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☆ Gold prices are at an all-time high—but experts like Warren Buffett don't always recommend investing
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

And even though gold prices are at an all-time high, many market watchers are still taking a shine to it. But even with a favorable outlook, gold should play a very different role in your portfolio than stocks or bonds, investing experts say. Why gold is up and could continue to riseDifferent investors cite different reasons for owning gold. In addition to a rising tide, a weakening U.S. dollar and falling bond rates have boosted gold prices of late, says Hayes. At lower rates, bonds and cash accounts "have less of a competitive advantage" over gold, he tells CNBC Make It.

Persons: it's, Tim Hayes, Ned Davis, Warren Buffett, It's, Ford O'Neill, we've, Hayes, Buffett Organizations: Ned, Ned Davis Research, Billionaire, Berkshire Hathaway, Fidelity, CNBC, Federal Reserve, ExxonMobil Locations: Berkshire, U.S

The S & P 500 is closing out the first quarter on an epic win streak: The index is up 10% year to date and an amazing 25% in the past five months. Select S & P 500 sectors YTD Communication Services up 15% Technology up 12% Energy up 11% Financials up 11% Industrials up 10% Health Care up 8% The only sector down this quarter is real estate, off by 3% in the period. About 70% of the S & P 500 is in the green this year. The S & P 500 advance/decline has been on a tear since the middle of January, with far more stocks advancing on a daily basis than declining. "We saw persistent strength with the S & P 500 up every month from November through February, and this has nearly always been followed by more months of strength," he said.

Persons: Todd Sohn, Strategas, It's, Russell, Ned Davis, Davis, Alec Young Organizations: Communication Services, Technology, Energy, Care

☆ It's been four years since the market's Covid low with the S&P 500 returning 25% annualized since
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-23 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The four-year total return for the S & P 500 since March 23, 2020, is just about 150%, or 25.7% annualized. .SPX mountain 2020-03-23 S & P 500 since the Covid low This is, of course, an idealized starting point from which to measure performance. While the S & P 500 bottomed at around a three-year low under 2,200, the index spent only a few weeks under 2,500. More qualitatively, it's a bull market, and in a bull market the overshoots occur to the upside, so a rally being "ahead of itself" is not fatal. And the S & P 500 is only 9% higher than it was more than two years ago, hardly reaching escape velocity from planet Sanity.

Persons: –, Warren, Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, bullishness, Rocky White Organizations: HSBC, 3Fourteen, Bank of Japan, Fed, Ned Davis Research, Schaeffer's Investment Research, Intelligence, Bank of America

☆ Election Updates: Five states vote today. Here are the races to watch.
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( Chris Cameron | Jonathan Weisman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +7 min

In today’s newsletter, I’m going to tell you about some fascinating primary races that will shed light on some broader trends in U.S. politics. Mike Bost, a Republican and Marine Corps veteran, was first elected to the House in 2014. Don’t say ‘age’Democrats have their own issues that are captured in races in their stronghold of greater Chicago. But to the Democratic establishment, “age” is a word not spoken aloud, not with President Biden in the White House. But similar issues driving their primary fights will play out in swing House districts and swing states across the country.

Persons: Mike Bost, He’d, Darren Bailey, Donald J, J.B, Pritzker, Bailey, Bost, Mike, ”, Trump’s, Matt Gaetz, Trump, Danny Davis, he’s, Melissa Conyears, Ervin, Kina Collins, Biden, Davis, Davis’s, “, Jesús, García, Raymond Lopez of, Lopez, Jennifer Medina, Ruth Igielnik, Krystle Kaul, Jennifer Wexton, Eileen, Jennifer Boysko, Dan Helmer, Helmer, Kaul, Suhas, —, Kaul bristled Organizations: Illinois’s, Congressional, Republican, Marine Corps, State Legislature, Committee, Veterans ’ Affairs, Trump, Trump Republican, Democratic, House, The Chicago Tribune, Congressional District, American Democrats, Chicago, Mexican American, Republicans, Washington , D.C, Virginia, Army, Democrat Locations: Illinois, Lincoln, Washington, Chicago, Lake Michigan, Illinois’s, Chuy, Raymond Lopez of Chicago, García, Mexican, Virginia, exurbs, Washington ,, Virginia’s 10th, America

☆ Millennial women are taking over the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-17 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Millennial women are having an outsized impact on the global economy, according to Ned Davis Research. "The rise in millennial female participation should have positive implications for the economy and equities in the long-term," NDR said. "The unemployment rate tends to be lower among people with higher education, which helps explain the greater take-up of women in the workforce. Younger women are more likely to have higher education and thus, be employed productively." Ned Davis Research"The premise is that when the economy has a large proportion of maturing population, workers are more productive, and incomes are higher," Grindal said.

Persons: Ned Davis, Alejandra Grindal, —, Grindal, millennials Organizations: Ned Davis Research, NDR Locations: Australia, Japan, Germany, Italy, South Korea

☆ 'Nearing exhaustion': Top strategists warn that weaker consumer spending could cause US stocks to run out of steam — but 22 investments can thrive during a market reversal
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

Eight economists, investment chiefs, and strategists that Business Insider recently spoke to credited healthier-than-anticipated consumer balance sheets and spending for the continued expansion. "Either that, or they're going to be maxed out — they can't get any more money. They're not going to have any liquidity to be able to continue to do the things they're going to do." He's also sticking with defensive stocks as consumer spending softens, including those in the consumer staples sector like Clorox (CLX) and Procter & Gamble (PG). Real estate is a "hated asset class" that's negatively correlated with interest rates, Sekera said.

Persons: shouldn't, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, they're, Sue Crotty, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clark Bellin, Bellin, David Rosenberg, They're, Rob Swanke, Swanke, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Christopher Barto, Gordon, Clissold, He's, Morningstar's Sekera, Crotty, Segal Marco Advisors, She's, Barto, that's Organizations: Business, Consumers, Segal Marco, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Commonwealth Financial Network, Nasdaq, Morningstar, Fort Pitt Capital Group, Procter, Gamble, Federal Reserve, Exxon, APA Corp, Duke Energy, Segal, Energy, Healthcare Locations: Devon, Real, NiSource

☆ Citadel's relocation to Miami was a success. But can Ken Griffin get the rest of Wall Street to do it?
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. In today's big story, we're looking at how two of the most powerful Wall Street firms are doing two years after relocating to Miami . Nearly two years ago the billionaire uprooted his hedge fund, Citadel, and market maker, Citadel Securities, from their Chicago headquarters to Miami. Employees at Citadel and Citadel Securities spoke to Business Insider's Emmalyse Brownstein about life in the new HQ . Shares tumbled 55% after The Wall Street Journal reported that Fisker had hired restructuring advisors to assist with a possible bankruptcy filing.

Persons: —, we're, sarayut Thaneerat, Tyler Le, Ken Griffin, Samantha Lee, San Francisco, Griffin, Anita Kot, Dogecoin, Elon Musk, Ned Davis, Fisker, Patrick Pleul, Andrew Cabellero Reynolds, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Sam Altman, Muhammad Ali, Steven Mnuchin, BI's Peter Kafka, Ezra Bailey, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb, George Glover Organizations: Service, Business, Wall, Citadel, Citadel Securities, Sunshine State, Miami, New York, Ned Davis Research, Street Journal, Elon, OpenAI, Google, KKR, Benz Locations: Miami, Florida, Chicago, New York, London, York, Plenty, San, Austin, He's, Blackstone

☆ Bank of America's top global strategist shares 4 signs that a bubble continues to grow in US stocks — and 4 indicators to know when to get out of the market
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-09 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Bank of AmericaIn the note, Hartnett laid out more evidence that a bubble could be developing in stocks. The current real 10-year rate is 1.6%, according to Fed data. Hartnett said a falling number of job quitters shows a weakening labor market, hence the Fed's apparent willingness to cut rates soon. February's inflation data will be released next week, but January's data showed that prices are still rising at a pesky pace of 3.1%, above the Fed's stated goal of 2%. Whether a Fed pivot is a good thing for investors depends on just how cool labor market data becomes.

Persons: —, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, quitters, Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis, it's, Grindal Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, PHLX Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Semiconductor, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Meta, Bank of America's, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Ned, Ned Davis Research

☆ A Biden-Trump standoff won't present too much uncertainty for the markets, says Ed Clissold
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA Biden-Trump standoff won't present too much uncertainty for the markets, says Ed ClissoldEd Clissold, Chief U.S. Strategist at Ned Davis Research, discusses Super Tuesday's impact on the markets.

Persons: Ed Clissold Ed Clissold, Ned Davis Organizations: Trump, Chief, Ned, Ned Davis Research

☆ The 11 GRANOLAS stocks power Europe to record highs, drawing Magnificent Seven comparisons
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, January 19, 2024. Staff | ReutersOver the last 12 months, just 11 stocks made up half of the gains that powered the pan-European Stoxx 600 stock index to a record-high close on Friday. "From a Global point of view, the GRANOLAS have even outperformed the so-called Magnificent 7 over the past two years. Their (out)performance is even more impressive on a risk-adjusted basis: with a volatility 2x lower than for the Magnificent 7, the GRANOLAS help to boost the Sharpe ratio." "This suggests that, in Europe, nearly all revenue growth of the STOXX 600 will come from the GRANOLAS.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Sanofi —, Goldman, Tim Hayes, Ned Davis, Hayes Organizations: Staff, Reuters, GSK, Roche, ASML, Nestle, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, L'Oreal, LVMH, AstraZeneca, SAP, Sanofi, Street, Ned, Ned Davis Research, CNBC Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Europe

☆ History shows the best trade has usually been to buy the stock getting kicked out of the Dow Industrials
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

If history is any guide, Walgreens Boots Alliance may fare better after getting tossed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average . In fact, data shows that betting on a stock that's leaving the Dow is often a better trade for investors than buying shares of a stock that's entering the 127-year-old average. What history shows Alcoa was the best-performing stock among the last 10 outgoing Dow members. For example, Honeywell International surged more than 40% one year after joining the Dow, while UnitedHealth rallied nearly 28%. General Electric , the last of the original 12 Dow stocks, plunged about 58% one year after leaving the average in 2018.

Persons: bode, Ned Davis, Goldman Sachs, —, Amgen —, UnitedHealth, DuPont de Nemours, Fred Imbert Organizations: Walgreens Boots, Dow Jones, Walgreens, Dow, General Electric, WBA, CNBC Pro, Ned Davis Research, NDR, Alcoa, HP, Bank of America, Nike, Visa, RTX Corporation, Exxon Mobil, Pfizer, Apple, Honeywell International, DuPont de Locations: U.S

☆ How Benjamin O. Davis Sr. and Davis Jr. became America’s first Black generals
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-25 | by ( Nicole Chavez | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

In 1940, Benjamin O. Davis Sr. became the first Black person to achieve the rank of brigadier general in the US Army. Twenty years after his father made history, Davis Jr. became the first Black brigadier general in the Air Force in 1960. Davis Sr. was born in Washington, DC, less than 20 years after the ratification of the 13th amendment, which abolished slavery. So, Davis Jr. moved alone to Chicago for nearly two years to secure the nomination and his spot at West Point. “So, (the Army) provided no opportunities for African Americans to lead troops, it provided no opportunities before 1940 for African Americans to fly airplanes, there were no African Americans in the Marine Corps,” Moye added.

Persons: Benjamin O, Davis, Davis Jr, “ Davis, ”, J, Todd Moye, “, White, ” Moye, Sr, West Point Davis, Oscar S, De Priest, Illinois, ” “, Doug Melville, ’, America’s, Ben Jr, ” Benjamin O, Simon, Simon & Schuster, Franklin D, Roosevelt, Moye, Army shouldn’t, Harry S, Truman, Melville, Le’Trice Donaldson, ” Donaldson, Bill Clinton, Davis , Jr, ” Clinton, ” Melville Organizations: CNN, US Army, Tuskegee Airmen, Air Force, University of North, Service’s Tuskegee, Guard, 8th US Volunteer Infantry, Army, Army’s, of, 9th Cavalry, Buffalo Soldiers, Army War, Corps, West Point, African, Blacks, Tuskegee Institute, 99th Fighter Squadron, 332nd Fighter Group, Chanute Air Museum, Simon &, Marine Corps, Alabama’s Tuskegee Army, US Air Force, Armed Services, United States Army, United States Air Force, Black, Texas, Corpus Christi, Department of Transportation, Federal Air Marshal Service, America Locations: University of North Texas, Washington ,, Spanish, Philippines, Mexico, American, France, Chicago, West, West Point, Italy, Washington, America, North Africa, Sicily, Vietnam, “

☆ How Johnson wooed Trump to back a GOP congressman targeted by Gaetz
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-25 | by ( Manu Raju | Melanie Zanona | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

“Seeing as how President Trump endorsed Mike Bost, Matt always finds himself on the wrong side of history,” Miller told CNN. After the GOP leadership’s candidate, Craig Riedel, was caught on tape criticizing Trump, multiple Republicans pulled their endorsement, including Miller and House GOP Conference Chairwoman Elise Stefanik. And now, Miller is inserting herself into another incumbent primary race in Illinois: She also is backing Bailey over Bost, her House GOP colleague. But this time, Miller and Gaetz are on the opposite side of Trump in the race. “Darren Bailey proudly stands with President Trump despite disagreeing with him on this endorsement,” a campaign spokesman said.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Manu Raju ’, Mike Johnson, Donald Trump, Matt Gaetz, Johnson, Trump, Mike Bost, MAGA, Darren Bailey, Richard Hudson of, Max Miller, Bost, –, Kevin McCarthy, Matt, ” Miller, “, ” Darren Bailey, Terrence Antonio James, Tom Williams, Gaetz, Miller, Bailey, ” Gaetz, “ I’ve, he’s, Gaetz “, ” Bost, He’s, ”, Sen, Steve Daines, Republican leadership’s, Matt Rosendale, Craig Riedel, Elise Stefanik, Derek Merrin, Merrin, Byron Donalds of, JD Vance, Marcy Kaptur, Mary Miller of, Caucus hardliner, Rodney Davis, Davis, Bailey’s MAGA, Mike, ” Davis, that’s, it’s, “ Darren Bailey, Gaetz Gaetz, McCarthy, Carlos Gimenez, Don Bacon, I’ve, don’t, Reagan, shrugged, Sam Fossum, Morgan Rimmer, Christine Park Organizations: Republican, Rep, Republicans, Mar, Lago, Trump, Ohio, GOP, Florida Republican, CNN, Chicago Tribune, Getty, Capitol, Bost, Caucus, Air Force, Senate, Congressional, Democratic, House GOP, House Republican Conference, Getty Images Party, Republican JR Majewski, Street Caucus, ”, Nebraska Republican Locations: Illinois, Richard Hudson of North Carolina, Johnson, Hudson, Florida, Springfield , Illinois, Herrin , Illinois, McCarthy, Ukraine, Montana, House, Ohio’s, Ohio, Byron Donalds of Florida, Mary Miller of Illinois

☆ Amazon is getting added to the Dow. What it means for the market benchmark
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Dow is adding Amazon, while removing Walgreens Boots Alliance. With the change, S & P Dow Jones Indices senior index analyst Howard Silverblatt said the Dow could rally all the way to 42,865. The effect on incoming and outgoing members of the Dow is less clear. According to past data from Ned Davis Research, stocks that leave the Dow have historically outperformed incoming members. Since 1972, outgoing members have averaged a 12-month gain of nearly 17.5%, while new members have averaged a 10% gain in their first year.

Persons: Dow, Howard Silverblatt, Silverblatt, Ned Davis Organizations: Dow Jones, Walgreens, Alliance, Walmart, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Dow, Ned Davis Research

BOSTON (AP) — With back-to-back Super Bowl victories for the hometown Chiefs, Kansas City football fans gathered for another championship parade and a second celebratory pep rally in a row. Not because the Chiefs, with star quarterback Patrick Mahomes still just 28 years old, can’t win another NFL title. “They have to think twice about having these parades,” said former Boston Police Commissioner Bill Evans, who in 38 years with the department worked 12 championship parades and the aftermath of the 2013 Boston Marathon bombing. The event included a parade down Grand Boulevard, followed by a rally in front of Union Station. But that's a difficult proposition for large, open venues like where the Kansas City rally was held, or the 26.2-mile Boston Marathon course.

Persons: Patrick Mahomes, can’t, “, ”, Bill Evans, Stacey Graves, –, Quinton Lucas, Patrick's, ” Evans, Ed Davis, Evans, there’s, ” Davis, Davis, “ Everybody's, “ Everyone’s Organizations: BOSTON, hometown Chiefs, Kansas City, Chiefs, NFL, Boston Police, Marathon, San Francisco 49ers, Super, Nuggets, NBA, Texas Rangers, Bowl, Arrowhead, U.S, Secret, Louisiana, Boston Marathon, Paris Olympic, Boston, Boston Red Sox, Police, Boston College Locations: Kansas City, Denver, St, America, New Orleans, Salt Lake City, Kansas

☆ The stock market debate is trapped in the '90s with both bulls and bears drawing comparisons
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-10 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Value-investing asset manager GMO last week published a study showing that the top ten S & P 500 stocks by size have handily beaten an equal-weighted pool of the other 490 for several years now. Neither is Microsoft, a useful indicator give that it was the largest stock by market cap both in December 1999 and today. Indeed, today the stock market has done well even as expectations for the speed and depth of rate cuts this year have diminished. (Industrials are leading, the equal-weight S & P is up 19% from October and there were 204 new 52-week highs on the NYSE Friday over 24 new lows.) The S & P 500 uptrend has for weeks targeted the 5050 area, as an immediate culmination point, and it's just about there.

Persons: Morgan, Marko Kolanovic, —, Janus, Stocks, it's, Alan Greenspan, Greenspan, Jerome Powell, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Jurrien, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Nvidia, Cisco, Nasdaq, Cisco Systems, Microsoft, Fed, Netscape, Boston, NYSE Locations: Russia, It's, Orange County, Calif

☆ A pullback will be healthy for the market, says Ned Davis Research's Ed Clissold
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA pullback will be healthy for the market, says Ned Davis Research's Ed ClissoldEd Clissold, Ned Davis Research chief U.S. strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the economy and his Fed expectations.

Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold Ed Clissold Organizations: Ned Davis Research

☆ The odds of a global recession keep going down
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Ned Davis Research said economic indicators suggest the odds of a global downturn are diminishing. "The global economic lull we saw in the second half of 2023 appears to be abating." In a note published Tuesday, they highlighted that economic indicators across manufacturing, supply chains, and equities suggest the odds of a global recession have come down. On a historical basis, it's still below the long-term average of 53.2, but the global composite PMI has a recession threshold of 47.8. "This puts our breadth measure closer to pre-pandemic levels, when global expansions typically saw services breadth at 85% or higher."

Persons: Ned Davis, —, Alejandra Grindal, Patrick Ayers, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Service, PMI, NDR Locations: China, India, East, Japan, Canada

CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) — Anthony Davis and the Lakers might be starting to find their rhythm — just as the uncertainty of the NBA trade deadline approaches. Davis had 26 points, 15 rebounds and 11 assists for his third career triple-double and Los Angeles held on to defeat the short-handed Charlotte Hornets 124-118 on Monday night for their third straight win. “When we put our minds to it, we can beat any team in this league,” Davis said. Davis was simply too much to contain for a Hornets team severely lacking height with center Mark Williams still out with a back injury. “He’s seen just about everything," Lakers coach Darvin Ham said of the double teams Davis has faced and beaten.

Persons: CHARLOTTE, — Anthony Davis, Davis, D’Angelo Russell, LeBron James, ” Davis, “, James, “ that's, ” Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller, Terry Rozier, Miller, Russell, Nick Richards, Mark Williams, “ He’s, Darvin Ham, He’s, Christian Wood, Austin Reaves, Reaves, Charlotte, Bridges, ___ Organizations: Lakers, NBA, Charlotte Hornets, Hornets, Indiana Pacers, NEXT, Raptors Locations: N.C, Angeles, Nevada, Miami, . Washington, Los Angeles

(AP) — Jahmyl Telfort matched his season high with 26 points, DJ Davis added 22 and Butler held off No. Boden Kapke, who has played sparingly in six games before Friday, made two 3s and hit key free throws late. Creighton got the ball right back when Butler’s inbound pass following Kalkbrenner’s free throws went off DJ Davis’ leg and out of bounds. Davis was unable to shoot the free throws, with Kapke taking his place and making both with 6.4 seconds left for a three-point lead. Alexander was fouled immediately and made two free throws to make it 99-98 with 5.8 seconds left.

Persons: Telfort, DJ Davis, Butler, Creighton, “ We've, we’ve, ” Butler, Thad Matta, “, ” Baylor Scheierman, Steven Ashworth, Trey Alexander, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Finley, ” Telfort, Bizjack, Boden Kapke, Kalkbrenner, Alexnader, Francisco Farabello, Davis, Kapke, Alexander, ” Creighton, Greg McDermott, Posh Alexander, Landon Moore, Francis, it’s, ___ Organizations: Bulldogs, East, NCAA, Big, Boden, DJ, St, Butler, Providence, AP Locations: OMAHA, Neb, Connecticut

☆ A look at how stocks perform before and after the Fed's first rate cut — and how it may be different this time
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

How markets perform after the first Fed rate cut may be more complicated this time than investors expect. The S & P 500 rose just 3.5% in 2007 before collapsing 38% in 2008. A year after the Fed cut rates in 2019, the Covid-19 pandemic weighed on markets. How stocks perform will be especially important as Wall Street assesses when the central bank will cut rates. Markets are currently pricing in a 46% likelihood the Fed will cut rates by a quarter percentage point at its March meeting.

Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Sam Stovall, Bear Stearns, Lehman, Stovall Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow Jones, Ned Davis Research, Dow, Ned, CFRA Research, Storm, Lehman Brothers Locations: U.S, Iraq, Kuwait

☆ Forget a soft landing, there may be ‘no landing,’ economist says. Here's what that would mean for you
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Jessica Dickler | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"In many ways, we already have a soft landing," said Columbia Business School economics professor Brett House. What a 'no landing' scenario means"No landing means above-trend growth, and also above-trend inflation," Grindal said, describing an economy that is "overheating." As of the latest reading, the current annual inflation rate is 3.4%, still above the 2% target that the central bank considers a healthy annual rate. A "no landing" scenario also means more strain on household budgets and those with variable-rate debt, such as credit cards. "That looks like the soft landing has been more or less achieved and is likely to be sustained," House said.

Persons: Brett House, Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis, Grindal Organizations: Federal, Columbia Business School, Gross, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Finance

☆ Stock market hits new high after 2 years, overcoming a nasty inflation period and surging rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The long wait between S & P 500 all-time highs is a friendly factor for forward performance, as far as historical observations go. John Kolovos of Macro Risk Advisors says, "It is OK to be bullish on the stock market (S & P 500) just not the market of stocks (everything else)," from a trend-following perspective. Barry Knapp of Ironsides Macroeconomics calculates that the equal-weight S & P is one standard deviation cheap versus the market-cap-weighted index. Remarkably, the S & P 500 first pushed above 19-times forward earnings exactly four years ago, right before the Covid crash. Well, the S & P 500 has delivered an annualized total return near 11% in the four years since.

Persons: Ned Davis, Wayne Whaley, Whaley, I've, haven't, John Kolovos, Barry Knapp, Knapp, USTs, it's, hasn't Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Foresight, Federal, noncommittal, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Deutsche Bank

LAS VEGAS (AP) — A former Los Angeles-area gang leader jailed in Las Vegas in the 1996 killing of hip-hop music icon Tupac Shakur has hired a private attorney to represent him ahead of his murder trial scheduled this summer. The other, in 2021, was for failing to represent a defendant in Las Vegas Justice Court. Knight is serving 28 years in a California prison for an unrelated fatal shooting in the Los Angeles area in 2015. Davis was indicted by a grand jury in Las Vegas and arrested in September outside his home in suburban Henderson and has pleaded not guilty. or Biggie Smalls, six months later in Los Angeles.

Persons: —, Tupac Shakur, Duane “ Keffe, ” Davis, Carl Arnold, Robert Arroyo, Davis, Charles Cano, Arnold, didn't, Shakur, Marion “ Suge, Knight, Davis incriminated, Christopher Wallace, Biggie Smalls, Arroyo, Cano Organizations: LAS VEGAS, Nevada State Bar, Las Vegas Justice, Prosecutors, Los Angeles Police Department, BET, FBI, Los Locations: Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Clark County, Nevada, Las, Compton , California, California, Henderson

☆ The stock market has cooled off to start 2024, but it's still checking most of the bull market boxes
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-13 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The small-cap Russell 2000 has dropped close to 4% against a fractional gain in the S & P 500 year to date. In broad terms, the S & P 500 could retreat to 4600 or so – about 4% down from here – and still be in a routine technical check-back to its latest launch point in early December. Todd Sohn of Strategas notes that the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) saw inflows go vertical last year to $13.5 billion, 30% above its prior 12-month record. Betting on 'peacetime' Fed cuts Right or wrong, the market debate right now can never get far before turning into a Fed-policy-path discussion. Last week's CPI and PPI data added to the market's collective conviction that inflation's downside momentum is strong, opening the way for "peacetime" Fed rate cuts.

Persons: that's, Russell, Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, Tony Pasquariello, Goldman Sachs, Henry McVey, KKR's, McVey, Morgan Stanley, Todd Sohn, Strategas, they're, Jerome Powell Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Goldman, Nasdaq, Apple, CPI, PPI Locations: U.S

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