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☆ Nobel Prize in economics 2024 awarded to Acemoglu, Johnson and Robinson for explaining why some nations are rich and others poor
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Christian Edwards | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

London CNN —Three economists were awarded the Nobel Prize Monday for their research into how the nature of institutions helps explain why some countries become rich and others remain poor. Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson and James Robinson will share the prize, which carries a cash award of 11 million Swedish kronor ($1 million). The authors warned that “the current path of AI is neither good for the economy nor for democracy.”The latest Nobel Prize in economics was announced in Stockholm on October 14, 2024. In “Why Nations Fail,” he and Robinson argued that China, because it lacks inclusive institutions, would not be able to sustain its economic growth. The economics prize is officially known as Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.

Persons: Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, James Robinson, –, —, ”, Robinson, Acemoglu, Johnson –, MIT –, Christine Olsson, ” Acemoglu, Alfred Nobel, Claudia Goldin, Goldin Organizations: London CNN —, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, MIT, University of Chicago, TT, Agency, AP, Bank of Sweden, Economic Sciences, Harvard University Locations: Turkish, American, British, Nogales, Arizona, Mexico’s Sonora, Nogales , Arizona, Stockholm, China, Beijing, Bank, Swedish

☆ The job market may be strong, but tell that to anyone looking for work or feeling stuck
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Madison Hoff | Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

September's robust job growth signaled what looks like a booming labor market. In general, the job market is booming. There's some tension hiding in the dataOn its face, the labor market is looking rosy. Job openings ticked up in August but have been broadly declining since 2022, adding to the tough labor market picture for job seekers. Related storiesEven though the labor market has cooled, it's largely done so without mass layoffs or a full-blown recession.

Persons: —, Cory Stahle, they're, Liz Wilke, Elizabeth Renter, Matt Colyar, Claudia Sahm, Julie Su, Wilke, It's Organizations: Service, Workers, Moody's, New Century Advisors, mhoff

☆ Mexican mayor killed less than a week after taking office
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Abel Alvarado | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —The mayor of a crime-ridden city in Mexico has been killed less than a week after taking office, the latest in a string of violent attacks targeting politicians in the country. However, the violence facing Mexican politicians stretches far beyond Guerrero, as was demonstrated by the historic June 2 election that took Sheinbaum to power. With 20,000 electoral positions up for grabs, the scale of bloodshed committed by those attempting to influence the vote was unprecedented. Just hours after Sheinbaum’s election, the woman mayor of a town in western Mexico was shot dead. It says that criminal gangs often finance campaigns during election season, intimidating candidates and violently intervening to compel politicians to cooperate with them.

Persons: Alejandro Arcos, Francisco Tapia, Mexico’s, Claudia Sheinbaum, ” Sheinbaum, Chilpancingo, Oscar Ramirez, Evelyn Salgado, ” Salgado Organizations: CNN, Reuters, Integralia Locations: Mexico, Chilpancingo, Guerrero, Acapulco

☆ The job market is in the 'Twilight Zone,' top economist Claudia Sahm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US job market is in a strange quandary, according to Claudia Sahm. The September jobs report was huge, but Sahm said the labor market is still cooling. AdvertisementThe job market is in a weird spot, even after Friday's stunningly strong nonfarm payroll report, Claudia Sahm says. The former Federal Reserve economist and the creator of a highly watched recession indicator pointed to signs that the labor market is cooling, despite September's blowout jobs report. Other forecasters have said the job market remains in uncertain territory, though labor conditions are generally on strong footing.

Persons: Claudia Sahm, Sahm, —, they're Organizations: Employers, Service, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Challenger, Atlanta Fed

In a speech to Congress, also on Tuesday, with López Obrador sitting a few steps from her, the promises seemed more tangible. It is far less than the 2.6 million barrels per day López Obrador promised at the beginning of his term. Experts said Mexico would not be able to increase oil production using traditional methods, because its fields are getting tapped out. Mexico is almost out of oil,” said Adrian Fernandez, who holds a PhD in environmental science from Imperial College London and directs the Mexico Climate Initiative, a think tank. Before leaving office, López Obrador pushed through a constitutional reform that strongly favors the Federal Electricity Commission.

Persons: —, Claudia Sheinbaum, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, ”, López Obrador, Sheinbaum, Rosanety Barrios, Enrique Peña Nieto, Adrian Fernandez, Fernández, Hurricane John, Hurricane Otis, Claudia, ” Barrios Organizations: MEXICO CITY, Federal Electricity Commission, Mexican Energy Regulatory Commission, Ministry of Energy, Imperial College London, Mexico Climate Initiative, United Nations, Hurricane, CFE, Associated Press Locations: MEXICO, López, Mexico, Paris, Dos Bocas, Acapulco, Guerrero, AP.org

☆ Constellation Brands CEO downplays worries about higher tariffs if Trump wins
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

In a Friday interview with CNBC's Jim Cramer, Constellation Brands CEO Bill Newlands brushed off concerns about the possibility of higher tariffs, which former President Donald Trump has pledged to implement if elected. Constellation Brands is known for a variety of popular beer brands imported from Mexico, including Modelo, Corona and Pacifico. Constellation Brands reported a mixed quarter Thursday, posting an earnings beat but a slight revenue miss. The company saw success with its beer brands, but the wine and spirits segment continued to weigh on business. Newlands said Constellation Brands is in the middle of improving wine and spirits and is beginning to see some results.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Bill Newlands, Donald Trump, Trump, Newlands, Claudia Sheinbaum, Kim Crawford, We've Organizations: Constellation Brands, Modelo Locations: United States, Mexico, Corona, Pacifico, Veracruz

☆ New Century's Claudia Sahm talks what to expect from the September jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNew Century's Claudia Sahm talks what to expect from the September jobs reportClaudia Sahm, New Century Advisors chief economist and former Fed economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk Friday's jobs data and how it will impact the Federal Reserve's next rate hike decision.

Persons: Claudia Sahm Organizations: Claudia Sahm , New Century Advisors, Fed, Federal Locations: Claudia Sahm ,

Israel launches a ground operation in Lebanon. North Carolina residents raise questions over disaster responseNorth Carolina residents are only beginning to pick up the pieces after Helene roared through the western part of the state, causing devastating flooding and catastrophic damage. At least 49 people have died and dozens of others are missing in western North Carolina, which includes hard-hit Asheville. But some North Carolina residents are criticizing what they view as a lack of preparation for the storm. In recent weeks, Israel has launched attacks using exploding pagers and walkie talkies, unleashed heavy bombings in Lebanon and killed longtime Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.

Persons: Vance, Tim Walz, Helene, Roy Cooper, ”, Deanne Criswell, Sara Legatski, “, Hassan Nasrallah, Read, Sen, JD Vance, Donald Trump’s, Walz, Kamala Harris ’, Vance’s, —, Biden, Harris, longshoremen, Carter, Jimmy Carter, Claudia Sheinbuam, Pete Rose, League Baseball’s, Sing, Jon, Adrian Velazquez, Gadiel del Orbe, del Orbe, — Sandra Lilley, Elizabeth Robinson Organizations: NBC, Asheville . North Carolina Gov, FEMA, Spokespeople, Reuters, AFP, Getty Israel, Lebanon's, Israel Defense Forces, Minnesota Gov, CBS, Getty, Vance’s Yale Law, Democratic Party, International Longshoremen’s Association, United States Maritime Alliance, Workers, League, Sing Sing, del, Vanderbilt University Locations: Asheville , North Carolina, Israel, Lebanon, North Carolina, Carolina, Asheville ., Asheville, Florida, Buncombe County, didn’t, Beirut, Ohio, New York, Springfield , Ohio, East Coast, Gulf Coast, Georgia, NYPD, Kentucky, Spain

Claudia Sheinbaum is officially taking office Tuesday morning as Mexico's first female president and the first of Jewish heritage. Sheinbaum is expected to head later to the National Palace in Mexico City's famed Zócalo to deliver a speech to constituents. López Obrador leaves office with an approval rating of nearly 80%, Noticias Telemundo reported. Still, crime rates remained high during López Obrador’s term, with at least 199,300 homicides and 51,700 persons reported missing from December 2018 to August of this year, Noticias Telemundo reported. Mexican government data has also shown that the strategy of López Obrador’s predecessors — pursuing drug lords in an all-out war — did not improve safety, either.

Persons: Claudia Sheinbaum, Sheinbaum, Jill Biden, Xóchitl Gálvez, Jorge Álvarez Máynez, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, López Obrador, —, Xavier Becerra, Isabella Casillas Guzman, Ken Salazar, Nanette Barragán, Carlos Elizondo, Mayor Regina Romero Organizations: U.S, Mexico City's, Mexico City, Citizen Movement, Noticias Telemundo, Welfare, Human Services, Small, Congressional Hispanic Caucus, White, Social, Mayor Locations: San Lázaro, Mexico City, Mexico, Morena, Mexican, U.S, Tucson , Arizona

☆ Claudia Sheinbaum to be sworn in as first female president of Mexico, a country with pressing problems
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Associated Press | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Mexico City Associated Press —Claudia Sheinbaum will take the oath of office Tuesday as Mexico’s first female president in more than 200 years of independence, promising to protect an expanded social safety net and fight for the poor like her predecessor, but facing pressing problems. Sheinbaum romped to victory in June with nearly 60% of the vote, propelled largely by the sustained popularity of her political mentor, former President Andrés Manuel López Obrador. “So, where López Obrador was charismatic, Claudia Sheinbaum will have to be effective.”He is not leaving her an easy situation. Things with its northern neighbor were already tense after López Obrador said he was putting relations with the US embassy “on pause” after public criticism of the proposed judicial overhaul. López Obrador built a massive new oil refinery and poured money into the state-owned oil company.

Persons: Claudia Sheinbaum, Mexico’s, Sheinbaum romped, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, Sheinbaum, “ López Obrador, ”, Carlos Pérez Ricart, López Obrador, Hurricane John, Hurricane Otis, John, Ismael “ El, Guzmán López, Donald Trump, Trump, Jill Biden, Sheinbaum’s, Jennifer Piscopo Organizations: Associated Press, National Guard, Mexico’s Center for Economic Research, Hurricane, Ismael “ El Mayo ” Zambada, “, Royal Holloway University of London Locations: Mexico, Acapulco, Pacific, Hurricane, Culiacan, Sinaloa, United States, Tijuana, Chiapas, Canada, America

☆ Tonight's vice presidential debate matters a lot more this time around
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, what you need to know about tonight's vice presidential debate , and why it's worth paying attention to. The big storyUp for debateDrew Hallowell/Getty Images; Andrew Harnik/Getty Images; Brandon Bell/Getty Images; Rebecca Zisser/BIOhio Sen. JD Vance and Minnesota Gov. ET for an uncharacteristically important vice presidential debate , write Business Insider's Brent D. Griffiths and John L. Dorman. Thanks to a hot streak at Miu Miu, Prada has done what few luxury retailers have been able to do this year: grow. In short, it doesn't get trendier than Miu Miu — and trendy is good for business.

Persons: —, Drew Hallowell, Andrew Harnik, Brandon Bell, Rebecca Zisser, JD Vance, Tim Walz, Insider's Brent D, Griffiths, John L, Dorman, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris aren't, Vance, Walz, hasn't, Brent, Trump's, There's, Harris, Joe Biden's, Matt Stroshane, Tyler Le, Blackstone, Getty, Justin Sullivan, Nvidia's, Jensen, Mira Murati, Natalie Ammari, That's, Miu Miu, Prada, Jimmy Carter, Mark Rutte, Jens Stoltenberg, Claudia Sheinbaum, Elliott Hill, Mike Johnson, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Microsoft, Getty, Ohio Sen, Minnesota Gov, CBS, Netflix, Republican, UBS, Venture, Murati, Consulting, Nike, NYSE Locations: Minnesota, Silicon, New York, London

The code will appear only on CBS; viewers who tune in on a different channel will not see it. Mr. Trump and his allies fumed after the ABC debate, personally targeting the network’s moderators — Linsey Davis and David Muir — for the four times that they clarified falsehoods that Mr. Trump had uttered from the lectern. CBS appears intent on making Mr. Vance and Mr. Walz the stars on Tuesday, rather than the network or its on-air talent. “The goal of the debate is to facilitate a good debate between the candidates, and the moderators will give them the opportunity to fact-check each other in real time,” Ms. Milne said. CBS said it would remind viewers that the network’s approach to a debate is distinct from a one-on-one interview with a candidate, as on “Face the Nation.”

Persons: ”, Claudia Milne, Norah O’Donnell, Margaret Brennan, Trump, fumed, — Linsey Davis, David Muir —, Vance, Walz, ” Ms, Milne Organizations: CBS, CBS News, ” CBS, CBS Evening, ABC

☆ Pope expels a bishop and 9 other people from a Peru movement over ‘sadistic’ abuses
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Associated Press | Claudia Rebaza | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

VATICAN CITY Associated Press —Pope Francis took the unusual decision Wednesday to expel 10 people – a bishop, priests and laypeople – from a troubled Catholic movement in Peru after a Vatican investigation uncovered “sadistic” abuses of power, authority and spirituality. It was announced by the Peruvian Bishops Conference, which posted a statement from the Vatican embassy on its website. The statement was astonishing because it listed abuses uncovered by the Vatican investigation that have rarely if ever been punished canonically — such as hacking someone’s communications — and cited the people the pope held responsible. Victims of Figari’s abuses complained to the Lima archdiocese in 2011, though other claims against him reportedly date to 2000. The investigation, published in 2017, found that Figari sodomized his recruits and forced them to fondle him and one another.

Persons: CITY Associated Press — Pope Francis, –, Francis ’, Luis Figari, ”, Figari, Pedro Salinas, Paola Ugaz, Sodalitium, Jordi Bertomeu, Charles Scicluna, Martin Mejia, Jose Antonio Eguren, Francis, Salinas, “ Organizations: CITY Associated Press, Peruvian Bishops Conference, CNN, South, Catholic, Maltese, Associated Press Locations: Peru, Vatican, America, South America, United States, Lima, Rome, Spain, Malta, Lima , Peru, Figari, Piura, Ugaz, Eguren’s, Peruvian

☆ Over 400 economists and ex-officials endorse Kamala Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New York CNN —More than 400 economists and former high-ranking US policymakers are endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris and her vision for the American economy, according to a document announcing the endorsement seen by CNN. “The choice in this election is clear: between failed trickle-down economic policies that benefit the few and economic policies that provide opportunity for all,” the endorsement document reads. Harris plans to roll out new policies on what she calls the “opportunity economy” during a speech in Pennsylvania, another key battleground state, on Wednesday. Several notable economists threw their weight behind Harris, including University of Michigan economist Justin Wolfers and Claudia Goldin, who won the Nobel Prize last year for tracking women’s labor participation and the evolving wage gap. The endorsement argued that Harris has a “proven track record of economic leadership,” crediting her with efforts as vice president to lower costs, cut taxes and raise wages.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump’s, Brian Deese, Obama, Jason Furman, Bill Daley, Penny Pritzker, Clinton, Robert Reich, Alan Blinder, Donald Trump, ”, Trump, Sean O’Keefe, George W, Justin Wolfers, Claudia Goldin, Marty Walsh, Deval Patrick, Larry Summers, Robert Rubin, Mark Cuban, James Murdoch, he’s, Bill Ackman, Peter Thiel, Tesla, Elon Musk, ” Harris, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Sonnenfeld Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, Federal Reserve, Management, NASA, University of Michigan, House, Labor, Massachusetts Gov, Democratic, JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, Wall Street, Trump, Yale, That’s Locations: New York, Georgia, Pennsylvania, United States, America, Dimon

☆ How promises of a ‘post-Roe future’ have fallen short
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-22 | by ( Edward-Isaac Dovere | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

Few address child care, for infants or beyond. Since Dobbs, seven states have had ballot initiatives on the topic, with the abortion rights position winning in each state. In November, at least 10 more initiatives aimed at restoring or protecting abortion rights will be in front of voters across the country. But Brahm has also rallied an array of political, faith, academic, medical and advocacy leaders into a coalition called “Building a Post-Roe Future” that calls for more affordable health care and child care, expanded child tax credits, paid parental leave, flexible work hours and enforced pre-natal support. Though paid parental leave has been a big topic of discussion around the country, the only states to enact such measures since Dobbs are those where abortion rights are protected.

Persons: CNN — Weeks, Roe, Wade, ”, Mike Johnson, Dobbs, Johnson hasn’t, there’s, It’s, ’ ”, Samuel Lee, that’s, haven’t, Josh Brahm, Brahm, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Tate Reeves –, Chris Seward, Phil Berger, Lee, ” Lee, “, Louis, Angela Weiss, Brenda Shields, Shields, ” Shields, Mike Parson, Crystal Quade, Parson, ” Quade, aren’t, they’re, Kim Reynolds, Pat Grassley, Grassley, ” Grassley, Zach Wahls, couldn’t, Reynolds, Kent Nishimura, Johnson, Taylor Haulsee, Claudia Tenney, York –, Tenney, Mariannette Miller, Meeks, Miller, Young Kim, Kim, Callie Strock, Dave Schweikert, tweeting, Schweikert, Utah Sen, Mitt Romney, Republican Sen, Marco Rubio, ” Brahm Organizations: CNN, Social, Republican, Rights Institute, IT, Lifeline, North, North Carolina Senate, Democratic, National Center for Health Statistics, Getty, Republicans, Missouri Chamber of Commerce, Republican Gov, ”, “ Iowa Press, Food and Drug Administration, Energy, Commerce Committee Locations: Louisiana, Roe America, Washington, Iowa, Missouri, Roe, Georgia, Atlanta, America, Wilmington , North Carolina, Mississippi, ” In Mississippi, , Kentucky, Ohio, North Carolina, Raleigh, St, Washington , DC, York, California, Arizona, Utah, Marco Rubio of Florida

☆ Why rate cuts could actually slow the economy instead of sparking growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The consensus view is that lower rates will stave off a recession by stimulating economic growth through lower borrowing costs. The hidden danger of a double cutHowever, David Kelly of JPMorgan Asset Management warned that lower rates aren't an economic panacea. In fact, the chief global strategist thinks these cuts could, paradoxically, cause the economy to slow in the near term. Advertisement"The important thing to recognize is that cutting interest rates at the start doesn't stimulate the economy at all," Kelly said on CNBC. "There is a J-curve effect; it actually slows the economy because people begin to anticipate those lower rates, so they want to wait for lower rates."

Persons: —, Jim Caron, Claudia Sahm, Jerome Powell, Sahm, Ronald Temple, Kevin Philip of, David Kelly, Kelly, what's, you've, Kelly isn't, it's, they've Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Fed, Dow Jones, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, CNBC, New Century Advisors, Lazard, Kevin Philip of Bel Air Investment Advisors, JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ Fed's 50bps cut may send wrong message to equity markets, says JPMorgan's David Kelly
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's 50bps cut may send wrong message to equity markets, says JPMorgan's David KellyDavid Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist; Claudia Sahm, New Century chief economist; and Jim Caron, CIO of cross-asset solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, join CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to break down the Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points and what it means for markets.

Persons: JPMorgan's David Kelly David Kelly, Claudia Sahm, Jim Caron Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management, Claudia Sahm , New, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Locations: Claudia Sahm ,

☆ Fed 50 basis-point cut is a 'risk management' decision, says New Century's Claudia Sahm
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed 50 basis-point cut is a 'risk management' decision, says New Century's Claudia SahmDavid Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist; Claudia Sahm, New Century chief economist; and Jim Caron, CIO of cross-asset solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, join CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to break down the Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis- points and what it means for markets.

Persons: Claudia Sahm David Kelly, Claudia Sahm, Jim Caron Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management, Claudia Sahm , New, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Locations: Claudia Sahm ,

☆ Recession is not imminent, says New Century Advisors' Claudia Sahm
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecession is not imminent, says New Century Advisors' Claudia SahmClaudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors; Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group; and Subadra Rajappa, head of U.S. rates strategy at Societe Generale, join ‘The Exchange’ to discuss their expectations from the Fed, why the Fed is finally cutting rates, and more

Persons: Claudia Sahm Claudia Sahm, Jamie Cox, Subadra Rajappa Organizations: Advisors, New Century Advisors, Harris Financial Group, Societe Generale

☆ The Fed has the proof it wants that inflation is slowing, but the next move is still up in the air
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A week's worth of inflation data showed that price pressures have eased substantially since their meteoric rise in 2021-22. "We got two more months of good inflation data" since the last Fed meeting, Claudia Sahm, chief economist for New Century Advisors, said in a CNBC interview Friday. Futures markets for most of the past week had lasered in on a quarter percentage point, or 25 basis point, rate cut. The inflation data "on its own would have gotten us 25 next week, as it should, and will get us a whole string of cuts after that," she said. [Fed officials] need to kind of clean it up, do a 50 basis point cut and then be ready to do more."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Claudia Sahm, Sahm Organizations: Banking, Housing, Urban, Capitol, Federal Reserve, Federal, New Century Advisors, CNBC, Fed Locations: Washington ,

☆ The Fed needs to 'start getting out of the way' and deliver a big rate cut next week, famed economist Claudia Sahm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Economist Claudia Sahm urged the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points next week. Sahm cites solid inflation progress and a slowing labor market as reasons for the big rate cut. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve "absolutely" needs to deliver a 50 basis point interest rate cut next week, according to famed economist Claudia Sahm. We need to kind of clean it up, do a 50 basis point cut, and then be ready to do more," Sahm said. AdvertisementInvestors are undecided as to what the Fed will do at its FOMC meeting next week, with the CME FedWatch Tool showing a near 50/50 split probability between a 25 basis point or 50 basis point cut as of Friday morning.

Persons: Claudia Sahm, Sahm, —, Powell, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, CNBC, Fed, Atlanta

☆ The most well-known recession indicator stopped flashing red, but now another one is going off
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. Still, there are plenty of instances when the yield curve uninverted and a recession wasn’t right around the corner. The most recent prior case of the yield curve uninverting was September 2019. (Disinversion and uninversion are both used to refer to a yield curve that returns to being in positive territory.) One reason she isn’t on edge is because the yield curve was inverted for a much longer stretch of time compared to other recent recessions.

Persons: that’s, Marco Giacoletti, ” “, Kristina Hooper, Hooper, ” Kevin Flanagan, ”, Claudia Sahm, Sahm, Flanagan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, University of Southern California Marshall School of Business, CNN Locations: New York

☆ The U.S. economy is not in a recession right now, says New Century's Claudia Sahm
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe U.S. economy is not in a recession right now, says New Century's Claudia SahmClaudia Sahm, former Fed economist and New Century Advisors chief economist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the economist's namesake rule, triggers for the recession, and much more.

Persons: Claudia Sahm Claudia Sahm Organizations: New Century Advisors

☆ Protesters storm Mexico's Senate, pausing judicial reform debate
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

MEXICO CITY — Mexico’s Senate paused debate of a controversial judicial overhaul on Tuesday after protesters broke into the building, adding drama to already tense discussions of the reform, which critics fear could undermine the country’s rule of law. Lopez Obrador and President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum have vigorously defended the reform as essential for holding judges accountable and reducing corruption. As senators debated the reform, opposition lawmakers accused the ruling bloc of underhanded tactics to secure the necessary two-thirds majority. But speculation is mounting that opposition PAN Senator Miguel Angel Yunes has switched allegiance to the ruling bloc over the reform. While the Senate was in session, Yunes requested medical leave in a letter read by the secretary of the Senate’s board of directors.

Persons: Jose Gerardo Fernandez, ”, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Lopez Obrador, Claudia Sheinbaum, Critics, Morena, Miguel Angel Yunes, Yunes Organizations: MEXICO CITY —, PAN, NBC Locations: MEXICO, United States, Canada

☆ The next big market for weight-loss drugs: children
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Shubhangi Goel | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Novo Nordisk's American rival, Eli Lilly, has also been testing obesity-beating drugs for children as young as six. Wegovy and similar drugs for weight loss have become a huge business. The drugs' success has made Novo Nordisk the most valuable company in Europe. AdvertisementChildhood obesityAn FDA approval on weight loss drugs for children could open up a new market for Novo Nordisk. In June, US Sen. Bernie Sanders announced that Novo Nordisk CEO Lars Jørgensen would testify before the committee on September 24 at a hearing focusing on the prices that Novo Nordisk charges Americans for their drugs, Ozempic and Wegovy.

Persons: —, Saxenda, Novo, Claudia Fox, Eli Lilly, Goldman Sachs, Wegovy, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Lars Jørgensen, Sanders Organizations: Service, BMI, Business, FDA, Financial Times, Novo Nordisk, Centers for Disease Locations: Madrid, Europe

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