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Goldman Sachs: China A-shares remain favorable into 2025
  + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman Sachs: China A-shares remain favorable into 2025Timothy Moe of Goldman Sachs says willingness of the Chinese government to pump in more stimulus support is a positive signal for investors looking to enter the market.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Timothy Moe Locations: China
The return of DCM activity signals that borrowers are gearing up for corporate dealmaking to return. Goldman's global head of financing broke down the trends in an interview with BI. On Wall Street, corporate borrowing is on a roll. Many of those clients are large companies or organizations being advised by Goldman's investment bankers, which means the DCM business is directly reliant on deal flow. AdvertisementGoldman CEO David Solomon ran Goldman's leveraged finance group before taking over its financing business, including debt and equity capital markets and derivatives.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Vivek Bantwal, Bantwal, We've, we've, Goldman, David Solomon, David Solomon Jeenah Moon, Denis Coleman, refinancings, weren't Organizations: University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, Getty, Underwriters, Wall, Bloomberg, Getty Images Goldman, Goldman, Blue
According to a Goldman Sachs estimate, the industry is worth around $250 billion and could grow to $500 billion by 2027. "The market may be expanding, but competition is fierce," Tachat Igityan, the CFO and founder at Destream, a payment platform for content creators, told Business Insider. Advertisement"The algorithm, it gets really frustrating," Tufte told BI. "The $250 billion influencer economy might sound huge, but it doesn't mean all influencers are raking it in," Murray said. She said she thinks this is the way most content creators will go.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Julia Montgomery, Marisa Kay, Ruby Tufte, Tufte, she's, Dominic Smales, Kim Murray, Murray, Smales, , influencers Organizations: BI, YouTube, Gleam, GloMotion Studios, Virality, Brands Locations: TikTok
GUANGZHOU, CHINA - APRIL 6: Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng prepares for a meeting with U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on April 6, 2024 in Guangzhou, China. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and several other top financial policymakers are scheduled to speak Tuesday at a global financiers summit in Hong Kong. Hosted annually by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, the third Global Financial Leaders Investment Summit will hold its main events throughout the day, after hosting guests at a welcome dinner on Monday evening. He, who oversees a top-level economic and financial policy-making body, would be delivering an opening keynote speech at the summit, according to South China Morning Post. Li Yunze, minister of China's National Financial Regulatory Administration, along with with Wu Qing, Chairman of China Securities Regulatory Commission and Zhu Hexin, deputy governor of People's Bank of China, are scheduled to discuss mainland China's financial developments in a panel, according to HKMA's agenda of the summit.
Persons: Lifeng, Janet Yellen, Li Yunze, Wu Qing, Zhu Hexin, Daniel Pinto, Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, Jane Fraser, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Global Financial, Investment, China Morning, Financial Regulatory Administration, China Securities Regulatory Commission, People's Bank of China, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup Locations: GUANGZHOU, CHINA, Guangzhou, China, Hong Kong, Beijing
Investors may soon be forced to take on more risk and rethink their diversification strategies due to macroeconomic uncertainties. And that presents challenges for those who follow the traditional balance of 60% stocks to 40% bonds as a diversifier, he added. "Momentum has really been driving equities higher across the board, especially with respect to large-cap growth names," Adams said. The study found that stocks, bonds, and options strategies could have more correlated risk than is evident on the surface. "So value stocks are about the here-and-now, growth stocks are about the hereafter."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jon Adams, Adams, Jimmy Chang, Donald Trump, Chang, Nikolai Roussanov, David Kelly, you've, Kelly Organizations: Calamos Wealth, Treasury, Rockefeller, Family, Wharton School, Morgan Asset Management
The S & P 500 has been drifting lower for a week. Pity the Wall Street strategists Pity the poor Wall Street strategists who are now writing their 2025 outlooks. That is about 10% above the current S & P 500 level. What is the current average yearly return of the S & P 500? The S & P 500 is up 0.3% since the close on Election Day.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Brian Belski, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: Bulls, Street, BMO Capital, UBS, ISI, Trump Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Iran
Financial stocks are one corner of the market that's set to reap the benefits under a second Trump administration. The bank currently offers a 2.8% dividend yield, and has posted 10.2% dividend growth in the past year. Regions' dividend yield is at 3.8%, and the bank has grown its dividends by 18.9% in the past year. However, consensus price targets suggest a decline just shy of 1% could be in the cards for Regions Financial. Other financial stocks offering solid dividends include investment bank Goldman Sachs and credit card provider Discover Financial Services .
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Mike Mayo, Mayo, Matt O'Connor, Bank of New York Mellon, Robin Vince, Brian Bedell, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Bank, P Bank ETF, Regional Banking, CNBC Pro, Financial, Deutsche Bank, Regions Financial, Bank of New York, Bank of New York Mellon, Discover Financial Services Locations:
Investors may like AT & T for its juicy dividend, but the underlying shares also have "significant upside" ahead, according to Goldman Sachs. The Wall Street investment bank sees a number of factors at play that should boost returns for the Dallas-based telecom giant, which pays a dividend yield of 4.89%. Overall, Schneider anticipates sustained EBITDA growth of 3%, which is 100 to 200 basis points faster growth than Wall Street is currently modeling, he said. That sustained improvement on EBITDA growth should warrant a higher multiple over time, he added. The stock, which hit a 52-week high on Monday, is up 37% year to date, excluding the dividend.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, James Schneider, Schneider, T's Organizations: Dallas, Verizon, Mobile Locations: United States
Goldman Sachs' Sung Cho is bullish on software in 2025
  + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman Sachs' Sung Cho is bullish on software in 2025Sung Cho, Goldman Sachs co-head public tech investing, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the tech trade and earnings.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Sung Cho
Trump has said he wants to lower gas prices — which currently average $3.07 per gallon — to below $2 a gallon. But the American oil industry is already booming and increasing output doesn’t mean gas prices will drop. After oil prices shot up in 2022 in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the sanctions on Russian oil imposed by western countries, major oil companies reported record profits. But are we going to increase oil production by another 50%? OPEC+, a group of leading oil-producing countries, even delayed plans to increase production because of concerns about excess supply.
Persons: Donald Trump, ” Trump, Trump, Chris Wright, Wright, Andy Cross, Andy Lipow, ” Lipow, “ It’s, Biden, , Bob McNally, George W, Bush, CNN’s David Goldman, Matt Egan Organizations: CNN, Liberty Energy, Liberty, Denver Post, US Energy Information Administration, P, Insights, Eurasia Group, Texas Intermediate, OPEC, Lipow Oil Associates, Energy, Oil Locations: Denver, States, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Eurasia, Ukraine, China, OPEC
ServiceTitan, a company that sells software to contractors such as plumbers and roofers, on Monday filed to go public on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol "TTAN." The filing suggests that investors could be getting more interested in next-generation software companies. Based in Glendale, California, ServiceTitan offers cloud software for advertising, scheduling jobs, dispatching, producing invoices and taking payments. ServiceTitan's revenue growth rate will stand out for people investing in cloud stocks, who have seen rates sag with few new public companies in the sector. The average growth rate for Bessemer's Nasdaq Emerging Cloud Index, the basis for the WisdomTree Cloud Computing Fund, is 16.6%.
Persons: chipmaker Cerebras, Ara Mahdessian, Vahe Kuzoyan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Adena Friedman Organizations: Nasdaq, Revenue, Computing Fund, Investors, Battery Ventures, Bessemer Venture Partners, Iconiq, TPG, SAP, Citigroup, underwriters Locations: U.S, Glendale , California, Wells Fargo
Here are Monday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Oppenheimer reiterates Netflix as outperform Oppenheimer said the Jake Paul-Mike Tyson fight "demonstrates [the] ability for meaningful" live event viewership for Netflix. Goldman Sachs initiates Ingram Micro as buy Goldman said the IT solutions provider is well positioned. Goldman Sachs initiates Gatx as buy Goldman said it's bullish on the railcar company. Baird upgrades Roku to outperform from neutral Baird said in its upgrade of Roku that it sees an "attractive long-term opportunity." Needham upgrades Robin Hood to buy from hold Needham said the stock is a beneficiary of the Trump election.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Jake Paul, Mike Tyson, it's bullish, Goldman Sachs, Ingram, Goldman, Baird, Morgan Stanley, Raymond James, Wells, Needham, Biogen, it's, Robin Hood, Trump, Donald Trump's, Bernstein, Tesla Organizations: Netflix, Citi, Astera, Ingram, GATX Corporation, RBC, UBS, Franco, Wheaton Precious Metals, WPM, HSBC, Moderna, Air Products, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Enterprise, Aetna, Bank of America, Nvidia, " Bank of America, DOJ, Google, BMO, SEC, EV Locations: Nevada, Asia
Sim left banking in 2017 and is now a published author, professional speaker, and career coach. This as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Eric Sim, 54, a former banker turned professional speaker and executive coach. When I picked banking as a career, I had very little idea of what the job would actually involve. I can play the game, but I don't enjoy the gameSim left UBS in 2017 and is now a professional speaker and executive coach. Through my work as a speaker and lecturer, I have been able to share my know-how in banking and career planning with more people.
Persons: Eric Sim, Sim, I'd, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley —, I've, I'm Organizations: DBS Bank, DBS, Lancaster University, Standard Chartered, Citibank, UBS, Banking Locations: Singapore, London, Shanghai, Hong Kong, secondments, China, Asia
Trump Media & Technology Group — Shares in President-elect Donald Trump's media company pulled back roughly 5%. Although the stock has been increasingly volatile in the wake of Trump's election, it has gained more than 52% in 2024. Redfin — The online real estate company's stock slipped 3.4% following a downgrade at Goldman Sachs to sell from neutral. CVS Health — Shares of the drugstore operator jumped nearly 6% following a decision to add four new board members in a deal with Glenview Capital. Moderna — Shares of the biotech company jumped more than 5% after HSBC upgraded the stock to buy from hold and said it views the stock as being undervalued.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Donald Trump, Chris Wright, Wright, Baird, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Needham, Piper Sandler, , Alex Harring, Sean Conlon, Hakyung Kim, Pia Singh, Michelle Fox Organizations: Spirit Airlines —, Trump Media & Technology, Liberty Energy, Goldman, CVS, Glenview Capital, Aetna, U.S . Securities, Exchange, Nasdaq, Moderna —, HSBC, Warner Bros, , National Basketball Association Locations: Wells Fargo
"We estimate net margins will expand by 78 bp to 12.3% in 2025 followed by a further 35 bp increase to 12.6% in 2026." Heading into this year the Goldman team was too bearish. When it originally set its 2024 forecast last November it called for the index to climb just 5% to 4,700. States the report: "Our economists assume the Trump administration will impose targeted tariffs on imported automobiles and select imports from China. "High multiples are weak signals for near-term returns, but typically increase the magnitude of market drawdown during a negative shock," states the report.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman, Donald Trump, Trump, Martin Marietta, Stocks Organizations: CNBC Pro, Goldman, Microsoft, Tesla, Electronic Arts, Martin Marietta Materials, Waste Management, Fiverr International, Apple, Adobe, Mastercard, Uber Locations: China
AdvertisementKatie Vasquez landed her first venture capital job at 23 years old. This as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Katie Vasquez, a 26-year-old investor at Calibrate Ventures based in Santa Monica, California, on her experience working in venture capital. I'm an investor at Calibrate Ventures, an early-stage deep-tech venture capital firm. My advice for other people hoping to get into VC is to leverage your network and stay up to date on the industry. This experience provided a great foundation for thinking more about technical due diligence, tech architecture, and strategy, but moving into investing and venture capital felt like the most exciting path.
Persons: Katie Vasquez, I've, I'm, I'd Organizations: Brown University, Goldman, LA Tech, Synergist, Investor, Business Locations: Santa Monica , California, EY, fintech, Los Angeles, LA
Now that the election is over, and a change at the FTC seems highly likely, Wall Street is getting ready for a new era. "In my opinion, bank M & A has reopened for every bank absent the globally systemically important banks," Mills told CNBC. DFS 1M mountain Shares of Discover Financial rallied sharply after the election of Donald Trump. The merger between those two companies was blocked by a judge and then dropped this past week , but both companies could be players moving forward. There's still a populist tone in the Trump campaign … and enforcement, in my opinion, is not going to go away.
Persons: Trump, Lina Khan, Carlyle, Harvey Schwartz, Morgan Stanley, Stephanie McCann, McDermott Will, Emery, Wolfe, Naturium, Goldman, Ed Mills, Raymond James, Mills, Donald Trump, Joe Biden's, Matt Gaetz —, , There's, Kyle Healy, Alston, Michael Lynton Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal Trade, FTC, Federal, CNBC, Wolfe Research, Amazon, Electronic Arts, Zoom Video Communications, EA, Activision Blizzard, Capital, Discover Financial Services, DFS, Discover Financial, Spirit Airlines, Frontier, JetBlue, Regulators, Trump, Bird, Warner Music Locations: Washington
Insider Today: Uncle Elon vs. Uncle Sam
  + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Matt Turner | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
He talked to Business Insider about facing the "vacuum of death" in just a spacesuit. On the agenda today:Related VideoBut first: The world's richest man takes on the world's biggest government budget. Walking the DOGEXAOC/Getty, The Washington Post/Getty, t_kimura/Getty, Tyler Le/BIElon Musk made his name and fortune disrupting antiquated industries. AdvertisementBI secured access to an internal Tesla pay database, revealing the company's high-risk, high-reward system. The pay structure is ultimately part of CEO Elon Musk's quest to hire the most "hardcore" employees.
Persons: Jared Isaacman, XAOC, Tyler Le, Elon Musk, he's, Musk, Tesla, Reagan, Clinton, Jordan Strauss, Rebecca Zisser, Elon, Robot, Anna Kim, Getty, Michael Ostuni, , Fiona Carter, Natalie Ammari, Sylvia Yeh, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Business, SpaceX, The Washington Post, Elon, of Government Efficiency, Twitter, Big Government, Big Tech, Tesla, Forward Press, Goldman, Corporate America
They say the EU will need to employ some retaliatory measures but has to be careful not to escalate. AdvertisementEconomists and analysts said that in order to avoid a trade war, policymakers in Europe need to employ a specific playbook to mitigate the economic drag while keeping trade tensions in check. Kenningham says the EU will likely hit the US with targeted tariffs on certain industries, rather than an across-the-board action. Related storiesTrade deals to avoid tariffsKenningham said EU policymakers could also negotiate a deal to avoid US tariffs. Advertisement"There is a possibility that if the strategy toward Europe is very aggressive, Europeans may change attitudes toward the Transatlantic Alliance.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Trump, Joachim Nagel, Emmanuel Macron, Mario Draghi, Andrew Kenningham, Kenningham, Harley, Carlo Bastasin, Bastasin Organizations: Biden, Italian, Capital Economics, European Union, EU, Trade, European, Brookings, Trump, Transatlantic Alliance Locations: Europe, China, European, EU, Trump's, Ukraine, Germany
.SPX 1M mountain S & P 500, 1 month The S & P is still about 3-4% above levels where chart readers would start to get more concerned about the underlying trajectory. Even in Friday's 1.3% slide in the S & P 500, only two-thirds of all stocks were down on the day and the equal-weight S & P was off a modest three-quarters of a percent. It makes sense that the market wasn't able to summon a sustained thrust of exuberance after the election anxiety evaporated, given the somewhat demanding starting point. A more mature economic and risk cycle and vulnerability to higher rates among smaller, lower-quality stocks mean they aren't likely to lead from here, Pies says. Is the market presciently foretelling an unleashing of transactional fervor that will return Wall Steet's middlemen to their former glory?
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Russell, Jay Powell, Warren Pies, Goldman Organizations: Nasdaq, KBW, ICE, Trump, Federal Reserve, Investors, Bank, 3Fourteen Research, Wall Street Locations: Friday's
We had no income tax, and all we had was tariffs.”That’s why some Wall Street titans are trying to push for Bessent. Kyle Bass, a billionaire hedge fund investor at Hayman Capital Management, said Lutnick doesn’t have the composition to lead the Treasury. “Scott Bessent is eminently more qualified than Howard Lutnick to run the U.S. Treasury,” Bass posted on X Wednesday. A full week after appearing to decide on nominating Bessent, Trump interviewed him again at Mar-a-Lago. A key Cabinet player, the Treasury secretary advises the president on economic and fiscal matters, including spending and taxes.
Persons: Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Scott Bessent, ” Musk, , Bessent, , Kyle Bass, Lutnick doesn’t, “ Scott Bessent, ” Bass, “ Scott, I’ve, Bass, Dan Loeb, Scott Lincicome, Lutnick, , Cheney, Lutnick —, Dick Cheney’s, George W, Tennessee Sen, Bill Hagerty, Larry Kudlow, Kudlow, Steven Mnuchin, Mnuchin Organizations: CNN, Trump, , Wall, Fox News, titans, Hayman Capital Management, Treasury, U.S . Treasury, Cato Institute, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, National Economic Council, America, Policy Institute, Fox Business, Bessent, Mar, Republicans, Treasury Department Locations: America, United States
He said comparisons to the dot-com peak in 2000 are fair. Advertisement"This looks and feels like the year 2000 to me," Arnott told Business Insider on November 11. But Arnott believes AI optimism, which has driven the lion's share of the rally, is already fully priced in. At 37 times earnings, just below the late-2021 peak of 38, before the market fell by 25%, and the 2000 peak of 43, right in front of a 50% loss. "This is a really, really, really pricey environment, but it doesn't necessarily make me bearish.
Persons: Rob Arnott, he's, Arnott, , Donald Trump, Trump, disruptors, There's, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, David Einhorn, Einhorn Organizations: Nvidia, Intel, Chief US, Business, Goldman Sachs Bank of America's Global, Equity, Bank of America, CNBC's, Alpha Locations: irrelevance
A number of catalysts could drive gains for Teladoc Health in the coming months, according to Goldman Sachs. Analyst David Roman initiated coverage on the name with a buy rating, and his price target of $14 implies 56.3% upside from Thursday's close. Looking ahead to next year, he anticipates that the virtual health care company's results will be driven by slightly better-than-expected top-line growth in its Integrated Care segment. But that didn't quite come to fruition as the pandemic eased with patients returning to in-person visits and larger health care players developing their own telehealth solutions. Among the 27 analysts covering it, only six in total have a strong buy or buy rating.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Roman, Roman Organizations: Teladoc Health
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFederal funds rate is still quite high despite hotter economic data, says Goldman's Jan HatziusJan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if the economy can safely run 'hot', the economist's thoughts on inflation, and much more.
Persons: Goldman's Jan Hatzius Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs
Inside Microsoft's struggles with Copilot
  + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Ashley Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +23 min
In September 2023, Microsoft's famously soft-spoken CEO, Satya Nadella, unveiled the company's flagship AI product, Copilot, with sweeping fanfare. Some of Microsoft's own employees and executives are privately concerned that Copilot won't be able to deliver on its ambitions. Copilot's struggles have created an opening for Microsoft's rivals, some of whom have seized on the opportunity to promote their own agendas. "Now, when Joe Blow logs into an account and kicks off Copilot, they can see everything," said one Microsoft employee familiar with customer complaints. As complaints and questions over Copilot mount, so does the pressure to justify Microsoft's unprecedented level of spending on AI.
Persons: Microsoft's, Satya Nadella, Gartner, Copilot, it'll, Copilot's, Marc Benioff, Benioff, Goldman Sachs, Marc Andreessen, Andreessen Horowitz, Ethan Miller, Jared Spataro, Spataro, , Joe Blow, Joe, Nadella, Gary Marcus, Marcus, Wile, Coyote, Brontë, Judson Althoff, Jason Zander, Zander, We've, OpenAI, Tasos Katopodis, Steve Jobs Organizations: Microsoft, Venture, Getty, Goldman, BI, Fortune, Excel, Lumen Technologies, Honeywell, Gartner, Wall Street, Initiative, Department of Homeland Security, Employees, San Francisco, Software, Apple, Jobs Locations: Microsoft's, Copilot, New York City
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