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"That TB-2s again are firing missiles at Russian troops is a strong indicator that Russian air defenses in the south are in trouble," wrote David Axe in Forbes. Indeed, the TB2 Bayraktar sorties revival came a week after a prized advanced S-400 Triumf was spectacularly destroyed in Crimea. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe rise and fall of the Bayraktar TB2A collage of four screenshots from what Ukrainian forces say was the viewfinder of Bayraktar TB2 drones targeting Russian-controlled assets in March 2022. Russia worked fast to improve its air and electronic defenses at the start of the war following Ukraine's early successes, becoming adept at jamming and destroying many of Ukraine's drones. AdvertisementAdvertisementIt adds that there are 257 Bayraktar drones in operation, serving Turkey, Qatar, Ukraine, and Azerbaijan.
Persons: David Axe, Samuel Bendett, Bendett Organizations: Service, Ukraine's Navy, Russian KS, Ukrainian Navy, American Patriot, Ukraine Armed Forces, Facebook, Navy, Center for Naval Locations: Wall, Silicon, Russian, Turkish, Ural, Kherson, Ukraine, Forbes, Crimea, Moscow, Russia, Libya, Nagorno, Karabakh, Turkey, Qatar, Azerbaijan
Coverage of the grueling conflict has, in part, been characterized by a litany of Russian military mistakes that began early and continue to crop up. Advertisement Advertisement Watch: VIDEO: Why Russia's military is failing so far in UkraineHere are 5 military mistakes Russia has made since February 24, 2022. Putin vowed Russian troops would take the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv within a matter of days. AdvertisementAdvertisementA man wearing a Ukrainian flag visits an avenue where destroyed Russian military vehicles have been displayed ahead of Independence Day in Kyiv, Ukraine, Monday, Aug. 21, 2023. There are several examples throughout the war of Russian troops and leaders harming their own side.
Persons: Vladimir Putin's, Putin, Efrem Lukatsky Putin, Michael Kofman, Calder Walton, ANATOLII STEPANOV, Serhii, aren't, Screengrab Organizations: Service, Kyiv, Center for Naval, Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government, Intelligence, Sunday Times, Javelin, Getty, High Mobility Artillery, Kremlin, Security Service, Russian Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Wall, Silicon, Kyiv Russia, Kyiv, Russian, Ukrainian, Bucha, Vuhledar, Oskol, Ukraine's Kharkiv, AFP, Makiivka, Donetsk Oblast, village's, Belgorod, Crimean, Kerch
New Ukrainian-made missiles could reach up to 930 miles into Russia, a top security official said. Oleksiy Danilov said the weapons will be used against Russian military facilities - not civilians. His comments follow President Zelenskyy's statement that weapons could hit Russia more than 430 miles away. Unlike Russia, he said, Ukrainian missiles and drones inside Russia will only target factories and military facilities - not civilian objects. His comments follow those of Ukrainian President Zelenskyy, who said Ukraine's weapons could hit targets more than 430 miles away.
Persons: Oleksiy Danilov, Zelenskyy's, Danilov, Zelenskyy, Samuel Bendett Organizations: Service, Ukrainian Radio, National Security and Defense, of, New, Russian Federation —, Ukrainian Ministry of, Reuters, Center for Naval, NATO Locations: Ukrainian, Russia, Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, of Ukraine, Kherson, Pskov
Recent drone attacks in Russia have exposed weaknesses in the country's advanced air defenses. As a result, smaller drones have been able to evade detection and strike targets on Russian soil. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe recent spate of attacks on Russian soil, however, are likely to be embarrassing for one of the world's foremost military powers. AdvertisementAdvertisementRussian air defense systems, which are among the most advanced in the world, are used by dozens of countries, and many have developed variations of them, according to the Center for Strategic and International studies. Ukraine can only use its own drones to strike inside Russia because of restrictions on using NATO weapons on Russian territory.
Persons: Samuel Bendett, Bendett Organizations: Service, Center for Naval, UK's Ministry of Defence, Center for Strategic, NATO Locations: Russia, Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Pskov, Moscow
Experts say Moscow could use its expanded arsenal for bigger drone attacks against Ukraine in the coming months. The Russian drones seen in Ukraine have come in all sorts of shapes and sizes, and with varying missions. We can see greater pressure on Ukrainian air defenses and electronic warfare defenses." Larger drone attacks could also be explained by a shift in how Russia carries out its high-volume strikes. And that could, in turn, up the pressure on Ukraine's air defenses.
Persons: Shaheds, George Barros, , Vladimir Putin's, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Samuel Bendett, Oleksii, Bendett, Barros, It's, ISW Organizations: Service, Ukraine, Institute for, National Police, REUTERS, Research, Russian Federation, Center for Naval, Ukrainian, Kyiv, Getty, Ukraine's Ministry of Defense Drones, Russia Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Wall, Silicon, Ukrainian, Washington, Iran, Russian, Kyiv region, Kyiv, Iranian, Zaporizhzhia
Last weekend, an apparent drone strike destroyed a prized Russian Tu-22M3 Backfire bomber. The attack occurred far from the front lines of the war and may have been launched from inside Russia. The strike on a vulnerable Tupolev Tu-22M3 Backfire bomber is part of a growing list of Russian failures to protect its critical bases and vital aerial assets. If that's the case, it may speak to both Ukraine's expanding ability to threaten domestic Russian air bases and Russia's inability to protect them. AdvertisementAdvertisementIn the aftermath of the Tu-22M3 attack, there's a question of how Russia might adapt.
Persons: — Engels, Samuel Bendett, they're, Bendett, ALEXANDER NEMENOV, It's, Ukraine Anton Gerashchenko Organizations: Service, Russian Defense Ministry, Aviation, Center for Naval Analyses, Russia, Russian Aerospace Forces, NATO, Russian Defence Ministry, Kremlin, Nazi, Getty, Internal Affairs, Mobility Artillery, Systems Locations: Russian, Russia, Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, St . Petersburg, Saratov, Ryazan, Moscow, Novgorod Oblast, Russia's, Nazi Germany, AFP, Murmansk, Finland
A video shows a Russian T-90 tank falling off a small cliff and becoming stuck. Ukraine has been rigging cheap drones with explosives and striking expensive Russian equipment. The next shot shows the vehicle being struck by a drone, which causes it to explode. The cost of a single FPV drone tends to be around $400 to $500, or roughly the cost of a new Playstation. A Russian T-90 tank in Moscow's Red Square during a Victory Day parade rehearsal on May 6, 2010.
Persons: Samuel Bendett, ALEXANDER NEMENOV Organizations: Service, Ukrainian Air Assault Forces, Air Assault Brigade, Center for Naval, Getty, Jerusalem Post Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Wall, Silicon, Ukrainian, Russia, AFP, Klishchiivka, Donetsk, Bakhmut, Jerusalem
Russia has built its own version of an Iranian attack drone to attack Ukraine, a report says. The single-use drones, called Geran-2, appear to be Russian-made versions of the Iranian drones, the researchers said. The Russian drones are made with fiberglass over layers of woven carbon fiber, which is different from the honeycomb type of material used in the Iranian drones, The Times noted. The two drones that Conflict Armament Research inspected also contained electronic modules called Kometa in their guidance sections — these have previously been found in Russian drones. An explosion of a drone is seen in the sky over the city during a Russian drone strike, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Kyiv, Ukraine May 4, 2023.
Persons: Damien Spleeters, Gleb Garanich Samuel Bendett, We've, Spleeters, there's Organizations: Service, Russia, Research, New York Times, Times, REUTERS, Center for Naval Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Iranian, Wall, Silicon, Kyiv, Russian, Western
Ukrainian and Russian heavy armor, including their better tanks, are facing a growing threat: FPV drones. Wojciech Grzedzinski/Anadolu Agency via Getty ImagesWhat are FPV drones? Instead, individual units are putting in orders for FPV drones, and these outfits are doing what they can to meet the demand. It is unclear if or how the FPV drones factored into this figure. Electronic warfare can have an effect on FPV drones, as can the rough cope cages some armored-vehicle crews have welded on their tanks and fighting vehicles to shield it from the exploding FPV drones, though not always.
Persons: Samuel Bendett, Wojciech Grzedzinski, David Hambling, Bendett, Steve Wright, Yuriy Mate, Jack Watling, Nick Reynolds, it's Organizations: Service, Center for Naval, Mechanized Brigade, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Army, Drones, Newsweek, Ukraine, Royal United Services, PBS Locations: Russian, Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, Russia, Ukrainian, Donetsk Oblast, China
Murky supply chainsNot all advanced technologies are subject to Western sanctions on Russia. So, a Russian military, as well as its civilian economy, have become dependent," Sam Bendett, advisor at the Center for Naval Analyses, said. Meanwhile, sanctions on Russia are largely limited to Ukraine's Western allies, meaning that many countries continue to trade with Russia. And this is what the Russian industry as well as the Russian military and its intelligence services are taking advantage of," Bendett said. Sanctions clampdownThe burgeoning trade flows have prompted calls from Western allies to either get more countries on board with sanctions, or slap secondary sanctions on certain entities operating within those countries in a bid to stifle Russia's military strength.
Persons: Elina Ribakova, KSE, Sam Bendett, spokespeople, Bendett, Sellers Organizations: CNBC, Semiconductors, Peterson Institute for International Economics, KSE Institute, Kyiv School, Economics, United Arab, Moscow, Royal United Services Institute, U.S ., Center for Naval, Russian, Economic Security, of, CNBC Exports, Union, Russian Federation, European Union, Peterson Institute for International Locations: Russia, Moscow, China, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Ukraine, Russia's, U.S, Japan, Germany, Russian, microchips, Hong Kong, of Ukraine, Caucasus, Central Asia, Georgia, Armenia, Kyrgyzstan
Among them are fake trenches, exploding death traps, that a commander described to The New York Times. A commander shared details of an assault team's encounter with these deadly traps in a discussion this week with The New York Times. The Ukrainian commander, who goes by the call sign Voskres, told The Times about an offensive operation conducted last month by forces with special operations training. When they reached the Russian lines after clearing part of a minefield along a tree line, Ukrainian forces dropped into a trench, ready for a fight. "They build out fake trenches.
Persons: Gian Marco Benedetto, Michael Kofman, Kofman Organizations: The New York Times, Service, New York Times, Times, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Center for Naval Locations: Russia, Wall, Silicon, Ukrainian, Ukraine, Moshchun, Kyiv, Russian
A new video shows a Ukrainian drone hitting a Russian thermobaric rocket launcher. Zaitseve, Donetsk Oblast, a Ukrainian FPV loitering munition hits the launcher of a Russian TOS-1 MRL. The consequence of an RPG-sized warhead hitting roughly 24 MO.1.01.04 220mm thermobaric rockets isn't surprising. Host photo agency/Ramil Sitdikov via REUTERSIt's not the first time Ukraine has touted the destruction of a TOS-1 rocket launcher. Back in February, Kyiv shared a video of an reported destruction of a Russian thermobaric rocket launcher in the Donetsk region of Ukraine.
Persons: OSINTtechnical, Oliver Alexander, Sitdikov, REUTERS It's Organizations: Service, Center for Naval, REUTERS Locations: Ukrainian, Russian, Wall, Silicon, Zaitseve, Donetsk Oblast, Red, Moscow, Russia, Ukraine, Kyiv, Donetsk, Soviet
A new photo shows Ukraine using an unmanned ground vehicle to plant a deadly anti-personnel mine. The photo, posted by OSINTtechnical, shows a MON-200 directional mine. The MON-200 is a thick, Soviet-made anti-personnel mine with a smooth concave front — as seen in the picture — that faces the target. It's a directional explosive, meaning the explosive force and the destructive fragments are propelled in a single direction when triggered. A video, also posted by OSINTtechnical, shows a minelaying vehicle remotely deploying TM-62 anti-tank mines.
Persons: OSINTtechnical Organizations: Service, Center for Naval Locations: Ukraine, Wall, Silicon, Ukrainian
Ukraine's opening move in the counteroffensive was unsuccessful, experts just back from a trip there assert. Part of the problem is that it relied on newer, less experienced units that made mistakes at a critical moment. That does not "mean that the offensive has failed," he said, adding important context to his assessment of the first round. And that assessment is supported by Lee's account of Ukrainian assault forces advancing against Russian defenses without suppressing artillery fire. Combined arms warfare is not something most countries do effectively, and Ukraine lacks both equipment and experience with this kind of fighting.
Persons: Rob Lee, Lee, Dmytro Smolienko, Michael Kofman, Franz, Stefan Gady Organizations: Service, Foreign Policy Research Institute, NATO, Publishing, Getty, Artillery, Center for Naval, Center for New American Security Locations: Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, Russia
Among them are fake trenches designed to lure Ukrainians into a death trap, researchers found on a recent Ukraine trip. And while many of the trenches are actual Russian combat positions, others have been traps, researchers learned from front-line Ukrainian forces. They have mine trenches," Kofman said, explaining that they attempt to "lure Ukrainian forces into trenches that have been mined" with remote-activated mines "and then blow up the mines." The possibility that the trench Ukrainian infantry are rushing into might be an explosive trap makes things immensely more difficult. Hendrickson said they have come across extremely complex minefields in which anti-tank mines are protected by anti-personnel mines and other explosives surrounded by booby traps.
Persons: we've, Michael Kofman, Kofman, Laurent van der, Ryan Hendrickson, Hendrickson, Franz, Stefan Gady Organizations: Service, Center for Naval, 81st Airmobile Battalion, Le Monde, US Army Special Forces Engineer, Toronto Television, Paratroopers, Center for New American Security, Ukrainian Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Wall, Silicon, Seversk, Russian, Afghanistan
Waterborne drones are an inexpensive asset, giving Ukraine an "asymmetric" naval edge against Russia. Russia blamed Ukraine for using the drones to attack the Kerch Strait Bridge in Crimea on Monday. Waterborne drones are also inexpensive and devastating, and there are indications they were used to damage a key Russian bridge into Crimea. An anonymous source from Ukraine's Security Service also confirmed to CNN that Ukraine's naval drones carried out the attack, as did a state official. "Ukraine exploited its [the Kerch Strait Bridge] vulnerability by launching relatively cheap and inexpensive USVs in what turned out to be a successful attack," Bendett said.
Persons: There's, Samuel Bendett, , Bendett Organizations: Service, Ukraine, Security Service, Ukraine's Security Service, CNN, Center for Naval Analyses, Russia, Kyiv, Getty Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Kerch, Crimea, Wall, Silicon, China, AFP, Moscow, Kyiv
The Kerch Bridge connecting Russia and Crimea was damaged by explosions on Monday morning. An attack on the Kerch Bridge is far from "an extraordinary event," as Sergey Aksyonov, the Russian-installed governor of Crimea, said, according to The Kyiv Post. The damage was so severe, Kerch Bridge was closed for normal vehicle traffic until February 2023 and railway traffic until May 2023. "There's been a huge push on the part of Russian authorities to really sustain and even increase tourism in occupied Crimea for economic reasons, and for an integration of occupied Crimea into the larger Russian system." But defending the Kerch Bridge is a logistical nightmare for Russia, prompting a hoard of questions.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Putin, Karolina Hird, Evans Hanson, Sergey Aksyonov, Putin's, Samuel Bendett, ISW's Hird, There's, " Hird, who's, it's, Bendett, we've, Hird, that's Organizations: Service, Institute for, AP, Ukrainian Security, CNN, Center for Naval, International Affairs Group, Russia, Black, Fleet, Putin Locations: Kerch, Russia, Crimea, Wall, Silicon, Russian, Ukraine, Kyiv
Russia has "lost nearly half" its combat power since invading Ukraine, a top UK defense official said. Admiral Sir Tony Radakin claimed Russia is now "so weak" it cannot wage a counter-offensive. "Russia has lost nearly half the combat effectiveness of its army," Radakin said, according to the Financial Times. Radakin's claims about Russia's combat losses in Ukraine are roughly in line with previous reporting. In February, Oryx, an open-source intelligence group, said that at least 1,000 Russian tanks had been destroyed in Ukraine — and another 500 captured.
Persons: Sir Tony Radakin, , Sir Tony Radakin —, Rishi Sunak —, Radakin, Ukraine's, They've, Jeffrey Edmonds, Insider's Jake Epstein Organizations: Service, British, United, Financial Times, Ukraine —, PBS, Center for Naval, CIA Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russian
Shocking images and videos show a destroyed Russian Il-22 command plane. Wagner Group forces are said to have shot down the plane during their revolt, killing the crew. Prigozhin said he regrets destroying Russian aircraft, but he argued they were attacking Wagner forces. The Ilyushin Il-22M aircraft — a valuable airborne command post operated by Russia's air force — was apparently shot down by Wagner Group forces during their revolt against Russian military leadership. Along with the Il-22 aircraft, Wagner shot down six Russian helicopters, killing 13 pilots in total, according to Ukraine, as well as expert observers, like Michael Kofman, the director of Russia Studies at CNA.
Persons: Prigozhin, Wagner, , Russia's, Franz, Stefan Gady, OSINTdefender, Michael Kofman, Prigozhin — Organizations: Wagner Group, Service, Ilyushin, Russian, Center for Naval, Defense, Russian ] Aerospace Forces, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Russia Studies, CNA Locations: Russian, Ukraine
Videos show what appears to be Russian workers tearing up highways outside Moscow. Wagner Group fighters have been advancing on Moscow since early Saturday. Tensions between Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin and Russian military leaders have mounted for months. It's unclear who is operating the construction equipment seen in the images. Russian security forces set up traffic checkpoints with armed guards on Russia's M4 highway, which leads to Moscow, on Saturday, according to Reuters.
Persons: Wagner, Yevgeny Prigozhin, , Samuel Bendett, Putin, Don, Prigozhin, Sergei Shoigu, Prigozhin —, Sergey Sobyanin, Sobyanin Organizations: Wagner Group, Service, Center for Naval Analyses, Russian Telegram, Russian Defense, Reuters, Moscow Locations: Moscow, Lipetsk, Rostov, Ukraine, Russia
Russian generals are calling out Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin, asking for troops to remain calm. The testimonial videos from the generals come after Prigozhin called for "payback" on Russian forces. On Friday, two top Russian generals appeared solemnly in front of similar beige walls, urging Wagner forces to focus their energy on combating Ukrainian forces, instead of Russia's army. The videos were published hours after Wagner Group founder Yevgeny Prigozhin called for "payback" against Russia, accusing the Kremlin of launching missile attacks against his troops. The latest escalation in the feud, stemming from March, comes after Prigozhin claimed that Russian troops attacked Wagner group positions with missile strikes.
Persons: Wagner, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Prigozhin, , Yevgeny Prigozhin's, Sergei Surovikin, Vladimir Alekseyev, Alekseyev, Samuel Bendett, Prigozhin — Organizations: Service, Wagner Group, Russia, Kremlin, Times, Center for Naval Analyses, Wagner, Russia's, Reuters, Russia's Defense Ministry Locations: Russia, Russian
Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin has prompted fears of an impending coup in Russia. Russian civilians and officials are imploring troops to keep their focus on Ukraine amid the panic. "Everyone who holds a weapon at the line of contact, remember: your enemy is across from you," a message shared repeatedly states. Founder of Wagner private mercenary group Yevgeny Prigozhin. Press service of "Concord"/Handout via REUTERSThe Russian defense ministry, meanwhile, also attempted to refocus attention on the fight in Ukraine in a Friday Telegram post.
Persons: Wagner, Yevgeny Prigozhin, , Russia's, Putin, Prigozhin, Sergei Shoigu, Staff Valery Gerasimov, Samuel Bendett, Simon Miles, Miles, Sergey Surovikin, Bendett Organizations: Service, Ukraine —, Russian, Staff, Federal Security Service, Center for Naval Analyses, Press, Armed Forces, Russian Federation, [ Armed Forces, Duke University's Sanford School of Public, Soviet Union Locations: Russia, Russian, Ukraine, Moscow, Ukrainian, Bakhmut, gunpoint, Concord, Soviet
In the early months of the Russia-Ukraine war, Bayraktar TB2 drones were hailed as Ukraine's savior. However, a year later, nearly all of them are believed to have been shot down by Russian forces. "Once the Russian military got its act together, it was able to down many TB2s," Bendett said. Electronic warfare is a "critical component" of Russia's tactics and contributing to the enormous losses of Ukrainian drones, a report released by the UK's Royal United Services Institute found. Ukraine still had the initiative, but "as the Russian military adapts, there can be no room for complacency," it said.
Russia has essentially captured the city of Bakhmut, but it paid a heavy price, exhausting its forces. The win in Bakhmut, which remains contested, is its first battlefield victory in almost a year. The win is likely Pyrrhic, and analysts say there's little Russia can do but wait for Ukraine's next move. Libkos/APUkrainian and Russian troops have been engaged in intense combat over Bakhmut for nearly a year now, and both sides have seen countless soldiers killed and wounded. ISW noted around the time of Russia's claimed victory over Bakhmut that "Russian forces will likely need additional reinforcements to hold Bakhmut City and its flanks at the expense of operations in other directions."
Ukraine's Western partners are short on weapons and can't make them fast enough to meet Kyiv's needs. Experts told The Washington Post that NATO countries have been too slow to manufacture munitions. Countries are facing dwindling stockpiles and can't manufacture weapons fast enough to support Kyiv's ambitions to launch a counteroffensive against Russian forces, according to the Washington Post. Defense experts told the Washington Post that many of Ukraine's NATO partners — especially European nations — haven't mobilized their defense industries to meet battlefield needs for artillery, tanks, air defense systems, and ammunition. Germany offered the fast and lethal Leopard tanks to Ukraine in January, followed by US Abrams tanks that have a record of shattering Soviet-era armor.
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