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The market is underestimating one corner of artificial intelligence, according to Morgan Stanley. The innovation in the sector is set to drive AI chip capabilities, said Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley says it sees "outsized winners" in Japan, South Korea and the European Union. Taiwan TSMC : Morgan Stanley noted the Taiwanese semiconductor firm is a major provider of CoWoS technology, a type of packaging technology. Japan Morgan Stanley says it favors Disco and Advantest the most out of all the companies in Japan that are producing equipment for advanced packaging.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, That's, Amkor, TSMC, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Engineers, European Union, United, Semiconductor Assembly, Test Services, Apple, ACM Research, SK Hynix, SK Hynix's Locations: Japan, South Korea, United States, Arizona, Taiwan
If the international expansion of Japanese companies is any guide, Chinese companies still have significant potential left in the global market. The company did not break out overseas revenue for the first quarter, but said overall revenue grew by 14% from a year ago to 3.8 billion yuan. When compared to Japanese companies, the contribution of overseas revenue to the total for Chinese businesses is low across industries. "We believe Zhejiang Dingli will benefit from strong boom lift sales growth, especially in the US market," the HSBC report said. I think the conversation has moved now more toward being tough on global trade or free trade," David Chao, global market strategist, Asia Pacific (ex-Japan), at Invesco, said during a webinar Thursday.
Persons: Steven Sun, Christine Peng, Anker, Dingli, Snibe, David Chao, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: HSBC, CSI, Japan's Nikkei, HSBC Qianhai Securities, UBS Asia Pacific, Companies, Amazon, Apple, Google, U.S . Commerce Department, Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering, Asia Pacific, U.S, Association of Southeast Asian Nations, Union Locations: China, Japan's, Shanghai, Germany, Indonesia, East, South America, Shenzhen, Zhejiang, Snibe — Shenzhen, U.S, Asia, Japan, Invesco, Singapore, The U.S
MicroStrategy can run another 80% from here thanks to its aggressive bitcoin buying strategy, according to Bernstein. "Since August 2020, MSTR has transformed from a small software company to the largest bitcoin holding company, owning 1.1% of world's Bitcoin supply worth ~$14.5Bn," Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani said in a note. "MSTR's founder chairman, Michael Saylor has become synonymous with brand bitcoin and has positioned MSTR as a leading bitcoin company, attracting at-scale capital (both debt and equity) for an active bitcoin acquisition strategy." "MSTR positions itself as an 'active-leveraged' bitcoin strategy vs. passive spot ETFs," Chhugani said. … On a dollar basis, MSTR's Bitcoin $ NAV per share has grown ~4-fold beating ~2.4x growth in bitcoin spot price."
Persons: Bernstein, MicroStrategy, MSTR, Gautam Chhugani, MSTR's, Michael Saylor, Chhugani, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BTC
At stake is one of the top two spots in the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) , whose June rebalance is based on market cap values as of Friday's close. The market caps of Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia were all within $100 billion of each other as of Thursday's close, according to a FactSet calculation. This type of big shift in an index fund is unusual, but not unprecedented. The fund tracks an index from S & P Dow Jones Indices that uses weighting caps to keep the index in bounds. Depending on how many shares of Nvidia are required, it might cause a short-term spike in the name," Bajaj said.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, Mohit Bajaj, SPDR, Bajaj, Todd Sohn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Dow Jones Indices, UBS, SPDR, Amazon, Trading, WallachBeth, Bajaj, Street Global Advisors, NYSE Technology Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, rebalancing
Broadcom shares rose about 12% on Thursday after the company posted second fiscal quarter earnings that beat analysts' estimates and showed that it's benefiting from the artificial intelligence boom. Broadcom reported earnings per share of $10.96 ahead of LSEG consensus estimates of $10.84 per share. Analysts see Broadcom as a beneficiary of increasing investments in AI. Bank of America analysts reiterated a buy rating and said they consider Broadcom a top AI pick because it is positioned to grow in custom AI chips and Ethernet networking. They also said Broadcom can upsell VMware to enterprise customers deploying AI.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Broadcom, Nvidia, . Bank of America, VMware, Bank of America
Oracle shares closed up more than 13% on Wednesday, a day after the software company announced its fourth-quarter results and cloud deals with Microsoft -backed OpenAI and Google . Alongside its results, Oracle said it is partnering with Microsoft and OpenAI to help supply additional computing capacity for the startup. Analysts from Citi said Oracle's sluggish revenue for the fourth quarter was offset by "tremendous RPO bookings growth." UBS analysts said the highlight of Oracle's results is its "extraordinary sequential backlog growth of $18 billion." Morgan Stanley analysts said Oracle's quarter was mixed, but the "near term AI build-out likely wins the day and sustains momentum in shares."
Persons: Larry Ellison, Safra Catz, Oracle, Morgan Stanley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Jordan Novet Organizations: Oracle, Microsoft, Google, Analysts, Citi, UBS Locations: San Francisco
Apple CEO Tim Cook gestures during the annual developer conference event at the company's headquarters in Cupertino, California, U.S., June 10, 2024. Apple shares popped 5% to a new record high of around $203 per share on Tuesday, a day after the company announced its long-awaited push into artificial intelligence at its annual developer conference on Monday. The company pitched the features as AI for the average person, though users will likely need to upgrade their iPhones to access the tools. The company's developer conference came as a welcome sign for investors who have been watching to see how Apple will capitalize on the ongoing AI boom. Analysts from Morgan Stanley said Apple's AI features strongly position the company with "the most differentiated consumer digital agent."
Persons: Tim Cook, Apple, Siri, OpenAI's ChatGPT, Morgan Stanley, iPhones, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Bank of America, Apple Intelligence Locations: Cupertino , California, U.S
Morgan Stanley named a new top pick which it called a "unique Nvidia proxy." "We see Aspeed as a unique NVIDIA-related play, being the sole BMC supplier for GB200 and a key supplier to help realize Omniverse adoption," said Morgan Stanley analysts in a June 7 note. Morgan Stanley said with an average selling price of $100 per chip, it estimates the company could enjoy gross margins of 90%. The positive outlook for cloud capital expenditure is also set to benefit the data center supply chain, according to Morgan Stanley. That expected growth would be a 42-point acceleration from just 2% year-on-year growth in 2023, Morgan Stanley said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: NVIDIA, BMC, GB200, Nvidia, Aspeed, Meta, Microsoft, Google, International, Emerging, China ETF Locations: Taiwan, China
In a report last week about China's consumer market potential, Bank of America Securities analysts chose hotel operator H World as one of its top picks. "We believe H World is best positioned to capture long-term growth in the China hotel industry given best-in-class execution," the analysts said. BofA rates H World a buy, and expects its U.S.-listed shares can reach $47. That's 30% above where H World shares closed Thursday. In China, H World also owns master franchisee rights for Mercure, Ibis and Ibis Styles, and co-development rights for Grand Mercure and Novotel.
Persons: Wang Xing, Meituan, Styles, Grand, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wang, Neil Shen, Shen, BTG's, BTG, Trip.com, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: HSBC, Hong, Bank of America Securities, Mercure, Grand Mercure, Novotel, Travelers, BTG Hotels, Shanghai, Jefferies Locations: Hong Kong, China, U.S, Asia, Macau, Taiwan, , Mainland China
Buying stocks with a rising exposure to artificial intelligence could lead to outperformance later this year, according to Morgan Stanley. But for investors who have missed out on the AI trade, Morgan Stanley says it's not too late. In a recent note, a team of eight Morgan Stanley strategists led by Edward Stanley highlighted a group of stocks where artificial intelligence is beginning to play a bigger role in their business, which they called "the enablers." "We believe this strategy of picking stocks where AI materiality is increasing will continue to work for investors for the remainder of 2024," Morgan Stanley wrote. Earlier this week, both Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs reiterated buy ratings on First Solar.
Persons: outperformance, Morgan Stanley, Jensen, it's, Edward Stanley, enablers, Morgan, FactSet, Goldman Sachs, Bernstein, Stacy Rasgon, Melius, Raymond James, Josh Beck, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Broadcom, Bernstein Research, JPMorgan, Facebook Locations: Thursday's
Emerging markets investors have had a bumpy week after surprising election results seem to have caught at least some traders off guard. Between now and Nov. 5 are almost all negative potential risks in Mexico," Joshi added. Elsewhere in the world There are other lingering political issues that could affect emerging market investing. And for investors in broad emerging markets funds, even positive developments in some of these countries can be overshadowed by what happens in China. "It's a very large weight so it's going to drive the emerging market index quite a bit.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Modi, Aastha Gudwani, Angus Shillington, Shillington, Adam Turnquist, We've, Turnquist, Claudia Sheinbaum, Andres Manual Lopez, Morgan Stanley's Nikolaj Lippmann, Arif Joshi, Joshi, Sheinbaum, Lopez, Claudia, Polina Kurdyavko, Javier Milei, Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis, Grindal, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Indian, Bank of America India, CNBC, LPL, Lazard Asset, RBC Global Asset Management, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Federal Reserve Locations: India, Mexico, South Asia, VanEck, U.S, Morena, South Africa, Argentina, China
Of those seven stocks, Mizuho said its investment rating on Lowe's and PayPal were also above the Street consensus. Mizuho analyst David Bellinger's $280 price target implies that the stock could rally 29% from its Monday closing price. "We view Lowe's as decisively well-positioned as home improvement demand recovers and unleashes outsized, double-digit earnings expansion in the process," the analyst wrote. Similarly, financial technology platform PayPal has risen only about 4% this year, leaving its valuation "compelling" at current prices, according to Mizuho analyst Dan Dolev. Dolev's $90 price target is 42% above the stock's current price.
Persons: Mizuho, David Bellinger's, Lowe's, Bellinger, Dan Dolev, Dolev, Dolev's, Siti Panigrahi's, Panigrahi, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Mizuho Securities, Stocks, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Wall Street, PayPal, Home, Oracle, Nvidia, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure Locations: Mizuho
Goldman Sachs recommended that investors consider a specific strategy when trading European markets right now given the "scope for near-term volatility in equities." Here are two such stock ideas, which are also on the Wall Street bank's conviction list. Goldman gives the stock around 23.6% upside from a 12-month price target of 223 euros ($242.10). Bureau Veritas Another stock on Goldman's list is French company Bureau Veritas , known for its laboratory testing, inspection and certification services. Goldman gives the stock nearly 20% upside from a 12-month price target of 37 euros.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Liquide Goldman, Georgina Fraser, Fraser, Goldman, Suhasini, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Air Liquide, Euronext Paris Exchange, Veritas, Bureau Veritas, First Locations: Paris, Suhasini Varanasi
"Improving domestic ecommerce market share should lead to better monetization eventually," Yao said. The investment firm expects Douyin to match PDD's market share of 21% next year, and surpass it by reaching 22% in 2026. Tencent's WeChat Video Account platform is expected to retain about 2% to 3% of GMV market share through 2026, the Goldman analysis said. The video streaming platform last month reported e-commerce GMV grew by 28.2% year-on-year in the first quarter to 288.1 billion yuan ($40,55 billion). The firm forecasts Kuaishou's e-commerce GMV revenue will grow by 25% this year, although livestreaming revenue — which has accounted for about a third of total revenue — is expected to drop due to a high base.
Persons: James Yang, Bain, Joe Tsai, Emily Tan, Yang, Alibaba, Goldman Sachs, Ronald Keung, David Ma, China's, Morgan Stanley, Eddy Wang, Kenneth Fong, JD, David Beckham, Alex Yao, monetization, Yao, Tmall's GMV, Douyin, Alibaba's, Tencent's, Goldman, Sophie Huang, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bain and Company, PDD Holdings, Goldman, UBS, JPMorgan China, ByteDance, Hong Locations: China, Hong Kong, Asia, U.S, Alibaba, 2Q24, 2Q24E
While stock splits don't affect a company's value, they can catalyze a move higher or lower, according to Wolfe Research. Artificial intelligence chipmaker Nvidia announced a 10-for-1 stock split as part of its quarterly earnings report on May 22. The firm examined the roughly 3,000 stock splits from large-cap U.S. companies since 1993 to examine their impact. Here are the favorable criteria Senyek identified: Large market capitalization Higher absolute share price Multiple stock splits in the past "Larger cap, higher price and multiple splits is the 'sweet spot' for stock splits' signaling mechanism," said Senyek. "For what it's worth, the pending Nvidia stock split meets the three aforementioned positive criteria."
Persons: Dow, Chris Senyek, Senyek, That's, FactSet, Baird, Jack Hartung, Chipotle, Amphenol, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, Nvidia, Dow Jones Industrial, Walmart, Dominion Freight, Old Dominion, Citigroup, CNBC, Amphenol Locations: Old, Connecticut
Shares of Dell Technologies fell more than 16% Friday after investors were discouraged by the company's lower-than-expected artificial intelligence server backlog and an estimated decline in margins. Bernstein analysts said the "principle disappointment" in Dell's results was that operating margins for its Infrastructure Solutions Group compressed year over year. Additionally, operating profits were flat compared with the same period last year, even though the company brought in around $1.7 billion in incremental AI server revenues. The analysts said this resurfaced concerns that Dell's AI servers are being sold at "near-zero margins." Bank of America analysts said Dell reported a strong quarter, and they reiterated their buy rating on the stock.
Persons: Michael Dell, Dell, FactSet, Bernstein, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Kif Leswing Organizations: Dell Technologies, MWC, Mobile World Congress, Fira, Gran, Dell, Infrastructure Solutions, Bank of America, JPMorgan Locations: L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
Some stocks on Wall Street are absolutely hated by analysts and investors, but their fundamentals are improving, leaving a potential buying opportunity for contrarian investors, according to UBS. Most analysts currently covering the stock have assigned it a hold rating, with predicted upside of about 16% to consensus price targets. "The iconic automaker continues to enjoy strong profits from its core markets and a policy driven investment cycle in the U.S," the analyst wrote. Most analysts have assigned Airbnb stock a hold rating. The analyst consensus has shares at a hold rating, with predictions suggesting the stock could rise an average of 26% from its Thursday close.
Persons: Jonathan Golub, Bernstein, Daniel Roeska's, Wedbush, Scott Devitt, Ben Chaiken, Jan, Chaiken, Clorox, Estee Lauder, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Stocks, Wall, Ford Motor, Ford, Cruise, Mizuho, Pfizer, Gartner, Northern Trust
Shares of British luxury sports car manufacturer Aston Martin are set to rise more than twofold in the next 12 months, according to analysts from Barclays. The investment bank has an overweight rating on the stock at a price target of £300 ($380.79), giving it potential upside of about 116.5% from its closing price of £138.60 on May 30. Aston Martin is listed on the London Stock Exchange under the ticker AML. Shares in Aston Martin are down some 46.5% in the last 12 months. BP Another stock with massive upside potential on Barclays' radar is British oil and gas player BP .
Persons: Aston Martin, defensives, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Jenni Reid Organizations: Barclays, London Stock Exchange, Aston, BP, London Stock Locations: Aston Martin, U.S, Europe
The artificial intelligence boom is fueling demand for power, with many tech companies rapidly developing infrastructure as they compete for dominance. Data centers house vast amounts of computing power needed for AI workloads, and are intense power-guzzling workhorses. But the need for power goes beyond data centers and other infrastructure, according to Goldman. Goldman cited studies which showed that AI data centers can consume up to 10 times the energy of their regular counterparts. Taiwan's tech industry extends across a "comprehensive global AI supply chain," with tech manufacturers consuming a "substantial" amount of power.
Persons: Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Locations: Asia, China, Taiwan, South Korea, India, South Korea's, Power, Australia
Photographer: David Odisho/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesShares of Salesforce tumbled 20% Thursday morning, putting the stock on pace for its worst day in nearly 20 years. Its worst trading day on record is July 4, 2004, when shares fell 27% just days after the company went public. Salesforce expects second-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $2.34 to $2.36 on $9.2 billion to $9.25 billion in revenue. Goldman Sachs analysts reiterated their buy rating on the stock and said they view Salesforce as a "high-quality software franchise." Goldman Sachs analysts said in a note Wednesday that Salesforce is "an under-appreciated Gen-AI winner."
Persons: Marc Benioff, Benioff, David Odisho, Salesforce, LSEG, Salesforce's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Jordan Novet Organizations: Salesforce.com Inc, Bloomberg, Getty, Citi Locations: San Francisco , California, Francisco's
"With yields holding firm at elevated levels , large caps continue to outperform small caps. Hopes for multiple rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year have dimmed after recent inflation readings showed signs of stickiness. An economy that is growing more slowly, but with cooler inflation, could be the combination small caps need. Small caps could also benefit from an uptick in the global economy that benefits areas like manufacturing that has heavy representation in the small-cap index. Investors who really want exposure to small caps could also look outside of the U.S. Wolfe Research analyst Rob Ginsberg said in a May 29 note to clients that global small caps are outperforming their U.S. counterparts and are poised for a potential breakout.
Persons: Russell, Todd Sohn, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Chad Miller, you've, Miller, Cayla, Seder, Mark Haefele, Solita, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Rob Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, ESG, Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Companies, UBS, Institute, Supply, PMI, Investors, U.S . Wolfe Research Locations: Thrivent, Silicon
Those searching for pockets of opportunities in the region can look to Goldman Sachs' selection of "alpha" stock opportunities. Goldman Sachs' list of opportunities include stocks with "deep value" and "defensive growth" characteristics. The company's shares are traded in the First Trust United Kingdom AlphaDEX Fund (1.2% weight) and Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Europe Equity ETF (0.3%). 'Strong top-line prospects' Growth stocks the Wall Street bank is bullish on include those "with strong top-line prospects at reasonable growth-adjusted valuations." ASML: Goldman said the company has a "multi-decade competitive moat in High NA, which will be extremely difficult to replicate for the next 10-20 years at least."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, JD, Goldman, ASML, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Alpha, Sports Fashion, International Consolidated Airlines Group, ISS, First, United, AlphaDEX Fund, Equity, U.S . Global Jets ETF, NA, Euronext Amsterdam, Nasdaq Locations: U.S, Danish, Europe, Adyen
Hedge funds are still leaning into the "Magnificent Seven" trade even with the broader stock market indexes recently hitting record highs. A May 24 note from the Goldman Sachs prime brokerage said that the Big Tech exposure at hedge funds reached a new high last week. The rising exposure is caused by both trading activity and higher share prices for the Big Tech stocks, particularly Nvidia . Net flows into the Magnificent Seven stocks have been positive in May, according to the Goldman prime brokerage data, though last week was more neutral. The five biggest stocks in the S & P 500 — all of which are members of the Magnificient 7 — account for roughly 27% of the S & P 500, according to Strategas Research Partners.
Persons: Goldman, Goldman Sachs, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Goldman Sachs, Big Tech, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Goldman, Bloomberg News, Strategas Research Partners
Investor darling Nvidia is dominating headlines once again after its earnings last week surpassed expectations on the back of the artificial intelligence boom. Morgan Stanley notes that the reaction to Nvidia's first quarter results is "very telling on how much buying power still exists in the market." Here are seven of Morgan Stanley's overweight-rated stocks to play these AI themes: Overweight-rated stocks Among Morgan Stanley's list of AI stock opportunities are South Korean tech giant SK Hynix and Taiwanese chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company . SK Hynix stocks are held in the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (8.4% weight) and Franklin FTSE South Korea ETF (8.3% weight). Shares in TSMC are included in the iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF (25.1% weight) and Franklin FTSE Taiwan ETF (22.2% weight) Beyond the headline-makers, Morgan Stanley also sees potential in Japanese manufacturer Advantest Corp .
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Nvidia's, Hopper, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, SK Hynix, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Korea ETF, Franklin FTSE, Franklin FTSE South Korea ETF, Advantest Corp, Japan Equity, JPMorgan BetaBuilders Japan, Alchip Technologies, Technology, Memory Technology, Micronics Locations: Asia, Korean, Korea, Franklin FTSE South, Taiwan, Franklin FTSE Taiwan
Super Micro Computer emerged as an investor darling early this year, as Wall Street unearthed the stock, driving it higher with gains that rivalled even Nvidia's. After Nvidia reported blockbuster earnings last Wednesday, Super Micro's shares were rocky again. The prominence of data centers in the AI boom is another tailwind for Super Micro, BofA noted, given the cooling needs of such centers. BofA reiterated its buy rating on Super Micro, giving it a price target of $1,090, or potential upside of about 23%. In a May 20 note, JPMorgan said it has an overweight rating on Super Micro.
Persons: BofA, Supermicro, Paul Meeks, Meeks, JPMorgan, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Micro, Super, Nvidia, Wall, Portfolio Management, CNBC, JPMorgan, Intel, AMD Locations: United States
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