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☆ The stage is set for 2 rate cuts this year, but investors need to be careful adding more exposure to the stock market, JPMorgan strategy chief says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Recent data sets the Fed up to cut interest rates twice this year, JPMorgan's David Kelly said. The bank's chief global strategist predicted Fed rate cuts were coming in September and December. Yet, he warned that stocks are expensive, and investors should be wary of adding exposure at high valuations. The chief global strategist predicted central bankers would begin dialing back interest rates at the September policy meeting, with another cut likely in December. But rate cuts shouldn't be the signal for investors to flock to the stock market, Kelly said.

Persons: JPMorgan's David Kelly, —, David Kelly, That's, Kelly, We've, John Hussman Organizations: Service, Asset, CNBC

☆ UK inflation is finally back at 2%. Here’s why rate cuts are still ‘off the table’
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-19 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

That suggests the Bank of England won’t follow the European Central Bank in cutting interest rates when it meets Thursday. A rate cut in August, when UK policymakers meet next, is now also less likely. Other economists, including analysts at Nomura, thought an August rate cut was still possible if pay rises and the price of services cooled further. “For an August rate cut, we will need other economic news to play ball,” the analysts wrote in a note. UK inflation peaked at 11.1% in October 2022, driven to a 41-year high by surging food and energy costs.

Persons: ”, Zara Noakes, Rebecca Florisson, Jake Finney Organizations: London CNN —, Bank of, Bank of England, European Central Bank, JPMorgan Asset Management, Nomura, “ Workers, Work Foundation, Lancaster University, PwC Locations: United Kingdom, England, United States, Europe

☆ Risk assets make sense as long as our base case remains soft landing, says JPMorgan's Priya Misra
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRisk assets make sense as long as our base case remains soft landing, says JPMorgan's Priya MisraPriya Misra, JPMorgan Asset Management fixed income portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, the Fed's rate path outlook, strength of the labor market, and more.

Persons: JPMorgan's Priya Misra Priya Misra Organizations: JPMorgan, Management

☆ Investors are hoarding cash, a tidal wave of non-tech earnings is quietly rising, and 3 other fascinating takeaways from JPMorgan Asset Management's mid-year outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Since then, those technology titans have crushed the rest of the market in earnings growth and returns. By contrast, the other 493 stocks in the S&P 500 saw their earnings fall in 2023. The firm is calling for 17% earnings growth in the fourth quarter, both for stocks in and out of the Magnificent 7. All 11 market sectors will enjoy earnings growth in Q4 for the first time since Q2 of 2021, according to JPMAM's projections. That includes healthcare, energy, and materials, which saw earnings decline earlier this year.

Persons: Tesla, Stocks, Santos, JPMAM Organizations: Asset Management, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia

☆ Inflation's moving away slowly and Fed will cut rates this year, says JPMorgan's Priya Misra
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation's moving away slowly and Fed will cut rates this year, says JPMorgan's Priya MisraPriya Misra, JPMorgan Asset Management fixed income portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss inflation's trajectory, the bifurcation in views on outcomes, and much more.

Persons: JPMorgan's Priya Misra Priya Misra Organizations: JPMorgan, Management

With average credit card interest rates at 21.59% as of February 2024 per the Federal Reserve, carrying any amount of credit card debt can become costly in a hurry. Can a debt consolidation loan actually make debt worse? "Their credit score tanks, which means they can't get another debt consolidation loan or even a credit card," said Dvorkin. Debt consolidation doesn't solve spending issuesFinancial expert Andrea Woroch points out that debt consolidation may be nothing more than a Band-Aid if you don't identify and fix the poor money management habits that got you into debt in the first place. Some debt consolidation loans have additional risksFinally, remember that some types of loans you can use for debt consolidation have a unique set of risks.

Persons: Howard Dvorkin, they're, Andrea Woroch, Kendall Meade, SoFi, Meade, Anne Lester, Lester Organizations: Federal Reserve, Business, Solutions, Asset Management

☆ Biden’s trade chief walks back comments contradicting Biden on tariffs and inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Matt Egan | Kayla Tausche | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Research shows that former President Donald Trump’s tariffs on China did indeed raise prices on consumers and businesses — despite his claims otherwise. The study found tariffs imposed by former President Donald Trump did not meaningfully contribute to inflation. “The new Biden tariffs, like the more extensive ones that Trump has promised, will worsen US inflation. It is fair to debate how much the Biden tariffs will impact inflation because they are not nearly as widespread as what Trump imposed and what Trump is promising if he’s reelected. Trump enacted sweeping tariffs on $300 billion in Chinese imports, setting off a trade war between the world’s two biggest economies.

Persons: Katherine Tai, Joe Biden’s, ” Tai, —, Donald Trump’s, Tai, Angela Perez, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Tai’s, “ Trump, ” Biden, “, Alex Durante, Tai’s “, Maury Obstfeld, Biden, ”, Trump, he’s, ” Perez, White, Morgan, Daleep Singh, Jen Psaki, Jared Polis, ” Polis, Ed Mills, Raymond James, David Kelly, ” Kelly Organizations: New, New York CNN, US, White, Research, CNN, US International Trade Commission, “, China, Tax, Obama, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Biden, Atlantic Council, Bretton, Committee, ”, Colorado Gov, Republicans, Asset Management Locations: New York, China, Ukraine, EVs, Europe

☆ Former SEC Chair Jay Clayton on meme stocks craze: It bothers me, it is 'certainly not investing'
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer SEC Chair Jay Clayton on meme stocks craze: It bothers me, it is 'certainly not investing'Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management chief markets strategist for the Americas, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the risk of hard landing, and more.

Persons: Jay Clayton, Gabriela Santos Organizations: SEC, JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ JPMorgan’s Gabriela Santos: The hard landing risk is always there, but it's decreased
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJPMorgan’s Gabriela Santos: The hard landing risk is always there, but it's decreasedGabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management chief markets strategist for the Americas, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the risk of hard landing, and more.

Persons: JPMorgan’s Gabriela Santos, Gabriela Santos Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ The 'cash is trash' mantra just makes me laugh, JPMorgan's Bill Eigen
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe 'cash is trash' mantra just makes me laugh, JPMorgan's Bill EigenBill Eigen, JPMorgan Asset Management head of the absolute return and opportunistic fixed income team, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, why interest rate hike may actually be boosting the economy, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.

Persons: Bill Eigen Bill Eigen Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ These are the top business-development execs competing to hire elite portfolio managers at hedge fund giants Citadel, Millennium, Point72, and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Alex Morrell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +34 min

Unlike business development in corporate America, which focuses on growing a company's prospects with partners and clients, hedge fund BD teams specialize in scouting, evaluating, and wooing investment talent. AdvertisementFew have been involved in hedge fund BD longer than Jennifer Blake, Balyasny's global head. The fund's BD department remains in close contact with PMs after they join as a resource and advisor. Vernon Yuen/Getty Images$61 billion AUM2,200+ employeesAdvertisementKen Griffin's Citadel has outperformed not just its immediate rivals but every other hedge fund. He runs a team of about 20 as head of business development in the Americas, the largest region of the largest player in this space.

Persons: —, Griffin's, Izzy Englander's, Goldman Sachs, Headcount, execs, Dmitry Balyasny, Brendan McDermid, Jennifer Blake, Balyasny's, Morgan Stanley, Dmitri Balyasny's, Blake, it's, Federico Chavarria, Balyasny, Dave Matz, Smith Hanley, Alistair Jacobs, Dave Black, Peter Appel, Federico Chavarria MD, Andrew McHugh, Jules Biolsi, Michael Platt, he's, BlueCrest, Michael Grad, Grad, Jake Lindsay, Mungo Strachan, BlueCrest's, Brevan Howard Brevan Howard, Alan Howard, Ringo Chiu, Brevan Howard, Alan Howard's, Aran Landy, Brevan, Abu, It's, Landy, Howard, Peter Hornick, David Abbou, Jonathan Candy, Gregoire Vidal, Vidal, Tim Williams, Andy Silver, Gautam, Ken Griffin, Vernon Yuen, Ken Griffin's, Griffin, Matt Giannini, Giannini, headhunter, Matt, I've, — Thomas DeAngelis, Lindsay Previdi, Rice, Dore, Eleanor Sharkey, Melinda Urban, Mark Hansen, Julian Ulmer, Mathur, Adam Sharkie, Michael Page, Eisler, Edward Eisler, Sam Wisnia, Chris Milner, Milner, Hilary Curran, Hilary Curran Global, Rebecca Zisser, Michael Gelband, Hornick, Jeff Gelband, Mike Tiano, Eric Han, Garrett Berg, Liu, APAC Blackstone, Euan Shand, Kevin Carroll, Emily, Needham, Ostendorf, Ben Levine, Stefan Renold, LMR, Marcus Fairhurst, He'd, LMR's, Izzy, Ronda, Singh, Mark Meskin, Justin Gmelich, Steve Keller, Benjamin Williams, Madhvani, Paritosh Singh, Ben Williams, Kristina Tully, Steven Cohen, Point72, Shayanne, Steve Cohen's, Harry Schwefel, Chandler, Steve Cohen, JT Shields, They're, Schwefel, Alyssa Friedman —, Chandler Bocklage, Reid Murphy, Jae Yang, Japan Goldman Sachs, Alyssa Friedman, Jackie Dai, Gabriel Sanders, Ajay, Steven Schonfeld, Michael Nagle, Steve Schonfeld's, Ryan Tolkin, Schonfeld, doesn't, Akshay Aggarwal, Alex Burns, Ryan McCort, Colin Lancaster, Mitesh, Sameer Buch, Brittany Lynch, DMFI, Goldman, Verition, Nicholas Maounis, Josh Goldstein, Brian Townes, Townes, Elizabeth Xiang MD, Vir, Steve Satenstein, Chris Svoboda, Will England, Thomas DeAngelis, DeAngelis, Jonathan Brenner, hasn't, Maureen Reed, John Sullivan, Brenner, Walleye's Organizations: Service, Management, Wall, Business, Balyasny, Balyasny Asset Management, Quadra Advisors, SAC, Macquarie, BD, UBS, Grad, Financial Times, Michael, Lascaux, Howard BD, Brevan, Argentum Advisors, BH Digital, McKinsey & Company, JPMorgan, Ken Griffin's Citadel, Citadel, Citadel's, decamping, Chicago, Citadel BD, Walleye Capital, of Surveyor, Millennium, Capital, Credit, Ashler, Rice, Deutsche Bank, LMR Partners, London, Dore Partnership, Soros, Soros Fund, Ronda Churchill, Bloomberg, Getty, Guggenheim, Industry, MLP, Americas Guggenheim, Americas Citadel, SAC Capital, SEC, Point72 Academy, Citigroup, BD Energi, Japan, EMEA, APAC BNP, Schonfeld, PAAMCO, KKR, DMC Partners, Topwater, LinkedIn, New, New Holland Capital, BD —, Walleye, Lehman Brothers, Hutchin, Putnam Investments, ~$ Locations: America, Asia, Balyasny, Blackstone, New Holland, Abu Dhabi, BlueCrest, Europe, Graticule, ExodusPoint, Hornick, Freestone, New York, Schonfeld, Brevan, he's, Aberdeen, Hong Kong, Zurich, Glasgow, Dubai, Americas, Point72, quant, Verition, London, Greenland, Minnesota, Citadel

☆ Kelsey Berro: Current interest rate environment will be sufficient over time to slow the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKelsey Berro: Current interest rate environment will be sufficient over time to slow the economyKelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management fixed income portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's decision to hold rates steady, impact on the fixed income market, and more.

Persons: Kelsey Berro Organizations: JPMorgan, Management

☆ The 10-year Treasury is still very much priced for a 2% inflation world: JPMorgan's Oksana Aronov
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe 10-year Treasury is still very much priced for a 2% inflation world: JPMorgan's Oksana AronovOksana Aronov, JPMorgan Asset Management head of market strategy for alternative fixed income, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's inflation fight, why she believes it's too soon to say if the Fed will cut or hike rates at their December meeting, the fixed income market, and more.

Persons: Oksana Aronov Oksana Aronov, it's Organizations: Treasury, JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ The market is in a more heightened geopolitical risk environment, says JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market is in a more heightened geopolitical risk environment, says JPMorgan's Gabriela SantosGabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management chief markets strategist for the Americas, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, the Fed's rate path outlook, and more.

Persons: JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos Gabriela Santos Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ Why the Fed keeping rates higher for longer may not be such a bad thing
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-24 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

So the question is, are we going to have issues if rates remain higher for longer?" But financial markets, despite a recent 5.5% selloff for the S&P 500, have largely held up amid the higher-rate landscape. Higher rates can be a good signHistory tells differing stories about the consequences of a hawkish Fed, both for markets and the economy. Higher rates are generally a good thing so long as they're associated with growth. Futures market pricing implies a fed funds rate of 4.32% by December 2025, indicating a higher rate trajectory.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Mandel Ngan, Quincy Krosby, Krosby, Paul Volcker, David Kelly, Kelly, —, Goldman Sachs, Loretta Mester Organizations: Federal Reserve, Financial, Afp, Getty, LPL, Fed, Asset Management, Market, Cleveland Fed, European Union Locations: Washington , DC

☆ Oil prices won't be permanently higher unless there's more global economic growth, says JPM's Kelly
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil prices won't be permanently higher unless there's more global economic growth, says JPM's KellyDavid Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if oil prices could rise further from today's levels, the stock market's next growth catalyst, and more.

Persons: JPM's Kelly David Kelly Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ Hiring pace is likely to slow down, says JPMorgan Asset Management's Priya Misra
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHiring pace is likely to slow down, says JPMorgan Asset Management's Priya MisraPriya Misra, JPMorgan Asset Management fixed income portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, when is the good time to cut interest rates, and more.

Persons: Priya Misra Priya Misra Organizations: JPMorgan, Management

☆ The market again has adjusted its view on rate cuts, with as few as two now expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"While investors seem to be anxiously awaiting easing monetary policy, the current environment does not quite scream 'rate cuts!'" That sentiment has manifested itself lately in market pricing. That same day, the Labor Department will release the CPI report, which is expected to show the headline inflation rate rising 3.4% in March on a year-over-year basis, per Dow Jones. This is nonetheless "the right time to cut rates," wrote David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management. "What has underpinned this market is the promise of a series of rate cuts including March, and now it has dwindled to just a few rate cuts.

Persons: Glenmede, Dow Jones, David Kelly, Kelly, Nicholas Colas, Colas, Ed Yardeni, nonfarm, Quincy Krosby, Krosby Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investors, Labor Department, Asset Management, Fed, DataTrek, Yardeni, LPL

☆ Make these 4 moves to capitalize on one of the best investing opportunities in 50 years, according to a top-1% fund manager who's dominated in the last decade
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewAlthough US stocks have been all the rage this year, a top-performing fund manager remains convinced that the most compelling investing opportunities are in international equities. Its 80% gain over the past five years is more than double that of the STOXX Europe 600 and is six-fold above the 13% return of Vanguard's Total International Stock Index ETF (VXUS). The Brandes International Equity Fund has been in the top 10% of its category in the last 10 years, according to Morningstar, which includes a top-1% finish in 2023. AdvertisementOnce the fund manager finds stocks that fit this bill, he thinks more like a business owner than a stock trader. Of all the opportunities in international markets, Germain is especially drawn to four stocks across various countries and industries.

Persons: —, Jeff Germain, Germain, David Kelly, Brandes, He's, " Germain, Royce Organizations: Service, Vanguard's, Stock, Business, Brandes Investment Partners, Brandes International Equity Fund, JPMorgan Asset Management, Morningstar, Heidelberg, Embraer, Royce, Heineken Locations: German, Brazil, Britain

☆ 'Good times beget good times': JPMorgan Asset Management's global strategy chief explains why expensive US stocks can keep rising — and 4 top places to invest now
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Read previewHistory says US stocks' idyllic start to the year is sustainable, as does the chief global strategist at $2.9 trillion JPMorgan Asset Management. Advertisement"The market has momentum, and so good times beget good times," Kelly told Business Insider in a recent interview. JPMorgan Asset Management"There is a certain amount of fluff in those valuations, and I think that is somewhat dangerous," Kelly said. JPMorgan Asset ManagementOutside equities, Kelly said investors should consider adding exposure to alternative assets like real estate and transportation. "The overall buffet table of investment opportunities is being expanded, even for individual investors," Kelly said.

Persons: —, David Kelly, Kelly, David Rosenberg, Jon Wolfenbarger, Rosenberg, Kelly doesn't, it's, Kelly didn't Organizations: Service, Asset Management, Business, JPMorgan Asset Management, Bulls, Apple, JPMorgan, Management, Companies, Nikkei, P Transportation, Trust Nasdaq Transportation Locations: Truist, Europe, United Kingdom, Japan

☆ We're in a 'high for longer' rate environment right now, says JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're in a 'high for longer' rate environment right now, says JPMorgan's Gabriela SantosGabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management chief markets strategist for the Americas, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, Treasury yields, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.

Persons: JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos Gabriela Santos Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ The US immigration surge saved the economy, record credit-card debt isn't an issue, and 4 other surprising takeaways from JPMorgan Asset Management's latest quarterly guide
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-31 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

For a while, Kelly couldn't figure out whether there would be a recession, given how mixed signals were muddying the waters. Most economists now agree that there won't be a downturn, but one of the main explanations Kelly gave as to why may be shocking. Besides adding jobs, which tends to boost economic growth, Kelly noted that the presence of cheap workers has kept a lid on wage growth and, by extension, inflation. "But you could say that it has widened the runway for the soft landing. It's made it easier for us to achieve a soft landing."

Persons: Kelly couldn't, Kelly, —, he's Organizations: Management, US Department of Homeland Security, Pew Research Center

☆ The housing market is thawing as an increasing number of 'mortgage lock' homes go up for sale, JPMorgan says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-29 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The housing market looks to be gradually approaching a recovery. A growing number of mortgage-locked homes are going up for sale, JPMorgan said. AdvertisementThe housing market looks like it's starting to thaw, thanks to a growing number of mortgage-locked sellers who are opting to put their homes on the market anyway, according to JPMorgan Asset Management. Homeowners could now be more willing to dip into the housing market, as many are realizing high mortgage rates aren't going away anytime soon, real estate economists have said. Researchers from the Federal Housing Finance Agency recently warned that the mortgage lock-in effect could linger for years to come, barring a sudden drop in mortgage rates.

Persons: —, Stephanie Aliaga, Aliaga Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Asset Management, National Association of Realtors, Homeowners, Fed, Buyers, Federal Housing Finance Agency

☆ There's no impetus for Fed Chair Powell to do anything, says JPMorgan's Oksana Aronov
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's no impetus for Fed Chair Powell to do anything, says JPMorgan's Oksana AronovOksana Aronov, JPMorgan Asset Management head of market strategy and alternative fixed income, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the fixed income market, the Fed's interest rate decision, and more.

Persons: Powell, JPMorgan's Oksana Aronov Oksana Aronov Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ Three rate cuts look appropriate this year: JPMorgan's Phil Camporeale
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThree rate cuts look appropriate this year: JPMorgan's Phil CamporealePhil Camporeale, JPMorgan Asset Management portfolio manager, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss Camporeale's portfolio, which can withstand no rate cuts this year, what JPMorgan is focused on, and more.

Persons: Phil Camporeale Phil Camporeale Organizations: JPMorgan, Management

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