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☆ S&P 500 rallies to key 4,600 level and nears all-time high. What chartists say happens next
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Investors are watching the S & P 500 after it rallied back toward the key 4,600 level to see if it can break out to new all-time highs. A record high in the S & P 500 looks promising after the broader index on Friday closed at 4,594.63, or its best level since March 2022. In July, the last time the S & P 500 tested the threshold, the rally was led by mega-cap tech stocks. On Monday, the market rally took a breather; the S & P 500 ended the session lower by 0.5%, and it stood about 5% below its record. In fact, one market technician on Monday said the S & P 500 could plunge back to its bear market lows in 2024.

Persons: Stocks, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, you've, JPMorgan's, Jason Hunter, Hunter, CNBC's, Adam Turnquist, he's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Lululemon, O'Hara, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Chris Hayes Organizations: Broadcom Locations: oversold

☆ Royal Caribbean Cruises is the best stock to own in the sector, says Oppenheimer's Ari Wald
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRoyal Caribbean Cruises is the best stock to own in the sector, says Oppenheimer's Ari WaldAri Wald, Oppenheimer, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the technical support for stocks that have doubled this year but still fall below target price.

Persons: Oppenheimer's Ari Wald Ari Wald, Oppenheimer Organizations: Royal Caribbean Cruises

☆ 'It's beginning to look a lot like VIX-mas.' What Wall Street's fear gauge is saying right now
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"It's beginning to look a lot like 'VIX-mas,'" Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, wrote in a note Sunday. Wells Fargo's Chris Harvey on Monday wrote that a low VIX is historically a bad sign for markets entering a new year. .VIX 5Y mountain CBOE Market Volatility Index, 5 years "We think 2024 will be a 'trader's market,' not a buy-and-hold situation," Harvey wrote. "But we ultimately think, you know, beyond that, it's poised to go lower just given the low volatility cycle that's been in place." The question is whether we are entering a new period of low volatility as the norm starting in 2024.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, BTIG's Krinsky, Wells Fargo's Chris Harvey, Harvey, SPX, Will Tamplin, Tamplin, it's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, " Wald, Krinsky Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia Locations: U.S

☆ This quirky ETF could be sign tech rally is broadening beyond 'Magnificent 7', Oppenheimer says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A recent uptick for a broad-based tech ETF could signal that the market is ready for a rally in software stocks, regardless of size, according to Oppenheimer. Given Oppenheimer's coverage in the former, we think it's important to flag that the equal-weighted S & P Software & Services SPDR (XSW) reclaimed its Q2 breakout above its year-long bottoming pattern. A big rally for the XSW would be a change of pace from the strength of the so-called "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks that have dominated the market in 2023. And the fund's holdings mean that investors won't be adding even more exposure to all of the Magnificent Seven. Though the fund is broad, it does not include all categories of what many investors consider to be tech stocks.

Persons: Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, We're, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: P Software & Services, P Software, Services, Apple, Nvidia, Meta Locations: Technology

☆ Amid the gloom here and abroad, the U.S. stock market is holding up just fine
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

I dislike getting involved in debates on the stock market when I am enjoying an old-fashion rum punch at a beach bar in the Caribbean, but I couldn't resist interjecting. "We'll see how the coming slowdown plays out," he said, and turned back to his discussion. The coming slowdown? More may be coming: the last week of November tends to be the strongest week of the month, Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, has noted. As for earnings, which are the lifeblood for the stock market, forward earnings estimates for the next 12 months stand at record highs.

Persons: I's, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Fundstrat's Thomas Lee, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Webush's Dan Ives, BMO's Brian Belski, Bespoke's Paul Hickey Organizations: EU, Hamas, Forbes, Bloomberg, Carson Group, LSE Locations: Caribbean, Antigua, British Commonwealth, London, England, American, China, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, U.S

☆ Earnings Exchange: Medtronic, Agilent Technologies & Trip.com
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings Exchange: Medtronic, Agilent Technologies & Trip.comAri Wald, managing director and head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss Medtronic, Agilent Technologies, and Trip.com.

Persons: Ari Wald, Oppenheimer Organizations: Agilent Technologies

☆ White House knocks Ron DeSantis over “so-called Islamophobia” remark at GOP debate
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Alex-Seitz-Wald-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Alex Seitz-Wald | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

As President Joe Biden seeks to reassure Muslim American voters amid the Israel-Hamas war, the White House knocked Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis for downplaying what he called "so-called Islamophobia" at the GOP presidential debate Wednesday night. "President Biden believes we have an urgent duty to come together as Americans and stand against every form of hate. In the debate, DeSantis and some of the other Republican candidates said the government should focus on combatting anti-semitism, not Islamophobia. Late last month, the White House announced an effort to counter antisemitism on college campuses.

Persons: Joe Biden, Ron DeSantis, Andrew Bates, Biden, DeSantis, " Bates Organizations: Muslim, House, Florida Gov, NBC News, Republican, White House, Republicans Locations: Israel, Arab, Gaza

☆ Why oil is down since the Hamas-Israel conflict started and whether that can last
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

A risk premium should be present somewhere in oil prices, Papic wrote. "If the Hamas attack leads to a regional conflict in the world's most important oil producing geography, then oil prices should catch a bid… any bid. Beijing's crude oil imports rose in October, but the country's overall exports fell more than expected, indicating the global economy may be slowing. The biggest risk for oil prices is a decline in Iranian oil exports by 300,000 to 500,000 barrels per day, the bank cautioned. The U.S. House of Representatives last week passed a bill to harden sanctions on Tehran's crude exports in an overwhelming bipartisan vote following the Hamas' attacks.

Persons: Netanyahu, Marko Papic, Papic, Oil's, Ellen Wald, Wald, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Giovanni Staunovo, Staunovo, Joe Biden, Mike Rothman, Rothman Organizations: Brent, West Texas, Clocktower, U.S . Energy, UBS, OPEC, U.S . House, Iran's, Bank, World Bank, Gulf Cooperation Council, GCC, Washington, Cornerstone Analytics, JPMorgan Locations: Israel, @CL, Gaza, Yemen, Lebanon, Iran, Syria, China, U.S, Europe, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Strait, Hormuz, Ukraine, Riyadh, India, Japan, South Korea, Republic, Staunovo, Tehran, Gulf States

Tuesday’s legislative elections in Virginia will provide key tests for both parties’ messaging ahead of 2024, as well as the state’s GOP governor. “I think they’re the most important elections in America because these issues that are so important to Virginians are also the ones that are going to be so important to Americans next year,” Virginia GOP Gov. The battles for the state House of Delegates, which Republicans control, and the state Senate, which Democrats control, could come down to a handful of districts. And they’ll test Youngkin’s own political power as he’s brushed off questions about his presidential ambitions. Ambassador Nikki Haley’s paid private speeches, noting that she did not keep records of what she said to the groups.

Persons: “, Glenn Youngkin, ABC’s, NBC’s Gary Grumbach, Katherine Koretski, Sen, Siobhan Dunnavant, Democrat Schuyler Van, Youngkin, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, NBC’s Gabe Gutierrez, Julia Jester, Megan Lebowitz, ’, Biden, Alex Seitz, Wald, Ron DeSantis, ”, NBC’s Matt Dixon, Jonathan Allen, Ali Vitali, Nikki Haley’s, Peter Nicholas, Carol E, Lee, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott’s, Robert F, Kennedy, Jr, Brandy Zadrozny, He’s, Peter Meijer, who’s, Brandon Presley, Tate Reeves Organizations: GOP, Virginians, ”, ” Virginia GOP Gov, Delegates, District, Democrat, NBC News, Democratic, Biden, Israel, Hamas, Democrats, Republican National Committee, New York Times, Florida Republican Party, Florida GOP Gov, Florida GOP, South, Public Service, GOP Gov Locations: Virginia, America, ” Virginia, Democrat Schuyler Van Valkenburg, Youngkin, Michigan, Florida, South Carolina, Black, Michigan’s, Mississippi

☆ The Dow is nearing the dreaded 'death cross.' What investors should know
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

If the two cross over, it would form the dreaded "death cross," which can indicate that momentum is weakening or sentiment is souring — and more downside could be on the horizon. It would be the first death cross for the average since late 2022. 'Something bad could happen' The threat of a death cross also underscores challenges specific to the Dow this year. Oppenheimer managing director Ari Wald advised investors to stay away from indexes near or at the death cross like the Dow or the Russell 2000 . Ultimately, technical analysts argue the death cross is both an important yet flawed measure.

Persons: Todd Walsh, Jeff deGraaf, That's, deGraaf, John Kolovos, Dow, Kolovos, Alpha Cubed's Walsh, Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, Russell Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Alpha Cubed Investments, Macro, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve

☆ Bitcoin just formed a bullish ‘golden cross’ signal. What it means after the cryptocurrency's recent rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The bitcoin price chart just flashed a bullish signal that typically heralds a big rally is on the horizon. On Monday, the cryptocurrency formed a "golden cross," a pattern that's drawn when the 50-day moving average crosses through, and above, an ascending 200-day moving average. "Every big price move starts with a positive cross, but not every positive cross leads to a big move," he told CNBC. However, the last "golden cross" with an ascending 200-day moving average took place Feb. 11, according to Coin Metrics. The slope of the 200-day moving average should continue to point higher as long as the breakout above the second-quarter peaks hold, Wald said.

Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, Jerome Powell's, bitcoin, Wald, —, Nick Wells Organizations: Traders, Wolfe Research, CNBC, Metrics, Investors

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets’ bounce may be short-lived
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. But Goldman Sachs' chief equity strategist thinks such negative sentiment gives rise to a "buying opportunity," especially for a certain type of stock that boasts a healthy balance sheet . But not for Tesla Tesla shares sank nearly 5% after Panasonic said it was reducing production of electric batteries because of flagging demand for Tesla's vehicles. The spread in opinions may make the picture ahead murky, but, ironically, it does make one thing clear: markets are increasingly volatile.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Tesla, Elon Musk, Europe's, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, Hogan, Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, Wald, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson —, — Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Consumers, U.S, Panasonic, Dow, Industrial, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Technology, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Riley, Federal Reserve, Lower Treasury Locations: New York City, Lower

☆ Technical Support: MPC, APTV & CME
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTechnical Support: MPC, APTV & CMEAri Wald, Oppenheimer, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the technical support for Marathon, Aptiv and CME Group.

Persons: Ari Wald, Oppenheimer Organizations: APTV, Marathon, Aptiv, CME Group

☆ What’s next for the S&P 500 after the key break of 4,200, according to chart analysts
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 closed at its lowest level in five months on Wednesday, a move that could signal further weakness lies ahead. Instead, he would see it as a renewal of the bear market. The S & P 500 also closed back below its 200-day moving average on Wednesday. His question now is if the market once again goes into a true bear market. A true move below could also push him to pull back his year-end forecast for the S & P 500, which is currently at 4,600 points.

Persons: John Kolovos, he's, Kolovos, Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, Seasonality, Wald, Will Organizations: Advisors Locations: U.S, Israel

☆ Bitcoin just broke above a key resistance level. Here's what chart analysts say happens next
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

At last, bitcoin has broken out of a tight trading range, potentially heralding greater highs from here. Investors should expect higher lows and higher highs in the bitcoin price over the next few months, chart analysts say. Wald said he's eyeing the 200-day moving average of $28,000 as a potential new support level while bitcoin runs into key retracement levels of its 2021-22 decline. Many chart analysts considered the previous support level to be about $25,000. For Julius de Kempenaer, senior technical analyst at StockCharts.com, bitcoin's former resistance level of roughly $31,000 could now become support, with the next resistance level ranging as high as $47,000 to $48,000.

Persons: bitcoin, Bitcoin, Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, it's, " Wald, he's, Jonathan Krinsky, Julius de Kempenaer, de Kempenaer, Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC

☆ The analysts who study price charts for a living don’t like this stock market
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The stock market is showing signs of shaking off its late summer slump, paving the way for a potential year-end rally. The S & P 500 is up more than 3% since Oct. 3 and has risen comfortably above its 200-day moving average near 4,200. And other indexes that try to better represent the entire market than the S & P 500 are showing weakness, according to a Monday note from Strategas strategist Chris Verrone. "These have been very messy charts, but both the equal-weight S & P and the Russell 2000 are again back to negative standing in our proprietary trend model," Verrone said. "The S & P 500 continues to track its seasonal tendency as well.

Persons: JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Jonathan Krinsky, Chris Verrone, Russell, Verrone, Verrone's, Jason Trennert, Frank Gretz, Wellington Shields, Gretz, Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, " Wald, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wall, Nasdaq, Wellington, CNBC Locations: U.S, uptrends

☆ The technical trade: Coterra Energy, CME Group, & Zscaler
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe technical trade: Coterra Energy, CME Group, & ZscalerAri Wald, managing director and head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the technical support for Coterra Energy, CME Group, and Zscaler.

Persons: Zscaler Ari Wald, Oppenheimer Organizations: Coterra Energy, CME Group

☆ Craft beer, marriages and air travel: The collateral damage of a government shutdown
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Alex Seitz-Wald | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +14 min

Staff, meanwhile, have been forced to put their real jobs on hold to prepare for the looming shutdown. National parksThe National Park Service plans to close its parks and furlough park rangers if the government shuts down on Sunday. During the 2018-2019 shutdown, the parks themselves remained accessible, but without most services. Some presidential libraries would remain open as long as they have sufficient funds, but others would close and research services would be reduced. A shutdown would result in a "data blackout" of critical economic statistics that influence markets and businesses around the globe.

Persons: Donald Trump, that's, Biden, Joshua, Armando L, Sanchez, Pete Buttigieg, they're, White, Treasury Department furloughed, shutdowns Organizations: Yosemite, Fresno Bee, Tribune, Service, Getty, White House Council, Economic Advisers, Management, Staff, National Park Service, Park Service, Department of Interior, NBC, Congressional Research Service, National Zoo, U.S . Holocaust, Museum, National, Science, National Science Foundation, National Institutes of Health, Centers for Disease Control, Prevention, FBI Agents Association, FBI, Air, Transportation Security, LaGuardia, TSA, O'Hare International, State Department, Consular, Education Department, AmeriCorps, Agriculture Department, Assistance, Women, Small Business Administration, Federal Housing Administration, Social, Consumer, Food and Drug Administration, Consumer Product Safety, Environmental Protection Agency, Occupational Safety, Health Administration, Labor, —, Social Security, Medicare, Treasury Department, Foreign Assets Control, Russia Locations: El Capitan, Yosemite Valley, Washington, Civil, U.S, Europe, Southeast Asia, New Mexico, shutdowns, New York, Chicago, Russia, Iran, Ukraine

☆ The Mother of ‘Eclectic’ Interior Design
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-24 | by ( Jessica Testa | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

Although Ms. Wearstler has been recognized for her decorating style, it can be hard to define. The word “eclectic” is often applied to Ms. Wearstler’s work; “that one drives me crazy,” she said. The Proper hotel in Downtown Los Angeles — a neighborhood that has struggled as the city’s homelessness crisis has accelerated — is a place to eat Iberian-inspired food on Mexican-made furniture. In suites like that, about half of the décor is vintage and half is new, a combination that is essential to Ms. Wearstler. It’s how I design.”Heart and SoulMs. Wearstler uses the word “soul” often.

Persons: Wald, —, Kelly, ”, Wearstler, Gwen Stefani, Bergdorf Goodman, Wearstler’s, “ Organizations: Santa, Hollywood Locations: Texas, Santa Monica, Downtown Los Angeles, Downtown

☆ August once again lives up to its dismal reputation for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S&P 500 is down more than 3% this month, on pace to snap a five-month winning streak. Go back 20 years and the performance gets worse: The S&P 500 has averaged a monthly 0.1% loss in that time. The S&P 500 has averaged a 0.5% loss in September over the past 20 years. Over the past 10 years, the S&P 500 has fallen an average of 1% each September. "For S&P 500 levels, we see 4,400 as the start of support (50-day average) that extends down to 4,200 (Feb.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Wall, —, Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, China's, Ed Yardeni, we're Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Wall, Garden Holdings, Hang, Yardeni Research Locations: China, U.S, Hong Kong

☆ The August sell-off has the market testing some key levels. Here's a breakdown
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The August sell-off has stocks testing some key technical levels, spurring investors to watch where equities will go next. Now, investors are watching to see where the S & P 500 goes next. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 1-year The strategist said this threshold is a key support as it's a convergence of several trends in the market. The S & P 500 fell to roughly 3,800 in March before resuming its march upward. A combination of technical factors imply that the S & P may test the 4,200 level but might not break significantly below that."

Persons: Sam Stovall, Stovall, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, Michael Bloom Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq Locations: China

☆ Bitcoin fell through a key level and is giving a bearish signal. Here’s what chart analysts say happens next
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bitcoin tumbled to finish the week after many weeks of stillness in the market, and chart analysts say it's possible this could be just the beginning. Bitcoin also broke its 200-day moving average of $27,300, which could signal an impending downtrend. A range emerges between $25,000 and $30,000 Bitcoin has been here before. The $25,000 level was a key resistance threshold from last summer through March of this year after bitcoin briefly touched $30,000 in its banking crisis-fueled rally. Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton puts the next downside target a little higher at $25,200, with a secondary target level of $20,600.

Persons: Bitcoin, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, bitcoin, Julius de Kempenaer, de Kempenaer, Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, Katie Stockton, Stockton Organizations: Elon, SpaceX, CNBC, BlackRock, BTC

☆ There is still runway for the energy sector breakout, says Oppenheimer's Ari Wald
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere is still runway for the energy sector breakout, says Oppenheimer's Ari WaldAri Wald, managing director and head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the breakout in the energy sector, tips for locating what stocks are driving the structural shift in the market, and the case for Marathon Petroleum.

Persons: Oppenheimer's Ari Wald Ari Wald, Oppenheimer Organizations: Marathon Petroleum

☆ Stock market setting up for a textbook seasonal correction, chart analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Last week's hiccup in the stock market rally could expand into a seasonal slump, according to Wall Street technical analysts. The S & P 500 fell 2.27% last week for its worst week since March, closing at 4,478.03. Oppenheimer technical analyst Ari Wald said in a note to clients dated Saturday that the market is "developing as a textbook seasonal correction." The S & P 500 is still up more than 16% year to date even after last week's decline. In fact, a 5% pullback from Tuesday's close in the S & P would take you just shy of the August '22 highs," Ginsberg said.

Persons: Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, Wald, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Jonathan Krinsky, SPX, BTIG's Krinsky, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Street, Nasdaq, Investment, Twitter, Wolfe Research

☆ Three-Stock Lunch: BX, CRWD & APTV
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThree-Stock Lunch: BX, CRWD & APTVAri Wald, Oppenheimer managing director, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss three stocks: Blackstone, Crowdstrike and Aptiv.

Persons: APTV Ari Wald, Oppenheimer

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