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☆ Markets get nervous over high core inflation and see the Fed cutting slowly
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stubbornly high core inflation virtually cemented the likelihood of a quarter percentage point cut from the Federal Reserve, which historically has avoided larger moves unless absolutely necessary. Shelter inflation is putting a floor under the CPI and likely keeping the Fed from reducing interest rates by more 25 basis points. "History back to 1990 supports the idea that an initial Fed rate cut of 50 basis points signals an imminent recession (2001 and 2007). "Their first cut will almost certainly be 25 basis points," Colas said. But the Fed, which targets inflation at 2%, prefers core readings as a better longer-term gauge for inflation.

Persons: Dow Jones, —, Nick Colas, Jerome Powell, Colas, That's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, CPI, Fed, Traders, Open Market, PCE

☆ Dow falls by almost 700 points after inflation report reduces chance of a jumbo-sized rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

But what appeared to garner a lot more attention was the 0.3% monthly rise of the core CPI gauge, which excludes food and energy. The higher-than-expected rise in core inflation will likely cause central bank officials to proceed more carefully when deciding whether to cut interest rates and by how much. On Tuesday, traders were pricing in a 34% chance the Fed would cut rates by a half point. But after the CPI data was released Wednesday morning, traders priced in a 15% chance that would happen. Wednesday’s market moves are a stark contrast to Monday’s, when the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all closed 1.2% higher.

Persons: clamoring, Dow Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq Locations: New York

☆ Mortgage rates hit lowest level since February 2023
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Diana Olick | In Dianaolick | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

According to a report by the National Association of Realtors, pending home sales fell 1.5 percent in October to their lowest level in 20 years. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)Mortgage rates fell for the sixth straight week last week, but mortgage demand still seems to be waiting for something bigger. That is the lowest level since February 2023 and nearly a full percentage point lower than the same week one year ago. Total mortgage demand, however, rose just 1.4% for the week, according to the MBA's seasonally adjusted index. Mortgage rates continued to move lower to start this week, according to a separate survey by Mortgage News Daily, but the monthly release of the Consumer Price Index, a measure of inflation, on Wednesday could impact the direction of rates more sharply in either direction.

Persons: Justin Sullivan, Joel Kan, Kan, Matthew Graham Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Mortgage, Association, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Labor, Mortgage News Locations: CALIFORNIA, Larkspur , California

☆ The inflation report dashes hopes of a jumbo rate cut next week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. The consumer price index, published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increased 2.5% over the year from August 2023 to this past August, matching the forecast of 2.5% and below July's 2.9% rate. The new data will factor into the Federal Open Market Committee's interest-rate decision next week, with the hot core figure decreasing the odds of a jumbo 50-basis-point cut. Softening but still relatively strong labor market data will also weigh on the Fed's decision. "If that test is met, a reduction in our policy rate could be on the table as soon as the next meeting in September."

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Federal

☆ Best thing Fed could do is 'move quicker' and cut 50 basis points, says TCW's Bryan Whalen
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBest thing Fed could do is 'move quicker' and cut 50 basis points, says TCW's Bryan WhalenBryan Whalen, TCW fixed income CIO, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss reactions to the CPI report, expectations for the Fed, and more.

Persons: TCW's Bryan Whalen Bryan Whalen Organizations: Fed

☆ A debate with bad blood
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

When discussing immigration, Harris took a shot at Trump's rallies, saying that people leave them early " out of exhaustion and boredom ." Trump responded with his own attack about Harris' rallies, but his demeanor also took a noticeable turn for the remainder of the debate. And while the two candidates basically don't agree on anything, Harris took one page out of Trump's book. The vice president had some noticeable facial expressions during the debate , something the former president has been known for. The Harris campaign said following the debate the vice president would participate in another one in October .

Persons: —, we're, Saul Loeb, Kevin Dietsch, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Jon Stewart, Insider's Brent D, Griffiths, David Muir, Linsey Davis, Roe, Wade, Elon Musk, Taylor Swift, Walz, Alex Brandon, Rebecca Zisser, Jamie Dimon's, Goldman Sachs, greenlights, Dan Ives, Ives, Brooks Kraft, Apple, Millennials, TikTok doesn't, Antony Blinken, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Megan Thee, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, White, JPMorgan, Apple, Brooks, Brooks Kraft LLC, Getty, YouTube, EV, UK Foreign, MTV, MTV . Locations: —, Ukraine, New York, London

☆ Neuberger Berman's fixed income co-CIO on rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNeuberger Berman's fixed income co-CIO on ratesCNBC's Rick Santelli and Neuberger Berman fixed income co-CIO Ashok Bhatia discuss Fed rate cut implications after core CPI comes in at 3.2% year-over-year in August.

Persons: Neuberger, Rick Santelli, Neuberger Berman, Ashok Bhatia

☆ Sethi: CPI could be important in dictating the Fed's messaging
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSethi: CPI could be important in dictating the Fed's messagingSarat Sethi of DCLA says investors' main focus now is how slow is the economy, what the labor market is doing, and where the Fed is going to message what they're going to do after next week's rate cut.

Persons: Sethi, Sarat Sethi, DCLA

☆ Cramer says to 'keep it simple' and celebrate any Fed rate cut as nerves run high
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"I say keep it simple: Rate cuts are good," he said. "Small rate cuts are great, because they project confidence and give you a lot more rat cuts later on, and they do not allow for panic." While overall inflation declined to its lowest level since February 2021, one key metric rose slightly more than expected, disappointing some who hoped the Fed would make a 50 basis-point rate cut instead of a 25 basis-point cut. He stressed that even a smaller rate cut than hoped would be positive for many businesses. But Cramer stressed the palpable tension on Wall Street does not set the stage for any steadfast conclusions.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Jensen Huang's, Morgan Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Broadcom, Fed

☆ The latest CPI report confirms a 25 basis point rate cut next week, says Pimco's Tiffany Wilding
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe latest CPI report confirms a 25 basis point rate cut next week, says Pimco's Tiffany WildingTiffany Wilding, PIMCO economist, and Emily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the panel's take on the latest CPI report.

Persons: Pimco's Tiffany Wilding Tiffany Wilding, Emily Roland, John Organizations: John Hancock Investment Management

☆ Here’s the inflation breakdown for August 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"We'd expect inflation to continue to subside," though with "some ups and downs" in the data from month to month, House said. Housing inflation is falling but still highInflation for physical goods spiked as the U.S. economy reopened in 2021. Shelter is largest component of the CPI, and therefore has an outsized effect on inflation readings. Such data quirks mask positive news in the real-time rental market, which has seen minimal inflation for about two years, economists said. However, shelter CPI inflation has appeared to defy gravity lately: It increased on a monthly basis for two consecutive months, from 0.2% in June to 0.4% in July, and then to 0.5% in August.

Persons: Grace Cary, Sarah House, It's, hasn't, Paul Ashworth, Ashworth, — Organizations: Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S . Department of Labor, North, Capital Economics, U.S . Federal, Finance, CPI, BLS Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, North America

☆ Here's why the stock market is throwing a tantrum about new inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Core inflation rose unexpectedly, dashing hopes for a bigger rate cut from the Fed. US indexes slumped on Wednesday, with the Dow dropping as much as 600 basis points in the early morning as traders took a mixed-bag of inflation data. That's the lowest headline inflation rate recorded since early 2021. On the other hand, cutting interest rates by just 25 basis points means higher for longer interest rates. "Today's inflation data cemented in a 25 basis point cut next week 50 basis points in out the window," she added.

Persons: —, Julian Howard, Gina Bolvin, Preston Caldwell, Chris Zacarelli Organizations: Fed, Traders, Service, Dow, of Labor Statistics, GAM Investments, Bolvin Wealth Management, Labor Department, Morningstar, Independent

☆ Stock market today: Indexes rise as stocks whipsaw after inflation-fueled decline
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks traded mixed as traders reacted to a mixed inflation report. Core consumer prices rose more than expected, reducing chances of a 50 basis-point rate cut. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mixed on Wednesday, with investors staging a recovery after taking in a mixed inflation report. Odds for a 50 basis-point cut have been slashed by more than half to just 15%, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Markets will assess August producer price inflation data and weekly jobless claims on Thursday and fresh retail sales data next Tuesday.

Persons: —, Bill Adams, Jensen Huang, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Traders, Comercia Bank, Bank of America, Tech, Nvidia, Here's

☆ Stock market today: Stocks fall as annual inflation slows but monthly CPI notches surprise increase
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Core inflation rose 0.3% in August, slightly above economists' expectations. Meanwhile, investors dashed their hopes for a 50 basis point rate cut from the Fed next week. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mixed on Wednesday as investors took in last month's inflation report, which showed an unexpected increase in the monthly core consumer price index. Bond yields rose as traders readjusted expectations for a jumbo rate hike of 50 basis points at next week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting. AdvertisementThe surprise increase led investors to almost completely discount the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut at the Fed's next policy meeting.

Persons: —, Josh Jamner, Jack McIntyre Organizations: Fed, Service, Dow Jones, ClearBridge Investments, Brandywine Global Locations: Here's

☆ We're worried 'the Fed will be too slow' in cutting, says WisdomTree's Jeremy Schwartz
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're worried 'the Fed will be too slow' in cutting, says WisdomTree's Jeremy SchwartzJeremy Schwartz, WisdomTree global chief investment officer, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss his reaction to today's CPI report, why some argue 50 basis points is out of reach, and more.

Persons: We're, WisdomTree's Jeremy Schwartz Jeremy Schwartz, WisdomTree Organizations: CPI

☆ Treasury yields move lower ahead of key consumer inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The yield on the 10-year Treasury was nearly 2 basis points lower at 3.625%, with the 2-year Treasury yield down 2 basis points at 3.586%. Treasury yields dipped on Wednesday as investors awaited the release of U.S. inflation data for clues on the size of a potential interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next week. The reports come ahead of the Fed's Sept 17-18 meeting, with traders widely expecting a rate cut. Others have described such a move as one that would be "very dangerous" for markets, pushing instead for the Fed to deliver a quarter-point rate cut instead. Traders are currently pricing in a 67% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut, with 33% expecting a 50-basis-point rate reduction, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: U.S

☆ Nvidia stock jumps as CEO Jensen Huang looks to address key investor concerns
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Nvidia stock surged 6% on Wednesday, helping fuel a tech-led rebound in the stock market. CEO Jensen Huang discussed the return on investment of AI infrastructure at a Goldman Sachs conference. Productivity gains and immediate cost savings are the core tenets of Nvidia's ROI pitch to customers. The gains in Nvidia stock came as CEO Jensen Huang addressed investors at a Goldman Sachs conference in San Francisco Wednesday morning. "You reduce the computing time by about 20 times, and so you get a 10x savings," Huang said of running Nvidia's GPU accelerators relative to traditional CPUs.

Persons: Jensen Huang, Goldman Sachs, —, David Solomon, Huang, Solomon, Nvidia's, Claude, There's Organizations: Nvidia, Goldman, Productivity, Service, San Locations: San Francisco

☆ Latest housing market data and August CPI are showing two different stories: Andy Walden
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLatest housing market data and August CPI are showing two different stories: Andy WaldenAndy Walden, Intercontinental Exchange VP of research and analysis, joins 'Fast Money' to talk today's CPI read, the housing market, and more.

Persons: Andy Walden Andy Walden Organizations: Intercontinental Exchange

☆ Yen eyes 5-week high as focus turns to U.S. presidential debate, inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Markets were also cautious ahead of the first debate between U.S. presidential hopefuls Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, with the candidates neck-and-neck ahead of the November election. The dollar was down 0.2% at 142.18 yen as of 0009 GMT, heading back towards the recent low of 141.75 yen, a level previously not seen since Aug. 5. The euro was little changed at $1.1019, after sliding to $1.10155 overnight for the first time since Aug. 19. Sterling was flat at $1.3080, following its drop to $1.3049 in the prior session, the weakest since Aug. 21. The stakes are particularly high considering the debate between Trump and President Joe Biden ultimately spurred the incumbent to drop out of the race.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Sterling, —, Kyle Rodda, Trump, Harris, Joe Biden Organizations: Federal Reserve, Capital.com, Republican, Democratic, Trump

☆ CPI shows 'we're turning the page on inflation,' says NEC's Lael Brainard
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCPI shows 'we're turning the page on inflation,' says NEC's Lael BrainardLaell Brainard, National Economic Council director, joins CNBC's 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if she's worried about the increase in key inflation measures, her reaction to Jamie Dimon's warning about government spending keeping prices elevated, and more.

Persons: NEC's Lael Brainard Laell Brainard, she's, Jamie Dimon's Organizations: CPI, National Economic Council

☆ There's still a chance of no Fed cut, says Keith Fitz-Gerald
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's still a chance of no Fed cut, says Keith Fitz-GeraldFitz-Gerald Group’s Keith Fitz-Gerald and PGIM’s Tom Porcelli, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the CPI report, the presidential debate and what it all means for the markets.

Persons: Keith Fitz, Gerald Fitz, Gerald Group’s Keith Fitz, Gerald, PGIM’s Tom Porcelli

☆ Consumer inflation slows to lowest rate since February 2021
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2%, unchanged from July. Economists were expecting the annual rate would slow significantly last month to 2.6% annually, according to FactSet. Falling gas prices helped bring overall inflation lower in August, dropping by 0.6% for the month and 10.3% annually. Grocery prices held flat for the month, and overall food inflation was up 0.1% in August and 2.1% annually. On an annual basis, it’s up 5.2% and accounts for more than 70% of the annual increase in core CPI.

Persons: briskly Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, BLS Locations: That’s

☆ Small caps are outperforming large caps. How to use charts to find buy candidates in the group
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Then on July 11, things really got started as June CPI came in below expectations and the outlook for the first Fed rate cut became significantly more likely. Let's drill down into the sectors that makeup the Russell 2000 to see who's leading and lagging since that July 5th turning point. Let's find out who is actually profitable and could maintain the rally after the initial shine of a fresh rate cut wears off. Where to look in small caps A big component of the Russell 2000 based on market capitalization representation is health care at 18.7%. Should the Fed strike a dovish tone after the first rate cut I will be shopping for quality names.

Persons: Russell, Piper Sandler, Hamilton Lane, Jefferies, JEF, Todd Gordon, Gordon, ARES Organizations: Nasdaq, Inside Edge, CNBC PRO, Ares Management, Fed, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: financials

☆ Bank stock woes hold back the overall market, but Starbucks' new CEO is full steam ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

All of our Super Six megacaps were higher, even Club stock Apple was pushing to stay in the green after getting mixed reviews on Monday's iPhone 16 event. That's an interesting line because you could argue that Starbucks needs to pullback its aggressive expansion plans in the world's second-largest economy. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Daniel Pinto, Pinto, JPMorgan's, else's, Jamie Dimon, Wells, Morgan Stanley, ramping, Brian Niccol, Niccol, Buster's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Apple, JPMorgan, Barclays Global Financial Services Conference, Dow, Starbucks, The Club, GameStop, Dave, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Banks, U.S, United States, China

☆ A trade that wins if Apple shares continue to break down following iPhone event
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Moreover, shortly after Apple introduced the iPhone 16 , Chinese smartphone manufacturer Huawei launched its tri-fold phone, the Mate XT. This device garnered significant attention, securing more than 2 million pre-orders within just a few hours of its release. The trade The trade structure I'm employing is known as a "bear put spread." THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Tim Cook, AAPL, Nishant Pant Organizations: Apple, Huawei, AAPL, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: AAPL

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