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Home affordability has also been crippled by a combination of limited home supply and resilient demand due to solid wage growth, Zelman noted. Rent growth fell again on a year-over-year basis in April, according to a new report from real-estate site Zumper. And Zelman found that wage growth will outpace that of rent this year. AdvertisementOwning a home costs an average of 9% more on a square-foot basis than renting, according to Zelman & Associates. Along with each is the per-square-foot cost premium of owning compared to renting, according to Zelman & Associates.
Persons: , Ivy Zelman, I've, Zelman, Zelman isn't Organizations: Service, Zelman, Associates, Business, Wall, Toll Locations: Houston, Tampa
The S&P 500 is in its most perilous position since late last summer, cautioned David Keller, the chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. After an uptick in volatility in March 2023, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted rally before peaking on the final day of July. Related storiesIn the meantime, investors should keep a close eye on two key technical support levels for the S&P 500, Keller said: 5,050 and 4,820. Utilities are one of only two parts of the market that's up in the last month, due to its risk-off nature. The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is another compelling way to ride that rally, Keller said.
Persons: , David Keller, I'm, Keller, Stocks, StockCharts.com, they're, Keller isn't, that's Organizations: Service, Business, Utilities, StockCharts.com, VanEck Oil Services, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Miners Locations: East, Israel, Freeport
But strategists at the Wall Street giant aren't only watching sales and earnings growth, the latter of which is expected to rise 8% this year and 6% in 2025. Share buybacks will be the next most common use of cash, Kostin wrote. Companies will also reward shareholders through dividends, which should tick up 6% this year thanks to 8% earnings growth, according to Goldman Sachs. "The AI investment cycle among the mega-cap tech stocks will support investing for growth," Kostin wrote. Goldman SachsBelow are the 30 stocks in that basket where capex and R&D spending is at least 10% of a company's market value.
Persons: shouldn't, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, That's, It's, they'll, Stocks Organizations: Business, Corporate
Like many others, fund manager Jim Golan has made a fortune from mega-cap growth stocks. For the last 19 years, Golan has logged consistently solid returns as manager of the $2.2 billion William Blair Large Cap Growth Fund (LCGNX). Large, high-quality growth stocks have been in vogue since the early 2010s, though that doesn't explain why Golan's fund has excelled versus its peers. How to invest in large growth stocks — and 4 top picksTo impress Golan, stocks must have scale or other structural advantages that lead to success over his three- to five-year investing horizon. Below are four companies the leading fund manager is especially bullish about, along with the ticker, market capitalization, sector, and thesis for each.
Persons: Jim Golan, Golan, William Blair Large, David Ricci, Morningstar, , Golan isn't Organizations: Growth, Business, Microsoft, Nvidia
In 1987, Faris, a pilot in the Syrian Air Force, spent eight days in space with the Soviet Union’s Interkosmos spaceflight program. Faris flew with a Soviet crew to Mir space station becoming the first and only Syrian astronaut and second Arab to make it to space. Upon his return to Syria, Faris was celebrated as a national hero by tens of thousands of Syrians. Faris decided in 2012 to defect and publicly oppose the Syrian regime, putting his family and himself in life-threatening danger. In 2020, Faris was granted Turkish citizenship, as reported by the Turkish state broadcaster TRT.
Persons: CNN — Mohammad Faris, Armstrong, Faris, Hafez al, Assad, Bashar, , Jazeera, Assad, Faris –, Hafez al - Assad, Prince Sultan bin Salman, Allah, “ let’s, ” Faris, Bashar al, Al Jazeera, Moscow propping Organizations: CNN, Syrian Air Force, Saudi, Free Syrian Army, Turkish, TRT, Star City, AP Locations: Turkish, Gaziantep, Soviet, Syria, , Aleppo, Turkey, Istanbul, Russia, Moscow, Soviet Union
Top researcher Ivy Zelman shared where home prices are heading next in this market. Here are 10 charts from Zelman's April report that help explain what's happening. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Homebuyers, Ivy Zelman, Organizations: Zelman's, Service, Point2, Business
Buying a home was a historic challenge last year because of sky-high listing values and the highest mortgage rates since the turn of the century. Heading into 2024, the consensus among real-estate mavens is that affordability will get substantially better, largely due to declining mortgage rates. In turn, mortgage rates are now headed in the wrong direction, steadily rising from 6.6% late last year to nearly 6.9% as of mid-April. AdvertisementHome prices are persistently high — especially in these 27 real-estate marketsAll else equal, higher borrowing costs should translate to lower property prices because of lower demand from buyers. Only a dozen real-estate markets fitting that description saw property prices fall by more than 1%.
Persons: , refinance, Point2 Organizations: Service, National Association of Realtors, Business, Federal Reserve, York Locations: Jersey City , New, New York, Rocky, California, Manhattan , New York
KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA - 2018/01/24: A foreigner is seen with a Malaysia flag as a background. Kuala Lumpur or commonly known as KL is the national capital for Malaysia and is the fastest growing metropolitan regions in South-East Asia. (Photo by Faris Hadziq/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)Malaysia isn't fazed about competition from China or the U.S. as it pushes into higher-end semiconductor manufacturing, according to the country's second finance minister. "We're seeing a lot of end users now diversifying their supply chain. Our focus, actually, is to provide a very vibrant, strong supply chain connectivity, and make sure that we ride on that."
Persons: Faris Hadziq, Amir Hamzah Azizan, Karen Tso, Amir Hamzah Organizations: Getty Images Locations: KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA, Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, South, East Asia, China, Washington
Read previewUS stocks may have already peaked, warns a Morgan Stanley investment chief with a penchant for making successful market predictions. Jim Caron, who oversees Morgan Stanley Investment Management's portfolio solutions group, may want to consider buying a lottery ticket. And considering how much could go wrong in markets, stocks may take a while before rebounding to record highs. Quality stocks in those less-loved sectors should stand out once markets bottom, he said. "The best cure for high yields is high yields because as yields go higher, it becomes like a high-quality hedge to a downturn in the market," Caron said.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Jim Caron, Caron, shouldn't, Morgan Stanley's, We're, they'll, We've Organizations: Service, Morgan Stanley Investment, Business, Federal Reserve
Energy stocks have finally caught fire in an increasingly uncomfortable backdrop for investors. Another compelling selling point for energy stocks is that there will be strong long-term demand for oil, Kostin wrote. "Our commodities strategists expect long-term energy demand will remain solid, in part because of increased global energy demand from the structural rise in transportation needs in EMs and AI." All three stocks will enjoy resilient long-term energy demand, Kostin wrote. Each firm has pulled back lately alongside the slight dip in oil prices and would benefit if the rally resumes.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brent, David Kostin, Kostin, They're Organizations: Business, Oil, Hamas, Goldman Sachs Energy, Commodities, Mutual, Marathon Petroleum, Schlumberger, ConocoPhillips Locations: East, Israel, Iran, Syria
From late October through March, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted 27.6% rally based on better-than-expected earnings and economic data. And while it's still well below the dot-com bubble levels, it's still too close for comfort for many investors. Related story"Those higher rates are starting to push back on elevated valuations for stocks right now," Saglimbene said. "They're all much cheaper on an earnings basis than those Magnificent 7 companies," Saglimbene said. "So I think if we avoid a recession this year, the narrative will change to a broadening of companies and sectors that can participate in earnings growth this year."
Persons: aren't, Anthony Saglimbene, Rick Pitcairn, Pitcairn, it's, we've, Raheel Siddiqui, Neuberger Berman, Siddiqui, Jon Wolfenbarger, Albert Edwards, Bill Smead, James Ragan, DA Davidson, Ragan, Saglimbene, Indrani, she's, De, Davidson, Siddiqui's Organizations: Ameriprise, Business, DA, FTSE Russell, Investors Locations: Ameriprise
Without strong profit progress in the Q1 earnings season starting in mid-April, US stocks may surrender their 8.2% year-to-date gain. Loftier estimates, top-heavy earnings are reasons for worryFirms have a rather low bar to clear in the upcoming earnings season, as is often the case. The market's largest companies are disproportionately driving earnings growth in addition to stock returns, Goldman Sachs found. The Q1 earnings season begins in earnest on Friday as big banks share results. Early reporters have beaten earnings estimates by 13.5%, Golub wrote, which he added is more than double the typical rate.
Persons: Richard Saperstein, James Ragan, David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Kostin, Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise, we're, Saglimbene, Arun Bharath, Bharath, Jonathan Golub, Golub, they're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Business, Treasury Partners, DA Davidson, Nvidia, Big Tech, Bel Air Investment Advisors, UBS, Institute for Supply Management Locations: America
US stocks could be stuck in quicksand for the rest of 2024 despite robust earnings growth, but investors shouldn't panic. Wall Street expects double-digit earnings growth in 2024. The consensus estimate for S&P 500 profits is about $244, which would be up from $220 in 2023. The so-called SMID-cap cohort lagged its larger peers again in the first quarter, posting a solid 7.6% total return, while the S&P 500 surged 10.6%, including dividends. Six sell-side research analysts cover the typical stock in the SMID-cap S&P 1000 index compared to 17 analysts for the average S&P 500 member, Belski wrote.
Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel Organizations: Business, BMO Capital Markets, BMO
Evercore ISISurprisingly strong economic growth will fuel a 5.5% year-over-year jump in corporate earnings this quarter, according to Evercore. That would be well above analysts' consensus of about 3% but below the nearly 8% growth rate in Q4. 8 stocks set to outperform soonThough US stocks broadly may be in for a rough ride, stock-pickers shouldn't get too worried. To help with the search, Emanuel and company highlighted eight stocks set to outperform during the Q1 earnings season. Below are the eight companies listed in alphabetical order along with their ticker, market capitalization, sector, expected earnings release date, year-to-date earnings revision, and expected earnings growth rate relative to their sector peers.
Persons: , Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, recalculate, Evercore, Emanuel's, didn't, shouldn't, Zscaler Organizations: Service, ISI, Business, PPG Industries
Read previewAlthough US stocks have been all the rage this year, a top-performing fund manager remains convinced that the most compelling investing opportunities are in international equities. Its 80% gain over the past five years is more than double that of the STOXX Europe 600 and is six-fold above the 13% return of Vanguard's Total International Stock Index ETF (VXUS). The Brandes International Equity Fund has been in the top 10% of its category in the last 10 years, according to Morningstar, which includes a top-1% finish in 2023. AdvertisementOnce the fund manager finds stocks that fit this bill, he thinks more like a business owner than a stock trader. Of all the opportunities in international markets, Germain is especially drawn to four stocks across various countries and industries.
Persons: , Jeff Germain, Germain, David Kelly, Brandes, He's, " Germain, Royce Organizations: Service, Vanguard's, Stock, Business, Brandes Investment Partners, Brandes International Equity Fund, JPMorgan Asset Management, Morningstar, Heidelberg, Embraer, Royce, Heineken Locations: German, Brazil, Britain
However, WBD's upcoming reboot of the DC universe may help move the needle for Max, according to Bank of America lead media analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich. AdvertisementWBD is now rebooting its superhero franchise with the DC Universe, or DCU for short, which will have films with interconnected storylines like Marvel has. Reif Ehrlich said new DC films and series could be cross-sold across Max, cable, and free, ad-supported streaming TV channels. AdvertisementAlthough WBD's cable channels are suffering as millions of US households cut the cord, Reif Ehrlich said this dual-distribution method is an effective marketing mechanism. "WBD can employ this same playbook to promote the launch of the new DC universe and other high-value content," Reif Ehrlich wrote.
Persons: , WBD's, HBO Max, Max, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, WBD, Marvel, James Gunn —, Reif Ehrlich, Kate Taylor, David Zaslav Organizations: Service, Warner Bros, Netflix, HBO, Warners, Nielsen, Business, Bank of America, Disney, Marvel, DC, DCU, Max, Hollywood, HGTV, Food Network
American chip giant Intel in December 2021 said it will invest more than $7 billion to build a chip packaging and testing factory in Malaysia, with production expected to begin in 2024. Malaysia holds 13% of the global market for chip packaging, assembly and testing services, said the Malaysian Investment Development Authority in a Feb. 18 report. Exports of semiconductor devices and integrated circuits increased by 0.03% to 387.45 billion Malaysian ringgit ($81.4 billion) in 2023, amid global chip demand weakness. Malaysia Semiconductor Industry Association president Datuk Seri Wong Siew Hai said many Chinese firms diversified some of their production to Malaysia, calling the country China's "plus one." In the same month, the world's largest contract chip maker TSMC opened its first Japan factory as it diversifies away from Taiwan amid U.S.-China tensions.
Persons: Faris Hadziq, Kenddrick Chan, Aik Kean Chong, Intel's, Tan, Yinglan Tan, Datuk Seri Wong Siew Hai, Zafrul Aziz, TSMC, Ann Lim Organizations: Getty, Malaysia, LSE, London School of Economics, Political, Semiconductors, Intel, CNBC, Infineon, Ventures Partners, Malaysian Investment Development Authority, Malaysian, Malaysia Semiconductor Industry, U.S ., U.S, China -, Partnership Locations: KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA, Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, South, East Asia, China, U.S, American, Penang, Another U.S, Singapore, Europe, Kong, GlobalFoundries Singapore, Klang, India, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, Washington, Asia, China - U.S
Read previewGoldman Sachs analysts kicked off the new month and quarter by revealing their favorite investing ideas. AdvertisementHow to successfully select stocksThe directors' cut list consists of 20 to 25 stocks beloved by Goldman's research analysts. But a promising outlook alone isn't enough to make the directors' cut list. Kron and company also look for stocks that Goldman Sachs analysts are more bullish about than their peers are. AdvertisementBelow are the 22 companies on the "directors' cut" version of Goldman Sachs' US conviction stock list.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Steven Kron, Kron, Chris Hussey, John Marshall, Stocks Organizations: Service, Business, Goldman, Citigroup, Royal Caribbean Cruises, TPG, Blue Owl, TE, Chevron
Read previewHistory says US stocks' idyllic start to the year is sustainable, as does the chief global strategist at $2.9 trillion JPMorgan Asset Management. Advertisement"The market has momentum, and so good times beget good times," Kelly told Business Insider in a recent interview. JPMorgan Asset Management"There is a certain amount of fluff in those valuations, and I think that is somewhat dangerous," Kelly said. JPMorgan Asset ManagementOutside equities, Kelly said investors should consider adding exposure to alternative assets like real estate and transportation. "The overall buffet table of investment opportunities is being expanded, even for individual investors," Kelly said.
Persons: , David Kelly, Kelly, David Rosenberg, Jon Wolfenbarger, Rosenberg, Kelly doesn't, it's, Kelly didn't Organizations: Service, Asset Management, Business, JPMorgan Asset Management, Bulls, Apple, JPMorgan, Management, Companies, Nikkei, P Transportation, Trust Nasdaq Transportation Locations: Truist, Europe, United Kingdom, Japan
Why NBC could be a perfect fit for the NBABarring a major upset, ESPN and WBD will continue to broadcast NBA games. The network used to broadcast NBA games nationally starting in 1954, and Comcast still shows games on its regional-sports networks in five markets. Comcast-subsidiary Sky Sports also aired NBA games in the United Kingdom for four years starting in 2019. Moffett, the media analyst and MoffettNathanson cofounder, told BI he sees NBC entering the bidding war for NBA media rights if only to assist its streamer. Unlike ESPN and TNT, NBC doesn't necessarily need NBA games.
Persons: it's, supercharge Peacock, Peacock, Craig Moffett, Nielsen, That's, Will, Moffett, Joseph Bonner, WBD's, Bonner Organizations: NBA, ESPN, Warner Bros, TNT, Business, Apple, Netflix, NBC, Comcast, WBD, Diamond Sports, NFL, Premier League, Sky Sports, Moffett, BI, Argus Research, Disney, Fox, Google Locations: United Kingdom
For a while, Kelly couldn't figure out whether there would be a recession, given how mixed signals were muddying the waters. Most economists now agree that there won't be a downturn, but one of the main explanations Kelly gave as to why may be shocking. Besides adding jobs, which tends to boost economic growth, Kelly noted that the presence of cheap workers has kept a lid on wage growth and, by extension, inflation. "But you could say that it has widened the runway for the soft landing. It's made it easier for us to achieve a soft landing."
Persons: Kelly couldn't, Kelly, , he's Organizations: Management, US Department of Homeland Security, Pew Research Center
However, as the chart below shows, one-bedroom apartments were 0.5% cheaper than they were last year while two-bedroom places were 0.8% more expensive. 15 cities where rent is decliningApartments across the country generally got more expensive in March, Zumper's report found, though there are some notable exceptions. Two-thirds of the top-100 US real estate markets had higher rent compared to last month while 19 cities were flat, Zumper researchers noted. However, more than a dozen metropolitan areas — many of which were in the Southwest or South regions — actually became cheaper to rent in. Along with each are its month-over-month and year-over-year rent changes, average rent price, and national rent ranking among the largest 100 cities in the US.
Persons: shouldn't, PqameYEcoP — James Faris, @JamesFaris_, it's, Anthemos Georgiades, there's, Zumper, Zumper's Organizations: Business, Zumper, CPI Locations: Realtor.com, Southwest
Buying a house now makes less financial sense than renting, according to Realtor.com. Here are 29 cities where renting is less costly relative to buying. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: , Realtor.com Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Realtor.com
"And I sort of look at the stock market right now as that clown of the circus blowing up the balloon." That earnings multiple is based on future earnings prospects, the economy, and interest rates. When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates and the yield curve steepens, he said big banks should bring opportunities. "There will be areas to dip your toes in, but not for the overall market," Rosenberg said. He's bullish on long-term bonds and gold as the Fed cuts interest rates.
Persons: , David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, he'll, they've, It's, " Rosenberg, he's, He's Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business, Equity, Federal Reserve, Nikkei Locations: Japan
Plus, falling interest rates and continued economic growth would be tailwinds. The aforementioned catalysts are still in place — including interest rate cuts, as investors discovered a day earlier. Until then, the firm believes bank stocks can outperform into the first-quarter earnings season. 6 regional bank stocks worth buyingThe continued rally in financials will be powered in large part by regional banks, BofA believes. "We see the capital markets momentum continuing into 2025, which should drive investor interest in both stocks," Poonawala wrote.
Persons: Financials, Ebrahim Poonawala, Poonawala, BofA, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Charlie Scharf, Jamie Dimon Organizations: of America, Business, Federal Reserve, Investors, Bank of America, First Bancorp, FNB Corp, Truist, US Bancorp, Western Alliance, JPMorgan, Wall, titans Locations: financials, Wells Fargo
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