Top related persons:
Top related locs:
Top related orgs:

Search resuls for: "bearish"


25 mentions found


Fully 90% expect a "soft landing," or "no landing" at all (i.e. That's not the case here: the Fed is cutting rates going into, at worst, a soft landing, which is very unusual. The S & P 500 was up 2.0% in September and is higher by 0.9% so far in October. Historically, the S & P tends to rise beginning in the last week of October and through November and December. Goldman Sachs noted that, since 1928, the median S & P 500 return from October 15 to December 31 has been 5.17%.
Persons: That's, Alicia Levine, BNY, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, buybacks, Stocks, there's, AAII, BofA Organizations: America, Trump, Bank of America Global Fund, Survey, Fed, buybacks, American Association of Locations: U.S, frothy
Wall Street has been lowering its third-quarter growth estimates for months now. That's not abnormal, however, as third-quarter growth estimates tend to decline in the preceding months. Nearly 10% of S & P 500 companies have already reported results, with more than 79% beating earnings estimates, according to FactSet. Analysts' estimates for earnings per share have been cut by 80.3% over the past three months and 85% over the past six months. Analysts have cut their earnings per share estimates on Tesla by 24.1% over the past three months and 30.8% over the past six months.
Persons: That's, Morgan Stanley, Joe Laetsch, Laetsch, FactSet, Christopher Dendrinos, Dendrinos, Tesla, Wells Fargo Organizations: CNBC Pro, Valero Energy, Wall Street, Valero, RBC Capital Markets, Tesla Locations: U.S, Wells
However, stocks don't usually climb in a straight line, and many of these names are showing signs of exhaustion after a significant rally. This time, I'm introducing a new indicator for my trade setup: the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). In the case of BABA, the blue line (the MACD line) is crossing below the yellow line (the signal line). The trade To capitalize on a pullback in BABA, I'm using a trade structure called a "bear put spread." For example, if BABA is trading at $102, I would buy a $103 put (higher strike) and sell a $101 put (lower strike) to complete the trade setup.
Persons: I'm, it's, BABA, Nishant Pant Organizations: PDD Holdings, Baidu, Futu Holdings, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: BABA
Apple stock jumped Monday after a Wall Street firm touted the iPhone maker ahead of its quarterly earnings report. Analysts said Apple's stock may be able to advance higher on a late October earnings report that merely matches Wall Street estimates, so investors should be positioned accordingly. However, we do agree with Evercore's optimism on AI iPhone integration, and its ability to usher in an upgrade cycle for Apple's flagship device. But with our "own it, don't trade it" view still intact on Apple stock, it's acceptable for the upgrade cycle to get off to a slower start. "I'm for the elongated [upgrade] cycle," Jim Cramer said on Monday.
Persons: Apple, Apple's, Jim Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Tim Cook, Victor J Organizations: Apple, Street, Bears, Huawei, Apple Intelligence, CNBC, Apple Inc, Blue, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: China, New York
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHuawei could be a threat to Apple in China, says Evercore ISI's Amit DaryananiAmit Daryanani, Evercore ISI senior managing director, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss why he believes sentiment on Apple is too bearish.
Persons: Evercore ISI's Amit Daryanani Amit Daryanani Organizations: Huawei, Apple Locations: China
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Monday: TD Cowen reiterates Nvidia as buy TD said Nvidia remains a top pick at the firm. Goldman Sachs upgrades Ibotta to buy from neutral Goldman Sachs reiterates Alphabet as buy Goldman lowered its price target on the stock to $208 per share from $217 citing a slew of headwinds for Alphabet. Wells Fargo upgrades Flutter to overweight from equal weight Wells says investors should buy the dip in shares of the gambling company. Goldman Sachs downgrades AutoZone to sell from buy Goldman downgraded the auto parts retailer due to "muted growth." Goldman Sachs upgrades Ibotta to buy from neutral Goldman says it likes the growth opportunity for the mobile tech company.
Persons: TD Cowen, Mizuho, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Wells, Truist, Morgan Stanley, Caterpillar, Piper Sandler, Tesla, Piper, wouldn't, it's, Baird, KeyCorp, Jefferies, it's bullish, Stock, GOOS, AppLovin, Oppenheimer Organizations: Nvidia, NVIDIA, Away Tech, Mizuho, AMD, Broadcom, UBS, Partners, Surgery Partners, Apple, VF Corp, Vans, UW, Walmart Locations: Wells Fargo, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket over-valuation is no reason to get bearish, says Piper Sandler's Michael KantrowitzMichael Kantrowitz, chief investment officer at Piper Sandler, joins CNBC to discuss outlooks on over-valued markets, how he's positioning, and more.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler Organizations: CNBC
The Chinese stock market soared after news of a stimulus package but plunged again on Wednesday. Risk remains high in Chinese stocks, which is why investors should exercise caution. The recent volatility in the Chinese market doesn't come as a surprise to Zehrid Osmani, portfolio manager at $21 billion Martin Currie. Valuations are low coming out of the pandemic, creating an attractive entry point into the market, Osmani said. He points to some structural challenges the Chinese economy faces, such as an aging population and a slump in the property sector.
Persons: , Zehrid, Martin Currie, Osmani Organizations: Service, Investor, Bank of America, Companies, Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust Locations: China, Shanghai, Beijing, Taiwan, Omani
The firm sees no immediate catalysts like surging interest rates or inflation to trigger a downturn. AdvertisementInvestors worried that the stock market is overvalued shouldn't sell stocks, according to a Monday note from Piper Sandler. AdvertisementWithout an imminent spike in interest rates, the unemployment rate, or inflation, the stock market should continue its upward trend even if it's overvalued, according to Kantrowitz. AdvertisementKantrowitz recommends investors monitor credit spreads to determine whether there is fear in the stock market that could signal a period of negative equity returns going forward. Tight credit spreads, a solid labor market, and continued GDP growth are all signals that investors should stay bullish, according to Kantrowitz, even if the stock market is slightly overvalued.
Persons: Piper Sandler, , Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Stocks, it's Organizations: Service, Investors, CNBC
Small businesses also face tight credit conditions and are slowing hiring. AdvertisementThe September payrolls report seemed to switch the investor narrative around the labor market on a dime. Given the usual lags involved between changes in rates and activity, things will probably get worse for small businesses before they get better." "The labor market is not out of the woods just yet, and I continue to see another hiccup in the jobs market before year-end," Dutta wrote. AdvertisementStill, it's unclear how much pressure the labor market will come under in the months ahead.
Persons: , bearish David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Samuel Tombs, Tombs, Neil Dutta, Dutta Organizations: Service, Fed, September's, Rosenberg Research, Pantheon, Macro Research, The Conference Board
Market sentiment can be gauged by following options traders' actions and fair-value gaps. Goldman Sachs predicts a relief rally for 18 stocks with positive options market sentiment. But if you get it right, you're rewarded with outsize returns. Not only that, but analysts at Goldman Sachs have found that the options market implies average earnings-day moves of 6% in either direction for S&P 500 stocks. Below is the list of 18 stocks which includes their options-implied stock move and the strike price for each contract.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , outsize, Goldman, John Marshall Organizations: Service, Federal
Wall Street has been fairly hot-and-cold on Tesla stock this year — and its highly anticipated robotaxi unveiling on Thursday isn't helping to improve investor sentiment. As such, we anticipate TSLA to be under pressure following the event," Jonas, the firm's head of global auto and shared mobility research, said in a Friday note to clients entitled "That's it? TSLA YTD mountain Tesla stock this year. Simply put, the event failed to offer a significant bright spot for Tesla's stock, according to Jonas. The analyst has an eye on Tesla's expectation to start fully autonomous, unsupervised FSD in Texas and California for its Model 3 and Model Y electric vehicles.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Jonas, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Musk, TLSA, Tesla's, FactSet Organizations: Investors, Morgan Locations: Los Angeles, FSD, Texas, California
Chinese stocks are poised for a huge run-up in the next year, according to Renaissance Macro's Jeff deGraaf. Other notable investors have been looking to buy the dip in Chinese stocks amid continued stimulus efforts. Other traders on Wall Street have shown interest in buying the dip in Chinese equities, despite fear that Beijing's economic slowdown could stick around. Other strategists on Wall Street have made bullish calls on Chinese equities in recent weeks, with eyes on continued stimulus measures in Beijing. Goldman Sachs predicted China's stock market could rally another 20%, thanks to "more substantial policy measures" and Chinese stocks being oversold, strategists said in a note.
Persons: Jeff deGraaf, , deGraaf, Beijing didn't, Mario Draghi, Michael Hartnett, Yuan Wei, Yuan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Macro, CSI, Bloomberg, Beijing, Investors, Bank of America, Investment Fund Management Co Locations: , Beijing, China, Wall, Shenzhen, Hong Kong
Oil could see a decline to a "much, much" lower price, according to crude analyst Tom Kloza. Oversupply will weigh on oil prices in 2025, Kloza predicted. AdvertisementThe oil market is headed into a troubled year in 2025, and crude prices may fall "much, much" lower, according to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis at Oil Price Information Service. The oil analyst said crude prices would experience more downward pressure in 2025 despite concerns that conflict in the Middle East could escalate and send prices higher. "It was pointing lower, and I think it's still pointing lower.
Persons: Tom Kloza, Kloza, , Goldman Sachs, Brent Organizations: Service, Oil Price Information Service, Traders, CNBC, Energy Information Administration, Giants, Jets Locations: Saudi Arabia, Iraq
Let's dig into what this pattern represents, and what key price level investors should be watching for in the days to come. This week's sell-off could result in the formation of the right shoulder, completing the set-up of this bullish price pattern. Further price support could emerge at the 61.8% retracement level using the March to September rally as a framework for the analysis. Note how this neckline lines up almost perfectly with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level using the framework described above. Other Magnificent 7 stocks Interestingly enough, Alphabet is not the only Magnificent 7 name testing its 200-day moving average this week.
Persons: GOOGL, David Keller Organizations: Inc, Microsoft Corp, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Nouriel Roubini says stagflation risk will rise if Donald Trump wins the election. AdvertisementThe US economy might confront a fate more challenging than a recession if Donald Trump retakes the White House, famed economist Nouriel Roubini said. According to Roubini, Trump's proposals would fuel these two key ingredients: lower growth and higher inflation. In July, JPMorgan's chief global strategist David Kelly called Trump's tariff and immigration policy mix an "elixir for stagflation." AdvertisementRoubini said tensions in the Middle East make the threat of stagflation under Trump worse.
Persons: Nouriel Roubini, Donald Trump, Doom, , Donald Trump retakes, Trump, Kamala Harris, stagflation, Roubini, Larry Summers, David Kelly Organizations: Greenwich Economic, Treasury, Service, Bloomberg, Barclays, Republican, Peterson Institute, Trump Locations: Greenwich, Israel, Iran
Oil prices steadied in Asian trading on Wednesday, as traders weighed uncertainty surrounding developments in the Middle East conflict against continued bearish fundamentals. Brent crude futures rose 11 cents, or 0.14%, to $77.29 a barrel by 02:23 GMT. Prices had plunged more than 4% in the previous session on a possible Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire, but markets remain wary of a potential Israeli attack on Iran's oil infrastructure. Hezbollah officials on Tuesday appeared to back off from a truce in Gaza as a condition for a ceasefire in Lebanon. The U.S. EIA on Tuesday downgraded its 2024 forecast for global oil demand growth by 20,000 barrels per day (bpd), to 103.1 million bpd, because of weaker industrial production and manufacturing growth in the U.S. and China.
Persons: Hezbollah's, Naim Qassem, Hurricane Milton, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Macquarie, Reuters, American Petroleum Institute, U.S, EIA, IG . Florida Locations: Israel, Iran, Gaza, Lebanon, U.S, China, Hurricane, Coast, Tampa
Hasan Akbas | Anadolu | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. October, then, is truly living up to its reputation as the most volatile month for stocks. But investors should keep in mind the uncomfortable swings in markets aren't always a good signal for the underlying health of stocks. In fact, when stocks dip because of mild repricing or a correction, that's a good opportunity for investors to swoop in, according to Johnson.
Persons: SPX, Hasan Akbas, Robert Sluymer, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Johnson, – CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin, Alex Harring Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Palo Alto Networks, Meta, Dow Jones, RBC Wealth Management Locations: Alaska, United States, U.S, aren't
JPMorgan's top strategist had something positive to say about stocks for the first time in a while. "While it is too soon to assume that this is a turning point, it does suggest that a recession is unlikely in the near term." Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But that seems to be changing, based on a Tuesday note from JPMorgan chief global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas. "We are neutralizing our long Defensive and short Cyclicals view," Lakos-Bujas said.
Persons: Dubravko Lakos, Bujas, Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Reserve, Federal Reserve, & $ Locations: China, buybacks
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Tuesday described why it can be difficult for investors to sit on solid stocks. "In the last decade, the toughest thing to do is to hold on to good stocks," he said. Cramer recapped action in the stocks of Apple and Amazon , which received downgrades on Monday — ratings with which Cramer disagreed. Both stocks sold off heavily on Monday, he pointed out, but they recovered by Tuesday — hampering investors' chances of buying back shares if they sold during the previous session. "I need you to understand that when analysts downgrade after stocks have already been hammered, when really good investors ignore the positives, then, it may be a grim time," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, downgrades, Cramer Organizations: Apple
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. The Club stock is up nearly 5% after Goldman Sachs put a new Street high price target of $425 a share on the cybersecurity provider. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, we've, downgrades, Goldman Sachs, we're, We're, Helen of Troy, Jerome Powell, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Stocks, Microsoft, Palo Alto Networks, The, Procter & Gamble, Honeywell International, Constellation Brands, Honeywell, Corona, Revlon, Hydro, Federal, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: China, Palo Alto
Crude oil futures fell about 2% on Tuesday, as the rally on geopolitical risk took a pause while the market waits for Israel to strike back against Iran. "Oil can keep ascending only for so long purely based on perceptions and not actual supply disruption," Tamas Varga, an analyst at oil broker PVM, said in a Tuesday note. Oil prices have surged about 13% through Monday's close since Iran fired around 180 ballistic missiles at Israel last week, raising fears that Israel might retaliate by hitting Iran's crude industry. ET:The market was also disappointed that Chinese officials did not announce any new stimulus plans at a press briefing Tuesday. In early September, oil prices hit their lowest level since December 2021.
Persons: Tamas Varga, Israel, Phil Flynn Organizations: Iran, Price Futures Locations: Israel, Iran, China
I am going to explore an interesting trade set-up using three exponential moving averages to identify a restaurant stock that will continue to trend downward. Looking at the one-year daily chart of Olive Garden-parent Darden Restaurants (DRI) , you'll notice the stock has faced resistance around the $175 level and is currently in a downtrend. I've highlighted several instances over the past year where the 10-day EMA crossed either above or below the 21-day EMA. The trade Building on this analysis, I'm considering a bearish strategy on DRI, using a trade structure known as a bear put spread. Adding 10 contracts to this trade risks $2500 to make $2500 and provides a robust ROI for the capital risked.
Persons: Nishant Pant Organizations: Darden, EMA, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Despite the major indexes trading near their all-time highs, there are still plenty of stocks that JPMorgan is bearish on in the coming quarter. Against this backdrop, JPMorgan surveyed its analysts for their top short ideas, or stocks that might underperform going into the fourth quarter. Shares have risen 9% in 2024, leading to what JPMorgan analyst Michael Rehaut believes is an expensive valuation. JPMorgan analyst Kenneth Goldman also has an underweight rating on Beyond Meat . "Plant-based meat continues to struggle as the fad fades," the analyst wrote.
Persons: Stocks, Stanley Black, Decker, Michael Rehaut, Kenneth Goldman, Stephen Tusa, Mark Strouse Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, Traders, Rockwell Automation, ROK, FuelCell Energy Locations: , underinvestment
Iran, which is a member of OPEC, is a major player in the global oil market. It's estimated that as much as 4% of global supply could be at risk if Israel targets Iran's oil facilities. For some analysts, the reason crude prices have yet to move even higher is because the oil market is short. watch nowTamas Varga, an analyst at oil broker PVM, told CNBC via email on Thursday that the oil market was pricing in some risk premium given the geopolitical concerns. These fears, however, will be greatly alleviated in [the] coming days unless oil supply from the region or traffic through the Strait of Hormuz are materially impacted," he added.
Persons: Fatemeh, Goldman Sachs, SEB, Jeff Currie, Carlyle, CNBC's, it's, Currie, we've, Amrita Sen, We've, Sen, Joe Biden, Biden, Tamas Varga, " Varga, Benjamin Netanyahu, Masoud Pezeshkian Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Energy, OPEC, Brent, U.S, West Texas, CNBC, White House, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Persian, Nurphoto Locations: Isfahan Refinery, Iran, Isfahan, Israel, Swedish, backwardation, bearishness, U.S, Hormuz, Oman, Tehran, Qatar, Persian, Bushehr, Bushehr province
Total: 25