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Archer-Daniels-Midland — The food processor slumped 8% after its fiscal third-quarter and full-year earnings outlook missed analysts' estimates. Hims & Hers — Shares of the telehealth company gained 7% after better-than-expected third-quarter results surpassed analysts' estimates for profits and revenue. Palantir — The data analytics software maker surged more than 22% after posting strong third-quarter earnings and issuing upbeat revenue guidance . DuPont de Nemours — Stock in the chemicals company gained more than 6% after third-quarter earnings beat Wall Street estimates. DuPont reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.18 per share, while analysts surveyed by LSEG forecast $1.03.
Persons: Donald Trump, Archer, Burger, LSEG, MicroStrategy, Astera, Tesla, , Macheel, Samantha Subin, Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim, Sean Conlon Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, White, Nvidia —, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Daniels, Midland, ADM, FactSet, Restaurant, LSEG, Wynn, , Lattice Semiconductor, Cirrus, DuPont de Nemours — Stock, DuPont, Astera, Diamondback Locations: Cleveland
Bitcoin, an asset tied to a Trump victory given the candidates courtship of the industry, soared to a record $75,000 . Heading into the election, investors and analysts pointed to several stocks and sectors that could benefit from a Trump win. Here's a roundup of some of those: Steel stocks If Trump regains the presidency, JPMorgan expects steel stocks to outperform . Related stocks that could outperform under a Trump victory include Nucor , Cleveland-Cliffs , Kaiser Aluminum and MP Materials , according to Peterson. Supporters of Trump have also used the stock as a way to invest in a Trump victory.
Persons: Donald Trump ., Trump, Kamala Harris, Here's, Bill Peterson, Peterson, UBS's, Goldman Sachs, Strategas, Lazard, Wolfe, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Marion Laboure, bitcoin, Nic Puckrin, David Zerzos, Zerzos, Marcelli, Seth Seifman, Russell, Joe Biden, IWM, , Halliburton, Trump's, ULTA, Michael Bloom, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Pia Singh Organizations: U.S, NBC, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Trump, JPMorgan, Aluminum, Financials Bank of America, of America, UBS's Trump, UBS, Swiss, Citigroup, Citizens, Wolfe Research, GOP, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, ISI, Deutsche Bank, Investors, Jefferies, Military, Strategas, Gas Energy, Evercore ISI, Exxon Mobil, Halliburton, Companies Locations: Nucor, Cleveland, U.S, China, U.S . Southern
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on Oct. 24, 2024. Brendan McDermid | ReutersStocks typically rise after a presidential election — but investors need to be prepared for some short-term choppiness first, history shows. The three major benchmarks on average have seen gains between Election Day and year-end in the presidential election year going back to 1980, according to CNBC data. However, investors shouldn't be expecting a straight shot up in the market after polls close. This means investors shouldn't be anticipating an immediate pop on Wednesday or the next few days after.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, shouldn't, Stocks Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Dow, Nasdaq Locations: America
Octavio Jones | ReutersExecutives at America's largest companies are talking publicly with investors about the presidential election more so than in recent cycles. The word "election" came up on 100 earnings calls of S&P 500 -listed firms between Sept. 15 and Oct. 31, according to FactSet. The U.S. presidential election is Tuesday Nov. 5. 'Prudent' clientsMultiple companies cited a feeling of unpredictability tied to the presidential race among consumers and business clients. To be sure, some of the "election" mentions this year were tied to unrelated events like enrollment periods for health care.
Persons: Blythe Andrews , Jr, Octavio Jones, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Richard Tobin, FactSet, John Butters, Harris, Trump, Harry Lawton, Hurricanes Helene, Andrew Watterson, Michael Bayley, Gary Hershorn, Stanley Black, Decker, Donald Allan, Decker's Allan, William Grogan, Jon Vander Ark, Eric Ashleman, hasn't, Nonfarm payrolls, Equifax, Mark Begor, Stephen Squeri, we've, Mark Parrell Organizations: Public, Reuters, America's, CNBC, U.S, Dover, Tractor Supply, Hurricanes, Southwest Airlines, Royal, Hollywood International Airport, Corbis, Republican, Republic, Boeing, Tyler Technologies, American Express, Equity Locations: Tampa , Florida, U.S, Milton, Royal Caribbean, Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale , Florida, America, China
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEveryday investors buy Trump Media & Technology Group shares ahead of Election DayCNBC's Alex Harring reports on the spike in net inflows for Trump Media & Technology ahead of the 2024 presidential election.
Persons: Alex Harring Organizations: Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump Media & Technology
But the true implications for investors monitoring the election may lie in which party controls Congress, rather than who will sit in the White House. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 The importance of whichever party controls Congress was highlighted by Trump's recent trips outside battleground states such as New Mexico , a state that hasn't voted for a GOP presidential nominee in roughly 20 years. On the other hand, Evercore ISI's Emanuel expects a Harris victory, with a Democratic sweep of Congress, could result in the S & P 500 falling to roughly 5,700. The S & P 500 slid 1%, while the Nasdaq dipped 0.5%. Earnings season continues with about 100 S & P 500 companies confirmed to report.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson, I'm, Abuhoff Jacobson, hasn't, Brian Burrell, Jay Hatfield, Harris, Hatfield, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI's Emanuel, Jerome Powell's, Ralph Lauren, Warner, Alex Harring Organizations: NBC, Congress, House, Democratic, Republican, Hartford Investments, GOP, Thornburg Investment Management, Infrastructure Capital Advisors, Senate, Wednesday, Regional Banking, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, National, Marriott International, Diamondback Energy, Wynn Resorts, Palantir Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Petroleum, Brands, Technology, Computer, CVS, Howmet Aerospace, Gilead Sciences, Labor, Consumer, Moderna, Molson Coors Beverage, Halliburton, Hershey Co, Warner Bros, Expedia, Akamai Technologies, Paramount Locations: New Mexico, Albuquerque, Santa Fe , New Mexico, Hartford, Albemarle, Qualcomm, Michigan
The company posted earnings of $1.88 per share, excluding items, on revenue of $52.28 billion. Analysts polled by FactSet called for adjusted earnings per share of $1.62 on revenue of $50.90 billion. Intel — Shares popped 9% after the chipmaker topped third-quarter earnings estimates and shared upbeat quarterly guidance. The company posted adjusted earnings of 17 cents per share on $13.28 billion in revenue. Chevron also returned a record of more than $7 billion to shareholders in the quarter through buybacks and dividends.
Persons: Health —, Cardinal, FactSet, Atlassian, Donald Trump, Ernst, Ernst & Young, Avis, , Alex Harring, Brian Evans, Michelle Fox Theobald, Sean Conlon, Samantha Subin Organizations: Health, Boeing —, Intel, Amazon, Web Services, Apple —, Trump Media & Technology Group, Communications, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott, Ernst &, Avis Budget, LSEG, Chevron Locations: Europe, buybacks
Carvana – Shares surged more than 19% on the heels of a third-quarter earnings and revenue beat . Microsoft sees revenue coming in between $68.1 billion and $69.1 billion, while analysts were estimating $69.8 billion, according to LSEG. Comcast – Shares climbed nearly 6% after the theme park and media company's third quarter earnings and revenue beat analyst estimates. Cigna – Shares advanced more than 2% after the insurer's third-quarter earnings and revenue beat analysts' expectations. Coinbase – The cryptocurrency exchange platform fell more than 2% after third-quarter earnings and revenue missed Street estimates .
Persons: Carvana, LSEG, Peter Stern, Robinhood, Meta, Cigna, FactSet, Etsy, Coinbase, , Alex Harring, Samantha Subin, Jesse Pound, Lisa Kailai Han, Sarah Min, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: eBay, Ebay, , Microsoft, Booking Holdings, Uber Technologies, Comcast, LSEG, Super, Facebook, Meta, Wall, CNBC Locations: StreetAccount, LSEG .
Carvana — The used car platform rose 23% after posting a third-quarter earnings and revenue beat . Etsy — Shares rallied 8% after the online e-commerce platform posted third-quarter results that surprised to the upside. Microsoft called for revenue ranging between $68.1 billion to $69.1 billion, while analysts had forecasted $69.83 billion, according to LSEG. Coinbase — The cryptocurrency exchange platform shed 10% after posting a third-quarter earnings and revenue miss . Teleflex — Shares plummeted 15.6% after the medical device provider reported third-quarter revenue of $764.4 million, below FactSet's estimated $768.7 million.
Persons: Peter Stern, Carvana, Etsy —, FactSet, Coinbase, LSEG, Uber, Ernst, Young, Teleflex, Robinhood, Estee Lauder, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Samantha Subin Organizations: , Ford, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, Microsoft, eBay —, eBay, MGM Resorts, MGM Locations: Norwegian, FactSet, China
Nasdaq 100 futures advanced Thursday night as traders analyzed major earnings reports in the runup to the all-important jobs report. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 15 points, or 0.1%, while S&P 500 futures also gained 0.1%. Those moves come after a downbeat session on Thursday, which saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite dragged down by post-earnings slumps in Microsoft and Meta Platforms . The Dow led the major indexes down with a slide of 1.3%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq shed 1% and 0.5%, respectively. On the earnings front, traders will monitor Friday reports from Chevron and Exxon Mobil .
Persons: Dow, Jay Hatfield, Dow Jones, nonfarm Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Amazon, Intel, Microsoft, Meta, Infrastructure Capital Management, Chevron, Exxon Mobil
Amazon — The e-commerce giant popped 4.7% after beating earnings expectations on both lines in the third quarter. Amazon reported $1.43 earned per share on revenue of $158.88 billion, while analysts polled by LSEG expected $1.14 and $157.2 billion, respectively. For the period, Intel posted revenue of $13.28 billion, while analysts surveyed by LSEG were expecting $13.02 billion. Apple — Shares slid 1.8% despite earnings and revenue topping Wall Street expectations for the fourth fiscal quarter. Analysts polled by StreetAccount expected a profit of 64 cents per share on revenue of $1.16 billion.
Persons: LSEG, Avis, , Atlassian, StreetAccount, — CNBC's Sean Conlon Organizations: Amazon, Intel –, Intel, Apple, Avis Budget, FactSet
JPMorgan's trading desk has some ideas on how much the stock market might move following Friday's all-important job report. Between 120,000 and 200,000 jobs added; 30% chance: This is the so-called Goldilocks print. The S & P 500 should finish the day somewhere between flat and up 0.5%. Below 20,000 jobs added; 5% chance: This should catalyze a large sell-off as a negative nonfarm payrolls print typically front runs a recession. The S & P 500 should pull back somewhere within the range of 0.75% and 1.5%.
Persons: payrolls, Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Equity
Reddit reported earnings of 16 cents per share, while analysts surveyed by LSEG had expected a loss of 7 cents. For the period, Garmin posted pro forma earnings of $1.99 per share on $1.59 billion in revenue. Wingstop – Shares fell around 19% after the restaurant chain missed analysts' expectations for the third quarter. Wingstop earned 88 cents per share, while analysts were looking for 95 cents per share, per LSEG. Advanced Micro Devices – Shares tumbled 9.5% after AMD gave guidance for fourth-quarter revenue of $7.5 billion, in line with analysts expectations, per LSEG.
Persons: Reddit, LSEG, EY, FactSet, Eli Lilly, XPO, Shack, Thomas Reeg, Wingstop, Chipotle, StreetAccount, Raymond James, Goldman Sachs, Alex Harring, Samantha Subin, Lisa Kailai Han, Sarah Min, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox Organizations: Garmin, Caesars Entertainment, Google, Visa, AMD, Bloomberg, Emirates, Wall, Bank of America
Retail investors have increasingly focused in on Trump Media & Technology , Rumble and Phunware as stocks that can benefit if the Republican presidential nominee for president prevails. Trump Media & Technology, which owns the alternative social media platform TruthSocial, trades under a ticker — DJT — that's also the initials for the business mogul-turned-politician. On Tuesday alone, retail traders were net buyers of Trump Media to the tune of $14.4 million. Schwarz said there's no reason for Trump Media to even be publicly traded given its business fundamentals and high price-to-sales ratio. "Trump Media has no fundamental value — it's worthless," he said.
Persons: Donald Trump, That's, that's, Phunware, Kamala Harris, Christopher Schwarz, It's, Trump, There's, Irvine's Schwarz, Schwarz, there's, LSEG, hasn't, Peter Thiel, — CNBC's Robert Frank, Fred Imbert Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, Republican, Trump Media, NBC, University of California Irvine, CNBC, Vanda Research, U.S, Trump, Marriott, Mayo Clinic, PayPal Locations: United States, Atlantis
Eli Lilly — The drug maker tumbled 7.5% after missing analyst expectations for the third quarter and cutting full-year guidance. Eli Lilly earned $1.18 per share, excluding items, on $11.44 billion in revenue. Analysts polled by LSEG had anticipated earnings of $1.47 a share and $12.11 billion in revenue. Caterpillar — Shares fell more than 5% in the premarket after the industrial giant reported weaker-than-expected earnings for the third quarter. The company posted a profit of $5.17 per share, while analysts polled by LSEG had forecast earnings of $5.34 per share.
Persons: Eli Lilly, LSEG, XPO, FactSet, Qorvo, Raymond James, Reddit, , Jesse Pound, Sarah Min, Sean Conlon, Michelle Fox, Samantha Subin, Fred Imbert Organizations: Caterpillar, Revenue, Bloomberg, Emirates, Google, Visa, AMD
The Nasdaq Composite rose to a fresh record on Tuesday as investors readied for key corporate earnings releases, including reports from notable tech names. The tech-heavy Nasdaq advanced 0.78% to a record close of 18,712.75. Ahead of their earnings releases, shares of Meta jumped 2.6%, and Alphabet advanced 1.8% on Tuesday. This will mark the busiest week of the earnings season with more than 150 S&P 500 companies scheduled to have reported by Friday’s close. Notably, the blue-chip Dow broke a five-day losing streak, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq notched its eighth positive session of the last nine.
Persons: “ It’s, Sam Stovall, Friday’s, Jonathan Krinsky, , Dow Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Apple, Meta, Research, Traders, Treasury, U.S
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: VF Corporation — Shares jumped more than 22%. VF Corporation posted adjusted earnings of 60 cents per share on revenue of $2.76 billion. That is above the 37 cents per share in earnings and $2.71 billion in revenue that analysts surveyed by LSEG were expecting. The firm also upped the midpoint of its non-GAAP earnings per share forecast for the full year. F5 posted adjusted earnings of $3.67 per share and revenue of $747 million in the fiscal fourth quarter.
Persons: LSEG, Jim Conroy, Trex, FactSet, Xerox, Horton, Corning, — CNBC's Pia Singh, Michelle Fox, Samantha Subin, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring Organizations: , Cadence, BP — U.S, BP, Pfizer, JetBlue Airways —, JetBlue, LSEG, Xerox, FactSet, PayPal, Caribbean, Ford Locations: Corning
Spotify — The music platform rose more than 2% after Wells Fargo named Spotify a top stock pick . Analyst Steven Cahall is particularly bullish on the company's rising margins, strong product mix and evolving record label relationships. Boeing — Shares of the planemaker slipped roughly 2% after Boeing launched a stock offering that could raise roughly $19 billion. McDonald's shares dropped more than 7.5% last week, marking its worst weekly performance since 2020. ON Semiconductor — Shares gained more than 3% after the semiconductor product maker posted adjusted earnings per share of 99 cents and revenue of $1.76 billion for the third quarter.
Persons: Wells, Steven Cahall, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, FactSet, Canaccord Genuity, Nio, CrowdStrike, Sarah Min, Alex Harring, Lisa Kailai Han, Sean Conlon, Michelle Fox Organizations: Spotify, Boeing —, Boeing, Occidental Petroleum, Exxon, BP —, Citi, Exxon Mobil, BP, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Huawei, Reuters, The, Delta Air Lines Locations: U.S, China, The U.S, Macquarie
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Cadence Design Systems — The electronic design stock jumped 5% after third-quarter earnings topped Wall Street expectations. Cadence Design earned $1.64 per share, excluding items, on $1.22 billion in revenue, while analysts surveyed by LSEG penciled in just $1.44 in earnings per share and $1.18 billion in revenue. The company also hiked up its midpoint outlook for non-GAAP earnings per share in 2024. Analysts polled by LSEG had anticipated just $3.45 in earnings per share on $731 million in revenue for the quarter. Trex reported adjusted earnings of 37 cents per share in the third quarter, while analysts anticipated just 32 cents, per FactSet.
Persons: LSEG, Ford, Trex, Jim Conroy, John Hazen, Conroy Organizations: Systems, Cadence, LSEG, Revenue, Ross Stores Locations: The Colorado
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading in New York City. Stock futures are muted Monday night as investors readied for employment data and closely followed corporate earnings releases. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were also both little changed. Those moves come after a winning session on Wall Street for the three major indexes. Traders will keep an eye on earnings reports from major companies due on Tuesday as the busiest week of this earnings season continues.
Persons: Dow, Adam Crisafulli, McDonald's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Ford Motor, Corp, Traders, Pfizer Locations: New York City, Israel, Iran
The one big fear that could upend the bull market
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A chain reaction sparked by continued inflation could put the bull market to rest, according to Trivariate Research. As the bull market enters its third year, investors are wondering how much more room there is to run before a pullback is due. Now, Fed funds futures are pricing in a more than 95% likelihood of another drop to the borrowing costs at the central bank's November gathering, according to CME's FedWatch tool. In 2021 and 2022, Parker said there was a "strong and statistically significant relationship" between Fed funds futures and the price-to-earnings multiple on growth stocks. Though that connection now looks different, the Morgan Stanley alum said he would be "surprised if multiples did not compress meaningfully" if the expectation for the Fed funds rate rises from 3.5% to 5% or above.
Persons: Adam Parker, Paul Tudor Jones, Stanley Druckenmiller, Parker, Morgan Stanley, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Tudor Jones, Dow Jones Organizations: Research, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Dow
Robinhood — The fintech stock rose less than 3% after it said Monday that users will have the chance to trade a Kamala Harris or Donald Trump contract ahead of next week's presidential election. ON Semiconductor — The semiconductor product maker rose 5% after third-quarter earnings and revenue topped analyst estimates. Nutanix — The cloud infrastructure stock rose 4% following an upgrade to overweight from equal weight at Morgan Stanley. Moderna — Shares jumped after Moderna and Merck said they initiated a phase 3 trial investigating a treatment for non-small cell lung cancer. Moderna shares advanced 3.9%, while Merck was slightly higher.
Persons: Wells, Steven Cahall, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Israel, FactSet, Eugene Hsiao, Wolfe, Roy Jakobs, Nutanix, Morgan Stanley, Meta Marshall, Merck, Timothy Wojs, Aaon, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Sarah Min, Pia Singh Organizations: Spotify, U.S . Occidental Petroleum, Exxon, BP —, Citi, McDonald's, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Huawei, Reuters, The U.S, Delta Air Lines, CrowdStrike, Honeywell —, Philips —, , Moderna, Merck, Baird Locations: China, Atlanta
Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineThe Nasdaq Composite managed to log a seventh consecutive winning week. Investors also looked ahead to Big Tech earnings coming out this week: shares of Meta , Amazon and Microsoft added as much as 1%. Even though almost three-quarters of S&P companies have beaten expectations, according to FactSet data, the rate of profit growth has not met expectations, disappointing investors.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, CNBC's Pia Singh, James Quincey, — CNBC's Brian Evans, Pia Singh, Alex Harring Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investors, Big Tech, Meta, Microsoft, Dow
Analyst Ike Boruchow and the bank's consumer team found the tariffs proposed by the Republican nominee are likely a significant challenge for retailers. High tariffs would be the latest hit after what has already been a tough year, with shares of the value-focused retailer diving 59% in 2024. Target is an even larger retailer that Wells Fargo is concerned will suffer from high tariffs enacted in a second Trump term. After this monster run, the average analyst only foresees further upside of about 2.5% for Walmart over the next year, the LSEG survey says. Still, the majority of analysts are unwilling to abandon the nation's largest retailer and hold buy ratings on Arkansas-based Walmart.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ike Boruchow, Trump, Boruchow, Wells, SPX Organizations: White, Republican, Wall, Trump, Walmart Locations: Wells, China, Minneapolis, Arkansas
The Nasdaq Composite index finally made a new all-time high on Friday, its first since July. But history shows there may be more than 10% upside ahead as stocks enter the third year of a bull market, according to DataTrek statistics. DataTrek co-founders Nicholas Colas and Jessica Rabe said they "remain bullish" on U.S. large-cap tech stocks because the average third year of a bull market has brought an increase of just 4.4% for the tech-heavy Nasdaq, the firm's data shows. The data, too, shows that another positive year for Nasdaq is no sure-fire bet. A two-year bull market after a losing year, the pattern we are currently in since the 2022 debacle, has continued into a third year just 60% of the time since 1971.
Persons: DataTrek, Nicholas Colas, Jessica Rabe, What's Organizations: Nasdaq Locations: U.S, East, Europe
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