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JPMorgan highlighted Amazon as its best idea going into the second-quarter earnings season for technology stocks, followed by Uber and Google . JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth wrote that the Wall Street bank remains bullish on larger players in the industry, for now. The analyst highlighted Amazon as his favorite stock for the near and long term. Amazon stock has gained 27% this year. "Google remains focused on innovation, and we continue to believe there is healthy runway across Search and YouTube ads as AI drives higher ROI & TV dollars shift online," the analyst wrote.
Persons: Uber, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Google, Amazon Web, Costco, YouTube
Regional bank stocks are breaking out, and they may be able to continue to climb even if second-quarter earnings results are modest. The SPDR S & P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) has risen for six straight trading sessions, and on Monday it closed at its highest level since December. KRE 1Y mountain This regional bank ETF is at its highest level since December. The group still trades below historical valuations more than a year after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, Bank of America said. Notable regional bank earnings reports this week include Citizens Financial Group on Wednesday, M & T Bank on Thursday and Fifth Third Bancorp on Friday.
Persons: Ebrahim Poonawala, Banks, Poonawala, Goldman, Ryan Nash, Nash, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: P Regional Bank ETF, Federal Reserve, Fed, Bank of America, Silicon Valley Bank, Western Alliance, WAL, York, Citizens Financial Group, T Bank, Fifth Third Bancorp Locations: Silicon
Tesla 's massive rally might soon run out of steam, Wells Fargo warned investors in a new note. Analyst Colin Langan reiterated his underweight rating on the electric vehicle manufacturer, contrasting with Wall Street's bullish sentiment. TSLA YTD mountain TSLA YTD chart Langan attributed the rally to temporary optimism driven by better deliveries, the approval of Elon Musk's compensation package , hype around Tesla's robotaxi and technical factors. Retail interest likely surged in recent months, while professional investors took the opportunity to cover short positions or raise underweight holdings. "The stock rose ~40% (S & P +4%) over the last month, mostly driven by 'razzle-dazzle' headlines as most fundamentals remain weak," Langan wrote in a report entitled, "Will retail puppy love last?"
Persons: Tesla, Wells, Colin Langan, Langan, Elon, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Tesla
Jefferies has identified a lesser-known and potentially undervalued Taiwanese company poised to benefit from the growing artificial intelligence sector. The investment bank said Insyde Software, listed on the Taipei Exchange, is well positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for AI-enabled personal computers and servers. Jefferies initiated coverage of Insyde with a research note titled "Firmware Leader and Yet-to-be Discovered AI Play" on July 9 with a "Buy" rating and a price target that suggests a potential 42% upside from current levels. However, the stock has already risen by more than 30% since the ratings action, according to FactSet data, which shows the stock currently offers 17% upside potential. Founded in 1998, Insyde has established itself in the firmware industry, commanding over 50% market share in the personal computer segment, Jefferies suggests.
Persons: Jefferies, Insyde, Matt Ma, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Interactive, Microsoft, Nvidia, Qualcomm, Intel, Dell, HP Locations: Taipei, Taiwan
Morgan Stanley says it's time for stock-picking in Europe as earnings season and rate cuts are imminent. Stock-level dispersion refers to the range of returns for stocks, while market breadth tracks the number of stocks going up relative to those declining. It named its top picks for Europe, which are its analysts' "highest conviction ideas" within the universe of stocks that they cover. Morgan Stanley called Commerzbank "one of the best yield payers in the sector," and is strongly profitable. "Repsol's financial framework also remains solid, where there is both ability and willingness for high distributions and dividend growth," Morgan Stanley analysts wrote.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Europe, Merck, Electronics Locations: Europe
The uncertainty has led Morgan Stanley to reiterate its recommendation to buy dividend stocks. The investment bank noted that the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan High Dividend Index has slightly underperformed the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index in the second quarter of the year, albeit by only 0.34 percentage points. "We still prefer Dividend stocks given cautious risk sentiment in Asia/EM and see support in valuations for quality dividend stocks due to their defensiveness. Investor appetite on corporate reform and shareholder return theme in Asia/EM also remain high, which are likely to benefit dividend stocks." The company provides distillery services and Morgan Stanley sees it benefitting from "improving demand for high-end products and mid-market brands."
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Wuliangye, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Asia, UST, U.S . Treasury, Wuliangye Yibin Company, China's Shenzhen Stock Exchange, FTSE, G, Won, Korea Exchange, American Locations: Japan, Asia, Pacific, China, FTSE China, Korean, U.S
Citi has identified several undervalued global stocks exposed to artificial intelligence that present substantial investment opportunities. AI has driven approximately half the 11% return in the MSCI All Country World Index so far, according to Citi. The picture resembles the S & P 500 , where mega-cap stocks focused on AI have driven much of the rally. While many AI stocks have benefited from both expanding multiples and upward earnings revisions, Citi has identified a subset of 19 stocks that buck this trend. This dual tailwind of improving valuations and fundamentals has not been present in stocks with medium or low AI exposure — such as those in the table above.
Persons: Drew Pettit, Beata Manthey, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, Digital Realty Trust, Apple, Toyota Motor, Visa, ServiceNow, Samsung Electronics
"A solid iPhone replacement cycle and spec upgrade should help HH's better sales/earnings in 2025-26," the investment bank's analysts wrote. The bank expects the China-based design and manufacturing giant to see strong margins as demand for its casings increases in tandem with better iPhone shipment cycles between 2025 and 2026. "We lift Foxconn Industrial Internet (FII)'s 2024-26E earnings by 2-6% on potentially better iPhone casing sales and strong AI server contribution," the analysts wrote. "We expect BYDE's casing profitability to gradually improve on better operation efficiency (higher automation rate, improving yield)," the analysts wrote. They have lifted the company's 2025-2026 earnings expectations by 2% to "reflect potentially better iPhone volume, robust auto expansion as well as rising AI-related contribution (server, robot)."
Persons: Ming, Chi Kuo, Ross Young, Hai, BofA, Foxconn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Tech, Apple, Bank of America, Hai Precision Industry, Taiwan Stock Exchange, American Depository, New, Industrial, Taiwan Stock Exchanges, U.S . Its, Shenzhen Stock Exchange, China 5G, Semiconductor, Hong Kong Exchange, Hong Locations: U.S, New Taiwan, China, Shanghai, Taiwan, U.S . Its Shanghai, Hong Kong
Strong consumer demand has helped the U.S. economy weather the Federal Reserve's rate hikes, avoiding a hard landing where growth and employment turn lower. The high-end consumer Inui estimates the net worth of high-end consumers is actually accelerating to a high-single-digit rate. "As a result, discount retailers are facing high shrinkage, restaurants are becoming increasingly promotional to boost traffic and retailers with strong value propositions are gaining share." HSBC called McDonald's one of the stocks that offers "a strong value proposition" to consumers tightening their belts. Another retailer HSBC named was Target , which has an "expect more, pay less" strategy emphasizing private labels to boost sales.
Persons: HSBC's, Nicole Inui, Hilton, Marriott, Inui, Innui, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: HSBC, Viking Holdings, Worldwide Holdings, Marriott International, Royal, Motors Locations: U.S, Americas, Royal Caribbean
Shares of Dutch food delivery marketplace Just Eat Takeaway.com could more than double over the next 12 months, according to Jefferies analysts. Jefferies remains bullish on Just Eat, even as the company's U.S. business Grubhub has faced the pressures of government price controls imposed on restaurants since the Covid-19 pandemic. Just Eat expects a $100 million EBITDA impact from the amending of the fee caps, the Jefferies note reported. Shares of the delivery firm have also moved away from their high during the Covid pandemic, and are now down 18.1% year-to-date and 22.5% in the last 12 months. It also trades as an American Depository Receipt in the U.S. — CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
Persons: Jefferies, Grubhub, Giles Throne, Throne, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Jefferies, U.S ., TKWY, Euronext Amsterdam, London Stock Exchange, American Locations: U.S, New York, New York City
Investors should take a look at the options market to bet on the long-awaited rebound of Wells Fargo , according to the derivatives research team at Goldman Sachs. John Marshall, the firm's head of derivatives research, said in a note to clients that Wells Fargo looks like an options trade candidate ahead of its earnings report. Wells Fargo is set to release its latest earnings before the bell on Friday. WFC 5Y mountain Wells Fargo is off to a strong start in 2024 after a long period of underperformance. Wells Fargo has been a long-term underperformer among bank stocks, and it is still under regulatory restrictions related to a fake accounts scandal under a previous CEO.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, Wells, Goldman, Richard Ramsden, Richard, Wells Fargo, Marshall, NII, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, underperformance, 2H24
Mainland China investors these days are often focused on how well U.S. stocks are doing — and bemoaning tepid performance at home. But a look at first-half performance shows that many China stocks still rose by double-digits, including a few artificial intelligence plays. Zhongji Innolight Ranking third in CSI 300 performance in the first half was Zhongji Innolight, which climbed 70%. Nomura rates Zhongji Innolight a buy and its analysts met with the optical communication company in late June. The broad mainland China stock market, measured in Class A shares, has underperformed over the past two years, said Wanda Wang, a research manager at Morningstar.
Persons: BofA, Nomura, Wanda Wang, That's, Invesco's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, CSI, Apple, Foxconn, Bank of America Securities, Industrial, FII, Avary Holding, Avary, Chartered Bank, HSBC, JPMorgan, Nomura, Nasdaq, U.S, Morningstar, Capital, Shenzhen Stock Exchange Locations: China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Avary Holding Shenzhen, Hong Kong
Goldman Sachs has refreshed its lists of top global stock picks for July, adding some and removing others. The stocks are featured in the investment bank's "Conviction List - Directors' Cut" which seeks to offer investors a "curated and active" list of 15 to 25 buy-rated stocks. Stocks on the list are selected by a subcommittee designated by the bank's Investment Review Committee for each region. "The subcommittee will collaborate with each sector analyst to identify top ideas that offer a combination of conviction, a differentiated view and high risk-adjusted returns," Goldman Sachs said. The investment bank's analyst Ben Andrews expects the company's organic growth and margins to surpass consensus estimates.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Ronald Keung, Keung, Goldman, Ben Andrews, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: bank's Investment, Tencent Holdings China, HK, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, U.S, ISS, Copenhagen Stock Exchange Locations: Asia, Pacific, Europe, Danish, U.S
Tightness in labor markets is boosting the use case of robotics, Morgan Stanley says, predicting a boom in humanoids — or robots in human form. "Advancements in AI are transforming the robotics industry," Morgan Stanley analysts said in a June 26 report called: "Humanoids: Investment Implications of Embodied AI." The bank forecasts a humanoid population of 40,000 by 2030, 8 million by 2040 and 63 million by 2050. Morgan Stanley is not alone in its bullish stance on humanoids. Still, Morgan Stanley outlined a number of sectors set to potentially benefit from humanoids, with social care likely to be the largest total addressable market.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, it's, Elon Musk, Morgan Stanley's, , Michael Bloom, Lora Kolodny Organizations: Labor, Morgan Locations: China, United States, Asia, Europe
McDonald's $5 value meal offering could provide a turnaround for the struggling stock, according to Wells Fargo. "Historically, MCD wins when the industry shifts to value," Fadem wrote in a note released Monday. McDonald's competitors took a hit after the company launched the dollar menu — and took back some share after McDonald's removed the Dollar menu, he added. Fadem forecasts the $5 value meal could provide a tailwind of 50 to 100 basis points for McDonalds U.S. comparable same-store sales. Wells Fargo has an overweight rating and $300 price target on shares, implying about 18% upside from Friday's close.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Wells, Zachary Fadem, McDonald's, Fadem, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, McDonalds U.S Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S
Chewy shares started swinging wildly after online personality Roaring Kitty revealed a big stake , but Wall Street analysts believe being branded as a meme stock is not good for the pet retailer. The meme stock leader, whose legal name is Keith Gill, has taken a 6.6% stake in Chewy, making him the third-largest shareholder. An initial boost in the share price — it surged 18% in two days early last week — has quickly faded, with shares falling more than 5% Monday. Many believe BC could use any rally in Chewy stock to sell more of its stake, putting a temporary ceiling on the shares. The dynamic could be at play Monday as Chewy's stock opened 9% higher, only to quickly give up all the gains and turn lower.
Persons: Chewy, Kitty, Keith Gill, , David Bellinger, Gill, Don Bilson, Gordon Haskett, Seth Basham, Michael Bloom Organizations: GameStop, AMC, BC Partners, Partners Locations: Chewy
Bitcoin's blues could linger throughout July, but investors are still optimistic about the cryptocurrency in the second half of the year. July is usually a strong month for bitcoin, which has finished higher for the month in seven of the last 11 years, according to CoinGlass. "There are always other known potential sources of bitcoin supply from government for example, but it's always uncertain when that's coming to market. This week, the crypto market was startled when the U.S. and German governments sent large amounts of previously seized bitcoin to exchanges, according to CryptoQuant. Marion Laboure, senior strategist at Deutsche Bank Research, said growing demand for crypto ETFs will help keep bitcoin's price "elevated" in the months ahead.
Persons: bitcoin, Zach Pandl, it's, JPMorgan's Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Pandl, Trump, Marion Laboure, 21Shares, Michael Bloom Organizations: Metrics, Federal, U.S ., Deutsche Bank Research, Solana Locations: U.S, Mt
The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have rallied during the second quarter and are currently within 1% of their record highs. "It's great to see S & P and Nasdaq make new highs, but clearly something is not right if key barometers for risk are rolling over," Ginsberg wrote. There doesn't even seem to be a consensus among the biggest names in the stock market. These latest signs of weakness are part of the long-standing worry about the lack of market breadth . RSP YTD mountain The equal-weight S & P 500 is headed for a losing second quarter.
Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Russell, Ginsberg, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Wolfe Research, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Big Tech, RSP, Bears
Morgan Stanley analysts say they are expecting the computer memory sector to hit new highs over the rest of 2024, despite investors "generally" not being comfortable buying such stocks at such lofty prices. Aside from their attractive valuations, memory stocks are expected to see a lift in demand on the back of stronger usage of artificial intelligence-powered applications, infrastructure, tools and services, the analysts added. Top pick and overweight-rated stocks SK Hynix , the South Korean chipmaker, is Morgan Stanley's "top pick." Both stocks trade on the Korean Exchange and in the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (SK Hynix has a 10.7% weight while Samsung Electronics has a 22.2% weight). Morgan Stanley is overweight on the stock and gives it a price target of $86, or nearly 12% upside.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Shawn Kim, Morgan Stanley's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, South Korean, SK Hynix —, Samsung, Korean Exchange, Western Locations: Korean, Korea
Apple 's commitment to privacy could soon pay off by giving it a leg up over its competitors, according to Rosenblatt. That's because Apple, unlike AI predecessors, has put privacy front and center as part of its AI marketing push and architecture," Crockett wrote. "Apple laid out what it called a Private Cloud Compute architecture that keeps personal information on personal devices, and does not allow non-permissioned release of that information to anyone else, including Apple and third party LLMs," he added. An additional advantage for Apple comes from its AI approach, which allows the firm some immunity from cost pressures at hyperscalers. Against this backdrop, Crockett sees the scales "tipping the AI risk/reward in favor of Apple."
Persons: Rosenblatt, Barton Crockett, Crockett, Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, hyperscalers
Artificial intelligence is set to give the global data center market a major boost, according to Jefferies, and usher in a "new era of electricity demand." "As GPUs [graphics processing units] have become a larger part of the data center ecosystem and drive AI investments, demand for power and data center space has grown at a feverish pace," the investment bank's analysts wrote in a June 18 note. They noted that demand for data center space has increased between 10% and 20% each year for most of the past 15 years. As the data center market grows, so will demand for electricity, Jefferies said, naming a slew of beneficiaries in these segments and beyond. Among the "pure-play data center" names it likes are Digital Realty Trust and Equinix .
Persons: Jefferies, Stocks, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Digital Realty Trust Locations: U.S, Europe, Freeport, McMoRan
A sweep of the executive and legislative branches by either Democrats or Republicans in the November election could spell more risk to crypto assets, according to TD Cowen. "Divided government is the best possible outcome for financial firms, housing and crypto as we believe there would be bipartisan legislative and regulatory agreements that could survive future political changes," TD Cowen's Jaret Seiberg wrote in a note Monday. "If Biden wins, a Republican Senate could limit his ability to put aggressive regulators in power," Seiberg added. "Trump would likely have a GOP Senate, but House Democrats could block his legislative agenda. Republican politicians have tended to hold more crypto-friendly views, but the digital currency industry maintains that crypto is a nonpartisan issue.
Persons: TD Cowen, Jaret Seiberg, Seiberg, Trump, Donald Trump, Biden, Biden's, Gary Gensler, Gensler, Michael Bloom Organizations: Republicans, Biden, Republican, GOP Senate, Innovation, Technology, Republican Senate, TD Cowen's Washington Research Group, SEC, Securities and Exchange Commission Locations: Washington
Nvidia 's furious rally is breaking new ground in stock chart analysis that even the dot-com bubble couldn't pull off, according to BTIG. "NVDA recently traded ~100% above its 200 DMA. In other words, NVDA is in a league of its own," the note said. To make another parallel to the dot-com bubble, Cisco also briefly passed Microsoft in market cap in March of 2000, according to Krinsky. Shares of Nvidia are now up more than 150% year to date, and its market cap is still over $3 trillion despite a Friday slump.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, NVDA, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Cisco, Microsoft Locations: U.S
The Wall Street bank estimates that another 1 gigawatts in potential power has been "underwritten as these data centers ramp up." "With $50 billion in committed AI/DC [data center] investments, we see upside to power gencos and grid operators in the region," Morgan Stanley's analysts wrote in a June 2 research note. Below are three stocks from Morgan Stanley's list that stand out for having significant upside potential, according to FactSet's consensus price targets. Analysts polled by FactSet give the stock a price target of 14.62 Malaysian ringgits, giving it around 6% potential upside. Keppel has an ADR in the U.S. and Singapore Telecommunications trades over the counter .
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Morgan Stanley's, FactSet, Keppel, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Morgan, Google, U.S, Global X FTSE, Asia, Malaysian, Singapore Telecommunications, Singapore Exchange Locations: Tenaga Nasional, Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia, Singapore, Keppel, U.S
Goldman Sachs refreshed its lists of top global stock picks for June by adding some and removing others. The stocks are captured in the investment bank's "Conviction List - Directors' Cut" and seeks to offer investors a "curated and active" list of 15 to 25 buy-rated stocks. The stocks are selected by a group designated by the bank's Investment Review Committee for each region. Here are three of the latest additions to Goldman's directors' cut lists — for Asia-Pacific and Europe — that were given more than 40% upside potential in the next 12 months. Goldman has a target price of 685 New Taiwan dollars ($21.16) on the stock, implying 54.1% potential upside.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Chao Wang, Oil Goldman, Nikhil Bhandari, Phillips, Daniela Costa, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: bank's Investment, EMC, Taiwan Stock Exchange, SmartETFs Asia, New, Oil, Project, bbl, PTT Public Company, Stock Exchange of, Nasdaq, Philips, Euronext Locations: Asia, Pacific, Europe, New Taiwan, Thailand's, Stock Exchange of Thailand, Dutch, Euronext Amsterdam
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