Top related persons:
Top related locs:
Top related orgs:

Search resuls for: "crimping"


25 mentions found


Get ready for higher energy costs, JPMorgan said Friday, warning that the latest surge in oil prices may have a lot further to run. The recent uptick in oil prices , sparked by output cuts from OPEC and higher demand, has fueled inflationary fears and heightened concern that interest rates may stay at today's lofty levels for longer. Consumer prices in August, for example, showed a 0.6% month-over-month increase, the largest monthly gain of the year, partly owing to uptick in energy prices. Brent prices rose another 1% Friday to trade around $94 a barrel as a fuel export ban from Russia reignited global supply fears. Amid this looming energy "supercycle," JPMorgan sees a positive outlook for global energy producers and named Shell , Baker Hughes and Exxon Mobil among its best ideas.
Persons: Christyan Malek, Brent, Malek, Baker Hughes, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Brent, bbl, Shell, Exxon Mobil Locations: Russia
Planet Fitness races against rate hikes
  + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
View of the Planet Fitness logo at the their location in Clifton, New Jersey, U.S., January 6, 2023. REUTERS/Jennifer Saba Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 18 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Planet Fitness (PLNT.N) is struggling to adapt to a high-interest-rate diet. Under Rondeau, Planet Fitness benefited from a post-pandemic exercise rebound, notching annual sales growth of over 40% in the last two years as location count expanded by 13%. Its stock is up 32% this year, while Planet Fitness’s is down by roughly the same amount. Life Time boss Bahram Akradi said his old approach of keeping prices low was a “mistake.” Planet Fitness can fix the same error.
Persons: Jennifer Saba, Chris Rondeau, Rondeau, Fitness’s, Bahram Akradi, Anita Ramaswamy, Jonathan Guilford, Sharon Lam, Aditya Sriwatsav Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, Planet, X, Thomson Locations: Clifton , New Jersey, U.S
The strong consumer spending propping up the US economy may not last, a Bloomberg survey found. Over half of the respondents said they think US personal consumption will shrink in early 2024. High interest rates and a drawdown of pandemic-era savings could hit consumer spending. Since consumer spending accounts for about 70% of the US economy, any changes in the measure are a big deal. AdvertisementAdvertisementMeanwhile, JP Morgan predicted in an August 17 note that the stock market is set to fall as US consumer spending softens.
Persons: Jim Chanos, Anna Wong, James Knightley, David Rosenberg, JP Morgan Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Wall, Bloomberg Economics, ING, Federal Reserve Bank of San Locations: Wall, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
However, in a hopeful sign for growth, conditions did not materially worsen even though the survey showed factories under persistent pressure. China's major manufacturing rivals in the region Japan and South Korea also reported sharp declines in output on Thursday. "It's too early to tell, but today's print suggests that a sequential uptick in growth activity in the third quarter could still be possible," said Louise Loo, senior economist with Oxford Economics. Policymakers remain under pressure to boost domestic demand as the global economy continues to slow. Going forward, "the actual implementation and effectiveness of policy support will be the key indicator to watch," he added.
Persons: It's, Louise Loo, Pan Gongsheng, Frederic Neumann, Bruce Pang, Jones Lang Lasalle, Joe Cash, Qiaoyi Li, Ellen Zhang, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, National Bureau of Statistics, PMI, Oxford Economics, Reuters, People's Bank of, Global Research Asia, HSBC, Jones, Thomson Locations: Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China, Rights BEIJING, Japan, South Korea, People's Bank of China, United States, Europe, Asia
"El Niño dampened rainfall in August, and it will also have a negative impact on September rainfall," said a senior official at the India Meteorological Department (IMD). The weather department did not immediately respond to requests for comment. India is heading for its driest August in more than a century, weather department officials said earlier this month. The current monsoon has been uneven, with June rains 9% below average but July rains rebounding to 13% above average. The last four Septembers have seen above-average rains due to delayed withdrawal of the monsoon, he said.
Persons: Sivaram, El, El Niño, Rajendra Jadhav, Tony Munroe, Raju Gopalakrishnan, Alex Richardson Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, El, Reuters, India Meteorological Department, IMD, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: Vembanad, Kochi, India, El, New Delhi, Mumbai
The Fed may have broken the US housing market, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian. That's because interest rate hikes have helped drive up mortgage rates, weighing on both supply and demand. High rates have frozen the housing market over the past year by crimping both supply and demand. AdvertisementAdvertisement"When you go from record-low mortgage rates to levels that we haven't seen for almost 20 years, you've destroyed both demand and supply. That is the way you destroy the housing market," El Erian said.
Persons: Mohamed El, you've, El Erian, We've Organizations: Service, Allianz, CNBC, Mortgage News Daily, US Locations: Wall, Silicon, El
Since 2007, worldwide public debt has ballooned from 40% to 60% of GDP, on average, with debt-to-GDP ratios even higher in the advanced countries. That includes the United States, the world's biggest economy, where government debt is now more than double the nation's yearly economic output. Reuters GraphicsDespite mounting worries about the growth-crimping implications of high debt, "debt reduction, while desirable in principle, is unlikely in practice," Serkan Arslanalp, an economist at the International Monetary Fund, and Barry Eichengreen, an economics professor at the University of California, Berkeley, wrote in a paper. Inflation, unless it surprises to the upside over an extended period, does little to reduce debt ratios, and debt restructuring for developing countries has become more elusive as the pool of creditors has broadened, Arslanalp and Eichengreen wrote. "High public debts are here to stay," they wrote.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jackson, Barry Eichengreen, Eichengreen, Ann Saphir, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Kansas City Federal, International Monetary Fund, University of California, Thomson Locations: Saudi, , Wyoming, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, United States, Berkeley
Traders in the Gulf state have ramped up business in Russian oil and gold markets, the WSJ reported. Conversely, Russians are flocking to the UAE, bringing their wealth to its economy and sparking a real estate boom. That's as sanctions and trade restrictions have weighed heavily on Russia's economy, cutting it off from billions of its foreign reserves and crimping its energy trade. Russians were the third-largest group of real estate buyers in Dubai over the last quarter, the real estate firm Betterhomes told the Journal, up from the ninth-largest group in 2021. Russia's economy meanwhile is in a state of turmoil.
Persons: Betterhomes, Putin Organizations: Traders, Service, United Arab Emirates, UAE, Wall, Yale Locations: UAE, Gulf, Wall, Silicon, Russia, Ukraine, Dubai, Poland
China's economy is facing headwinds ranging from an unstable property market to weak consumer demand. Experts told Insider that a worsening scenario in China bodes poorly for global markets and other economies like the US. "As its economy continues facing downward pressures, its growth momentum might slow down further, in turn exacerbating the already significant pressures that the global economy is facing." One way this is already being felt is in the softening of Chinese demand, which has led to a sharp drop in trade. And as the housing crisis deepens, it will become harder to China to right the ship, creating a lasting drag on future global growth.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Evergrande, Alfredo Montufar, Helu, Keith Hartley, Hartley, Noah Sheidlower, Dexter Roberts, David Roche, they're, Roche Organizations: Service, Privacy, China, Country Garden Holdings, China Center, Conference Board, Federal Reserve, Atlantic Council, Housing, Independent, CNBC Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, U.S
This year, it’s largely been a different story, with bond yields rising on better-than-expected economic data. The S&P 500 (.SPX) has rallied over 16% from its March lows, despite a roughly 50 basis point increase in the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note over that time. That dynamic has changed in recent days, however, as Treasury yields have approached last year’s high while the S&P 500 has fallen 2% from its July peak. The bank’s analysts called rising yields "an underpriced risk" for the equity market. The S&P 500 fell 2.3% last week, its biggest weekly drop since March.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, it’s, Keith Lerner, Moody's, Peter Tuz, Refinitiv, Lerner, Matthew Miskin, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Grant McCool Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, U.S ., BofA Global Research, Advisory Services, Fitch, Apple, Chase Investment, John Hancock Investment Management, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, China, Charlottesville , Virginia, Truist
This year, it’s largely been a different story, with bond yields rising on better-than-expected economic data. The S&P 500 (.SPX) has rallied over 16% from its March lows, despite a roughly 50 basis point increase in the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note over that time. That dynamic has changed in recent days, however, as Treasury yields have approached last year’s high while the S&P 500 has fallen 2% from its July peak. The bank’s analysts called rising yields "an underpriced risk" for the equity market. The S&P 500 fell 2.3% last week, its biggest weekly drop since March.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, it’s, Keith Lerner, Moody's, Peter Tuz, Refinitiv, Lerner, Matthew Miskin, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Grant McCool Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, U.S ., BofA Global Research, Advisory Services, Fitch, Apple, Chase Investment, John Hancock Investment Management, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, China, Charlottesville , Virginia, Truist
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. Mortgage Rates for Buying a Home30-year Fixed Mortgage Rates Increase (+0.21%)The current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.83%, up 21 basis points since this time last week. 20-year Fixed Mortgage Rates Climb (+0.39%)The average 20-year fixed mortgage rate is up from last week and sits at 6.47%. 15-year Fixed Mortgage Rates Go Up (+0.20%)The average 15-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.09%, a 20-basis-point increase from last week. Mortgage Refinance Rates30-year Fixed Refinance Rates Hold Steady (no change)The average 30-year refinance rate is 7.29%, which is exactly where it was last week.
Persons: Joel Kan, you'll, refinance, It's Organizations: Mortgage, Survey, Zillow Locations: Chevron
Mortgage rates have been holding at high levels for several weeks now, and that is taking its toll on homebuyers. Mortgage applications to purchase a home fell 3% last week compared with the previous week, according to the MBA's seasonally adjusted index. "The purchase index decreased for the third straight week to its lowest level since the beginning of June," said Joel Kan, an MBA economist. Mortgage rates began this week higher and could continue to rise ahead of the all-important monthly employment report expected to be released Friday. If those fears are realized, rates could be at 20-year highs by the end of this week," said Matthew Graham, chief operating officer at Mortgage News Daily.
Persons: Joel Kan, Matthew Graham Organizations: Mortgage Bankers Association, Mortgage News Locations: Hollywood , Florida
It costs traders more than $200,000 a day to ship liquefied natural gas in the Atlantic basin, per Bloomberg. Daily charter rates to ship LNG for October and November are at $206,750 and $284,750, respectively. A growing number of traders have been using ships as floating storage, crimping tanker supply. After the Ukraine war broke out, Europe rushed to pad out its energy reserves as Russia – a key supplier of natural gas – began cutting flows in retaliation to Western sanctions. With sky-high charter rates, the risk is that they could push up gas prices before winter.
Organizations: Bloomberg, LNG, Service, Commodities, It's Locations: Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, Saudi, Red, Europe, Russia, India, China, Moscow
"Demand is recovering very gradually," Woohyun Kim, chief financial officer at SK Hynix, said on an earnings call this week. "The recent improvement in PC shipments has been mainly led by promotions and low-end models, meaning it provided limited impact on chip demand recovery," he said, adding that shipment forecasts for PCs and smartphones this year have been downgraded from earlier predictions. Chipmakers are also increasing production of the high-end chips used to support AI related chips. SK Hynix said demand for AI server memory had more than doubled in the second quarter compared to the first quarter. The company leads the market in high bandwidth memory (HBM) DRAM used in generative AI.
Persons: Florence Lo, Canalys, Woohyun Kim, ChatGPT, Pat Gelsinger, SK Hynix, Logan Purk, Edward Jones, Lam, Tim Archer, 1,278.7400, Joyce Lee, Akash Sriram, Akshita, Chavi Mehta, Tanya Jain, Max A, Cheney, Stephen Nellis, Miyoung Kim, Miral Organizations: REUTERS, Intel, Samsung, SK Hynix, SK, chipmaker Texas, Wall, Manufacturers, KLA Corp, Lam Research, Thomson Locations: SEOUL, China, HBM, Seoul, Bengaluru, Max, San Francisco
The International Energy Agency (IEA) and consultancy Rystad Energy have brought forward forecasts of China's peak gasoline demand by about a year to 2024, while Chinese state majors PetroChina and Sinopec (600028.SS) see it in 2025. The earlier halt in gasoline demand growth in the world's No. Reuters GraphicsAs a result of accelerating EV sales, Paris-based IEA now expects Chinese gasoline demand to peak in 2024 at about 3.7 million barrels per day (bpd), bringing forward an earlier projection of demand plateauing in 2025/2026. The research arm of China's state refiner CNPC expects gasoline demand to peak in 2025, citing accelerating sales of EVs, and sees gasoline demand shrinking 2.3% annually between 2026 and 2030. China's massive move into petrochemicals is already causing a glut globally, prompting companies to shift investments to high-end energy transition materials.
Persons: Aly, refiners, Toril Bosoni, EV's, Gaurav Batra, Mukesh Sahdev, Ma Yongsheng, Mohi Narayan, Carman Chew, Matthew Chye, Chen Aizhu, Zoey Zhang, Andrew Hayley, Florence Tan, Sonali Paul Organizations: Porsche, Auto Shanghai, REUTERS, International Energy Agency, Rystad Energy, China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, Reuters Graphics, Reuters, China, Shenghong Petrochemical, Energy, Graphics, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, Jan, Sinopec, Asia, Reuters Graphics China, Paris, U.S, North America, India, Sun, New Delhi, Singapore, Beijing
The billionaire Starwood CEO predicted a coming recession and "Category 5 hurricane" in the real estate sector. download the app Email address By clicking ‘Sign up’, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider as well as other partner offers and accept our Terms of Service and Privacy PolicyA storm is headed for the real estate sector, and a recession is coming despite growing talk of a soft landing, according to real estate billionaire Barry Sternlicht. Higher rates and tighter financial conditions spell trouble for the real estate sector in particular. "I like to say there's a hurricane over real estate right now. While labor markets are hot still, inflation is steadily cooling, leading to talk of a Goldilocks scenario in which the Fed can lower inflation without crushing demand or crimping growth.
Persons: Barry Sternlicht, Sternlicht, David Rubenstein Organizations: Starwood, Service, Starwood Capital CEO, Bloomberg Wealth, Board Locations: Wall, Silicon
Both theory and past practice suggest that higher interest rates weigh on investment and consumption, crimping companies’ profit and forcing them to reduce hiring or lay off staff. It could also be that higher interest rates weigh on prices by pushing up borrowing costs and weakening financial markets, without requiring widespread layoffs. But economic forecasters have wrongly anticipated layoffs and higher unemployment for much of the past year. Until disinflation becomes less immaculate, the central bank has the unholy problem of choosing between lessons from history and those of the last 12 months. The U.S. unemployment rate dipped to 3.6% in June, the BLS announced on July 7.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Powell, There’s, Ben Winck, Francesco Guerrera, Peter Thal Larsen, Sharon Lam, Streisand Neto Organizations: Reuters, Federal Reserve, Wall, U.S, Fed, UBS –, Bank of International, Workers, United, Refinitiv, Consumer, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Thomson Locations: U.S, United States, payrolls, Washington, London
[1/2] The Levi Strauss & Co. label is seen on clothes in a store at the Woodbury Common Premium Outlets in Central Valley, New York, U.S., February 15, 2022. Shares of the company fell about 6% in extended trading, as it joined peer American Eagle Outfitters (AEO.N) in predicting a weak outlook for consumer spending. Levi’s net revenues for the second quarter that ended May 28 declined by 9%, its steepest quarterly drop since the first quarter of 2021, according to Refinitiv data. The annual reported net revenue is expected to increase 1.5% to 2.5% from a year earlier, the apparel maker said, narrowing its previous forecast range of 1.5% to 3%. The apparel maker posted a net loss of $1.6 million for the second quarter, compared with a net income of $49.7 million a year earlier.
Persons: Levi Strauss, Andrew Kelly, Levi's, Chip Bergh, Bergh, Michael Ashley Schulman, Granth, Kate Masters, Shweta Agarwal, Muralikumar Organizations: Woodbury, REUTERS, American Eagle Outfitters, Nordstrom, Revenue, Running, Capital Advisors, Thomson Locations: Central Valley , New York, U.S, North America, Bergh, Levi's U.S, Europe, Americas, Bengaluru, New York
LONDON, June 30 (Reuters) - The economic pain of higher interest rates seems duller than many had braced for only late last year - and subdued household debt burdens may be at least partly responsible. More interest rate sensitive countries with more flexible loan rates - such at Canada, Australia and Sweden - are already turning higher. What's more, the overall impact of higher borrowing rates is partly offset by rising interest rates on savings. And so net of interest income, JPMorgan points out, interest costs are up only 0.2 percentage point of disposable personal income since the start of the Fed hiking cycle early last year. Higher costs are still coming with a lag for many and will drag on the economies further from here.
Persons: Jerome Powell, JPMorgan's Joseph Lupton, Maia Crook, Lupton, Crook, it's, Mike Dolan, Alison Williams Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: Canada, Australia, Sweden, Britain, Central
UK has little wiggle room on mortgage aid
  + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Francesco Guerrera | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
LONDON, June 21 (Reuters Breakingviews) - UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is under pressure to provide relief for mortgage borrowers buckling under soaring interest rates. The problem is that mortgage relief dilutes the Bank of England’s fight against inflation, which remained stubbornly high at 8.7% in May. The UK government is to meet mortgage lenders to discuss helping households struggling with their home loans, finance minister Jeremy Hunt told parliament on June 20. However, Hunt ruled out introducing state-backed support to help mortgage borrowers facing higher costs due to soaring interest rates. Hunt said that offering government mortgage relief would be inflationary.
Persons: Rishi Sunak, Liz Truss, , Jeremy Hunt, BoE, Hunt, George Hay, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, UK Finance, Conservatives, Labour Party, Bank of England’s, Conservative Party, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Spain, Poland
Electricity generation from hydro power sources has fallen in Asia, Europe and North America over the opening months of 2023 from the same period in 2022, crimping a key source of clean power generation for electricity providers. China, the top global hydro power, alone has 30% of global capacity, but in the opening months of 2023 has seen hydro generation fall 7.2% from the same period in 2022 due to reduced precipitation and hot, dry conditions in key hydro hubs in the Yunnan province. In contrast, hydro output in Japan has increased by nearly 16% from year-before levels, Ember data shows. EUROPE'S MIXED BAGEurope has around 22% of global hydro generation capacity, and has had a mixed hydro output record so far in 2023. In contrast, hydro output in Latin America is trending above year-ago levels, with Brazil, the third largest hydro producer globally, seeing production run around 3.4% above 2022's levels, and Colombia experiencing a roughly 10% increase.
Persons: crimping, EUROPE'S, Ember, Gavin Maguire, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Hydro, Europe, SOUTH AMERICA, Global, Reuters, Thomson Locations: LITTLETON , Colorado, Nova, Ukraine, Asia, Europe, North America, Russia, China, U.S, India, Vietnam, Turkey, Yunnan, Asia's, Japan, Norway, Sweden, France, Italy, Switzerland, Austria, SOUTH AMERICA Canada, North, Washington , Arizona , Nevada, Colorado, America, Brazil, Colombia
Economic policies sacrifice poor Americans
  + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Lauren Silva Laughlin | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
NEW YORK, June 2 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Dollar General (DG.N), the ultra-low-cost retailer with 19,000 stores reaching 75% of the U.S. population, has never been a comfortable reflection of the American consumer. That underscores troubling consequences of current U.S. economic policy: the poor are being sacrificed. Over the past two decades, dollar stores have upended how the cross section of the United States shops. In smaller towns, Dollar General and competitors including Dollar Tree (DLTR.O) offer cheap and accessible groceries. Reuters GraphicsIn the past week, U.S. Congress has continued to roll back policies that would help Americans with less to go around.
Persons: Jeffery Owen, Lululemon, Nordstrom, Ralph Lauren’s, Joe Biden’s, Lululemon Athletica’s, Erik Nordstrom, Jennifer Saba, Sharon Lam Organizations: YORK, Reuters, Dollar, Walmart, Shoppers, Reuters Graphics, Congress, Thomson Locations: United States
TOKYO, May 30 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Tuesday as the expectations the debt ceiling deal in U.S., the world's biggest oil user, will spur more demand but fears of further interest rate rises and that OPEC+ will leave output quotas unchanged capped gains. U.S. President Joe Biden and House of Representatives Speaker Kevin McCarthy over the weekend forged an agreement to suspend the $31.4 trillion debt ceiling and cap government spending for the next two years. The U.S. House Rules Committee said it will meet on Tuesday afternoon to discuss the debt ceiling bill, which needs to pass a divided Congress before June 5. Saudi Energy Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman last week warned short-sellers betting that oil prices will fall to "watch out," in a possible signal that OPEC+ may further cut output. In April, Saudi Arabia and other members of OPEC+ announced further oil output cuts of around 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd), bringing the total volume of cuts by OPEC+ to 3.66 million bpd, according to Reuters calculations.
Glass Lewis backs two of Icahn's nominees for Illumina
  + stars: | 2023-05-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
May 10(Reuters) - Proxy adviser Glass Lewis said on Wednesday Illumina Inc (ILMN.O) shareholders should vote for two of Carl Icahn's nominees to the firm's board, as representatives who can challenge the current board would be beneficial to the company. Glass Lewis added shareholders should vote against the re-election of the current chief Francis deSouza and chair John Thompson, saying they had enough reasons to advocate for a new chair. Icahn, who owns 1.4% of Illumina, began a boardroom battle at the gene sequencing company in March. Glass Lewis said in a report it recommends shareholders support Icahn's nominees, Vincent Intrieri and Andrew Teno, adding the company's $7.1 billion acquisition of cancer-testing firm Grail had been a "costly, distracting, value-crimping millstone" for Illumina. However, it did not extend support to Icahn's third candidate, Jesse Lynn, adding that election of all three candidates was not needed.
Total: 25