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☆ Investors believe the fears about the slowing economy are overblown and market is overreacting
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The S & P 500 is off by nearly 9%, and it could soon join the tech-heavy index. .VIX 1D mountain VIX On Wall Street, however, many investors expect the fears of a slowing economy are overdone, and that markets are overreacting. "We don't see an earnings recession, we don't see an economic recession," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. The strategist expects the S & P 500 could fall into a correction, somewhere between 10% and 15%. To be sure, investors who aren't expecting a recession say any weakness in the consumer should continue to be monitored.

Persons: It's, Stocks, Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, nonfarm, John Butters, —, Sam Stovall, Stovall, that's, aren't, Siebert's Malek, Jamie Meyers, he's, we've, it's, I've, Meyers, CFRA's Stovall Organizations: Nikkei, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta's, Bank of America, CFRA, Nvidia Locations: Japan, U.S

☆ Kamala Harris’ economic pitch just got a lot more complicated
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

It may be even harder now that cracks are forming in the labor market. The jobs report was not a disaster, by any stretch, and it’s no guarantee of a looming recession. But it was a surprise, and economists expressed concerns about how quickly the labor market appears to have downshifted. For Wall Street, the surprise slowdown was the bitter cherry on top of a sundae of disappointing tech earnings. (In other words, Wall Street may have overreacted because, well, that’s just kinda the way Wall Street does things.)

Persons: Harris, couldn’t, that’s, ”, Heidi Shierholz, Kamala Harris, Sam Stovall, it’s, It’s, Joe Biden’s, Jason Smith of, “, Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN, Biden, Economic Policy Institute, Democratic, CFRA Research, ”, Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, GOP, Harris Administration, Connecticut GOP Locations: New York, Jason Smith of Missouri, Connecticut

☆ CFRA raises S&P 500 outlook, sees 11% gain over the next 12 months
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

CFRA Research sees more upside for the benchmark S & P 500 over the next 12 months, even if the risk of near-term profit taking looms. The higher forecast implies a year-end target of 5,770 for the S & P 500, or a 4.5% uptick from Wednesday's close for the benchmark. Stovall's previous year-end S & P 500 target called for 4,940. A combination of more stable supply-and-demand dynamics coupled with a widening of market gains supports the more bullish outlook, CFRA said. The S & P 500 has a roughly 14% gain this year, compared to the Nasdaq Composite's roughly 15% advance.

Persons: Sam Stovall, Evercore's Julian Emanuel, CFRA, Russell Organizations: Research, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq Locations: Wednesday's

☆ Risk of recession would hurt the mid and smalls more than the large caps: CFRA's Sam Stovall
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRisk of recession would hurt the mid and smalls more than the large caps: CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to expect from earnings this week, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.

Persons: smalls, Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research

☆ Stocks are being routed as tech undergoes a re-rating. Here are the key drivers behind the shakeup
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The stock market is facing several issues: a tech re-rating, a slower economy, a seasonally weak period and an uncertain presidential outcome. Big cap tech is getting re-rated This is what happens when the market gets top-heavy in technology. Prices for megacap tech stocks have run up dramatically in hopes of outsized earnings. Regardless, investors have been re-rating tech stocks for many weeks now. Technology stocks have been toppy for some time.

Persons: Sundar Pichai, he'd, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Matt Bartolini, Kamala Harris, Sam Stovall, Trump Organizations: Technology, Cloud Computing, Semiconductor, P Technology, X Social Media, Semiconductors, Micron, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Broadcom, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, State, Trump, Democratic Locations: SPDR Americas

☆ Biden dropping out adds more uncertainty to markets. What investors are saying
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"We will continue to have both bulls and bears because you have both sides who are talking about the uncertainty, increased uncertainty regarding the presidency," Stovall added. A 'Red Wave'? "It seems as if the greatest likelihood is a red wave," Stovall said. Trump trade hurt? To be sure, Sunday's announcement could pump the brakes on the so-called Trump trade seen since the late-June debate.

Persons: Joe Biden's, Biden, Kamala Harris, Sam Stovall, Trump, Stovall, it's, —, PredictIt, Harris, CFRA's Stovall, Wells, Stephen Baxter, Baxter, Oppenheimer, Hogan, Riley, It's, Kim Forrest, Forrest, Fred Imbert Organizations: Trump, CFRA, Democratic National Convention, Republican, Democratic, Medicaid, Med Adv, Bokeh Capital Partners Locations: Friday's

☆ Sam Stovall sees double-digit correction – says rally gone too far and big caps expensive
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The rotation trade likely won't save the S & P 500 from a double-digit correction ahead, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. On the other hand, the mega-cap tech stocks have faltered. But Stovall is skeptical, saying he anticipates an S & P 500 pullback ahead, possibly in September, in the low double-digits. Expensive valuations Central to the strategist's concern is the overbought nature of large-cap tech stocks. Rotate into very attractive mid- and small-cap stocks or mid- and small-cap ETFs," Stovall said.

Persons: Sam Stovall, Stocks, Jerome Powell, Russell, Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research, Federal, Nvidia, CNBC Locations: Great

☆ How to find opportunity in the markets amid rising political uncertainty
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow to find opportunity in the markets amid rising political uncertaintySam Stovall, Chief Investment Strategist at CFRA Research, discusses how the assassination attempt on Donald Trump impacts the markets, according to history.

Persons: Sam Stovall, Donald Trump Organizations: CFRA Research

☆ Buying the dip on a cheap stock? Don't do it 'just because the price has gone down,' says investing chief
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

"Buying because the stock price has gone down without knowing some of the underlying issues or without understanding some of the underlying activities, could be problematic," says Clark Bellin, president and chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth. After all, a stock could take major losses and then soar to new heights à la Apple. But what about that same markdown in the price of that company's stock? You'll just have to figure some things out before you buy, says Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA. Rather than scrambling to do research, he says, keep a watchlist of stocks you'd be interested in buying at the right price.

Persons: Clark Bellin, Sam Stovall, Bellin, Charles Rotblut, Stovall, It's, Raife Giovinazzo, Giovinazzo Organizations: Blockbuster, Nike, American Association of, Fuller, Thaler Asset Management, Nasdaq, Yahoo Finance, CNBC

☆ Premature to assume there's a September rate cut, says Envestnet's Dana D'Auria
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPremature to assume there's a September rate cut, says Envestnet's Dana D'AuriaDana D’Auria, Envestnet co-CIO, and Sam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.

Persons: Envestnet's Dana D'Auria Dana D’Auria, Envestnet, Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research

☆ You may now own a piece of Trump Media – and not even know it
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —If you’ve got money in the market, you might own a little piece of Trump Media — without even knowing it. Trump Media (DJT), the owner of conservative social media platform Truth Social, announced its addition to the Russell family on Monday. As a result, countless retail investors will now own a piece of Trump Media. These include the $14 billion iShares Russell 3000 ETF (IWV) and the $2.5 billion Vanguard Russell 3000 ETF (VTHR). LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman, a vocal critic of former President Donald Trump, believes Trump Media is really worth just $40 million.

Persons: you’ve, Russell, Donald Trump, doesn’t, Vanguard Russell, ”, Sam Stovall, Stovall, ” Stovall, Reid Hoffman, ” Hoffman, Aniket Ullal Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump Media, Trump Media & Technology, Vanguard, CFRA Research, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Trump, “, FTSE Russell’s, P, LinkedIn, CNN, & & Locations: New York

☆ Pro Playbook: Investors looking for some second-half bargains after a big first six months
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The second half of 2024 has arrived with investors hoping for more gains ahead. The S & P 500 popped 14.5% in the first six months of the year, reaching record highs. Such a strong start to the year historically bodes well for the market in the second half. CFRA Research chief investment strategist Sam Stovall noted the S & P 500 averages a 7.9% gain in the second half after surging more than 10% in the first six months of the year. .SPX YTD mountain SPX year to date Despite the strong gains, there are still opportunities to buy stocks at a discount.

Persons: Sam Stovall, Brian Evans, Hess, Lisa Kailai, Morgan Stanley, Blackwell, Joseph Moore Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Research, CNBC Pro, FedEx, DiamondBack Energy, Chevron, Nvidia Locations: Friday's

☆ Here’s what typically happens to the stock market next after such a strong first half
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Even better: The fact that the S & P 500 has performed so well this year makes the outlook sweeter. In years with the S & P 500 climbing more than 10% in the first six months, it jumped 7.9% in the typical second half. Presidential election years also typically bring returns in the second half of the year, according to Stovall's data. For the entire second half, the S & P 500 has climbed 3.5% on average. Some investors are wondering how much farther the S & P 500 can run up after notching all-time highs this year.

Persons: CFRA Research's Sam Stovall Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC

☆ A stock market correction is coming as rates, inflation, and valuations darken the outlook for investors, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-19 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementThe stock market is in for a correction, as a trio of unfavorable factors will weigh on equity prices, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist of CFRA Research. Tech stocks, which have dominated the market in recent years, are trading at a 68% premium. Stocks could see their first "crack in the ice" in the tech sector, he added, pointing to lofty valuations among mega-cap tech stocks. AdvertisementOther forecasters have warned of limited upside to the market as stocks — particularly tech stocks — continue to climb higher. According to one valuation metric, the stock market looks to be the most overvalued since 1929, which could pave the way to a steep correction, elite investor John Hussman warned.

Persons: Sam Stovall, —, Stovall, Stocks, John Hussman Organizations: Service, CFRA Research, Wall, Treasury, Tech, CNBC

☆ CFRA's Sam Stovall: The projected S&P decline is due to the 10-year yield and inflation readings
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCFRA's Sam Stovall: The projected S&P decline is due to the 10-year yield and inflation readingsSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what might be a catalyst for an S&P 500 decline, whether sideline cash will soon get put to work, and more.

Persons: Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research

☆ Brace for a stock-market pullback after an epic start to the year, strategist warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The S&P 500 is likely to fall at least 5% in the coming months, one strategist predicted. CFRA's Sam Stovall said a pullback tends to follow a great first quarter for the benchmark index. On the bright side, Stovall said the S&P's full-year gain is usually over 20% after a stellar start. AdvertisementBrace for stocks to take a breather and retreat by at least 5% after a breathless start to the year, one strategist warned. The S&P 500 surged by more than 10% in the first quarter.

Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall, Stovall, —, Brace, Sam Stovall, CFRA Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Microsoft, Yahoo Finance, Wall Street, CFRA Locations: Friday's

☆ S&P 500 futures are little changed as investors await May retail sales data: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Traders walk the floor during morning trading at the New York Stock Exchange on May 14, 2024. S&P 500 futures are near flat Tuesday morning after a winning day on Wall Street as investors gear up for May retail sales data. Futures linked to the broad market index inched higher by 0.03%, while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.02%. Those moves follow a positive session on Wall Street that propelled the S&P 500 higher by nearly 0.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite finished with a gain of almost 1%. "Investors are basically feeling the trend is my friend until it ends," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.

Persons: Sam Stovall Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, CFRA

☆ These stocks could survive Wall Street's summer lull and thrive, CFRA’s Sam Stovall says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

June's historical average return comes out at just 0.1% while July typically sees a 1.2% gain, according to Stovall. Summer exception This summer could prove to be an exception to the typical summer lull, given the upcoming presidential election, Stovall said, noting that the broad market index has posted an average 3.7% summer increase during the 19 election years since World War II. Ahead of this year's election, Stovall expects a few aerospace and defense contractors to stand out. Other areas of the market that should survive and thrive during a slow summer period are consumer staples companies, tobacco names, health-care distributors and pharmaceuticals, Stovall said. Costco and Walmart shares are up roughly 29% and 2% this year, respectively, posting strong returns as consumers have become more motivated by price and value in a high-inflation environment.

Persons: Sam Stovall, Stovall, CFRA, Eli Lilly, Lockheed Martin, Morgan Stanley, Becton Dickinson, Christopher Horvers, FactSet Organizations: Day, Labor, Walmart, Lockheed, Dynamics, Republicans, Costco, JPMorgan

☆ Point72's Dean Maki: Expect Fed to cut interest rates as soon as September
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPoint72's Dean Maki: Expect Fed to cut interest rates as soon as SeptemberSam Stovall, CFRA chief investment strategist, and Dean Maki, chief economist at Point72 Asset Management, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss markets, their expectation from the Fed, and more.

Persons: Dean Maki, Sam Stovall Organizations: Point72 Asset Management

☆ What Nvidia's 10-for-1 stock split means for investors—it's mostly psychological
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-23 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Nvidia released its fiscal first-quarter earnings report on Wednesday, along with news of a planned 10-for-1 stock split. Shares in the chipmaking giant will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis when the market opens on June 10, according to a release. The split announcement, along with better-than-expected financial results, were just the latest in a long line of good news for Nvidia investors. Shares sprung up by 7% at the opening bell on Thursday, pushing the share price over $1,000. Plus, a stock split announcement tends to coincide with strong recent financial performance, and could signal that the company believes more is on the way.

Persons: Sam Stovall, Stovall Organizations: Nvidia

☆ Stocks at record levels are about to get their next major test — Nvidia's earnings results
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Stocks are riding high heading into Nvidia's earnings results after the market close Wednesday. U.S. stock market benchmarks have been hovering near all-time highs. But Nvidia will test the sustainability of recent market highs given its huge size in broad market indexes, as well as its influence over investor psychology. Consider that the Jensen Huang-led company is in more than 6,000 long-only institutional funds, and in just 21 short-only funds, according to data from S & P Capital IQ. Beat and raise Many investors expect a strong showing from Nvidia will keep markets on their recent upward ascent.

Persons: Jensen Huang, Sam Stovall, Stovall, CFRA's Stovall, Piper Sandler, Harsh Kumar, Kumar, —, Blackwell, Huang, Zachary Hill, Hill, We've, Chris Zaccarelli Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nvidia, CFRA, Microsoft, Investments, Independent

☆ Strategist: Expect S&P 500 to hit 5,450 by the end of 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrategist: Expect S&P 500 to hit 5,450 by the end of 2024Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, discusses the "cyclical factors" behind the recent new highs in markets.

Persons: Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research

☆ The Dow tends to take a breather after surpassing big, round numbers
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Now that the Dow Jones Industrial Average has made headlines by crossing the 40,000 level for the first time ever on Thursday, what comes next? History shows the 128-year-old-average tends to pull back a bit after crossing large, round number thresholds. "History tends to confirm that the market typically takes a breather after eclipsing millennium milestones." Bear market declines of 20% or more also happened just 5% of the time. .DJI 1Y mountain The 30-stock Dow crossed the 40,000 level on Thursday after flirting with the threshold in April.

Persons: Sam Stovall, Stovall, Dow Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Walmart, Nasdaq Locations: 39,8907.88

☆ With S&P back at new highs, now come the price target and earnings revisions
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Now that the S & P 500 and most major stock market indexes are at or near historic highs, expect a raft of earnings and year-end price target revisions for the S & P 500 to be coming. First up with an upward revision was Brian Belski at BMO Capital, who Wednesday raised his year-end S & P target to 5,600 from 5,100. The median price target (half above, half below) is 5,200. Earnings for the rest of the year have been remarkably stable, but the key point is that each quarter is higher and a record for S & P 500 profits: 2024 S & P 500 quarterly earnings estimates Q2: $59.46 (record) Q3: $63.49 (record) Q4: $65.08 (record) Source: LSEG Valuations (roughly 20 times forward S & P 500 earnings) are pricey but not unreasonable given the continuing strength of the economy and the prospects of AI-boosted returns. May: market advance broadens (advance/decline line) S & P 500: near new high S & P Mid Cap: new high S & P Small Cap: highest since Dec.

Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Brian Belski, Belski, Subramanian, Venu Krishna, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Lori Calvasina, Manish, Nicolaus, Barry Banniester, Jonathan Golub, Chris Harvey, Dubravko, Bujas, Cantor Fitzgerald, Eric Johnson, Scott Chronert, Julian Emanuel, Fundstrat, Tom Lee, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Hugo Ste, Stovall Organizations: BMO Capital, Wall, of America, Barclays, BMO, RBC, Societe Generale, UBS, Bloomberg, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, ISI, JPMorgan, Scotiabank, @VX Locations: Wells Fargo, Marie

☆ CFRA's Sam Stovall on why he's raising his S&P 500 12-month price target by 8%
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCFRA's Sam Stovall on why he's raising his S&P 500 12-month price target by 8%Sam Stovall, CFRA chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why he's raising his S&P 500 12-month price target by 8%, state of the economy, and more.

Persons: Sam Stovall

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