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Kent Nishimura | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Powell, in yesterday's press conference, maintained that "the election will have no effect on our policy decisions." "By December, we'll have more data, I guess one more employer report, two more inflation reports and lots of other data," Powell said. — CNBC's Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound and Alex Harring contributed to this report.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kent Nishimura, Jim Reid, Trump, Scott Helfstein, Powell, we'll, that's, , Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Alex Harring Organizations: FTSE, Federal, CNBC, Deutsche, Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Global, Congress, Fed Locations: GDAXI, Washington, Washington , DC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's a fraught time in terms of economic policy, says Roger FergusonFormer Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's rate cut decision this week, takeaways from Fed Chair Powell's commentary, post-election outlook for the Fed, and more.
Persons: Roger Ferguson, takeaways Organizations: Roger Ferguson Former Federal, Fed
Fed Chair Jay Powell said Thursday that he would not resign if president-elect Donald Trump asked him to. Asked whether he would step down amid chatter that Trump's advisors had suggested he do so, Powell replied, "No." Trump himself nominated Powell as Federal Reserve chairman in 2017 in his first administration. Powell made the comments during his regularly scheduled remarks following the release of the Federal Open Market Committee's latest statement on interest rate policy. Representatives for Trump did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Persons: Jay Powell, Donald Trump, Powell, Trump, readying, ” Trump, Scott Bessent, Kevin Warsh Organizations: Federal, Trump, Bloomberg, Chicago Economic, Reuters, CNN, NBC News, CNBC
Mortgage ratesHousing affordability has been a major issue due in part to a sharp rise in mortgage rates since the pandemic. Trump has said he'll bring down mortgage rates — even though 15- and 30-year mortgage rates are fixed, and tied to Treasury yields and the economy. Mortgage rates are unlikely to fall significantly, given the current climate, explained Jacob Channel, senior economist at LendingTree. Federal student loan rates are fixed, so most borrowers won't be immediately affected. But refinancing a federal loan into a private student loan will forgo the safety nets that come with federal loans, such as deferments, forbearances, income-driven repayment and loan forgiveness and discharge options.
Persons: Joshua Roberts, Matt Schulz, Trump, Jessica Caldwell, Edmunds, Trump's, Caldwell, Michele Raneri, Jacob Channel, Mark Kantrowitz Organizations: Federal, Reuters, Auto, Fed, Treasury, TransUnion, Mortgage, Association . Locations: Washington ,, Edmunds, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump's economic policies could alter the Fed's narrative, and that 'changes everything'Phiillip Toews of Toews Asset Management discusses how the inflationary impact of Trump's potential tax cut and tariff plans could affect the U.S. Fed's interest rate cutting narrative and what this means for the economy and markets.
Persons: Phiillip Toews Organizations: Management
Donald Trump's election victory is set to make the Federal Reserve's job more difficult. His tariff and immigration plans are expected to stoke inflation, complicating the Fed's policy decisions. Trump has also said he'd like a say in setting monetary policy, which would erode Fed independence. Donald Trump's election win brings his vision of hefty trade tariffs and a sweeping immigration crackdown closer to becoming reality. A study from the Peterson Institute of International Economics said interfering with the Fed's independence could cost the economy $300 billion and drive inflation higher.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, , it's, Glen Smith, Smith, Paul Krugman, Trump's, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: stoke, Service, Treasury, GDS Wealth Management, Fed, Fed Trump, Peterson Institute of International Economics, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Trump Locations: China
Market moves: The stock market tacked on some additional gains after the Federal Reserve on Thursday afternoon cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Bond yields, which move inversely to bond prices, have been on the rise since the Fed cut rates in September. Stick to discipline: The stock market especially liked the idea of a pro-business environment and de-regulation expected in the future Trump administration. It's not surprising to see Wells Fargo down 3% after the Club stock surged more than 13% on Wednesday. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Thursday's, Jerome Powell, hasn't, Bond, Donald Trump, Trump, industrials, It's, Wells, Mogan Stanley, Morgan Stanley, Bloomin, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, Bond, NBC News, Club, DraftKings, Arista Networks, Azon Enterprise, Trade, Baxter International, NRG Energy, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells
Following Donald Trump's Presidential election win, 30-year fixed mortgage rates briefly surged, settling at 6.98% as of Thursday, according to Mortgage News Daily . Recent interest rate cuts have brought relief to credit card, personal loan and auto borrowers, but homebuyers are unlikely to catch a break as mortgage rates continue to climb. While mortgage rates often move in step with the Fed's benchmark rate, they're more directly tied to 10-year Treasury bond yields. These yields tend to rise when investors expect stronger economic growth and higher inflation — even when the Federal Reserve is cutting the federal funds rate. Either way, "continued deficit spending, coupled with discussions of additional tariffs on imports, is likely to keep [mortgage] rates elevated through the remainder of 2024," says Nourmand.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Melissa Cohn, William Raveis, Harris, Michael Nourmand, Organizations: Reserve, Mortgage News, Federal Reserve, William Raveis Mortgage, Trump, Associates, CNBC Locations: New York, Los Angeles
Firm dollar keeps peers on back foot ahead of BOE, Fed decisions
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Trump's policies on restricting illegal immigration, enacting new tariffs, lowering taxes and deregulation may boost growth and inflation and crimp the Fed's ability to cut rates. Following the election, markets now see about a 70% chance the Fed will also cut rates next month, down from 77% on Tuesday, according to the CME Group's Fed Watch Tool. Anything less than a "dovish cut" from the Fed on Thursday could see traders trim back bets for a December cut and the dollar and yields rising higher, Simpson added. The yen was up 0.22% at 154.30 per dollar, after touching 154.7 on Wednesday, its lowest against the greenback since July 30. The Riksbank is seen easing by 50 basis points, and the Norges Bank is set to stay on hold.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matt Simpson, Trump, Treasuries, Simpson Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Trump, White, Index, Treasury, Fed, Republicans, CME, Bank of England, Norges Bank, Bitcoin Locations: U.S, Index ., cryptocurrencies
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. AdvertisementAnother interest-rate cut is headed Americans' way. On Thursday, the Federal Open Market Committee announced a 25-basis-point interest-rate cut after a 50-basis-point cut in September. AdvertisementGiven the lag in monetary policy, the interest-rate cuts won't give Americans immediate relief on their credit cards, housing, or car loans. Still, some Democratic lawmakers urged the Fed to implement another 50-basis-point cut to give Americans more financial relief.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, Matthew Ryan, Jerome Powell, Milton, Helene —, Elizabeth Warren, John Hickenlooper, Powell Organizations: Reserve, Service, Federal, Market, Trump, Boeing, Fed Locations: Sens
What to expect from the Fed's meeting today
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat to expect from the Fed's meeting todayCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the Fed's outlook with on rate cuts with a new president-elect.
Persons: Steve Liesman
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat a new Trump term means for the Fed's handling of the economyEvan Brown, head of multi-strategy at UBS Asset Management; Subadra Rajappa, head of U.S. rates strategy at Societe Generale; and Jay Bryson, chief economist at Wells Fargo, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss what they expect from the Fed's meeting today, how a new Trump term could impact the agency's approach to the economy, and more.
Persons: Evan Brown, Subadra Rajappa, Jay Bryson, CNBC's Organizations: Trump, UBS Asset Management, Societe Generale Locations: Wells Fargo
The rate dropped by 25 basis points to a range of 4.50% to 4.75%. The Fed began cutting rates in September to help boost the economy as inflation cools and the job market softens. In a September speech, Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that another 25-bps cut could happen before 2025 if current economic trends hold steady. Below is a breakdown of how the recent rate cuts could impact your monthly borrowing costs. The breakdown includes today's 25-bps cut and the cumulative 75-bps reduction since the Fed began cutting rates in September, as estimated by Bankrate.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Bankrate, today's, Equity Lines
The Federal Reserve would likely respond to inflation by raising interest rates to curb demand. In an economic chain reaction, households would then pay higher interest rates on borrowing of all kinds as the Fed moves to tame that newly rekindled inflation. That led to the 30-year fixed mortgage rate rising, meaning homebuyers are on track to see higher interest rates on loans. An analysis by the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center found that Trump's policies would decrease posttax incomes by an average of $1,800 in 2025. Trump's win is also expected to influence the Federal Reserve's upcoming decisions on interest rates.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump, Ramping, Trump's, it's, Jerome Powell, Joseph Stiglitz Organizations: Federal, Service, Biden, US Census Bureau, Trump, Peterson, Center, American Progress, Tax Foundation, Fed Locations: China
A one-kilogram gold bar sits at Gold Investments Ltd. bullion dealers in this arranged photograph in London, U.K., on Wednesday, July 29, 2020. Gold prices touched a more than three-week low on Thursday, as the dollar strengthened after Donald Trump's win in the U.S. presidential election, while focus was also on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision later in the day. Spot gold fell 0.1% to $2,656.34 per ounce, as of 0327 GMT, after hitting its lowest level since Oct. 15 earlier in the session. Bullion hit a record high of $2,790.15 last week and has lost more than $130 since then. Still expect prices to hit $3,000 next year," said Peter Fung, head of dealing at Wing Fung Precious Metals.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Bullion, Trump, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, Peter Fung Organizations: Gold Investments, U.S, Asia Pacific, Metals Locations: London, Asia
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference following the Nov. 6-7, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee meeting at William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building in Washington, D.C., on Nov. 7, 2024. ET, market pricing pointed toward a 67% chance of another quarter-point cut in December and a 33% chance of a pause that month, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The probability of a quarter-point December rate cut rose to more than 70% following the meeting, while the chances of a pause slipped to nearly 29%. Future rate probabilities found in the CME FedWatch Tool are derived from trading in 30-day fed funds futures contracts. Meanwhile, the odds that the Federal Reserve would skip an interest rate cut in January was around 71%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Federal Locations: Washington ,, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConcerned about longer-term willingness of investors to add to treasury debt: economist ReinhartVincent Reinhart, Dreyfus and Mellon chief economist and former Fed economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the impact of the Fed's latest cut and the future of monetary policy.
Persons: Reinhart Vincent Reinhart, Dreyfus Organizations: Mellon, Fed
Reporters asked Fed Chair Jerome Powell whether he would resign if President-elect Trump asked him to. Powell responded with one word: "No." Trump has been critical of Powell, but the law does not permit a president to fire a Fed official without cause. AdvertisementFederal Reserve chair Jerome Powell has no plans to leave the central bank prematurely under President-elect Donald Trump. "We don't guess, we don't speculate, and we don't assume," Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Trump, Powell, , Donald Trump, Biden, Joe Biden Organizations: Service, Federal, Market, Trump, Fed, Street, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Congress
Fed is going to cut by 25 bps, says PIMCO's Richard Clarida
  + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed is going to cut by 25 bps, says PIMCO's Richard ClaridaRichard Clarida, PIMCO global economic advisor, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the Fed's decision tomorrow and Trump's second-term election.
Persons: PIMCO's Richard Clarida Richard Clarida Organizations: Fed
US election news on a screen on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024. Stock futures are near flat Wednesday night after a huge market rally following Donald Trump's decisive victory in the presidential election. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 25 points, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both traded marginally above flat. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all notched new all-time highs in the session, while the small cap-focused Russell 2000 jumped more than 5%.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Dow, Russell, Scott Helfstein, Jerome Powell's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Traders, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S ., Global, CME Group's, Moderna, Warner Bros Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Key Square Group CEO Scott BessentScott Bessent, Key Square Group founder and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election, future of government spending, the Fed's independence, and more.
Persons: Scott Bessent Scott Bessent, Donald Trump's Organizations: Key Square, Key Square Group
As the central bank lowers its benchmark rate, mortgage rates are expected to go down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering in the mid-6% range today, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the high 5% range, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.
Persons: they've, Jerome Powell's, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, They'll Organizations: Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailScott Bessent on possible Treasury secretary role: I'm going to do whatever Donald Trump asksScott Bessent, Key Square Group founder and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election, future of government spending, the Fed's independence, and more.
Persons: Scott Bessent, Donald Trump, Donald Trump's Organizations: Key Square Group
Credit markets face challenges, but opportunities exist in corporate bonds and cheap optionality. But when times are tight, companies deleverage until their debt is less than their cash flow. The yields in corporate bonds aren't much higher than in government bonds, meaning less compensation for more risk. Advertisement"This trade works if natural gas prices remain stable or rise, leading the energy bond to outperform the overall corporate bond market," Rieder said. "It's an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the current tight credit spread conditions and complacency in the overall credit market."
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Mark Rieder, Rieder, I've Organizations: Service, Fed, Treasury, Bloomberg, Business
Analysts expect Trump's economic policies to increase inflation, and push interest rates higher. AdvertisementDonald Trump's victory is set to herald a new era of higher inflation, tighter monetary policy, and surging cryptocurrencies, analysts said in initial reactions to the presidential election result. The economic impact of Trump's second term is likely to be volatile, said Lindsay James, investment strategist at UK-based Quilter Investments. However, such cuts could be shortlived if Trump's trade policies, which include proposed near-universal tariffs, prove to be inflationary as expected. Bitcoin could hit $100,000One asset that analysts expect to surge in the wake of Trump's victory is bitcoin, which rallied sharply early on Wednesday morning.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump's, Lindsay James, Elon Musk, Thomas Matthews, Trump, Russ Mould, AJ Bell Organizations: Service, Investments, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Rabobank, White
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