main bodies of voters, are the ingredients for further civil unrest.
Persons: that's, Emmanuel Macron, Macron, Gabriel Attal, Amel, Sebastien Salom, Gérald Darmanin, , You've, Philippe Marlière, you've, Marlière, Jordan Bardella, Bardella, Ifop Organizations: la Republique, Nurphoto, CNBC, Front, Left, Afp, Getty, Republican, France's, Republique, Rassemblement, Anadolu, University College London, National Assembly, National, NATO, Le, Palais des Sports Locations: la, Paris, France's, France, Nantes, gomis, de, Bordeaux, Europe, Ukraine
The concern is compounded because many believe Trump poses a threat to the future of NATO. Questions about Biden and his political future inject further uncertainty into a summit where key allies are also dealing with major political changes. However, as one former senior US diplomat said, there will “certainly be a spotlight” on Biden at the NATO summit. Adding to the pressure is the increased significance of this year’s NATO summit. Meanwhile, the Biden administration has sought to focus attention on the content of the summit and away from Biden’s debate performance.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, , Biden, — Keir Starmer —, Emmanuel Macron’s, , he’s, Antony Blinken, spry, , Lloyd Austin, Karine Jean, Pierre Organizations: CNN, NATO, Labour Party, Biden, Brookings Institute, North Atlantic Council, White Locations: Washington ,, Russia, United, US, Austin, European, Italy, Ukraine, United States, NATO
Le Pen: Mbappé not representativeLe Pen directed most of her ire closer to home. “I’m not contesting the existence of these comments,” Le Pen said, referring to the accusations levelled against her candidates. Top of the list of sensitivities is likely to be foreign policy, where Le Pen and Macron rarely see eye to eye. Many held similar suspicions ahead of the election of hard-right culture warrior Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni in 2022. “It’s a form of interference, and in that sense, I find it unacceptable,” Le Pen said of the post.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron’s, Emmanuel Macron, , CNN’s Christiane Amanpour, Kylian Mbappé, Le Pen, Macron, Le, Jordan Bardella, CAESAR, Roman Pilpey, Pen, Mbappé, , ” Mbappé, “ It’s, Kylian, Franck Fife, ” Le Pen, Bardella, CNN Le, Florent de Kersauson, Daniel Grenon, Grenon, “ I’m, “ That’s, Francois Lo Presti, Vladimir Putin, She’s, Putin, Giorgia Meloni, she’s Organizations: Paris CNN —, CNN, Macron, soccer side’s, Ukraine, National Rally, National Assembly, National, 55th Artillery Brigade, Getty, CNN Le Pen’s, BFMTV, Kyiv, Locations: Ukraine, Russia, France’s, Donetsk, AFP, Washington, Kyiv, France, Paris, Hamburg, Germany, Algeria, Cameroon, United States, Brittany, , , Henin, Beaumont, Brussels, Crimea, 2014, Russian, Italian, There’s, Moscow
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