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Markets: The S & P 500 is on pace for another record close and its sixth straight positive week. Financials also continued their strong run this week thanks to strong earnings from banks such as Club holding Morgan Stanley and other financial services companies. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, hasn't, Financials, Morgan Stanley, Danaher, we'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., ASML Holdings, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, bellwether, Abbott Laboratories, UBS, Mizuho, . Energy, Texas, OPEC, International Energy Agency, Coterra Energy, Dow Jones, Dover, Honeywell, Jim Cramer's Charitable
The price of oil could hit $120 a barrel by early 2025, according to Citi. AdvertisementOil prices could soar more than 60% by early next year if conflict in the Middle East continues to escalate, according to Citi. The bank said oil prices could go as high as $120 per barrel in the first quarter of 2025, implying a 62% increase. The forecast is Citi's bull case for oil, which hinges on conflict in the Middle East escalating and sparking disruptions to supply. Oil prices could fall as much as 33%, Saudi Arabia's oil minister said in a recent conference call, adding that he believed OPEC+ producers were pumping too much oil.
Persons: , Israel, Eric Lee, Lee, we're Organizations: Citi, Service, Brent, Yahoo Finance, United Arab Locations: Israel, Iran, Russia, Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, OPEC, East, Saudi
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIf oil production starts rising, there could be an oversupply in 2025: S&P GlobalHerman Wang, managing editor of OPEC and Middle East news at S&P Global, says oil supply growth will outpace demand growth in 2025.
Persons: Herman Wang Organizations: P, Middle
Year to date, U.S. crude oil has fallen more than 1%. But Croft warned of a spiral of escalation that could ultimately lead to an oil disruption. Israel could be holding the oil card in reserve until they see how Iran responds to their strike, she said. OPEC also has millions of barrels per day in spare capacity that could jump into the breach if there is a supply disruption. “They will want to see that there is a physical supply disruption before they really jump in front of this.”
Persons: Israel, Helima Croft, CNBC’s, Brent, Croft, ” Croft, , Organizations: Biden, NBC News, RBC Capital Markets, West Texas Intermediate, Natural Gas, Israel, Global, International Energy Agency, IEA, OPEC Locations: Israel, Iran, Americas, U.S, Saudi Arabia
Oil prices drop $2 on demand concerns, Israel comments
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Oil prices slid $2 in early Asian trade on Tuesday as OPEC lowered its outlook for global oil demand growth in 2024 and 2025 and a media report that Israel is willing to strike Iranian military and not nuclear or oil targets. Brent crude futures were down $2.11, or 2.7%, at $75.35 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell $2.07, or 2.8%, to $73.76 per barrel as of 0045 GMT. Both benchmarks had settled about 2% lower on Monday. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the U.S. that Israel is willing to strike Iranian military targets and not nuclear or oil ones, the report said.
Persons: Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas Locations: Israel
Crude oil futures fell more than 4% on Tuesday, as a looming global oil surplus next year overshadowed the risk of a supply disruption from the conflict between Israel and Iran. Oil prices spiked earlier this month after Iran hit Israel with a ballistic missile attack, raising fears that Israel would respond by targeting the Islamic Republic's oil facilities. The International Energy Agency said Tuesday that its members are prepared to take action if there is a supply disruption in the Middle East. Meanwhile, crude production in the Americas, led by the U.S., is poised to grow by 1.5 million bpd this year and next, the IEA said. OPEC has cut its oil 2024 forecast for the third consecutive month in a row.
Persons: Israel Organizations: International Energy Agency, OPEC Locations: Israel, Iran, Americas, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBorkhataria: Geopolitical tension presents upside risk for oil prices. Biraj Borkhataria, RBC Capital, discusses the current state of the oil and gas market amid Middle East tensions. He notes a mix of factors affecting prices, including soft demand in China and potential OPEC actions.
Persons: Biraj Borkhataria Organizations: RBC Capital Locations: China
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Stocks, Lisa Su, Su didn't, Goldman Sachs, Johnson, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Nasdaq, Monday, Tech, Energy, Wells, Nvidia, AMD, Citigroup, Bank of America, United Health, Walgreens, Abbott Laboratories, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Friday's, China
The Stock Trader's Almanac issued a seasonal buy signal for equities, saying investors who sold in May can start to come back to the market now as the calendar nears what are historically the best six months of the year. The same is true of the S & P 500 . In the best six months, the S & P 500 gained 3,019 points, while rising 1,133 points in the worst six. "And beginning on the first trading day of April we prepare to exit these seasonal positions as soon as the market falters." The 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average rose above the 43,000 milestone on Monday, while the S & P 500 recently crossed the 5,800 level for the first time.
Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: Cambodia
According to Clearview Energy Partners, Russian crude prices over the last four weeks have averaged about six cents below the Brent crude price. Record volumes of sanctioned Russian oil were carried by the "dark fleet" and known sanctioned tankers without known insurance over September, according to a recent report from Lloyd's List. The Price Cap Coalition continues to engage with industry to ensure compliance with the price cap and to increase Putin's costs of going outside it." The increased use of dark fleet vessels comes with greater maritime safety and environmental risks. Insurance giant Allianz said in May that dark fleet tankers had been linked to more than 50 accidents.
Persons: Kevin Book, Vortexa, Avebury, Andy Lipow, Putin, Lipow Organizations: Windward, Clearview Energy Partners, CNBC, European Union, Brent, Intelligence, Iranian Tanker Co, U.S . Office, Foreign, Control, Lipow Oil Associates, Treasury, Kremlin, Coalition, Group, Insurance, Allianz Locations: Morocco, U.S, Ukraine, Australia, India, China, Russian, Barbados, Seychelles, UAE, Avebury Shipmanagement . Greece, Russia, United States, Iran, Israel, Straits, Hormuz, Canada, Guyana
Crude oil futures fell nearly 2% on Monday after OPEC cut its demand forecast for 2024 for the third time in a row. OPEC now sees demand growing by 1.9 million barrels per day in 2024, down from 2 million bpd in its previous forecast, according to a report released Monday. The group expects demand to grow by 1.6 million bpd in 2025, compared with 1.7 million bpd previously. U.S. officials told NBC News that Israel has narrowed down the targets it plans to hit. These include military targets and energy infrastructure, the officials told NBC.
Persons: Tamas Varga Organizations: Traders, NBC News, NBC Locations: China, Israel, Iran, U.S
One analyst suggests the market could see a repeat of the 2020 oil price war. AdvertisementRussia's wartime economy could face a tougher time securing needed oil revenue if Saudi Arabia tanks global crude prices. "Saudi Arabia is fed up," Simon Henderson, director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, told Business Insider. However, some kind of confrontation with Saudi Arabia may be stirring. "Unlike Saudi Arabia, its oil is not cheap to extract, making it poorly equipped to deal with low-price conditions.
Persons: , Luke Cooper, hasn't, Simon Henderson, Bernstein, it's, Henderson, Vladimir Putin, Alexander Novak, Cooper Organizations: Service, Organization of Petroleum, Russia, London School of Economics, Financial Times, Gulf and Energy, The Washington Institute, OPEC Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Riyadh, Ukraine, Gulf, Moscow, Iran, Kazakhstan
Iran has threatened to attack Saudi oil sites if the Gulf state supports an Israeli attack. AdvertisementThe fragile truce between longtime regional rivals Iran and Saudi Arabia could unravel if Gulf states allow Israel to use their airspace to strike Iran. He reportedly told the officials that Iranian-backed militias in Iraq or the Houthi militia in Yemen could be deployed against Saudi Arabia. It named Jordan, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar, all of which host US military bases, as countries Iran has threatened with reprisals. GetyAn Iranian attack would likely upend the truce brokered between Iran and Saudi Arabia by China in 2023 that saw the longtime rivals establish diplomatic contacts.
Persons: Abbas Araghchi, , Ali Shihabi, Jordan, Naftali Bennet, they'd, Mohammed bin Salman's, may've, hasn't, Brent, Vladimir Putin's Organizations: Iranian Foreign Affairs, Reuters, Service, Iran, Foreign, Saudi, Street, United Arab, Hamas, European Council for Foreign Relations, Opec Locations: Iran, Saudi, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Riyadh, Islamic Republic, Iraq, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Lebanon, Syria, Gulf, Iranian, China, Ukraine
Oil could see a decline to a "much, much" lower price, according to crude analyst Tom Kloza. Oversupply will weigh on oil prices in 2025, Kloza predicted. AdvertisementThe oil market is headed into a troubled year in 2025, and crude prices may fall "much, much" lower, according to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis at Oil Price Information Service. The oil analyst said crude prices would experience more downward pressure in 2025 despite concerns that conflict in the Middle East could escalate and send prices higher. "It was pointing lower, and I think it's still pointing lower.
Persons: Tom Kloza, Kloza, , Goldman Sachs, Brent Organizations: Service, Oil Price Information Service, Traders, CNBC, Energy Information Administration, Giants, Jets Locations: Saudi Arabia, Iraq
Oil pares gains after strongest weekly rise in over a year
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices pared gains in early trade on Monday after charting their biggest weekly rise in over a year on Friday amid mounting threats of a region-wide war in the Middle East. "However, the oil market will likely continue to face upside pressure due to fears of Israel's retaliation response to Iran. Despite the rally in oil prices last week, the impact of this conflict on oil supply will be relatively small, said ANZ Research in a Monday client note. "We see a direct attack on Iran's oil facilities as the least likely response among Israel's options. "Moreover, we have seen a diminished impact of geopolitical events on oil supply.
Persons: Brent, Tina Teng Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, ANZ Research, OPEC Locations: Iran, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Haifa, Russia, Kazakhstan, OPEC
Wells Fargo upgrades Gilead to overweight from equal weight Wells says the biopharma company has an attractive setup. Wells Fargo upgrades Canadian National to overweight from equal weight Wells says it sees "accelerating growth" for the railway company. Barclays downgrades Netflix to underweight from equal weight Barclay says the "growth algorithm is getting more complex." Wells Fargo downgrades Amazon to equal weight from overweight Wells says the "positive revision story [is] on pause for Amazon. JPMorgan upgrades Ally Financial to overweight from neutral and downgrades American Express to neutral from overweight JPMorgan downgraded American Express and says it sees "asymmetric risk."
Persons: Jefferies, Wells, Morgan Stanley, it's bullish, Barclay, NFLX, Piper Sandler, Piper, Mizuho, JPMorgan downgrades Lamb Weston, JPMorgan, downgrades Sherwin, Williams, KeyBanc, Bernstein, Campbell, underperform Bernstein, Coupang, CPNG, Barclays downgrades, Avery Dennison, Garmin, Hershey Organizations: Apple, Apple Intelligence LT, UW, Vertiv Holdings, Coty, Barclays, Netflix, MKSI, Mizuho, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Alliance, Deutsche, UBS, NXP, Express, American Express, Barclays downgrades DuPont, DuPont, Bank of America downgrades Constellation Brands, Bank of America, Constellation Brands, Bank of America downgrades Comerica, of America, CMA, Air Products, Hershey Locations: OW, Gilead, Canada, underperform
Friday's rally on a strong jobs report gained momentum into the close and pushed the stock market into the green for the week. Inflation data: The September consumer price index (CPI) report is out Thursday. The September producer price index (PPI) is out Friday. Jim said last week that investors who don't own AMD shares should buy some ahead of CEO Lisa Su's presentation. ET: Consumer price index 12 p.m.
Persons: we'll, Jim Cramer, Friday's, Matthew Graham, Israel, Joe Biden, Wells, Jim, we're, We're, Morgan Stanley, Lisa Su's, Su, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Mortgage News, Mortgage News Daily, CNBC, Devices, PPI, Bank, Nvidia, SOXX Semiconductor, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, DAL, JPMorgan, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, New York City
Iran, which is a member of OPEC, is a major player in the global oil market. It's estimated that as much as 4% of global supply could be at risk if Israel targets Iran's oil facilities. For some analysts, the reason crude prices have yet to move even higher is because the oil market is short. watch nowTamas Varga, an analyst at oil broker PVM, told CNBC via email on Thursday that the oil market was pricing in some risk premium given the geopolitical concerns. These fears, however, will be greatly alleviated in [the] coming days unless oil supply from the region or traffic through the Strait of Hormuz are materially impacted," he added.
Persons: Fatemeh, Goldman Sachs, SEB, Jeff Currie, Carlyle, CNBC's, it's, Currie, we've, Amrita Sen, We've, Sen, Joe Biden, Biden, Tamas Varga, " Varga, Benjamin Netanyahu, Masoud Pezeshkian Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Energy, OPEC, Brent, U.S, West Texas, CNBC, White House, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Persian, Nurphoto Locations: Isfahan Refinery, Iran, Isfahan, Israel, Swedish, backwardation, bearishness, U.S, Hormuz, Oman, Tehran, Qatar, Persian, Bushehr, Bushehr province
Just how high prices would go depends on whether OPEC uses its spare oil capacity to plug the gap, Struyven said. Here are today's energy prices:Though oil prices have surged this week on geopolitical tensions, they have risen from a low baseline. "The risk to the oil price outlook are definitely significant," Struyven told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" Friday. The oil market had largely ignored the escalating war in the Middle East until Iran launched nearly 200 ballistic missiles at Israel on Tuesday. The risk premium has been modest because there haven't been sustained supply disruptions over the past two years despite high geopolitical tensions, Struyven said.
Persons: Joe Biden, Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs, Struyven, CNBC's, Brent, haven't Organizations: OPEC Locations: Israel, Israeli, China, East, Iran
A general view of the Port of Kharg Island Oil Terminal in Iran on March 12, 2017. Fatemeh Bahrami | Anadolu Agency | Getty ImagesSatellite imagery revealed a number of oil tankers vacating the waters around Iran's key Kharg Island oil loading terminal, amid fears of an Israeli counterattack on Tehran's energy infrastructure. Their empty VLCC supertankers vacated the country's largest oil terminal, Kharg Island, yesterday," tracking firm TankerTrackers.com wrote in a post on the X social media platform on Thursday evening. VLCC tankers are specifically designed to transport large volumes of crude oil. Kharg Island: Iran's largest oil terminalLocated fifteen miles off Iran's northwestern coast, the Kharg Island terminal handles more than 90% of the country's crude exports.
Persons: Fatemeh, TankerTrackers.com, Hassan Nasrallah —, Samir Madani, Sara Vakhshouri, Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: Anadolu Agency, Getty, National Iranian Tanker Company, Copernicus, Sentinel, Sentinel Hub CNBC, CNBC, Kharg, SVB Energy, Brent, West Texas Locations: Kharg, Iran, Israel, Persian, London
The oil tanker 'Devon' prepares to transfer crude oil from Kharg Island oil terminal to India in the Persian Gulf, Iran, on March 23, 2018. Oil prices could shoot up $20 per barrel if Iranian production sees a hit resulting from Israeli retaliation, according to Goldman Sachs. U.S. crude oil prices just saw a third consecutive session of gains after Iran launched a ballistic missile attack on Israel, heightening tensions in the region. If Israel hits Iran's oil industry, supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz could become of concern, other analysts echoed. This strategically significant waterway connects crude oil producers in the Middle East with major global markets.
Persons: Struyven, Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs, CNBC's, Saul Kavonic, Joe Biden, Brent Organizations: U.S . Energy Information Administration, Oil, CNBC, White, bbl, USD150, Fitch Solutions, BMI Locations: Devon, India, Persian Gulf, Iran, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Israel, U.S, China, Hormuz, Strait, Oman, OPEC
Oil prices ticked higher in early trade on Thursday as investors weighed the escalating conflict in the Middle East and the potential for disruption to crude flows, against an amply-supplied global market. But an unexpected build in U.S. crude inventories on Wednesday helped ease some supply concerns and curbed oil price gains. Some investors remained unfazed as global crude supplies have yet to be disrupted by unrest in the key producing region, and spare OPEC capacity tempered worries. OPEC has enough spare oil capacity to compensate for a full loss of Iranian supply if Israel knocks out that country's facilities. "The effectively available spare capacity might be much lower if renewed attacks on energy infrastructure on countries in the region happen," said Giovanni Staunovo, analyst at UBS.
Persons: derek, East, Jim Simpson, Giovanni Staunovo Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Energy Information Administration, ANZ, East Daley Analytics, Reuters, OPEC, UBS Locations: Kuwait, Saudi Arabian, Israeli, Beirut's Bachoura, Iran, Israel, Palestine, Lebanon, Gulf
$100 oil could be the October surprise no one wanted
  + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
New York CNN —The Middle East is in chaos, and the oil market is remarkably calm about it. The chill reaction in the oil market reflects a boy-who-cried-wolf mindset that has set in. Even just two years ago, oil prices skyrocketed to $130 a barrel in March 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine. Oil prices skyrocketed in 2019 when Saudi oil facilities were damaged in an attack that US officials blamed on Iran. A disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could send oil prices above $100 a barrel, according to ClearView.
Persons: , Bob McNally, , It’s, McNally, George W, Bush, Israel, ” Helima, Joe Biden, Croft, internationalize, Kevin Book, ClearView, it’s, Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN, Investors, Rapidan Energy Partners, Israel, RBC Capital Markets, CNN, CIA, ClearView Energy Partners, International Energy Agency, RBC, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Citigroup, Citi Locations: New York, Iran, China, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, United States, ” Helima Croft, Ukraine, Israel, Saudi, Strait, Hormuz, Riyadh, Persian
U.S. crude oil prices rose nearly 2% on Thursday for a third consecutive session of gains, as the market braces for Israel to retaliate against Iran. The risk of oil supply disruptions increases as fighting in the Middle East intensifies, but OPEC+ is sitting on a large amount of spare crude that could step into the breach, according to Claudio Galimberti, chief economist at Rystad Energy. U.S. crude oil has gained 5% this week. "That would add a significant risk premium to oil," he told CNBC's "Street Signs Europe." As a consequence, oil prices could surge to $200 per barrel if Israel hits Iran's oil infrastructure, he said.
Persons: Claudio Galimberti, Galimberti, Bjarne Schieldrop, Schieldrop, CNBC's Organizations: Rystad Energy Locations: Israel, Iran, OPEC, Swedish, Strait, Hormuz
Oil prices could surge past $200 a barrel if Iran's oil installations are taken offline, a chief commodities expert said. AdvertisementOil prices could roar past $200 a barrel if escalating tensions in the Middle East decimate Iran's crude output, a chief commodities analyst told CNBC. In the $200 per barrel scenario, Brent crude, the international benchmark, would gain 161% from its current price. Still, some investors are betting on the possibility of damaged oil output, Bloomberg reports. These restrictions were introduced to prop up oil prices, but have cost the alliance market share.
Persons: , SEB's Bjarne Schieldrop, Schieldrop, Brent, Bob McNally, haven't Organizations: Service, CNBC, Traders, Bloomberg Locations: Iran, Hormuz, Israel, Lebanon, Libya, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh
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