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☆ Market vulnerabilities and a possible U.S. recession: Strategists give their cautious predictions for 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The market is now largely pricing a peak at the current Fed funds target range of 5.25-5.5%, with interest rate cuts to come next year. watch now"At the outer edges of the economy there is obvious stress that is likely to spread in 2024 with rates at these levels. So it's easy to see how bad levered investments could have been made that would be vulnerable to this higher rate regime." Recession risk 'delayed rather than diminished' In a roundtable event on Tuesday, JPMorgan Asset Management strategists echoed this note of caution, claiming that the risk of a U.S. recession was "delayed rather than diminished" as the impact of higher rates feeds through into the economy. "I think the the key conclusion here is that interest rates do still bite, it's just taking longer this time around," she said.

Persons: Victor J, Jim Reid, David Folkerts, Landau, Reid, Folkerts, GSAM, Karen Ward, it's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Blue, Bloomberg, Getty, Monetary, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Global Economics, Research, Silicon Valley Bank, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, European Central Bank, Fed, ECB, JPMorgan, Management Locations: New York, Washington, U.S, Canada, Brazil, Chile, Hungary, Mexico, Peru, Poland

☆ Fidelity raises $700 mln in its first bond mutual fund in China
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

SHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Nov 23 (Reuters) - Fidelity International has garnered 5 billion yuan ($700 million) from investors for its first fixed income mutual fund in China, deepening the asset manager's involvement in the $3.8 trillion mutual fund market. The bond fund - Fidelity's second mutual fund product in China - raised the sum mainly from institutional investors in a three-week, shortened subscription period, the money manager said. China's mutual fund industry is crowded with over 150 players, including foreign ones such as BlackRock (BLK.N), Schroders (SDR.L) and JPMorgan Asset Management. "The fundraising size is rather encouraging," due to tough competition in the local market and Fidelity's limited track record in China, said Huang, who heads Fidelity International's two-year-old China mutual fund unit. Fidelity International was formerly the international investment arm of Boston-based Fidelity Investments before being spun off.

Persons: Helen Huang, Huang, Neuberger Berman, ASIFMA, Li Gu, Samuel Shen, Tom Westbrook, Muralikumar Organizations: Fidelity International, Reuters, Fidelity, JPMorgan Asset Management, Fidelity Investments, Regulators, China Securities Regulatory Commission, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, China, BlackRock, Boston, Beijing, Shanghai, Singapore

☆ You can thank China and record US oil output for lower gas prices
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

But the cost of crude oil has been largely declining since the middle of October. The average for a gallon of gas in the United States, meanwhile, dropped to $3.37, according to AAA. This “steady, if slow” decline in gas prices, said an AAA spokesperson, may soon gain speed if oil prices continue their descent. They’re more concerned with economic weakness in China and an increase in oil production in the United States. In the first week of November, US crude oil production reached a new record of 13.2 million barrels per day.

Persons: ” David Kelly, ”, ” David Morrison, refiners, ” Craig Erlam, Brent, Chris Isidore, “, Ted Decker, Refinitiv, Read, Homebuyers Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, AAA, Asset Management, Federal Reserve, Trade, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, . West Texas Intermediate, International Energy Agency, Revenue, National Association of Realtors, Census Locations: New York, Europe, Saudi Arabia, Russia, United States, China, Iran, America, United

☆ Bonds still have less volatility than stocks do, says JPMorgan Gabriela Santos
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBonds still have less volatility than stocks do, says JPMorgan Gabriela SantosGabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss whether it's the right time to buy bonds, where investors are looking right now, and more.

Persons: Gabriela Santos Gabriela Santos Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with JPMorgan's Meera Pandit and Virtus Investments' Joe Terranova
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with JPMorgan's Meera Pandit and Virtus Investments' Joe TerranovaMeera Pandit, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, and Joe Terranova, Virtus Investments, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the catalyst to move markets higher, what the market may have gotten wrong and what the Federal Reserve is most focused on.

Persons: JPMorgan's Meera Pandit, Joe Terranova Meera Pandit, Joe Terranova Organizations: Investments, JPMorgan Asset Management, Virtus Investments, Federal Locations: Virtus

☆ Fed's mixed commentary is contributing to yield volatility, says JPMorgan's Pandit
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's mixed commentary is contributing to yield volatility, says JPMorgan's PanditMeera Pandit, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the catalyst to move markets higher, what the market may have gotten wrong, and more.

Persons: JPMorgan's, Meera Pandit Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management

The entrance to JPMorgan Chase's international headquarters on Park Avenue is seen in New York October 2, 2012. It is the bank's third-biggest city in the European Union in terms of staff with 900 people, coming after Warsaw (1,200) and Dublin (more than 1,000). In the wake of Britain's exit from the European Union, JPMorgan bought a seven-storey building near its historic headquarters in the first arrondissement to house more employees. JPMorgan will commit $50 million of the $60 million investment and Bpifrance will provide 10 million euros ($10.66 million). The aim is to raise between 150 million euros to 200 million euros by the end of 2024, the U.S. lender said.

Persons: Shannon Stapleton, Bpifrance, Cartier, Louis Vuitton, JP Morgan, Jamie Dimon, Mathieu Rosemain, Anousha Sakoui, Louise Heavens Organizations: JPMorgan Chase's, REUTERS, Rights, JPMorgan, U.S, European Union, Gardens, Justice, Ritz Paris Hotel, Spark, JPMorgan Asset Management, Thomson Locations: New York, France, London, Paris, Europe, Warsaw, Dublin, U.S, Vendome, Spark France

☆ Lock in bond yields where they are now, says JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLock in bond yields where they are now, says JPMorgan's Gabriela SantosGabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss yesterday's Fed meeting and what it means for the markets.

Persons: JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos Gabriela Santos Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management, yesterday's

☆ We really like U.S. high-yield right now, says JPMorgan's Phil Camporeale
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe really like U.S. high-yield right now, says JPMorgan's Phil CamporealePhil Camporeale, JPMorgan Asset Management multi-asset portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the third quarter GDP data, why he's positioning for a soft landing and believes the Fed has more to risk being dovish, and more.

Persons: Phil Camporeale Phil Camporeale Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ U.S. inflationary pressures have come down an 'awful long way,' JPMorgan says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. inflationary pressures have come down an 'awful long way,' JPMorgan saysBob Michele of JPMorgan Asset Management discusses the outlook for the next Federal Open Market Committee.

Persons: Bob Michele Organizations: JPMorgan, JPMorgan Asset Management, Market

☆ I wouldn't take another rate hike this year off the table, says JPMorgan's Meera Pandit
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI wouldn't take another rate hike this year off the table, says JPMorgan's Meera PanditMeera Pandit, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, rising Treasury yields, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.

Persons: JPMorgan's Meera Pandit Meera Pandit Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Earnings in full swing, Treasury yields hit new highs
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets slideU.S. stock markets slid on Wednesday as earnings season picked up steam and Treasury yields touched multi-year highs — breaking above 4.9% for the first time since 2007. The electric vehicle maker reported adjusted earnings of 66 cents per share vs. 73 cents per share expected and revenue of $23.35 billion per share vs. $24.1 billion expected. Its earnings came in at $3.73 per share, better than the $3.49 per share expected.

Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, Stocks Organizations: CNBC, Netflix, Counterpoint Research, JPMorgan, Asset Management, Federal Reserve Locations: Asia, Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, China, Apple's

☆ Make these 6 moves now to capitalize on one of the best long-term investing outlooks in over a decade, according to JPMorgan's $2.9 trillion asset management arm
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Investors shouldn't be scared off by slower economic growth caused by higher-for-longer interest rates and inflation, according to JPMorgan Asset Management (JPMAM). For reference, JPMAM called for forward long-term returns of 4.3% in 2021. The firm added that productivity gains from AI will likely add a tenth of a percentage point to global growth in the next decade. The long-awaited reversal for international stocks won't happen overnight, JPMAM strategists said. The firm is highly optimistic about the asset class after its brutal multi-year selloff and expects 4.6% and 5.1% long-term returns for those groups, respectively.

Persons: it's, JPMAM, David Kelly, Kelly, Monica Issar, Grace Koo, —, they're, Bob Michele, who's, he's, Bonds, REITs Organizations: Asset Management, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, US, JPMorgan, Management, Fed, JPMorgan Asset Management, Investors Locations: Europe, Australasia, Real

☆ A rate cut will be bad news for stocks, JPMorgan warns
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA rate cut will be bad news for stocks, JPMorgan warnsA cut in interest rates by the Federal Reserve next year is likely to be bad news for U.S. equity investors, according to Hugh Gimber, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management.

Persons: Hugh Gimber Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, Asset Management

☆ A rate cut will be bad news for stocks, JPMorgan warns — and outlines where to invest
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

However, Gimber believes Fed cuts in 2024 would likely coincide with declining corporate earnings, creating headwinds for stocks. Analysts are predicting 12% earnings growth for the S & P 500 as a whole in 2024. A further rate cut is also being priced in by November next year, according to data from CME's FedWatch Tool . "You have this disconnect at the moment: 12% earnings growth expected for next year and still the Fed expected to cut multiple times. It's about resilience in equities," Gimber said.

Persons: Hugh Gimber, Gimber, CNBC's, Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asset Management, –, Catalyst, JPMorgan, Treasury Locations: Brazil, Mexico, South Africa

☆ There will be a 'very meaningful repricing' in corporate credit risk, says JPMorgan's Oksana Aronov
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere will be a 'very meaningful repricing' in corporate credit risk, says JPMorgan's Oksana AronovOksana Aronov, JPMorgan Asset Management head of market strategy and alternative fixed income, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the state of the economy and impact on rates, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.

Persons: JPMorgan's Oksana Aronov Oksana Aronov Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ A recession may still be in the forecast, experts say. Here's how to make sure you're prepared
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Jamie Kelter Davis | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesA recession has been in the forecast for much of 2023. "A recession is obviously going to happen at some point," said Jack Manley, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management. Those factors may prompt the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher for longer, Aleman said. Experts say the key is to automate your savings so you do not even see the money in your paycheck. Another advantage to saving now: Rising interest rates mean the potential returns on that money are the highest they have been in 15 years.

Persons: Jamie Kelter Davis, Jack Manley, —, Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James, Aleman, Manley, Barry Glassman, CNBC.com, Glassman, Mark Hamrick, Matt Schulz, Schulz Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Asset Management, National Association for Business Economics, Finance, Federal Reserve, Wealth Services, CNBC's, Bankrate Locations: Chicago

☆ Asia shares pick up after Fed rate comments; oil dips
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Kane Wu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

U.S. stocks ended higher on Monday, with energy shares rising along with oil prices. The S&P 500 energy index (.SPNY) ended up 3.5%. Oil prices eased after climbing more than 4% on Monday. "The unrest and volatility in the near-term suggest that upside risks to oil prices will persist," said OCBC economists in a note. This will lead to some volatility in oil prices during intense periods of conflict but should see prices normalize, following the knee-jerk reaction."

Persons: Androniki, Kerry Craig, Australia's, Brent, Kane Wu, Stella Qiu, Edmund Klamanhn, Kim Coghill Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, dovish, Top Fed, Hamas, Asset Management, Garden Holdings, HK, National Bank of Australia, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, HONG KONG, East, Europe, U.S, Asia Pacific, China, Israel, Palestinian, Gaza, Hong Kong, Sydney

☆ Asia shares rise after Fed comments, markets' eyes on Middle East
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Kane Wu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

MSCI's gauge of Asia Pacific stocks outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was up 1.2% at 0135 GMT. Japan's benchmark Nikkei average (.N225) rose 2.4% while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 (.AXJO) rose for a fourth straight session to gain 1.2%. Top Fed officials indicated on Monday that rising Treasury yields could steer the Fed from further rate increases, helping to spur a rise in bond prices after those markets had been closed the previous day in the U.S. and Tokyo. The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, analysts from National Bank of Australia said in a note. Ten-year Treasury yields , which have been surging, fell more than 13 basis points to 4.6% at the open in Tokyo as bond prices rallied after Monday's holiday.

Persons: Androniki, Australia's, Kerry Craig, Brent, Kane Wu, Stella Qiu, Edmund Klamanhn Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, dovish, Top Fed, Tokyo ., Hamas, Asset Management, Garden Holdings, HK, National Bank of Australia, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, HONG KONG, Asia Pacific, U.S, Israel, Palestinian, Gaza, Hong Kong, Sydney

☆ Capitalize on once-in-a-generation opportunities in the bond market by making these 5 moves now, according to 6 leading fixed income strategists
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

Yahoo FinanceHowever, six leading fixed income investors are confident that the pain won't last much longer. Michele continued: "I've been doing this since 1981, so I've seen a decade of double-digit bond yields with disinflation. Alex Petrone, the director of fixed income at Rockefeller Asset Management, agreed that it's too soon to write off a recession. Nailing timing helps maximize returns, though fixed income experts said that's difficult because the Fed's policy decisions are unpredictable. Buying Treasuries and municipal coupons on both the long and short ends of the curve are how she recommends playing fixed income.

Persons: Jonathan Mondillo, you've, Bob Michele, Michele, I've, we'll, Federal Reserve —, Robert Robis, Robis, Alex Petrone, it's, Petrone, Mary Daly, David Schiffman, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, Aliaga, Mondillo, Schiffman Organizations: Yahoo Finance, JPMorgan Asset Management, isn't, Federal Reserve, BCA Research, Rockefeller Asset Management, Fed, San Francisco Fed, Aquila Investment Management, Vanguard's Investment, Investment Locations: Scotland, bottoming, Abrdn, Aquila, Treasuries, CCC

☆ Now is the time to 'think long term' when investing, advisor says. This chart helps explain why
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The new war between Israel and Palestinian militant group Hamas has brought more uncertainty to the markets. While stocks shook off the conflict in Monday afternoon trading, financial experts say investors should stay the course amid elevated volatility risks. "Stay calm, think long term and look for some bargains," said David Rea, president of Salem Investment Counselors in Winston-Salem, North Carolina, which is No. If markets do drop, investors focused on retirement and other goals would be wise to hold on, research shows. A $10,000 investment in the S&P 500 would have grown to $64,844 between Jan. 1, 2003, and Dec. 30, 2022 — a 9.8% return, according to research from JPMorgan Asset Management.

Persons: David Rea Organizations: Hamas, Salem Investment, CNBC, Finance, JPMorgan Asset Management, & $ Locations: Israel, Palestinian, Salem, Winston, Salem , North Carolina, Russia, Ukraine

☆ Investors should keep cool as Israel-Hamas conflict unfolds, says JPMorgan's Meera Pandit
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors should keep cool as Israel-Hamas conflict unfolds, says JPMorgan's Meera PanditMeera Pandit, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the impact of the Israel-Hamas conflict on the markets, the direction of interest rates, and more.

Persons: JPMorgan's Meera Pandit Meera Pandit Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management Locations: Israel

☆ Stock futures are little changed Monday evening as Israel-Hamas war raises geopolitical concerns: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures were near the flat line on Monday night as Wall Street assessed the impact and risks of a protracted conflict from the Israel-Hamas war. Futures linked to the S&P 500 ticked down 0.01%, while Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.07%. In the wake of the attacks, investors have also raised concerns of how tougher sanctions on Iran could affect global oil supply. Tightened sanctions on Iran and subsequent disruptions to Iran's oil supply "would have more of an impact on oil markets," said BMO Capital Markets chief investment officer Yung-Yu Ma. "I think the oil markets have a little bit of a buffer here.

Persons: Dow, Brent, Meera Pandit, Yung, Yu Ma, Ma Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, West, Energy, Israel, West Bank, Asset Management, Capital Markets, Investors Locations: Israel, West Texas, Aqsa, Gaza, Iran

The pandemic pushed financial giants to embrace a more casual dress code that many other corporations had begun to embrace. Diversity in dressFor some women on Wall Street, the shift from business formal to business casual has allowed them to step out of the unofficial uniform of pantsuits and sheath dresses. Lululemon in the boardroomNo Wall Streeters mentioned buying more Ferragamo ties, but many said they were leaning into athleisure. People still come in wearing their suits and ties and their Louboutins, and I'm like, 'what are we doing here?' "For a lot of client interactions, dressing business casual can make it more comfortable and can lead to a better relationship-building experience."

Persons: Luis Arteaga, Shanta Wu, Kristen Powers, Morgan Stanley, She's, Thom Browne, Anne, Victoire Auriault, Goldman Sachs, Jack Dillon, He's, David Trinh, It's, we've, Thoma Bravo, Andrew Almeida, Richard Handler, Jefferies, Katya Brozyna, I'm, Benjamin Kiflom, Neil Kamath, Sarah Sigfusson, Michael Wilkinson, Wells, Patrick McGoldrick, Laiwala, I've, Rachel Hunter, Goldman, Luna McKeon, Ricky Mewani, Dominic Rizzo, Rowe Price Organizations: Barclays, Fidelity, Vista Equity Partners, Bridgewater, Jefferies, Nike Air Force, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bank of, Moelis & Company, KKR, Blue Owl, Citadel Locations: Bridgewater, New York, Florida, Miami, San Francisco

☆ Investors are having a 'panic attack' about the bond market
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

But interest rates are unlikely to stay this high for long, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe Federal Reserve has sowed panic among investors and that's led to the latest bout of dysfunction in the bond market, Wall Street experts say. But according to some market experts, the selloff is largely fueled by feelings of panic in the market rather than fundamentals. "Coming out of the last FOMC meeting two weeks ago, I think that's really when the bond market broke down," Michele added. AdvertisementAdvertisement"This is clearly a panic attack," market veteran Komal Sri-Kumar said to CNBC on the selloff in bonds.

Persons: Treasurys, Tom Lee, —, that's, Jerome Powell, It's, Powell, Bob Michele, Michele, Komal, Kumar, it's, there's, Lee Organizations: Service, Wall, Treasury, Asset, CNBC Locations: Silicon, Spain, Germany

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