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Eugene Tanner | AFP | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. It may be tempting to view market moves as a proxy for the direction that the elections will go. But UBS thinks any outsized market moves caused by election volatility is an opportunity for investors to build up their portfolios. The optimism around the economy and markets is shared by Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group.
Persons: Honolulu Hale, Eugene Tanner, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Donald Trump, Stocks, Nomura, Marcelli, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Fred Imbert, Pia Singh, Jesse Pound, Samantha Subin Organizations: AFP, Getty, CNBC, Democratic, Republican Party, UBS, Americas, UBS Global, Carson Group, White Locations: Honolulu, Honolulu , Hawaii, U.S
Donald Trump's return to the White House sparked a big move higher in small-cap stocks. Small-cap stocks were seen as potential winners under a second Trump presidency, as investors expect it would ease regulations on businesses — which tend to weigh more heavily on smaller businesses. Wednesday's gains in small caps were led by private prison stocks Geo Group and CoreCivic , which were up roughly 20% each. Small-cap stocks have trailed their large-cap counterparts this year. Notably, small caps outperformed in the 3mos after both the Trump 2016 and Biden 2020 wins."
Persons: Donald Trump's, Russell, Jason Goepfert, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, IWM, Wells, Chris Harvey, Robert Krankowski Organizations: Trump, DOJ, FTC, Congress, Wolfe Research, Geo, Biden, UBS, Ferrari Locations: Wells Fargo
Goldman Sachs reiterates Nvidia as buy Goldman said the stock is best positioned ahead of earnings later this month. JPMorgan upgrades Yum China to overweight from neutral JPMorgan upgraded the China operator of brands like KFC following earnings. Wedbush reiterates Tesla as outperform The firm said the EV maker is a big winner of a Trump presidency. Deutsche Bank reiterates Spotify as buy Deutsche said it's bullish heading into the streaming company's earnings report on November 12. JPMorgan downgrades Super Micro to underweight from neutral JPMorgan downgraded the stock following earnings citing too much regulatory uncertainty.
Persons: Bernstein, Apple, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, YUMC, Wedbush, Tesla, Trump, Jefferies, Raymond James, it's, Wells, BURL, Oppenheimer, TD Cowen downgrades Brown, Forman, Cowen, Needham, revs, Ferrari, it's bullish, Mizuho, Monness Crespi Hardt, Snowflake Organizations: Nvidia, JPMorgan, KFC, Trump, Ryman Hospitality, Citi, GE Healthcare, General Electric, Barclays, Tencent, Entertainment, Deutsche Bank, Spotify, Deutsche, Nike, Burlington, GAP, Super Micro, Services, UBS, Ferrari, Data Center, 2027E, Bank of America, of America Locations: China, 2Q24, Snowflake
Generally, a Trump win is seen as positive for financials given a higher likelihood of deregulation for companies in the space. Traditional oil and gas names are also likely to benefit under a second Trump presidency. One is made up of stocks that benefit after a Harris win; the other would outperform under a second Trump presidency. However, a Harris win is expected to keep current regulation measures in place, and possibly introduce new ones. Private equity giants KKR and Blackstone would also benefit under a Trump win.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Paul Gallant, Cowen, Gallant, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Daniel Clifton, Strategas, Andrew Garthwaite, Trump, Garthwaite, TAN, we've, Biden, Wells, Ike Boruchow, Boruchow, , Russell, Joe Biden, Morgan Stanley, Crypto, isn't, Nic Puckrin, bitcoin, Marcelli, Financials, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Lazard Organizations: Congress, U.S ., Trump, U.S . Trump, GOP, Democratic, CNBC Pro, Wall, Strategas, Enterprise, of America, Ford, UBS, Apple, Enphase Energy, Technologies Enphase, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, Cadence Bank, Viking Therapeutics, Bureau, CNBC, Wolfe Research, Lazard, Private, KKR, Blackstone, Evercore Locations: Washington, of America Cleveland, Cleveland, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCyclical and defense stocks fluctuating on Trump vs. Harris win, says UBS' Maxwell GrinacoffMaxwell Grinacoff, head of U.S. equity derivatives research at UBS, weighs in on the impact of the U.S. election on stock markets.
Persons: Harris, Maxwell Grinacoff Maxwell Grinacoff Organizations: Trump, UBS
Palantir reported 10 cents earnings per share on $726 million in revenue. On the other hand, NXP's third-quarter earnings beat analysts' expectations by 2 cents per share, while its $3.25 billion revenue was in line with estimates. Hims & Hers Health — The telehealth stock popped 7.2% after third-quarter earnings exceeded expectations of analysts polled by FactSet on both lines. On the other hand, the company's $3.19 billion revenue missed estimates of $3.20 billion. Marqueta's $128 million revenue was just shy of the $128.1 million consensus from FactSet.
Persons: Donald Trump, Palantir, Rick Dreiling, Michael Creedon, FactSet, LSEG, Burger King, machinists, Astera, — CNBC's Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim, Yun Li, Sarah Min, Pia Singh Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, Republican, White, LSE, NXP, Wynn Resorts, Lattice Semiconductor, DuPont de Nemours, Restaurant, Burger, LSEG, Revenue, Diamondback Energy, Boeing —, Labs, Deutsche Bank, UBS, Deutsche Locations: Netherlands, Americas, Europe, San Francisco, Cleveland, Wells Fargo
Bitcoin, an asset tied to a Trump victory given the candidates courtship of the industry, soared to a record $75,000 . Heading into the election, investors and analysts pointed to several stocks and sectors that could benefit from a Trump win. Here's a roundup of some of those: Steel stocks If Trump regains the presidency, JPMorgan expects steel stocks to outperform . Related stocks that could outperform under a Trump victory include Nucor , Cleveland-Cliffs , Kaiser Aluminum and MP Materials , according to Peterson. Supporters of Trump have also used the stock as a way to invest in a Trump victory.
Persons: Donald Trump ., Trump, Kamala Harris, Here's, Bill Peterson, Peterson, UBS's, Goldman Sachs, Strategas, Lazard, Wolfe, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Marion Laboure, bitcoin, Nic Puckrin, David Zerzos, Zerzos, Marcelli, Seth Seifman, Russell, Joe Biden, IWM, , Halliburton, Trump's, ULTA, Michael Bloom, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Pia Singh Organizations: U.S, NBC, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Trump, JPMorgan, Aluminum, Financials Bank of America, of America, UBS's Trump, UBS, Swiss, Citigroup, Citizens, Wolfe Research, GOP, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, ISI, Deutsche Bank, Investors, Jefferies, Military, Strategas, Gas Energy, Evercore ISI, Exxon Mobil, Halliburton, Companies Locations: Nucor, Cleveland, U.S, China, U.S . Southern
Why Walmart is dominating the grocery wars
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy Walmart is dominating the grocery warsMichael Lasser, UBS equity research analyst, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss Walmart's grocery momentum, the state of the consumer going into 2025, and more.
Persons: Michael Lasser Organizations: Walmart, UBS
Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as buy Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with the stock following the release of the company's annual 10-K analysis. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Amazon as overweight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Amazon to $230 per share from $210. Morgan Stanley upgrades Entergy to equal weight from underweight Morgan Stanley said the energy company's outlook has improved. " Morgan Stanley upgrades Roblox to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said in its upgrade of the stock that it sees a long runway for growth. " Morgan Stanley downgrades STMicroelectronics to underweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said it sees too many headwinds from the semis manufacturer.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Price, Morgan Stanley, Apple, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, it's bullish, Rollins, William Blair, TSMC, Bernstein, Trip.com, Morgan Stanley downgrades STMicroelectronics, Hollister comps, Peter Stern, D.A, Davidson, AAPL Organizations: UBS, Berkshire, Citi, Apple, PlayStation, Barclays, Blackwell, Tencent, Entertainment, Trip.com, Bank of America, Inc, KeySight, Qs, Abercrombie & Fitch Citi, of America, " Bank of America, Meta, Walmart Locations: Kazakhstan, LA, China
Steel stocks would likely outperform under if former President Donald Trump returns to the White House, while clean energy providers might rally if Vice President Kamala Harris captures the presidency, according to JPMorgan. Clean Energy In the same 14-page report, JPMorgan shared the name of specific companies that are likely to benefit should either candidate prevail. Steel and aluminum Conversely, Peterson is bullish on steel and aluminum companies if former President Trump gets a second term. Shares of steel producer Nucor have tumbled nearly 18% in 2024 but could bounce back under a Trump victory, according to JPMorgan. Other potential winners under a Trump presidency include aluminum producer Kaiser Aluminum and rare-earth materials processor MP Materials , said JPMorgan.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Bill Peterson, Peterson, EBITDA, William Grippin, Trump, Morgan Stanley, Carlos De, Martin Englert Organizations: White, JPMorgan, Trump, EV, Department of Energy's, Office, Democratic, UBS, DOE, Power, Energy, Republican, Steel, Nippon Steel, U.S . Steel, Seaport Research Partners, Aluminum Locations: Los Angeles, adj, 2H25, Charlotte, Cleveland
Comcast's Mike Cavanagh said the company will explore ditching its cable networks. AdvertisementComcast said this week it might separate from its cable networks and marry off its streaming service. Mike Cavanagh, Comcast's president, floated the idea Thursday of spinning out cable networks like CNBC and MSNBC into a new firm while holding on to NBC. Several industry analysts said that Comcast could increase its valuation by divorcing itself from its declining cable networks, as it would help emphasize its burgeoning streaming business. "The cable networks likely have little value on their own.
Persons: Comcast's Mike Cavanagh, Peacock, , Mike Cavanagh, Cavanagh, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, isn't, John Hodulik, Craig Moffett, Moffett, Insider's Peter Kafka, Michael Hodel, Tim Nollen, Rich Greenfield, Greenfield, it's, David Zaslav, WBD, NBCU, Brandon Katz, Max, Katz Organizations: Wall Street, Service, Comcast, CNBC, MSNBC, NBC, Disney, ABC, Bank of America, Warner Bros, UBS, Morningstar, Lightshed Partners, Starz, WBD's, NBA, Paramount, Max Locations: MoffettNathanson, USA
Despite a somewhat mixed quarterly report, analysts on Wall Street are sticking by Apple . Goldman Sachs reiterates buy rating and $286 price target Analyst Michael Ng's forecast implies about 27% upside from Thursday's close. UBS stays neutral on Apple stock over 'muted' iPhone demand outlook The firm's $236 per share price target calls for about 4% upside. Bank of America remains unchanged with $256 per share target price Analyst Wamsi Mohan reiterated a buy rating on Apple. "With iPhones likely flat to modestly up into Dec, we expect iPhone growth to improve through F25 and beyond."
Persons: Tim Cook, Goldman Sachs, Michael Ng's, Ng, Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, Woodring, qtr, David Vogt, Wamsi Mohan, Mohan Organizations: Apple, CNBC, Wall, Apple Intelligence, UBS, Bank of America Locations: CY25
Citi reiterates Amazon as buy Citi said the e-commerce giant has "multiple catalysts for growth" following earnings on Thursday. Gordon Haskett upgrades Uber to buy from hold The firm said investors should buy the dip in Uber following earnings on Thursday. Goldman Sachs initiates Penguin Solutions as buy Goldman called Penguin a "high performance hardware solutions for enterprise AI at an attractive valuation." Wells Fargo downgrades Estee Lauder to equal weight from overweight Wells downgraded the stock following a disappointing earnings report on Thursday. KeyBanc upgrades Atlassian to overweight from sector weight KeyBanc upgraded the software company following earnings.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Gordon Haskett, Goldman, Wells, Estee Lauder, it'll, Atlassian, Kinder Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Arista, Datadog, it's, CFRA, Berkshire Hathaway, Jefferies Organizations: Apple, Apple Intelligence, Citi, Amazon, Penguin Solutions, Penguin, Suncor Energy, " Bank of America, Nvidia, Artificial, TAM, Bank of America, UBS, Intel, Mizuho, IDA, Energy Locations: Asia
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS Global Wealth Management: market still 'supportive for equities', but not overpricedBrenda O'Connor Juanas expects solid earnings in the tech space, adding that the macro environment remains supportive for equities, and financials and utilities look attractive from a valuation standpoint.
Persons: Brenda O'Connor Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management
With polling forecasting a close race in the U.S. presidential election , UBS is eyeing two baskets of stocks to prepare for either outcome. Overall, UBS said stocks within its Trump administration beneficiaries basket indicate a win for the former president next week. Here is a look at some of the stocks UBS has placed in each grouping. Also, a Trump administration could roll back some actions that were favorable to utilities with exposure to renewables. Other sectors that can benefit from a Harris win include homebuilding as well as child care and employment agencies, Garthwaite added.
Persons: Andrew Garthwaite, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Garthwaite, Harris, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Trump Organizations: U.S, UBS, Institute of International Finance, Trump, Citigroup, Goldman, Citi, Nike, Democratic Locations: U.S, China, Goldman Sachs, Beijing
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. election will not be an 'uneventful event' for markets, UBS chief Sergio Ermotti warnsUBS CEO Sergio Ermotti discusses the market outlook for the fourth-quarter, from macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty to the impact of the upcoming U.S. elections.
Persons: Sergio Ermotti Organizations: UBS
Experts told BI that all three companies face slumping EV sales and brutal competition in China. BMW and Mercedes-Benz have issued profit warnings in recent weeks amid slumping EV sales in Europe and brutal competition in China, while Volkswagen is also facing a reckoning. German carmakers are losing out to Chinese EV makers such as BYD. She added that Mercedes, BMW, and Volkswagen offer comparatively few hybrid and extended-range vehicles — categories that have proven extremely popular in China. Slow sales in EuropeAt the same time, Germany's automakers are also dealing with a slowdown in EV sales in Europe.
Persons: , Arno Antlitz, Mercedes, Hendrik Schmidt, Daniel Pier, Getty Images Helena Wisbert, Wisbert, Matthias Schmidt, Tesla, JENS SCHLUETER, that's Organizations: BMW, Mercedes, Benz, Service, Volkswagen, Wednesday VW, VW, dpa, China Passenger Car Association, Getty Images, Ostfalia University, Getty, European Union, Volkswagen Group, UBS Locations: Germany, China, Europe, North America, South America, China —, AFP
AMD's GPU sales are nearing CPU sales, driven by AI data center demand. AMD raised its 2024 GPU sales forecast to over $5 billion, up from $4.5 billion. AdvertisementWhat could also keep this dynamic from becoming permanent is the immaturity of the ecosystem around AMD GPUs. UBS analysts warned that 2025 may be yet another transition year in which AI data centers and GPU sales don't reach maturity — predicting higher GPU sales in 2026 than in 2025. The analysts expect $5 billion in GPU sales this year to reach around $8 billion next year.
Persons: , Lisa Su, Su, Morgan Stanley Organizations: AMD, Service, Bank of America, Nvidia, UBS
Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Bank of America reiterates Advanced Micro Devices as buy Bank of America said the stock is best positioned following earnings on Tuesday. JPMorgan reiterates First Solar as overweight The firm said the solar company is still best positioned following earnings on Tuesday. "Attractive entry point ahead of EDN's tariff review, a key value driver that could drive significant earnings growth & trigger stock re-rating. "We remain confident in BOOT's ability to deliver attractive relative earnings growth supported by compelling unit expansion opportunity." Raymond James downgrades Crocs to market perform from outperform Raymond James downgraded the shoe company following earnings citing margin pressures.
Persons: Wells, Reddit, Morgan Stanley, Raymond James, it's, Bernstein, Baird, Raymond James downgrades Qorvo, Barclays downgrades Lear, Goldman Sachs, Chipotle, Goldman, Raymond James downgrades Crocs, Wedbush downgrades Williams Organizations: Bank of America, Devices, AMD, JPMorgan, Catalyst, " Bank of America, DoJ, Citi, YouTube, Bank of, Holdings, of America, Incyte, Boeing, UBS, Barrick Gold, Barrick, Barclays, CMG, Walmart, Apple, Apple Intelligence, 3Q, 4Q, WSM Locations: China, OW, America, Sonoma
Microsoft set to report quarterly results after the close
  + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jordan Novet | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Microsoft will report results for its fiscal first quarter after the close of regular trading on Wednesday. Mobility and security services, along with some Windows revenue, will now be part of the Productivity and Business Processes unit, which includes Office software. Analysts expect $24.04 billion in revenue from the Intelligent Cloud segment that includes Azure cloud infrastructure. Amazon , which leads the cloud infrastructure market, is slated to report results after the close on Thursday. During the quarter, Microsoft worked to help customers recover after a flawed update to CrowdStrike security software brought down Windows PCs globally.
Persons: Satya Nadella, OpenAI Organizations: Partnership for Global Infrastructure, Microsoft, Productivity, Gartner, Windows, BlackRock, UBS, Capital, Nasdaq Locations: Borgo, Savelletri, Italy
Swiss banking titan UBS on Wednesday posted a large profit beat, after completing its first wave of client migrations following its integration of collapsed domestic rival Credit Suisse. Net profit attributable to shareholders came in at $1.43 billion, compared with a mean forecast of $667.5 million in a LSEG poll of analysts. UBS defends it is not "too big to fail." UBS still faces the lofty tasks of integrating its IT system with that of Credit Suisse, along with migrating clients — with the latter transition set to take around 18 months, Reuters reported earlier this month. The UBS results come after the profit beat of Germany's largest lender Deutsche Bank last Wednesday and join this week's spate of third-quarter reports from European lenders, including from BNP Paribas and Santander.
Persons: Sergio Ermotti, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: UBS, Wednesday, Credit Suisse, Credit Suisse —, Reuters, Swiss National Bank —, Deutsche Bank, BNP Paribas, Santander
The outcome of upcoming elections in the world's leading economy is set to ripple into global markets no matter who clinches leadership of the White House, UBS head Sergio Ermotti told CNBC on Wednesday. "We do expect, no matter who wins and the outcome, we do expect some market movements. Markets are bracing as voters flock to the polls on Nov. 5, with the U.S. holding both the world's foremost reserve currency and the largest stock exchange by market capitalization. Under a [Donald] Trump presidency, we see that as being inflationary on the back of his focus on immigration and on tariffs. But we don't see any outcome as being particularly growth positive.
Persons: Sergio Ermotti, CNBC's Annette Weisbach, Ermotti, Donald, Trump, Arun Sai, CNBC's Organizations: White House, UBS, CNBC, Swiss, U.S, U.S . Federal, . Treasury, Pictet Asset Management, Trump Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNo need to be 'purely defensive' because of US election risk, says CIOHartmut Issel, Head CIO Equities APAC at UBS Global Wealth Management, makes the case for investment-grade bonds and financials as strategic plays, regardless of who wins the presidency in the U.S. election race.
Persons: Hartmut Issel Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: U.S
Big Tech stocks have a high earnings bar to clear
  + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Overall S & P 500 profit growth is tracking below what analysts anticipated heading into the reporting period. Still, the S & P 500 is less than 1% below a record high reached earlier this month. Solita Marcelli, UBS Global Wealth Management chief investment officer for the Americas, also warned that high valuations could be a problem for megacap tech stocks as earnings roll out. Technical patterns based on price charts aren't too favorable, either, heading into megacap tech earnings. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) in June hit its highest level relative to the S & P 500 since March 2000 , when the dot-com bubble peaked.
Persons: Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Wells Fargo Organizations: Google, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, UBS Global Wealth Management, Netflix Locations: Americas
UBS updates its S&P year-end '25 target to $6,600
  + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS updates its S&P year-end '25 target to $6,600Alli McCartney, UBS Alignment Partners managing director, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the firm's new year-end target, what it reflects, and what gold's outperformance means for equity markets.
Persons: Alli McCartney Organizations: UBS, Partners
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