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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAn Israeli attack on Iran's oil bases would have a 'dramatic effect' on oil prices, strategist saysJohn Driscoll, chief strategist at JTD Energy Services, discusses the outlook for the oil market.
Persons: John Driscoll Organizations: JTD Energy Services
Oil prices fall by more than $1 on deflation worries in China
  + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices fell by more than $1 a barrel, losing over 1.5% in early trading on Monday, after disappointing Chinese inflation data and a lack of clarity on Beijing's economic stimulus plans stoked fears about demand. In the U.S. market, energy firms last week added oil and natural gas rigs for the first time in four weeks, according to a closely followed report by energy services firm Baker Hughes. The oil and gas rig count, an early indicator of future output, rose by one to 586 in the week to Oct. 11. The impact of Hurricane Milton boosted short-term demand in the U.S. as evacuations supported gasoline consumption, but weak demand dominated the fundamentals outlook. Oil major BP posted a $600 million drop in its third-quarter profit on Friday because of weak refining margins amid a slowdown in global oil use.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Baker Hughes, Hurricane Milton Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, National Bureau of Statistics, China Ministry of Finance Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, East, Florida, The U.S, Iran, Israel, Hurricane
According to Clearview Energy Partners, Russian crude prices over the last four weeks have averaged about six cents below the Brent crude price. Record volumes of sanctioned Russian oil were carried by the "dark fleet" and known sanctioned tankers without known insurance over September, according to a recent report from Lloyd's List. The Price Cap Coalition continues to engage with industry to ensure compliance with the price cap and to increase Putin's costs of going outside it." The increased use of dark fleet vessels comes with greater maritime safety and environmental risks. Insurance giant Allianz said in May that dark fleet tankers had been linked to more than 50 accidents.
Persons: Kevin Book, Vortexa, Avebury, Andy Lipow, Putin, Lipow Organizations: Windward, Clearview Energy Partners, CNBC, European Union, Brent, Intelligence, Iranian Tanker Co, U.S . Office, Foreign, Control, Lipow Oil Associates, Treasury, Kremlin, Coalition, Group, Insurance, Allianz Locations: Morocco, U.S, Ukraine, Australia, India, China, Russian, Barbados, Seychelles, UAE, Avebury Shipmanagement . Greece, Russia, United States, Iran, Israel, Straits, Hormuz, Canada, Guyana
Investors need to be wary as sticky inflation remains a risk, Deutsche Bank says. But it's not yet time for investors to relax, Deutsche Bank wrote on Monday. "If inflation does return, this could have very important implications for markets," Deutsche Bank strategists said. While that much is true, history shows that easing cycles are precisely the time to be cautious over inflation, Deutsche said. The firm cited the fact that in August, US M2 money supply rose 2.0% year-over-year, the highest growth rate since September 2022.
Persons: , Brent, Deutsche Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Service, Federal Reserve, Deutsche, Atlanta Locations: China, Israel, Iran, Iranian
The US is sending more troops and an anti-missile system to Israel. The THAAD system will bolster Israel's air defense against incoming threats, the Pentagon said. AdvertisementThe United States is sending troops and an anti-missile defense system to Israel. AdvertisementMultiple outlets, citing the Pentagon, reported that the US will send about 100 troops to operate the air defense system. The United States has about 40,000 troops deployed in the wider Middle East, the Associated Press reported.
Persons: , Joe Biden, Lloyd Austin, Israel, Hassan Nasrallah, Pat Ryder Organizations: Pentagon, Service, Defense, Israel, US, United, Associated Press Locations: Israel, Iran, States, Lebanon, Syria, United States
U.S. officials believe Israel has narrowed down what they will target in their response to Iran’s attack, which these officials describe as Iranian military and energy infrastructure. There is no indication that Israel will target nuclear facilities or carry out assassinations, but U.S. officials stressed that the Israelis have not made a final decision about how and when to act. U.S. and Israeli officials said a response could come during the Yom Kippur holiday. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin spoke with his Israeli counterpart, Yoav Gallant, last night and they discussed broad strokes about an Israeli response. U.S. officials have continued to urge the Israeli government to make their response proportional, sticking to military targets and avoiding oil, gas and nuclear facilities.
Persons: Israel, Ismail Haniyeh, Hassan Nasrallah, Defense Lloyd Austin, Yoav Gallant, it’s, Gallant, Joe Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Biden, Netanyahu Organizations: U.S, Defense Locations: Israel, Iran, Lebanon, Tehran, Beirut, The U.S, U.S, Gaza
But after launching hundreds of ballistic missiles at Israel in two separate barrages, what has Iran to show for it? The October strike by 180 ballistic missiles saw a higher percentage of rockets penetrate defenses. All of which raises a question: is the danger of ballistic missiles overhyped? In 2015, Iranian-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen began a bombardment campaign against Saudi Arabia that included ballistic missiles. Ilia Yefimovich/picture alliance via Getty ImagesIt is not that conventional ballistic missiles aren't lethal, especially the modern versions.
Persons: , Hitler, Ilia Yefimovich, doesn't, Michael Peck Organizations: Service, Israeli Air Force, Soviet Union, British, Fortress, Getty, Minuteman, Soviet, Patriot, Aegis, Allied, South, Defense, Foreign Policy, Rutgers Univ, Twitter, LinkedIn Locations: Israel, Ukraine, Iran, Britain, Jordan, Nazi Germany, Western Europe, British Lancaster, Iraq, Iranian, Yemen, Saudi Arabia, America, Russia, Nodong, Tehran, Europe, Berlin, North Vietnam, South Vietnam, Lebanon, Gaza, Forbes
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — Bracing itself for a retaliatory strike for last week’s ballistic missile attack, Iran has been urging its Arab neighbors not to allow Israel to use their airspace as part of any potential attack, two diplomats from Gulf nations told NBC News Friday. Israel has vowed to respond to the strikes and while the nature and timing of the attack remain unclear, Iran warned countries that do help Israel in any way could potentially become part of a war, one of the diplomats said. His death came days after several Hezbollah leaders were killed by exploding pagers and walkie-talkies, an attack which Israel was widely believed to have been behind. Both militant groups are backed by Tehran and Pezeshkian has portrayed Iran as “exercising restraint” because it waited for two months after Haniyeh's death before launching the attack on Israel. NBC News has reached out to the Israel Defense Forces for comment but has not received a response.
Persons: Israel, Masoud Pezeshkian, Abbas Araghchi, Araghchi, Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Pezeshkian, Vladimir Putin, Sameh Khadr Hassan Al, Ismail Haniyeh, Hassan Nasrallah, Haniyeh, Nasrallah, Joe Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Yoav Gallant, Biden, Rasoul, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, ” Biden, Abu al, Askari, Matthew Savill, wouldn’t, , Israel “ Organizations: NBC, Gulf Cooperation Council, United, United Arab Emirates, U.S, European Union, West Bank, Israel, AFP, Getty, Israeli, Iran’s, Hezbollah, Military Sciences, Royal United Services Institute, NBC News, Israel Defense Forces Locations: DUBAI, United Arab Emirates, Iran, Israel, Jordan, United Arab, Washington, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Ashgabat, Russian, United States, Tehran, Syria's, Damascus, Brig, Gen, Fars, Iraq, U.S, London, Gaza, Lebanon, Beirut, Deir el
Iran has threatened to attack Saudi oil sites if the Gulf state supports an Israeli attack. AdvertisementThe fragile truce between longtime regional rivals Iran and Saudi Arabia could unravel if Gulf states allow Israel to use their airspace to strike Iran. He reportedly told the officials that Iranian-backed militias in Iraq or the Houthi militia in Yemen could be deployed against Saudi Arabia. It named Jordan, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar, all of which host US military bases, as countries Iran has threatened with reprisals. GetyAn Iranian attack would likely upend the truce brokered between Iran and Saudi Arabia by China in 2023 that saw the longtime rivals establish diplomatic contacts.
Persons: Abbas Araghchi, , Ali Shihabi, Jordan, Naftali Bennet, they'd, Mohammed bin Salman's, may've, hasn't, Brent, Vladimir Putin's Organizations: Iranian Foreign Affairs, Reuters, Service, Iran, Foreign, Saudi, Street, United Arab, Hamas, European Council for Foreign Relations, Opec Locations: Iran, Saudi, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Riyadh, Islamic Republic, Iraq, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Lebanon, Syria, Gulf, Iranian, China, Ukraine
U.S. crude oil on Friday was on pace to eek out its second weekly gain in a row as Israel prepares to retaliate against Iran. Oil prices have gained more than 10% through Thursday's close since Iran hit Israel with ballistic missiles last week. Here are Friday's energy prices:Israel's security cabinet met Thursday to discuss the country's response to Iran's attack, according to media reports. Traders have worried that Israel will hit Iran's oil industry, potentially triggering a cycle of escalation that causes a significant disruption of supplies in the Middle East. Croft warned, however, that the U.S. influence may have waned since April, when Israel's response to Iran's first missile and drone attack was relatively muted.
Persons: Natasha Kaneva, Morgan, Joe Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Biden, Israel, Helima Croft, Croft Organizations: Brent, Traders, RBC Capital Markets Locations: Iran, The U.S, Israel
The US Navy has been burning through interceptors fighting in Middle East conflicts, including the valuable SM-3. AdvertisementUS Navy warships have twice been called upon to defend Israel from massive Iranian ballistic missile attacks and have used SM-3 interceptors to defeat the incoming threats. But it's not just the SM-3 that the Navy is using up battling foes in the Middle East. In a short-range engagement, China's missiles wouldn't need to travel as high, and they would likely have shorter flight times and travel at slower speeds. And the number of Tomahawk Land Attack Missiles, long-range cruise missiles designed by RTX, being produced has decreased annually as well.
Persons: , RTX, Archer Macy, Fitzgerald, Bryan McGrath, it's, Yemen that's, Macy, Navy Carlos Del Toro, Del Toro, Jim Fein, Fein, Sen, Roger Wicker, Wicker, Bryan Clark, Burke, Laura Radspinner, Clark Organizations: US Navy, Service, Navy, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Combat, US, Iranian, Getty, Center for Strategic, Studies ' Missile Defense, Pentagon, The Heritage Foundation, Republican, Senate Armed Services Committee, Biden, Hudson Institute, Stout Locations: Middle East, China, Israel, Iran, Iranian, USS, Erie, Yemen, Gulf of Aden, Lake Erie
Oil eased on Friday after a rally the previous day, but prices remained set for a second straight weekly gain as investors weighed the impact of hurricane damage on U.S. demand against any broad supply disruption if Israel attacks Iranian oil sites. Brent crude oil futures fell 39 cents, or 0.5%, to $79.01 a barrel by 0152 GMT. "Oil prices are likely to hover around the current 200-day average levels, with the primary concern being whether Israel will retaliate against Iranian oil facilities," he said. Crude benchmarks spiked this month after Iran launched more than 180 missiles against Israel on Oct. 1, raising the prospect of retaliation against Iranian oil facilities. Israel has yet to respond, and crude benchmarks have eased and remained relatively flat through the week.
Persons: Hurricane Milton, Hiroyuki Kikukawa, Brent, WTI, Yoav Gallant Organizations: . West Texas, NS, Nissan Securities, Israeli, Hezbollah, Reuters, National Oil Corporation Locations: Norway, Brent, United States, Hurricane, Florida, Israel, Iran, Lebanon, Hamas, Gaza, Yemen, Beirut, Gulf, Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIsrael doesn't seem interested in de-escalating tensions with Iran: JBC ViennaJohannes Benigni, director at JBC Vienna, discusses Iran's missile strikes on Israel and how Israel might retaliate.
Persons: Israel doesn't, JBC Vienna Johannes Benigni Organizations: Israel, JBC, JBC Vienna Locations: Iran, JBC Vienna, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIsrael is making sure it has 'all options on the table,' John Bolton saysJohn Bolton, former U.S. national security advisor, weighs in on speculation that Israel could hit Iran's oil facilities.
Persons: John Bolton Organizations: Israel Locations: U.S, Israel
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Both West Texas Intermediate and Brent futures retreated 4.63% during U.S. trading hours Tuesday, halting the red-hot rally oil prices have experienced the past week. The central bank's likely to make another half-point cut in November, Paul Bloxham, HSBC's chief economist for Australia and New Zealand, told CNBC. On the back of such turbulence, CNBC Pro asks two strategists whether now's the time to invest in China.
Persons: It's, Paul Bloxham, HSBC's Organizations: Central, CNBC, Technology, Nasdaq, Google, U.S . Department of Justice, U.S, The New York Times, West Texas Intermediate, Brent, Reserve Bank of New, CSI, CNBC Pro Locations: New York, United States, Jerusalem, Israel, Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Australia, New Zealand, China
No matter who voters choose, whether it is former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris , Liwag doesn't expect a meaningful shake-up in the outlook for defense stocks. Still, the analyst notes that even cases where an administration cuts defense spending, stocks can still carve out gains. During the Obama administration, the defense budget fell 3.3%, but defense stocks gained 2.1%. The defense stocks Morgan Stanley covers have outperformed the S & P 500 since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Liwag said. "Historically, the conventional wisdom has been that Republicans are positive for defense spending and defense stocks, while Democrats are negative," Harned said.
Persons: Bernstein, Douglas Harned, Lockheed Martin, Morgan Stanley, Kristine Liwag, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Liwag, Bernstein's Harned, Harned, Harris, Wolfe Research's, Tobin Marcus, Marcus, Ronald Epstein, Epstein, Trump, Northrop, Obama, Northrop Grumman, Morgan Stanley's, Michael Ciarmoli, Truist, Leonardo Organizations: P Aerospace, Defense, Industry, L3Harris Technologies, Lockheed, CNBC, " Bank of America, Democratic, Senate, Republican, U.S . House, Trump White House, Republican Senate, Trump, Abrams, Space Force, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics, Hamas, Dynamics, Northrop, Gulfstream, Leonardo DRS, Moog, Republicans Locations: Ukraine, U.S, Russia, Crimea, Iran, Israel
Oil prices steadied in Asian trading on Wednesday, as traders weighed uncertainty surrounding developments in the Middle East conflict against continued bearish fundamentals. Brent crude futures rose 11 cents, or 0.14%, to $77.29 a barrel by 02:23 GMT. Prices had plunged more than 4% in the previous session on a possible Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire, but markets remain wary of a potential Israeli attack on Iran's oil infrastructure. Hezbollah officials on Tuesday appeared to back off from a truce in Gaza as a condition for a ceasefire in Lebanon. The U.S. EIA on Tuesday downgraded its 2024 forecast for global oil demand growth by 20,000 barrels per day (bpd), to 103.1 million bpd, because of weaker industrial production and manufacturing growth in the U.S. and China.
Persons: Hezbollah's, Naim Qassem, Hurricane Milton, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Macquarie, Reuters, American Petroleum Institute, U.S, EIA, IG . Florida Locations: Israel, Iran, Gaza, Lebanon, U.S, China, Hurricane, Coast, Tampa
An oil pumpjack (L) operates as another (R) stands idle in the Inglewood Oil Field on January 28, 2022 in Los Angeles, California. Oil prices edged lower in early Asian trading hours on Tuesday as traders booked profits after prices rallied to their highest in over a month on Monday amid fears that the Middle East could be on the brink of a region-wide war. Israel has sworn to retaliate and is weighing its options, with Iran's oil facilities considered a possible target. However, some analysts believe that an attack on Iranian oil infrastructure is unlikely and have warned that oil prices could face considerable downward pressure if Israel focuses on any other target. U.S. crude oil inventories are expected to rise by 1.9 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 4, according to a preliminary Reuters poll.
Persons: Israel, Hurricane Milton Organizations: Inglewood Oil Field, . West Texas, Organization of Petroleum, ANZ Bank, American Petroleum Institute, Energy, Administration Locations: Inglewood, Los Angeles , California, Middle, Iran, Haifa, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Hurricane, Florida, U.S . Gulf of Mexico, .
Iran fired hundreds of ballistic missiles and drones at Israel in retaliation for an attack on an Iranian diplomatic facility in Syria. The global economy is entering a "dangerous time" like never before as Middle East tensions remain elevated, said S&P Global's vice chairman Daniel Yergin. When asked if the global economy is on the precipice of another supply shock resulting from Middle East tensions, Yergin said it's a precarious time for markets. "The betting is that the Israelis would not attack, try to attack, the nuclear facilities at this time. It is a strategically important waterway linking crude producers in the Middle East with key markets across the world.
Persons: Yergin, CNBC's, Joe Biden, Daniel Yergin, it's, , Pavel Molchanov, Raymond James, Iran's Organizations: White House, Cuban Missile, Iran Watch, Wisconsin, U.S . Energy Information Administration Locations: Iran, Israel, Iranian, Syria, China, Hormuz, Oman
Crude oil futures fell about 2% on Tuesday, as the rally on geopolitical risk took a pause while the market waits for Israel to strike back against Iran. "Oil can keep ascending only for so long purely based on perceptions and not actual supply disruption," Tamas Varga, an analyst at oil broker PVM, said in a Tuesday note. Oil prices have surged about 13% through Monday's close since Iran fired around 180 ballistic missiles at Israel last week, raising fears that Israel might retaliate by hitting Iran's crude industry. ET:The market was also disappointed that Chinese officials did not announce any new stimulus plans at a press briefing Tuesday. In early September, oil prices hit their lowest level since December 2021.
Persons: Tamas Varga, Israel, Phil Flynn Organizations: Iran, Price Futures Locations: Israel, Iran, China
Market volatility will likely increase from here as the race for the White House enters its final weeks, according to Wolfe Research. Technical strategist Rob Ginsberg tracked the average move of the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) during a presidential election year. With momentum rolling over and several sectors seeing healthy pullbacks of late ... we feel the S & P is overdue for another 3 – 4% correction." To be sure, any troubles in the market into Election Day would mark a turn after an unusually strong year. Notably, Bespoke Investment Group found the S & P 500 notched its largest gain over the first nine months of a year since 1997.
Persons: Brace, Rob Ginsberg, bode, Ginsberg, What's Organizations: White, Wolfe Research, Traders, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investment, Carson Group Locations: Israel
Oil pares gains after strongest weekly rise in over a year
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices pared gains in early trade on Monday after charting their biggest weekly rise in over a year on Friday amid mounting threats of a region-wide war in the Middle East. "However, the oil market will likely continue to face upside pressure due to fears of Israel's retaliation response to Iran. Despite the rally in oil prices last week, the impact of this conflict on oil supply will be relatively small, said ANZ Research in a Monday client note. "We see a direct attack on Iran's oil facilities as the least likely response among Israel's options. "Moreover, we have seen a diminished impact of geopolitical events on oil supply.
Persons: Brent, Tina Teng Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, ANZ Research, OPEC Locations: Iran, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Haifa, Russia, Kazakhstan, OPEC
The terror attack has helped push the Middle East to the brink of a wider regional war. One year after the massacre, the Middle East has only plunged deeper into violence and is on the brink of a broader war. Globally, the immediate concern is that oil supplies will diminish significantly should conflict spill over to the rest of the Middle East. Everyone but Biden can see this," wrote Andrew Exum, a former US deputy assistant secretary of defense for Middle East policy, in The Atlantic last week. The global economy on edgeWhen the conflict began a year ago, there were fears that wider conflict in the Middle East could impact the global economy.
Persons: , Israel, Chuck Frielich, Frielich, Yemen's Houthi, Mohammed Hamoud, barraged, Ammar Safarjalani, Ismail Haniyeh, Haniyeh, Fuad Shukr, Hasan Nasrallah, Qasem Soleimani, JOSEPH EID, JALAA MAREY, Nasrallah, bode, Benjamin Netanyahu, Carmel Gat, Netanyahu, Joe Biden, Biden, Andrew Exum, Brent, Vladimir Putin Organizations: Service, Israel Defense Forces, Hamas, Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, The Washington Institute for Near East, Getty Images Iran, Getty, Israel's, United Nations General Assembly, Citigroup, Iranian, US, Middle, Business, Bank of Israel, Reuters, IMF Locations: Israel, Iran, Gaza, Suez, Aden, Red, Palestine, Syria, Damascus, Xinhua, Tehran, Beirut, Haniyeh, Shukr, Lebanon, AFP, Hezbollah's, United States, Ukraine
U.S. crude oil rose about 2% on Monday, as the market waited for Israel to strike Iran. Oil prices spiked last week on fears that Israel could hit Iran's oil industry in retaliation for Tehran's ballistic missile attack. The impact on the oil market would be significant if Israel struck Kharg Island, through which 90% of Iran's crude exports pass, Croft said. The worst-case scenario is a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world's crude exports flow, Gelder said. Iran might target the strait in response to an Israeli strike, which would have a far more dramatic effect on crude prices, the analyst said.
Persons: Israel, Joe Biden, Biden, Helima Croft, Croft, CNBC's, Alan Gelder, Wood Mackenzie, Gelder Organizations: Texas Intermediate, Brent, RBC Capital Markets Locations: Israel, Iran, U.S, Kharg, Wood, Strait, Hormuz
Friday's rally on a strong jobs report gained momentum into the close and pushed the stock market into the green for the week. Inflation data: The September consumer price index (CPI) report is out Thursday. The September producer price index (PPI) is out Friday. Jim said last week that investors who don't own AMD shares should buy some ahead of CEO Lisa Su's presentation. ET: Consumer price index 12 p.m.
Persons: we'll, Jim Cramer, Friday's, Matthew Graham, Israel, Joe Biden, Wells, Jim, we're, We're, Morgan Stanley, Lisa Su's, Su, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Mortgage News, Mortgage News Daily, CNBC, Devices, PPI, Bank, Nvidia, SOXX Semiconductor, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, DAL, JPMorgan, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, New York City
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