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Subramanian said investors should buy defensive stocks so they can "sleep at night." According to Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian, investors should "get used to the volatility." AdvertisementTo combat expectations of continued volatility, Subramanian said investors should buy defensive stocks that would allow them to "sleep at night." "The best hedge is owning high quality stocks," Subramanian said of combating market volatility. Most of these defensive stocks are found in defensive sectors, which include consumer staples, healthcare, real estate, and utilities.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, , They're, Stocks Organizations: . Bank of America, Service, Bank of America, Procter, Gamble, Kroger, PepsiCo, Walmart, Utilities, Investors, Consolidated Edison, Alliant Energy, CMS Energy, Healthcare, Quest Diagnostics, Essex Property Trust, Digital Realty Trust Locations: Essex
Read previewBuying and holding Big Tech stocks has led to great performance in recent years, but this might not be the case going forward. As a result, buy-and-hold investors are probably seeing more red than they'd like in their portfolios right now. AdvertisementBig Tech overexposureIf you hold a lot of Big Tech stocks in your portfolio, you're not alone. Related storiesThere's definitely reason to be bullish on tech overall, especially as AI spurs growth, but overexposure to Big Tech isn't without its drawbacks. According to Subramanian, there's more room for Big Tech to fall, especially if investors don't see AI monetization cases soon.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, overexposure, Subramanian, That's, there's, They're Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Down, Dow, Business, Bank of America, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Fund, Vanguard, Energy
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSee strong signs for cyclicals in the second half, says BofA's Savita SubramanianSavita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to make of earnings season so far, impact of AI, where investors can find opportunities, and more.
Persons: BofA's Savita Subramanian Savita Subramanian Organizations: BofA Securities
With the second half of the year underway, there are three trades that investors should make sure they're on the right side of, Bank of America says. Bank of America expects earnings of the remaining 493 S & P 500 companies to accelerate into the end of the year. Bank of America identified avoiding dividend-paying stocks as another pain trade for later this year. Bank of America also notes that more than 200 S & P stocks currently provide higher real return potential than the 2% offered by the 10-year Treasury . The SPDR Portfolio S & P 500 High Dividend ETF (SPYD) has surged 10% year to date and more than 7% in the past month.
Persons: CNBC's, Russell, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of, Big Tech, of America, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq
Wall Street ended July with a bang that turned a volatile month into a winner. The Russell 2000 soared 10.1% in July, its biggest one-month gain since December. .RUT YTD mountain Russell 2000, year-to-date Bank of America thinks this "pain trade" will continue as a new month of trading kicks off. Among the big analyst calls on Wall Street this morning, Morgan Stanley upgraded GE Vernova to overweight from equal weight. "We believe we are at the early stages of a multi-decade energy transition investment cycle that will require significant capital investment in gas power, renewables, and grid expansion/enhancement.
Persons: Russell, Savita Subramanian, Morgan Stanley, Andrew Percoco Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Bank of America, GE
Dividend stocks are set to surge as investors deploy $6 trillion from money-market funds, Bank of America says. Investors could be looking to invest their cash as the Fed gets ready to cut interest rates in September. AdvertisementSome of the highest-yielding S&P 500 companies include Walgreens Boot Alliance, Altria, Verizon, Ford, and AT&T. And while the S&P 500 as a whole offers a dividend yield of about 1.25%, there are nearly 300 S&P 500 stocks that offer a higher yield. AdvertisementSome of the high-paying dividend stocks recommended by Belski include Abbvie, Chevron, Duke Energy, Gilead Sciences, and Pfizer.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, BMO's Brian Belski, Belski Organizations: Bank of America, Fed, BMO, Gilead Sciences, Service, Treasury, Walgreens Boot Alliance, Altria, Verizon, Ford, Belski, Duke Energy, Pfizer Locations: Chevron, Gilead, Abbvie
Stock futures were flat in overnight trading Monday as investors awaited key corporate earnings and the beginning of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both traded 0.1% higher. That compares to a five-year average earnings beat rate of 77%. "Both 2024 and 2025 consensus EPS are holding up, with 2024 EPS tracking a typical non-recessionary year revision trend. "Inflation is trending lower, supporting Federal Reserve rate cuts," said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Jerome Powell, Seema Shah Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Merck, Pfizer, PayPal, Procter, Gamble, JetBlue, Microsoft, Devices, Bank of, Fed, Asset Management
The odds of a pullback in the S & P 500 are higher now, according to Bank of America. "We are thus overdue for a pullback," wrote Subramanian, adding there is "elevated downside risk in coming months. In fact, the strategist expects the S & P 500 will end the year at 5,400. Just 50% have been triggered [today] vs. an average of 70% ahead of prior S & P 500 peaks." From 1936 to 2010, dividends contributed around 40% to S & P 500 total returns, but have only accounted for 15% since 2010.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, BofA Securities
Traditional infrastructure might not seem as sexy as the newer AI data centers, but Bank of America believes traditional infrastructure has stronger growth prospects than AI infrastructure. The heavy focus on technology and AI has resulted in investors overlooking traditional infrastructure investment. Invest in industrials and materialsIn particular, Bank of America identified the industrials and materials sectors as the best investment opportunity within traditional infrastructure. The industrials sector trades at a relative forward PE of 0.98, and materials trades at 0.92. AdvertisementSome specific industries within those sectors are especially undervalued, such as construction materials and metals & mining.
Persons: , there's, Savita Subramanian, it's, Reshoring Organizations: Service, Big Tech, American Society of Civil Engineers, Business, Bank of, Bank of America Government, Bank of America, Bank, Invest, Industrial Locations: North America, industrials
"We advise investors to seek out companies with above-market and secure (not stretched) dividend yields," Bank of America's team said. "It has guarded against owning distressed companies that migrate into Quintile 1 (the highest dividend yield group) if prices fall ahead of potential dividend cuts," the team wrote. The stock is only up nearly 2% in 2024, but it has a dividend yield of 3.1%. SO YTD mountain Southern Company in 2024 Specialty glass maker and artificial intelligence play Corning was also in Bank of America's screen. It has a dividend yield of 2.6%.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Russell, Kalei Akamine, Coterra, Akamine, Shahriar Pourreza, Corning Organizations: Bank of America, Schwab U.S, Federal Reserve, Bank of America's, Energy, Utilities, Southern Co, Bank of, Southern Company Locations: Wyndham Row, U.S, Southern, Bank
Bank of America's Savita Subramanian said investors are neglecting this one corner of the market with upside potential: "old school capex." Subramanian anticipates stocks can still go higher from here, on balance. Instead of big-cap tech, the strategist favors what she calls "old school capex," stocks that have yet to price in any gains from artificial intelligence, as well as from the nearshoring trend. "Our view is that there is probably more upside elsewhere in the market, which is why we like old school capex, and we don't think that's getting a lot of attention," Subramanian said. So, that's where we really see the strength in the market," Subramanian added.
Persons: America's Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, we've, CNBC's Organizations: America's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA's Savita Subramanian on why we are heading into a 'tricky' part of the yearSavita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what has changed in the strategist's thoughts on the S&P 500, estimates for AI capital expenditures, and much more.
Persons: Subramanian Organizations: BofA Securities
Analysts say infrastructure investments are cheap relative to the rest of the market. "AI/TMT capex beneficiaries are pricing in strong growth after a year of momentum. "AI adoption has accelerated growth in electrical, thermal, and HVAC manufacturers…But unlike TMT, these sectors haven't priced in as strong growth. As infrastructure investment has slowed, manufacturing activity has only sped up, taxing increasingly older infrastructure, and America's roads, bridges and transportation systems show it. AdvertisementThe Bank of America analysts aren't the first to point to a need for increased attention to US infrastructure and industrialization.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Biden's, Savita Subramanian, Biden, aren't, Richard Bernstein Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Analysts, American Society of Civil Engineers, Republican, of America, Investment
Certainly lower interest rates are a huge help, particularly for small-cap companies that are generally more sensitive to interest rate changes. There must be a belief that earnings will broaden out beyond a small group of megacap tech stocks. The root source of the long tech rally is the superior earnings growth of technology. Two questions follow: with the massive rise in tech prices, is most or all of that earnings growth now priced in, and what are the prospects for earnings growth in other sectors? The problem is identifying where this additional earnings growth is coming from, and how robust it might be.
Persons: it's, Supriya Menon, America's Savita Subramanian, Bryan Spillane, Subramanian Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Wellington Management, Bloomberg, Bank, America's Locations: cyclicals
So that's what the bank did, listing 10 signals that they found to be most reliable, as well as the best investing approach for a market peak. The index has reached 110 within the six months preceding every market peak since July 1990, and in January 2024, it reached 111. ValuationElevated stock valuations are also telling of a market peak, but Bank of America's indicators relating to P/E ratios aren't currently triggered. A third macroeconomic indicator, Bank of America's Credit Stress Indicator (CSI), is not triggered. It often drops below 0.25 within six months of a market peak, but sits at 0.39.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, America quantifies Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, Conference, Bank of America Investor, Bank, America, The Conference Board, SSI, Wall Street, of America's, CSI Locations: today's
Bank of America predicts large-cap value stocks will start to outperform growth stocks. AdvertisementThe most boring area of the stock market is poised for a "renaissance" of outperformance, according to Bank of America. AdvertisementA hard landingAnother scenario in which value stocks should outperform is if the economy experiences a hard landing. That would likely lead to a sharp sell-off in growth-oriented stocks and the relative outperformance of value stocks. A world of structurally higher rates and inflation should bolster value stocks," Bank of America said.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, corporates, Banks, Ebrahim Poonawala, Consumer Staples, Staples, Subramanian Organizations: of America, Bank of America, Service, Equity, " Utilities, Energy, Banks, Consumer
Generating income with dividend stocks Dividend stocks have long been a staple of income investors' portfolios. Municipal bonds offer income that's free of federal tax, however. These names trade on exchanges like stocks, and they can offer dividend yields upward of 6%. Options strategies to create income Derivative income funds , such as the JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI), gathered some $22 billion in 2023, according to Morningstar. Further, consider comparison shopping, as all "derivative income" funds have their own quirks and differences in strategies could affect their risk/return profile.
Persons: Janus Henderson, Walt Disney's, Amber Milam, Jefferies, It's, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Russell, Louis, Morningstar, Mike Mulach, Rick Rieder, he'd, Kathleen McNamara, there's, , Bill Gross, JEPI, Cash, Ashton Lawrence Organizations: Federal Reserve, Meta, Mobile, Bank of America, IBM, . Investment, Fitch, Credit, nab, ICE, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis Fed, UBS, UBS Wealth Management, York Life Investments, , JPMorgan, Mariner Wealth Advisors Locations: U.S, Greenville , South Carolina
AdvertisementThe media giant, which owns Paramount Pictures and CBS, has been in the news as an acquisition target since late last year. Skydance might not be as recognizable a name, but the company's owner and CEO David Ellison is. It's "is Paramount big enough to survive on its own?" The rush to corner the market on data centers is a move by Big Tech to secure the keys to the coming AI kingdom. Big Tech, finance, and consulting jobs are becoming harder to come by, upending the job search for young people.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Rebecca Zisser, Warner, David Zaslav, Byron Allen, David Ellison, Larry Ellison, he's, Phillip Faraone, Peter Kafka, That's, Larry Ellison's, Alyssa Powell, Savita Subramanian, Gary Shilling, Kitty, Keith Gill, Arif Qazi, Jason Zander, they'll, Apple's, Siri, Dominic Bugatto, that's, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Annie Smith Organizations: Service, Paramount, Business, Paramount Pictures, CBS, RedBird Capital Partners, KKR, Warner Bros . Discovery, Sony, Hollywood, Getty, Tech, Bank of America, Wall Street, GameStop, Google, Microsoft, Big Tech, BI, Washington Post, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Locations: China, India, Texas, New York, London
Technology stocks have dominated the market for more than a decade. However, strong outperformance in tech may begin to spread to other sectors of the stock market, according to BofA. Here are four reasons tech stocks' dominance could end later this year, according to the bank. AdvertisementThe technology sector's dominance over the stock market could finally end later this year, according to Bank of America. Advertisement"As earnings accelerate outside of Tech, investors will likely become more price sensitive and seek out cheaper earnings growth," Subramanian said.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, COVID Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Tech, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Bank of, Technology, Communication Services, Nvidia, hyperscalers Microsoft, Rockwell Automation, ROK Locations: Tech, China, Japan
Bank of America found that nine of 10 stocks on its list are tied to the AI boom. Buying AI," Bank of America strategists led by Savita Subramanian said in a note. "AI stocks are now core holdings." Meta Platforms , Uber Technologies , Netflix and ServiceNow also experienced a rise in popularity among active fund managers, according to Bank of America. The Wall Street firm said the change in fund managers' ownership has been positively correlated with the number of "AI" mentions on earnings calls.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Savita Subramanian, ServiceNow Organizations: Bank of, Bank of America, Broadcom, Arista Networks, Applied Materials, Nvidia, Microsoft, Uber Technologies, Netflix Locations: U.S
Now that the S & P 500 and most major stock market indexes are at or near historic highs, expect a raft of earnings and year-end price target revisions for the S & P 500 to be coming. First up with an upward revision was Brian Belski at BMO Capital, who Wednesday raised his year-end S & P target to 5,600 from 5,100. The median price target (half above, half below) is 5,200. Earnings for the rest of the year have been remarkably stable, but the key point is that each quarter is higher and a record for S & P 500 profits: 2024 S & P 500 quarterly earnings estimates Q2: $59.46 (record) Q3: $63.49 (record) Q4: $65.08 (record) Source: LSEG Valuations (roughly 20 times forward S & P 500 earnings) are pricey but not unreasonable given the continuing strength of the economy and the prospects of AI-boosted returns. May: market advance broadens (advance/decline line) S & P 500: near new high S & P Mid Cap: new high S & P Small Cap: highest since Dec.
Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Brian Belski, Belski, Subramanian, Venu Krishna, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Lori Calvasina, Manish, Nicolaus, Barry Banniester, Jonathan Golub, Chris Harvey, Dubravko, Bujas, Cantor Fitzgerald, Eric Johnson, Scott Chronert, Julian Emanuel, Fundstrat, Tom Lee, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Hugo Ste, Stovall Organizations: BMO Capital, Wall, of America, Barclays, BMO, RBC, Societe Generale, UBS, Bloomberg, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, ISI, JPMorgan, Scotiabank, @VX Locations: Wells Fargo, Marie
Stocks are in a "late secular bull market," BofA's Michael Hartnett said in a Friday research note. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe bull market that's pushed stock prices higher for the past year and a half will probably end in tears, Bank of America's Michael Hartnett warned. Equities are in a "late secular bull market" that likely "ends with [a] bubble and/or recession," the bank's chief investment strategist wrote in a Friday research note seen by Business Insider. Hartnett's bearish stance clashes with the view held by BofA's head of US equity and quantitative strategy, Savita Subramanian, who has predicted that stocks' bull market will last.
Persons: BofA's Michael Hartnett, , of America's Michael Hartnett, Hartnett's, Hartnett, Marko Kolanovic, BofA's, Savita Subramanian, stagflation Organizations: Service, of America's, Business, JPMorgan
Stocks closed higher on Thursday ahead of Apple earnings and the April jobs report. Bank of America's Savita Subramanian said the stock market has more room to run even without a rate cut. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS indexes closed higher on Thursday ahead of Apple's earnings and a key labor report set to be published Friday morning. Bank of America's US equity head, Savita Subramanian, has said the stock market has more room to run even without looser monetary policy.
Persons: America's Savita Subramanian, , Dow Jones, Veronica Clark, payrolls, Jerome Powell, Savita Subramanian Organizations: Apple, Bank, America's, Service, Nvidia, Microsoft, Dow, Citi, Bank of, Bloomberg, Nasdaq Locations: China
NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS stocks closed higher on Friday to end the best week since November, with tech rallying after earnings from mega-cap stalwarts. Instead, traders focused mostly on earnings strength from Alphabet and Microsoft. In a Friday note, Fundstrat's Mark Newton pointed out that the earnings of Alphabet and Microsoft are paving the way for a broad rally. Next week, Apple and Amazon, will release earnings and investors will be focused on the Fed's next policy meeting scheduled for April 30-May 1.
Persons: , Fundstrat's Mark Newton, Savita Subramanian, we're, it's, Subramanian Organizations: Microsoft, Service, Federal, Amazon, Nvidia, Technology, Bank of, CNBC, Apple, Dow Locations: Here's
The U.S. economy is flashing a sign that's favorable for dividend stocks, according to Bank of America. In this environment, investors want to own dividend stocks with above-market yields, she said. For those characteristics, she looks to quintile two of the Russell 1000 by trailing dividend yield. Her screen guards against owning distressed companies that might move into the first quintile, the highest dividend yield group, if prices fall ahead of potential dividend cuts. APA has a 3.1% dividend yield, while HF Sinclair yields 3.5%.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Russell, Jeffrey Martin, CNBC's Jim Cramer, John Christmann Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of, AES, APA, Sinclair, Callon Petroleum, CNBC, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S
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