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Unless the economic outlook changes, mortgage rates may hold steady for the rest of 2024. If they were to weaken unexpectedly, that could spur the Fed to cut rates more aggressively, which in turn could push mortgage rates down further. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed is expected to cut rates soon, mortgage rates have trended down. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.
Persons: you'll, They've, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Fed, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Mortgage, Association Locations: Chevron
A steady decline in mortgage rates to two-year lows has current homeowners rushing to take advantage of potential savings. Applications to refinance a home loan surged 20% last week compared with the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's seasonally adjusted index. "As a result of lower rates, week-over-week gains for both conventional and government refinance applications increased sharply." Mortgage applications to purchase a home rose just 1% for the week and were 2% higher than the same week one year ago. Mortgage rates haven't moved much to start this week, and will likely wait for more pressing economic data later this week and at the start of October.
Persons: Joel Kan, Kan Organizations: Mortgage Locations: San Rafael , California
The Spurs' majority owner is Peter Holt, managing partner of Spurs Sports & Entertainment, which also operates the team's arena, the Frost Bank Center. Last May, Viera bought a 5% stake in the Spurs for an undisclosed enterprise value. Partial team owners can get major discounts when they buy small pieces of teams that give them less control over decisions. Businessman Paul Viera is increasing his stake in the San Antonio Spurs from 5% to 11%, CNBC has learned, as NBA valuations climb and make teams more attractive assets for investors. NBA teams are hot assets thanks in large part to the league's new $76 billion, 11-year media deal.
Persons: Peter Holt, Holts, Michael Dell, McCombs, David Robinson, Viera, Earnest, Paul Viera, Victor Wembanyama, Junior Bridgeman, Dee Haslam, Marc Lasry's, Bridgeman, Grant Hill, Penny, Hardaway, Robinson, Dwyane Wade, Elliot Perry, Michael Jordan, Wyc Grousbeck, Aramark Organizations: San Antonio Spurs, Golden State Warriors, T Center, Spurs, Spurs Sports & Entertainment, Frost Bank Center, Dell Technologies, Sixth Street Partners, Earnest Partners, CNBC, NBA, Southwest Division, Milwaukee Bucks, Bucks, Atlanta Hawks, Memphis Grizzlies, Utah Jazz, Grizzlies, Charlotte Hornets, Boston Celtics, Grousbecks, Celtics Locations: San Antonio , Texas, Atlanta
The rally in US stocks took a breather on Wednesday as traders looked ahead to coming economic data. Major indexes wobbled and bond yields were slightly higher. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Major stock averages pulled back slightly after notching a series of record-highs since last week's rate cut, while bond yields edged up slightly. "Traders will be curious to hear more thoughts on the rate cut and any guidance on further monetary policy easing."
Persons: , Powell, Hogan, Riley Wealth Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, US Treasury Market Conference, Federal
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Tuesday she thought her colleagues should have taken a more measured approach to last week’s half percentage point interest rate cut as she worries that inflation could reignite. In explaining her rationale, Bowman said the half percentage point, or 50 basis point, reduction posed a number of risks to the Fed’s twin goals of achieving low inflation and full employment. Though Bowman favored a reduction, she preferred the Fed lower by a quarter percentage point, more in line with the traditional moves at the central bank. In recent statements, Fed officials have cited easing inflation and a softening labor market as justification for the cut. At last week’s meeting, individual policymakers indicated they expect another half percentage point in cuts this year and another full point in 2025.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Organizations: Federal Locations: Kentucky
Go to newsletter preferencesSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. There was a brief period during the pandemic and the years after it when hybrid work, four-day workweeks, and flexible hours gave employees more power than ever before. And now, employee surveillance is on the rise. "That might create high staff turnover rates," he said, "and there are all sorts of costs associated with recruiting staff." Overall, Kayas held that whether staff surveillance is good or bad, or right or wrong, comes down to whether you're asking the employee or the employer.
Persons: , JPMorgan Chase, Leo Lukenas III, BofA, Oliver Kayas, Kayas Organizations: Service, Business, Street Journal, Bank of America, JPMorgan, of America, Army, Liverpool John Moores University, Citigroup
The Fed probably can't take rates as low as it would like to, according to Larry Summers. Summers pointed to the Fed's target of 2.9% for the so-called neutral rate. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementThe Fed doesn't have the wiggle room to cut interest rates as low as it hopes to, according to ex-Treasury Secretary Larry Summers. In an interview with Bloomberg, Summers said central bankers have likely underestimated the so-called neutral rate, which is the level that neither expands nor contracts the economy.
Persons: Larry Summers, Summers, Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business
The stock market runs a bigger risk of an unsustainable melt-up, according to Ed Yardeni. AdvertisementStocks run the risk of seeing an unsustainable, dot-com style melt-up, thanks to the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. That move sparked a rally in stocks to fresh records —but it's also raised the odds of a stock market melt-up, he said, meaning investors are now facing the risk of an unsustainable market boom. And while inflation has cooled from its highs several years ago, it is still a risk, Yardeni noted. Advertisement"If they get to overheat the economy and get to create a bubble in the stock market, yeah they're creating some issues," Yardeni added.
Persons: Ed Yardeni, , Stocks, it's, Yardeni, Michelle Bowman, haven't Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Yardeni, Labor Department, Atlanta Fed
In today's big story, why you should care about a potential Intel-Qualcomm deal , even if it might not work. Getting all that varied experience has proved particularly beneficial for TSMC in the age of cutting-edge mobile and AI chips. The US needs Intel to keep (and get better at) manufacturing chips. The problem with that is that this manufacturing business would have almost no customers, and would fall even further behind TSMC. Experts seem incredibly skeptical about a Qualcomm deal going through.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, Moneyball, Rupert Murdoch's, Chelsea Jia Feng, I'm, it's, Palantir alums, Jamie Dimon Tom Williams, he's, Goldman Sachs, Chelsea JIa Feng, ChatGPT, Vinod Khosla, Chris Gash, Lachlan Murdoch, Murdoch, Lachlan's, Caroline Ellison, Biden, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Jack Sommers, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Intel, Qualcomm, Business, Tech, Getty, TSMC, Inc, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Big Tech, Web Services, Employees, Bloomberg Global Business Forum, FAA, OPEC, Oil Locations: Taiwan, China, San Francisco, Nevada, New York, London
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Tuesday she thought her colleagues should have taken a more measured approach to last week's half percentage point interest rate cut as she worries that inflation could reignite. In explaining her rationale, Bowman said the half percentage point, or 50 basis point, reduction posed a number of risks to the Fed's twin goals of achieving low inflation and full employment. Though Bowman favored a reduction, she preferred the Fed lower by a quarter percentage point, more in line with the traditional moves at the central bank. In recent statements, Fed officials have cited easing inflation and a softening labor market as justification for the cut. At last week's meeting, individual policymakers indicated they expect another half percentage point in cuts this year and another full point in 2025.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman Organizations: Federal Locations: Kentucky
Read previewWork-from-home is working for one top Wall Street firm. AdvertisementThat's resulted in a host of benefits for the firm's workers, Orszag said, adding that he believed WFH allowed its bankers to retain a sense of "agency." Tracy Farr, a Lazard managing director, also praised the benefits of the firm's hybrid policy in a LinkedIn post. Advertisement"Our hybrid work policy has been a game changer. Many other big Wall Street firms have pushed back on the work-from-home movement.
Persons: , Peter Orszag, Lazard, Orszag, WFH, Tracy Farr, Farr, I've, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Wall, Business, Lazard's New, Bloomberg, JPMorgan Locations: Lazard's, Lazard's New York
Last week, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon lashed out at investment bankers in training who quietly accept future-dated jobs with buyout firms. In the past, such recruiting tactics often took place after newbie investment bankers got some experience under their belts. Related storiesLast year's private-equity recruiting cycle kicked off while many bankers were still in training for their first full-time jobs after college. In August, JPMorgan issued a warning to incoming investment bankers about the risks of accepting hush-hush jobs with private-equity firms, including potential termination. AdvertisementIn the August letter, JPMorgan warned that future-dated jobs with a private-equity firm could present conflicts of interest for the bank.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, Dimon, hadn't Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Georgetown University, Street's, Business, Georgetown
A Chinese flag in Pudong's Lujiazui Financial District in Shanghai, China, on Sept. 18, 2023. Asia-Pacific markets opened lower Monday as investors assessed monetary policy decisions from Japan and China on Friday after U.S. Federal Reserve's sharp rate cut sent markets higher last week. Despite growing calls for lower interest rates, the People's Bank of China unexpectedly left its key benchmark rate on hold on Friday. The Reserve Bank of Australia starts its two-day policy meeting on Monday, where central bankers will decide on the country's monetary policy path on Tuesday. Overall year-on-year CPI is expected to have cooled to 2.15%, compared to 2.40% the previous month
Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, People's Bank of China, Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: Lujiazui, Shanghai, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Federal, Singapore
Without the promise of profits, American firms are also becoming less willing to go to bat for China — to reinforce the idea that China's market is crucial to the success of their futures. No demandAfter pandemic lockdowns ended in 2023, the Chinese economy experienced what is known on Wall Street as a "dead cat bounce." What money Chinese consumers are still able to spend is increasingly going to companies that grew up in their home country. Related storiesWhat money Chinese consumers are still able to spend is increasingly going to companies that grew up in their home country. It gives corporations, already under financial pressure as China's economy declines, even less reason to act as interlocutors encouraging stability between Washington and Beijing.
Persons: Washington —, Xi Jinping, Lee Miller, lockdowns, They're, Xi, Yi Gang, Michael Pettis, Tesla, Elon Musk, it's, Ball, Jamie Dimon, It's, China's, Goldman Sachs, Ray Dalio, seeping, Miller, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, , Trump, Biden, we're, Cordell Hull Organizations: Apple, Nike, Chinese Communist Party, People's Bank of, Carnegie Endowment, China Business Council, Starbucks, Street, Bridgewater Associates, Beijing, East Asia State Department, CCP, Trump, State Department, Republicans, Financial, Broadcom, Nvidia, Biden Administration Locations: China, America, Beijing, Washington, American, South China, Taiwan, People's Bank of China, Shanghai
Khurana thinks what has made boomers the wealthiest generation — stocks and housing — also makes them a risk to economic stability. AdvertisementSuch a scenario is an '"underappreciated risk," he said, given how much boomers' spending habits have fueled economic growth in recent years. The demographic spends around $548 billion a year, more than any other generation, according to a report from marketing research firm Epsilon. AdvertisementBroken down by each generation's holdings of property and stocks, boomers accounted for 42% of all real estate ownership and 54% of all corporate equity and mutual fund ownership. That's not to say boomers will cause the next recession, but the risk during a recession is dialed up under the current paradigm, Khurana said.
Persons: , America's, Brij, Khurana, boomers, they've, John Hussman, That's Organizations: Service, Wellington Management, Business, McKinsey & Company, New York Fed, Epsilon, New, Boomers, Federal Reserve, Governors Boomers, Governors Locations: New, New York, Florida and Texas
Mortgage rates for September 21, 2024, are around 5.70%, according to Zillow data. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates have increased slightly and are hovering around 5.70%, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed is expected to cut rates soon, mortgage rates have trended down.
Persons: Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Labor Department, Zillow, Fed, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: Chevron, Government
The nation loaded at least 17 cargoes of oil and oil products onto ships sanctioned by the West. Another 20 sanctioned ships are still idling by Russia's coasts and ports, the outlet said. A dozen sanctioned ships were known to load Russian crude and crude products in August and September, up from just one sanctioned ship recorded in April, the outlet reported. Another 20 sanctioned tankers are known to be idling near Russia's coasts or anchored at Russian ports, the report added. Falling crude prices also appear to be hitting Russia's oil trade.
Persons: , Putin Organizations: Bloomberg, West, Service Locations: Russia, Moscow, Belgorod, China
Small-cap stocks are poised for a significant rally, Goldman Sachs' Greg Tuorto said. The portfolio manager pointed to lower interest rates and a promising economic backdrop for small-caps. The presidential election could also be a positive catalyst, leading to a catch-up rally, he said. That's according to Greg Tuorto, a portfolio manager at Goldman Sachs Asset Management who says he sees a big "catch-up" rally coming for small-cap stocks. AdvertisementThe Russell 2000 surged 2% after the Fed cut interest rates on Wednesday, with the small-cap index up 12% year-to-date.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Greg Tuorto, , Tuorto, it's, Fundstrat's Tom Lee Organizations: Service, Goldman Sachs, Management, CNBC, Atlanta Fed
Now that the Fed has cut rates, mortgage rates may not drop much further in the near term. But if the Fed doesn't lower rates as much as expected this year, mortgage rates may hold steady or even inch up. But rates are still expected to come down further, so it may also be worth waiting to see how low mortgage rates go. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.
Persons: Lawrence Yun, you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Wednesday, National Association of Realtors, Consumers, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Fed, Mortgage, Association Locations: Chevron
Stocks surged to open Thursday trading in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s announcement that it was lowering interest rates by half a percentage point. The Fed’s cut was widely expected, but came in larger than many analysts were forecasting. “The continued decline in mortgage rates is giving the mortgage market a much-needed boost,” Bob Broeksmit, the president and CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association, said in a statement. At the same time, a growing set of indicators suggest economic growth may have begun heading in the wrong direction. “The Fed has signaled a high sensitivity to labor-market weakness,” Nomura Holdings financial group said in a note to clients Thursday.
Persons: Stocks, Jay Powell, ” Powell, It’s, , Bob Broeksmit, , Powell Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Fed, Mortgage Bankers Association, ” Nomura Holdings, Wall Street, Bank of America Locations: U.S
New York CNN —Stocks jumped Thursday morning as investors cheered the Federal Reserve’s eye-popping half-point interest rate cut. Tech stocks surged: Nvidia shares popped 4.8%, Tesla shares gained 5.4%, Meta Platforms shares rose 3.5% and Apple shares climbed 3.5%. The Fed on Wednesday cut rates by half a point, marking its first rate cut since the onset of the Covid pandemic and bringing rates down from a 23-year high. A large rate cut can be a double-edged sword for the economy. The Fed faced pressure to cut rates in July but held steady instead.
Persons: New York CNN — Stocks, Tesla, Jerome Powell, , Ronald Temple, Powell Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Apple, Fed, Lazard Locations: New York, August’s
Read previewLast week, JPMorgan Chase announced that it would be seeking to limit junior bankers' work hours to 80 per week to tackle concerns over unhealthy working conditions. "So a lot of investment bankers — they've been traveling all week. Jamie Dimon on Tuesday addressed Ryland McClendon's new job ScreenshotThe investment banker's daughterMcClendon grew up near Atlanta, Georgia with her parents and three siblings. AdvertisementIn a 2023 episode of JPMorgan's "Women on the Move" podcast, McClendon said her career path has been heavily influenced by her parents. AdvertisementIn the 2023 podcast, McClendon said she likes to use storytelling as a tool to educate because it can be more effective than numbers alone.
Persons: , Ryland McClendon, Leo Lukenas, Lukenas, McClendon, Michael Nagle, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, aren't, — they've, It's, Ryland McClendon's, Raymond J, Pryor, Ryland, Marion Barry, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, we've, what's Organizations: Service, JPMorgan Chase, CNBC, JPMorgan, Business, of America, Getty, Bank of America, Georgetown University, Hartsfield, Jackson Atlanta International Airport, Washington D.C, Duke, econ, Wall Locations: Atlanta , Georgia, Atlanta, Washington, Florida
JPMorgan has created a new role to oversee the well-being of junior bankers and analysts. JPMorgan capped junior bankers' hours at 80 a week earlier this month. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementJPMorgan Chase has created a new global role to oversee junior bankers and analysts and prevent overwork.
Persons: Wall, , JPMorgan Chase, Ryland McClendon, McClendon Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Reuters, Business
The Fed looks like it's following the same path it did in 1995, according to TS Lombard. It's also great news for stocks, as the S&P 500 more than doubled in value that decade. AdvertisementThe Fed is following a 30-year-old playbook with its interest rate moves — and that's good news for the US economy, according to TS Lombard. Stocks soared a day after the big rate cut. Despite wobbling in the hours after the Fed's rate move, the major indexes hit fresh records in Thursday trades.
Persons: It's, , Dario Perkins, Perkins, Stocks Organizations: TS Lombard, Service, Fed, American Institute for Economic Research, Cleveland Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAmerican Bankers Association opposes Trump's credit card interest rate cap proposalCNBC's Eamon Javers reports on news from former President Donald Trump.
Persons: Eamon Javers, Donald Trump Organizations: American, Association
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