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It could be time to rethink popular portfolio strategies for a lower interest rate environment. The Federal Reserve's half-percent rate cut on Wednesday marked the first time in more than four years it moved to lower the benchmark interest rate. According to VanEck CEO Jan van Eck, investors should start thinking about how the changing macro environment will affect their investments in the year ahead. "We're going to be in an easing cycle, so small-cap companies are going to be benefited by lower interest rates," the firm's chief ETF strategist said. With rates finally beginning to fall, van Eck points to the federal deficit as the next potential challenge for markets.
Persons: Jan van Eck, CNBC's, Russell, Jon Maier, it's, Crane, Maier, van Eck Organizations: Federal, Morgan, Investors
A major exchange-traded fund and mutual fund manager finds the winning gold trade isn't talked about as much as the artificial intelligence trade — but maybe it should be. VanEck CEO Jan van Eck thinks the best investment this year is "the hedge against political cycles." But as of Friday, the VanEck Gold Miners ETF has started to outperform, up 31% this year. As for the AI trade, van Eck says it's "amazing" how investors refuse to give up on it. It's a companion to its VanEck Semiconductor ETF that excludes companies that run their own foundries, such as Intel .
Persons: isn't, Jan van Eck, Van Eck, CNBC's, Gold, van Eck Organizations: Gold Miners, Semiconductor, VanEck Semiconductor, Intel, Nvidia, Broadcom, Devices Locations: Huntington Beach
Gold is already near the top of the 2024 range of outcomes projected by BlackRock Investment Institute, for example. Emerging market central banks have about 6% of their FX reserves in gold, and developed markets have about 12%. "Weaponizing dollar-based systems, including SWIFT , has led to more people, more countries specifically — more sovereign wealth funds and central banks — not trusting dollar-based assets as much. ETF flows As central banks have been bidding up gold, smaller investors were selling for much of this year. The VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ) and the Abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) are the other funds with at least $100 million in net inflows this year, according to FactSet.
Persons: there's, Robert Minter, Minter, SWIFT, Lauren Goodwin, we're, Chris Verrone Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, BlackRock Investment Institute, Abrdn, World Gold Council, U.S ., FX, United, Russia, New York Life Investments, MiniShares, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Abrdn . Central, Central, United States, Ukraine
Analysts say don't chase this Intel pop here
  + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Wall Street analysts are still skeptical on Intel despite its latest moves aimed at righting the ship. Shares of Intel gained more than 3% on Tuesday after the chipmaker said it would turn its foundry business into an independent unit — allowing it to raise outside capital . The analyst added that Intel's plan to establish its foundry business as an independent subsidiary was "expected and not good." "We expect Intel's EPS to be under pressure given its foundry business, which we believe has minimal chance of succeeding," he wrote. Intel shares have lagged the broader semiconductor sector year to date, losing 56% in that time.
Persons: Bernstein, America's Vivek Arya, INTC, Christopher Danely, Intel's Organizations: Intel, Amazon, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Citi, Wells, America's, VanEck Semiconductor Locations: AVGO
Gold's rally to records shows no signs of slowing
  + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices just won't stop rising. Year to date, gold is up nearly 26% — outpacing the S & P 500's 18% gain. Since ETF holdings only increase gradually as the Fed cuts, this upside is not yet fully priced in." Investors seeking exposure to gold can obtain it through exchange traded funds, such as the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) . The fund, which tracks gold prices and charges 0.4% in fees, is up nearly 25% in 2024.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Lina Thomas, Thomas, Christopher Danely Organizations: Reserve, Goldman, Miners, Gold Miners, Citigroup, Micron Technology
Gary Hershorn | Corbis News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineTechnology stocks benefit the most from low interest rates, conventional market wisdom says. When rates are low, that proposition appears attractive because returns are low elsewhere. This implies investors have been moving out of tech to other sectors that might experience tailwinds amid lower rates.
Persons: Gary Hershorn, Goldman Sachs, Christopher Barto, It's, CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Pia Singh, Yun Li Organizations: Trade Center, Corbis, CNBC, Nvidia, Meta, U.S . Federal, VanEck Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Fort Pitt Capital Locations: Manhattan, Jersey City , New Jersey
Semiconductor stocks have been volatile. Last Friday, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF fell 11.6% in a day. Investors might be wondering: What's the outlook for semiconductor stocks — which have been boosted by artificial intelligence — and are there pockets of buying opportunity? It expects orders for PCs and general servers to improve next year as AI-driven demand picks up. As for memory chips, supply is set to remain tight at least till the first half of 2025, thanks to investments in high-bandwidth memory, Morningstar said.
Persons: Morningstar, GlobalWafers Organizations: VanEck Semiconductor, SK Hynix, Micron Technology, Morningstar, Edge, Samsung, Screen CNBC, Van Eck Semiconductor Locations: United States
Some tech stocks are due for outperformance heading into year's end, according to UBS. Nvidia dragged other chip stocks down with it, with the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) suffering its worst day since March 2020. Wall Street is also bullish on the chipmaker, with 41 of the 50 analysts covering the name issuing a strong buy or buy rating, according to LSEG. In the IT hardware and electronics manufacturing services sector, UBS named Dell Technologies , given a PC refresh cycle and developing strength in AI optimized servers. UBS has a buy rating on the stock, and its target implies more than 48% upside from Tuesday's close.
Persons: chipmaker, Timothy Arcuri, Palantir, monetization Organizations: UBS, Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Devices, AMD, Dell Technologies, DELL, P Global, Dell, Spotify
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) sank 11.7% in the Labor Day-shortened, four-day trading week. That was its worst week since a 15.2% drop in March 2020, spurred by the Covid lockdown. SMH 3M mountain This semiconductor ETF just had its worst week since 2020. VanEck itself launched a somewhat narrower version of the fund — the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX) , with 22 stocks — last month. Looking ahead, investors will likely get updates from several chipmakers next week at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference.
Persons: it's, Cantor Fitzgerald, CJ Muse, Muse, , Bernstein, Stacy Rasgon, Rasgon, VanEck, Nick Frasse, Frasse, Goldman Sachs, CNBC's Gina Francolla Organizations: VanEck Semiconductor, Labor, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Wall Street, SOX, CNBC, Intel, Broadcom, Semiconductor, Technology Conference, Devices Locations: VanEck
Super Micro said in late August that it would delay the release of its annual 10-K filing. DocuSign — Shares of the software company rose around 4% after fiscal second-quarter results topped expectations, fueled by strong subscription growth. Guidewire Software — The software stock jumped 12.4% thanks to the company's fiscal fourth-quarter beat. UiPath — The software stock slid 6% amid the tech-led market sell-off Friday. Intel , Mobileye — Shares of autonomous driving tech company Mobileye slumped 8.5%.
Persons: Nio, LSEG, Guidewire, UiPath, UiPath's, FactSet, Yun Li, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox, Lisa Han, Sean Conlon Organizations: JPMorgan, Micro, Intel, Bloomberg, Semiconductor, VanEck Semiconductor, Nvidia, KLA Corporation, Marvell Technology, ASML Locations: , Mobileye
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Cava Group — Shares of the fast-casual restaurant chain popped more than 21% on stronger-than-expected quarterly results . Cava posted earnings of 17 cents per share on $233 million in revenue in the fiscal second quarter. That topped LSEG estimates calling for earnings per share of 13 cents and revenue of $220 million. Ross Stores — The off-price retailer's stock price added 1.4% after the company beat earnings estimates by 9 cents a share in the second quarter. Ross matched revenue estimates of $5.25 billion, per LSEG.
Persons: Cava, Warby Parker, Nicholas Jones, Goldman Sachs, Bill.com, Ross, Tesla, Jerome Powell's, Piper Sandler, — CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Brian Evans, Samantha Subin, Lisa Kailai Han, Michelle Fox Organizations: Intuit —, Intuit, FactSet, JMP Securities, Warby's, UBS, Ross Stores, LSEG, Nvidia, Federal, Investors, VanEck Semiconductor Locations: Cava, Vegas, Macau
The secular megatrend of AI remains strong as Big Tech companies continue to invest billions into developing the technology. Forward earnings estimates for the tech sector are rising to all-time highs, indicating continued optimism. Investor expectations have now become recalibrated after the correction, providing tech stocks with more room to grow, in Lerner's opinion. AdvertisementTruistA cooling macroeconomic environment will also provide a boost to tech stocks as investors flock back to Big Tech, according to Lerner. With the Fed likely to begin cutting rates in September, many of the Big Tech companies are poised to benefit.
Persons: , Keith Lerner, Lerner, that's, shouldn't, Truist, outperformance, He's Organizations: Service, Business, Semiconductor, Big Tech, Tech, Vanguard Information Technology, VanEck Semiconductor
S&P 500 futures bounced in overnight trading after the broad index notched its worst day in nearly two years as global markets sold off. Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose 0.9%, while Nasdaq 100 futures rallied 1.2%. The 30-stock Dow dropped 1,033.99 points, or 2.6%, while the S&P 500 slid 3%. These fears spilled over into global markets, with Japan's Nikkei 225 index registering its worst daily decline since Black Monday in 1987. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are down 5%, 6% and 8% respectively in three days, their worst 3-day performance in more than two years.
Persons: Dow, Quincy Krosby, LPL, Tesla, It's, Keith Lerner, Truist's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Futures, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Bank of Japan, Nvidia, Apple, VanEck Semiconductor, Traders, Palantir Technologies, Lucid Group Locations: New York City
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Crypto stocks — Several bitcoin-related names were hit following the cryptocurrency's drop below $50,000 for the first time since February. Apple — The tech stock dropped more than 5% in the broad market sell-off after news that Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway dumped half its stake in the iPhone maker. Palantir — The software stock fell more than 4% ahead of the company's s quarterly results. Tech stocks — Major tech names dropped during Monday's sell-off. According to LSEG, analysts are expecting a loss of 26 cents per share on revenue of $192 million.
Persons: Robinhood, MicroStrategy, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Tyson, Tyson Foods, , Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Sarah Min, Darla Mercado Organizations: Nvidia, Computer, Micro Computer, Semiconductor, VanEck Semiconductor, Micron Technology, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Arm Holdings, Apple, Oracle, Tech, Microsoft, Facebook, Meta, Intel —, FactSet, GameStop Locations: Berkshire, Omaha, FactSet .
With investors in a risk-off mood, AI shares with high valuations were among the first to be dumped from portfolios. Nvidia and Super Micro Computer shed about 12% each before the bell, while Advanced Micro Devices lost about 5%. Megacap technology stocks also sold off during premarket trading, with Alphabet , Meta Platforms and Amazon falling more than 5% each. Major technology stocks — with the exception of Nvidia — wrapped up a busy earnings stretch last week. Nvidia, Alphabet and Meta Platforms pulled back more than 5%, while Microsoft dropped more than 6%.
Persons: Tesla, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Nvidia —, Mark Haefele, Jefferies Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Computer, Super, VanEck, Microsoft, Apple, UBS Global Wealth Management
Global semiconductor stocks fell Friday after a lackluster set of results from U.S. chip firm Intel sent its shares cratering, and a global market sell-off weighed on some of the biggest names in the tech sector. A number of major U.S. chip names also dropped on Friday in U.S. premarket trade, with Nvidia trading around 4% lower. The DOJ is looking at complaints that the chip giant allegedly abused its market dominance in artificial intelligence chips, The Information reported. Adding to the pressure on chip stocks is a global equity sell-off that began in the U.S. and has fed its way through to Asia and Europe. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF, which includes major names in the sector, closed roughly 6.5% lower in the U.S. on Thursday.
Persons: , prem Organizations: Intel, Nvidia, U.S . Department of, DOJ, NVIDIA, CNBC, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Samsung, SK Hynix, midafternoon, Infineon, AMD, Qualcomm, Nasdaq, VanEck Semiconductor Locations: U.S, Asia, Taiwan, South Korea, TSMC, Europe, Netherlands
When it comes to investing in sectors such as financials and energy under Trump, Bianco believes that size matters. A Harris presidency would benefit the renewable energy industry, according to Amanda Rebello, head of Xtrackers ETF sales at DWS. That's primarily because a Harris presidency would result in more stringent fiscal policy than a Trump one. The national debt is also likely to rise faster under a Trump presidency compared to a Harris one. AdvertisementInvestors can prepare for a Harris presidency by adding fixed income assets such as US 10-year Treasury notes to their portfolios.
Persons: , David Bianco, Harris, it's, He's, Bianco, Trump, Russell, REITs There's, Amanda Rebello, That's, he's, REITs, iShares Cohen Organizations: Service, Trump, Business, Republican, DWS Group, Republican National Convention, Big Pharma, VanEck Pharmaceutical, Vanguard, Energy, Democratic, Fed, Harris, Real, Investment, Battery Tech, Clean Energy, Schwab, Steers, ETF Locations: Big, Harris ' California
Stock futures rose in overnight trading Wednesday as investors weighed the latest corporate earnings reports, including strong results from Meta Platforms. S&P 500 futures gained 0.4%, while Nasdaq-100 futures jumped 0.6%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 30 points, or 0.1%. In extended trading, Meta Platforms rallied 7% on stronger-than-expected second quarter results and upbeat guidance. Stocks are coming off a winning session that saw the S&P 500 rally 1.58% for its best day since February.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Chris Zaccarelli Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Meta, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Meta Platforms, Arm Holdings, Federal Reserve, Independent, Alliance, Nvidia, Devices, VanEck Semiconductor, Apple, Dow, Intel, Booking Holdings, Moderna
AdvertisementAccording to Osterweis, investors should expect increased cyclicality going forward. Now, with increased investment in AI and several initiatives to revitalize domestic manufacturing, Osterweis believes the US could see a return to shorter expansion periods. AdvertisementInvestors can buckle up for more frequent economic fluctuations by increasing their concentration in quality growth equities. Investing in quality growth businesses not only drives strong returns but also protects against the ups and downs of business cycles. Osterweis also sees AI as a sustainable trend and recommends investors continue holding semiconductor companies.
Persons: , John Osterweis, Goldman Sachs, Management Offshoring, Osterweis Organizations: Service, Business, Capital Management, Osterweis, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Bank of America, Companies, Big Tech, Microsoft, Management, Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor Locations: Rust, Mexico, China, East Asia, reindustrialization
GLD 5Y mountain GLD The SPDR Gold Shares ETF is the world's largest, with BlackRock's iShares Gold Trust and iShares Physical Gold ETC the second and third, respectively. Other top physical gold ETFs include the Borse Commodities GmbH Xetra-Gold and the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust . Gold mining ETFs Buying gold mining ETFs — which own shares of multiple gold mining companies — is another way to get exposure to gold, and Meyer described those backed by large banks as "relatively safe," in an email to CNBC. "Even though gold equities respond to changes in gold price, the degree of that response has deteriorated over time," he said, adding that the risks and costs of gold extraction can weigh on miners. A selection of gold bars and one-ounce gold coins at Gold Investments Ltd. bullion dealers in London, UK, on Tuesday, May 21, 2024.
Persons: Tom Price, Price, Berenberg, Robin Bhar, Amy Arnott, John Meyer, Colin Hamilton, BlackRock's, Meyer, Barrick Gold Panmure Liberum, George Milling, Stanley, they're, Morningstar's Arnott, Bhar, Chris Ratcliffe Organizations: CNBC, Panmure, Bank of America, Citi, UBS, Gold, Morningstar, SP, CNBC Pro, Royal Mint, BMO Capital Markets, Borse Commodities, MiniShares, Gold Miners ETF, Miners, Barrick, Resolute Mining, Hochschild, Caledonia Mining, Barrick Gold Panmure, Endeavour Mining, Endeavour, Pan, Resources, State Street Global Advisors, Gold Investments, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Panmure Liberum, U.S . New York, United States, U.S, Hochschild Mining, Zimbabwe, London, West Africa, Berenberg
The stock market is facing several issues: a tech re-rating, a slower economy, a seasonally weak period and an uncertain presidential outcome. Big cap tech is getting re-rated This is what happens when the market gets top-heavy in technology. Prices for megacap tech stocks have run up dramatically in hopes of outsized earnings. Regardless, investors have been re-rating tech stocks for many weeks now. Technology stocks have been toppy for some time.
Persons: Sundar Pichai, he'd, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Matt Bartolini, Kamala Harris, Sam Stovall, Trump Organizations: Technology, Cloud Computing, Semiconductor, P Technology, X Social Media, Semiconductors, Micron, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Broadcom, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, State, Trump, Democratic Locations: SPDR Americas
It's a historic week for the cryptocurrency markets with spot ether exchange-traded funds making their debut. Franklin Templeton is one of the nine spot ether ETF applicants which got approval Tuesday from the Securities and Exchange commission. CEO Jan Van Eck expects spot ether ETFs will help investors diversify, but he sees a different energy level for spot ether ETFs. "I don't think they're going to be the same, same kind of hit [as spot bitcoin ETFs]" Van Eck said. Long-term, Morningstar's Ben Johnson considers the volumes for spot ether ETFs as normal because they're roughly proportional to the relative market cap of ether versus bitcoin .
Persons: Franklin Templeton, , David Mann, CNBC's, Jan Van Eck, Van Eck, Morningstar's Ben Johnson Organizations: Securities, Exchange, Franklin Ethereum Locations: cryptocurrencies
BEIJING — Four of the world's largest semiconductor equipment manufacturers, including ASML , have seen the share of their China revenue more than double since late 2022, Bank of America analysts said in a report Monday. "China accelerated its purchase of semi manufacturing equipment since the U.S. imposed tighter export restrictions in October 2022, aiming to develop its own semi manufacturing capability," the report said. The research found the companies' China revenue more than doubled from 17% of their total revenue in the fourth quarter of 2022 to 41% in the first quarter of 2024. The U.S. in October 2022 started imposing sweeping export controls on U.S. sales of advanced semiconductors and related manufacturing equipment to China. Last week, Bloomberg reported, citing sources, that the Biden administration was considering broader restrictions on semiconductor equipment exports to China that could affect non-U.S. companies.
Persons: Biden Organizations: BEIJING, Bank of America, Lam Research, KLA Corp, Materials, Bloomberg, VanEck Semiconductor Locations: China, U.S, Beijing
There are already ether ETFs that track futures contracts, but these are the first to track spot ether. Spot ether ETF applications Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust (ETH)Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE)Bitwise Ethereum (ETHW)VanEck Ethereum (ETHV)21Shares Core Ethereum (CETH)Invesco Galaxy Ethereum (QETH)Fidelity Ethereum (FETH)Franklin Ethereum (EZET)iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA) Like the spot bitcoin ETFs that launched in January, most are waiving fees initially — in many cases for up to a year. By the standards of ETF launches, spot bitcoin ETFs have been a success: They recently topped $17 billion in net flows year to date since their debut. Bitcoin prices rose going into the launch of spot bitcoin ETFs. (Ether is the cryptocurrency used in the Ethereum network, but in practice the terms Ethereum and ether are often used interchangeably.)
Persons: Bitwise, VanEck, Franklin Ethereum, iShares, bitcoin, Ben Johnson, Morningstar's, Matt Hougan, Johnson, Morningstar Organizations: Nurphoto, Fidelity, U.S . Securities, Exchange, SEC Locations: Washington
VanEck CEO on the launch of Ethereum ETFs
  + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailVanEck CEO on the launch of Ethereum ETFsJan van Eck, CEO of VanEck, joins CNBC’s Bob Pisani on ‘ETF Edge’ to discuss the launch of VanEck Ethereum ETF, how the ETF has launched with no fees, and what having the second largest cryptocurrency in ETF products could mean for investors.
Persons: Jan van Eck, Bob Pisani
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