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Meanwhile, Jefferies began coverage of Reddit with a buy rating and a price target of $90. Champine said the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates was a driving force for the price target changes. Analyst William Kerr initiated coverage of the pet ecommerce retailer with a buy rating and $38 price target. RBLX YTD mountain RBLX in 2024 — Alex Harring 5:50 a.m.: Citi says UPS is a buy Buy the dip on UPS shares, according to Citi. Analyst Ariel Rosa initiated the delivery giant with a buy rating and a price target of $162.
Persons: Jefferies, Laura Champine, Champine, Helene, Milton, Lowe's, — Alex Harring, Piper Sandler downgrades Blackstone Piper Sandler, Crispin Love, Love, Blackstone, Morgan Stanley, Sanjit Singh, Singh, Alex Harring, TD Cowen, William Kerr, Kerr, Benjamin Soff, Soff, Ken Gawrelski, Gawrelski, Roblox, Ariel Rosa, Rosa, — Fred Imbert, John Colantuoni, Colantuoni, EBITDA Organizations: CNBC, Wednesday, Citi, UPS, Capital, Federal Reserve, Blackstone, Industry, Deutsche Bank, New York Times, Amazon Logistics, Walmart Locations: Wells, China, Tuesday's
The bank raised its 2024 S & P 500 target to 6,000 from 5,600. Goldman also raised its 12-month S & P 500 target to 6,300 from 6,000. But Goldman thinks ultimately earnings growth will lift markets further before the year is out. The S & P 500 is in the red for October so far. Analysts polled by FactSet expect S & P 500 earnings grew for a fifth straight quarter.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, That's, Goldman, David Kostin, Kostin, Wells, Ken Gawrelski Organizations: Evercore ISI, CNBC, Federal Reserve, FactSet, North America Retail Locations: Friday's
The good times for Amazon may be over for now, according to Wells Fargo. "Amazon is likely still a solid margin expansion story over the long term," he added. "But as Amazon management has said multiple times, margin expansion won't be linear. We, and market consensus, likely became a bit exuberant in our extrapolation of margin expansion trends in 2023 and early '24 to '25 and beyond forecasts." "In addition to cheaper fulfillment pricing than Amazon, Walmart can match Prime's shipping speeds.
Persons: Ken Gawrelski, Gawrelski, Amazon's Organizations: North America Retail, Amazon, Services, Walmart Locations: Wells Fargo, Friday's, SPX
It has a price target of $68, implying more than 1% downside from Friday's close. — Sean Conlon 5:41 a.m.: Jefferies downgrades Apple Oversized expectations for the iPhone could hurt of Apple lower, according to Jefferies. Analyst Edison Lee downgraded the stock to hold from buy, and his price target of $212.92 implies more than 6% downside from Friday's close. His price target of $800, up from $650, implies upside of 11.2% from Friday's close. He kept his $550 price target unchanged, implying downside of more than 23%.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Jefferies, Bernard von, Gizycki, — Sean Conlon, Wells, Ken Gawrelski, Fred Imbert, JPMorgan downgrades Lamb Weston, Lamb Weston, Ken Goldman, Goldman, Edison Lee, Lee, Matt Farrell, Farrell, Kannan Venkateshwar Organizations: CNBC, Netflix, Apple, Alliance, Western Alliance, Deutsche Bank, WAL, Amazon, North America Retail, JPMorgan, U.S, Jefferies, AP, Barclays Locations: Wells Fargo, Europe, Friday's
The U.S. economy added a whopping 254,000 jobs in September, nearly 100,000 more than economists expected. The unemployment rate, which was expected to hold steady at 4.2%, slipped to 4.1%. Wages also rose more than expected month over month. To be sure, the new data also has traders pricing a smaller quarter percentage point interest rate reduction at the central bank's November meeting. "Fed cuts should be slower and I continue to think (and the data supports it) that the current neutral rate is well above 3% (economy chugging along on 5% yields for over a year)," said Tchir.
Persons: Sonu Varghese, Glen Smith, Lindsay Rosner, Ian Lyngen, Peter Tchir Organizations: Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Carson Group, GDS Wealth, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, BMO Capital Markets, Academy Securities Locations: U.S
This latest bull run has been strong, even by historical standards. The broad market index has also reached a record above 5,700 — with some on the Street expecting it to top 6,000 before year-end. The bull market will be two later this month. .SPX mountain 2022-09-30 SPX since Q4 2022 The first: "The disinflation that has defined the cyclical bull needs to remain in place," said Clissold. The second element needed for the bull run to carry on is a successful soft landing.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Clissold Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Fed, JPMorgan
CNBC Daily Open: Minor turbulence for the soft landing
  + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Kirk Side | Houston Chronicle | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Port workers along the U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast started striking Tuesday. Higher oil prices pose a risk to inflation resurging, or at least slowing less than everyone is hoping for. The best-case scenario would be that recent events are just minor turbulence on the way to a soft landing.
Persons: Seabrook . Kirk, Kathy Hochul, Adam Kamins, Christopher Ball, Piper Sandler, Campbell, It's, Steve Liesman, Jeff Cox, Fred Imbert, Lori Ann LaRocco, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Brian Evans Organizations: Houston Chronicle, CNBC, U.S ., Gulf Coast, New, Moody's, Quinnipiac University, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Apple Locations: Seabrook ., Port, U.S, U.S . East Coast, New York, New Jersey, Iran, Major U.S, East
October is already living up to its volatile reputation
  + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The S & P 500 fell nearly 1% to kick off the new month of trading. The Nasdaq Composite shed more than 1.5%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.4%, or 173 points. The Cboe Volatility Index , Wall Street's preferred fear gauge, swelled abpve 20 — its highest level since Sept. 11. I am bracing for added volatility and the market to over-trade daily headlines and themes," he said in a note to clients Wednesday. CNBC Pro found that the S & P 500 averages a daily move of 1.3% in either direction in October, based on FactSet data going back to 1950.
Persons: Street's, Scott Rubner, Goldman Sachs, Baird, Harley, Davidson Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, West Texas, CNBC Pro Locations: Iran, Israel, Lebanon, Milwaukee
CNBC Daily Open: Soft landing hit by minor turbulence
  + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Mark Felix | Afp | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Port workers along the U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast started striking Tuesday. It's just the first days of the port strike and flare-up in Middle East tensions, however. The best-case scenario would be that recent events are just minor turbulence on the way to a soft landing.
Persons: Mark Felix, Kathy Hochul, Adam Kamins, Christopher Ball, Piper Sandler, Campbell, It's, Steve Liesman, Jeff Cox, Fred Imbert, Lori Ann LaRocco, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Brian Evans Organizations: Afp, Getty, CNBC, U.S ., Gulf Coast, New, Moody's, Quinnipiac University, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Apple Locations: Seabrook , Texas, Port, U.S, U.S . East Coast, New York, New Jersey, Iran, Major U.S, East
It also raised its price target to $210 from $187, suggesting shares could rise more than 17% from Tuesday's close. He maintained his $2,400 price target, which implies 16.2% upside potential from Tuesday's close. Bank of America's Lorraine Hutchinson reiterated her buy rating while trimming her price target to $100 from $104. Deutsche Bank analyst Krisztina Katai also maintained her buy rating and inched down her price target by $3 to $92. He also lowered his price target on shares to $40 from $42, implying upside of just 5.2% over the next 12 months.
Persons: Baird, Davidson, Raymond James, Pavel Molchanov, Molchanov, — Hakyung Kim, FANG, Betty Jiang, Jiang, Diamondback, John Pancari, Pancari, Marcelo Santos, Santos, LatAm, Santo, Elliott Hill, Bank of America's Lorraine Hutchinson, Hutchinson, Krisztina Katai, Katai, Matthew Boss, Boss, Baird downgrades Harley, Craig Kennison, Harley, Kennison, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, GE, General Electric, Barclays, Diamondback, Diamondback Energy, Endeavor, Endeavor Energy Resources, Management, T, T Bank, Federal Reserve, ISI, EA, JPMorgan downgrades, JPMorgan, MercadoLibre, Nike, Bank of, Deutsche Bank, Harley Locations: Tuesday's, Bank of America's, Hill
Meanwhile, Pivotal Research initiated coverage of Google-parent Alphabet with a buy rating and a price target that implied upside of nearly 30%. The investment firm upgraded the cleaning products maker to a buy rating from hold. Analyst Kaumil Gajrawala accompanied the move by raising his price target to $187 from $174. Simultaneously, the analyst set a new target price of $200, which is approximately 26% above Monday's close. Analyst Asiya Merchant maintained her price target of $37, which implies that shares of HP could rise 3%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Kaumil Gajrawala, Gajrawala, Clorox, Lisa Kailai Han, Jeffrey Wlodarczak, Wlodarczak, Zuckerberg, Raymond James, Adam Tindle, Tindle, Atlassian, Asiya Merchant, Merchant, Mark Delaney, Ford, Delaney, they've, GOOG, Kamala Harris, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Ford Motor, Google, Jefferies, Meta, Citi, HP, HP Inc, Ford, EV, Ford Pro Locations: Monday's, China, Japan, EBIT
The final three-month stretch of 2024 is here, and Wall Street is riding high. RBC head of derivatives strategy Amy Wu Silverman noted her clients are bracing for "3 standard-deviation drawdowns" in coming weeks. The VVIX gauges the volatility of the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) itself — seen by many as Wall Street's preferred measurement of how much investor fear is in the market. That … is a very different narrative from the first six months of this year," Wu Silverman added. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, Pivotal Research Group initiated analyst coverage of Alphabet , the parent of Google and YouTube, with a buy rating.
Persons: Ryan Detrick, Dow, Amy Wu Silverman, Wu Silverman, CNBC's, Wall, GOOG, Jeffrey Wlodarczak Organizations: Investment, Carson Group, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, CNBC, RBC, Research Group, Google, YouTube Locations: China
Elsewhere, TD Cowen raised its price target on Costco to $975. 7:04 a.m.: TD Cowen raises Costco price target TD Cowen is even more bullish on Costco after hosting the company's leadership for a post-earnings meeting. Analyst Brian Bedell reiterated his buy rating and lifted his price target by $3 to $27, implying about 13% upside. With that, analyst Stephen Scouten upgraded Amerant to overweight from neutral and raised his price target by 50 cents to $25.60. — Pia Singh 5:50 a.m.: TD Cowen upgrades Accenture Investors should buy shares of Accenture as the company's recovery gains steam, according to TD Cowen.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, TD Cowen, Cowen, Oliver Chen, Costco's, Chen, Gary Millerchip, — Pia Singh, Brian Bedell, Bedell, Robinhood, Wells, Donald Fandetti, Fandetti, Piper Sandler, Amerant, Stephen Scouten, Scouten, JPMorgan Chase, Betsy Graseck, Graseck, NIM, Bryan Bergin, Bergin, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, JPMorgan Chase, Accenture, Costco, Deutsche Bank, American, Amerant, JPMorgan, Services Locations: Florida, Friday's
The Chinese stock market just had its best single day in more than a decade. It's also the last trading day of the week in China due to the Golden Week holiday. Against this backdrop, Roth MKM's JC O'Hara highlighted one S & P 500 sector that might benefit the most from a rebound in China's economy: materials. Some materials stocks highlighted by O'Hara as potential winners, at least based on their price charts alone, are O-I Glass , Corteva and Freeport-McMoRan . To be sure, investors should tread carefully in materials, O'Hara said.
Persons: It's, Roth MKM's JC O'Hara, O'Hara Organizations: CSI, Seaport, Disney Locations: China, Freeport, McMoRan
Deutsche Bank reinstated Dell Technologies as a buy, calling for nearly 14% upside. 7:04 a.m.: Citi says Walmart remains a top pick, hikes price target Walmart is poised for more growth ahead, according to Citi. The firm upgraded the stock to overweight from neutral and raised its price target by $66 to $395. WYNN mountain 2024-08-30 WYNN month to date — Sean Conlon 5:49 a.m.: Deutsche Bank reinstates Dell Technologies as buy The stars are aligning for Dell Technologies , according to Deutsche Bank. Analyst Matt Niknam resumed coverage of the PC maker with a buy rating and a price target of $144, which implies upside of nearly 14%.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Paul Lejuez, — Sean Conlon, Piper Sandler, Accenture Piper Sandler, Arvind Ramnani, GenAI, Ramnani, Sean Conlon, Bumble, Justin Patterson, Patterson, Stephen Grambling, WYNN's, they've, Matt Niknam, Niknam, DELL, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Deutsche Bank, Dell Technologies, Wynn Resorts, Citi, Walmart, Accenture, Markets, Wynn, Las, MGM Resorts, Caesars Entertainment, Deutsche Bank reinstates Dell Technologies, DELL, Dell Locations: Grambling, UAE, WYNN
This signal comes as the S & P 500 trades at all-time highs, boosted by a shift in Federal Reserve policy. The Fed earlier this month cut interest rates by a half percentage point, the first easing of policy in more than four years. Wall Street sees further reductions ahead, too. The Cboe Volatilty Index spiked north of 23 earlier this month, as worries over the U.S. economy weighed on sentiment. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning , Morgan Stanley upgraded Wynn Resorts to overweight from equal weight.
Persons: Wolfe, Janney Montgomery Scott, Dan Wantrobski, Wantrobski, Morgan Stanley, WYNN's Organizations: Federal, Wynn Resorts Locations: U.S
Analyst Jared Shaw raised his rating on the regional bank to overweight from equal weight and upped his price target by $4 to $14. Analyst Rob Dickerson downgraded the chocolate maker to underperform from hold and slashed his price target by $21 to $163. Analyst Lincoln Kong upgraded U.S.-listed shares to buy from neutral and raised his price target to $22.60 from $16.50. — Alex Harring 5:51 a.m.: BofA hikes Meta price target following Connect event Bank of America sees more room for Meta Platforms to run due to its artificial intelligence possibilities. Starbucks shares are flat year to date, but they have popped more than 20% over the past three months.
Persons: Bernstein, Jared Shaw, NYCB, Shaw, — Alex Harring, Sell Hershey, Jefferies, Rob Dickerson, Dickerson, flatlining, Hershey, Alex Harring, BofA, Ralph Lauren, Christopher Nardone, Justin Picicci, Corey Van der, Nardone, Picicci, Goldman, Bilibili Goldman Sachs, Lincoln, Kong, Bilibili, Justin Post, Post, Metaverse, Meta, Brian Niccol, Danilo Gargiulo, Gargiulo, Niccol, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, . Bank of America, Barclays, Bancorp New, Bancorp New York Community, Wall, Hershey, America's, Lincoln Kong, Bank of America, Facebook, Meta, Orion, Taco Bell Locations: Bancorp New York, Wednesday's, Thursday's premarket, Bilibili, U.S
The communications services sector has been on an unbelievable tear for nearly two years. Since hitting a low on October 2022, the Communication Services Select Sector (XLC) has nearly doubled, outperforming the S & P 500 in that time. "The smallest sector in the market (by constituents not value) has been one of the most dominant over the past two years," wrote Wolfe Research's Rob Ginsberg. Our sense is that is better for sale here," Ginsberg wrote. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, Bernstein upgraded Starbucks to outperform from market perform.
Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Bernstein, Brian Niccol, Danilo Gargiulo Organizations: Communications, Netflix, Taco Bell Locations: GOOGL
Fintech stocks have been in a rut since 2021. Wolfe Research technical strategist Rob Ginsberg pointed out the Global X FinTech ETF (FINX) is close to reaching the $30 level for the first time since 2022. The FINX ETF illustrates this well. This year, the ETF has made some progress, rising more than 9%, as the Fed begins its policy easing campaign. FINX mountain 2021-11-01 FINX since Nov. 2021 A breakout could have broader implications outside of fintech.
Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, It's, Tim Long, HPE Organizations: Wolfe Research, Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow Jones, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Barclays, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Juniper Networks Locations: fintech
Although he increased his price target to $150 from $130, the new price target is just around $2 higher from Tuesday's close price. — Fred Imbert 6:46 a.m.: Citi raises Roblox price target Citi is bullish on Roblox's long-term prospects in spite of some near-term rockiness. — Hakyung Kim 5:42 a.m.: Piper Sandler raises price target on Tesla Piper Sandler thinks Tesla may sell more vehicles than the firm previously expected. With this in mind, he raised his price target on Tesla shares to $310 from $300, signaling about 22% upside from Wednesday's close. TSLA YTD mountain TSLA year to date — Hakyung Kim 5:42 a.m.: Barclays upgrades Hewlett Packard Enterprise Rising demand for artificial intelligence servers will boost Hewlett Packard Enterprise shares, according to Barclays.
Persons: Piper Sandler, TD Cowen downgrades Expedia TD Cowen, Kevin Kopelman, Kopelman, EXPE, — Hakyung Kim, Morgan Stanley, Ford Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Jonas, Ford, Fred Imbert, Jason Bazinet, we're, Bazinet, Roblox, Alex Straton, Straton, JPMorgan, Rodolfo Angele, Angele, Tesla Piper Sandler, Tesla, Alexander Potter, Potter, Hakyung Kim, Tim Long, HPE, Long Organizations: CNBC, Barclays, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, U.S, Ford Motor, GM, Citi, Nike, JPMorgan, Petrobras, Tesla, Hewlett, Enterprise, Juniper Networks Locations: China, U.S, Tuesday's, XLK
GM was lowered to underweight from equal weight, with the price target cut to $42 from $47. Additionally, Jonas lowered his rating on EV maker Rivian to equal weight from overweight, cutting his price target to $13 from $16. F GM 5D mountain F and GM fall Ford Motor shares have struggled in 2024, losing more than 10%. These headwinds, coupled with "peak earnings" and electric vehicle and regulatory risks, will also send GM shares lower. On Rivian, Jonas said, "The downgrade reflects our incorporation of the capital intensity of [autonomous vehicles] which may be required to fulfill the technological underpinnings that attracted Volkswagen as a JV partner."
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Ford, Jonas, Rivian Organizations: U.S, Ford Motor, General Motors, GM, Rivian, Ford, Volkswagen, Magna International, Federal Locations: China
Piper Sandler upgraded shares of Salesforce to overweight, with its new price target implying upside of more than 20%. Helfstein placed a $45 price target on shares, implying about 48% upside from Monday's close. Along with the downgrade, Low reduced the firm's oil price target to $75 from $80 a barrel. — Samantha Subin 6:02 a.m.: Jefferies downgrades Starbucks to underperform Jefferies is bracing for more troubles ahead for shares of Starbucks . SBUX mountain 2024-06-28 SBUX in Q3 — Samantha Subin 5:45 a.m.: Piper Sandler upgrades Salesforce Piper Sandler is turning more bullish on shares of Salesforce .
Persons: Piper Sandler, Lowe's, Oppenheimer, Jason Helfstein, Pinterest, Helfstein, — Samantha Subin, Jefferies, Keith Devas, Samantha Subin, Peter Low, underperform Jefferies, Andy Barish, Barish, they've, Salesforce Piper Sandler, Brent Bracelin, Bracelin, Brian Nagel, Nagel, it's, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Oppenheimer, Amazon, Google, Kenvue, Atlantic, Exxon Mobil, BP, Starbucks, U.S, Federal Reserve Locations: China, Salesforce, Monday's
Starbucks — The coffee house chain moved 1.6% lower after Jefferies downgraded the stock to underperform from hold and cut its price target. BioNTech — U.S.-listed shares of the German biotechnology company rose 2.7% on the heels of a Morgan Stanley upgrade to overweight from equal weight. Pinterest — The image sharing company rose more than 1% after Oppenheimer initiated coverage of the stock with an outperform rating. GE Vernova — Shares gained nearly 1% after Guggenheim initiated coverage of GE Vernova with a buy rating, saying that it is "still in the early stages of a multi-year improvement in profitability." Analyst Joseph Osha's $300 price target implies a roughly 19% increase from Monday's closing price for the stock.
Persons: Jefferies, Piper Sandler, Lowe's, Oppenheimer, Morgan Stanley, BioNTech, Joseph Osha's, , Sarah Min, Michelle Fox, Pia Singh, Sean Conlon, Jesse Pound, Fred Imbert Organizations: Thor Industries, Arlo Technologies, Visa, Bloomberg, Justice Department, Citi, Mastercard, Federal Reserve, GE, Guggenheim Locations: U.S, China,
For the third quarter, the S & P 500 has popped 4.7%, while the Dow is higher by 7.7%. "The bond market has the fed funds rate being cut below 3% in 2025," Johnston, the firm's head of derivatives and cross asset strategy, wrote in a note Monday. On Monday, S & P Global said its U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers' index fell to a 15-month low in September — while its services sector gauge showed expansion. He likes put spreads on the SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) expiring Oct. 31. If history is any guide, it'll most likely be the bond market.
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston, Johnston Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Dow, P Global, Trust Locations:
Here’s what could knock the stock market’s momentum
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The S & P 500 also reached an all-time high last week and posted a weekly advance of 1.4%. Here's a look: Valuations The S & P 500 trading near record highs is a double-edged sword, as valuations are also at historically high levels. "The S & P 500 is already trading a little above where it deserves to at year-end 2024." Scott Chronert of Citi also noted that six of the 11 S & P 500 sectors have "valuation composites near/at top decile levels." The S & P 500 has averaged a 2.3% loss in September over the past 10 years, according to FactSet data.
Persons: Stocks, it's, Lori Calvasina, Scott Chronert, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Gonzalo Asis, RBC's Calvasina, Citi's Chronert Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, RBC Capital Markets, Citi, NBC, Presidential, PCE, Bank of America
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