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☆ Here are our top 3 and bottom 3 stocks during a divergent second quarter
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-30 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The Nasdaq was the big winner of the second quarter, adding 8.26% over the past three months thanks to an artificial intelligence-powered tech rally. Best Performers NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia YTD Nvidia continued to be the top-performing stock in the portfolio for the second quarter in a row, gaining 36.73%. AAPL YTD mountain Apple YTD The second big winner was Apple , which rose 22.82% in Q2. Worst Performers EL YTD mountain Estee Lauder YTD Estee Lauder was the worst name of the second quarter for the Club portfolio, losing 30.98%. DIS YTD mountain Disney YTD The second worst performer was Disney , which dropped 18.85% in April through June.

Persons: Dow, Blackwell, Jensen Huang, Lauder YTD Estee Lauder, Disney, Nelson Peltz, Disney's, Decker, Stanley Black, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Eduardo MunozAlvarez Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CNBC, Club, Nvidia, Management, Apple, Apple Intelligence, iPhone, Broadcom, Investors, Asia Travel, DIS, Disney, Federal, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Corbis, Getty Locations: U.S, China, Asia, India, Square

☆ These parts of the stock market are already priced for recession, Northwestern CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-30 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

"The world has been talking about a recession for the better part of two years, and people have been investing that way," Schutte said. Schutte said that the price-to-cash flow ratio for the S & P Small Cap 600 index already looks like it typically does at the end of recessions. The S & P 500 is up 14.5% year to date, while the Russell 2000 small cap index is higher by just 1%. The S & P 600 Small Cap index is actually down by almost 2% on the year. .RUT YTD mountain Small cap stocks are lagging behind their larger counterparts.

Persons: Brent Schutte, Schutte, Russell Organizations: Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, CNBC, Northwestern, University of Chicago Booth School, Businesss, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Microsoft Locations: U.S

☆ Jobs and beer: 3 labor reports and an earnings release are the big events next week
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The U.S. stock market will be closed Thursday for the Fourth of July holiday. Economic data The main event is Friday's June nonfarm payrolls report, which is among the most important monthly data releases for investors. The ADP report isn't as market moving as the nonfarm payrolls report, but expect investors to use to game the nonfarm payrolls report out later in the week. The June ISM Services report on Wednesday also will shed light on services in the U.S. economy. ET: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust is long STZ.

Persons: Dow, we're, Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Democrats —, Thursday's, —, we'll, nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Payrolls, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael Nagle Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Walgreens, Nike, Republicans, Democrats, Energy, Utilities, Constellation Brands, Labor, Corona, Cinco, Industrial, Markets, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S

☆ S&P 500 returns 15% in the first half in an unusually smooth ride
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

A 15% year-to-date total return in the S & P 500 is the 21 st best run through June since 1900, according to Goldman Sachs. The S & P 500 since the October 2023 correction low is up 33% for an annualized total return pace of 56%. The S & P has gone eight sessions without a move of as much as half a percent. True in magnitude: The market-cap-weighted S & P 500 has outgained its equal-weighted version by more than ten percentage points this year. Not only haven't up days been broadly inclusive, the direction of the S & P 500 has been running inverse to the daily breadth over the past month.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Sharpe, it's, we'd, I've, What's, Jeff deGraaf, Trump, We've, Poor's, what's Organizations: Nvidia, Walgreens, Nike, Apple, Technology, Communication Services Locations: hiccups

☆ Gautam Adani wants to transform India’s biggest slum
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( Jessie Yeung | Noemi Cassanelli | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +18 min

Noemi Cassanelli/CNNA man works at Shaikh’s workshop in Dharavi slum on April 14. “All slum redevelopment is quite fraught,” Kamath said. Noemi Cassanelli/CNNWomen chatting in Dharavi on April 14 Noemi Cassanelli/CNNA woman carrying fabric walks along a narrow alley in Dharavi on April 14. He is India’s largest airport operator and owns India’s biggest private port operator and private thermal power operator. The state and Adani deny any wrongdoing, but that hasn’t stopped many residents from viewing Adani and his government ties with suspicion.

Persons: Noemi Cassanelli, Masoom Ali Shaikh, ”, “, Gautam Adani, Jeff Bezos, ” Adani, ” Shaikh, ” Lofty, Dharavi, they’re, Lalitha Kamath, ” Kamath, aren’t, Dilip Gabekar, Narendra Modi, Adani, ’, Gabekar, Shaikh, They’re, Baburao Mane, Mane, CNN Neeta Jadhav, Neeta Jadhav, Jadhav, Dhanshuk Purshottamwala, He’s, Kamath, Prasant, hasn’t, Modi, ferociously, Reshma Prasant Organizations: CNN, India CNN, Adani, Tata Institute of Social Sciences, Reuters, Adani Enterprises, Bharatiya Janata Party, Private, Manohar Joshi, NDTV Locations: Mumbai, India, CNN Mumbai, Dharavi, Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, “, Adani, Maharashtra, It’s, India’s

☆ An inside look at the workings of the 4-part arbitrage and momentum quant strategy driving an award-winning fund that's beaten 99% of its peers
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

For the ATRFX fund, this means betting on currencies, equities, commodities, and bonds, but not in a direct way. Instead, it employs everything from arbitrage strategies, riding out momentum and interest rates, or sitting on the sidelines when it's choppy. Over the last couple of years, higher interest rates have brought in some good yields. Related storiesOne step further is to arbitrage interest rates across currencies. Investors can do this by identifying national currencies with low interest rates, borrowing in that currency, and then lending in the currencies with higher interest rates.

Persons: David Miller, ATRFX, Miller, It's, that's, Yen, it's Organizations: Service, Systematic Alpha Fund, Business, Catalyst Capital Advisors, BNP Paribas, BNP, Commodities Commodities, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve

☆ A notorious market bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes shares 3 charts revealing striking similarities between today's market and the most extreme bubbles — and warns of 50-70% downside for the
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

"In contrast, current valuation extremes imply potential downside risk for the S&P 500 on the order of 50-70% over the completion of this cycle." JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic expects the S&P 500 to fall to 4,200, while more extreme forecasts include Jeremy Grantham's estimate in the low 3,000s. And as the stock market ground mostly higher, he persisted with his doomsday calls. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 26% over the past year.

Persons: —, Jonathan Golub, Count John Hussman, Hussman, Hussman's, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Jeremy Grantham's Organizations: Service, UBS, Business, Hussman Investment Trust, New York Stock Exchange, Investor Intelligence

☆ Meet the boomers cashing in on the golden age of retirement
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

AdvertisementAs the way we save for retirement has evolved, some people are now cashing in on the golden age for retirement savings — when benefits were more generous and investments in real estate and stocks boomed. While it's still possible to achieve, a fat retirement account has become rarer. AdvertisementBack in 2007, per GAO's calculations of the Survey of Consumer Finances, around 21% of low-income households had a retirement account balance. While losses weren't as profound for those in the middle-income quintile, their retirement account balances did fall slightly from 2007 to 2019. All of that comes as retirement savings become more of an individual onus.

Persons: —, Michael, Connie, didn't, frugality, it's, would've, David John, that's, John, Valerie, who's, Valerie —, hinging, she's Organizations: Service, Navy, Business, Social Security, Survey, Consumer Finances, GAO, AARP, Security, BI Locations: Florida, Denver, Oregon, Seattle

☆ Jim Cramer explains how the market's tone could change if Trump becomes president
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

In the wake of a contentious debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump on Thursday night, CNBC's Jim Cramer described how the vibe of the market could change if Trump returned to the White House. Cramer noted that Trump is broadly amiable to gas and oil, pointing to companies like New Fortress Energy and Cheniere . Cramer said as long as he's known Trump, the GOP candidate has had a keen interest in the market. "He loved bantering about the stock market, appeared on this show many times, because even though he was in real estate, he enjoyed stocks," Cramer said. Former President Trump's campaign did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Trump, Cramer, bode, Trump's Organizations: Kroger, Albertsons, Capri, New Fortress Energy, Republican, Nike, Starbucks, GOP Locations: China

☆ Analysts love these cheap dividend-paying stocks heading into the second half
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The stock market has had a hot first half, with the S & P 500 up roughly 15%, but there are still opportunities for investors to find cheap names with solid dividends. They also have upside to the average analyst price target of 10% or more, according to FactSet. The S & P 500 energy sector has also done well this year, up more than 9% so far. SLB has a whopping 41.5% upside to the average price target, while ConocoPhillips has more than 27% upside to the average price target. About 68% of analysts covering the stock rate it a buy or overweight, and it has nearly 22% upside to the average price target.

Persons: Sempra, Baker Hughes, SLB Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro, Hotels, Resorts, BMO, Utilities, ConocoPhillips, Analysts, Oil, Hasbro, Bank of America Locations: SLB

☆ France's election has the ability to rock wider European stocks, Citi strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

France's parliamentary election has already rattled investors as the country's risk premium rises — but two possible scenarios have still not been priced in by markets and could impact stocks in the wider European region, according to Citi. "However, the market is not priced in for far-right or far-left majority," Manthey said. "The outcome is still quite unclear, we only have polling for the first round of the election. "Let's put the announcement of the election in the context of the positioning of the investors. If the French election outcome "is very market unfriendly ... markets in Europe are quite correlated.

Persons: Beata Manthey, CNBC's, Manthey, Emmanuel Macron's, Let's, we've Organizations: Citi, CAC Locations: Sunday's, Europe, U.S

☆ Jim Cramer says these stocks and sectors could benefit if Trump is elected president again
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Matthew J. Belvedere | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer said Friday there are stocks and sectors that would benefit if Donald Trump were to become president again. If you think Trump will win the White House, Cramer said, "That means you can go buy the banks. That means you can go buy the natural gas and energy stocks," as well as Big Tech. Cramer also said Tesla might fare better under Trump and Biden because Trump is not pro-union. China Trump has said he would be even tougher on China if he were re-elected.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Cramer, —, Joe Biden, Biden's, Biden, he's, Rather, Trump, Banks, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Nextracker, China Trump Organizations: Trump, Investing Club, Top, CNBC, White, Big Tech, Biden, Kroger, Albertsons, Capri, Disney, Club, House . Energy, New, Energy, Ford, The, Nike, Starbucks Locations: China

☆ Here’s what typically happens to the stock market next after such a strong first half
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Even better: The fact that the S & P 500 has performed so well this year makes the outlook sweeter. In years with the S & P 500 climbing more than 10% in the first six months, it jumped 7.9% in the typical second half. Presidential election years also typically bring returns in the second half of the year, according to Stovall's data. For the entire second half, the S & P 500 has climbed 3.5% on average. Some investors are wondering how much farther the S & P 500 can run up after notching all-time highs this year.

Persons: CFRA Research's Sam Stovall Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC

☆ Stock market today: Indexes cap stellar first half of 2024 with losses even after encouraging inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US indexes ended the day lower, despite market excitement over the latest PCE data. The stock market closed 2024's first half strongly, with the S&P 500 up nearly 15%. "The soft inflation data will build the case that the Fed can start cutting rates in the coming months," LPL Financial chief economist Jeffrey Roach said. Currently, futures markets are pricing in the odds of twoThe soft inflation reading was not enough to keep the indexes in the green through Friday, but the stock market still strongly closed out the first half of 2024. Could these be harbingers of weakness to come, or will they take over as market leaders in the second half?"

Persons: —, Jeffrey Roach, that's, David Morrison, Dow, Russell Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Financial, Here's

☆ Markets unfazed as Donald Trump has much better debate night than Joe Biden
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

London CNN —President Joe Biden had a shaky performance in last night’s presidential debate, triggering panic in the Democrat camp. Former President Donald Trump, meanwhile, repeated multiple falsehoods while doubling down on his record of cutting taxes and hiking tariffs during his first presidential term. If repeated in a second Trump term, many economists fear that kind of agenda could stoke inflation at a critical moment and add to America’s rapidly growing debt mountain. That could pull the typical year-end election relief rally forward, said Ed Clissold, chief US strategist at Ned Davis Research. The US dollar has also been reactive — it edged higher as initial CNN polling found that Trump was viewed as the winner of the debate.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, shrugged, ”, Keith Lerner, Barack Obama, Trump, Lerner, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Antonio Ernesto Di Giacomo, “, Goldman Sachs ’ Scott Rubner, Jonas Goltermann, Emmanuel Macron, Katie Nixon, France’s, CDK, Ramishah Maruf, Eva Rothenberg, aren’t, they’ve, Scott Campbell, CNN they’ve, Jordan Valinsky, Tim Wentworth Organizations: London CNN, Democrat, Trump, “, Biden, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Investors, Capital Economics, CNN, Renaissance, Northern Trust Wealth Management, CAC, CDK, Auto, Capital City Buick GMC, Bloomberg, Walgreens Locations: France, “, North America, United States, Canada, Berlin , Vermont, Eastern Europe, America

☆ Wall Street Seems Calm. A Closer Look Shows Something Else.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Joe Rennison | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

In the stock market, all is not quite as it seems. A slowdown in inflation has boosted investor confidence in the economy this year and, combined with an intense fervor for artificial intelligence, provided the backdrop to a rally that has beaten all expectations. The S&P 500 has climbed 15 percent in the first half of 2024.

☆ Jim Cramer talks the impact of another Trump presidency on the stock market
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJim Cramer talks the impact of another Trump presidency on the stock market'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer talks how different sectors of the market will respond to a Trump presidency.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Trump Organizations: Trump

☆ Why Jim Cramer wants to buy more Disney — plus Wall Street praises our newest stock
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Disney on radar: Shares of Club name Disney dropped 3% on Friday, breaching the $100 level that Jim Cramer has in recent weeks identified as a favorable price to buy more stock. Solar praise: Analysts at Susquehanna offered upbeat commentary Friday on our newest stock: Nextracker , which joined the portfolio a day earlier . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Disney Cruise Line's Disney Dream is seen docked in Port Canaveral, Florida, on July 30, 2021.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, Jim, Jim's, Donald Trump's, Trump, Cramer, Jerome Powell, he's, Powell, Joe Biden, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Joe Burbank, Mark Gauert Organizations: CNBC, ., Federal, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nike, Dow, Nvidia, Apple, Broadcom, Disney, House, Trump, Susquehanna, Microsoft, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Disney Cruise, Orlando Sentinel, Tribune, Service, Getty, Sun Sentinel Locations: U.S, Nextracker, Wells Fargo, Port Canaveral , Florida

Former President Donald Trump is the clear favorite when it comes to the stock market, according to the latest results of CNBC's Delivering Alpha Stock Survey. Of the 400 investors, traders and money managers polled, 67% said Trump would be better for stocks than President Joe Biden. The S&P 500 rose 68% during Trump's four years in office versus the 44% gain so far under Biden's administration. Seventy-seven percent of the survey respondents said they trusted the central bank to do right by the American economy, but 23% said they didn't trust the Fed. The 400 money managers who took the survey were evenly split on where they stand on the direction of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, there'll, we're Organizations: Alpha Stock Survey, Nasdaq, Biden, Federal Reserve

☆ Key Fed measure shows inflation rose 2.6% in May from a year ago, as expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

May marked the lowest annual rate since March 2021, which was the first time in this economic cycle that inflation topped the Federal Reserve's 2% target. An important economic measure for the Federal Reserve showed Friday that inflation during May slowed to its lowest annual rate in more than three years. Including food and energy, headline inflation was flat on the month and also up 2.6% on an annual basis. Outside of the inflation numbers, the Bureau of Economic Analysis report showed that personal income rose 0.5% on the month, stronger than the 0.4% estimate. Shelter-related costs have proven stickier than Fed officials have anticipated and have helped keep the central bank from reducing interest rates as expected this year.

Persons: Dow Jones, Seema Shah Organizations: Dow, Commerce Department, Federal, Asset Management, Gross, Atlanta Fed Locations: PCE

☆ Stock market today: Indexes rise as traders cheer cooler PCE inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose Friday as traders took in new inflation data from the Fed's preferred price gauge. PCE inflation cooled to 2.6% last month, the lowest pace of price growth in three years. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Friday as traders took in fresh inflation data, which showed price pressures continuing to cool off in May. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Friday:AdvertisementIn commodities, bonds, and crypto:

Persons: —, Seema Shah Organizations: Service, Treasury, Federal, Asset Management, Nasdaq, Nvidia Locations: PCE, Here's

☆ How is Amazon hurting Walgreens' business? Jim Cramer explains
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

After Walgreens reported a disappointing quarter on Thursday, CNBC's Jim Cramer told investors why he thinks Amazon is making it hard for the drugstore giant to succeed. "The stock market can be a brutal, brutal, brutal task master. Cramer said Walgreens is more expensive than Amazon and less convenient, adding that there are not enough employees at its stores. He conceded that Walgreens' back-of-store pharmacy business may currently have a slight edge on Amazon. "But they do set out to get the best products with the best values at the most convenient places — the most convenient places meaning your home."

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Tim Wentworth, Walgreens, Cramer Organizations: Walgreens, Amazon

☆ Chart analysts say 'something is not right' with stock market, grow increasingly worried
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have rallied during the second quarter and are currently within 1% of their record highs. "It's great to see S & P and Nasdaq make new highs, but clearly something is not right if key barometers for risk are rolling over," Ginsberg wrote. There doesn't even seem to be a consensus among the biggest names in the stock market. These latest signs of weakness are part of the long-standing worry about the lack of market breadth . RSP YTD mountain The equal-weight S & P 500 is headed for a losing second quarter.

Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Russell, Ginsberg, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Wolfe Research, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Big Tech, RSP, Bears

☆ Where Biden and Trump stand on major issues like the economy, Ukraine, and immigration
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Grace Eliza Goodwin | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

In his three and a half years already in office, Biden has done pretty well on the core metrics of a healthy economy. Biden vs Trump on immigrationBiden and Trump are sharply divided on immigration, as are Americans. Advertisement"Peace looks like making sure Russia never, never, never, never occupies Ukraine," Biden told TIME in a May interview. Biden vs Trump on Israel-GazaBiden has consistently defended Israel since the country invaded Gaza last year following Hamas' October 7 attack. Biden vs Trump on housingWhile in office, Biden has pushed a number of policy changes on housing, including the " Housing Supply Action" plan.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, he's, He's, Roe, Wade, Vladimir Putin, Read, Gaza Biden, Israel, hasn't Organizations: Service, ABC, Business, Biden, Trump, Dow, Keystone XL, Immigration, Republicans, Union, Department of Housing, Urban Locations: Ukraine, Gaza, Unemployment, Paris, Mexico, Florida, Russia, Israel

☆ Here are the portfolio's top 5 performing stocks since May's Monthly Meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The stock market had another great run since the Club's May Monthly Meeting. Here's our top-five performing portfolio names since the May 30 close through Wednesday's close, the eve of our June Monthly Meeting. AVGO YTD mountain Broadcom (AVGO) year-to-date performance Broadcom took the top spot since the May Monthly Meeting, jumping 16.7% in that timeframe. And on Wednesday, the stock mounted a late-day comeback to close up 0.25% on the day of its annual shareholder meeting. Even with their recent comeback, Salesforce shares are down more than 10% from their close May 29.

Persons: —, We're, It's, Salesforce, Snowflake —, we've, Davidson, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Club, Nvidia, Broadcom, dethroning Club, Microsoft, Tuesday's, Apple Intelligence, Apple, Rosenblatt Securities, Networks, Palo Alto, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Wednesday's, China, Palo, New York City

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