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Here's how Bank of America suggests trading a variety of Election Day outcomes. Split Republican control A Trump White House with a largely Democratic Congress is overall neutral for equities, Kwon said. Split Democratic control The status quo would be maintained with a Harris White House and a Republican Congress, Kwon said. Over the past seven election cycles, the two-week price direction for stocks was identical to one day after election day every single time. Outside of the election, Kwon said that the Fed could have ample reason to cut further.
Persons: Ohsung Kwon, Kwon, Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris Organizations: Bank of America, Trump, Republican, Trump White House, Democratic, Harris White, Federal
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesRegardless of the outcome of the U.S. presidential election, there could be some clear winners for exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, experts say. Potential winners and losersIn the months ahead, some ETFs or funds could outperform depending on the election outlook. Exchange-traded funds have steadily gained popularity among investors, with ETF assets crossing the $10 trillion mark in September — a trend experts say is largely due to advantages like lower tax bills and fees relative to mutual funds. Exchange-traded funds are generally known for passive strategies, but there has also been a surge in actively managed ETFs, with the goal of beating the performance of broader markets. watch nowHowever, most financial advisors caution against making hasty changes to your investment portfolio based on the outcome of this election.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris —, Kim Wallace, Anu Ganti, Dow, Kristina Hooper, Harris, Invesco's Hooper, Hooper, Trump, Biden, 22V's Wallace, Wallace Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S, Democratic, ETF.com, Dow Jones Indices, Big Tech, Trump, Congress, Exchange, Federal Locations: Washington, U.S,
Steel stocks would likely outperform under if former President Donald Trump returns to the White House, while clean energy providers might rally if Vice President Kamala Harris captures the presidency, according to JPMorgan. Clean Energy In the same 14-page report, JPMorgan shared the name of specific companies that are likely to benefit should either candidate prevail. Steel and aluminum Conversely, Peterson is bullish on steel and aluminum companies if former President Trump gets a second term. Shares of steel producer Nucor have tumbled nearly 18% in 2024 but could bounce back under a Trump victory, according to JPMorgan. Other potential winners under a Trump presidency include aluminum producer Kaiser Aluminum and rare-earth materials processor MP Materials , said JPMorgan.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Bill Peterson, Peterson, EBITDA, William Grippin, Trump, Morgan Stanley, Carlos De, Martin Englert Organizations: White, JPMorgan, Trump, EV, Department of Energy's, Office, Democratic, UBS, DOE, Power, Energy, Republican, Steel, Nippon Steel, U.S . Steel, Seaport Research Partners, Aluminum Locations: Los Angeles, adj, 2H25, Charlotte, Cleveland
The fine points to a Russian legal system focused more on symbolic punishment than enforcement. All the same, that is what a Russian court maintains the company owes, as punishment for suspending accounts from YouTube. Related storiesLegal experts told Business Insider what it symbolizes is a Russian legal and economic system estranged from much of the world. AdvertisementRussia has effectively annulled intellectual property rights, enabling its companies to freely use patents and designs from Western companies. The scholars BI spoke to did not expect any other nation's court to try to enforce the Google fine.
Persons: , Dmitri Peskov, Tyler Kustra, Kustra, Heineken, Christine Abely, Abely, Nathanael Tilahun, hasn't, Oleksandra, Snellman Organizations: YouTube, Google, Service, UK's University of Nottingham, Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank, New England Law, University of Essex, Bloomberg Locations: Russian, Russia, Ukraine, Dutch, Hong Kong , South Africa, Netherlands
A new report by Experian found that 67% of polled Gen Zers and 62% of surveyed millennials are using artificial intelligence to help with their personal finances. Users say that generative AI tools like ChatGPT have helped in areas including saving and budgeting (60%), investment planning (48%) and credit score improvement (48%). The Gen Z respondents were ages 18 to 27 while millennials were ages 28 to 43. According to data Experian provided to CNBC, 98% of Gen Z adults and 98% of millennials had a positive experience with the software. While using generative AI can help as a first step to drawing up a budget or figuring out how to increase your credit score, always verify the information through external resources, experts say.
Persons: Experian, Gen Zers, Christina Roman, millennials, Xers Organizations: Finance, CNBC
A rare bee species reportedly threw a wrench in Meta's plans for an AI data center. Other tech giants are spending billions on data centers to further their AI ambitions. A rare species of the insect threw a wrench in the company's plans for an AI data center, the Financial Times reported Monday. Rivals, including Google, Amazon, and Microsoft, also invest billions in data centers to power their AI. AdvertisementThe boom in data centers to power AI also comes with high costs environmentally, not just financially.
Persons: Meta, , Mark Zuckerberg, IBM's Jonathan Adashek Meta, Kairos Power, Marc Wulfraat, MWPVL Organizations: Service, Financial Times, Google, Microsoft, Kairos, Bloomberg, McKinsey
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Friday afternoon. Advertisement"Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. What are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey
AppLovin has soared 310% in 2024, beating every U.S. tech company with a market cap of at least $5 billion, according to FactSet data. The technology helps put more targeted ads on the mobile gaming apps the company owns, and works for other studios that license the software. They said the company's "real opportunity" is to catch the influx in brand advertising towards mobile gaming from more conventional channels like social media or legacy broadcasting. Because of its position in digital advertising, AppLovin faces potential competition from some of the most well-capitalized companies on the planet. In 2022, AppLovin gave up on efforts to buy gaming software developer Unity Software for $20 billion, after Unity shareholders rejected the bid.
Persons: AppLovin, Wells Fargo, FactSet . Oppenheimer, Stifel Nicolaus, Jefferies, Adam Foroughi, could've, Foroughi, mightily, Unity, LightShed's Brandon Ross Organizations: Nvidia, Revenue, FactSet, Wedbush, Google, Facebook, Apple, Orient, Unity Software, Unity Locations: BTIG, AppLovin, U.S
Some luxury travel agencies and tour operators say they've seen an uptick in travelers booking luxury safaris. She's not alone — as of late, a growing number of travelers have been itching to go on a luxurious African safari, too. Micato SafarisLuxury tour operator Abercrombie and Kent's African safaris have always been among its best-selling vacations, the company told BI in an email. AdvertisementSome luxury travel agencies are noticing it, tooLuxury travel agency Indagare told BI in an email that safari bookings are "trending upward. AdvertisementWith such prices, some travelers might consider luxury safaris a once-in-a-lifetime experience.
Persons: , Sophie Serrano, Serrano, " Serrano, She's, Abercrombie, buffalos —, Dennis Pinto, Safaris, Micato, Pinto, Richard Waite, Oprah, Ellen DeGeneres, — Singita, Singita, Melissa Krueger, Indagare, Scott Dunn, Julie Durso, Jackie Roth, Sophie Serrano Misty Belles, Take Serrano, Isabella John Organizations: Service, Micato's, Scott Dunn Private, Nomad, Kruger Locations: Zanzibar, Africa, Kenya, Tanzania, Rwanda, Tanzania's, Botswana, South, Umlani's
Investors expect Beijing to announce details on fiscal support Friday. He expects Trump has a greater chance of winning, which he said would increase downward pressure on the Chinese yuan versus the U.S. dollar. While the People's Bank of China has cut interest rates, the Ministry of Finance has yet to release details on widely anticipated fiscal stimulus. China is considering more than 10 trillion yuan in debt issuance over a few years, Reuters reported Tuesday, citing sources. Whether it is 10 trillion yuan over three to five years, or 2 trillion yuan in one year, the average is about 2 trillion yuan in support a year, she pointed out.
Persons: Aly Song, That's, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Ting Lu, Biden, Zhu Bin, Zhu, Trump, Liqian Ren, Ren, Xi Jinping, Lan Fo'an, Zong Liang, WisdomTree's Ren Organizations: Reuters, U.S, Investors, National People's, Trump, Nomura, Nanhua, CNBC, U.S ., WisdomTree, People's Bank of, Ministry of Finance, Finance, Bank of China Locations: Yiwu, Zhejiang province, China, Reuters BEIJING, Beijing, U.S, United, People's Bank of China
Former PBOC advisor discusses China and central government debt
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina not realizing central government debt is markets' most important financial product: ProfessorLi Daokui, Mansfield Freeman professor of economics at Tsinghua University and former advisor at the People's Bank of China, says central government debt is the "bottom of the pyramid of financial products — it is the least risky, it is the most liquid financial asset in any mature financial market."
Persons: Li Daokui, Mansfield Freeman Organizations: China, Tsinghua University, People's Bank of Locations: People's Bank of China
Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as buy Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with the stock following the release of the company's annual 10-K analysis. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Amazon as overweight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Amazon to $230 per share from $210. Morgan Stanley upgrades Entergy to equal weight from underweight Morgan Stanley said the energy company's outlook has improved. " Morgan Stanley upgrades Roblox to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said in its upgrade of the stock that it sees a long runway for growth. " Morgan Stanley downgrades STMicroelectronics to underweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said it sees too many headwinds from the semis manufacturer.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Price, Morgan Stanley, Apple, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, it's bullish, Rollins, William Blair, TSMC, Bernstein, Trip.com, Morgan Stanley downgrades STMicroelectronics, Hollister comps, Peter Stern, D.A, Davidson, AAPL Organizations: UBS, Berkshire, Citi, Apple, PlayStation, Barclays, Blackwell, Tencent, Entertainment, Trip.com, Bank of America, Inc, KeySight, Qs, Abercrombie & Fitch Citi, of America, " Bank of America, Meta, Walmart Locations: Kazakhstan, LA, China
For many Americans, the most important focus heading into a presidential election is how the winner will impact their wallet. Related storiesFor drug prices, Harris has promised to expand two provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act, allowing Medicare to negotiate the prices of some drugs. HarrisHarris' planned policy includes the construction of 3 million new housing units, as well as an expansion to the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit. TrumpTrump has also proposed expanding the child tax credit, which currently provides up to $2,000 per child. In August, the vice presidential candidate JD Vance floated a child tax credit proposal that would include $5,000 per child for families of all income levels.
Persons: Harris, Trump, Trump's, Joe Biden's, Biden, Trump Trump, — Trump, Harris Harris, , Vance, hasn't Organizations: Trump, Federal Reserve, White, Trump Trump Locations: Americas
Specifically, he warned about traders taking the 10-year Treasury yield , a bond market benchmark, above 5% — a level it hasn't seen since mid-2007. To be sure, there are myriad reasons why the bond market has been in a state of tumult since mid-September, political considerations of a second Trump term being just one of them. "The bond market could easily nullify the impacts of another rate cut. That's because the bond market believes the Fed is cutting rates by too much, too soon, and is therefore raising long-term inflation expectations. It could carry "higher tariffs and mass deportations, which triggers stagflation in the US including a second inflation spike," the bank said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Chip Somodevilla, Kamala Harris, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Trump, Harris, Kumar, it's, Karen Dynan, Trump's, Peterson, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Fiserv, Republican National Convention, Treasury, Trump, Reserve, Bond, Yardeni Research, Sri, Kumar, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Republicans Locations: Milwaukee , Wisconsin, United States
That has forced Remy Cointreau, whose stock has fallen 50% for the year, to slash its full-year guidance and expects another year of double-digit declines in sales. The declines are a “normalization” within the industry, with alcohol sales nearing their pre-Covid levels, according to Marten Lodewijks, IWSR’s president for the US division. Cheaper private labels have had a boon in sales, mirroring a larger trend of customers seeking more affordable options in all aspects of their life. Aldi’s lineup is growing double digits in sales, bucking the broader industry trends of declines, Arlin Zajmi, director of national buying for adult beverages, told CNN. Aldi has seen its wine and beer sales soar.
Persons: Remy Cointreau, Pernod Ricard, Jose Cuervo, Proximo, ” Lisa Hawkins, , Luca Marotta, Remy Cointreau’s, Jameson, Kahula, Hélène de Tissot, Marten Lodewijks, bottlers, Arlin Zajmi, Scott Olson, it’s, ” Zajmi, ” Bryan Roth Organizations: New, New York CNN, Anheuser, Busch, CNN, Spirits, Consumers, Aldi Locations: New York, United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. debt could drive the next financial crisis, says former FDIC Chair Sheila BairSheila Bair, former FDIC chair, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the U.S. debt problem and how it could lead to a financial crisis.
Persons: Sheila Bair Sheila Bair
Who Wall Street thinks will win the election
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Bradley Saacks | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
A survey of 119 investors found that 53% think former president Donald Trump will defeat Kamala Harris. Investors believe fossil fuel and industrial companies should do well under Trump, the survey said. AdvertisementMany of the bigwigs of finance have picked their sides, but Wall Street seems to believe one candidate has the upper hand in this year's presidential election. Betting markets have leaned toward former President Donald Trump, and the financial markets have already priced in a Trump win, according to billionaire investor Stan Druckenmiller. One of the world's most accurate economists, Christophe Barraud, for instance, is putting his credibility on the line for a Trump win.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Stanley Druckenmiller, , Stan Druckenmiller, Emmanuel Cau, Trump, SumZero, Divya Narendra, Ken Griffin, Griffin, Druckenmiller, Hillary Clinton, Elon Musk, Christophe Barraud Organizations: Investors, Trump, Republican, Service, Barclays London, Billionaire Citadel, Future Investment Initiative, Tesla Locations: Saudi Arabia, Riyadh
The typical age of a first-time homebuyer in the US has reached an all-time high: 38. First-time buyers make up 24% of all buyers, the lowest level since NAR started tracking in 1981. The changing characteristics of the typical first-time homebuyer in America are proof of the strain. The typical first-time buyer now has a median age of 38 — up from 35 in 2023. The typical first-time homebuyer is richer than ever, too.
Persons: It's, , — Gen Zers, millennials, haven't, Jorge Argota, Argota, He's Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Service, NAR Locations: America, Miami, Florida
Boeing workers vote to accept deal, end strike
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
New York CNN —Striking workers at embattled plane maker Boeing voted Monday to accept the company’s most recent offer, ending the costliest strike in the United States in more than 25 years. The International Association of Machinists (IAM) said rank-and-file members voted by 59% to approve the deal. But the deal did not restore the traditional pension plan they lost in 2014 from their previous labor deal. But despite the deep financial problems, Boeing had little choice but to settle the strike and get the workers back on the job. Boeing’s economic impactDespite its problems, Boeing is still a major contributor to the US economy, as it is the largest American exporter.
Persons: Boeing’s, “ I’m, , Jon Holden, , Holden, Kelly Ortberg, Workers ’, It’s, ” Holden, We’ll, they’ve, Ortberg Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Boeing, International Association of Machinists, IAM, ” Boeing, Workers, ” Companies, Research, Anderson Economic Group, Labor, Alaska Airlines Locations: New York, United States, Michigan
CNN —Week 9 in the NFL saw plenty of drama as the 2024 season reached its halfway stage. Seven games in Week 9 were decided by seven-or-fewer points, meaning there have been 74 games won by that margin this season, the most such games through Week 9 in NFL history. Lions beat Packers in heavyweight clashSunday’s game at Lambeau Field between the Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers was billed as the game of the week with both having excellent starts to the season. Saquon Barkley athleticism leaves Eagles ‘speechless’Saquon Barkley is no stranger to producing highlight-worthy plays of special athleticism. The official NFL X account commented that Barkley was “not of this world” and Sirianni was equally dumfounded after the Eagles’ victory.
Persons: Amon, Ra St, Brown, St . Brown, Jeffrey Phelps, Kerby Joseph, Jordan Love, Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit’s, Dan Campbell, Jared Goff, Hall, Hall of Famer Peyton Manning, Brock Purdy, “ We’re, ” Goff, We’re, Patrick McDermott, Saquon Barkley, ’ Saquon Barkley, Jalen, Barkley, Nick Sirianni, , Jarrian Jones, Barkley's, Mitchell Leff, , Sirianni, Josh Sweat, Elsa, Lamar Jackson, Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Kurt Warner, Ben Roethlisberger, Jackson, Scott Taetsch, Derrick Henry, he’s, Hall of Famer Emmitt Smith, Jim Brown, LaDainian Tomlinson, Adrian Peterson, Henry, ” Henry, ’ ” Henry, Tommy Gilligan Organizations: CNN, NFL, Lions, Packers, Lambeau, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, NFC North, AP Lions, Green, ” Lions, Lions ’, Hall of Famer, 49ers, Houston Texans, Super, Philadelphia Eagles, Jacksonville Jaguars, Lincoln Financial, Eagles, Philadelphia, Pee, Pee Wee Football, ” Eagles, Ravens, Baltimore Ravens, Denver Broncos, T Bank, Broncos, Baltimore, 101st, Dallas Cowboys, Atlanta Falcons Denver Broncos, Baltimore Ravens Miami Dolphins, Buffalo Bills New Orleans Saints, Carolina Panthers Las Vegas Raiders, Cincinnati Bengals Los Angeles Chargers, Cleveland Browns Washington, New York Giants New England Patriots, Tennessee Titans Chicago Bears, Arizona Cardinals Jacksonville Jaguars, Philadelphia Eagles Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers Los Angeles Rams, Seattle Seahawks Indianapolis Colts, Minnesota Vikings Locations: St, Wisconsin, Detroit, Pee Wee
Palantir shares surge on rosy revenue outlook
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Jordan Novet | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Palantir shares jumped 13% in extended trading on Monday after the data analytics software maker reported robust third-quarter results and revenue guidance. With respect to guidance, Palantir called for fourth-quarter revenue of $767 million to $771 million. It now sees $2.805 billion to $2.809 billion, compared with $2.742 billion to $2.750 billion in August. The company is targeting over $687 million in U.S. commercial revenue for the year, implying about 24% of the total. As of Monday's close, Palantir shares were up 141% in 2024, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq had gained 21%.
Persons: Alex Karp, Palantir, Karp, LSEG, StreetAccount, Joe Lonsdale Organizations: Palantir, Bloomberg, P Global, Nasdaq, Musk Locations: Palo Alto , California, U.S, United States, Europe
Ryanair, Europe's biggest airline, repeatedly criticized Boeing in its latest earnings report. The airline said that this increase came "despite repeated Boeing delivery delays." Related Video"Many customers are switching to Ryanair for our lower air fares," Ryanair's CEO Michael O'Leary said. Ryanair CEO Michael O'Leary has been one of Boeing's harshest critics in recent months. Related stories"While we continue to work with Boeing leadership to accelerate aircraft deliveries ahead of peak S.25, the risk of further delivery delays remains high," the CEO added.
Persons: , Michael O'Leary, O'Leary, Yves Herman Ryanair, machinists, Kelly Ortberg, Tim Clark, Scott Kirby Organizations: Ryanair, Europe's, Boeing, Service, REUTERS, Alaska Airlines, Emirates, United Airlines Locations: Alaska
Benefits of a joint credit cardA joint credit card can offer various benefits, particularly for couples, close friends, or family members. How to apply for a joint credit cardUnderstanding eligibility criteria and the necessary documentation is the first step in your joint credit card journey. Application process and requirementsApplying for a joint credit card is, for the most part, the same as applying for a credit card as an individual. Best practices for resolving disputes over joint credit card expensesOpening a joint credit card can lead to stressful — and expensive — disagreements if you and the co-cardholder aren't on the same page. Frequently asked questions about joint credit cardsCan joint credit cards affect both credit scores?
Persons: , You'll, cosigning, Eric Rosenberg, Eric, Read, Meghan Hunter Meghan Hunter, Guy, she's, Meghan Organizations: Apple, U.S . Bank, Finance Locations: Chevron, Ventura , California, Portugal
Activist investor Engine Capital has nominated a slate of directors Monday at Canadian legal software maker Dye & Durham , according to people familiar with the matter, after the company fielded takeover interest and moved to launch a sale process Engine has described as "reactionary." Dye & Durham delayed the special meeting twice to December. Dye & Durham makes a suite of software for law firms and says it has more than 60,000 customers worldwide. Engine has contended that a sale of the company at this time would "substantially undervalue" the company. "Dye & Durham has substantially refreshed its Board and has a focused and aligned management team."
Persons: Arnaud Ajdler, Ritu Khanna, Hans Gieskes, Aecom, Goldman Sachs, Matthew Proud's, Dye Organizations: Capital, Dye, Durham, LexisNexis, & Durham, DND, Goldman, Bloomberg Locations: Parkland
Some 4.74 million Chinese couples registered their marriages in the first three quarters of 2024, a decrease of 16.6% from the 5.69 million recorded in the same period last year, according to data released by the Ministry of Civil Affairs on Friday. A rebound in marriages last year after stringent Covid restrictions were lifted appears to be an anomaly largely driven by pent-up demand. Many are postponing marriage and childbirth – and a growing number of young people even choose to eschew them entirely. The stubborn downward trend is also a result of changing attitudes to marriage, especially among young women who are becoming more educated and financially independent. In the first nine months of this year, some 1.96 million couples registered for divorces, a slight decline of 6,000 year-on-year, according to data from the Ministry of Civil Affairs.
Persons: , Cai Jingyu, Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Ministry of Civil Affairs, Association, China isn’t Locations: Hong Kong, China, Beijing, People’s Republic, India, Shenyang Imperial, Shenyang, Japan, South Korea
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