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☆ AI darling Nvidia reports after the bell. What Wall Street is watching
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Wall Street will be keeping close watch on what Nvidia says about demand for its artificial intelligence chips when the market-moving chipmaker reports quarterly results after the bell Wednesday. Nvidia is expected to surpass expectations again, with analysts polled by LSEG calling for earnings of $5.59 per share on $24.65 billion in revenue. "As long as it tops analyst expectations, NVIDIA is likely to remain a key tailwind for the overall U.S. stock market." NVDA 1Y mountain Shares over the last year For multiple quarters, Nvidia has shocked Wall Street with the robust demand for its tools. "We continue to expect a strong beat-and-raise quarter from NVIDIA as Hopper demand remains robust before the Blackwell transition," wrote Morgan Stanley's Joseph Moore.

Persons: they've, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Hopper, Blackwell, Morgan Stanley's Joseph Moore, Piper Sandler's Harsh Kumar, Rosenblatt's Hans Mosesmann, Baird's Tristan Gerra, Tom O'Malley, Baird's Gerra, Nvidia's Blackwell, America's Vivek Arya, Arya, Timothy Arcuri, Rosenblatt's Mosesmann, O'Malley, Morgan Stanley's Moore Organizations: Nvidia, NVIDIA, Blackwell, Barclays, Bank, America's, UBS Locations: Nvidia's

☆ Short squeezes driven by renewed meme enthusiasm about to violently reverse, says chart analyst
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Technical signals are indicating the dramatic meme stock rally , driven by a short squeeze, could soon come to a painful end, according to Wolfe Research's Rob Ginsberg. A short squeeze occurs when investors who had bet against a stock by borrowing shares and hoping to buy them back later at a lower price luck out. This then pushes the stock price higher. SunPower , another short squeeze candidate, dropped 19% Wednesday before the open, after surging 60% Tuesday. Wolfe Research said an index it manages with Nomura that measures stocks with high short interest this week "rallied into a lower high at long-term resistance."

Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Nomura, Michael Bloom Organizations: GameStop, AMC, Wolfe Research

☆ These 'virtuous' stocks with high dividend growth and strong cash flow are primed for outperformance, Wolfe Research says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Against this backdrop, Wolfe Research screened for stocks that can help investors navigate a still challenging macroeconomic backdrop. "One of our favorite dividend strategies is to buy companies with a virtuous combination of (1) high dividend growth, and (2) a high free cash flow yield," Wolfe Research's Chris Senyek wrote. Johnson & Johnson was one of the companies that made the cut. Johnson & Johnson also said earlier in May it would spend $6.5 billion to resolve all outstanding litigation in the U.S. tied to claims its talc power caused ovarian cancer. JNJ YTD mountain Johnson & Johnson stock.

Persons: isn't, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Johnson, Enrique Lores, it's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Wolfe Research, Wall, Johnson, HP Inc, HP, Constellation Energy, Constellation, eBay, Vistra Energy Locations: U.S, Johnson

☆ Taxes will have to go up eventually to tackle the deficit, says Wolfe Research's Tobin Marcus
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTaxes will have to go up eventually to tackle the deficit, says Wolfe Research's Tobin MarcusTobin Marcus, Wolfe Research head of policy and politics, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Warren Buffet's comments on fiscal policy at the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting, tackling the national debt, the federal deficit's impact on the 2024 election, what the future tax policy will look like, and more.

Persons: Wolfe Research's Tobin Marcus Tobin Marcus, Wolfe, Warren Buffet's Organizations: Wolfe Research, Berkshire Hathaway

☆ Bitcoin losses could steepen after the cryptocurrency breaks below $60,000, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The bitcoin sell-off could get worse before it gets better, according to analysts who look only at price charts. The downtrend intensified on Wednesday when it tumbled under the $60,000 level for the first time since February, as stubborn inflation and uncertainty around Federal Reserve interest rate policy kept markets under pressure. That was a key support level for bitcoin, representing the approximate convergence of the March low and 100-day moving average, according to Ari Wald, an analyst at Oppenheimer. Wolfe Research's Rob Ginsberg said $60,000 bitcoin looks "vulnerable" and that $50,000 could be in play. Bitcoin traded between $60,000 and $74,000 since mid-March, when the cryptocurrency reached new records and has failed multiple times to break out.

Persons: Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, It's, bitcoin, David Keller, Wald, Keller, Geoff Kendrick, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Bitcoin, —, Michael Bloom, Rob Ginsberg's Organizations: CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ Beware of these stocks at risk of a major earnings 'blowup'
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

First-quarter earnings season is just getting started, but investors may want to keep a close eye on a group of stocks at risk of a profit "blowup," according to Wolfe Research. The basket includes stocks that show up most often in the firm's short screens and filters companies based on earnings quality with 0 the worst and 100 the best. Tesla scores a 2 on Wolfe Research's earnings quality scale, showing up six times on the firm's short screens. Wolfe Research named Pinterest as another short idea, saying it was on four of the firm's short screens. Both stocks appear on four of the firm's short screens and have earnings quality scores in the 20s.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Wolfe, Tesla, J.M Smucker Organizations: Wolfe Research, Bank of America, Elon, Rivian Automotive, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Juniper Networks, L3Harris Technologies Locations: China, Irvine , California

☆ Wall Street heads into the week ahead on edge as traders brace for a raft of earnings, economic data
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

How the corporate America is handling sticky inflation and the prospect of higher interest rates will be top of mind for investors in the week ahead, after this week's choppy moves. The first-quarter earnings season, which kicked off Friday, will give Wall Street insight into how businesses expect to weather an environment of elevated interest rates. More macro data, such as U.S. retail sales, will give insight into how the consumer is handling higher pricing pressures. First-quarter earnings season underway The corporate earnings season kicks into high gear in the week ahead. This week, the small cap Russell 2000 is on track for a losing week, down by more than 1%.

Persons: Bob Doll, CNBC's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, FactSet, Robert Haworth, Haworth, Charles Schwab, Johnson, D.R, KeyCorp Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Exxon Mobil, Costco, Apple, Crossmark, Investments, Investors, Bank of America, Consumer, U.S . Bank, Index, Retail, T Bank, Housing, Manufacturing, Hunt Transport Services, United Airlines, Johnson, Bank of New York Mellon, UnitedHealth Group, Northern Trust, CSX, Discover Financial Services, Prologis, U.S . Bancorp, Philadelphia Fed, American Express, Procter, Gamble, Fifth Third Bancorp, Schlumberger Locations: America, China, NAHB, Vegas Sands, U.S, Horton

☆ The March inflation data lowered rate cut expectations. Here's why stocks could take that in stride
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Investors had lately been hoping the Fed might start easing back on policy starting in June, with three rate cuts penciled in for the year. But a robust labor market, as reflected in last week's March payrolls, and this latest consumer inflation data have pushed back that view. Markets now anticipate the first cut might come in September, with just two quarter-point reductions for the whole year. Even so, investors anticipate that markets may be able to take fewer rate cuts in stride so long as the Fed isn't actually forced to raise rates. Varghese still leans toward equities, expecting as many as three rate cuts this year, though he anticipates the first cut might not come until July now.

Persons: Federal Reserve doesn't, Stocks, isn't, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Sonu Varghese, Varghese, Powell, they're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Carson Group, CPI

☆ Wolfe Research's Stephanie Roth: Labor market has been 'incredibly robust'
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWolfe Research's Stephanie Roth: Labor market has been 'incredibly robust'Stephanie Roth, Wolfe Research chief economist, and Katerina Simonetti, Morgan Stanley senior vice president and private wealth advisor, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the state of the consumer, the future of fixed income investments, and more.

Persons: Wolfe, Stephanie Roth, Katerina Simonetti, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Labor, Wolfe Research

☆ The TikTok bill will most likely grind to a halt in the Senate, says Wolfe Research's Tobin Marcus
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe TikTok bill will most likely grind to a halt in the Senate, says Wolfe Research's Tobin MarcusTobin Marcus, Wolfe Research head of policy and politics, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the House vote today on whether to ban the social media app TikTok, whether the bill can pass both the House and Senate, the potential long-term risks of a ban, and more.

Persons: Wolfe Research's Tobin Marcus Tobin Marcus, Wolfe Organizations: Wolfe Research, Senate

☆ Wolfe Research's Stephanie Roth: 'We're expecting a soft landing'
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWolfe Research's Stephanie Roth: 'We're expecting a soft landing'Stephanie Roth, Wolfe Research chief economist, and Michael Schumacher, Wells Fargo head of macro strategy, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the likelihood of a soft-landing, if recent inflation data is a cause for Fed concern, and more.

Persons: Wolfe, Stephanie Roth, Michael Schumacher, Wells Organizations: Wolfe Research Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Here’s what bitcoin’s chart says about its next moves after it breached $50,000 this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bitcoin broke through $50,000 to start the week and although a stubbornly high inflation reading has pulled it lower since, the cryptocurrency is still in safe territory, according to chart analysts. On Monday, the cryptocurrency finished above $50,000 – at one point rising to $50,334.00, its highest level since December 2021. BTC.CM= YTD mountain Bitcoin year-to-date Other chart analysts echoed that investors need not be too concerned about a significant decline from here. "Old resistance becomes support and that $46,000 to $48,000 can then become the jumping board for a continuation of the rally." Katie Stockton of Fairlead Strategies agreed the bitcoin chart supports "a long-term bullish bias."

Persons: Bitcoin, bitcoin, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Julius de Kempenaer, De Kempenaer, Katie Stockton, it'll, Stockton Organizations: CNBC, Fairlead Locations: overbought

☆ Beware these possible earnings blow-ups this reporting season, according to Wolfe Research
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

With fourth quarter earnings season in full swing, Wolfe Research released a list of potential stocks that are best left alone. The companies fall into the bottom 20% of their sector earnings quality and are likely to underperform in 2024, according to Wolfe. The company's average earnings quality score for the trailing four quarters came in at 5. Its average earnings quality score for the trailing four quarters amounted to 25. The payments platform earned an earnings quality score of 10 and an average score in the trailing four quarters of 30.

Persons: Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Tesla, Elon Musk, Chewy, Goldman Sachs, Trevor Young, Morgan Stanley, BTIG, Oppenheimer, Dominick Gabriele, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, Tesla, Argos Holdings, Barclays, PayPal, Paypal, Mizuho Locations: F2H24

☆ Are companies beyond Nvidia actually profiting from AI yet? Microsoft earnings to be litmus test
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Microsoft earnings due out later this month could serve as the next major test for artificial intelligence as investors hunt for signs that the buzzy technological innovation is actually boosting companies' bottom lines. Nvidia has been an exception, blowing past Wall Street's guidance for the past few quarters due to AI tailwinds . The remarks led some Wall Street analysts to fret over a delayed ramp-up in AI availability. "There are going to be some outliers, but for the most part there is more risk-reward related to AI going into this earnings period." More loosely, Wall Street analysts have expressed concerns about AI monetization and expectations across the sector heading into the fourth-quarter reporting period.

Persons: Paul Meeks, Merrill Lynch, Piper Sandler, OpenAI, Amy Hood, Copilot, Micrsoft, Meeks, Amy Kong, Nancy Tengler, Gene Munster, Corient's Kong, Wolfe, Alex Zukin, Dubravko, Michael Bloom Organizations: Microsoft, Merrill, Merrill Lynch Investment, Nvidia, Wall, Baker School of Business, The, Investments, Asset Management, Munster, Wall Street, Tech Locations: OpenAI, hasn't

☆ S&P 500 breaks out to new record, but some chart analysts are worried
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 finally surpassed its prior all-time high from January 2022 on Friday, confirming the start of a new bull market that began in October 2022. But while the market continued to build on those gains early Monday, some technical analysts are worried that cracks are beginning to show in the broad market index. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 in the last 12 months BTIG chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky forecasts a pullback for the S & P 500 before it reaches the key 5,000 level, or just around 3.5% above current prices. Around 73% of the S & P 500 is currently trading above its 50-day moving average, down from more than 90% in late December, according to David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. "New index highs lead to fatigue," said Roth Capital Partners chief market technician JC O'Hara.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, David Keller, JC O'Hara, O'Hara, There's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, pullbacks, Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Downside, Capital Partners Locations: Japan, Brazil, India, U.S, China, Europe

☆ Bitcoin’s post-ETF launch sell-off could continue, but all-time high levels are in sight, chart analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-12 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Many investors and analysts have expressed confidence that bitcoin can reach and even surpass its all-time high level of $69,000. BTC.CM= 1Y line Bitcoin's 1-year performance per Coin Metrics He said $40,000, a level bitcoin hasn't seen since early December, would be another potential stopping point. Julius de Kempenaer, a senior technical analyst at StockCharts.com, is watching a slightly higher support level at $45,000. "While bitcoin's price is coming off a new cycle high, RSI made a lower high and was unable to get above the 70 level," Wald said. Bitcoin reached its all-time high near $69,000 in November 2021.

Persons: bitcoin, Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, Bitcoin, Julius de Kempenaer, Wald, it's oversold, de Kempenaer, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg Organizations: U.S, CNBC, Metrics, RSI Locations: Wald

☆ Cooling inflation will be a 'double-edged sword' for companies, says Wolfe Research's Chris Senyek
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCooling inflation will be a 'double-edged sword' for companies, says Wolfe Research's Chris SenyekChris Senyek, Wolfe Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to explain his bearish base case for the markets, why he says we haven't felt the full impact of Fed rate hikes and how cooling inflation could be a 'double-edged sword'.

Persons: Wolfe, Chris Senyek Chris Senyek, haven't Organizations: Wolfe Research

☆ S&P 500 rallies to key 4,600 level and nears all-time high. What chartists say happens next
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Investors are watching the S & P 500 after it rallied back toward the key 4,600 level to see if it can break out to new all-time highs. A record high in the S & P 500 looks promising after the broader index on Friday closed at 4,594.63, or its best level since March 2022. In July, the last time the S & P 500 tested the threshold, the rally was led by mega-cap tech stocks. On Monday, the market rally took a breather; the S & P 500 ended the session lower by 0.5%, and it stood about 5% below its record. In fact, one market technician on Monday said the S & P 500 could plunge back to its bear market lows in 2024.

Persons: Stocks, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, you've, JPMorgan's, Jason Hunter, Hunter, CNBC's, Adam Turnquist, he's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Lululemon, O'Hara, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Chris Hayes Organizations: Broadcom Locations: oversold

☆ Wall Street is set to wrap up a strong month next week as stocks gun for new highs
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Wall Street is set to wrap up a strong month next week as stocks gun for new highs heading into year end. The Nasdaq Composite is on pace to close out the month with a double-digit advance, up 10%. In contrast to September and October, which are typically weak periods for stocks, the seasonal patterns are now in favor of equities. This week, LPL Financial's Adam Turnquist pointed out that more than half, or 55%, of S & P 500 stocks closed above their 200-day moving average. It's set to show a rise of 0.2%, down from the 0.7% rise in the prior month, according to FactSet consensus estimates.

Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Sam Stovall, That's, CFRA's Stovall, What's, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Morningstar's Dave Sekera, Sekera, Morningstar's Sekera, Salesforce, Gartner Organizations: Nasdaq, Bank, Treasury, Costco Wholesale, Kroger, New, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, NetApp, Intuit, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, PMI, Manufacturing, Dominion Energy, Cboe, Cardinal Health Locations: Chicago

ET: Bank of America upgrades Penn Entertainment to buy Shares of Penn Entertainment could take off with the company's new initiative, according to Bank of America. ET: Deutsche Bank upgrades Boeing, says free cash flow will boost shares Deutsche Bank thinks there's a bright future ahead for Boeing . And if that's correct, then the momentum on deliveries should carry through to a positive inflection in FCF revisions," wrote analyst Scott Deuschle. Bank of America analyst Alex Vrabel downgraded the electric vehicle charging firm to neutral from buy. "FUN management has achieved more consistent execution, which should translate well to SIX rich asset based structure," wrote analyst David Katz.

Persons: Shaun Kelley, Kelley, Lisa Kailai Han, Scott Deuschle, Deuschle, — Lisa Kailai Han, Caio Ribeiro, Riveiro, Alex Vrabel, Wolfe, Shreyas Patil, Vrabel, Wolfe Research's Patil, Jefferies, David Katz, John Ivankoe, Krispy, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Deutsche Bank, Boeing, JPMorgan, Bros, Bank of America, Penn Entertainment, ESPN Bet, Atlantic City, PENN, Vale, VALE, Wolfe Research Bank of America, Wolfe Research, ChargePoint, Jefferies, Six Flags, Cedar, Flags, Fair, North, Dutch Bros Locations: Chicago, Tunica, Atlantic, PENN, Bank, North America

☆ Just a mirage? Traders worry November's strong start is just massive short covering
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 surged by 5.85% last week, its best weekly performance going back to November 2022. .SPX 3M mountain S & P 500 But a number of market participants are concerned the rally has more to do with short covering. Of those instances, the S & P 500 was down five days after the move, by more than 1% on both an average and median basis. Commodity trading advisors also accelerated short covering, notably turning short in the front end, according to a Bank of America note on Monday. Elsewhere, Citi's Chris Montagu said S & P 500 futures positioning remains "moderately bearish" following the short-covering rally.

Persons: Chris Senyek, Senyek, Goldman Sachs, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Citi's Chris Montagu, Montagu, Wolfe Research's Senyek Organizations: Wolfe Research, Nasdaq, Bank, America, Federal

☆ We're a big believer in the A.I. trend going into next year, says Wolfe Research's Chris Caso
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're a big believer in the A.I. trend going into next year, says Wolfe Research's Chris CasoChris Caso, Wolfe Research managing director covering semiconductors and semiconductor capital equipment, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the semiconductor sector, AMD's weaker-than-expected guidance, the impact of A.I. on the chip industry, and more.

Persons: Wolfe, Chris Caso Chris Caso Organizations: Wolfe Research

Until this week, Fain had announced all of the union's new strikes on Fridays, during what has become a weekly livestreamed update for union members. "We continue to believe the escalation at [Ford] this week is a sign the talks may be coming to an end. KY Truck is likely Ford's most profitable plant, and therefore the strike is the highest level of escalation, aside from a national strike," Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan wrote in a Friday note. But the UAW's leaders may be looking one more step ahead, to the process of selling a tentative deal with Ford to their members. ), and that UAW members have secured the last few ounces of wage, benefits, and job protection concessions that they can get," Lache wrote Thursday to investors.

Persons: counterintuitively —, It's, Shawn Fain, Fain, Wells, Colin Langan, autoworkers, Wolfe, Rod Lache, Ford, Lache Organizations: DETROIT, United Auto Workers, Ford Motor's, Plant, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, Street, UAW Locations: Kentucky

☆ Bitcoin’s resilience above $25,000 is a 'silver lining' in grim crypto market, says Wolfe Research
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Things seem to have taken a turn lower in the crypto market, but bitcoin offers a glimmer of hope and Wolfe Research is defending its long view of the asset. The crypto market continues to struggle from low volume and liquidity that have dragged on for most of the year. "That changed this week with Monday seeing over $105 million in crypto liquidations, and the equal weight crypto index we track breaking down in turn," Wolfe Research's Rob Ginsberg said in a note Wednesday. On top of that, Treasury yields remain high amid stubbornly high inflation and uncertainty around the Israel-Hamas war. Crypto stocks are also trading down, but may be finding support now, according to Wolfe.

Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Bitcoin, bitcoin, it's, Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, BTC, ETF Locations: bitcoin, Israel

☆ Wall Street sees the market's bumpy ride continuing in the 4th quarter. Here are the risks in store
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Many investors expect that could be the capitulation event equities need to bottom out before rebounding. "If you get down to five and a quarter all hell's gonna break loose," Rob Ginsberg, managing director at Wolfe Research. The yield on the 10-year Treasury has spiked sharply to about 4.8% this week, about 1 whole percentage point above where it was in mid-July at around 3.7%. In fact, it won't take much for the positive narrative to start to take hold in markets, Hogan said. Hogan anticipates the S & P 500 could rise to 4,800 by year end, about 13% above where it is currently.

Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Fitch, Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon, Wolfe Research's Ginsberg, Ginsberg doesn't, You'll, Ginsberg, Riley Financial's Art Hogan, they'll, Read, Hogan, Kevin McCarthy, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Katie Stockton, Bank of America's Stephen Suttmeier, Jeffrey Hirsch, I'm, Hirsch Organizations: Dow Jones, Treasury, Wolfe Research, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, CNBC Pro's, Supply, Bank of America's Locations: Saudi Arabia

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