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☆ CNBC Daily Open: CPI’s higher than expected. Is it just a “janky” data point?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

SeongJoon Cho | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am totally comfortable with skipping [rate cuts for] a meeting if the data suggests that's appropriate," Bostic told The Wall Street Journal in an interview Thursday. The data suggests so. "This choppiness to me is along the lines of maybe we should take a pause in November," said Bostic, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee.

Persons: SeongJoon Cho, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Joseph Brusuelas, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: AMD, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Federal, Market, RSM Locations: Pike, Seattle , Washington, US

☆ The Federal Reserve may have pretty much just hit its 2% inflation target
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell arrives to a news conference following the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building on September 18, 2024 in Washington, DC. This week's inflation data provided more evidence that the Federal Reserve is nearing its objective, fresh on the heels of the central bank's dramatic interest rate cut just a few weeks ago. Consumer and producer price indexes for September both came in around expectations, showing that inflation is drifting down to the central bank's 2% target. The Wall Street investment bank on Friday projected that the Commerce Department's personal consumption expenditures price index for September will show a 12-month inflation rate of 2.04% when it is released later this month. The Fed prefers the PCE as its inflation gauge though it uses a variety of inputs to make decisions.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Austan Goolsbee Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Washington , DC, Commerce, Fed, PCE, Chicago Fed, CNBC Locations: Washington ,

☆ Wholesale prices were flat in September, below expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A measure of wholesale prices showed no change in September, pointing to a continued easing in inflation, the Labor Department reported Friday. The producer price index, which measures what producers get for their goods and services, was flat for the month and up 1.8% from a year ago. Within the PPI, a 0.2% decline in final demand goods prices offset a 0.2% increase in services. A 3% jump in deposit services costs pushed the services index higher, while professional and commercial equipment wholesaling prices tumbled 6.3%. Similarly, the index for gasoline fell 5.6%, holding back gains on the goods index.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Labor Department, PPI, Fed

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Don't ignore the risks as a dovish Fed drives markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Valerie Plesch | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Sentiment in markets, it seems, was buoyed by encouraging comments from the Fed. The Fed, in other words, is keeping a close eye on the economy and wants to make sure it maintains its smooth landing. It's as if Stephen Sondheim's musical "Into the woods to get the money," markets are merrily singing.

Persons: Valerie Plesch, Gregory Daco, Goldman Sachs, Stephen Suttmeier, Philip Jefferson reemphasized, we're, Mike Bailey, Stephen Sondheim's, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Sarah Min Organizations: Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Brent, Bank of America, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Apple, Micro Computer, Fed, FBB Capital Partners Locations: USA, Washington, Florida, U.S, Israel

☆ Inflation rate at 2.4% in September, topping expectations; jobless claims highest since August 2023
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Both readings were 0.1 percentage point above the Dow Jones consensus. The annual inflation rate was 0.1 percentage point lower than August. Excluding food and energy, core prices increased 0.3% on the month, putting the annual rate at 3.3%. Both core readings also were 0.1 percentage point above forecast. After a half percentage point reduction in September, the central bank is expected to continue cutting, though the pace and degree remain in question.

Persons: Justin Sullivan, Dow Jones Organizations: Labor Department, Dow, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Locations: Greenbrae , California, U.S

☆ Markets will be looking for any surprises out of Thursday's big inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Federal Reserve policymakers have been breathing easier lately regarding inflation, and that faith that they're closer to achieving their goal will get a key test Thursday. Specifically, the Labor Department's reading is expected to show an annual inflation rate of 2.2% and a monthly gain of just 0.1%, according to the Dow Jones consensus. However, following a much better than expected jobs report for September, Fed officials in recent days have indicated a likely more measured approach to cuts ahead. Details in Thursday's report will matter: Housing inflation has proven to be stubborn, though policymakers still expect lower rent renewals to feed into the data the months progress. The report hits just after the S & P 500 rose to a new record on Wednesday.

Persons: Dow Jones, Lorie Logan, Logan Organizations: Labor Department, Labor, Dallas

☆ Fed officials were divided on whether to cut rates by half a point in September, minutes show
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"A few participants also added that a 25 basis point move could signal a more predictable path of policy normalization." Since the meeting, economic indicators have showed that the labor market is perhaps stronger than officials favoring the 50 basis point move had expected. The minutes noted that the vote to approve the 50 basis point cut came "in light of the progress on inflation and the balance of risks" against the labor market. Though the document was more detailed about the debate over whether to approve the 25 basis point cut, there was not as much information about why voters supported the larger move. Since the Fed meeting, both the 10- and 2-year Treasury yields have surged about 40 basis points.

Persons: Michelle Bowman, nonfarm, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal, Market, Treasury Locations: WASHINGTON

☆ CNBC Daily Open: U.S. economy’s fine, but markets driven by fear
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets are back to contending with rising oil prices, inflation possibly reaccelerating, fewer-than-expected rate cuts and potentially even a distant recession. The yield curve inverted in early July 2022 and normalized in early September. It's not inconceivable, then, for investors who take stock in what the yield curve signals to panic a little.

Persons: IXIC, Brendan McDermid, That's, Jeff Cox, It's, David Roche, Bob Parker, – CNBC's, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Quantum, International Capital Markets Locations: U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Fear is the stock killer
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Michael M. Santiago | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The yield curve inverted in early July 2022 and normalized in early September. It's not inconceivable, then, for investors who take stock in what the yield curve signals to panic a little. But there's an undercurrent of fear that can perhaps run contrary to what some of those numbers are saying.

Persons: Michael M, That's, Jeff Cox, It's, David Roche, Bob Parker, – CNBC's, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, CNBC, Quantum, International Capital Markets Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Hurricane Milton could cause as much as $175 billion in damage, according to early estimates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Heavy traffic begins to back up on Interstate 275 South as residents evacuate St. Petersburg, Florida, ahead of Hurricane Milton, U.S., October 7, 2024. Hurricane Milton's once-in-a-century potential could cause damage of more than $50 billion, with the potential to leave behind devastation approaching $175 billion or more in a worst-case scenario, according to leading Wall Street analysts. That would be on top of the carnage already left behind by Hurricane Helene, posing a potential record-breaking path of wreckage. "A 1-in-100 year event is estimated by some to result in $175 [billion] in losses for landfall in the Tampa region, and $70 [billion] in losses in the [Fort] Myers region." The extent of the potential is hard to pin down and will depend on timing and location, with a landfall closer to Fort Myers being less costly.

Persons: Hurricane Milton's, Hurricane Helene, Jefferies, Yaron Kinar, Myers, Fort Myers, Hurricane Ian, Ian Organizations: Hurricane, Street Locations: St, Petersburg , Florida, Hurricane Milton, U.S, Tampa, Fort Myers

☆ CNBC Daily Open: September’s blockbuster jobs report changes the calculus
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Paul Bersebach | Medianews Group | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineOh, to be a fly on the wall when the U.S. Labor Department arrived at the final tally for September's jobs number. That's perhaps why stocks rose only tentatively on its release. For the week, S&P rose 0.22%, the Dow ticked up 0.09% and the Nasdaq increased 0.1% — a huge jump, considering it was down more than 1% at Thursday's close.

Persons: SPX, Paul Bersebach, payrolls, David Royal, –, Jeff Cox, Alex Harring, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Medianews, Getty, CNBC, U.S . Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Labor Locations: Lake Forest , CA, —, Thursday's

☆ CNBC Daily Open: September’s shockingly good jobs report changes everything
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Angus Mordant | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineOh, to be a fly on the wall when the U.S. Labor Department arrived at the final tally for September's jobs number. That's perhaps why stocks rose only tentatively on its release. For the week, S&P rose 0.22%, the Dow ticked up 0.09% and the Nasdaq increased 0.1% — a huge jump, considering it was down more than 1% at Thursday's close.

Persons: Angus Mordant, payrolls, David Royal, –, Jeff Cox, Alex Harring, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: HK UBI, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, U.S . Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Labor Locations: Albany, Latham , New York, —, Thursday's

☆ Goldman lowers recession odds to just 15%
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The bank's economists over the weekend lowered their recession probability to just 15%, which chief economist Jan Hatzius classified as the "unconditional long-term average." September's smashing nonfarm payrolls surge of 254,000 and a downward move in the unemployment rate served as a catalyst for the firm to nearly abandon the chance of a contraction. Prior to the report, traders had been betting that the Fed might repeat its 50 basis point — half percentage point — interest rate cut from September before the end of the year. But expectations have swung now, and Goldman concurs with market pricing that the "next few meetings" will see 25 basis point moves. That's about 1.5 percentage points lower than the current level and 2 full percentage points below the pre-September cut.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Hatzius, Goldman, Lisa Shallett, Morgan Stanley, Shallett Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ Fed close to pulling off the elusive economic soft landing in 2024 after great September jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"It also increases the possibility of a no-landing as well, meaning even stronger economic data for 2025 than we currently expect." watch nowBeyond that, it virtually eliminated any chance that the Federal Reserve would be repeating its half percentage point interest rate cut from September anytime soon. But broadly speaking, the news was very good and raised questions over just how aggressive the Fed will need to be. Jones said the Fed will have a dilemma on its hand as it figures out the proper policy response. "In an election year, passions run high and every economic report or event can garner intense reaction.

Persons: Anna Rose Layden, We've, Beth Ann Bovino, Friday's nonfarm, Dow Jones, Bovino, David Royal, Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab, Jones, they're, Elizabeth Renter Organizations: Outfitters, Getty, Federal Reserve, U.S . Bank, Fed, Fed Bank of America, Wall, U.S Locations: Tysons , Virginia, U.S

☆ U.S. job creation totaled 254,000 in September, much better than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

watch nowThe U.S. economy added far more jobs than expected in September, pointing to a vital employment picture as the unemployment rate edged lower, the Labor Department reported Friday. Nonfarm payrolls surged by 254,000 for the month, up from a revised 159,000 in August and better than the 150,000 Dow Jones consensus forecast. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, down 0.1 percentage point. Strength in job creation spilled over to wages, as average hourly earnings increased 0.4% on the month and were up 4% from a year ago. You get upward revisions and it tells you the job market continues to be healthy, and that means the economy is healthy."

Persons: Nonfarm payrolls, Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Organizations: Labor Department, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: October’s gravity bringing stocks down
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Michael M. Santiago | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. But gravity is catching up with stocks in October, which tends to be a volatile month. If the number of jobs added comes in higher than expected, markets are likely to react well. With the jobs report out in about 12 hours, it's too late for second guessing, in any case.

Persons: Michael M, Dow Jones, David Kelly, Kelly, it's, –, Jeff Cox, Alex Harring, Pia Singh Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow, U.S . Federal Reserve, Asset Management Locations: New York City

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Stocks can’t defy October’s gravity
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. [PRO] How to play the jobs report The U.S. jobs report for September, coming out later today, will indicate if the economy will be able to achieve a soft landing or is headed toward a recession. Analysts at JPMorgan break down how the S&P 500 could react , depending on the number of jobs added for September. With the jobs report out in about 12 hours, it's too late for second guessing, in any case.

Persons: AI's, Nvidia's, Blackwell, Jensen Huang, Dow Jones, David Kelly, Kelly, it's, –, Jeff Cox, Alex Harring, Pia Singh Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, JPMorgan, Nvidia, Port, U.S, International Longshoremen's Association, United States Maritime Alliance, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, U.S . Federal Reserve, Asset Management Locations: New York City, U.S, East, Gulf Coast

☆ Here's everything to expect when the September jobs report is released Friday
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

"The jobs market is slowing down and becoming less tight," said Katie Nixon, chief investment officer at Northern Trust Wealth Management. Then there are the monthly revisions that have been dramatic at times, causing the Labor Department to overcount hiring by more than 800,000 for the 12-month period through March 2024, adding uncertainty to jobs market analysis. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the report at 8:30 a.m. Looking for cluesStill, markets will in fact be watching the report closely. At the same meeting where they approved the reduction, policymakers indicated another half percentage point, or 50 basis points, in cuts before the end of 2024 and another full percentage point in 2025.

Persons: Angus Mordant, Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Katie Nixon, We've, there's, David Kelly, Helene —, JPMorgan's Kelly, Kelly Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, Trust Wealth Management, Labor Department, Asset Management, Labor Statistics Locations: Albany, Latham , New York

☆ Costco adds platinum bars to its precious metals lineup
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +1 min

Costco continues to chip away at the gold mine that is the precious metals market. The wholesaler is adding Swiss-made platinum bars to its selection. Costco on Wednesday announced the 1-ounce platinum bars, on sale for $1,089.99 on its website alongside its now-famed gold bars and silver coins. Gold bars launched at Costco in August 2023, and not even two months later were selling out within hours of a restock. Analysts at Wells Fargo reported in April that Costco was selling as much as $200 million worth of gold bars a month.

Persons: It’s, “ I’ve, ”, Richard Galanti, —, Jeff Cox Organizations: Costco, Wednesday Locations: Swiss, Louisiana , Nevada, Puerto Rico, Wells

☆ Private payrolls show better-than-expected growth of 143,000 in September, ADP says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Private sector hiring picked up in September, indicating the labor market is holding its ground despite some signs of weakness, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. While hiring increased, the rate of pay growth took another step down. The ADP count comes two days ahead of the Labor Department's nonfarm payrolls report, which is expected to show growth of 150,000, following August's disappointing showing of 142,000, of which 118,000 came from private sector hiring. While the ADP report serves as a precursor to the official count, the two can differ, sometimes by wide margins. In a speech Monday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell characterized the labor market as "solid" while noting that it has "clearly cooled" over the past year.

Persons: Dow Jones, switchers, Job, nonfarm, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Companies, Labor, Federal Reserve

☆ The East and Gulf Coast ports strike could be a no-win situation for the Biden administration
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Lori Ann Larocco | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

President Biden said on Tuesday that his administration will be "monitoring for any price gouging activity" that benefits foreign ocean carriers, including those on the USMX board. He also said "foreign ocean carriers have made record profits since the pandemic, when Longshoremen put themselves at risk to keep ports open." UBS forecast that 20% of Maersk's total volume would touch a U.S. port that would be impacted by the strike. Acting Secretary Julie Su lashed out at the idea that labor wage increases would be passed onto U.S. exporters and importers. I know they understand, just as consumers and American workers understand, that foreign companies who profit from our economy and who employ American workers and have an impact on American consumers should do the right thing, and in that battle, we are always going to stand with American workers, American businesses and American consumers."

Persons: Biden, Longshoremen, majeure, Daggett, Harold Daggett, Lars Jenson, Pete Buttigieg, Julie Su, Taft, Hartley, Buttigieg, Larry Lindsey, Su, Peter Friedmann, I've, nonfarm, Helene, switchers, they're, Jim Bianco, CNBC's, Peter Boockvar, Alan Baer, Steve Lamar, Taft Hartley, Lamar, CNBC's Jeff Cox Organizations: CMA, U.S, United States Maritime Alliance, Vespucci, Federal Reserve, Transportation, Labor, International Longshoremen's Association, UBS, Maersk, Federal Maritime Commission, ILA, Boeing, The Lindsey Group, Agriculture Transportation Coalition, Bianco Research, Bleakley Financial, USA, American Apparel and Footwear Association, Biden Administration, — Locations: East, Gulf Coast, U.S, autoworkers

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Minor turbulence for the soft landing
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Kirk Side | Houston Chronicle | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Port workers along the U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast started striking Tuesday. Higher oil prices pose a risk to inflation resurging, or at least slowing less than everyone is hoping for. The best-case scenario would be that recent events are just minor turbulence on the way to a soft landing.

Persons: Seabrook . Kirk, Kathy Hochul, Adam Kamins, Christopher Ball, Piper Sandler, Campbell, It's, Steve Liesman, Jeff Cox, Fred Imbert, Lori Ann LaRocco, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Brian Evans Organizations: Houston Chronicle, CNBC, U.S ., Gulf Coast, New, Moody's, Quinnipiac University, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Apple Locations: Seabrook ., Port, U.S, U.S . East Coast, New York, New Jersey, Iran, Major U.S, East

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Soft landing hit by minor turbulence
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Mark Felix | Afp | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Port workers along the U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast started striking Tuesday. It's just the first days of the port strike and flare-up in Middle East tensions, however. The best-case scenario would be that recent events are just minor turbulence on the way to a soft landing.

Persons: Mark Felix, Kathy Hochul, Adam Kamins, Christopher Ball, Piper Sandler, Campbell, It's, Steve Liesman, Jeff Cox, Fred Imbert, Lori Ann LaRocco, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Brian Evans Organizations: Afp, Getty, CNBC, U.S ., Gulf Coast, New, Moody's, Quinnipiac University, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Apple Locations: Seabrook , Texas, Port, U.S, U.S . East Coast, New York, New Jersey, Iran, Major U.S, East

☆ Port strike could reignite inflation, with larger economic impact dependent on how long it lasts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Port of Miami dockworkers strike near the port entrance and demand a new labor contract, on October 1, 2024 in Miami, Florida. One rule of thumb is that for each strike day, it takes nearly a week to get ports operating at normal levels. watch now"We think fears around the potential economic impacts are overdone," wrote Bradley Saunders, North America economist at Capital Economics. "Frequent shocks to supply chains in recent years have left producers more attuned to the risks of running low inventories. "There is little chance that the administration would risk jeopardizing its recent economic successes less than two months before a tightly-contested election," he said.

Persons: Giorgio Viera, Joe Biden, Taft, Hartley, Joseph Brusuelas, Andrew Hollenhorst, Bradley Saunders, Saunders, there's Organizations: Afp, Getty, International Longshoreman's Association, U.S . Maritime Alliance, Labor, RSM, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Citigroup, New, New York Fed, Capital Economics, ILA Locations: Miami, Miami , Florida, East, Gulf, U.S, United States, West Coast, New York, North America

☆ How the port strike could impact the U.S. economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow the port strike could impact the U.S. economyCNBC's Jeff Cox reports on how the strike at ports around the United States could reignite inflation and impact the economy.

Persons: Jeff Cox Locations: United States

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